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Yair Lotan

Publications and source records attributed to Yair Lotan.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2026

Clinical Validation of a Multiplex Urine Biomarker Assay for Surveillance of Recurrent Bladder Cancer.

PURPOSE: More than 50% of patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer experience recurrence, requiring lifelong surveillance with repeated cystoscopy. Given the invasive nature and cost of cystoscopy, accurate noninvasive tools are needed to support risk-adapted monitoring. We evaluated the ability of Oncuria-Monitor, a multiplex urine biomarker assay, to detect recurrent bladder cancer during surveillance. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between February 2017 and August 2020, six medical centers in the United States and Japan prospectively enrolled 300 patients with a history of bladder cancer, generating 1,248 serial urine samples. Participants were divided into training and validation cohorts. At each surveillance visit over 2 years, urine samples were analyzed in a blinded manner using Oncuria-Monitor and BladderChek, alongside urine cytology. Test performance was compared with cystoscopy and histopathology-confirmed recurrence. RESULTS: Recurrent bladder cancer was identified in 31% (93/300) of participants, with 143 total recurrences during follow-up, including 90 tumors in the validation cohort. In the validation cohort, Oncuria-Monitor achieved a sensitivity of 85.6% [95% confidence interval (CI), 78.1%-92.2%] and a negative predictive value (NPV) of 93% (95% CI, 89.2%-96.4%). In comparison, BladderChek demonstrated a sensitivity of 20.0% and an NPV of 88%, whereas urine cytology showed a sensitivity of 36.9% and an NPV of 91.6%. The number needed to evaluate to detect one recurrence was 3 for both cystoscopy and Oncuria-Monitor, compared with 15 for BladderChek and 8 for cytology. CONCLUSIONS: In this large prospective longitudinal study, Oncuria-Monitor demonstrated clinically actionable performance, enabling a rule-out strategy that could safely reduce cystoscopy in approximately 25% of surveillance visits. These findings support a paradigm shift toward biomarker-guided, risk-adapted surveillance in bladder cancer that reduces unnecessary invasive procedures while maintaining oncologic safety.

Humans↗
PubMed2026

Oncogenic PIK3CA reprograms glutamine metabolism to drive bladder cancer progression.

BACKGROUND: Genomic analysis has revealed that approximately 40% of bladder cancer (BLCA) tumors harbor alterations in the PI3K/AKT pathway, with PIK3CA mutations occurring in 15-25% of cases. PIK3CA, which encodes the catalytic p110α subunit of PI3K, plays a critical role in regulating cell survival, proliferation, and metabolism. However, the metabolic and functional consequences of PIK3CA mutations in BLCA remain poorly defined. METHODS: To investigate the role of PIK3CA mutations in BLCA, we performed targeted sequencing on tumors from patients, identifying recurrent alterations. Using CRISPR/Cas9 knock-in models in SCaBER and UM-UC-3 cell lines, we introduced the PIK3CA E545K mutation to study its effects. We conducted transcriptomic profiling, targeted metabolomics, and stable isotope tracing to assess metabolic reprogramming. Functional assays measured proliferation, mitochondrial complex I activity, and glutaminolysis. Orthotopic xenografts in mice were used to evaluate in vivo tumor growth and metabolism. RESULTS: PIK3CA mutations were present in 20% of cases, consistent with TCGA data. The E545K and E545Q hotspots accounted for 70% of these mutations. PIK3CA E545K strongly activated PI3K/AKT signaling. Transcriptomic analysis revealed enrichment of OXPHOS, fatty acid metabolism, and mTORC1 signaling. Metabolomics indicated changes in TCA cycle metabolites and enhanced reductive carboxylation of glutamine to citrate, driving fatty acid synthesis. Mutant cells showed increased expression of GLS1 and FASN, higher proliferation rates, and elevated mitochondrial complex I activity. In vivo, PIK3CA-mutant xenografts displayed significantly increased tumor growth. CONCLUSION: PIK3CA mutations are frequent drivers of metabolic reprogramming in BLCA, leading to increased glutamine flux, elevated OXPHOS activity, and enhanced fatty acid synthesis, all of which contribute to tumor progression. These findings provide the first comprehensive evidence that PIK3CA-driven metabolic alterations are both biomarkers of aggressive disease and actionable therapeutic targets. The efficacy of PI3Kα inhibition in combination with metabolic targets may support its potential in precision medicine for PIK3CA-mutant BLCA and highlights the value of integrating metabolic biomarkers into treatment strategies for advanced BLCA.

Journal Article↗
PubMed2007

Predictive value of cell cycle biomarkers in nonmuscle invasive bladder transitional cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: We determined whether the combined expression of p53, p21, p27 and pRB is associated with outcomes of patients with nonmuscle invasive bladder transitional cell carcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Immunohistochemical staining for p53, p21, p27 and pRB was performed on archival bladder specimens from 9 normal controls and 74 patients who underwent transurethral bladder tumor resection for Ta, Tis and/or T1 transitional cell carcinoma. RESULTS: Normal urothelium had wild type status of p53, pRB, p21 and p27. p53 expression was altered in 34% of patients with transitional cell carcinoma, pRB in 39%, p21 in 35% and p27 in 47%. When analyzed separately, p53, pRB and p21 were each independently associated with tumor progression. Combination of biomarkers stratified patients into statistically significantly different risk groups for disease recurrence and progression. When tumor stage and grade were modeled with all 4 biomarkers, p53 and p27 were the sole independent predictors of disease recurrence and progression. After controlling for the effects of tumor grade and stage, the incremental number of altered biomarkers was associated with an increased risk of bladder cancer recurrence (p for trend = 0.011) and progression (p for trend = 0.005). The risk ratio for disease recurrence and progression increased incrementally with the number of biomarkers altered. CONCLUSIONS: Combinations of p53, pRB, p21 and p27 had cooperative/synergistic effects stratifying patients into different risk groups. Higher total numbers of altered biomarkers were independently associated with an increased risk of disease progression and death. Prospective trials are necessary to usher bladder cancer management into the age of molecular biomarkers.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Ki-67 is an independent predictor of bladder cancer outcome in patients treated with radical cystectomy for organ-confined disease.

PURPOSE: To determine the association of the cell proliferative marker Ki-67 with pathologic features and disease prognosis in patients with transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) of the urinary bladder. METHODS: Immunohistochemical staining for Ki-67 was done on serial cuts from tissue microarrays containing cystectomy specimens from 9 patients without bladder cancer and 226 consecutive patients with bladder TCC. We also assessed malignant lymph nodes from 50 of the 226 cystectomy patients. RESULTS: Ki-67 expression was increased in 42.5% cystectomy specimens and in 54% metastatic lymph nodes. In contrast, it was absent in all nine benign cystectomy specimens. Ki-67 overexpression was associated with advanced pathologic stage, higher grade, lymphovascular invasion, and metastases to lymph nodes (P = 0.001, 0.040, 0.031, and 0.036, respectively). In multivariate analyses, pathologic stage and lymph node metastases were independent predictors of disease recurrence and bladder cancer-specific mortality. In the subgroup of patients with organ-confined disease (<pT(3) N(0); n = 91), excluding patients who received neoadjuvant or adjuvant chemotherapy, Ki-67 status was an independent predictor of both disease recurrence (risk ratio, 7.591; P = 0.001) and bladder cancer-specific mortality (risk ratio, 4.045; P = 0.041). CONCLUSIONS: Ki-67 overexpression is associated with features of aggressive bladder TCC and adds independent prognostic information to standard pathologic features for prediction of clinical outcome after radical cystectomy.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Nomograms provide improved accuracy for predicting survival after radical cystectomy.

AIMS: To develop multivariate nomograms that determine the probabilities of all-cause and bladder cancer-specific survival after radical cystectomy and to compare their predictive accuracy to that of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging. METHODS: We used Cox proportional hazards regression analyses to model variables of 731 consecutive patients treated with radical cystectomy and bilateral pelvic lymphadenectomy for bladder transitional cell carcinoma. Variables included age of patient, gender, pathologic stage (pT), pathologic grade, carcinoma in situ, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), lymph node status (pN), neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACH), adjuvant chemotherapy (ACH), and adjuvant external beam radiotherapy (AXRT). Two hundred bootstrap resamples were used to reduce overfit bias and for internal validation. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 36.4 months, 290 of 731 (39.7%) patients died; 196 of 290 patients (67.6%) died of bladder cancer. Actuarial all-cause survival estimates were 56.3% [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 51.8-60.6%] and 42.9% (95% CI, 37.3-48.4%) at 5 and 8 years after cystectomy, respectively. Actuarial cancer-specific survival estimates were 67.3% (62.9-71.3%) and 58.7% (52.7-64.2%) at 5 and 8 years, respectively. The accuracy of a nomogram for prediction of all-cause survival (0.732) that included patient age, pT, pN, LVI, NACH, ACH, and AXRT was significantly superior (P=0.001) to that of AJCC staging-based risk grouping (0.615). Similarly, the accuracy of a nomogram for prediction of cancer-specific survival that included pT, pN, LVI, NACH, and AXRT (0.791) was significantly superior (P=0.001) to that of AJCC staging-based risk grouping (0.663). CONCLUSIONS: Multivariate nomograms provide a more accurate and relevant individualized prediction of survival after cystectomy compared with conventional prediction models, thereby allowing for improved patient counseling and treatment selection.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Advanced age is associated with poorer bladder cancer-specific survival in patients treated with radical cystectomy.

OBJECTIVE: Bladder cancer (BCa) is a disease of older persons, the incidence of which is expected to increase as the population ages. There is controversy, however, regarding the outcomes of radical cystectomy (RC), the gold standard treatment of high-risk BCa, in patients of advanced chronological age. The aim of our study was to assess the impact of patient age on pathological characteristics and recurrence-free and disease-specific survival following RC. METHODS: The records of 888 consecutive patients who underwent RC for transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) were reviewed. Age at RC was analyzed both as a continuous (yr) and categorical (< or =60 yr old, n=240; 60.1-70 yr old, n=331; 70.1-80 yr old, n=266; >80 yr old, n=51) variable. Logistic regression and survival analyses were performed. RESULTS: Higher age at RC, analyzed as a continuous or categorical variable, was associated with extravesical disease and pathological upstaging (all p<0.02). Older patients were less likely to receive postoperative chemotherapy (< or =60 yr: 32% vs. >80 yr: 14%, p=0.008). In both pre- and postoperative multivariate models, higher age at RC as a categorical variable was associated with BCa-specific survival (p<0.05). Patients >80 yr old had a significantly greater risk of disease recurrence than patients aged < or =60 yr (p<0.05). CONCLUSION: Greater patient age at the time of RC for BCa is independently associated with adverse outcomes. Better understanding of factors associated with postoperative outcomes in this growing segment of the population is necessary. Prospective corroboration and further refinement of similar analyses in other large datasets is needed.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Characteristics and outcomes of patients with carcinoma in situ only at radical cystectomy.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the cancer-specific outcomes of patients with pathologic carcinoma in situ (CIS) only at radical cystectomy. METHODS: The records of 812 consecutive patients who underwent radical cystectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy for bladder transitional cell carcinoma at three U.S. academic centers were reviewed. Of the 812 patients, 99 (12%) had CIS only at radical cystectomy. RESULTS: The distribution of clinical stage for the 99 patients with CIS only at radical cystectomy was as follows: 47% of patients had CIS only, 8% had cT1, 15% had cT1 plus CIS, 10% had cT2, 13% had cT2 plus CIS, 6% had cTa, and 1% had Ta plus CIS. Two patients had lymphovascular invasion in the radical cystectomy specimen, and three had metastases to the lymph nodes. The actuarial recurrence-free survival estimates were 89.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] 83.0% to 96.6%) at 3 years and 83.0% (95% CI 73.2% to 92.8%) at 5 and 7 years after radical cystectomy. Six patients (6%) had died of bladder cancer at analysis and 13 (13%) had died of other causes without evidence of disease recurrence. The actuarial disease-specific survival estimates were 95.8% (95% CI 91.2% to 99.9%) at 3 years, 90.7% (95% CI 82.4% to 98.9%) at 5 years, and 87.2% (95% CI 76.8% to 97.5%) at 7 years after surgery. On univariate Cox regression analyses, only metastasis to lymph nodes was associated with bladder cancer recurrence and death (P <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Disease control seemed durable for patients with pathologic CIS only at radical cystectomy in the absence of metastases to the lymph nodes, even in the case of failure after intravesical therapy.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Concomitant carcinoma in situ is a feature of aggressive disease in patients with organ-confined TCC at radical cystectomy.

OBJECTIVES: Carcinoma in situ (CIS) is a nonpapillary, high-grade, potentially aggressive, and unpredictable manifestation of transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) of the bladder. The aim of this study was to assess whether presence of concomitant CIS has a detrimental effect on cancer control after radical cystectomy. METHODS: The records of 812 consecutive patients who underwent radical cystectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy for bladder TCC at three US academic centres were reviewed. Ninety-nine of 812 (12%) patients had CIS only at radical cystectomy and were excluded from the analyses. RESULTS: Three hundred thirty of the 713 (46.3%) patients had concomitant CIS at radical cystectomy. Patients with TCC involvement of the urethra were more likely to have concomitant CIS than not (61% vs. 40%, p=0.018). Concomitant CIS was significantly more common in patients with lower cystectomy stages and higher tumour grades. In univariate, but not multivariate, analysis, patients with concomitant CIS versus those without were at increased risk of disease recurrence (p=0.0371). In patients with organ-confined disease, concomitant CIS was an independent predictor of disease recurrence (p=0.048 and p=0.012, respectively) but not bladder cancer-specific mortality (p=0.160 and p=0.408, respectively) after adjusting for the effects of standard postoperative features. CONCLUSIONS: Concomitant CIS in the cystectomy specimen is common, and patients with concomitant CIS are at increased risk of urethral TCC involvement. The presence of concomitant CIS appears to confer a worse prognosis in patients with non-muscle-invasive TCC treated with radical cystectomy.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Should we screen for bladder cancer in a high-risk population?: A cost per life-year saved analysis.

BACKGROUND: The U.S. Food and Drug Administration recently approved screening high-risk patients for bladder cancer using urine-based markers. The cost and life-years saved associated with bladder cancer screening were evaluated. METHODS: A Markov model was created to estimate cumulative cancer-related costs and efficacy of screening (vs. no screening) of a high-risk population for bladder cancer using a urine-based tumor marker over a 5-year period. Assumptions were based on literature review of survival and progression rates for patients with bladder cancer and costs associated with different bladder cancer disease states. RESULTS: Screening for bladder cancer in a population with a 4% incidence of bladder cancer resulted in a gain of 3.0 life years per 1000 subjects at a cost savings of $101,000 for the population, assuming a 50% downstaging in the screened population from muscle-invasive to nonmuscle-invasive disease. One-way sensitivity analyses found that screening is the most cost-effective strategy if cancer incidence is >1.6%, tumor marker costs <$126, marker sensitivity is >26%, marker specificity is >54%, downstaging with screening is >20%, and office cystoscopy costs <$694. Varying costs of cystectomy, transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT), chemotherapy, end-of-life care, costs of metastatic disease, and a computed tomography scan over a wide range did not affect the superiority of screening. CONCLUSIONS: The model found that urine-based markers are cost-effective in a high-risk population. Prospective randomized trials in a completely asymptomatic high-risk cohort are indicated before bladder cancer screening can be recommended.

Biomarkers, Tumor↗
PubMed2006

Correlation of cyclin D1 and E1 expression with bladder cancer presence, invasion, progression, and metastasis.

The objective of this study was to determine the correlation of the expression of cyclin D1 and E1 with the expression of commonly altered cell cycle regulators and bladder cancer presence, staging, and clinical outcomes. We performed immunohistochemical staining for cyclin D1, cyclin E1, p53, p21, p27, and retinoblastoma protein (pRB) on serial cuts from normal urothelium from 9 controls, radical cystectomy specimens from 226 consecutive patients with advanced transitional cell carcinoma, and lymph nodes with metastasis from 50 of the 226 cystectomy patients. Cyclin D1 and E1 immunoreactivity were considered low when samples demonstrated less than 10% and 30% nuclear reactivity, respectively. Normal bladder urothelium from all 9 control patients showed uniformly intense expression of cyclin D1 and E1. Cyclin D1 expression was low in 99 (43.8%) of 226 cystectomy specimens and 25 (50.0%) of 50 metastatic lymph node specimens. Cyclin D1 immunoreactivity was not associated with any pathologic characteristics or clinical outcomes. Cyclin E1 expression was low in 125 (55.3%) of 226 cystectomy specimens and 22 (44.0%) of 50 metastatic lymph node specimens. Low cyclin E1 expression was significantly associated with advanced pathologic stage, lymphovascular invasion, and lymph node metastases. In multivariate analyses, low cyclin E1 expression was significantly associated with bladder cancer-specific mortality (P = .048), but not disease recurrence (P = .056). Low cyclin E1 expression was significantly associated with altered expression of pRB, p27, and cyclin D1. Low cyclin D1 expression was significantly associated with altered expression of pRB, p21, and cyclin E1. Cyclin E1 expression stratifies patients with bladder transitional cell carcinoma into those with more "indolent" behavior and those with features of biologically and clinically aggressive disease.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Precystectomy nomogram for prediction of advanced bladder cancer stage.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate precystectomy prediction of pT and pN stages at cystectomy. METHODS: Multivariate logistic regression analyses modelled variables of 726 evaluable patients treated with radical cystectomy and bilateral pelvic lymphadenectomy. The first set of models predicted pT(3-4) stage at cystectomy, and the second set predicted pN(1-3) stages at cystectomy. Transurethral resection (TUR) predictors consisted of 2002 T stage, 1973 WHO tumour grade, presence of carcinoma in situ, age, gender, and delivery of neo-adjuvant chemotherapy. The area under the ROC curve quantified nomogram accuracy. Two hundred bootstrap resamples were used to reduce overfit bias. RESULTS: At TUR, 11% of patients were staged as pT(3-4) versus 42% at cystectomy. Lymph node metastases were found in 24% of patients at cystectomy (pN(1-3)). The multivariate pT(3-4) nomogram was 75.7% accurate versus 71.4% for TUR T stage. The multivariate pN(1-3) nomogram was 63.1% accurate versus 61.0% for TUR T stage. CONCLUSION: Multivariate nomograms are not perfect, but they do predict more accurately than TUR T stage alone.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Discrepancy between clinical and pathologic stage: impact on prognosis after radical cystectomy.

OBJECTIVES: We compared clinical and pathologic staging in a large, contemporary, consecutive series of patients who were treated with radical cystectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy, and determined the effect of stage discrepancy on outcomes. METHODS: We collected retrospective data from 778 consecutive patients with bladder transitional cell carcinoma who were treated with radical cystectomy and pelvic lymphadenectomy, and for whom the clinical and pathologic stage were available. RESULTS: Pathologic upstaging occurred in 42% of patients, and pathologic downstaging occurred in 22%. Forty percent of patients with non-muscle-invasive clinical stage had muscle-invasive pathologic stage. Thirty-six percent of patients with organ-confined clinical stage had non-organ-confined pathologic stage (> or =pT3N0 or pTanyN-positive). Patients with higher clinical stage were more likely to be upstaged to non-organ-confined disease (p<0.001). Patients were stratified into three groups: pathologically upstaged, same clinical and pathologic stage, and pathologically downstaged. When adjusted for the effects of standard postoperative features, upstaged patients were at a significantly higher risk of disease recurrence and bladder cancer-specific death than patients who had the same pathologic and clinical stage, who in turn were at significantly higher risk than downstaged patients. This observation remained true within each clinical stage strata. Within each pathologic stage strata, clinical stage did not substratify into different risk groups. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical to pathologic stage discrepancy is a relatively common finding after extirpative surgery for bladder cancer. Clinical outcomes after radical cystectomy are largely driven by pathologic stage. Better clinical staging is necessary to improve patient evaluation and management.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Soluble Fas--a promising novel urinary marker for the detection of recurrent superficial bladder cancer.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to test the hypothesis that elevated urinary levels of soluble Fas (sFas) would aid in the surveillance of patients with a past history of nonmuscle-invasive transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) of the urinary bladder. METHODS: sFas levels were determined in cell lysates and supernatants from 2 human bladder cancer cell lines (T24 and TCC-SUP) and in voided urine from 188 consecutive patients who were at risk for TCC recurrence, 31 patients who had noncancerous urologic conditions, and 10 healthy individuals. The authors also obtained barbotage cytology and voided nuclear matrix protein 22 (NMP22) levels. sFas was analyzed continuously and categorically on the basis of its quintile distribution. RESULTS: sFas was present in cell lysates and conditioned media from both cell lines. sFas levels were found to be higher in the TCC group (n = 122 patients) compared with the control group (P < .001). Higher levels of sFas were associated with positive cytology assay results (P < .001), higher NMP22 levels (P < .001), NMP22 levels > 10 U/mL (P < .001), and tumor stage > or = T1 (P < .001). The areas under the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves of sFas and NMP22 for bladder cancer detection were 0.757 (95% confidence interval, 0.694-0.819) and 0.704 (95% confidence interval, 0.637-0.772), respectively. In the > 75% sensitivity region of the ROC curves, sFas was consistently more specific than NMP22. In multivariate analyses, sFas, NMP22, and cytology all were found to be associated with the presence of bladder cancer (P values < or = .009), but only sFas and cytology were associated with tumor stage > or = T1 (P values < or = .026). CONCLUSIONS: sFas was produced and released by bladder TCC cells. Urine sFas was an independent predictor of bladder cancer recurrence and invasiveness in patients who had a past history of nonmuscle invasive bladder TCC, and it outperformed NMP22.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Efficacy of ablative high-dose-per-fraction radiation for implanted human renal cell cancer in a nude mouse model.

OBJECTIVES: Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) is a new therapeutic paradigm that uses a very large dose per fraction treatments (ablative hypofractionation). We investigated the use of ablative hypofractionation in treating human renal cell carcinoma using a nude mouse model. METHODS: Nude mice were injected subcutaneously with A498 human renal carcinoma cells. Tumour-bearing animals were radiated with three fractions (one per week) for a total dose of 48 Gy (n = 12), while untreated animals served as controls (n = 7). The mice were weighed, and tumour volumes were measured at baseline and weekly until 7 weeks post-treatment. RESULTS: Control animals demonstrated progressive tumour growth and were sacrificed because of either tumour size or ulceration. Tumours in the treatment group grew to three times their initial size over the 3 weeks of treatment but subsequently decreased progressively to less than 30% of their initial volume. All treated tumours exhibited marked cytologic changes. Tumours from mice sacrificed before post-treatment week 4 had a mitotic count of 1-4/10 hpf. Tumours from mice sacrificed more than 4 weeks post-treatment (n = 4) demonstrated no mitoses. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with high-dose-per-fraction radiation to 48 Gy resulted in a sustained decrease in tumour volume and marked cytologic changes. These results are preliminary--but promising--and encourage further research into this application of ablative hypofractionated radiation for kidney cancer.

Animals↗
PubMed2006

Variability in the performance of nuclear matrix protein 22 for the detection of bladder cancer.

PURPOSE: We assessed variability in the diagnostic performance of NMP22 for detecting recurrence and progression in patients with Ta, T1, and/or CIS transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder in a large international cohort. MATERIALS AND METHODS: NMP22 voided urine levels were measured in 2,871 patients who underwent office cystoscopy for monitoring previous stage Ta, T1 and/or CIS transitional cell carcinoma at 12 participating institutions. RESULTS: Patient characteristics varied considerably among institutions. Overall 1,045 patients (36.4%) had recurrent transitional cell carcinoma (range across institutions 13.6% to 54.3%). Median NMP22 was 5.5 U/ml (range across institutions 2.5 to 18.8). Of the patients 33.5% had grade III tumors (range across institutions 20.6% to 54.0%) and 22.4% had muscle invasive tumors (range across institutions 3.2% to 38.2%). Area under the ROC curve for bladder TCC detection was 0.735 (95% CI 0.715 to 0.755, range across institutions 0.676 to 0.889). The manufacturer recommended cutoff of 10 U/ml detected 57% of cases with a 19% false-positive rate. AUC for grade III and stage T2 or greater disease was 0.806 (95% CI 0.780 to 831) and 0.864 (95% CI 0.839 to 0.890), respectively. For each NMP22 cutoff NMP22 had higher sensitivity for detecting grade III and stage T2 or greater bladder transitional cell carcinoma than for detecting any cancer. No optimal cutoffs for detecting any or aggressive bladder transitional cell carcinoma could be derived based on NMP22 values. CONCLUSIONS: There is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in the diagnostic performance of NMP22 applied to populations from different institutions. There is no clearly defined NMP22 cutoff but there is a continuum of risk for recurrence and progression.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

The influence of clinical and pathological stage discrepancy on cancer specific survival in patients treated for renal cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: We compared clinical and pathological staging in a contemporary, consecutive series of patients treated with partial or radical nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma and we determined the effect of clinical and pathological stage discrepancy on outcomes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We collected retrospective clinical, pathological and survival data on 264 consecutive patients with clinical T1-3 renal cell carcinoma who were treated with laparoscopic or open partial or radical nephrectomy at a single institution from 1994 to 2003. RESULTS: Pathological up staging occurred in 44 of 264 patients (17%) patients. Of 135 clinical T1 tumors 25 (18.5%) and 18 of 85 (21.2%) clinical T2 tumors were pathologically up staged. Patients with clinical T1 and T2 tumors were stratified into 2 groups, including those with the same clinical and pathological stage, and those with pathological up staging. Mean 5-year recurrence-free survival +/- SD for same stage vs pathologically up staged clinical T1 (84.3% +/- 4.4% vs 47.4% +/- 11.5%) and clinical T2 (80.0% +/- 6.8% vs 40.7% +/- 13.4%) tumors was significantly different (p < 0.0002). Five-year cancer specific survival for same stage vs pathologically up staged clinical T1 tumors was significantly different (98.5% +/- 1.5% vs 69.7% +/- 11.3%, p = 0.0005), while that for clinical T2 tumors approached clinical significance (90.9% +/- 5.0% vs 72.7% +/- 13.4%, p = 0.0501). CONCLUSIONS: Stage discrepancy is common in surgically treated patients diagnosed with renal masses and it has a significant impact on clinical outcome. Implications of such clinical and pathological stage discrepancy should be considered when counseling patients and determining therapeutic approaches.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Nomogram for predicting disease recurrence after radical cystectomy for transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder.

PURPOSE: American Joint Committee on Cancer staging represents the gold standard for prediction of recurrence after radical cystectomy in patients with invasive bladder cancer. We tested the hypothesis that American Joint Committee on Cancer stage based predictions may be improved when pathological tumor and node stage information is combined with additional clinical and pathological variables within a prognostic nomogram. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We used Cox proportional hazards regression analysis to model variables of 728 patients with transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder treated with radical cystectomy and bilateral pelvic lymphadenectomy at 1 of 3 participating institutions. Standard predictors, pT and pN, were complemented by age, gender, tumor grade at cystectomy, presence of lymphovascular invasion, presence of carcinoma in situ in the cystectomy specimen, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, adjuvant chemotherapy and adjuvant radiotherapy. The concordance index was used to quantify the accuracy of regression coefficient based nomograms. A total of 200 bootstrap resamples were used to reduce overfit bias and for internal validation. Calibration plots were used to graphically explore the performance characteristics of the multivariate nomogram. RESULTS: Followup ranged from 0.1 to 183.4 months (median 24.9, mean 36.4). Recurrence was recorded in 249 (34.2%) patients with a median time to recurrence of 108 months (range 0.8 to 131.9). Actuarial recurrence-free probabilities were 69.6% (95% CI 65.8%-73.0%), 60.2% (55.8%-64.3%) and 52.9% (47.3%-58.1%) at 2, 5 and 8 years after cystectomy, respectively. Two-hundred bootstrap corrected predictive accuracy of American Joint Committee on Cancer stage based predictions was 0.748. Accuracy increased by 3.2% (0.780) when age, lymphovascular invasion, carcinoma in situ, neoadjuvant chemotherapy, adjuvant chemotherapy and adjuvant radiotherapy were added to pathological stage information and used within a nomogram. CONCLUSIONS: A nomogram predicting bladder cancer recurrence after cystectomy is 3.2% more accurate than American Joint Committee on Cancer stage based predictions. Moreover, a nomogram approach combines several advantages such as easy and precise estimation of individual recurrence probability at key points after cystectomy, which all patients deserve to know and all treating physicians need to know.

Adult↗