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W S Copes

Publications and source records attributed to W S Copes.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
PubMed1991

Trauma in pregnancy. Predicting pregnancy outcome.

A multicenter study involving three American College of Surgeons Level 1 trauma centers was undertaken to assess parameters that may predict fetal outcome. The records of 93 injured pregnant patients admitted from April 1, 1985, to March 31, 1990, were reviewed. There were three maternal deaths (3%) (mean Injury Severity Score, 43). Fourteen fetal/neonatal deaths (15%) occurred during the acute care admission period. Of these, eight were fetal deaths (two associated with maternal death), four were cases of elective abortions, and two were neonatal deaths. In general, the maternal physiologic and laboratory parameters assessed failed to accurately predict pregnancy outcome, while Injury Severity Score did differ significantly between patients whose pregnancies were viable (Injury Severity Score = 6.2) and those whose pregnancies were nonviable (Injury Severity Score = 21.6). Unique to this study were the findings that the Glasgow Coma Score also differed significantly in patients with viable (Glasgow Coma Score, 14.5) and nonviable (Glasgow Coma Score, 12.0) pregnancies, while fetal heart rate at admission to the emergency department did not. In this study, the incidence of fetal death was increased following direct uteroplacental fetal injury (100% of cases), maternal shock (67%), pelvic fracture (57%), severe head injury (56%), and hypoxia (33%). The adequacy of noninvasive maternal monitoring in assessing fetal well-being is challenged, and a discussion of diagnostic modalities for assessment for the injured gravida is set forth.

Accidents, Traffic↗
PubMed1991

Should survivors with an injury severity score less than 10 be entered in a statewide trauma registry?

The necessity of including survivors with minor (ISS less than 10) injuries in a statewide trauma registry with a quality assurance focus was evaluated. During a 3-month period, data for 3,594 admissions to 28 trauma centers were entered into the registry. Of these admissions 1,696 patients (50.8% of patients studied) had an ISS less than 10. Of those, 10 (0.6%) were nonsurvivors and 67 (3.9%) had severe disability (66) or were in a persistent vegetative state (PVS) (1) at hospital discharge. Five nonsurvivors were 65 years of age or older. Four were injured in falls and one was an injured pedestrian. The disabled subset included a high percentage of older patients (61.2% greater than or equal to 55). Minor falls, including those from a bed or chair or from the same level accounted for nearly one half (46.2%) of the disabling injuries. Fifty-one disabled patients had isolated extremity or pelvic fractures. Their hospital stays ranged from 1 to 42 days and averaged 13.0 days. The proportion of elderly in the United States is increasing substantially. Because of the significant risk of death or serious disability to elderly patients, even with minor injuries, we conclude it is appropriate to include data for elderly patients with an ISS less than 10 who meet other registry inclusion criteria. We also recommend the entry of data for patients with an ISS less than 10 and significant disability at discharge who qualify by other criteria. Exclusion of remaining patients with an ISS less than 10 would reduce qualifying cases by 38%.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1991

The effect of patient age upon survival in pediatric trauma.

Developmental changes in the anatomy and physiology of growing children are thought to improve the survivability of older children to significant injury. The effect of age upon survival, however, is poorly defined. Data for 4,615 patients less than 15 years old from a statewide trauma center registry were analyzed. Injury and survival were characterized by Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS, 1985 revision), Injury Severity Score (ISS), Revised Trauma Score (RTS), and probability of survival [P(s)] and Z by TRISS. Patients were separated into age groups of 0 through 4, 5 through 9, and 10 through 14 years. The survival rate for patients with a maximum AIS 3 for any region was significantly higher in the 10-14-year age group. There were no significant differences in survival rates from head, thoracic, and abdominal injuries stratified by AIS among the three age groups. Survival rates for ISS cohorts were consistently lowest in the 0-4-year age group, but differences failed to reach significance. Survival for RTS and P(s) intervals were similar for all ages. The Z statistic reached significance for all children (Z = 4.717, W = 1.049), and for each group (Z = 2.203-3.029). Corresponding values of the W statistic suggest approximately one additional unexpected survivor per 100 admitted children when compared with the Major Trauma Outcome Study. Logistic regression for patients with all data required for TRISS showed no significant effect for any of the three age groups. We conclude that for this patient set, survival after childhood injury is independent of the age groups used in this study, after controlling for injury severity.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1990

The psychosocial consequences of traumatic injury.

Long-term stress experienced by trauma patients was assessed for a sample of 137 patients treated at a large urban trauma center after suffering traumatic injuries resulting from motor vehicle/motorcycle accidents, falls, pedestrian accidents, and stabbing and gunshot wounds. Levels of psychological distress reported 3 to 39 months after the accident were considerable, but a measure of injury severity commonly used in critical care settings was not a good predictor of psychosocial outcome. The subjective impact of the accident and injury-related financial and employment problems were more important in predicting outcome than medical variables or time since injury. Family environment ratings were significantly worse for subjects with elevated levels of psychiatric symptoms. The results suggest that psychosocial interventions may benefit many of these individuals. Aspects to be considered in planning the intervention include projected functional disability, likely employment and financial problems, subjective perceptions of the accident and its implications, and family and social support.

Adaptation, Psychological↗
PubMed1990

A new characterization of injury severity.

ASCOT (A Severity Characterization of Trauma) is a physiologic and anatomic characterization of injury severity which combines emergency department admission values of Glasgow Coma Scale, systolic blood pressure, respiratory rate, patient age, and AIS-85 anatomic injury scores in a way that obviates ISS shortcomings. ASCOT values are related to survival probability using the logistic function and regression weights reaffirm the importance of head injury and coma to the prediction of patient outcome. The ability of TRISS and ASCOT to discriminate survivors from non-survivors and the reliability of their predictions, as measured by the Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic, were compared using Major Trauma Outcome Study (MTOS) patient data. ASCOT performance matched or exceeded TRISS's for blunt-injured patients and for penetrating-injured patients. ASCOT performance gains were modest for blunt-injured patients. The Hosmer-Lemeshow statistics suggest that ASCOT reliably predicts patient outcome for penetrating-injured patients and nearly so for blunt-injured patients. Statistically reliable predictions were not achieved by TRISS for either set. ASCOT provides a more precise description of patient physiologic status and injury number, location, and severity than TRISS. The ASCOT patient description may be useful in relating to other important outcomes not highly correlated with TRISS or the Injury Severity Score (ISS) such as disability, length of stay, and resources required for treatment.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1990

Progress in characterizing anatomic injury.

A three-valued description of anatomic injury is presented. Anatomic profile (AP) components A, B, and C summarize serious injuries (greater than AIS 2) to the head/brain or spinal cord; to the thorax or front of the neck; and all remaining serious injuries. Relationships between AP components and survival rate reaffirm the seriousness of head injury. Logistic function models relating AP components and the Injury Severity Score (ISS) to survival probability were based on 20,946 Major Trauma Outcome Study (MTOS) patients (9.2% mortality rate) submitted through 1986. Model performance comparisons were based on 5,939 MTOS patients (7.8% mortality rate) submitted during 1987. The AP better discriminated survivors from nonsurvivors and provided a 31% increase in sensitivity when compared with the ISS. Neither the ISS nor the AP alone reliably predict patient outcome. The predictive power of methods for estimating patient survival probability which include physiologic indices or profiles, patient age, and an anatomic profile should be compared with current methods. The AP, which is based on the severity and location of all serious injuries, provides a more rational basis for comparing patient samples than the ISS.

Humans↗
PubMed1990

The Major Trauma Outcome Study: establishing national norms for trauma care.

The Major Trauma Outcome Study (MTOS) is a retrospective descriptive study of injury severity and outcome coordinated through the American College of Surgeons' Committee on Trauma. From 1982 through 1987, 139 North American hospitals submitted demographic, etiologic, injury severity, and outcome data for 80,544 trauma patients. Motor vehicle related injuries were most frequent (34.7%). Twenty-one per cent of patients had penetrating injuries. The overall mortality rate was 9.0%. The mortality rate for direct admissions was strongly related to the presence of serious head injury, 5.0% and 40.0%, when head injuries were less than or equal to AIS (Abbreviated Injury Scale) 3 or greater than or equal to AIS 4, respectively. Survival probability norms use the Revised Trauma Score, Injury Severity Score, patient age, and injury mechanism. Patients with unexpected outcomes were identified and statistical comparisons of actual and expected numbers of survivors made for each institution. Results provide a description of injury and outcome and support evaluation and quality assurance activities.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1989

A revision of the Trauma Score.

The Trauma Score (TS) has been revised. The revision includes Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and respiratory rate (RR) and excludes capillary refill and respiratory expansion, which were difficult to assess in the field. Two versions of the revised score have been developed, one for triage (T-RTS) and another for use in outcome evaluations and to control for injury severity (RTS). T-RTS, the sum of coded values of GCS, SBP, and RR, demonstrated increased sensitivity and some loss in specificity when compared with a triage criterion based on TS and GCS values. T-RTS correctly identified more than 97% of nonsurvivors as requiring trauma center care. The T-RTS triage criterion does not require summing of the coded values and is more easily implemented than the TS criterion. RTS is a weighted sum of coded variable values. The RTS demonstrated substantially improved reliability in outcome predictions compared to the TS. The RTS also yielded more accurate outcome predictions for patients with serious head injuries than the TS.

Blood Pressure↗
PubMed1989

Mortality of patients with head injury and extracranial injury treated in trauma centers.

The types and severity of injuries of 49,143 patients from 95 trauma centers were coded according to the 1985 version of the Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS). This paper analyzes the causes, incidence, and mortality in 16,524 patients (33.6% of the trauma center patients) with injury to the brain or skull and compares them to patients without head injury. Relative to its incidence, patients with head injury composed a disproportionately high percentage (60%) of all the deaths. This was due to the high mortality rate for head-injured patients. Overall mortality of patients with head injury (18.2%) was three times higher than if no head injury occurred (6.1%). This mortality was little influenced by extracranial injuries except when minor and moderate head injuries were accompanied by very severe (AIS levels 4 to 6) injuries elsewhere. The cause of death in head-injured patients was approximated and it was found that 67.8% were due to head injury, 6.6% to extracranial injury, and 25.6% to both. Head injury is thus associated with more deaths (3,010 vs. 1,972) than all other injuries and causes almost as many deaths (2,040 vs. 2,170) as extracranial injuries. Because of its high mortality, head injury is the single largest contributor to trauma center deaths.

Brain Injuries↗
PubMed1989

Major trauma in geriatric patients.

Contemporary trauma to the elderly, its severity and associated mortality and morbidity in 111 United States and Canadian trauma centers are described. Three-thousand eight-hundred thirty-three (3,833) trauma patients age 65 years or older are compared to 42,944 injured patients under age 65. Although both groups had equivalent measures of injury severity, the older group had higher case fatality and complication rates and longer hospital stays. The results raise important questions regarding the triage, acute care, accurate prediction of outcome, and hospital reimbursement for the elderly injured patient, with implications for care evaluation, quality assurance, and the long-term viability of trauma centers and systems of care.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1988

PARTITION: a quantitative method for evaluating prehospital services for trauma patients.

This paper introduces PARTITION, a method for evaluating prehospital services for trauma patients. The method can be used to compare the performance of a particular service to the accumulated experience with many different prehospital care providers. The essential element of the comparison is to separate (partition) the effects of the prehospital ministrations from those of subsequent hospital care.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1988

Progress toward a new injury severity characterization: severity profiles.

Presented is a new seven-dimensional injury severity profile. The profile includes three physiologic assessments and four variables which express the number, location, and severity of a patient's injuries in terms of 'Abbreviated injury scale' values. The physiologic assessments are coded values for the 'Glasgow coma scale', systolic blood pressure, and respiratory rate. Also presented are survival-death predictive values of a cluster model based on survival rates of clusters of profiles of 2569 blunt-injured and penetrating-injured patients. The cluster model has a relative information gain (R) of 0.90. R is a measure of predictive value relative to an infallible predictor. It varies from 0 to 1, the higher the value the better the predictive value. The model had 26 false negatives (deaths predicted to survive) and 35 false positives (survivors predicted to die) giving rise to a false negative rate of 9.3%, a false positive rate of 1.4% and a misclassification rate of 2.4%. The R value and false negative rate are particularly noteworthy, the R value being higher than, and the false negative rate much lower than typical values of 30-40% achieved by TRISS (a combination index based on trauma score, injury severity score and patient age). Also noteworthy is that the clustering was independent of survival/death outcome information and that the good results were achieved even though patient age has not yet been incorporated into the model.

Actuarial Analysis↗
PubMed1988

A comparison of Abbreviated Injury Scale 1980 and 1985 versions.

The 1980 and 1985 versions of the Abbreviated Injury Scale (AIS) are quantitatively and qualitatively compared based on experience gained during the recent coding of nearly 115,000 injuries from more than 33,000 seriously injured patients using both AIS versions. Quantitative comparisons are based on differences in AIS scores and Injury Severity Score (ISS) values which result under the two schemes. Qualitative comparisons concern the completeness and clinical usability of the two scales in a trauma center setting.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1987

Evaluating trauma care: the TRISS method. Trauma Score and the Injury Severity Score.

Evaluation of trauma care must be an integral part of any system designed for care of seriously injured patients. However, outcome review should offer comparability to national standards or norms. The TRISS method offers a standard approach for evaluating outcome of trauma care. Anatomic, physiologic, and age characteristics are used to quantify probability of survival as related to severity of injury. TRISS offers a means of case identification for quality assurance review on a local basis, as well as a means of comparison of outcome for different populations of trauma patients. Methods for calculating statistics associated with TRISS are presented. The Z and M statistics are explained with the nonstatistician in mind. We feel this article is a source for those interested in developing or upgrading trauma care evaluation.

Age Factors↗