Biomedical subjects

V Siskind

Publications and source records attributed to V Siskind.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

PubMed2000

Estimating risks for matching factors in case-control studies.

Matching for factors such as age and sex is a convenient method for minimizing confounding in case-control studies, but it does not allow inferences about the effects of the matching factors unless case ascertainment is virtually complete and the distribution of the matching factors in the source population is known. When this is so, the effect of a particular factor can be estimated by comparing the population distribution of that factor with what is observed in the case series. Such a comparison, however, may itself be confounded by other factors that are related to both the matching factors and the disease under investigation. This article proposes a method for evaluating matching factors as risk factors, which uses information on the distribution of potential confounders in the reference series and exposure relative risk estimates to adjust the person-time proportionality constant in a Poisson regression model. The method is particularly suited to data sets in which many of the elementary matching strata contain few or no cases and/or controls. It makes use of standard analytic procedures, but requires the estimation of an additional variance-covariance component for the estimated Poisson regression coefficients. Further factors that may confound the relationship between exposure and disease are easily accommodated. The method is demonstrated in two examples: a matched case-control study of drugs in relation to the rare blood dyscrasia, agranulocytosis, that was conducted in Europe and Israel, and a case-control study of ovarian cancer in Australia.

Adolescent↗

PubMed2000

Beyond ovulation: oral contraceptives and epithelial ovarian cancer.

In a case-control study in three Australian states that included 794 women with epithelial ovarian cancer and 853 community controls for whom we had adequate contraceptive and reproductive histories, we examined the effects of oral contraceptive use after controlling for estimated number of ovulatory cycles. Other covariates included in the multiple logistic regression analysis were parity, smoking, and history of pelvic surgery. The protective effect of duration of oral contraceptive use appeared to be multiplicative, with a 7% decrease in relative risk per year [95% confidence interval (CI) = 4-9%], persisting beyond 15 years of exposure. Use for up to 1 year may have a greater effect than predicted (odds ratio = 0.57; 95% CI = 0.40-0.82), whereas use before the first pregnancy may be additionally beneficial (odds ratio = 0.95; 95% CI = 0.87-1.03, adjusted for overall duration of use). Better control for ovulatory life might attenuate these estimates somewhat. There was little evidence of waning protection with time since last exposure or of extra benefit with early commencement of oral contraceptive use. We found no convincing evidence of effect modification in any factor examined or differences in effect among the three main histologic cancer types or between borderline and malignant tumors. Oral contraceptives may act by both suppressing ovulation and altering the tumor-promoting milieu.

Adult↗

PubMed1999

Hormone replacement therapy and risk of epithelial ovarian cancer.

It has been suggested that oestrogen replacement therapy is associated with risk of epithelial ovarian cancer of the endometrioid type. Using data from an Australian population-based case-control study, the relation between unopposed oestrogen replacement therapy and epithelial ovarian cancer, both overall and according to histological type, was examined. A total of 793 eligible incident cases of epithelial ovarian cancer diagnosed from 1990 to 1993 among women living in Queensland, New South Wales and Victoria were identified. These were compared with 855 eligible female controls selected at random from the electoral roll, stratified by age and geographic region. Trained interviewers administered standard questionnaires to obtain detailed reproductive and contraceptive histories, as well as details about hormone replacement therapy and pelvic operations. No clear associations were observed between use of hormone replacement therapy overall and risk of ovarian cancer. Unopposed oestrogen replacement therapy was, however, associated with a significant increase in risk of endometrioid or clear cell epithelial ovarian tumours (odds ratio (OR) 2.56; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.32-4.94). In addition, the risk associated with oestrogen replacement therapy was much larger in women with an intact genital tract (OR 3.00; 95% CI 1.54-5.85) than in those with a history of either hysterectomy or tubal ligation. Post-menopausal oestrogen replacement therapy may, therefore, be a risk factor associated with endometrioid and clear cell tumours in particular. Additionally, the risk may be increased predominantly in women with an intact genital tract. These associations could reflect a possible role of endometriosis in the development of endometrioid or clear cell ovarian tumours.

Adenocarcinoma↗

PubMed1997

Tubal sterilisation, hysterectomy and decreased risk of ovarian cancer. Survey of Women's Health Study Group.

We have examined the effect of tubal sterilisation and hysterectomy on risk of ovarian cancer in a large case-control study in eastern Australia involving 824 women aged 18-79 years, diagnosed with epithelial ovarian cancer between 1990 and 1993, and 855 controls randomly selected from the electoral roll. Relative risks for ovarian cancer were estimated using multiple categorical regression to adjust for age, parity, oral contraceptive use and other risk factors. Tubal sterilisation was associated with a 39% reduction in risk of ovarian cancer (RR 0.61, 95% CI 0.46-0.85) and hysterectomy with a 36% reduction (RR 0.64, 95% CI 0.48-0.85). Risk remained low 25 years after surgery and was reduced irrespective of sterilisation technique, and estimates were similar among various types of epithelial ovarian cancer. The greatest reduction (74%) was observed among women with primary peritoneal tumours. Pelvic infection and use of vaginal sprays or contraceptive foams were not related to ovarian cancer, while use of talc in the perineal region slightly but significantly increased risk among women with patent fallopian tubes. Reportedly heavy or painful menses, perhaps associated with retrograde flow, were associated with ovarian cancer, and reduction in risk of disease after hysterectomy was greatest among women who had heavy periods. Our findings support the theory that contaminants from the vagina, such as talc, and from the uterus, such as endometrium, gain access to the peritoneal cavity through patent fallopian tubes and may enhance the malignant transformation of ovarian surface epithelium. Surgical tubal occlusion may reduce the risk of ovarian cancer by preventing the access of such agents.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1997

The time factor in mortality: weather associations in a subtropical environment.

Mortality rates for a decade in Brisbane are analysed for dependence upon atmospheric factors. Time filters are applied to both the dependent and independent variables, and several models are developed to enable prediction, especially for weekly intervals. Statistically, deaths are observed to increase with colder and less humid weather with winds from a westerly, direction. Overall, taking account of both synoptic and seasonal influences, > 90% of cumulative deviations from mean death rates are explained. Some differences are also noted in the association of death with the weather between sexes, age groups and causes of death.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1997

Breastfeeding, menopause, and epithelial ovarian cancer.

No previous study has examined the modifying effect of menopausal status on the association between lactation and ovarian cancer risk. We recruited 824 epithelial ovarian cancer cases and 855 community controls in three Australian states, collecting reproductive and lactation histories by means of a contraceptive calendar and pregnancy and breastfeeding record. We report results in women with at least one liveborn infant for unsupplemented breastfeeding, in line with a biological model linking suppression of ovulation to reduction in ovarian cancer risk. We derived odds ratios from multiple logistic regression models including number of liveborn children, age, age at first or last birth, and other potential confounders, overall and by menopausal status. Estimates of relative risk of ovarian cancer per month of full lactation were 0.99 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.97-1.00] overall and 1.00 (95% CI = 0.99-1.01) and 0.98 (95% CI = 0.95-1.01) among post- and premenopausal women, respectively. We tailored a lactation variable to the incessant ovulation hypothesis by progressively discounting breastfeeding the longer after birth it occurred, finding odds ratios similar to those for the unmodified duration variable. We found no association of note among postmenopausal women. Breastfeeding seems to be somewhat protective against ovarian cancer, but only before menopause.

Adult↗

PubMed1997

Validity of self-reported hysterectomy and tubal sterilisation. The Survey of Women's Health Study Group.

Both hysterectomy and tubal sterilisation offer significant protection from ovarian cancer, and the risk of cardiovascular disease in women is lowered after hysterectomy. Since little is known about the accuracy of women's self-reports of these procedures, we assessed their reliability and validity using data obtained in a case-control study of ovarian cancer. There was 100 per cent repeatability for both positive and negative histories of hysterectomy and tubal sterilisation among a small sample of women on reinterview. Verification of surgery was sought against surgeons' or medical records, or if these were unavailable, from randomly selected current general practitioners for 51 cases and 155 controls reporting a hysterectomy and 73 cases and 137 controls reporting a tubal sterilisation. Validation rate for self-reported hysterectomy against medical reports (32 cases, 96 controls) was 96 per cent (95 per cent confidence interval (CI) 91 to 99) and for tubal sterilisation (32 cases, 77 controls) it was 88 per cent (CI 81 to 93), which is likely to be an underestimate. Although findings are based on small numbers of women for whom medical reports could be ascertained, they are consistent with other findings that suggest women have good recall of past histories of hysterectomy and tubal sterilisation; this allows long-term effects of these procedures to be studied with reasonable accuracy from self-reports.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1997

Ultraviolet radiation, melanocytic naevi and their dose-response relationship.

Melanocytic naevi on the face and neck of 110 Brisbane secondary school students aged 16-17 years were mapped according to specified regions to investigate the dose-response relationship between ultraviolet (UV) radiation and melanocytic naevi. Highest naevus density occurred in regions receiving a mean UV dose of 0.2-0.4 relative to the vertex while densities were low in minimally and maximally exposed regions. This pattern of naevus distribution was unaffected by sex or phenotypic features such as skin colour or degree of freckling. These findings suggest that there is a narrow dose range over which UV radiation can effectively promote the proliferation of melanocytes. A comparison of the regional distribution of naevi on the face and neck with that of solar keratoses appearing over 1 year on the heads of residents of a neighbouring town has shown them to differ significantly. This study may shed some light on the unknown, yet expectedly complex, relation of UV radiation to melanocytic naevi.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1996

A population-based study of cancer risk in twins: relationships to birth order and sexes of the twin pair.

One thousand and sixty-three twins with cancer whose co-twin was born alive were identified among patients born since September 1939 with cancers incident in England and Wales during 1971-1984 at childhood and young adult ages. Site-specific risks of cancer were analysed in relation to birth order within the twinship and sexes of the twin pair, using adjusted national birth data to give control distributions of these variables. Risk of leukaemia was increased in first-born twins, risk of testicular cancer was increased in second-born twins with female co-twins but decreased in second-born twins with male co-twins and lung cancer risk was increased in first-born twins with same-sex co-twins. Cutaneous melanoma risk was increased in persons with opposite-sex co-twins, nervous system cancer risk was increased in females with opposite-sex co-twins and Hodgkin's disease risk was increased in persons with same-sex co-twins. For most of the findings, no previous comparable analyses are available, so interpretation of the results must be provisional until the analyses can be repeated on other data. The result for leukaemia would accord with previous suggestions that leukaemia may be of prenatal origin and may sometimes lead to intrauterine death. The Hodgkin's disease result would fit with theories of an infectious aetiology, and this view is strengthened by reanalysis of previous data on paralytic poliomyelitis in twins, which show a pattern similar to that for the Hodgkin's disease patients. Cancer risk in relation to birth order and sex of twins can give novel, objective data relating to prenatal and infectious disease aetiology of cancers.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Confidence intervals for the excess risk in case-control studies.

Kaufman et al. compute the 'excess risk' of a disease in the presence of an exposure as the product of the incidence rate of the disease in the source population, the complement of the aetiologic fraction and the relative risk minus one. Methods for calculating confidence intervals for this quantity are derived when (as in case-control studies) the relative risk is estimated by the odds ratio, firstly from multiple logistic regression analysis and secondly without adjustment for covariates. For the latter an innovative approach based on confidence bounds for the two exposure parameters is suggested. The performance of these systems of confidence intervals is assessed by simulation for the former and by exact enumeration of the distributions involved in the latter. Illustrative examples from a study of agranulocytosis and indomethacin are presented.

Age Distribution↗

PubMed1996

The risk of skin cancer in renal transplant recipients in Queensland, Australia. A follow-up study.

A long-term retrospective follow-up study was performed to evaluate the risk of skin cancer in 1098 renal transplant recipients in Queensland, Australia. In a subgroup, we also assessed the influence of immunosuppressive therapy on the risk of developing skin cancer: cyclosporine alone or in combination with prednisolone; azathioprine alone or in combination with prednisolone; or the combination of cyclosporine and azathioprine with or without prednisolone. The cumulative incidence of developing skin cancer, calculated by life table analysis, increased progressively from 7% after 1 year of immunosuppression to 45% after 11 years and to 70% after 20 years of immunosuppression. Multivariate analysis in a subgroup comparing the risk of developing skin cancer in patients on either long-term cyclosporine or azathioprine (each with or without prednisolone) and in patients on the combination of cyclosporine and azathioprine (with or with- out prednisolone) showed no differences between the groups. We conclude that it is likely that the increased risk of skin cancer associated with immunosuppression is independent of the agent(s) used and is a result of the immunosuppression per se.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1996

Does license disqualification reduce reoffence rates?

A review was conducted of the subsequent driving records of over 25,000 Queensland drivers cited for a drink driving offence in 1988 who received at least one subsequent license restriction. The interval of follow-up was at least 3 years, average 3.9 years. Periods of driving disqualification were identified and, for each driver, the total amount of time during restricted and unrestricted driving was computed; the numbers of events, i.e. crashes and traffic offences, recorded during these periods were counted. Rates under disqualification and during legal driving, expressed per thousand person-years were derived by dividing total numbers of events by total time during which they could occur. Three categories of traffic violation were considered: drink driving offences; traffic offences unassociated with drink driving, and any offence involving driving. Since only 12% of the offenders and 9% of the reoffenders were female, detailed analyses are presented for men only; results for women were little different. Statistical inference assumed a Poisson model for crashes and a negative binomial model for offences, and analyses were performed after stratification by number of drink driving offences. Calculated rates during periods of disqualification were about one third of the rates during legal driving for crashes and all three categories of traffic offence, ranging from 25% in the case of unassociated offences to 35% for any driving offence. There were differences, some statistically significant, by age and between metropolitan, provincial city and rural regions of the State, but most were relatively minor. Drivers were apprehended more frequently earlier in the disqualification period than later. It is impossible from these data to distinguish between reduced driving levels and more cautious traffic behaviour during periods of license restriction. It is nonetheless clear that while such penalties are in operation, they substantially reduce the negative impact of convicted drink-drivers on the road. Unfortunately the data do not permit one to say whether or for how long the effect persists.

Accidents, Traffic↗

PubMed1996

The menopause and hormone replacement therapy: Australian general practitioners' self-reported opinions, attitudes and behaviour.

OBJECTIVES: We describe the attitude and views of general practitioners towards the menopause and hormone replacement therapy (HRT) in metropolitan Brisbane, Australia. METHODS: A total of 216 general practitioners were nominated by a random sample of urband-welling women aged 45-54 years who formed the Brisbane Women's health study. A 20-30 minute face-to-face questionnaire with the general practitioners was administered and analysed by demographic characteristics. RESULTS: There was a 93% response rate. Management of the menopause and HRT was routinely undertaken by general practitioners for their own patients. After deciding to initiate HRT, > 60% of general practitioners ordered five investigations or more. They may have confused the risk of thrombo-embolism from oestrogens used in the post-menopause with that for contraception. There were differences between male and female practitioners in some areas. Male general practitioners, in particular, reported more difficulty with tailoring and adjusting regimes. CONCLUSIONS: Specific areas for further education are explored to meet the educational needs of general practitioners.

Adult↗

PubMed1996

Risk of colorectal adenomas in patients with a family history of colorectal cancer: some implications for screening programmes.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Most colorectal cancers (CRC) arise in colorectal adenomas. A case-control study was conducted to see whether a family history of CRC is associated with a higher prevalence of colorectal adenomas. SUBJECTS: Subjects were drawn from all patients who underwent colonoscopy at the Royal Brisbane Hospital between 1980-1982 and 1985, and included 141 cases with colorectal adenomas diagnosed at colonoscopy and 882 controls who were free of polyps at colonoscopy. METHODS: The prevalence of family history of CRC was compared between patients with adenomas and negative colonoscopy controls. RESULTS: Overall, patients with one first degree relative with CRC were at no greater risk for adenomas at colonoscopy than patients with no family history (odds ratio (OR) = 0.8, 95% confidence intervals (CI) = 0.4, 1.5). Patients with two or more affected first degree relatives had a more than doubled risk for adenomas (OR = 2.3, 95% CI = 0.5, 8.2), and were also more likely to carry moderately or severely dysplastic adenomas (OR = 14.1, 95% CI = 2.0, 62.9). CONCLUSIONS: These findings are consistent with the hypothesis that some families, in addition to those with familial adenomatous polyposis, have an increased susceptibility to develop colorectal adenomas, and that adenomas in such families may have a greater tendency to undergo malignant transformation.

Adenoma↗

PubMed1996

A three year outcome evaluation of a theory based drink driving education program.

This study reports on the impact of a "drink driving education program" taught to grade ten high school students. The program which involves twelve lessons uses strategies based on the Ajzen and Madden theory of planned behavior. Students were trained to use alternatives to drink driving and passenger behaviors. One thousand seven hundred and seventy-four students who had been taught the program in randomly assigned control and intervention schools were followed up three years later. There had been a major reduction in drink driving behaviors in both intervention and control students. In addition to this cohort change there was a trend toward reduced drink driving in the intervention group and a significant reduction in passenger behavior in this group. Readiness to use alternatives suggested that the major impact of the program was on students who were experimenting with the behavior at the time the program was taught. The program seems to have optimized concurrent social attitude and behavior change.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1996

Validating the process of taking lateral foot x-rays.

This study validates the concept that a standard (static) weightbearing lateral x-ray, taken with an orthoposer device, in the patient's angle and base of gait is clinically similar to findings seen during ambulatory (dynamic) gait. Sixty female subjects requiring diagnostic x-rays underwent videofluoroscopy of their walking gait. Using a single-frame, shuttle-advance video recorder, the appropriate fluoroscopic video frame was identified. The calcaneal pitch angle was measured using a digitized program. A high repeatability of the measuring process and high correlation between x-ray and fluoroscopic results suggest the value of taking weightbearing angle and base of gait lateral x-rays.

Adolescent↗

PubMed1996

Changes in the calcaneal pitch during stance phase of gait. A fluoroscopic analysis.

Calcaneal pitch has been considered to be an indirect measure of subtalar joint function. The aim of this pilot study was to assess changes in the calcaneal pitch angle during dynamic gait. Sixty female subjects underwent videofluoroscopy to obtain 27 usable gait cycle data. A single-frame, shuttle-advance video recorder was used to identify midstance of the gait cycle. The calcaneal pitch angle was measured during three midstance periods. The study confirms findings from video and forceplate analysis and reintroduces videofluoroscopy as a gait research tool.

Biomechanical Phenomena↗

PubMed1995

Reproductive and other factors and risk of epithelial ovarian cancer: an Australian case-control study. Survey of Women's Health Study Group.

Of the few factors known to be associated with epithelial ovarian cancer, the most consistently observed relate to women's reproductive function, although even here uncertainties remain. We have undertaken a case-control study involving personal interviews with over 1,600 women, the largest of its kind to date, to investigate further the associations between women's reproductive histories and other factors and the development of ovarian cancer. Cases were drawn from women diagnosed with epithelial ovarian cancer in 3 Australian states, Queensland, New South Wales and Victoria, between August 1990 and December 1993, and controls were drawn at random from the electoral roll, stratified by age and geographic region. Trained interviewers administered standard questionnaires to obtain detailed information about women's reproductive and contraceptive histories and other factors of interest, such as smoking and family history of ovarian or other cancer. Findings were based on data from 824 cases and 860 controls and confirmed the reduced risk of ovarian cancer associated with increasing parity and duration of use of the oral contraceptive pill (OCP), hysterectomy and tubal ligation. The strongest association of all was seen with use of the OCP for 10 years or more. An inverse association between ovarian cancer and age at first birth was observed, but this was not statistically significant. There were no associations between development of ovarian cancer and number of incomplete pregnancies, use of hormone replacement therapy or menstrual history. Among other factors considered, education after leaving school was negatively associated and high body mass index, family history of ovarian cancer, use of talc in the abdominal or perineal region and smoking were positively associated with occurrence of ovarian cancer.

Adolescent↗