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V Seagroatt

Publications and source records attributed to V Seagroatt.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed1997

Secular trends in proximal femoral fracture, Oxford record linkage study area and England 1968-86.

OBJECTIVE: To study hospital admission rates for fractures of the proximal femur over a period when incidence is reported to have increased, compensating for known lack of precision in coding, excluding nonemergency admissions and transfers, and modelling for age, period, and cohort effects. DESIGN: Validation of coding of a sample of hospital admissions followed by study of two sets of routinely collected statistical abstracts of hospital records; graphical analysis and statistical modelling were used to search for period and cohort effects. SETTING: Oxfordshire and west Berkshire in 1968-86, covered by the Oxford record linkage study (ORLS), and ENGLAND in 1968-85, covered by the hospital inpatient enquiry (HIPE). The ORLS and HIPE datasets are almost independent (ORLS contributed about 1.8% of the HIPE data). SUBJECTS: Records of patients aged 65 and over. OUTCOME MEASURES: Admission rates for fractured neck of femur and fracture of other and unspecified parts of femur (N820 and N821), and evidence of period and cohort effects. RESULTS: The validation study indicated that it was important to combine the codes 820 and 821 in this age group. Admission rates increased over the period studied in both HIPE and ORLS datasets. In HIPE the pattern was of two plateaux separated by a period of rapid rise in the late 1970s. In the ORLS data there was a more steady rise. Statistical analysis showed significant period and cohort effects but much of this was attributable to the component of the model common to both period and cohort effects (termed "drift"). CONCLUSIONS: The finding that admission rates increased in both datasets, combining relevant codings and restricting analysis to emergency admissions, strongly suggests that the rise was real. At least part of the period effect in the HIPE data, however, might be attributable to a sampling artefact. The cohort effect in incidence rates of femoral fracture has not been previously shown and would be compatible with a number of aetiological hypotheses.

Aged↗
PubMed1996

Cognitive behaviour therapy for the chronic fatigue syndrome: a randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the acceptability and efficacy of adding cognitive behaviour therapy to the medical care of patients presenting with the chronic fatigue syndrome. DESIGN: Randomised controlled trial with final assessment at 12 months. SETTING: An infectious diseases outpatient clinic. SUBJECTS: 60 consecutively referred patients meeting consensus criteria for the chronic fatigue syndrome. INTERVENTIONS: Medical care comprised assessment, advice, and follow up in general practice. Patients who received cognitive behaviour therapy were offered 16 individual weekly sessions in addition to their medical care. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The proportions of patients (a) who achieved normal daily functioning (Karnofsky score 80 or more) and (b) who achieved a clinically significant improvement in functioning (change in Karnofsky score 10 points or more) by 12 months after randomisation. RESULTS: Only two eligible patients refused to participate. All randomised patients completed treatment. An intention to treat analysis showed that 73% (22/30) of recipients of cognitive behaviour therapy achieved a satisfactory outcome as compared with 27% (8/30) of patients who were given only medical care (difference 47 percentage points; 95% confidence interval 24 to 69). Similar differences were observed in subsidiary outcome measures. The improvement in disability among patients given cognitive behaviour therapy continued after completion of therapy. Illness beliefs and coping behaviour previously associated with a poor outcome changed more with cognitive behaviour therapy than with medical care alone. CONCLUSION: Adding cognitive behaviour therapy to the medical care of patients with the chronic fatigue syndrome is acceptable to patients and leads to a sustained reduction in functional impairment.

Adaptation, Psychological↗
PubMed1996

Neural tube defects 1974-94--down but not out.

AIMS: To describe accurately the total prevalence of neural tube defects (NTDs) in England and Wales over time, and to provide a benchmark up to 1994. METHODS: National data about NTDs reported as births or terminations are available from 1974-94, but reporting is incomplete. A local register of NTDs covering Oxfordshire/west Berkshire from 1965-94 was used to validate national data for the locality, using the method of capture and recapture, and hence to estimate incompleteness of reporting nationally. RESULTS: National underreporting is consistent at about two thirds of the true number of cases reaching at least the second trimester. The local register is much more complete, but time trends locally and nationally are similar. In England and Wales total prevalence declined from about 34 per 10000 live and stillbirths in 1974 to a plateau of just under 8 per 10000 in the 1990s. CONCLUSIONS: The decline in NTD prevalence is real and seems to have stopped. How this relates to changes in diet or the practice of vitamin supplementation is unknown, and the implications of the plateau are uncertain. OPCS figures of 500 NTDs annually in England and Wales represent about two thirds of the true number of cases.

England↗
PubMed1995

Mortality after prostatectomy: selection and surgical approach.

Observational studies have found higher long-term mortality after transurethral prostatectomy (TURP) than after open prostatectomy (OP) and that this difference remained after statistical adjustment for comorbidity. This higher mortality has been attributed to the transurethral procedure itself. This association is reassessed here. Time-sequenced hospital and death records were analysed for 13,815 men undergoing prostatectomy (not for cancer) during the years 1963-85. TURP had a lower 30-day case-fatality rate than had OP, a similar 90-day rate, but TURP had a higher one-year rate. By inference, any excess mortality after TURP must begin shortly after the first postoperative month. However, plotting mortality expressed as SMRs, for the three years after operation showed no increase in long-term mortality after TURP, nor was there any concomitant increase in one-year death rates after prostatectomy as TURP replaced OP. Long-term mortality after TURP was close to that expected from background population rates: after SMR for TURP, for the second and third postoperative years, was 100 (95% CI 93-107). In contrast, long-term mortality after OP was lower than expected from population rates with a corresponding SMR of 79 (95% CI 71-88). The apparent excess in long-term mortality after TURP is unlikely to be caused by the operation itself. It is more likely to reflect relatively low long-term mortality in OP patients as a consequence of OP patients having been relatively fitter than those having TURP.

Aged↗
PubMed1994

Measures of early postoperative mortality: beyond hospital fatality rates.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the short term risk of postoperative mortality in ways which take account of deaths after discharge and the background risks of death in patients who come to operation. DESIGN: Analysis of linked abstracts of hospital admission records and death certificates for common operations. SETTING: Six health districts in the Oxford region. SUBJECTS: Records of 223,529 operations performed in 1980-6. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: In hospital fatality rates, case fatality rates, and standardised mortality ratios at selected time periods during the year after operation and the ratio of early (< 30 days) to late (90-364 days after operation) fatality rates. RESULTS: Fatality rates throughout the year after operations performed after emergency admissions were generally higher than those for similar operations performed after elective admissions and higher than expected from population rates. Examples were prostatectomy, hip arthroplasty, inguinal herniorrhaphy, and cholecystectomy. Common elective operations such as inguinal herniorrhaphy and cataract operations showed no early peak in mortality, but others did. These included transurethral prostatectomy (ratio of early to late mortality 2.0; 95% confidence interval 1.3 to 2.6), hysterectomy (3.2; 1.5 to 6.6), hip arthroplasty (3.8; 2.5 to 5.4), and cholecystectomy (6.9; 4.3 to 11.1). CONCLUSIONS: Temporal profiles of death rates in the year after operation show which operations have early peaks in mortality and which do not. Emergency and elective operations have very different profiles and should be analysed separately. For elective operations for conditions which pose no immediate threat to life the ratio of early to later fatality rates provides a measure of increase in mortality after operation while allowing for the background risk of death in the patient groups.

Chi-Square Distribution↗
PubMed1994

Chest illness in infancy and chronic respiratory disease in later life: an analysis by month of birth.

BACKGROUND: Cohorts born at different times of year differ in their risk of exposure to seasonal respiratory infections in early life, but are likely to have similar socioeconomic status and lifestyle thereafter. METHODS: We investigated the long-term consequences of acute chest illness in infancy for later development of chronic respiratory disease by analysing variations by month of birth in hospital admissions for respiratory illness (total n = 49,866), chronic respiratory symptoms and ventilatory function among British school children (n = 11,482) and middle-aged adults (total n = 55,829). RESULTS: Admission for bronchiolitis in the first year of life was three times more common for infants born September to November (autumn) than those born March to May, yet people born in the autumn experienced fewer respiratory symptoms and had better ventilatory function. In two surveys of middle-aged men, forced expiratory volume in one second/forced ventilatory capacity (FEV1/FVC) was significantly (P = 0.025) higher among autumn births. Hospital admissions for chronic bronchitis/emphysema and pneumonia varied little with season of birth. Admissions for asthma were significantly (P < 0.05) more common among children and young adults born in the autumn. CONCLUSIONS: These findings do not support the hypothesis of a causal link between chest illness in infancy and the later development of chronic bronchitis and emphysema. The variation in asthma admissions with month of birth deserves further investigation.

Adult↗
PubMed1994

Changing patterns in the epidemiology and hospital care of peptic ulcer.

BACKGROUND: Our aim was to study trends in hospital admission rates for peptic ulcer in a geographically defined population, and to distinguish the effects of period, age and birth cohort on the rates. METHODS: Analysis of linked, routinely collected abstracts of hospital inpatient care held by the Oxford record linkage study for the period 1970-1986. Age- and sex-specific and age-standardized hospitalization, readmission and operation rates were calculated for patients with peptic ulcer. Age, cohort and period effects were examined using log-linear models. RESULTS: Records for a total of 5462 people with gastric ulcer and 10,186 with duodenal ulcer were identified. Overall, the age-standardized admission rates for both gastric and duodenal ulcer declined over the study period. The decrease was confined to people < 65 years of age. Among elderly patients admission rates for peptic ulcer increased over time, more so in females than in males. Admission rates were higher in the elderly than in young people for both gastric and duodenal ulcer. The apparent age effect was, in fact, mainly attributable to a birth cohort effect: age-specific admission rates were lower in people born after 1925 than in people born at the beginning of the century. This was more marked for males than females. There was a considerable decline in major operations undertaken on peptic ulcer; admission rates for endoscopy increased; and readmission rates did not show significant changes. CONCLUSIONS: The overall decline found for hospital care of peptic ulcer during the study period is consistent with that found in England for mortality rates ascribed to peptic ulcer. The cohort effect found in the data for hospitalized morbidity supports that reported by others for mortality. The cohort effect indicates that the decline was related more to changes in risk factors in the cohorts born in different periods than to the introduction of new pharmacological treatments since the 1970s.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1994

Adolescent onset psychosis. A clinical and outcome study.

58 psychotic adolescents between the ages of 12 and 17 diagnosed according to RDC criteria were matched with psychiatric comparisons and followed-up using a two stage design. Information upon the group as a whole was obtained using death records, criminal records and data from the Oxford Record Linkage System. A sub-sample of 21 matched pairs were interviewed using the Schedule for Affective Disorders and Schizophrenia--Life time version (SADS-L) and the Adult Personality Functioning Assessment (APFA). The outcome of adolescent schizophrenia was poor with 78% continuously ill and socially handicapped. Outcome was better for bipolar disorders and schizo-affective disorders and similar to psychiatric comparisons.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1994

Geographical variation in hospital admission rates: an analysis of workload in the Oxford region, England.

OBJECTIVE: To measure variation in hospital admission rates between health districts in part of the English NHS, comparing a wide range of medical and surgical conditions. DESIGN: Retrospective analysis of interdistrict variation using linked routine hospital admission data. Comparisons were also made with levels of variation reported from the USA. SETTING: Oxford Regional Health Authority, 1979-86. SUBJECTS: Six district health authorities--total study population 2.1 million people, 1.6 million hospital admissions. MAIN MEASURES: Age and sex standardised hospital admission rates for resident populations for individual operations and diagnoses; systematic components of variation (SCV). RESULTS: Of 118 standard operation groups, 38 (26% of surgical workload) showed high variation (SCV 16 or more) and 40 (36% of surgical workload) showed low variation (SCV < 4). Operations (SCV) with very low levels of variation included prostatectomy (0.1), inguinal herniorraphy (0.9), and cholecystectomy (1.3). Rates were more variable for myringotomy (3.7), hysterectomy (4.3), dilatation and curettage (5.6), and tonsillectomy (6.2). The SCV was high for only four of the 40 commonest medical causes of admission, and was low for 18 of them. CONCLUSIONS: Most admissions in the Oxford region were for conditions that did not show a great deal of variation in admission rates. The level of variation for many surgical procedures was less than that reported in studies from the USA. Variation was no greater for medical causes of admission than for surgical conditions. Large scale variation may not be an inevitable consequence of autonomous clinical practice.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1994

Depressive disorders in long-term survivors of stroke. Associations with demographic and social factors, functional status, and brain lesion volume.

Sixty surviving patients from a community-based stroke register who had computerised tomography (CT) scan evidence of a single brain lesion were interviewed three to five years after their first ever stroke. Depression (DSM-III-R major depression, partially resolved major depression, and dysthymia) was present in 11 (18%) of the patients and was associated with impaired physical and cognitive functioning, greater age, residence in an institution, absence of a close personal relationship, and larger original brain lesion. Of these variables, only functional dependence (odds ratio 16.4; confidence interval 1.6-170), larger lesion volume (6.6; 1-50), and female sex (8; 1.1-56) remained significantly associated with depression after controlling for all other variables. We conclude that depression in long-term survivors of stroke has many of the same associations as depression in non-stroke elderly populations. Depression in long-term stroke survivors may also be associated with larger original brain lesions, although this requires confirmation in a prospective study.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1994

Why do doctors find some patients difficult to help?

Almost all doctors encounter difficulties in managing some patients. Previous studies have examined the characteristics of such patients: we have additionally studied the reasons why hospital doctors find these patients 'difficult to help'. Three clinics (two medical and one surgical) were studied. The consultants rated 60 (22%) of 293 attenders s severely or extremely difficult to help. Difficulty was associated with greater patient distress (odds ratio 3.9; 95% CI 2.0-7.7), less patient satisfaction (2.6; 1.3-5.0) and chronic attendance (5.0; 1.4-17.3). An interview study of 40 'difficult' patients indicated that doctors considered psycho-social factors more important in difficult patients (3.2; 1.3-7.7). Objective differences between the doctor's and the patient's aims for care also occurred more frequently for difficult patients (2.8; 1.1-7.2). Three common types of difficulty were identified; medically unexplained symptoms; co-existing social problems; and severe untreatable illness. A review of the management aims for patients whom doctors find 'difficult to help', combined with improved access to psycho-social care, could improve both the quality and the cost-effectiveness of hospital out-patient services.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1993

Suicide after discharge from psychiatric inpatient care.

People with a history of psychiatric disorder are at higher risk of suicide than people without such a history. The policy of reducing inpatient care in psychiatry has probably meant that some of the risk of suicide has shifted from the hospital to the community setting. We have quantified the risk of suicide within a year of psychiatric discharge in a population-based study in the Oxford health region, UK. We calculated suicide rates per 1000 person-years at risk (time from discharge to death, subsequent readmission, or the end of the study) and the standardised mortality ratio (SMR) for suicide, taking the value among the general population as 1. Among male patients the SMR for suicide (defined by coroner's verdict of suicide) in the first 28 days after discharge from inpatient care was 213 (95% CI 137-317); the equivalent SMR for female patients was 134 (67-240). The result was similar when we defined suicide more broadly as a suicide, open, or misadventure verdict. The suicide rate in the first 28 days after discharge was 7.1 (4.1-12) times higher for male patients and 3.0 (1.5-6.0) times higher for female patients than the rate during the remaining 48 weeks of the first year after discharge. Most of the patients studied (both those who committed suicide and those who did not) had been psychiatric inpatients for only a short time. The findings confirm that there is significant clustering of suicide soon after discharge from psychiatric care. Skilled support after discharge for high-risk patients in the community is essential. Audit of suicides that occur soon after discharge may help identify the patients at highest risk and thereby reduce the number of avoidable deaths.

Adolescent↗