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The effect of blood culture results on patient management in a department of internal medicine was analyzed retrospectively. In a series of 300 patients 538 blood cultures were taken. Fifty-four (10%) of blood cultures from 44 of the 300 patients were positive, but in 16 patients cultures yielded organisms considered to be contaminants. Only 28 (9.3%) patients' cultures showed growth of clinically significant pathogenic bacteria. Antimicrobial chemotherapy was instituted in 234 (78%) patients before culture results were available. For only 21 (7%) patients did the result of the blood culture have any therapeutic consequences. The high frequency and lack of impact of negative blood cultures demands a more appropriate protocol for blood culturing, and guidelines are suggested.
OBJECTIVES: To examine to what extent clinicians in Europe accepted the theory of the casual role of Helicobacter pylori (H.pylori) in duodenal ulcer disease in the year 1992, and to what extent the theory had influenced their diagnostic and therapeutic habits in the management of duodenal ulcer patients at that time. DESIGN: Postal questionnaire. SETTING: Three European countries: the UK, the Netherlands, and Denmark. SUBJECTS: Three hundred and three gastroenterologists, 250 general practitioners, 83 junior hospital doctors. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Number of doctors believing H. pylori to be a significant cause of duodenal ulcer disease, use of diagnostic tests for detection of H. pylori and therapeutic regimens for eradicating H. pylori. RESULTS: Four hundred and forty-two doctors replied. Eighty-four per cent of the British doctors, 73% of the Dutch doctors, and 47% of the Danish doctors accepted the role of H. pylori in duodenal ulcer disease. The rates were higher among gastroenterologists than among general practitioners. Eighty-four per cent of the British doctors, 80% of the Dutch doctors, and 48% of the Danish doctors used diagnostic tests for H. pylori, most frequently histological examination (64%). In patients with duodenal ulcer disease, H. pylori eradication was undertaken by 93% of the British doctors, 89% of the Dutch doctors, and 60% of the Danish doctors. A triple therapy (a bismuth salt, metronidazole, and either amoxicillin or tetracycline) was used by 57% (181/315) of the doctors. CONCLUSIONS: H.pylori treatment is frequently used in some countries. However, the role of H. pylori in duodenal ulcer disease has not been accepted to the same extent in different European countries.
The aim of the study was to investigate opinions among Danish patients and physicians on causes of peptic ulcer disease. Fifty-nine patients with an ulcer history and 77 physicians with a special interest in gastroenterology participated. They were given a questionnaire listing 16 possible causes of peptic ulcer and indicated for each whether they believed it was a contributory cause of the disease. The patients stated 0-10 causes each (median, 4), and the physicians 3-12 causes (median, 6) (p < 0.01). Younger physicians stated more causes than did the older ones (p < 0.01), and female physicians stated more causes than did their male colleagues (p < 0.01). Seventy-five per cent of the patients indicated that psychologic factors, such as grief, anxiety, and stress, were contributory causes of peptic ulcer disease, whereas only around 40% believed that coffee/tea, alcohol, smoking, side effects of medicine, and working conditions played a causal role. Around 95% of the physicians indicated that medical drugs and smoking were contributory causes of peptic ulcer disease, and around 80% that alcohol and psychologic factors were so. Only 30-40% of the physicians believed that coffee/tea, food habits, infection, and working conditions could play a causal role in ulcer disease. It is concluded that the opinion on causal agents in peptic ulcer disease differ considerably among both patients and physicians. Opinions on causes of diseases may influence the way we treat and advise our patients, and attempts should thus be made to unify our knowledge and interpretations of causes of diseases to reach more solid ground in counselling our patients.
The reliability of non-invasive determination of cardiac output using first-pass radionuclide cardiography at rest and during exercise in the upright position was evaluated in 20 patients with coronary artery disease. Cardiac output values ranged from 2.97 to 5.99 l/min at rest and from 5.08 to 10.82 l/min during exercise. Cardiac output results obtained by the radionuclide method were compared with those derived from the thermodilution technique performed simultaneously. The mean difference between the two techniques was 0.02 l/min at rest and -0.34 l/min during exercise; the limits of agreement (mean +/- 1.96 SD) were -1.29 to 1.33 l/min and -1.97 to 1.29 l/min, respectively, indicating an acceptable level of agreement. A high reproducibility of the radionuclide technique was found, with a mean difference between determinations by two observers of 0.03 l/min at rest and 0.21 l/min during exercise, the corresponding limits of agreement being -0.75 to 0.81 l/min and -0.79 to 1.21 l/min, respectively. With the aid of a variance component analysis of two determinations by each of four observers, 95% confidence intervals of +/- 10% at rest and +/- 12% during exercise were computed for the radionuclide cardiac output measurements. The observer variation was most pronounced for the part of the cardiac output determination related to measurement of left ventricular equilibrium activity during exercise. First-pass radionuclide cardiography is a reliable method for determination of cardiac output in cardiac patients at rest and during exercise in the upright position.
The aim of the study was to determine interobserver variation in the interpretation of the course of serum enzyme concentration changes in suspected acute myocardial infarction. The study was performed retrospectively and had no relation to the treatment of the patients. In 107 patients, two specialists in cardiology, two specialists in internal medicine, and two trainees, independently evaluated courses of enzyme concentrations and decided whether they were suggestive of acute myocardial infarction. Frequency of positive assessments varied for the six observers from 33 to 53% (P less than 0.01). Pairwise comparison of observers showed a median agreement rate of 0.90 (range 0.78 to 0.96). After adjusting for chance agreement a median kappa value of 0.79 (range 0.56-0.92), was achieved. No difference was found in level of agreement between specialists and trainees. Interobserver variation is an important consideration in the interpretation of the course of serum enzyme concentrations and may have an extensive impact on the final diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction.
We examined the effect of a training programme to reduce interobserver variation in interpretation of electrocardiography in suspected myocardial infarction. Sixteen doctors with 6-24 months of clinical training in internal medicine read serial electrocardiographic recordings in 107 patients and assessed whether signs indicative of acute myocardial infarction were present. There was disagreement in approximately 70% of cases. Eight of the doctors were randomly allocated to attend an 8-h intensive course on interpretation of electrocardiography in myocardial infarction. The remaining eight participants were allocated to a control group, received no training, and were not told about the subject of the study. All the doctors then reviewed another series of electrocardiographic recordings. No difference was found in the level of agreement within the two groups before and after the training programme, or between the two groups before and after the training. The raters' ability to discriminate between electrocardiograms with a high and low indication of infarction remained unaffected. We conclude that the training programme did not increase agreement regarding the interpretation of electrocardiographic data in suspected myocardial infarction. Our results suggest that the diagnostic approach of physicians is established at a very early stage in their clinical training. The effect of training programmes should be evaluated by the use of randomized clinical studies.
Four pathologists independently examined 82 antral mucosal biopsy specimens for the presence of Helicobacter pylori and indicated whether their assessments were certain. The pathologists made a positive diagnosis in from 56% to 84% of the specimens (significant heterogeneity, p < 0.01). The frequency of uncertain diagnoses was from 4% to 20% (p < 0.01). Uncertain statements occurred more frequently among negative than among positive diagnoses. For the six pairs of observers the kappa coefficients were between 0.39 and 0.82. By a latent class analysis measures of diagnostic accuracy were calculated comparing the observers' assessments with an estimated consensus diagnosis. The predictive values of a positive diagnosis ranged from 0.70 to 1.00. By calculation of repeat frequencies--that is, the probability that an observer's statement was confirmed by another observer--it became evident that uncertain statements were less frequently (61%) confirmed than were certain ones (85%). It is concluded that observer homogeneity is only moderate with regard to the histologic diagnosis of H. pylori, which should be considered both in daily clinical routine and in scientific studies. Disagreement between observers was associated with negative diagnoses, presumably because the pathologists felt more uncertain in these cases.
In order to evaluate the reproducibility of the WHO classification of goitre, the observer variation was estimated as kappa coefficients. Three observers independently inspected and palpated the thyroid gland of 53 patients twice and assessed the thyroid according to the five grades of the WHO classification. The thyroid volume was also measured by ultrasonography. We found kappa values from 0.15 to 0.70 in the interobserver study, and from 0.02 to 0.89 in the intraobserver study. Considerable overlap between the five grades was demonstrated when the assessments were related to volume estimated by ultrasonography. Description of the thyroid gland according to the WHO classification is inaccurate and not reproducible and is therefore of limited value.
Perinatal audit is a method widely used for quality assurance in medicine. In clinical medicine, experiments have revealed that physicians' prior knowledge and expectations may bias their assessments. This study examined whether experts in perinatal audit were biased in their evaluation of perinatal and neonatal care when they had knowledge of the outcome. A panel of experts evaluated the quality of care in 48 infants who died in the neonatal period and 48 paired infants who survived it. The 48 pairs were randomly allocated to two groups. In the first group, the outcome of neonatal death or neonatal survival appeared in the case histories, whereas in the second group the outcome was blind. There were no differences in the assessment of quality of antenatal, delivery, and neonatal care comparing the result of the evaluation between the cases with knowledge of the outcome and the cases without knowledge of outcome. Our results indicate that the experts were not biased by the knowledge of outcome when they assessed the quality of peri- and neonatal care.
The aim of this study was to improve the clinical training of the staff of a department of internal medicine. A total of 16 clinical pathological conferences with patient demonstrations were given. The doctor in charge of the conference motivated his choice of patient and made a critical review of the clinical decision process according to a 16 item check list. The median time used for planning of the presentation was five hours, range 2.5-8 hours. Sixteen of the participants (94%) found the training programme of very high or high quality while 1 (6%) found it less good. Fifteen (88%) of the doctors indicated higher clinical skill after than before the conferences (p less than 0.01). The registrars revealed a significantly better improvement of their clinical skills than did the senior registrars and consultants (p less than 0.05). The median educational value of the items of the check list was stated to be 1.3 (0-2). Statement of the probability of the final diagnosis of the patient, value judgement in clinical decisions and costs of diagnostic examinations were considered of highest educational value, 1.5-1.6. Postgraduate clinical pathological conferences with patient demonstrations including systematic reviews of the clinical decision process are valuable in the clinical training of doctors.
In order to evaluate the reliability of clinical assessment of the thyroid gland, two specialists in endocrinology and two younger doctors independently examined 53 patients twice, and assessed whether they had a diffuse goitre, a multinodular goitre, a solitary nodule or a normal gland. In 30% of the patients all four observers were in agreement, whereas in 47% and 23% of the patients, two and three different diagnoses were given, respectively. Inter-observer variation was determined and kappa values between -0.04 and 0.54 were found. Intra-observer variation was smaller, revealing kappa values between 0.44 and 1.00. The present study suggests that clinical assessment of the thyroid gland may lead to misclassification of the type of thyroid disease, and thereby to a less than optimal choice of therapy.
A number of clinical decisions regarding treatment of thyroid diseases are influenced by the evaluation of thyroid size. In order to evaluate the accuracy of clinically estimated thyroid size, two experienced specialists in endocrinology and two junior doctors independently examined 53 patients. The ultrasonically-determined size was used as standard. An average error of 39% (range 0-566%) was demonstrated, the experienced doctors being more accurate than the younger ones. No relation was found between type of gland and accuracy of clinical estimation. In conclusion, palpation of the thyroid should not be used when an accurate size evaluation is considered of importance, e.g. in the estimation of radioiodine dose.
International scientific journals expect authors of articles to an increasing extent to calculate confidence intervals for their statistical findings. Confidence intervals are more informative than p-values in hypothesis testing as the confidence interval expresses how great the value of an investigated effect may be anticipated to be in the population. Examples of calculation of confidence intervals are presented on the basis of data frequently occurring in medical investigations.
Two radiologists independently assessed 100 leg vein phlebograms for the presence or absence of deep venous thrombosis. In a subsequent questionnaire, 66 physicians were asked to state the level of agreement they would require to use conventional phlebography in their diagnostic decisions, and whether they would reduce their requirements if the phlebographic technique were made less painful and less expensive. The responses indicated physicians' requirements for reproducibility of a well-known routine diagnostic method may be unrealistic, and that physicians do not consider the inconvenience of an examination to the patient or its cost in setting their requirements for diagnostic precision.
In order to evaluate the reproducibility of the diagnosis of solitary cold thyroid lesions, two specialists in nuclear medicine and two specialists in endocrinology independently twice read 240 thyroid 99mTc pertechnetate scintigrams. No significant difference or interaction between the results obtained from the right and the left lobe was found. A solitary cold lesion was diagnosed in 100 of the 480 lobes; however, in only 30 did all four observers agree upon the diagnosis. Interobserver variation was determined by pairwise comparison of observers. The observed agreement was between 0.91 and 0.94. After adjusting for expected chance agreement, kappa values between 0.57 and 0.70 were found. Intraobserver variation was smaller than interobserver variation, revealing agreement rates of 0.93-0.96 and kappa values between 0.71 and 0.77. Agreement was related to large lesions, lesions located centrally in the lobe, and ovoid-shaped lesions. Clinicians should be aware to what extent they can rely on the information they use in their decisions. The considerable inconsistency in the evaluation of cold lesions on thyroid scintigrams should be taken into consideration, and calls in question the value of using thyroid scintigrams for deciding whether a patient should be referred for operation or biopsy.
Three physicians independently assessed 201 hospital in-patients for the presence of 10 basic physical characteristics, and made an overall assessment of whether or not the patients appeared ill. There were significant differences between the physicians in the average number of observations recorded for each patient (P less than 0.001). There was a significant difference (P less than 0.05) between the physicians regarding the number of positive diagnoses of anaemia, abnormal nutritional state, breathing difficulties and the overall assessment. Inter-observer variation was estimated by a pairwise comparison of the three physicians. Overall agreement rates ranged from 0.65 for abnormal nutritional state to 0.99 for presence of pain. After adjusting for random agreement, kappa values between 0.09 (elevated body temperature) and 0.88 (consciousness impaired) were found. No tendency towards a higher level of agreement in the overall assessment than in the basic findings was observed.
In order to determine observer variation in the assessment of thyroid scintigrams two specialists in nuclear medicine and two specialists in endocrinology independently evaluated 240 thyroid pertechnetate scintigrams twice, and assessed a number of variables concerning size and isotope uptake. The observed agreement between pairs of observers for the variables ranged from 0.70 to 0.98. By the use of the kappa coefficient the observed agreement was adjusted for change agreement. Kappa can variate from -1 (total disagreement) to +1 (perfect agreement). Kappa values between 0.29 and 0.86 were found. In the intraobserver study the observed agreement ranged from 0.83 to 0.99 resulting in kappa coefficients between 0.53 and 0.96. Thus the level of agreement in the present study was "fair to substantial" for agreement in the interobserver part and "substantial to almost perfect" for agreement in the intraobserver part. No difference was found in the level of agreement between the nuclear specialists and the endocrinologists. Although the treatment of patients is based on knowledge of the case histories and clinical and laboratory findings the high degree of observer variation may lead to misclassification of a number of patients with thyroid disease and subsequently a less optimal choice of treatment.