Probabilities of sexual HIV-1 transmission.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to T D Mastro.
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OBJECTIVE: Chiang Rai, the northernmost province of Thailand, has experienced an explosive HIV epidemic since 1989. This study assessed the impact of HIV infection on tuberculosis (TB) in the area. METHODS: We analyzed the incidence of reported TB in the province from 1982 through 1993 and TB registry data at Chiang Rai Hospital from 1985 through 1994. RESULTS: Following a steady decline in reported TB from 1982 through 1991, the incidence of TB increased sharply after 1991. TB registry data from Chiang Rai Hospital, which began confidential HIV testing in October 1989, indicated a steady and rapid increase in the number and proportion of HIV-seropositive TB patients from four (1.5% of all TB patients) in 1990 to 207 (45.5%) in 1994 (P < 0.001). Compared with HIV-negative TB patients, HIV-positive TB patients were more likely to be men, aged 20-39 years and have extrapulmonary TB (P < 0.001). Treatment completion rates were similar. Twelve months after beginning TB treatment, HIV-positive TB patients had a mortality rate of 68.6% [95% confidence interval (Cl), 62.7-74.3] compared with 10.0% (95% Cl, 8.3-12.1%) in HIV-negative patients (P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Thailand and other Asian countries where HIV is spreading rapidly must promptly address the dual epidemic of TB and HIV in order to reduce preventable morbidity and mortality.
Disseminated penicilliosis marneffei is an emerging opportunistic mycosis seen in severely immunocompromised human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected patients and is caused by the dimorphic fungus Penicillium marneffei. Early diagnosis and treatment improve clinical outcome. Proper diagnosis is complicated by nonspecific signs and symptoms and by difficulties in histologic recognition and species identification of the pathogen. Since no established immunodiagnostic methods for penicilliosis marneffei are available, we attempted to develop separate immunodiffusion tests to detect P. marneffei antigens and antibodies in patient serum specimens and a latex agglutination test for antigenemia. Antigens consisted of 2-week-old fission arthroconidial filtrates produced in Pine's broth at 37 degrees C. Rabbit antisera were prepared against the 10 x -concentrated filtrate antigens. Studies were carried out with 17 serum specimens from HIV-seropositive adult Thai patients with penicilliosis marneffei and 15 control serum specimens from Thai persons free of HIV and P. marneffei infection. The immunodiffusion tests detected P.marneffei antigenemia in 10 (58.8%) of 17 patients, whereas the latex agglutination test detected antigenemia in 13 (76.5%) of the 17 patients. Antibody was demonstrated in only 2 of the 17 patient sera. All of the tests appeared to be highly specific, since none were positive with sera from 15 Thai control patients, six serum samples containing cryptococcal antigen, or six urine specimens positive for Histoplasma polysaccharide antigens.
This article investigates the relationship between alcohol consumption and inconsistent condom use with brothel-based commercial sex workers among Thai military conscripts in Northern Thailand. Data from 10 focus groups indicate that alcohol consumption (1) is consciously used by men to reduce inhibitions that constrain their interpersonal interaction with women and with each other; (2) reduces inhibitions of individuals to sexual risk taking; (3) provides a socially acceptable excuse for nonuse of condoms; (4) is associated by conscripts with brothel attendance; and (5) is seen to enhance male sexual pleasure, in contrast to condoms, which are said to reduce pleasure. Understanding the culturally defined expectations that surround alcohol consumption and sexual behavior is critical for developing realistic interventions to reduce HIV transmission.
OBJECTIVES: To determine HIV seroprevalence and incidence among various blood donor types, and to estimate the rate of window-period blood donations. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort from computerized donor records. METHODS: Records were analysed from all 60,483 donors (contributing 97,464 donor units) at a public university teaching hospital blood bank in Bangkok, Thailand, from 1 January 1990 to 30 June 1993. Annual HIV incidence among 14,482 repeat donors who were HIV-seronegative on their first donation was calculated assuming equal probability of seroconversion between last seronegative and first seropositive donations. To estimate the probability of window-period donations, we assumed that the time from HIV infectivity to onset of detectable antibody was 45 days. RESULTS: In 1990, HIV incidence calculated for all repeat donors was 307 per 100,000 person-years; the probability of a window-period donation was 38 in 100,000 donations or one in 2644 donations. During 1991-1993, this probability decreased by one-half. However, one-time donors were more than twice as likely as repeat donors to be HIV-1-seropositive. CONCLUSIONS: The rate of HIV window-period blood donations among Thai repeat donors was relatively high compared with that in developed countries and was probably even higher among one-time donors. Improved donor deferral criteria are needed in Thailand.
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Structured interviews and focus group discussions were conducted among 834 young Thai men drafted into military service by random lottery in northern Thailand. Level of AIDS risk, exposure to AIDS information, level of knowledge about AIDS, and perception of risk for acquiring HIV and AIDS were assessed at baseline and six months after induction into the Army in 1991. General fear of AIDS was high, yet personal perception of risk for acquiring HIV was low, even for those at enhanced behavioural risk of infection with HIV. Multivariate PATH analysis shows that exposure to information about AIDS significantly reduced risk taking from baseline to follow-up, but only by first affecting personal risk perception. Focus group discussions revealed that risk perception for acquiring AIDS was low due to never knowing a person with AIDS, because prostitutes had health certificates for STD, and since many believed that AIDS could be cured or prevented with folk medicines. Implications and recommendations for intervention programmes are discussed.
OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of peptide-binding enzyme immunoassay (PEIA) and heteroduplex mobility assay (HMA) for the determination of HIV-1 subtypes B and E; to determine the proportions of infections due to subtypes B and E over time; and to generate data on DNA sequences of the C2-V3 region of the env genes. METHODS: HIV-1 subtyping was conducted by PEIA and HMA on blood specimens obtained from 97 injecting drug users (IDU) infected with HIV between 1988 and 1993. Genetic sequencing was performed on 84 specimens. RESULTS: Both laboratory methods were highly sensitive and specific for the determination of HIV-1 subtypes B and E. The two tests were complementary; samples which could not be typed by HMA were correctly typed by PEIA and vice versa. While subtype B accounted for 80.4% (78 out of 97) of infections overall, the proportion of new infections due to subtype E increased from 2.6% (one out of 38) in 1988-1989 to 25.6% (11 out of 43) in 1990-1991, and to 43.8% (seven out of 16) in 1992-1993 (chi 2 for linear trend, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: HMA and PEIA are practical, sensitive and specific laboratory methods for the determination of HIV-1 subtypes in Thailand, and may be useful in other geographic areas to define the molecular epidemiology of the global HIV-1 pandemic. Data suggest that the proportion subtype E infections have increased among Bangkok IDU from 1988 through 1993.
OBJECTIVE: To genetically characterize HIV-1 strains in injecting drug users (IDU) in Bangkok, Thailand in 1994, and compare these with strains found earlier in Thai IDU; such information is essential for HIV-1 vaccine development and evaluation. METHODS: Peripheral blood mononuclear cells were collected from 84 IDU attending 14 drug treatment clinics in Bangkok in 1994. DNA was amplified using a nested polymerase chain reaction (PCR) procedure and sequenced directly (without cloning) from the PCR products. The V3 and flanking regions (345 nucleotides) of the env gene were analyzed using a neighbor-joining tree. RESULTS: Only one (1%) strain was a typical subtype B virus, 69 (82%) were genetically distinct subtype B' viruses (Thai B), and 14 (17%) were subtype E strains (Thai A). Persons with recently acquired infection were more likely to have subtype E viruses (P < 0.001) than those in our 1991 survey, who were more likely to have subtype B' viruses. Pairwise intra-subtype differences within subtypes E and B' were 5.3 and 4.3%, respectively, compared with 3.4 and 3.5% among strains collected in 1991 in Thailand. CONCLUSION: The genetic diversity within subtypes B' and E in Thailand and the proportion of new infections due to subtype E viruses among Bangkok IDU are increasing significantly. These data highlight the importance of monitoring the molecular epidemiology of HIV-1 in populations being considered for HIV-1 vaccine trials.
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BACKGROUND: In the United States many correctional facilities now operate at far over capacity, with the potential for living conditions that permit outbreaks of respiratory infections. We investigated an outbreak that was identified in an overcrowded Houston jail after two inmates died of pneumococcal sepsis on the same day. Outbreaks of pneumococcal disease have been rare in the era of antibiotics. METHODS: We assessed risk factors for pneumococcal disease in both a case-control and a cohort study. Ventilation was evaluated by measuring carbon dioxide levels and air flow to the living areas of the jail. The extent of asymptomatic infection was determined by culturing pharyngeal specimens from a random sample of inmates. Type-specific immunity was determined with an enzyme immunoassay. RESULTS: Over a four-week period, 46 inmates had either acute pneumonia or invasive pneumococcal disease due to Streptococcus pneumoniae serotype 12F. The jail's capacity had been set at 3500 inmates, but it housed 6700 at the time of the outbreak; the inmates had a median living area of only 34 ft2 (3.2 m2) (interquartile range, 28 to 56 ft2 [2.6 to 5.2 m2]) per person. There were significantly fewer cases of disease among inmates with 80 ft2 (7.4 m2) per person or more (P = 0.030). Carbon dioxide levels ranged from 1100 to 2500 ppm (acceptable, < 1000), and the ventilation system delivered a median of only 6.1 ft3 of outside air per minute per person (interquartile range, 4.4 to 8.5 ft3; recommended, > or = 20 ft3). The attack rate was highest among inmates in cells with the highest carbon dioxide levels and the lowest volume of outside air delivered by the ventilation system (relative risk, 1.94; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.08 to 3.48). Of underlying medical conditions, intravenous drug use was most strongly associated with disease (odds ratio, 4.50). The epidemic strain (serotype 12F) was cultured from 7 percent of the asymptomatic inmates. Of 11 case patients tested with the enzyme immunoassay, 9 (82 percent) lacked preexisting immunity to this strain. CONCLUSIONS: Severe overcrowding, inadequate ventilation, and altered host susceptibility all contributed to this outbreak of pneumococcal disease in a large urban jail.
The epidemic of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection in Thailand has allowed an estimate to be made of the probability of female-to-male HIV-1 transmission per sexual contact. In a study of 1115 21-year-old male military conscripts, of whom 77 (6.9%) were HIV-1 seropositive, sex with female prostitutes was identified as the principal mode of HIV-1 transmission. With a mathematical model including data on conscript's age at first sexual contact, frequency of sex with female prostitutes, and province of origin; as well as province-specific HIV-1 seroprevalence of prostitutes, we estimated the probability of HIV-1 transmission per sexual contact to be 0.031 (95% confidence limits [CL] 0.025-0.040). Allowing for random error in the self-reported frequency of contacts, the estimate was 0.056 (95% CL 0.041-0.075). The transmission probability was significantly greater among men with a history of sexually-transmitted diseases. These estimates are substantially higher than analogous estimates made in North America. This high per-act probability of heterosexual transmission helps to explain the rapid spread of HIV-1 in the emerging epidemic in Thailand and perhaps in other countries where HIV-1 transmission is predominantly heterosexual.
OBJECTIVES: The purpose of the study was to estimate the number of injection drug users infected with the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in Bangkok to allow planning for health services for this population. METHODS: A two-sample capture-recapture method was used. The first capture listed all persons on methadone treatment for opiate addiction from April 17 through May 17, 1991, at 18 facilities in Bangkok. The second capture involved urine testing of persons held at 72 Bangkok police stations from June 3 through September 30, 1991. Persons whose urine tests were positive for opiate metabolites or methadone were included on the second list. RESULTS: The first capture comprised 4064 persons and the recapture 1540 persons. There were 171 persons included on both lists, yielding an estimate of 36,600 opiate users in Bangkok. Existing data indicate that 89% of opiate users in Bangkok inject drugs and that about one third are infected with HIV, yielding an estimate of approximately 12,000 HIV-infected injection drug users in Bangkok in 1991. CONCLUSIONS: During the 1990s the number of cases of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) and other HIV-related diseases, including tuberculosis, in the population of HIV-infected injection drug users in Bangkok will increase dramatically, placing new demands on existing health care facilities. The capture-recapture method may be useful in estimating difficult-to-count populations, including injection drug users.
OBJECTIVES: To determine risk factors for HIV-1 infection in young men in northern Thailand. METHODS: At enrollment into a prospective study, data were collected from a self-administered questionnaire and serologic testing on a cohort of 1115 young men selected by lottery for conscription. RESULTS: The overall HIV-1 infection rate was 6.9%; however, the rate was 15.3% among the 387 (34.7%) men who had been living in the upper north subregion of Thailand compared with 2.5% for the remaining 728 men (P < 0.001). A history of sex with female prostitutes was reported by 74.7% of men and increased frequency of this type of sex was highly associated with HIV-1 infection and a history of sexually transmitted disease (STD) symptoms (chi 2 for trend, P < 0.001). In stratified and multivariate analyses, however, history of STD symptoms, reported by 42.5% of the cohort, was most strongly associated with HIV-1 infection. Only 42.8% of men who reported sex with prostitutes had used condoms more than half the time. CONCLUSIONS: Young men in the general population in northern Thailand are at high risk for HIV-1 infection via sex with female prostitutes; STD are highly associated with HIV-1 infection. Increasing condom use and controlling STD should be immediate goals of HIV control programs.
Antimicrobial resistance of Streptococcus pneumoniae and Haemophilus influenzae presents a challenge to clinical case management, particularly in programs for acute respiratory tract infection (ARI), including pneumonia, in developing countries. To determine whether nasopharyngeal isolates of S. pneumoniae and H. influenzae from a clinically defined group of children could be used to predict the prevalence of antimicrobial resistance of strains that cause disease, 601 urban children with ARI, 133 healthy urban children and 285 rural children were evaluated in Pakistan. Of the urban children with ARI, 216 (35.9%) were bacteremic, predominantly with S. pneumoniae (108 children) and H. influenzae (100 children). Overall 631 (61.9%) children carried S. pneumoniae and 381 (37.4%) carried H. influenzae. The proportions of nasopharyngeal isolates of both organisms from urban children with ARI resistant to penicillin or ampicillin, trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole, chloramphenicol and erythromycin were similar to the proportions of resistant blood isolates. Nasopharyngeal isolates from rural children had lower rates of resistance to some antimicrobial agents. These findings suggest that nasopharyngeal isolates of S. pneumoniae and H. influenzae from children with ARI can be used to conduct surveillance for antimicrobial resistance in a defined geographic area. Such surveillance would aid programs in developing countries in making a rational choice of antimicrobial agents for use in clinical management of bacterial diseases, including pneumonia.
OBJECTIVES: Leprosy remains a major health problem in many regions of the world. In the United States, although leprosy continues to be reported, approximately 90% of cases are imported (i.e., occur among immigrants and refugees). An increase in imported cases began in 1978. This study was conducted to analyze this trend and to characterize the contributing cases. METHODS: Centers for Disease Control leprosy surveillance data from 1971 through 1988 were analyzed. RESULTS: The number of imported cases reported annually was relatively constant from 1971 through 1977 (mean = 119 per year), increased to 307 in 1985, and then decreased to 102 in 1988. Of the 957 excess cases reported from 1978 through 1988, 73.4% were among persons from Southeast Asia, including 51.3% from Vietnam, Cambodia, and Laos (Indochina). There was no coincident increase in indigenous cases of leprosy; the mean annual number of such cases was 17.7 (range = 10 to 29). Leprosy remains endemic in Texas, Hawaii, Louisiana, and possibly California. CONCLUSIONS: An epidemic of imported leprosy began in the United States in 1978, peaked in 1985, and ended by 1988. This increase was primarily due to cases among refugees from Indochina and was limited by a decrease in the influx of Indochinese refugees in the mid-1980s. There is no evidence that these cases resulted in transmission in the United States.
87 strains of Streptococcus pneumoniae isolated during three winter seasons (1986-89) from the blood of children with acute lower respiratory tract infection (ALRI) in Pakistan were serotyped and tested for susceptibility to a range of antimicrobial agents. 97% of isolates were resistant to at least one antimicrobial drug. 62% had decreased susceptibility to co-trimoxazole (trimethoprim/sulphamethoxazole) (31% were fully resistant) and 39% were resistant to chloramphenicol. All isolates were susceptible to erythromycin, cefaclor, cephalothin, ceftriaxone, cefuroxime, rifampicin, vancomycin, and clindamycin. 29% of isolates were neither vaccine types nor vaccine-related types. Serotype distribution and antimicrobial susceptibility varied significantly during the three winter seasons. No single serotype was found in all three winters. The findings highlight the need for surveillance of antimicrobial resistance and serotype distribution of S pneumoniae in developing countries as a guide both to the choice of agent for treatment of pneumococcal infections, especially ALRI, and to the formulation of new pneumococcal conjugate vaccines for use in young children.