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Biomedical subjects

T A Louis

Publications and source records attributed to T A Louis.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Performance quality, gender, and professional role. A study of physicians and nonphysicians in 16 ambulatory care practices.

The quality of medical care has rarely been evaluated in relation to practitioner or patient gender. Moreover, comparisons between physicians and nonphysicians typically are confounded by practitioner gender. In this study gender and professional role effects were analyzed separately for 162 male and female staff physicians, 191 male and female residents, and 73 female nonphysicians delivering adult and pediatric primary care in 16 ambulatory care practices. Analyses addressed influences of patient and practitioner gender as well as differences between physicians and nonphysicians. Results showed that female staff physicians performed better than male staff physicians for cancer screening in women by breast examination and Pap smears, but that female residents performed worse than male residents for urinary tract infections in children. Patient gender effects occurred for two tasks; for these, superior care was rendered to the gender with higher prevalence for the condition (girls for urinary tract infections, boys for otitis media). The results are considered in the context of the gender-relevance of particular medical tasks or conditions. Comparisons between physicians and nonphysicians were limited to female practitioners. Comparable or superior performance for nonphysicians was found for all tasks but one (cancer screening in women).

Ambulatory Care↗

Analysis of a random sample of 2-year carcinogen bioassays from the NCI data base.

We take as our primary goals the introduction of novel, methods of analysis that have the potential to control error rates and reconcile results of multiple studies of the same chemical. We develop a selection rule to pick, for each study, a tumor site/type combination for analysis, and then apply random effects models to these study-specific summaries. These models combine evidence over studies; producing a chemical-specific assessment of carcinogenicity. We declare 14 of the 25 chemicals "carcinogens," and find that female mice are the most sensitive sex/species combination. We discuss the benefits and drawbacks of our method and outline developments necessary for their incorporation into the risk assessment process.

Animals↗

Unfavourable outcomes of drug therapy--subjective probability versus confidence intervals.

To investigate how individual predictions compare with confidence intervals, we asked 50 medical residents and 28 graduate students with biostatistics training to estimate unfavourable outcomes of drug therapy (therapeutic failures and side-effects) in groups of 10 and 20 patients. The predictions made by physicians and graduate students were similar for both sample sizes and types of outcome. The majority (58%) of estimates were greater than the upper limit of the 95% confidence interval, a bias that may hamper the correct interpretation of therapeutic risks in medical decision-making.

Adult↗

Cumulative and reversible effects of lifetime smoking on simple tests of lung function in adults.

Data from a random sample of 8,191 men and women from 6 U.S. cities are used to fit a model describing the effects of cumulative and current cigarette smoking on pulmonary function. The data show that smokers suffer an irreversible loss of FVC and FEV1, which is described by a linear function of their cumulative cigarette smoking as measured in pack-years. For a typical male 173 cm tall, the estimated loss of FEV1 is 7.4 ml for each pack-year smoked. For a typical woman, 161 cm tall, the estimated effect is 4.4 ml per pack-year. Current cigarette smoking adds an acute deficit over and above the cumulative effect of lifetime smoking. For any lifetime pack-years, exsmokers have higher levels of FEV1, 123 ml for a typical man, 107 ml for a typical woman, than do current smokers of a pack per day (p less than 0.001). A man who starts smoking one pack of cigarettes per day at 25 yr of age would at age 60, after 35 pack-years of exposure, have an expected FEV1 equal to that of a man 69.4 yr of age who had never smoked. If he stopped smoking at 60 yr of age, his expected level would increase to that of a 66.5-yr-old never-smoker. This model therefore estimates how much lung function is irreversibly lost by smoking, estimates how much could be regained with cessation of smoking, and predicts the future loss of lung function in both cases.

Adult↗

Inter-laboratory variability in Ames assay results.

The Ames test is widely used in the screening of chemicals and compounds for potential carcinogenic effect. There is, however, considerable inter-laboratory variability in results from this assay. Using data from the RTI Collaborative Study of the EPA Ames Test Protocol, we show that their reported standard errors of estimates of mutagenicity fall far short of capturing day-to-day or laboratory-to-laboratory variation. We estimate the factors by which the standard errors must be inflated to account for these sources of variation. The laboratory protocol and previous studies suggest that much of this variation may be caused by factors that are relatively constant within days (e.g. technician, incubation temperature, S9 liver homogenate preparation) but vary over days and across laboratories. Therefore, such variation might be reduced through use of a reference compound tested on the same day and under the same conditions as the test chemical. This conjecture was, however, not supported by analyses that considered the positive control compound and a pure chemical as possible reference assays.

Laboratories↗

Explaining discrepancies between longitudinal and cross-sectional models.

Data from longitudinal studies may be analyzed both cross-sectionally and longitudinally. Discrepancies between estimates obtained from these analyses pose questions about the validity of cross-sectional estimates of change. In some cases these discrepancies are the result of period effects, cohort effects, or selective dropout. In others, they are the result of incomplete modeling of the process and are spurious rather than substantive. In this report, we show that when the true relation between a dependent variable and age is non-linear (e.g. quadratic), but is modeled as linear, the estimated age effect will be a function of the age distribution. In a continuous-time idealization, if the age distribution is Gaussian, the estimated age effects agree. If the age distribution is symmetric and the non-linearity is quadratic, cross-sectional and longitudinal results agree. Otherwise they do not. We illustrate these points by analysis of the relation between aging and pulmonary function in middle and old age using data from a large, prospective, longitudinal study.

Adult↗

A randomized controlled trial of quality assurance in sixteen ambulatory care practices.

A crossover randomized controlled trial of cycles of quality assurance in 16 primary care (8 medical, 8 pediatric) group practices was conducted. Of four medical and four pediatric tasks important to patient outcome, two were randomly assigned to experimental intervention (a quality assurance cycle), and two were also measured and used as blinded controls for each medical or pediatric group practice. Task performance was measured in each group for 12 months prior to, 9 months during, and 9 months after the experimental intervention, using as a performance score the percentage of evaluation criteria failed of those applicable to a case. As a result of quality assurance intervention, quality of performance was significantly improved in two of the tasks (P less than 0.0001, with 6.7, and 9.8 percentage points improvement), and marginally improved in one task (P = 0.06, 5.7 percentage points improvement). Surprisingly, tasks with lower perceived effect on patient health (low physician motivation) had greater improvement in quality. Unimproved tasks were associated with the perceived need for delivery system changes beyond the immediate control of the individual practitioner.

Adolescent↗

A classification for biomedical research reports.

Biomedical research uses a wide range of designs applied to problems in laboratory, clinical, and population settings. Whatever the nature of the study, a few key features--such as the admission rule, the method of allocating subjects to treatments, and the use of controls--largely determine the strength of scientific inferences. We used these and other features to classify the 332 Original Articles published in the New England Journal of Medicine during 1978-1979. This classification directs attention to critical aspects of study design and performance and can help in the choice of suitable research approaches and protocols. It emphasizes the critical role of the investigators' intent in performing and analyzing a study, and it alerts readers to important aspects of interpretation. We recommend that authors always report enough detail about their work for readers to apply this or a similar classification. Omission of such detail may limit the interpretation of a research study because a study that cannot be classified has probably been incompletely reported.

Clinical Trials as Topic↗

Studies without internal controls.

Sometimes questions of clinical interest can be addressed only by investigations without concurrent controls that are under the supervision of the investigator (internal controls). Such studies nearly always make use of other types of comparisons (external controls), such as historical controls. In this paper we examine studies of clinical treatments that have weak internal controls or lack internal controls, as illustrated by recent examples from the Journal. These studies have a small but important and unique role in clinical investigation. Five interrelated features can add to the strength of such studies: (1) an intent by the investigator, expressed before the study, that the treatment will affect the outcomes reported; (2) planning of the analysis before the data are generated; (3) articulation of a plausible hypothesis before the results are observed; (4) a likelihood that the results would still have been of interest if they had been "opposite" in some sense; and (5) reasonable grounds for generalizing the results from the study subjects to a substantially broader group of patients. In spite of potential pitfalls, carefully selected and reported studies without internal controls can play a substantial part in the acquisition of scientific knowledge.

Animals↗

Crossover and self-controlled designs in clinical research.

Crossover studies (clinical trials in which each patient receives two or more treatments in sequence) and self-controlled studies (in which each patient serves as his or her own control) can produce results that are statistically and clinically valid with far fewer patients than would otherwise be required. We investigated the use of the crossover design in the 13 crossover studies that appeared in the Journal during 1978 and 1979. We considered the following important features of design and analysis as they applied to these studies: the method by which patients were assigned to initial treatment (only 7 of 13 studies used random assignment); the determination of when to switch treatments (10 of the 13 used a time-dependent rule, and 3 a less appropriate disease-state-dependent rule); blinding of the crossover point (in only 3 of the 13 studies was the crossover point concealed, but in 4 of the remaining 10 concealment was impossible); assessment of the effects of the order of treatments (included in only 1 of the 13 studies); and the use of at least minimally acceptable statistical analysis (11 of the 13 studies had such an analysis). We also report briefly on 28 additional studies of a single treatment each, in which each patient served as his or her own control before or after treatment or both. The scientific issues were much the same as in crossover studies except that self-controlled comparisons of treatments tended to be less precisely designed and conducted and to focus on clinical problems and patient groups that are especially difficult to study.

Chronic Disease↗

Estimation of long term dust exposures in the Vermont granite sheds.

Analysis of variance models were used to analyze 1153 personal samples of respirable granite dust collected in the Vermont granite sheds in 1970 and 1976. The best fitting model described dust concentrations in terms of job, shed, season, survey year, and included interaction terms between shed, season, and survey. This model explained 46% of the total variability in dust levels, and was used to estimate median annual dust concentrations for every job and shed in the industry. The analysis of variance suggested that dust levels varied more between sheds than between jobs within a shed, and that winter dust levels were significantly higher than summer levels. Dust levels in the 1970s were estimated by the average of the seasonally adjusted levels in the two surveys. Dust estimates in each job and shed were combined with personal work histories, and three procedures for estimating each worker's lifetime exposure were evaluated. The cumulative exposure index with uniform weights for each dust year of exposure was selected as the most physiologically plausible measure of total dose.

Air Pollutants, Occupational↗

Designs for experiments--parallel comparisons of treatment.

Clinical trials of medical treatments often compare two treated groups or a treated group with a separate but concurrent control group. We have examined a consecutive series of 47 such parallel studies reported in the Journal in 1978-1979, including 35 with random assignment to the treated or control group, to discover how this approach is actually used. A major strength of these studies as a group was the frequent use of randomized treatment assignment. Common problems included lack of sufficient detail about methods of randomization, failure to provide enough detail about patient sources, and insufficient use of multivariate statistical techniques and of statistical modeling. We emphasize the importance of avoiding bias by balancing prognostic factors when assigning patients to treatments, reducing bias by modeling the influence of prognostic factors on response, and increasing precision by modeling. We also advocate the careful consideration of the relevance of a treatment comparison within the study to the external world of clinical practice.

Adult↗

Effects of selection in a prospective study of forced expiratory volume in Vermont granite workers.

Granite workers lost to follow-up during a 5-yr study of pulmonary function were examined. We found that in workers who had left the industry for other employment, forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1) values declined at a faster rate than in those who remained employed or retired during the study period. We investigated the application of a currently recommended repeatability criterion for pulmonary function tests by looking at different patterns of failing to satisfy the criterion (PFT-failure) over multiple testing sessions. Workers with persistent PFT-failure were found to have faster rates of FEV1 decline than did subjects with none or only intermittent failures. In a regression analysis, job termination was found to be more strongly associated with a steep FEV1 slope when it had been preceded by a pattern of persistent PFT-failure.

Adult↗

Sequential allocation in clinical trials comparing two exponential survival curves.

The problem of comparing two medical treatments with respect to survival is considered. Treatment outcome is assumed to follow an exponential distribution. The ratio of expected survivals associated with the two treatments is the clinical parameter of interest. A nuisance parameter is present, but it is removed by an invariance reduction and a sequential probability ratio test is applied to the invariant likelihood ratio. A class of data-dependent treatment assignment rules is identified over which the probability of correct treatment selection at the termination of the trial is approximately constant. A cost function, the weighted sum of total patients in the trial and the number assigned to the inferior treatment is introduced, and a treatment allocation rule conjectured to minimize the expected cost is constructed. Both analytic and simulation results show that it is an improvement over rules previously proposed. The methodology contained herein can be used to construct near-optimal rules in other testing contexts.

Biometry↗