Search PubMed⌕ Search

Biomedical subjects

Simon Capewell

Publications and source records attributed to Simon Capewell.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2006

Coronary heart disease policy models: a systematic review.

BACKGROUND: The prevention and treatment of coronary heart disease (CHD) is complex. A variety of models have therefore been developed to try and explain past trends and predict future possibilities. The aim of this systematic review was to evaluate the strengths and limitations of existing CHD policy models. METHODS: A search strategy was developed, piloted and run in MEDLINE and EMBASE electronic databases, supplemented by manually searching reference lists of relevant articles and reviews. Two reviewers independently checked the papers for inclusion and appraisal. All CHD modelling studies were included which addressed a defined population and reported on one or more key outcomes (deaths prevented, life years gained, mortality, incidence, prevalence, disability or cost of treatment). RESULTS: In total, 75 articles describing 42 models were included; 12 (29%) of the 42 models were micro-simulation, 8 (19%) cell-based, and 8 (19%) life table analyses, while 14 (33%) used other modelling methods. Outcomes most commonly reported were cost-effectiveness (36%), numbers of deaths prevented (33%), life-years gained (23%) or CHD incidence (23%). Among the 42 models, 29 (69%) included one or more risk factors for primary prevention, while 8 (19%) just considered CHD treatments. Only 5 (12%) were comprehensive, considering both risk factors and treatments. The six best-developed models are summarised in this paper, all are considered in detail in the appendices. CONCLUSION: Existing CHD policy models vary widely in their depth, breadth, quality, utility and versatility. Few models have been calibrated against observed data, replicated in different settings or adequately validated. Before being accepted as a policy aid, any CHD model should provide an explicit statement of its aims, assumptions, outputs, strengths and limitations.

Coronary Disease↗
PubMed2006

Life-years-gained from population risk factor changes and modern cardiology treatments in Ireland.

BACKGROUND: Coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality rates in Ireland have halved since the mid-1980s, and adult life expectancy has also steadily improved. This study estimated the life-years-gained by CHD treatments and by changes in cardiovascular risk factor levels. METHODS: A previously validated Irish IMPACT CHD mortality model was used to integrate large amounts of data on (i) patient numbers, (ii) treatment uptake, (iii) risk factor trends, (iv) effectiveness of cardiology treatments and risk factor reductions, and (v) median survival in patients with and without CHD, all stratified by age and sex. Results were tested in rigorous sensitivity analyses. RESULTS: There were 3763 fewer CHD deaths than expected in 2000 compared with the base year, 1985. This resulted in approximately 44,060 life-years-gained among people aged 25-84. Specific medical and surgical treatments given in 2000 for CHD patients together gained approximately 14,505 life-years. Population changes in cholesterol and smoking levels accounted for some 32,705 life-years-gained, 66% from reductions in cholesterol alone. Adverse changes in obesity and diabetes resulted in a loss of approximately 3670 life-years. CONCLUSIONS: Use of modern cardiology treatments in Ireland from 1985 to 2000 gained many thousands of life-years. However, twice as many life-years were generated by relatively modest reductions in major risk factors. Effective policies, such as the promotion of healthy diets, and weight reduction, together with the recent nationwide workplace smoking ban, will be essential to maintain and further enhance health gain.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Mortality reductions in patients receiving exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation: how much can be attributed to cardiovascular risk factor improvements?

BACKGROUND: It is unclear how much of the reduction in cardiac mortality in coronary heart disease (CHD) patients with exercise training is the result of direct effects on the heart and coronary vasculature, or to indirect effects, via primary risk factors. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this article was to quantify the cardiac mortality benefits of exercise-based rehabilitation attributable to risk factor reductions versus the direct effects on the heart and vasculature. METHODS: The IMPACT coronary heart disease model was used to examine the reduction in cardiac mortality attributable to changes in risk factors from a meta-analysis of cardiac rehabilitation randomized, controlled trials. Patients were receiving rehabilitation following an acute myocardial infarction, angina pectoris or revascularization. Outcomes considered were primary risk factors (total cholesterol, systolic blood pressure and smoking behaviour) and cardiac mortality. RESULTS: Nineteen exercise-only cardiac rehabilitation trials (including 2984 patients) were identified. Across these trials, exercise training reduced pooled cardiac mortality by 28% (relative risk, 0.72, 95% confidence interval 0.55-0.95), with 30 fewer deaths than in the control group. Applying the CHD model, approximately 17 (58%) of these 30 fewer deaths were attributable to reductions in major cardiovascular risk factors: 7.1 deaths (minimum estimate 6.2, maximum estimate 9.5) attributable to an 18% reduction in smoking prevalence; 5.9 deaths (minimum -0.6, maximum 12.6) to a 0.11 mmol/l reduction in cholesterol, and 4.4 deaths (-1.0 minimum, 6.7 maximum) to a 2.0 mmHg reduction in systolic blood pressure. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately half of the 28% reduction in cardiac mortality achieved with exercise-based cardiac rehabilitation may be attributed to reductions in major risk factors, particularly smoking.

Aged↗
PubMed2006

Explaining the recent decrease in coronary heart disease mortality rates in Ireland, 1985-2000.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: To examine the proportion of the recent decline in coronary heart disease (CHD) deaths in Ireland attributable to (a) "evidence based" medical and surgical treatments, and (b) changes in major cardiovascular risk factors. DESIGN SETTING: IMPACT, a previously validated model, was used to combine and analyse data on the use and effectiveness of specific cardiology treatments and risk factor trends, stratified by age and sex. The main data sources were published trials and meta-analyses, official statistics, clinical audits, and observational studies. RESULTS: Between 1985 and 2000, CHD mortality rates in Ireland fell by 47% in those aged 25-84. Some 43.6% of the observed decrease in mortality was attributed to treatment effects and 48.1% to favourable population risk factor trends; specifically declining smoking prevalence (25.6%), mean cholesterol concentrations (30.2%), and blood pressure levels (6.0%), but offset by increases in adverse population trends related to obesity, diabetes, and inactivity (-13.8%). CONCLUSIONS: The results emphasise the importance of a comprehensive strategy that maximises population coverage of effective treatments, and that actively promotes primary prevention, particularly tobacco control and a cardioprotective diet.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Doctors' understanding of palliative care.

Palliative care has been challenged to share its message with a wider audience, and for many years it has been articulating an approach that is suitable for all patients. However, it is not clear how widely this message has been accepted. As part of a study into end-of-life care for heart failure, we conducted seven focus groups with doctors in general practice, palliative medicine, cardiology, geriatrics and general medicine. In these, we explored doctors' understanding of palliative care. Participants displayed a reasonable grasp of the wider concept of palliative care, but the specialists' role was ill-defined, reflected in scepticism about their place outside of cancer. Perceptions of palliative care fell into three broad areas: it was more than a service, about managing dying, and the concern of nurses, rather than doctors. Palliative care was welcomed as providing permission to fail, whilst representing a dilemma between quantity and quality of life for the interviewees. Our work suggests that specialist palliative care has been partially successful in getting their message across, and poor understanding or receptivity are not major barriers to implementing palliative care. Educational or other interventions to implement change in palliative care need to acknowledge the complex interaction of factors influencing physicians' behaviour.

Attitude of Health Personnel↗
PubMed2005

Explaining the decline in coronary heart disease mortality in Finland between 1982 and 1997.

In Finland since the 1980s, coronary heart disease mortality has declined more than might be predicted by risk factor reductions alone. The aim of this study was to assess how much of the decline could be attributed to improved treatments and risk factor reductions. The authors used the cell-based IMPACT mortality model to synthesize effectiveness of treatments and risk factor reductions with data on treatments administered to patients and trends in cardiovascular risk factors in the population. Cardiovascular risk factors were measured in random samples of patients in 1982 (n=8,501) and 1997 (n=4,500). Mortality and treatment data were obtained from the National Causes of Death Register, Hospital Discharge Register, social insurance data, and medical records. Estimated and observed changes in coronary heart disease mortality were used as main outcome measures. Between 1982 and 1997, coronary heart disease mortality rates declined by 63%, with 373 fewer deaths in 1997 than expected from baseline mortality rates in 1982. Improved treatments explained approximately 23% of the mortality reduction, and risk factors explained some 53-72% of the reduction. These findings highlight the value of a comprehensive strategy that promotes primary prevention programs and actively supports secondary prevention. It also emphasizes the importance of maximizing population coverage of effective treatments.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Modelling the decline in coronary heart disease deaths in England and Wales, 1981-2000: comparing contributions from primary prevention and secondary prevention.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether population based primary prevention (risk factor reduction in apparently healthy people) might be more powerful than current government initiatives favouring risk factor reduction in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) (secondary prevention). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: The IMPACT model was used to synthesise data for England and Wales describing CHD patient numbers, uptake of specific treatments, trends in major cardiovascular risk factors, and the mortality benefits of these specific risk factor changes in healthy people and in CHD patients. RESULTS: Between 1981 and 2000, CHD mortality rates fell by 54%, resulting in 68,230 fewer deaths in 2000. Overall smoking prevalence declined by 35% between 1981 and 2000, resulting in approximately 29,715 (minimum estimate 20 035, maximum estimate 44,675) fewer deaths attributable to smoking cessation: approximately 5035 in known CHD patients and approximately 24,680 in healthy people. Population total cholesterol concentrations fell by 4.2%, resulting in approximately 5770 fewer deaths attributable to dietary changes (1205 in CHD patients and 4565 in healthy people) plus 2135 fewer deaths attributable to statin treatment (1990 in CHD patients, 145 in people without CHD). Mean population blood pressure fell by 7.7%, resulting in approximately 5870 fewer deaths attributable to secular falls in blood pressure (520 in CHD patients and 5345 in healthy people) plus approximately 1890 fewer deaths attributable to antihypertensive treatments in people without CHD. Approximately 45,370 fewer deaths were thus attributable to reductions in the three major risk factors in the population: some 36 625 (81%) in people without recognised CHD and 8745 (19%) in CHD patients. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with secondary prevention, primary prevention achieved a fourfold larger reduction in deaths. Future CHD policies should prioritise population-wide tobacco control and healthier diets.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Small changes in United Kingdom cardiovascular risk factors could halve coronary heart disease mortality.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: The U.K. government recently called for a 40% reduction in cardiovascular disease mortality by 2010. We examined the potential for cardiovascular risk factor changes to achieve that target. METHODS: We applied a previously validated mortality model, IMPACT, to an England and Wales population (37.1 million, aged 25-84). The model integrates information on trends in all the major cardiovascular risk factors, plus the uptake and effectiveness of all medical and surgical treatments. The potential reductions in coronary heart disease mortality from the base year, 2000, were calculated for two contrasting scenarios: (a) if recent risk factor trends simply continued to 2010 and (b) if further small reductions in risk factors were achieved, as in Scandinavia and the United States. RESULTS: Continuation of recent risk factor trends should result in approximately 10,685 fewer coronary deaths in 2010 (minimum estimate 10,110; maximum 16,460) than in 2000. Modest additional reductions in cholesterol and smoking could potentially achieve 51,270 fewer deaths (minimum 39,435; maximum 71,510). Optimistic changes in obesity, diabetes, and physical activity, however, would have relatively small effects. CONCLUSION: Modest additional risk factor reductions in cholesterol and smoking already achieved in the United States and Scandinavia could prevent or postpone > 50,000 deaths by 2010, halving current coronary mortality.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

A qualitative study of the contribution of pharmacists to heart failure management in Scotland.

STUDY OBJECTIVES: (1) To identify the medication management needs of chronic heart failure (CHF) patients and their caregivers; (2) To examine the perceived support for medication management available to these people from health professionals; (3) To identify the actual and potential perceived contribution of pharmacists to medication management. SETTING: A mixed urban/ rural region in the west of Scotland. DESIGN: Semi-structured qualitative research interviews. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 50 people with CHF (NYHA Class II and III) due to left ventricular systolic dysfunction (33 males; mean age 67 years, 17 females; mean age 68 years) and 30 nominated caregivers recruited from the outpatient departments of two hospitals in the West of Scotland. Sampling was purposive to include patients from a range of CHF severity, ages and sexes. MAIN RESULTS: Managing medications was a responsibility shared by both the patients with CHF and caregivers. Treatment regimens were reported to be difficult to comply with. Health professionals were seen to provide little support for medication management. Pharmacists were viewed as being a good and accessible source of practical assistance who were also knowledgeable about the individual's heart health history. Participants reported valuing advice from pharmacists about the side effects of medications and for their assistance in reducing the complex logistics of medication management and in having medications delivered. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with CHF and caregivers voiced a willingness to try to manage their medication regimen accurately but had a limited capacity to do so. Pharmacists were viewed as providing valuable support to patients with CHF and their caregivers, in terms of medication management. The extended role of pharmacists in medication management of CHF should be encouraged.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Patients' and nurses' views of nurse-led heart failure clinics in general practice: a qualitative study.

OBJECTIVES: To ascertain nurses' and patients' views and experiences of a nurse-led heart failure clinic provided in general practice. METHODS: The study was set in eight general practices in the North-West of England. Semi-structured interviews were devised and administered, with all the nurses providing the clinics and a purposive sample of patients attending the clinics. The interviews were tape-recorded and transcribed. Constant comparative analysis was used to identify key issues and themes. RESULTS: Nurses felt that the self-care advice provided had empowered patients to manage their condition. Explaining why a medication had been prescribed, and how it controlled heart failure, was felt to increase compliance. Although communication was deemed good, some patients were reticent about asking questions. Patients were knowledgeable about their prescribed heart failure medications, but some did not recall having discussed their medications. Also, medication inserts led some patients to question their prescription. Patients remained confused about the purpose and outcome of investigations. Furthermore, many patients suggested that they had problems adhering to or remembering the advice given. DISCUSSION: There are practical benefits to be obtained from attending a nurse-led heart failure clinic in primary care. However, patients and healthcare providers may have quite divergent views about such a service and its benefits, emphasizing the potential value of consumer involvement and feedback when developing and delivering such services.

England↗
PubMed2005

A survey of psychological wellbeing in an adult population.

The British government has called on all NHS staff to help promote good psychological wellbeing in the population. This article reports results from a survey conducted in Merseyside, England, into the prevalence of poor psychological wellbeing across a large part of the region. People registered with one of five Merseyside primary care trusts were stratified by age group and deprivation, and a questionnaire was mailed to 28,000 who had been randomly selected from those aged 15 or over. A total of 11,168 (45%) completed questionnaires were returned. Of these, 2,442 (21.9%) respondents rated their psychological wellbeing as fairly poor or very poor. Mean levels of psychological wellbeing were significantly worse in a number of readily identifiable groups within the population, but overall, the lowest wellbeing ratings were concentrated in the most socioeconomically deprived quartile. We make a number of practical suggestions for the role of the community nurse in promoting good psychological wellbeing in patients. We also highlight our finding that socioeconomic deprivation was strongly associated with poor psychological wellbeing, which was in turn associated with a lifestyle high in risk factors for non-communicable diseases.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2005

Life-years gained from modern cardiological treatments and population risk factor changes in England and Wales, 1981-2000.

OBJECTIVES: We estimated life-years gained from cardiological treatments and cardiovascular risk factor changes in England and Wales between 1981 and 2000. METHODS: We used the IMPACT model to integrate data on the number of coronary heart disease patients, treatment uptake and effectiveness, risk factor trends, and median survival in coronary heart disease patients. RESULTS: Compared with 1981, there were 68230 fewer coronary deaths in 2000. Approximately 925415 life-years were gained among people aged 25-84 years (range: 745 195-1 138 655). Cardiological treatments for patients accounted for approximately 194145 life-years gained (range: 142505-259225), and population risk factor changes accounted for approximately 731270 life-years gained (range; 602695-879430). CONCLUSIONS: Modest reductions in major risk factors led to gains in life-years 4 times higher than did cardiological treatments. Effective policies to promote healthy diets and physical activity might achieve even greater gains.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Explaining the increase in coronary heart disease mortality in Beijing between 1984 and 1999.

BACKGROUND: Coronary heart disease (CHD) mortality is rising in many developing countries. We examined how much of the increase in CHD mortality in Beijing, China, between 1984 and 1999 could be attributed to changes in major cardiovascular risk factors and assessed the impact of medical and surgical treatments. METHODS AND RESULTS: A validated, cell-based mortality model synthesized data on (1) patient numbers, (2) uptake of specific medical and surgical treatments, (3) treatment effectiveness, and (4) population trends in major cardiovascular risk factors (smoking, total cholesterol, blood pressure, obesity, and diabetes). Main data sources were the WHO MONICA and Sino-MONICA studies, the Chinese Multi-provincial Cohort Study, routine hospital statistics, and published meta-analyses. Age-adjusted CHD mortality rates increased by approximately 50% in men and 27% in women (1608 more deaths in 1999 than expected by application of 1984 rates). Most of this increase ( approximately 77%, or 1397 additional deaths) was attributable to substantial rises in total cholesterol levels (more than 1 mmol/L), plus increases in diabetes and obesity. Blood pressure decreased slightly, whereas smoking prevalence increased in men but decreased substantially in women. In 1999, medical and surgical treatments in patients together prevented or postponed approximately 642 deaths, mainly from initial treatments for acute myocardial infarction ( approximately 41%), hypertension (24%), angina (15%), secondary prevention (11%), and heart failure (10%). Multiway sensitivity analyses did not greatly influence the results. CONCLUSIONS: Much of the dramatic CHD mortality increases in Beijing can be explained by rises in total cholesterol, reflecting an increasingly "Western" diet. Without cardiological treatments, increases would have been even greater.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Explaining the decline in coronary heart disease mortality in England and Wales between 1981 and 2000.

BACKGROUND: Coronary heart disease mortality rates have been decreasing in the United Kingdom since the 1970s. Our study aimed to examine how much of the decrease in England and Wales between 1981 and 2000 could be attributed to medical and surgical treatments and how much to changes in cardiovascular risk factors. METHODS AND RESULTS: The IMPACT mortality model was used to combine and analyze data on uptake and effectiveness of cardiological treatments and risk factor trends in England and Wales. The main data sources were published trials and meta-analyses, official statistics, clinical audits, and national surveys. Between 1981 and 2000, coronary heart disease mortality rates in England and Wales decreased by 62% in men and 45% in women 25 to 84 years old. This resulted in 68 230 fewer deaths in 2000. Some 42% of this decrease was attributed to treatments in individuals (including 11% to secondary prevention, 13% to heart failure treatments, 8% to initial treatments of acute myocardial infarction, and 3% to hypertension treatments) and 58% to population risk factor reductions (principally smoking, 48%; blood pressure, 9.5%; and cholesterol, 9.5%). Adverse trends were seen for physical activity, obesity and diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: More than half the coronary heart disease mortality decrease in Britain between 1981 and 2000 was attributable to reductions in major risk factors, principally smoking. This emphasizes the importance of a comprehensive strategy that promotes primary prevention, particularly for tobacco and diet, and that maximizes population coverage of effective treatments, especially for secondary prevention and heart failure. These findings may be cautiously generalizable to the United States and other developed countries.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Seasonal variation in morbidity and mortality related to atrial fibrillation.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether there is seasonal variation in hospitalisations and deaths due to atrial fibrillation (AF) and to examine possible contributors to such variability. METHODS: We used the linked Scottish Morbidity Record scheme, which provides individualised morbidity and mortality data for the entire Scottish population. RESULTS: Between 1990 and 1996, there were a total of 33,582 male and 34,463 female hospitalisations related to AF. Significantly more admissions occurred in winter compared to summer (P<0.0001). In women, the peak number of admissions (106 per day) occurred in December (12% more than average) and the lowest number (89) in June (6% less than average). The respective figures for men were 10% more (101), 2% less (90). In both sexes, the greatest variation occurred in those aged >85 years-peak winter rates being 35-39% higher than average. A similar phenomenon was evident in relation to mortality in these patients. The average number of men who died during December was 22% higher, and in August 12% lower, than average, P<0.001. In women, the equivalent figures were 28% higher (December) and 14% lower (August), P<0.001. The winter peak of AF admissions did not, however, coincide with the lowest temperatures, and other factors such as seasonal variation in respiratory infection, may account for the monthly variation observed in hospitalisations for AF. CONCLUSIONS: There is substantial seasonal variation in AF hospitalisations and deaths, particularly in the elderly.

Age Distribution↗
PubMed2004

Patient and primary care physician satisfaction with chest pain unit and routine care.

OBJECTIVES: The chest pain unit (CPU) has been developed to improve care for patients with acute, undifferentiated chest pain. The authors aimed to measure patient and primary care physician (PCP) satisfaction with CPU care and routine care and to determine whether patient satisfaction predicted PCP satisfaction. METHODS: A CPU was established, and 442 days were randomly allocated to either CPU care or routine care. Consenting patients presenting with acute, undifferentiated chest pain were recruited and followed at two days and one month. All were given a self-completed patient satisfaction questionnaire two days after attendance (N = 972). Each patient's PCP was sent a self-completed satisfaction questionnaire during days 171-442 of the trial (N = 601). Analysis determined whether CPU care was associated with improved patient or PCP satisfaction and whether patient satisfaction predicted PCP satisfaction for three questions relating to diagnosis, treatment, and overall care. RESULTS: CPU care was consistently associated with higher scores across all patient satisfaction questions, from the perceived thoroughness of examination to care received to an overall assessment of the service received. However, CPU care achieved small improvements in only two of ten PCP satisfaction questions, concerning overall management of the patient and the amount of information about investigations performed. Furthermore, patient satisfaction did not predict PCP satisfaction in relation to diagnosis (p = 0.456), treatment (p = 0.256), or overall care (p = 0.085). CONCLUSIONS: CPU care is associated with substantial improvements in all dimensions of patient satisfaction but only minimal improvements in PCP satisfaction. Patient satisfaction was not a strong predictor of PCP satisfaction with emergency care.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

Health professionals' responses to the introduction of a home telehealth service.

An ethnographic (participant observation) study was undertaken of the socio-technical processes involved in the implementation, within a randomized controlled trial, of a home telehealth nursing service for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Ethnographic field notes were taken about technology-related tasks and the interplay between the research team and the 12 nurses who were to use the telehealth equipment. Views of the technology were linked to views of professional self-image and status. The technology was sometimes seen as unhelpful in establishing effective relationships with patients. Considerable work by all participants, over a period of months, was required to develop the technology in ways that minimized the risk to the stability of the specialist service and existing nurse-patient relationships. Our work highlights the complex problems that health professionals encounter when they try to integrate new technologies into routine service delivery. The concerns arising from the interplay of new technology with existing professional practices and relationships go beyond simple issues of training.

Attitude of Health Personnel↗