Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to S J Connor.
Current efforts to predict malaria epidemics focus on the role weather anomalies can play in epidemic prediction. Alongside weather monitoring and seasonal climate forecasts, epidemiological, social and environmental factors can also play a role in predicting the timing and severity of malaria epidemics. Such factors can be incorporated into a framework for malaria early warning.
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For many years, ivermectin has been widely distributed throughout west Africa for the safe and effective control of onchocerclasis. However, recent events in Loa-loa-endemic areas of Cameroon, where severe adverse reactions have occurred, now constrain the public-health use of this drug in the forest habitat of the L. loa vector. We have created a model of L. loa prevalence to identify areas where high endemicity may be associated with the occurrence of such reactions. The model results have been mapped and the areas of overlap between high L. loa prevalence and planned ivermectin distribution for onchocerciasis control identified.
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Over the last decade, remote sensing technologies and geographical information systems have moved from the research arena into the hands of vector control specialists. This review explains remote sensing approaches and spatial information technologies used for investigations of arthropod pests and vectors of diseases affecting humans and livestock. Relevant applications are summarized with examples of studies on African horse sickness vector Culicoides midges (Diptera: Ceratopogonidae), malaria vector Anopheles and arbovirus vector culicine mosquitoes (Diptera: Culicidae), leishmaniasis vector Phlebotomus sandflies (Diptera: Psychodidae), trypanosomiasis vector tsetse (Diptera: Glossinidae), loaiasis vector Chrysops (Diptera: Tabanidae), Lyme disease vector Ixodes and other ticks (Acari: Ixodidae). Methods and their uses are tabulated and discussed with recommendations for efficiency, caution and progress in this burgeoning field.
BACKGROUND: The 13C-urea breath test (13C-UBT) is an accurate means of Helicobacter pylori diagnosis. However, proton pump inhibitors may suppress H. pylori and cause false negative results. AIM: To study the kinetics of H. pylori suppression by omeprazole during and after short-term use. METHODS: Volunteers underwent a baseline 13C-UBT (13C-urea 100 mg). H. pylori-positive subjects took omeprazole 20 mg daily for 14 days. Those who remained 13C-UBT positive (delta13CO2 >/= 5) continued omeprazole for a further 14 days. 13C-UBTs were performed weekly on omeprazole and then every second day after it was stopped. False negatives occurred when delta13CO2 fell to < 5. RESULTS: In 25 H. pylori-positive subjects (mean age 43.9 +/- 2.4 years; 21 females, 4 males) the mean baseline delta13CO2 was 28.1 +/- 3.4. False negative breath tests occurred in three subjects after 7 days of omeprazole and in a further four subjects after 14 days. A further six subjects developed negative tests between Days 14 and 28. Following cessation of omeprazole, the 13C-UBT became positive again in 12/13 subjects within 4 days and in all within 6 days, with a mean recovery to 99.9 +/- 18.6% of baseline delta13CO2. CONCLUSIONS: False negative 13C-UBTs are common during treatment with omeprazole and occur after as little as 7 days. Return to positive test results is rapid after cessation of omeprazole. These findings are relevant to the timing of testing in clinical practice.
The need to define the geographical distribution of Phlebotomus orientalis results from its importance as the dominant vector of kala azar (visceral Iceishmaniasis) in Sudan. Recent epidermics of this disease in southern and eastern Sudan caused an estimated 100000 deaths and have renewed the impetus for defining the ecological boundaries of the vector. This information is an essential prerequisite to the production of a risk map for kala azar. This study uses data on the presence and absence of P. orientalis from 44 collecting sites across the central belt of Sudan. A logistic regression model was used to estimate the probability of the presence of P. orientalis at each collecting site as a function of climatic and environmental variables (rainfall; temperature; altitude; soil type and the satellite-derived environmental proxies - Normalized Difference Vegetation Index and Land Surface Temperature). The logistic regression model indicates mean annual maximum daily temperature and soil type as the most important ecological determinants of P. orientalis distribution. An initial risk map was created in a raster-based geographical information system which delineates the area where P. orientalis may occur. This map was then refined using a mask layer indicating the known rainfall-based boundaries of the distribution of Acacia-Balanites woodland - a woodland type known to be associated with the distribution of this vector. The predictive performance of the risk map is discussed.
BACKGROUND: The 13C-urea breath test (13C-UBT) is a very accurate method of Helicobacter pylori diagnosis with a false-negative rate of 1-3%. However, the accuracy of the 13C-UBT is affected by potent acid inhibition with proton-pump inhibitors, which may suppress H. pylori and cause false-negative results. It is not known whether this occurs with less potent acid inhibition by H2-antagonists and any effect may be important clinically. OBJECTIVE: To determine the kinetics of 13CO2 excretion in H. pylori infected subjects during and after short-term ranitidine use. METHODS: Volunteers underwent a baseline 13C-UBT (positive: delta13CO2 > or = 5.0; negative: < or = 3.5; indeterminate: > 3.5 to < 5.0). Infected subjects took ranitidine 300 mg each evening for up to 28 days. 13C-UBTs were performed at weekly intervals and then every other day after ranitidine was ceased. If the 13C-UBT remained positive after 14 days, ranitidine was continued for a further 14 days. RESULTS: Thirty-one subjects were studied (mean age 40.4 +/- 2.1 years; 23 female/8 male; mean baseline delta13CO2 27.3 +/- 2.5). In 28 subjects the 13C-UBT remained positive during ranitidine use. The mean delta13CO2 rose to 124% (P< 0.06) and 121% (P < 0.05) of baseline at 14 and 28 days respectively. In two subjects, the delta13CO2 became indeterminate at day 7 (delta13CO2 4.3 and 3.8). In one of these, return to a positive value (delta13CO2 13.6; 103% of baseline) occurred while still on ranitidine. The other subject became positive again by day 3 off ranitidine (17.8; 119% of baseline). One subject had a transiently negative test after 21 days and this became positive again while still taking ranitidine. CONCLUSIONS: Ranitidine has a minimal effect on the 13C-UBT. The rate of indeterminate or false-negative tests is no greater than in patients on no anti-secretory medication.
In line with the renewed World Health Organization Global Malaria Control Strategy, we have advocated the use of satellite imagery by control services to provide environmental information for malaria stratification, monitoring, and early warning. To achieve this operationally, appropriate methodologies must be developed for integrating environmental and epidemiologic data into models that can be used by decision-makers for improved resource allocation. Using methodologies developed for the Famine Early Warning Systems and spatial statistics, we show a significant association between age related malaria infection in Gambian children and the amount of seasonal environmental greenness as measured using the normalized difference vegetation index derived from satellite data. The resulting model is used to predict changes in malaria prevalence rates in children resulting from different bed net control scenarios.
There is a clear need for improved epidemic malaria surveillance mechanisms in areas prone to the disease. Epidemiological surveillance systems are rarely able to provide information in a sufficiently timely manner for adequate epidemic response. This is especially true in African countries where surveillance is poorly developed, and particularly so in remote regions of unstable malaria such as desert fringes. There is long standing evidence linking climatic variability and epidemic risk. The last ten years have seen significant developments in Environmental Information System (EIS) for a range of natural resource management purposes. The routine information products from these systems have been shown to be both spatially and temporally related to malaria transmission indicators across the African continent. EIS may therefore provide a useful and cost effective input to epidemic malaria control planning and response.
BACKGROUND: Appendiceal tumors are rare and often unexpectedly discovered in an acute situation, in which decision-making is difficult. To help define the most appropriate management, a retrospective analysis was undertaken to describe the clinicopathologic behavior of appendiceal tumors, and the literature was reviewed of the management of the different types of appendiceal tumors. METHOD: From a single center, a histopathologic database of 7,970 appendectomies, all appendiceal tumors, were identified and case notes reviewed. Analysis of clinical presentation, histopathology, operation, and outcome is presented. RESULTS: During a 16-year period (7,970 appendectomies), 74 patients (0.9 percent) with appendiceal tumors were identified: 42 carcinoid, 12 benign, and 20 malignant. Acute appendicitis was the most common presentation (49 percent), and 9.5 percent were incidental findings. Primary malignant tumors of the appendix were found in 0.1 percent of all appendectomies. Secondary malignant disease was identified in the appendix of 11 patients, most commonly (55 percent) from patients with primary colorectal disease. There was a high incidence of synchronous and metachronous colorectal cancer in all appendiceal tumors: carcinoids, 10 percent; benign tumors, 33 percent; secondary malignancies, 55 percent; primary malignancies, 89 percent. CONCLUSION: Appendiceal tumors are uncommon and most often present as appendicitis. Most are benign and can be managed by appendectomy, except adenocarcinomas and carcinoids larger than 2 cm, which are most appropriately managed by right hemicolectomy. A suggested management algorithm is provided. Controversy exists over the management of carcinoids 1 to 2 cm in size and adenocarcinoids. All types of appendiceal tumors have a high incidence of synchronous and metachronous colorectal cancer.
Despite its importance as a vector of visceral leishmaniasis in Sudan, the ecology of Phlebotomus orientalis is still poorly understood. The results of a ground-based survey and a geographical-information-system (GIS) study, carried out to investigate the environmental determinants of the distribution of P. orientalis in the wooded areas of the central savannah belt of Sudan, are described here. The survey, carried out in April-June 1996, consisted of a collection of sandflies over two consecutive nights at each of 44 study sites, using three CDC, miniature, light traps at each site. During the survey, the ecology of each site was described. Phlebotomus orientalis was caught at 17 of the sites. Environmental data on the collection sites (rainfall, minimum and maximum temperatures, soil class, vegetation and land-surface-temperature indices) were extracted from a range of sources of digital data collected by satellites in the National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration's series. These data were then analysed, to ascertain which variables were significantly associated with sites positive for P. orientalis. In line with the results of previous studies, P. orientalis was found to have a significant association with the presence of the tree species Acacia seyal and Balanites aegyptiaca and with the black cotton (vertisolic) soils of eastern Sudan. The positive sites were found to have significantly higher annual mean maximum and minimum daily temperatures than the negative sites and the annual mean maximum normalized-difference vegetation index (NDVI) value was also found to be significantly higher in these sites than in sites where no P. orientalis were found.
Every year between one and two million African children under five die of malaria. If one adds to this the contribution of malaria to all-cause infant mortality then clearly the burden of the disease is catastrophic--a disaster quietly happening each and every year. New tools are needed urgently to support those currently available for control of the disease. An effective vaccine remains elusive. This article outlines the potential contribution to malaria control services of satellite information, which is being used by resource managers in other sectors. In particular, it highlights the lessons which can be learned from early warning systems in other areas, especially those designed to respond to famine. An appendix provides a brief introduction to satellite data and their interpretation.
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Data from sensors on board geostationary and polar-orbiting, meteorological satellites (Meteosat and NOAA series) are routinely obtained free, via local reception systems, in an increasing number of African countries. Data collected by these satellites are processed to produce proxy ecological variables which have been extensively investigated for monitoring changes in the distribution and condition of different natural resources, including rainfall and vegetation state. How these data products (once incorporated, along with other data, into a geographical information system) could contribute to the goals of monitoring patterns of malaria transmission, predicting epidemics and planning control strategies is the subject of the present review. By way of illustration, an analysis of two of these products, normalized difference vegetation index (NVDI) and cold-cloud duration (CCD), is given in conjunction with epidemiological and entomological data from The Gambia, a country where extensive studies on malaria transmission have been undertaken in recent years. Preliminary results indicate that even simple analysis of proxy ecological variables derived from satellite data can indicate variation in environmental factors affecting malaria-transmission indices. However, it is important to note that the associations observed will vary depending on the local ecology, season and species of vector. Whilst further quantitative research is required to validate the relationship between satellite-data products and malaria-transmission indices, this approach offers a means by which detailed knowledge of the underlying spatial and temporal variation in the environment can be incorporated into a decision-support system for malaria control.
Entomological studies were conducted in paired study villages in three of the five study areas used for the epidemiological assessment of the Gambia's National Impregnated Bednet Programme. Baseline data collected in 1991 were compared with post-intervention data from 1992, when one of each village pair (from areas II, III and V) was included in the treatment programme in which villagers' nets were dipped in permethrin. In a longitudinal study, indoor-resting densities of Anopheles gambiae s.l. in the treated villages were significantly reduced, when compared with their paired untreated village, in areas II (t = 3.32, 13 degrees of freedom, P = 0.006) and III (t = 3.71, 13 degrees of freedom, P = 0.003). However, this was not associated with higher outdoor-biting rates in the evenings in the treated villages than in the controls. The reduction in vector population was most evident in area II, where the treated village was relatively isolated and 74% of the population slept under a treated net. Anopheles gambiae s.l. were also collected during two fortnightly periods in area V, where the sporozoite rates in 1991 had been relatively high (7.65% and 6.07%). There was no significant decrease in the sporozoite rate in the treated village in area V in 1992, despite the fact that this village was over 5 km from its nearest neighbouring village. However, the proportion of villagers sleeping under a treated net in this village was < 50%. No clear evidence for an epidemiologically significant 'mass killing effect', resulting from the village-wide use of treated nets, emerges in this or any other study undertaken in The Gambia. However, such an effect is indicated by results from Salikene, where the village mosquito population was relatively isolated and where the majority of the population slept under a treated net. This situation is unlikely to be repeated in most Gambian villages in the primary-health-care scheme, since treated and untreated villages are generally interspersed and the mosquito populations move freely between them. We must therefore conclude that, on a national scale, the nets provide an exceptionally high level of personal rather than community protection. The mechanisms underlying the personal protection are, however, still unclear.
Movement of mosquitoes belonging to the Anopheles gambiae complex (mixed wild populations of An.arabiensis, An.gambiae and An.melas) between three neighbouring rural villages in The Gambia was investigated by mark-release-recapture. A total of 12,872 mosquitoes were collected in bednets, marked with a magenta fluorescent powder and released over a 15-day period in one of the villages. A further 15,507 mosquitoes were collected in exit traps, marked with a yellow powder and released over the same period. Mosquitoes were captured daily in all three villages using pyrethrum spray catches, as well as bednet and exit trap catches. The catching period extended for 6 days after the last day of release. Of the mosquitoes released, 372 (1.3%) were recaptured 2-21 days later. Of these recaptures, 272 were caught in the release village, and 98 were caught in other villages situated 1-1.4 km away. The 'movement index' between villages was calculated as 17.2% (12.2-22.4% confidence limits) for mosquitoes released after feeding and 20.1% (14.7-25.3%) for those released unfed. These results suggest that movement of mosquitoes between neighbouring villages in The Gambia seriously affects the entomological evaluation of pyrethroid-impregnated bednet programmes in areas where treated and untreated villages are interspersed.