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S G Ellis

Publications and source records attributed to S G Ellis.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources
PubMed2000

Unexpected mortality reduction with abciximab for in-stent restenosis.

Treatment of in-stent restenosis is generally considered low risk, and it is not clear if adjunctive use of abciximab is beneficial in this low-risk population. We determined the effect of adjunctive abciximab during percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for treatment of in-stent restenosis. Two hundred and ninety-three patients with in-stent restenosis underwent PCI at the Cleveland Clinic between January 1996 and December 1998. Patients undergoing directional atherectomy, laser treatment and brachytherapy were excluded (9 patients). Of the remaining 284, seventy-nine patients received abciximab during PCI and 205 were treated without abciximab. The groups were similar with respect to age, gender, left ventricular function, number of vessels involved, history of prior coronary artery bypass grafting and unstable symptoms at presentation. There were more diabetics, hypertensives, and patients with elevated cholesterol in the abciximab-treated group. At 1-year follow-up, there was a significantly lower incidence of myocardial infarction (2.5% versus 5.3%; p < 0.05) and lower mortality (1.2% versus 5.8%; p < 0.01) in the abciximab-treated group. There was no difference in the incidence of revascularization. The findings of a lowered mortality and myocardial infarction rate with abciximab warrants further prospective study in patients with in-stent restenosis.

Abciximab↗
PubMed2000

Case report: aesthetic management of a localised periodontal defect with a gingival veneer prosthesis.

Traditionally acrylic resin gingival veneer prostheses have been used to disguise aesthetic deficiencies of maxillary anterior teeth following successful periodontal therapy and have been retained by engaging horizontal undercuts distal to the canine teeth. They are, however, versatile prostheses with uses in fixed and removable prosthodontics and therapeutic treatment of gingival conditions. In the case presented a small acrylic resin gingival veneer prosthesis retained by a resilient lining material was used to manage a localised periodontal defect of the mandibular central incisor teeth.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

Relation between lesion characteristics and risk with percutaneous intervention in the stent and glycoprotein IIb/IIIa era: An analysis of results from 10,907 lesions and proposal for new classification scheme.

BACKGROUND: The currently used American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association lesion classification scheme dates from an era when balloon angioplasty was the only percutaneous treatment available and major complications occurred in approximately 7% of patients. Major advances in treatment options would suggest that this scheme may be outmoded, but the schemes that have been suggested to update lesion classification have not been widely accepted. METHODS AND RESULTS: Four thousand one hundred eighty-one consecutive patients (6,676 lesions) formed a training set and 2,146 patients (4,231 lesions) formed a validation set treated from 1995 to 1997 at a single center used by 3 hospital groups. Twenty-seven pretreatment candidate variables were analyzed with the use of stepwise proportional logistic regression, and 9 (nonchronic total occlusion with TIMI flow 0, degenerated vein graft, vein graft age >10 years, lesion length >/= 10 mm, severe calcium, lesion irregularity, large filling defect, angulated >/= 45 degrees plus calcium, and eccentricity) were independently correlated (P<0.05) with ranked adverse outcome (death, Q-wave or creatine kinase >/= 3x normal myocardial infarction, or emergency coronary artery bypass grafting>>creatine kinase 2 to 3x myocardial infarction>>possibly related to non-Q-wave myocardial infarction>>no complication). A scheme based on these findings and the old American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association scheme were found to have c-statistics in the validation set of 0.672 and 0.620 (P = 0.010 vs old scheme), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Appreciation of these contemporary risk factors for complications of coronary intervention may assist in patient selection and in risk adjustment for comparison of outcomes between providers.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

Complementary clinical benefits of coronary-artery stenting and blockade of platelet glycoprotein IIb/IIIa receptors. Evaluation of Platelet IIb/IIIa Inhibition in Stenting Investigators.

BACKGROUND: Inhibition of the platelet glycoprotein IIb/IIIa receptor with the monoclonal-antibody fragment abciximab reduces the acute ischemic complications associated with percutaneous coronary revascularization, whereas coronary-stent implantation reduces restenosis. We conducted a trial to determine the efficacy of abciximab and stent implantation in improving long-term outcome. METHODS: A total of 2399 patients were randomly assigned to stent implantation and placebo, stent implantation and abciximab, or balloon angioplasty and abciximab. The patients were followed for six months. RESULTS: At six months, the incidence of the composite end point of death or myocardial infarction was 11.4 percent in the group that received a stent and placebo, as compared with 5.6 percent in the group that received a stent and abciximab (hazard ratio, 0.47; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.33 to 0.68; P<0.001) and 7.8 percent in the group assigned to balloon angioplasty and abciximab (hazard ratio, 0.67; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.49 to 0.92; P=0.01). The hazard ratio for stenting plus abciximab as compared with angioplasty plus abciximab was 0.70 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.48 to 1.04; P=0.07). The rate of repeated revascularization of the target vessel was 10.6 percent in the stent-plus-placebo group, as compared with 8.7 percent in the stent-plus-abciximab group (hazard ratio, 0.82; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.59 to 1.13; P=0.22) and 15.4 percent in the angioplasty-plus-abciximab group (hazard ratio, 1.49; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.13 to 1.97; P=0.005). The hazard ratio for stenting plus abciximab as compared with angioplasty plus abciximab was 0.55 (95 percent confidence interval, 0.41 to 0.74; P<0.001). Among patients with diabetes, the combination of abciximab and stenting was associated with a lower rate of repeated target-vessel revascularization (8.1 percent) than was stenting and placebo (16.6 percent, P=0.02) or angioplasty and abciximab (18.4 percent, P=0.008). CONCLUSIONS: For coronary revascularization, abciximab and stent implantation confer complementary long-term clinical benefits.

Abciximab↗
PubMed1999

Relationship between delay in performing direct coronary angioplasty and early clinical outcome in patients with acute myocardial infarction: results from the global use of strategies to open occluded arteries in Acute Coronary Syndromes (GUSTO-IIb) trial.

BACKGROUND: Time to treatment with thrombolytic therapy is a critical determinant of mortality in acute myocardial infarction. Little is known about the relationship between the time to treatment with direct coronary angioplasty and clinical outcome. The objectives of this study were to determine both the time required to perform direct coronary angioplasty in the Global Use of Strategies to Open Occluded Arteries in Acute Coronary Syndromes (GUSTO-IIb) trial and its relationship to clinical outcome. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients randomized to direct coronary angioplasty (n=565) were divided into groups based on the time between study enrollment and first balloon inflation. Patients randomized to angioplasty who did not undergo the procedure were also analyzed. The median time from study enrollment to first balloon inflation was 76 minutes; 19% of patients assigned to angioplasty did not undergo an angioplasty procedure. The 30-day mortality rate of patients who underwent balloon inflation </=60 minutes after study enrollment was 1.0%; 61 to 75 minutes after enrollment, 3.7%; 76 to 90 minutes after enrollment, 4.0%; and >/=91 minutes after enrollment, 6.4%. The mortality rate of patients assigned to angioplasty who never underwent the procedure was 14.1% (P=0.001). Logistic regression analysis revealed that the time from enrollment to first balloon inflation was a significant predictor of mortality within 30 days; after adjustment for differences in baseline characteristics, the odds of death increased 1.6 times (P=0.008) for a movement from each time interval to the next. CONCLUSIONS: The time to treatment with direct PTCA, as with thrombolytic therapy, is a critical determinant of mortality.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

Catheter-based reperfusion of unprotected left main stenosis during an acute myocardial infarction (the ULTIMA experience). Unprotected Left Main Trunk Intervention Multi-center Assessment.

The ULTIMA registry was a prospective, multicenter, international registry of 277 patients who underwent percutaneous coronary interventions of unprotected left main trunk stenosis. The 40 patients who underwent an emergency percutaneous left main intervention for acute myocardial infarction are the focus of this study. We compared the results of primary angioplasty with primary stenting, characterizing both the short-term (in-hospital) and long-term (12-month) outcomes. Of the 40 patients, 23 underwent primary angioplasty, whereas 17 underwent primary stenting. The angiographic success rate was an 88% for the cohort. The in-hospital death or coronary artery bypass grafting rate was 65% for the entire group, 74% for the percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty group (PTCA), and 53% for the stent group (p = 0.2). The in-hospital death rate was 55% for the entire cohort, 70% for the PTCA group, and 35% for the stent group (p = 0.1). The 12-month rate of death or bypass surgery was 83% and 58% for the PTCA and stent groups, respectively (p = 0.047). The 12-month survival rate was 35% and 53% for the PTCA and stent groups, respectively (p = 0.18). Bypass surgery was required in 6 patients in the PTCA group and 2 patients in the stent group (p = 0.07). Patients undergoing percutaneous interventions for unprotected left main myocardial stenosis during an acute myocardial infarction are critically ill; an initial percutaneous revascularization approach appears feasible and may be the preferred revascularization strategy. Primary stenting was associated with improved clinical outcomes.

Aged↗
PubMed1999

Coronary artery stent restenosis responds favorably to repeat interventions.

One hundred sixty patients who underwent a percutaneous intervention for treatment of in-stent restenosis were evaluated on clinical follow-up to determine the predictors of reintervention, and also to compare rotational atherectomy with repeat percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) for this condition. Current smoking and saphenous vein graft location were the independent predictors of target vessel revascularization (TVR), and there was no difference in the rate of TVR between rotational atherectomy and re-PTCA.

Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary↗
PubMed1999

Reduction in myocardial infarct size by basic fibroblast growth factor following coronary occlusion in a canine model.

In a canine model of permanent coronary occlusion it has been shown that basic fibroblast growth factor (bFGF) reduced infarct size and this was associated with an increase in myocardial capillary density a week after infarction. In a preliminary work from our own laboratory using a model of occlusion followed by prolonged reperfusion we observed a similar reduction in infarct size without evidence of myocardial neovascularization. The aim of the present investigation was to evaluate the effects of bFGF on infarct size and blood flow to the infarct zone in an acute experiment in which myocardial neovascularization would be excluded as a mechanism by the short duration of the study. Seventeen mongrel dogs were anesthetized and the heart was exposed through a left thoracotomy. The left anterior descending (LAD) coronary artery was isolated and occluded for 3 h. Fifteen min after LAD occlusion dogs received bFGF 20 microg of bFGF (n=6) or placebo (n=11) by intracoronary injection infused over 5 min. We measured heart rate, aortic pressure, regional coronary blood flow (CBF), regional shortening fraction (SF) at 1, 30 and 180 min of occlusion, then the LAD was reperfused for 5 min then the dogs were euthanized and infarct size was measured. Regional CBF was similar between the two groups of dogs throughout all the study. The SF was similar between the two groups prior the onset of ischemia and at the beginning of the ischemic period. After 180 min of ischemia SF was 2.7+/-4.1% for bFGF and -3.1+/-4.7 for placebo (P=0.049), and during reperfusion SF was 3.4+/-4.6% for bFGF and 0.4+/-1.0% for placebo treated dogs (P=0.023). The infarct size, normalized for the area at risk was 14.2+/-5.2% in bFGF group vs 25.8+/-8.2% in placebo group (P=0.015). In summary we have demonstrated that bFGF significantly limits myocardial necrosis after acute coronary occlusion, and that this occurred without an increase in regional myocardial perfusion and within a period of time too brief for angiogenesis to have occurred. By exclusion, it appears that the salutary effect of bFGF is likely to be mediated by a cellular mechanism. The mechanism or mechanisms responsible for myocardial salvage by bFGF may have significant potential to be exploited in the clinical arena as the basis for therapies to protect the acutely ischemic myocardium.

Animals↗
PubMed1999

Economics, health-related quality of life, and cost-effectiveness methods for the TACTICS (Treat Angina With Aggrastat [tirofiban]] and Determine Cost of Therapy with Invasive or Conservative Strategy)-TIMI 18 trial.

Concern over escalating health care costs has led to increasing focus on economics and assessment of outcome measures for expensive forms of therapy. This is being investigated in the Treat Angina With Aggrastat [tirofiban] and Determine Cost of Therapy with Invasive or Conservative Strategy (TACTICS)-TIMI 18 trial, a randomized trial comparing outcome of patients with unstable angina or non-Q-wave myocardial infarction treated with tirofiban and then randomized to an invasive versus a conservative strategy. Hospital and professional costs initially and over 6 months, including outpatient costs, will be assessed. Hospital costs will be determined for patients in the United States from the UB92 formulation of the hospital bill, with costs derived from charges using departmental cost to charge ratios. Professional costs will be determined by accounting for professional services and then converted to resource units using the Resource Based Relative Value Scale and then to costs using the Medicare conversion factor. Follow-up resource consumption, including medications, testing and office visits, will be carefully measured with a Patient Economic Form, and converted to costs from the Medicare fee schedule. Health-related quality of life will be assessed with a specific instrument, the Seattle Angina Questionnaire, and a general instrument, the Health Utilities Index at baseline, 1, and 6 months. The Health Utilities Index will also be used to construct a utility. By knowing utility and survival, quality-adjusted life years will be determined. These measures will permit the performance of a cost-effectiveness analysis, with the cost-effectiveness of the invasive strategy defined and the difference in cost between the invasive and conservative strategies divided by the difference in quality-adjusted life years. The economic and health-related quality of life aspects of TACTICS-TIMI 18 are an integral part of the study design and will provide a comprehensive understanding of the impact of invasive versus conservative management strategies on a broad range of outcomes after hospitalization for unstable angina or non-Q-wave myocardial infarction.

Angina Pectoris↗
PubMed1999

Corrected TIMI frame count does not predict 30-day adverse outcomes after reperfusion therapy for acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) flow grading is limited by subjectivity and imprecision. The corrected TIMI frame count (cTFC) has been proposed to obviate these problems. We sought to validate the utility of the cTFC in predicting adverse clinical outcomes after reperfusion therapy. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used angiographic core laboratory data from the Intravenous nPA for Treating Infarcting Myocardium Early Study (lanoteplase versus alteplase) to assess the predictive capacity of both final TIMI flow and cTFC on 30 day-composite adverse outcome (death, reinfarction, and new or worsening congestive heart failure). Only 390 angiograms of 586 were analyzable for cTFC; 33.4% of angiograms could not be analyzed for cTFC because filling of distal landmarks was not visualized for technical reasons such as inadequate panning. The interobserver correlation for determination of the cTFC was 0.99 and the intraobserver correlation was 0.97. The cTFC in the group with adverse outcomes was 49 +/- 34; in the group without adverse outcomes, it was 44 +/- 31 (P =.27). Of note, the TIMI flow correlated with adverse outcome in the overall group of patients (P =.018, area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve [c] = 0. 590) as well as in the group of patients with cines analyzable for cTFC (P =.025, c = 0.600). The independent correlates of adverse outcomes were age (P <.001), heart rate (P =.001), TIMI flow grade (P =.027), and infarct location (P =.038) but not cTFC. CONCLUSIONS: The cTFC did not predict adverse outcomes in this population of patients but did show excellent reproducibility within our core laboratory.

Coronary Angiography↗
PubMed1999

Smoking status and outcome after primary coronary angioplasty for acute myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Because of the increased propensity of intracoronary thrombi to form in cigarette smokers, percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTCA) for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) may be less effective in smokers. We sought to determine the impact of smoking status on outcome after PTCA for AMI. METHODS: Patients enrolled in the GUSTO IIb Angioplasty Substudy were randomly assigned to receive PTCA or tissue-plasminogen activator (tPA) for AMI. The interaction of smoking status (nonsmokers = 344, former smokers = 294, current smokers = 490) and treatment strategy with the occurrence of death, nonfatal reinfarction, or nonfatal, disabling stroke at 30 days was analyzed. Procedural success (residual stenosis <50% and Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction [TIMI] flow grade 3) was also analyzed for patients who underwent PTCA (n = 444). RESULTS: Among patients who underwent PTCA, nonsmokers had worse percent stenosis of the culprit lesion before reperfusion (P =.03) and more often had TIMI flow grade 0 (P <.05). Procedural success was more common in smokers (65.6%) than in former smokers (53.3%) and nonsmokers (52. 4%; P =.02), reflecting a higher rate of postprocedure TIMI 3 flow. PTCA was associated with a better 30-day outcome than tPA for current smokers (odds ratio [95% confidence interval] = 0.41 [0.19 to 0.88]), with a similar trend for former smokers (0.73 [0.34 to 1. 58]) and nonsmokers (0.77 [0.42 to 1.40]). At 6 months, smokers randomly assigned to PTCA also had fewer deaths and reinfarction (0. 58 [0.31 to 1.07]). CONCLUSIONS: Although smoking status affects angiographic variables before and after PTCA for AMI, PTCA is associated with a better 30-day outcome than tPA regardless of smoking status and should be considered when readily available.

Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary↗
PubMed1999

Influence of patient age on the nature of tooth fracture.

STATEMENT OF PROBLEM: There is much controversy in the literature relating the incidence of tooth fracture to patient age. The nature (complete or incomplete) of fracture is one aspect that is frequently reported; however, the results highlight relative differences with respect to age and the inadequacy of the statistic used for analysis. PURPOSE: This study: (1) reviewed the existing literature on the relationship of patient age and nature of tooth fracture, (2) investigated the nature of tooth fractures among attendees of an emergency clinic, and (3) assessed any relationship between nature of fracture and patient age. MATERIAL AND METHOD: From the existing literature, 6 studies were suitable for combined analysis. The study was conducted among subjects attending the Student Emergency Dental Service in the University Dental Hospital of Manchester over a 2-year period, 1995-97. Each study subject had a fractured tooth and was examined by 1 of the authors and data were recorded. RESULTS: Combined analysis showed that the age of patients with incomplete fractures was higher than those with complete fractures (P <.05). A total of 229 patients exhibited complete (n = 263) or incomplete (n = 8) fractures of 271 teeth. Age range of 18 to 47 years demonstrated a skewed distribution with a median of 21 years. There was a statistically significant difference in age distribution between the 2 natures of tooth fracture (P <.05) with incomplete fractures associated with older ages. CONCLUSION: Incomplete tooth fractures are uncommon in students attending an emergency clinic. Complete fractures may occur at any age, while it appears that incomplete fractures are associated with older age groups.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1999

Effect of age on outcome with primary angioplasty versus thrombolysis.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to determine how risks associated with increasing age differed in patients treated with percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty versus thrombolysis. BACKGROUND: Advancing age is a risk factor for adverse outcome in patients with acute myocardial infarction. Primary angioplasty has been thought to be particularly beneficial in higher risk patients including the elderly. There is, however, limited data on any differential incremental benefit of angioplasty compared with thrombolysis in candidates for either treatment. METHODS: In the GUSTO-IIb angioplasty substudy, 1,138 patients were randomized to receive primary angioplasty or accelerated tissue-type plasminogen activator (t-PA). The effect of age on outcome was assessed as a discrete and continuous variable for each treatment group. Models using age as a linear factor as well as cubic spline transformations were used for the major end points of 30-day death or disabling stroke; death or reinfarction; and death, reinfarction or disabling stroke. RESULTS: For each 10-year patient group, outcome was improved with angioplasty (n = 565) compared with t-PA (n = 573). Irrespective of treatment, however, risk increased with age. After adjusting for baseline characteristics, each increment of 10 years of age increased the risk of death or myocardial infarction by 1.32 (95% confidence interval 1.04 to 1.76, p = 0.022). For all adverse outcomes, this incremental effect of increasing age was constant. CONCLUSIONS: Advancing age is associated with worse outcomes, and the risks increase in proportion to age. Although primary angioplasty improves outcomes over thrombolysis, it does not appear to be more beneficial in older than in younger patient groups. The incremental adverse effect of age does not vary by treatment strategy.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

Comparing physician-specific two-year patient outcomes after coronary angiography: methodologic issues and results.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to evaluate methodologies to compare physician-related long-term patient outcomes appropriately. BACKGROUND: Evaluation of physicians on the basis of short-term patient outcome is becoming widely practiced. These analyses fail to consider the importance of long-term outcome, and methods appropriate to such an analysis are poorly defined. METHODS: All patients undergoing coronary angiography between 1992 and 1994 who received all of their cardiac care at our institution were followed for 27+/-13 months (mean+/-SD). Patients (n = 754) were cared for by one or more of 17 staff physicians. Risk-adjusted models were developed for four candidate clinical end points and cost. Physicians were then evaluated for each outcome measure. RESULTS: Of the clinical end points, death could be modeled most accurately (c-statistic = 0.83). The c-statistics for other end points ranged from 0.63 to 0.70. Physicians with outcomes statistically different (p < 0.05) from other physicians were identified more commonly than would be expected from the play of chance (p = 0.005). However, improvement in the c-statistics by the addition of physician identifiers was very modest. Physician's evaluations by the four measures of clinical outcome were variably correlated (r = .00 to .85). Graphic display of clinical and cost results for each physician did identify certain physicians who might be judged to provide more cost-effective care than others. CONCLUSIONS: Although comparisons of groups of physicians on the basis of long-term patient outcomes may have merit, individual physician-to-physician comparisons will be more difficult, owing to 1) multiple physicians contributing care to individual patients; 2) the poor predictive capacity of models other than that for survival; and 3) the modest apparent impact of differences in physician providers on long-term patient outcome. With these caveats in mind, modeling to compare patient outcomes of individual physicians with homogeneous patient populations or to identify gross outliers (good or bad) may be practicable in some patient-care systems, but may be inappropriate in others.

Aged↗
PubMed1999

The importance of proteinuria as a determinant of mortality following percutaneous coronary revascularization in diabetics.

OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study were to compare mortality and clinical events following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) between nondiabetics and diabetics with and without proteinuria. BACKGROUND: Diabetics have increased rates of late myocardial infarction, repeat revascularization and mortality when compared with nondiabetics following PCI. Proteinuria is a marker for diabetic nephropathy and potentially a surrogate marker for advanced atherosclerosis. It is unknown if proteinuria is a predictor of outcome in diabetics following PCI. METHODS: We performed an observational study of 2,784 patients who underwent PCI at the Cleveland Clinic between January 1993 and December 1995. There were 2,247 nondiabetics and 537 diabetics with urinalysis and follow-up data available (proteinuria n = 217, nonproteinuria n = 320). The diabetic proteinuria group was further prospectively stratified into low concentration (n = 182) and high concentration (n = 35). The end points were all-cause mortality and the composite end point of death, nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) and need for revascularization. RESULTS: The mean follow-up time was 20.2 months. The two-year mortality rate was 7.3% and 13.5% for nondiabetics and diabetics, respectively (p < 0.001). The two-year mortality rate was 9.1% and 20.3% for the nonproteinuria and proteinuria groups, respectively (p < 0.001). There was a graded increase in mortality comparing the diabetic group. The two-year mortality rate was 9.1%, 16.2% and 43.1% for the nonproteinuria, low concentration and high concentration groups, respectively (p < 0.001). The difference in survival between the nondiabetic and nonproteinuric diabetics was not significant (p = 0.8). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of proteinuria is the key determinant of risk following PCI for diabetics. Diabetics without evidence of proteinuria have similar survival compared with nondiabetics.

Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary↗
PubMed1999

Validation of risk adjustment models for in-hospital percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty mortality on an independent data set.

OBJECTIVES: We sought to validate recently proposed risk adjustment models for in-hospital percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty (PTCA) mortality on an independent data set of high risk patients undergoing PTCA. BACKGROUND: Risk adjustment models for PTCA mortality have recently been reported, but external validation on independent data sets and on high risk patient groups is lacking. METHODS: Between July 1, 1994 and June 1, 1996, 1,476 consecutive procedures were performed on a high risk patient group characterized by a high incidence of cardiogenic shock (3.3%) and acute myocardial infarction (14.3%). Predictors of in-hospital mortality were identified using multivariate logistic regression analysis. Two external models of in-hospital mortality, one developed by the Northern New England Cardiovascular Disease Study Group (model NNE) and the other by the Cleveland Clinic (model CC), were compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: In this patient group, an overall in-hospital mortality rate of 3.4% was observed. Multivariate regression analysis identified risk factors for death in the hospital that were similar to the risk factors identified by the two external models. When fitted to the data set, both external models had an area under the ROC curve >0.85, indicating overall excellent model discrimination, and both models were accurate in predicting mortality in different patient subgroups. There was a trend toward a greater ability to predict mortality for model NNE as compared with model CC, but the difference was not significant. CONCLUSIONS: Predictive models for PTCA mortality yield comparable results when applied to patient groups other than the one on which the original model was developed. The accuracy of the two models tested in adjusting for the relatively high mortality rate observed in this patient group supports their application in quality assessment or quality improvement efforts.

Aged↗