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Robert M Califf

Publications and source records attributed to Robert M Califf.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources
PubMed2005

Impact of bleeding severity on clinical outcomes among patients with acute coronary syndromes.

Bleeding is a complication of current therapies for acute coronary syndrome (ACS). No studies have examined the effect of bleeding events on clinical outcomes. We analyzed pooled data from 4 multicenter, randomized clinical trials of patients who had ACS (n = 26,452) to determine an association between bleeding severity as measured by the GUSTO scale and 30-day and 6-month mortality rates using Cox proportional hazards modeling that incorporated bleeding as a time-dependent covariate. The analysis was repeated to examine procedure- and non-procedure-related bleeding and after censoring at the time of coronary artery bypass grafting. Of all the patients included, 27.6% had > or =1 bleeding episode. Patients who bled were older and sicker at presentation than were those who did not bleed. Unadjusted rates of 30-day and 6-month mortality increased as bleeding severity increased. There were stepwise increases in the adjusted hazards of 30-day mortality (mild bleeding, hazard ratio [HR] 1.6, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.3 to 1.9; moderate bleeding, HR 2.7, 95% CI l 2.3 to 3.4; severe bleeding, HR 10.6, 95% CI 8.3 to 13.6) and 6-month mortality (mild bleeding, HR 1.4, 95% CI 1.2 to 1.6; moderate bleeding, HR 2.1, 95% CI 1.8 to 2.4; severe bleeding, HR 7.5, 95% CI 6.1 to 9.3) as bleeding severity increased. Results were consistent after censoring for coronary artery bypass grafting and for procedure- and non-procedure-related bleeds. In conclusion, the GUSTO bleeding classification identifies patients who are at risk for short- and long-term adverse events. Therapies that minimize bleeding risk and maintain an anticoagulant effect may improve outcomes among patients who have ACS.

Acute Disease↗
PubMed2005

Renal function, concomitant medication use and outcomes following acute coronary syndromes.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is highly prevalent in patients with cardiovascular disease. We explored the associations of CKD with outcomes using combined data from two large acute coronary syndrome (ACS) trials. We also explored the associations of CKD with prescription patterns for common cardiovascular medications and the association of these prescription patterns with clinical outcomes. METHODS: Patients were stratified by CKD stage using creatinine clearance (CrCl, ml/min) estimated by the modified MDRD equation using baseline core laboratory creatinine measures. Serum creatinine > or =1.5 mg/dl was an exclusion criterion for the SYMPHONY trials. Baseline characteristics and outcomes across CKD categories were compared and Cox proportional hazards regression was used to assess the relationship of renal insufficiency with clinical outcomes after adjusting for previously identified outcome predictors. Interactions between the use of specific medications and calculated CrCl were tested in the final Cox proportional hazards model predicting time to mortality. RESULTS: Of 13 707 patients analysed, 6840 had CKD stage I (CrCl > or =90 ml/min), 5909 stage II (CrCl 60-89 ml/min), 955 stage III (CrCl 30-59 ml/min) and three stage IV (CrCl <30 ml/min). Patients with more advanced CKD (III) were older, more often female, non-smokers and more likely to have co-morbid diseases including diabetes mellitus, hypertension and congestive heart failure. Cardiovascular medications were used less frequently in patients with CKD. Unadjusted survival was poorer in patients with CKD stages > or =II. In adjusted analyses, for those with CrCl < or =91, each 10 ml/min increase in CrCl was associated with a significantly decreased risk of mortality (hazards ratio 0.897, 95% confidence interval 0.815-0.986) (P = 0.024). The interaction between use of angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors and CrCl was significantly associated with outcomes; the benefit of drug therapy was greater among patients with CKD. CONCLUSIONS: CKD is an independent predictor of risk among ACS patients, and is associated with less frequent use of proven medical therapies. More aggressive use of conventional cardiovascular therapies in patients with CKD and ACS may be warranted.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Patients with prolonged ischemic chest pain and presumed-new left bundle branch block have heterogeneous outcomes depending on the presence of ST-segment changes.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this research was to examine the prognostic value of ST-segment changes (concordant ST-segment elevation and/or precordial V1 to V3 ST-segment depression) during presumed-new left bundle branch block (LBBB) in patients receiving fibrinolytic therapy. BACKGROUND: These patients are often considered high-risk, but their outcome is not well-defined. METHODS: The Hirulog and Early Reperfusion or Occlusion (HERO)-2 trial compared bivalirudin with heparin in patients receiving streptokinase for ST-segment elevation or presumed-new LBBB. Each patient with LBBB was matched with a control (with normal intraventricular conduction) for age, gender, pulse rate, systolic blood pressure, Killip class, and region. RESULTS: A total of 300 patients had LBBB (92 with and 208 without ST-segment changes) and 15,340 had normal conduction. Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) occurred in 80.7% of LBBB patients and 88.7% of controls (p = 0.006). ST-segment changes were specific (96.6%) but not sensitive (37.8%) for enzymatic diagnosis of AMI. Mortality at 30 days was similar in LBBB patients with ST-segment changes (21.7%) and controls (25.0%, p = 0.563), but lower in LBBB patients without ST-segment changes than in controls (13.5% vs. 21.6%, p = 0.022). In the whole HERO-2 cohort, the LBBB patients with ST-segment changes had higher mortality than patients with normal conduction (odds ratio [OR] 1.37, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78 to 2.42). The LBBB patients without ST-segment changes had lower mortality than patients with normal conduction (OR 0.52, 95% CI 0.33 to 0.80). CONCLUSIONS: ST-segment changes during LBBB are specific for the diagnosis of AMI and predict 30-day mortality; LBBB patients without ST-segment changes have lower adjusted 30-day mortality than those with normal conduction. Trials are required to determine the best treatment for high-risk and low-risk patients with LBBB.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Extent of ST-segment depression and cardiac events in non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes.

AIMS: We sought to determine whether the extent of myocardial ischaemia on the admission electrocardiogram (ECG) has independent predictive value for short-term risk stratification of patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes (NSTE ACS). Although the presence of ischaemic ECG changes on admission has been shown to predict outcome, the relationship between the extent of ECG changes and the risk of cardiac events is still ill defined. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analysed the admission ECGs of 5192 ACS patients enrolled in the GUSTO-IIb trial, without an ECG indication for thrombolysis. ECG tracings showing one or more of the following were eligible: ST-segment depression >0.5 mm, T-wave inversion >1 mm, and ST-segment elevation >0.5 mm but <1 mm. ECG variables associated with unfavourable 30 day outcomes in a univariable analysis were further assessed in a multivariable logistic regression model including independent clinical predictors. In the multivariable clinical, enzymatic, and ECG model, the sum of ST-segment depression (in millimetres) in all leads was a powerful independent predictor of 30 day death (P<0.0001), with a continuous increase in risk with the extent of ST-segment depression. The sum of ST-segment depression (P<0.0001) and the presence of minimal inferior ST-segment elevation (P<0.0001) or anterior ST-segment elevation (P=0.0182) were also independent predictors of the composite of death and myocardial infarction or reinfarction. The extent of ST-segment depression showed a highly significant correlation with the prevalence of three-vessel (P<0.0001) or left main coronary disease (P<0.0001), and also with the peak levels of creatine kinase (P<0.0001) during the index episode of ACS. CONCLUSION: In patients with NSTE ACS, the sum of ST-segment depression in all ECG leads is a powerful predictor of all-cause mortality at 30 days, independent of clinical variables and correlates with the extent and severity of coronary artery disease. The presence of even minimal (<1 mm) ST-segment elevation in anterior or inferior leads is independently associated with adverse outcomes.

Acute Disease↗
PubMed2005

Sudden death in patients with myocardial infarction and left ventricular dysfunction, heart failure, or both.

BACKGROUND: The risk of sudden death from cardiac causes is increased among survivors of acute myocardial infarction with reduced left ventricular systolic function. We assessed the risk and time course of sudden death in high-risk patients after myocardial infarction. METHODS: We studied 14,609 patients with left ventricular dysfunction, heart failure, or both after myocardial infarction to assess the incidence and timing of sudden unexpected death or cardiac arrest with resuscitation in relation to the left ventricular ejection fraction. RESULTS: Of 14,609 patients, 1067 (7 percent) had an event a median of 180 days after myocardial infarction: 903 died suddenly, and 164 were resuscitated after cardiac arrest. The risk was highest in the first 30 days after myocardial infarction--1.4 percent per month (95 percent confidence interval, 1.2 to 1.6 percent)--and decreased to 0.14 percent per month (95 percent confidence interval, 0.11 to 0.18 percent) after 2 years. Patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction of 30 percent or less were at highest risk in this early period (rate, 2.3 percent per month; 95 percent confidence interval, 1.8 to 2.8 percent). Nineteen percent of all sudden deaths or episodes of cardiac arrest with resuscitation occurred within the first 30 days after myocardial infarction, and 83 percent of all patients who died suddenly did so in the first 30 days after hospital discharge. Each decrease of 5 percentage points in the left ventricular ejection fraction was associated with a 21 percent adjusted increase in the risk of sudden death or cardiac arrest with resuscitation in the first 30 days. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of sudden death is highest in the first 30 days after myocardial infarction among patients with left ventricular dysfunction, heart failure, or both. Thus, earlier implementation of strategies for preventing sudden death may be warranted in selected patients.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Heart failure on admission and the risk of stroke following acute myocardial infarction: the VALIANT registry.

AIMS: We sought to assess the relative contribution of heart failure (HF) on admission for an acute myocardial infarction (MI) to the subsequent in-hospital stroke risk. METHODS AND RESULTS: The VALsartan In Acute myocardial iNfarcTion (VALIANT) registry enrolled 5573 consecutive MI patients at 84 international sites from 1999 to 2001. We calculated odds ratios (ORs) for stroke and adjusted for baseline characteristics, Killip Class, and risk factors for stroke, such as diabetes and prior HF. In-hospital stroke occurred in 81 (1.5%) patients. HF was present on admission in 38% of patients who developed a stroke and in 24% who did not (P=0.001). Older age (OR 1.03 increase/year, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.04), Killip Class III (OR 1.66, CI 0.86-3.19) or IV (OR 4.85, CI 1.69-13.93), history of hypertension (OR 1.73, CI 1.06-2.82), and history of stroke (OR 1.89, CI 1.06-3.37) were more common in patients who had in-hospital stroke. In-hospital mortality in patients with and without stroke was 27.2 and 6.5%, respectively (P<0.001). CONCLUSION: Patients with stroke after MI have a dismal prognosis. The presence of HF on admission for an acute MI increases in-hospital stroke risk. HF treatments may modify the risk of stroke.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Changes in ventricular size and function in patients treated with valsartan, captopril, or both after myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors have been shown to attenuate left ventricular (LV) enlargement in association with reducing mortality after myocardial infarction (MI). Preclinical data suggest that angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) may have similar structural and functional effects after MI. The Valsartan in Acute Myocardial Infarction (VALIANT) Echo study was designed to test the hypothesis that the ARB valsartan, either alone or in combination with captopril, could attenuate progressive LV enlargement or improve LV ejection fraction to a greater extent than captopril alone. METHODS AND RESULTS: Six hundred ten patients enrolled in the main VALIANT study who experienced MI and evidence of LV dysfunction, heart failure, or both were enrolled in the VALIANT Echo study. Patients were randomized to receive valsartan 160 mg PO BID, captopril 50 mg PO TID, or valsartan 80 mg PO BID plus captopril 50 mg PO TID between 1 and 10 days after MI. Six hundred three patients had echocardiograms of sufficient quality for quantitative analysis. Echocardiograms were digitized, and endocardial borders were traced manually from 2 short-axis and 2 apical views. Ventricular volumes, ejection fractions, combined areas, and infarct segment length were measured, and changes in echocardiographic measures from baseline to 20 months were compared between treatment groups. Baseline clinical and echocardiographic characteristics were similar in the 3 treatment arms. The changes from baseline to 20 months in all echocardiographic parameters were similar in all 3 treatment arms. Baseline echocardiographic measures of ejection fraction, end-diastolic volume, and infarct segment length were highly predictive of outcomes including total mortality, death or hospitalization for heart failure, or death or any cardiovascular event (heart failure, MI, stroke, resuscitated sudden death), even after adjustment for known covariates. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with the ACE inhibitor captopril, valsartan, or the combination of captopril plus valsartan resulted in similar changes in cardiac volume, ejection fraction, and infarct segment length between baseline and 20 months after MI. Baseline echocardiographic measures were powerfully and independently predictive of all major outcomes.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Association of height with outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction receiving reperfusion therapy.

Data were evaluated for patients with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (n = 94,182) enrolled in 6 large clinical trials evaluating the efficacy of various reperfusion strategies. It was found that compared with the tallest quartile, incidences of in-hospital reinfarction, stroke, major bleeding, cardiogenic shock, heart failure, and death in the shortest group were 1.4, 1.7, 1.7, 1.8, 1.9, and 2.4 times greater, respectively. Although a strong inverse association of height was observed with unadjusted 30-day mortality (p <0.001), it was attenuated after adjustment for confounders, including weight, and appeared to be nonlinear, such that for height </=165 cm, the odds ratio [OR] for a 10-cm increment in height was 1.115 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.014 to 1.223) and for height >165 cm, the OR for a 10-cm increase in height was 0.962 (95% CI 0.896 to 1.033). These data indicate that height-related differences in 30-day mortality are explained in large part by height-related differences in patients' clinical characteristics.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Intradialytic blood volume monitoring in ambulatory hemodialysis patients: a randomized trial.

Complications related to inadequate volume management are common during hemodialysis. This trial tested the hypothesis that availability of an intradialytic blood volume monitoring (IBVM) device improves fluid removal, reducing morbidity. A six-center, randomized trial with 6 mo of intervention comparing IBVM using Crit-Line versus conventional clinical monitoring was conducted. The average rate of non-access-related hospitalizations was compared across treatment groups using Poisson regression. Mortality analysis used the Kaplan Meier method. A total of 227 patients were randomized to Crit-Line, and 216 were randomized to conventional monitoring. Both groups had similar baseline characteristics. During the study, no differences in weight, BP, or number of dialysis-related complications were observed. There were 120 and 81 non-access-related hospitalizations in the Crit-Line and conventional monitoring groups. The adjusted risk ratio for non-access-related and access-related hospitalization was 1.61 (95% confidence interval 1.15 to 2.25; P = 0.01) and 1.52 (95% confidence interval 1.02 to 2.28; P = 0.04) for the Crit-Line monitoring group. Mortality was 8.7% in the Crit-Line monitoring group and 3.3% in the conventional group (P = 0.021). Standardized mortality ratios comparing the Crit-Line and conventional monitoring groups to the prevalent hemodialysis population were 0.77 (NS) and 0.26 (P < 0.001). Hospitalization rates were 1.51 and 1.03 events/yr in the Crit-Line and standard monitoring groups, compared with 2.01 for the prevalent hemodialysis population. IBVM was associated with higher nonvascular and vascular access-related hospitalizations and mortality compared with conventional monitoring. The atypically low hospitalization and mortality rates for the conventional monitoring group suggest that these findings should be generalized to the US hemodialysis population with caution.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Lower serum sodium is associated with increased short-term mortality in hospitalized patients with worsening heart failure: results from the Outcomes of a Prospective Trial of Intravenous Milrinone for Exacerbations of Chronic Heart Failure (OPTIME-CHF) study.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of serum sodium in patients hospitalized for worsening heart failure has not been well defined. METHODS AND RESULTS: The Outcomes of a Prospective Trial of Intravenous Milrinone for Exacerbations of Chronic Heart Failure (OPTIME-CHF) study randomized 949 patients with systolic dysfunction hospitalized for worsening heart failure to receive 48 to 72 hours of intravenous milrinone or placebo in addition to standard therapy. In a retrospective analysis, we investigated the relationship between admission serum sodium and the primary end point of days hospitalized for cardiovascular causes within 60 days of randomization, as well as the secondary end points of in-hospital mortality, 60-day mortality, and 60-day mortality/rehospitalization. The number of days hospitalized for cardiovascular causes was higher in the lowest sodium quartile: 8.0 (4.5, 18.5) versus 6 (4, 13) versus 6 (4, 11.5) versus 6 (4, 12) days (P<0.015 for comparison with the lowest quartile). Lower serum sodium was associated with higher in-hospital and 60-day mortality: 5.9% versus 1% versus 2.3% versus 2.3% (P<0.015) and 15.9% versus 6.4% versus 7.8% versus 7% (P=0.002), respectively. There was a trend toward higher mortality/rehospitalization for patients who were in the lowest sodium quartile. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that serum sodium on admission, when modeled linearly, predicted increased 60-day mortality: sodium (per 3-mEq/L decrease) had a hazard ratio of 1.18 with a 95% CI of 1.03 to 1.36 (P=0.018). CONCLUSIONS: In patients hospitalized for worsening heart failure, admission serum sodium is an independent predictor of increased number of days hospitalized for cardiovascular causes and increased mortality within 60 days of discharge.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Clinical and economic implications of the Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial-II.

BACKGROUND: The Multicenter Automatic Defibrillator Implantation Trial (MADIT)-II demonstrated that implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs) save lives when used in patients with a history of myocardial infarction (MI) and an ejection fraction of 0.3 or less. OBJECTIVE: To investigate the cost-effectiveness of implanting ICDs in patients who met MADIT-II eligibility criteria and were enrolled in the Duke Cardiovascular Database between 1 January 1986 and 31 December 2001. DESIGN: Cost-effectiveness analysis. DATA SOURCES: Published literature, databases owned by Duke University Medical Center, and Medicare data. TARGET POPULATION: Adults with a history of MI and an ejection fraction of 0.3 or less. TIME HORIZON: Lifetime. PERSPECTIVE: Societal. INTERVENTIONS: ICD therapy versus conventional medical therapy. OUTCOMES MEASURES: Cost per life-year gained and incremental cost-effectiveness. RESULTS: Compared with conventional medical therapy, ICDs are projected to result in an increase of 1.80 discounted years in life expectancy and an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of 50,500 dollars per life-year gained. Cost-effectiveness varied dramatically with changes in time horizon: The cost-effectiveness ratio increased to 67,800 dollars per life-year gained, 79,900 dollars per life-year gained, 100,000 dollars per life-year gained, 167,900 dollars per life-year gained, and 367,200 dollars per life-year gained for 15-year, 12-year, 9-year, 6-year, and 3-year time horizons, respectively. Changing the frequency of follow-up visits, complication rates, and battery replacements had less of an effect on the cost-effectiveness ratios than reducing the cost of ICD placement and leads. LIMITATIONS: The study was limited by the completeness of the data, referral bias, difference in medical therapy between the Duke cohort and the MADIT-II cohort, and not addressing potential upgrades to biventricular devices. CONCLUSIONS: The economic expense of defibrillator implantation in all patients who meet MADIT-II eligibility criteria is substantial. However, in the range of survival benefit observed in MADIT-II, ICD therapy for these patients is economically attractive by conventional standards.

Adult↗
PubMed2005

Relationship of incorrect dosing of fibrinolytic therapy and clinical outcomes.

CONTEXT: Incorrect dosing of alteplase has been associated with worse clinical outcomes in patients. However, patients at high risk of adverse events are more prone to dosing errors, thus confounding this relationship. OBJECTIVE: To determine if the association between incorrect dosing of alteplase and adverse outcomes is related to cause and effect or to confounding. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PATIENTS: Observational analysis in May 2004 of a double-blind, double-dummy trial of 16,949 patients with ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction who were enrolled in the Assessment of the Safety and Efficacy of a New Thrombolytic (ASSENT-2) trial and were assigned to either a bolus of tenecteplase (with alteplase placebo bolus plus infusion) or a bolus of alteplase (with tenecteplase placebo plus infusion). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Thirty-day mortality, in-hospital stroke, and major bleeding associated with incorrect dosing of active alteplase compared with placebo alteplase. RESULTS: Incorrect dosing occurred in 4.9% of patients who received active alteplase and in 4.6% of patients who received alteplase placebo. Patients receiving incorrect doses of alteplase or alteplase placebo were more likely to be older, female, black, shorter, have lower body weight and systolic blood pressure, and have a higher Killip class at presentation. Thirty-day mortality was higher in patients who received an overdose (9.8%) or underdose (19.5%) of alteplase compared with those who received a correct dose (5.4%). The same pattern was present in patients who received an alteplase placebo (10.0% for overdose, 23.5% for underdose, and 5.4% for correct dose). Similar patterns were seen for in-hospital intracranial hemorrhage and major bleeding. The higher rates of adverse outcomes with incorrect dosing were largely accounted for by adjusting for baseline characteristics. CONCLUSIONS: The relationship between incorrect dosing and patient outcome in ASSENT-2 is primarily due to confounding factors rather than incorrect dosing itself. These data highlight the need for caution when ascribing a causal relationship to associations between incorrect dosing and adverse outcomes.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Comparison of ST-segment resolution with combined fibrinolytic and glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor therapy versus fibrinolytic alone (data from four clinical trials).

We compared combination fibrinolytic plus glycoprotein IIb/IIIa inhibitor therapy with stand-alone fibrinolysis with respect to speed and stability of reperfusion in patients who had acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction; data were obtained from 654 patients in 4 trials (Integrilin to Manage Platelet Aggregation to Combat Thrombosis in Acute Myocardial Infarction, Platelet Aggregation Receptor Antagonist Dose Investigation and Reperfusion Gain in Myocardial Infarction, Integrilin and Tenecteplase in Acute Myocardial Infarction, and the Fifth Global Use of Strategies to Open Occluded Coronary Arteries) that compared thrombolytics plus lamifiban, eptifibatide, or abciximab with standard thrombolysis. We found significantly faster and more stable ST-segment recovery with combination therapy starting at 60 minutes (56.7% vs 48.0% with >/=50% ST-segment resolution, p = 0.03) and sustained over 180 minutes after drug administration; this transient benefit may suggest a time frame when more optimal percutaneous coronary intervention can be performed.

Abciximab↗
PubMed2005

Incremental prognostic power of single-photon emission computed tomographic myocardial perfusion imaging in patients with known or suspected coronary artery disease.

Noninvasive stress testing provides prognostic information in patients who have suspected coronary artery disease, but limited data are available on the incremental value of myocardial perfusion testing in high-risk patients. We studied 3,275 patients who underwent cardiac catheterization and single-photon emission computed tomographic (SPECT) perfusion imaging. Median follow-up was 3.1 years for death, cardiovascular death, and a composite of cardiovascular death or nonfatal myocardial infarction. Using Cox's proportional hazards regression models, we examined the relation of SPECT summed stress score (SSS) to each outcome. A 1-unit change in SSS was associated with increased risks of 4%, 7%, and 5% for death, cardiovascular death, and death or nonfatal myocardial infarction, respectively (all p <0.0001). To examine the prognostic utility of SPECT, after baseline adjustments, SSS and angiographic results provided incremental prognostic information for each outcome. Thus, SPECT SSS provides information beyond clinical and angiographic data in patients who have known or suspected coronary artery disease. This information may be useful for stratifying patients into multiple risk categories for future cardiovascular events and potentially guiding therapy.

Aged↗
PubMed2005

Reducing the costs of phase III cardiovascular clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: The pharmaceutical industry spends approximately 26.4 billion dollars annually for research and development (4.1 billion dollars in cardiovascular products). We compared pharmaceutical companies' planned resource use and costs in Phase III cardiovascular trials and identified cost-saving strategies. METHODS AND RESULTS: We developed 2 case scenarios (a 17,000-patient, open-label acute coronary syndromes [ACS] trial and a 14,500-patient, double-blind congestive heart failure [CHF]) trial and surveyed 6 pharmaceutical experts about expected resources (e.g., number of sites, case report form [CRF] pages, and monitoring visits) needed for the trials. Using a validated model, we estimated costs under each expert's assumptions. ACS trial costs averaged 83 million dollars (median, 67 million dollars; range, 57 dollars to 158 million dollars) and 142 million dollars (median, 135 million dollars; range, 102 dollars to 207 million dollars) for the CHF trial. Site-related expenses (site management and payments) were >65% of total costs for both trials. In sensitivity analyses, total costs were reduced >40% by simultaneously reducing CRF pages, monitoring visits, and site-payment amounts but maintaining the numbers of patients and sites. CONCLUSIONS: With a set number of sites and patients, the most efficient way to reduce trial costs and still meet the trial's scientific objectives is to reduce management complexity. Modest changes in management parameters release significant monies to answer more research questions.

Clinical Trials, Phase III as Topic↗