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Biomedical subjects

R M Poses

Publications and source records attributed to R M Poses.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
PubMed1997

Bacteremia in young urban women admitted with pyelonephritis.

The objective of this study was to determine the rate of bacteremia in young women admitted to the hospital with presumed pyelonephritis and compare it with other published rates. The study design was a retrospective, structured chart review and a review of published reports of bacteremic pyelonephritis. An urban county teaching hospital provided the setting for the study. The patients were nonpregnant women (n = 98) 44 years of age or younger who were without bladder dysfunction and who had not been admitted to an intensive care unit. Further criteria for participation included discharge with the diagnosis of acute pyelonephritis. Blood cultures were ordered for 69 women; the results of 64 were noted in the chart. Twenty-three women (35.9% of those cultured; 23.4% of all patients) were diagnosed with bacteremia. In patients for whom blood culture results were obtained, trends developed between those patients with bacteremia and those with complicated pyelonephritis, defined as a known or newly discovered genitourinary abnormality or a risk factor (P = 0.044), those who were black (P = .044), those with higher pulses on admission (P = .050), those with more white blood cells per high-powered field after urinalysis (P = 0.007), and those whose fever lasted longer (P = 0.033). Blood culture results were positive in two patients whose urine cultures were negative. This comparatively high bacteremia rate supports routine ordering of blood cultures for urban women suspected of having pyelonephritis.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1997

Physicians' judgments of the risks of cardiac procedures. Differences between cardiologists and other internists.

OBJECTIVES: The authors compared judgments of the population risks of invasive cardiac procedures made by cardiologists and other internal medicine physicians. Our main hypotheses were that cardiologists' judgments would differ from those made by the other physicians and that cardiologists' judgments would be more accurate than those of other physicians. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional survey of senior staff and physician-trainees at two teaching hospitals affiliated with a US medical school, Emergency Department physicians at a community hospital in the same metropolitan area, and senior staff and trainees at two teaching hospitals affiliated with a UK school. Judgments of the risks of severe morbidity and death due to Swan-Ganz catheterization, cardiac catheterization, percutaneous coronary angioplasty, and coronary artery bypass grafting were assessed. RESULTS: Nineteen cardiologists judged the risks of severe morbidity due to all procedures and the risks of death due to all procedures except coronary artery bypass grafting to be significantly lower than did the 78 other internists. Cardiologists more frequently made accurate judgments of the rates of morbidity and death due to cardiac catheterization than did the other internists; other internists more frequently made accurate judgments for the rates of morbidity due to Swan-Ganz catheterization. CONCLUSIONS: Disagreements about the risks of procedures may arise from a paucity of published data, or from an over-supply of confusing data.

Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary↗
PubMed1996

Effect of anaemia and cardiovascular disease on surgical mortality and morbidity.

BACKGROUND: Guidelines have been offered on haemoglobin thresholds for blood transfusion in surgical patients. However, good evidence is lacking on the haemoglobin concentrations at which the risk of death or serious morbidity begins to rise and at which transfusion is indicated. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was performed in 1958 patients, 18 years and older, who underwent surgery and declined blood transfusion for religious reasons. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality and the secondary outcome was 30-day mortality or in-hospital 30-day morbidity. Cardiovascular disease was defined as a history of angina, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, or peripheral vascular disease. FINDINGS: The 30-day mortality was 3.2% (95% CI 2.4-4.0). The mortality was 1.3% (0.8-2.0) in patients with preoperative haemoglobin 12 g/dL or greater and 33.3% (18.6-51.0) in patients with preoperative haemoglobin less than 6 g/dL. The increase in risk of death associated with low preoperative haemoglobin was more pronounced in patients with cardiovascular disease than in patients without (interaction p < 0.03). The effect of blood loss on mortality was larger in patients with low preoperative haemoglobin than in those with a higher preoperative haemoglobin (interaction p < 0.001). The results were similar in analyses of postoperative haemoglobin and 30-day mortality or in-hospital morbidity. INTERPRETATION: A low preoperative haemoglobin or a substantial operative blood loss increases the risk of death or serious morbidity more in patients with cardiovascular disease than in those without. Decisions about transfusion should take account of cardiovascular status and operative blood loss as well as the haemoglobin concentration.

Adult↗
PubMed1996

"The sucker notion".

Explore the source record for details and available documents.

Black or African American↗
PubMed1996

Prediction of survival of critically ill patients by admission comorbidity.

The objective of this study was to determine how well the Charlson index of comorbidity would predict mortality of critically ill patients; and how the predictive ability of the index would compare with that of the comorbidity component (Chronic Health Points) of the APACHE II system. This prospective cohort study included in its setting an intensive care unit (ICU) and intermediate ICU (IICU) in a teaching hospital. Patients included a previously assembled inception cohort of 201 patients consecutively admitted to either unit, followed until death or discharge from the hospital, excluding patients admitted after coronary artery bypass grafting, for planned dialysis, or transferred to the IICU from another intensive care unit. Main outcome measures were recorded as death in hospital versus survival at discharge. For each patient we had prospectively obtained all data necessary to predict the probability of in-hospital death using the APACHE II system, and to classify comorbidity using the Charlson index. The Charlson index had significant ability to discriminate between patients who would live and who would die (ROC curve area = 0.67, SE = 0.05). The Chronic Health Points component of APACHE II had no significant discriminating ability (ROC area = 0.57, SE = 0.05), although the full APACHE II system was an excellent predictor (area = 0.87, SE = 0.04). Logistic regression analyses suggested that the Charlson index could contribute significant (p = 0.03) prognostic information to that obtained from the components of APACHE II other than Chronic Health, i.e., acute physiological derangement, age, and reason for admission, but the Chronic Health Points component of APACHE II could not so contribute to the rest of APACHE II (p = 0.19). Our conclusion is that use of the detailed information about comorbidity captured by the Charlson index could improve prognostic predictions even for critically ill patients.

APACHE↗
PubMed1996

Clinical variables influencing treatment decisions for agitated dementia patients: survey of physician judgments.

OBJECTIVE: To better understand primary treatment recommendations and the variables that might influence treatment decisions of physicians who treat agitated dementia patients. DESIGN: A written cross-sectional survey of three physician groups (geriatric psychiatrists, primary care physicians, and neurologists) who typically treat agitated dementia patients in community settings. We used a written clinical vignette describing a home-bound, agitated dementia patient to ask respondents to provide information regarding their primary treatment recommendation and to estimate the degree to which clinically relevant variables might influence their treatment recommendation. Using principal component analysis, the original set of clinical variables was collapsed into a smaller set of composite factors that better defined the fundamental constructs of the variables that influenced decision making. Analyses compared primary treatment recommendations and factors influencing treatment recommendations by physician groups. PARTICIPANTS: The pool of survey respondents consisted of a random selection of 207 primary care physicians from western North Carolina, 147 geriatric psychiatrists obtained from the roster of the 1991 American Association for Geriatric Psychiatry, and 120 neurologists obtained from the roster of the American Board of Medical Specialties. The response rate was 65% for geriatric psychiatrists, 38% for primary care physicians, and 33% for neurologists. RESULTS: Differences in primary treatment recommendations by physician group were not found. Physicians, regardless of specialty, recommended neuroleptic medications as their primary intervention. When medication classes were collapsed into a single category, medications as a primary intervention exceeded 55% for all physician groups. Twenty-two percent of all respondents recommended psychosocial interventions as primary treatment strategies. The principal component analysis of clinical variables influencing treatment recommendations solved for five components that accounted for 64% of the variance. Comparing the five components by specialty groups failed to find significant differences, except for Factor 5, the "Hassle Factor." Primary care physicians were more likely to indicate that this component influenced their decision making than were the other physician groups. CONCLUSIONS: The findings indicate that physicians, regardless of specialty, are likely to use medication and to weight clinically relevant information in a similar fashion when managing agitated dementia patients.

Aged↗
PubMed1995

Controlling for confounding by indication for treatment. Are administrative data equivalent to clinical data?

There has been controversy about whether confounding by indication for treatment--that is, owing to physicians' conscious efforts to base treatment decisions on patients' pretreatment prognoses--makes nonrandomized, observational comparisons of treatments invalid. Some now believe evidence from studies of practice variation means that physicians' treatment decisions have little relationship to patients' prognostic clinical characteristics. They therefore believe that patients who receive different treatments should vary little in their baseline prognoses, and multivariable statistical methods should easily be able to adjust for any resultant confounding, even when analyses are restricted to administrative rather than clinical data. The objective of this study is to determine whether adjusting for variables found in administrative data sets produces the same results as does adjusting for clinical variables. Data were reanalyzed from a previously enrolled prospective sequential cohort of 227 hospitalized patients with suspected bacteremia who had blood cultures. The treatment under study was aminoglycoside therapy given empirically, that is, before blood culture results were known. The outcome of interest was death during hospitalization. Univariable analyses suggest that empiric aminoglycoside therapy had a positive association with mortality, by univarible logistic regression, odds ratio (OR = 3.1 (95% confidence interval = [1.6, 5.8]). Few administrative variables had univariable associations with aminoglycoside use or death. Multivariable analyses that controlled for them still suggest that aminoglycosides increased mortality; for example, in one model, adjusted OR = 3.2 (1.6, 6.5). Many clinical variables were strongly associated with aminoglycoside use or death. Analyses that controlled for them suggested that empiric aminoglycosides did not increase mortality; for example, in one model, adjusted OR = 1.2 (0.55, 2.7.) Results of adjustment for confounding using administrative data disagreed with the results of adjustment using clinical data. It is concluded that nonrandomized, observational outcome studies that fail to control for prognostic differences between patients receiving different treatments may not always be valid.

APACHE↗
PubMed1992

Controlled trial using computerized feedback to improve physicians' diagnostic judgments.

The goal of this study was to test an innovative method to improve physicians' diagnostic judgments by integrating the use of a computer program (employing cognitive feedback to teach a clinical rule that predicts the probability of streptococcal pharyngitis), a traditional lecture, and periodic disease-prevalence reports. In a controlled trial using pre- and postintervention measures involving 885 patients, the authors compared the effects of the integrated method on the diagnostic judgments of seven experienced physicians at a university health service (from 1982 to 1985) with the effects of the lecture alone on the judgments of seven experienced physicians at a different university health service (1986 to 1987). The integrated method significantly improved the quality of the physicians' judgments as measured by calibration curves and Brier scores, and increased the level of agreement between the physicians' judgments and those made by the clinical prediction rule. The lecture alone produced less improvement in the quality of the physicians' judgments, and decreased the level of agreement with the rule. The authors conclude that this method, based on cognitive psychology, is a promising educational tool.

Computer-Assisted Instruction↗
PubMed1991

Ego bias, reverse ego bias, and physicians' prognostic.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effects of "ego bias" on physicians' prognostic judgments. Ego bias is defined as systematic overestimation of the prognosis of one's own patients compared with the expected outcome of a population of similar patients. DESIGN: A prospective study of an inception cohort of critically ill patients followed until death or discharge from the hospital. PATIENTS: Consecutive patients admitted to either an ICU or an intermediate ICU at a teaching hospital during January and February 1987, excluding patients admitted after coronary artery bypass grafting, for elective dialysis, or transferred to the intermediate ICU from another critical care unit. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES AND COMPARISONS: House officers' and critical care attending physicians' assessments of the likelihood of inhospital survival for each patient, and their assessments of the overall survival rate of ICU and intermediate ICU patients were compared with each other and with actual survival rates. RESULTS: The attending physicians' predictions for individual patients were significantly lower than their judgments of the overall survival rate, 79.8% vs. 88.0%, p = .0067, suggesting the presence of a "reverse ego bias." The house officers' predictions for individual patients were significantly higher than their judgments of the overall survival rate, 73.5% vs. 68.9%, p = .018, suggesting the presence of ego bias. The magnitude and directions of these differences varied significantly among the attending physicians (F = 4.3, degrees of freedom = 3, p = .0062 by repeated-measures analysis of variance) and the house officers (F = 6.3, degrees of freedom = 5, p = .0001). CONCLUSIONS: The critical care attending physicians exhibited reverse ego bias that was mainly a function of their optimism about the overall survival rate for critically ill patients. The house officers exhibited ego bias that was mainly a function of their pessimism about the overall survival rate for critically ill patients.

Attitude of Health Personnel↗
PubMed1991

Does hypogonadism contribute to the occurrence of a minimal trauma hip fracture in elderly men?

The risk of MTHF in hypogonadal elderly men was investigated with a case-control model. Cases and controls were selected from males age 65 years and older residing in the 120-bed McGuire Veterans Affairs Medical Center Nursing Home Care Unit over a 5-day interval. Historical data and serum free testosterone (fTe) were available on 17 subjects with MTHF and 61 controls. When groups were compared for differences in age, race, alcohol abuse, cigarette abuse, and diseases or drugs that may be associated with MTHF, only race was significantly different. Although 25.6% of residents were black, 100% of MTHF subjects were white (P = 0.004). Hypogonadism was defined as a random fTe less than 9 pg/mL (normal 9 to 46 pg/mL) and was found in 21 subjects (26.9%). Of cases with a MTHF, 58.8% were hypogonadal compared with only 18.0% of controls. Utilizing logistic regression, a highly significant association was found between hypogonadism and MTHF (P = 0.008), and using the odds ratio, subjects with hypogonadism were 6.5 times more likely to have a MTHF (95% CI 2.0 to 20.6). To adjust for race, the odds ratio was repeated excluding black subjects, and the results remained highly significant (4.6, 95% CI 1.3 to 16.2). We conclude that hypogonadal elderly white men may be at increased risk for MTHF.

Black or African American↗
PubMed1990

Derivation and validation of a clinical diagnostic model for chlamydial cervical infection in university women.

We developed and prospectively tested a logistic regression model for chlamydial cervical infection. Study subjects included 2271 women receiving gynecologic care in our student health clinic. Clinical data were collected in a standardized fashion. We identified cell culture--isolated Chlamydia trachomatis from 133 (9%) of 1458 subjects in the derivation set and 73 (10%) of 729 subjects in the validation set. Model variables included a new sexual partner within 2 months or more than one sexual partner within 6 months; cervical ectopy; cervical friability; at least 20 polymorphonuclear leukocytes per high-power field in cervical secretions; white blood cells in vaginal secretions; and use of an antibiotic active against C trachomatis within a month. This model can distinguish women with low, medium, and high risks of chlamydial infection (on derivation set: receiver operating characteristic curve area, 0.710; SE, 0.026; on validation set: area, 0.698; SE, 0.035) using simple clinical information obtained in the office.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1990

Are two (inexperienced) heads better than one (experienced) head? Averaging house officers' prognostic judgments for critically ill patients.

Inexperienced physicians may make prognostic judgments and management decisions about acutely ill patients in the absence of supervision. We hypothesized that mathematically combining judgments of junior and senior house officers might yield aggregate judgments as good as those made by experienced critical care attending physicians. We obtained independent quantitative assessments of the likelihood of in-hospital survival for 269 sequential intensive care unit admissions from the patient's intern or resident and the critical care fellow and attending physician on duty within 24 hours of admission, and compared these judgements with mortality data. By logistic regression, the residents' and fellows' judgments added independent prognostic information to each other (likelihood ratio chi 2, 7.6; df = 1). The junior house officers' and fellows' assessments were significantly less reliable than the attending physicians' by calibration curves, and by Brier scores, 0.126 and 0.127 vs 0.119. All physicians had good discriminating ability (receiver operating characteristic areas [SE] were 0.83 [0.03], 0.85 [0.03], 0.86 [0.03], respectively). A simple average of the residents' and fellows' judgments was slightly but significantly more reliable by calibration curve and by Brier score, 0.117, and as discriminating (ROC area = 0.85, SE = 0.03) as the attending physicians' judgments. Nonmedical studies have shown that averaging independent judgments may compensate for people's tendency to make extreme estimates, and may take advantage of their complementary abilities. This first medical application of this technique suggests that this form of voting by secret ballot may prove useful for health care teams making other judgments and decisions.

Clinical Competence↗
PubMed1989

The answer to "What are my chances, doctor?" depends on whom is asked: prognostic disagreement and inaccuracy for critically ill patients.

Physicians often must make prognostic judgments for critically ill patients, but we know little about how well they can perform this task. We prospectively measured disagreements among different physicians' quantitative prognostic judgments for 269 sequential admissions to an ICU, and evaluated the accuracy and discriminating ability of judgments made by different types of physicians. Many (44.7%) patients provoked one or more disagreements of at least 20 percentage points among the three possible pairings of physicians. Many patients whom one physician thought were certain to survive did not inspire such certainty in another of their doctors. The critical care attendings thought the changes of survival were less than or equal to 80% for 23, and between 81% and 95% for another 46 of 85 patients whom the patients' own attendings thought were certain to survive. There were some differences in the accuracy of the different physicians' estimates. All doctors showed excellent overall discriminating ability, but discriminated less well for postoperative patients. Lack of consensus about how to judge prognosis for critically ill patients may make it difficult to decide whom to admit to ICUs. These results underscore the need for valid predictive models to aid in decision-making for critically ill patients.

Adult↗