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Biomedical subjects

R G Potter

Publications and source records attributed to R G Potter.

7 recordsLinked to original sources

The evolution of chronic pain among patients with musculoskeletal problems: a pilot study in primary care.

Little is known about the evolution of chronic pain in primary care. Forty five patients with a four week history of musculoskeletal pain were assessed and followed up over 26 weeks by a research nurse using a structured interview and formal assessment instruments. Patients aged 18 to 65 years were recruited on presentation at two semirural Cheshire general practices and subsequently interviewed on a domiciliary visit. Twenty patients (44%) continued to have pain at 26 weeks and these patients were considered to have chronic pain. Nineteen patients had no pain after 12 weeks and a further six had no pain after 26 weeks; these patients together formed the group with acute pain. Comparing the two groups at entry into the study (pain of four weeks' duration) demonstrated significantly higher visual analogue scale scores for intensity of pain (P < 0.01) and a higher incidence of depression (P < 0.01) in the group which subsequently developed chronic pain. In this group, the presence of depression at 12 weeks was associated with higher visual analogue scale scores (P < 0.05) but at 26 weeks scores were similar in depressed and non-depressed patients. The correlation between visual analogue scale score for intensity of pain and the use of passive coping strategies to cope with pain appeared more strongly positive with duration of pain (P < 0.05 at 26 weeks). It is suggested that high pain intensity scores, the presence of depression, and the increasing use of passive coping strategies may be identifiable associations with the development of chronic pain. Areas for further research are identified.

Adolescent

Evaluating acceptance strategies for timing of postpartum contraception.

What is the best time after childbirth to accept contraception? The problem is to reduce overlap with postpartum anovulation, during which contraception is redundant, but simultaneously to reduce the proportion of women conceiving before contraception is inaugurated. Efficiencies of three classes of acceptance strategies at resolving this dilemma are investigated. Particular attention is paid to the postpartum acceptance rule because of its special administrative advantages. Its efficiency relative to those of other rules is found to be enhanced by conditions of short postpartum anovulation, a high proportion of ovulatory rather than anovulatory first menstrual cycles, a high level of natural fecundability, and, especially, a high level of contraceptive continuation.

Anovulation

Methodological issues underlying multiple decrement life table analysis.

In this paper, the actuarial method of multiple decrement life table analysis of censored, longitudinal data is examined. The discussion is organized in terms of the first segment of usage of an intrauterine device. Weaknesses of the actuarial approach are pointed out, and an alternative approach, based on the classical model of competing risks, is proposed. Finally, the actuarial and the alternative method of analyzing censored data are compared, using data from the Taichung Medical Study on Intrauterine Devices.

Female

Repeat abortion.

A reanalysis of the repeat abortion experience of New York City residents during July 1, 1970 to June 30, 1972 is undertaken on the basis of a probability model that generates repeat abortion ratios as a function of assumptions about fecundity, contraceptive efficiency, and exposure lengths. Tested are three hypotheses put forward by Daily et al. in a 1973 analysis: (i) the low repeat abortion ratio of .0245 is attributable in part to underreporting of registered induced abortions as repeat ones; (ii) a major part of the rise in repeat abortion ratios, from virtually zero to six percent over four consecutive six-month intervals, is explainable in terms of the rising volume of exposure time to risk of repeat abortion relative to the stream of initial abortions; and (iii) the higher abortion ratios of women in their twenties compared to those of older or younger women is ascribable to "differences in fecundity and intercourse frequency." Support is found for the first two hypotheses, and a mixed outcome for the third.

Abortion, Spontaneous

Competition between spontaneous and induced abortion.

Because of their similar timing in pregnancy, spontaneous and induced abortions can be viewed as competing outcomes. Some intended abortion operations are anticipated by earlier miscarriages while some potential miscarriages are forestalled by earlier deliberate interruptions of pregnancy. Previous treatments of this competition are reviewed, and a new analysis is made on the basis of New York data. A simple rule for approximating the reduction in apparent incidence of spontaneous abortion in the presence of induced abortion is presented. The effects of nonreporting and misreporting of pregnancy outcomes upon this rule are examined by means of the Perrin-Sheps renewal process. Two expectations are tested on Taiwanese data.

Abortion, Induced