The evaluation of cancer risks from radiation with special reference to leukaemia in adults.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to R Doll.
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ABO and Rhesus blood group data have been examined for 1,680 patients treated for gastric cancer in four London hospitals. The risk of developing gastric cancer was estimated to be 16% higher for group A subjects than for group O subjects, in close agreement with many previous reports throughout the world. More detailed analysis failed to support the suggestion that there was any special correlation between either ABO or Rhesus blood groups and the site of origin of the tumour within the stomach or the sex or age of the patient. Male predominance among the patients was noted to be greater at ages 40-69 years than at other ages and greater for tumours of the upper two thirds of the stomach than for tumours that arose distally.
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We have previously reported the results of a retrospective study of the relationship between oral contraceptives and deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism occurring in the absence of an evident predisposing cause. The present paper describes a similar investigation of the relationship between oral contraceptives and thromboembolism following certain surgical procedures.Of 30 patients with thromboembolism, 12 (40%) had been using oral contraceptives during the month preceding surgery, while only 9 of 60 matched controls (15%) had been doing so. From these data it is estimated that the risk of postoperative thromboembolism is increased threefold to fourfold by the use of contraceptive steroids.It is recognized that few of the episodes of deep vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism that occur postoperatively are detectable clinically, and that not all of these are recorded in discharge summaries or diagnostic indexes. Despite these considerations, we have been unable to detect any important bias in the data which could account for the observed association between oral contraceptives and the development of postoperative thromboembolism.
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Men employed in a nickel refinery in South Wales were investigated to determine whether the specific risks of developing carcinoma of the bronchi and nasal sinuses, which had been associated with the refining of nickel, are still present. The data obtained were also used to compare the effect of age at exposure on susceptibility to cancer induction and to determine the rate of change of mortality after exposure to a carcinogenic agent had ceased.Eight hundred and forty five men were studied who had been employed in the industry for at least 5 years and whose first employment was in or before April 1994. All but 27 (3.2 per cent) were traced until death or January 1, 1967.Altogether 482 of the men had died: 113 from lung cancer and 39 from nasal cancer. In men employed before 1925, deaths from lung cancer varied from about 5 to 10 times the numbers that would have been expected from the corresponding national mortality rates, while the deaths from nasal cancer varied from about 100 to 900 times the expected numbers. Among men first employed in 1925 or after there were 8 deaths from lung cancer against 6.2 expected and no deaths from nasal cancer. The death rate from causes other than cancer was similar to that experienced by men in the same geographical area irrespective of their date of first employment.Susceptibility to the induction of nasal cancer increased with age at first exposure, but susceptibility to the induction of lung cancer varied irregularly. The trends in susceptibility showed some similarity to the trends in the national mortality among men employed at similar ages. It is suggested that susceptibility to cancer induction is determined by the amount of previous exposure to other agents.The risk of developing nasal cancer persisted with little change 15 to 42 years after the carcinogen was eliminated whereas the risk of developing lung cancer decreased. If the effects of cigarette smoking and the specific occupational hazard interact, the reduction in the risk of lung cancer could be due to the differential elimination of heavy cigarette smokers.
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