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Biomedical subjects

R Doll

Publications and source records attributed to R Doll.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Trends in childhood leukaemia in the Nordic countries in relation to fallout from atmospheric nuclear weapons testing.

OBJECTIVE: To obtain further information about the risks of childhood leukaemia after exposure to ionising radiation at low doses and low dose rates before or after birth or to the father's testes shortly before conception. DESIGN: Observational study of trends in incidence of childhood leukaemia in relation to estimated radiation exposures due to fallout from atmospheric nuclear weapons testing during the 1950s and 1960s. SETTING: Nordic countries. SUBJECTS: Children aged under 15 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incidence rates of leukaemia by age at diagnosis, sex, country, and calendar year of diagnosis or year of birth; exposure category; relation between leukaemia and exposure for children aged 0-14 and 0-4 separately. RESULTS: During the high fallout period the average estimated dose equivalent to the fetal red bone marrow was around 140 mu Sv and the average annual testicular dose 140 mu Sv. There was little evidence of increased incidence of leukaemia among children born in these years. Doses to the red bone marrow of a child after birth were higher, and during the high exposure period children would have been subjected to an additional dose equivalent of around 1500 mu Sv, similar to doses received by children in several parts of central and eastern Europe owing to the Chernobyl accident and about 50% greater than the annual dose equivalent to the red bone marrow of a child from natural radiation. leukaemia incidence and red marrow dose was not related overall, but rates of leukaemia in the high exposure period were slightly higher than in the surrounding medium exposure period (relative risk for ages 0-14: 1.07, 95% confidence interval 1.00 to 1.14; for ages 0-4: 1.11, 1.00 to 1.24). CONCLUSIONS: Current predicted risks of childhood leukaemia after exposure to radiation are not greatly underestimated for low dose rate exposures.

Adolescent

The lessons of life: keynote address to the nutrition and cancer conference.

Some 15 years ago there began to emerge a consensus among epidemiologists that diet might be responsible for 30-60% of cancers in the developed world, in the sense that it should be possible to reduce age-specific incidence rates by this amount by practicable dietary change. Within about 6 years it was also broadly agreed that the principal changes required to bring about this effect were a reduction in the consumption of fat; an increase in the consumption of fruit, green and yellow vegetables, dietary fiber, and some micronutrients; and possibly an improvement in the methods of food preservation. Very small effects, if any, were attributed to food additives and to the pollution of food by trace pesticides, which the public, who accepted much of the consensus advice, have increasingly regarded as important causes of risk. These past conclusions are reviewed in the light of increased knowledge of the etiology of cancer and the trends in its incidence. Contrary to common belief, the trends are broadly encouraging.

Age Factors

Health and the environment in the 1990s.

Expectation of life at birth provides a simple measure of the state of health of a country. Differences in the expectation are examined in the United States over time and between males and females and Whites and non-Whites, and worldwide between market and nonmarket developed countries, and between developed and developing countries. The principal factors responsible for the trends and the current differences are changes in the social and physical environment, in personal behavior, and in medical care, and their relative importance is assessed. It is concluded that, at present, the principal environmental hazards worldwide are those associated with poverty of individuals within the market economies and of communities in the developing countries and that in the future, they will be the effects of overpopulation and the production of greenhouse gases.

Adolescent

Molecular diagnostics for myelin proteolipid protein gene mutations in Pelizaeus-Merzbacher disease.

Pelizaeus-Merzbacher disease (PMD) is a clinically heterogeneous, slowly progressive leukodystrophy. The recent detection of mutations in the myelin proteolipid protein (PLP) gene in several PMD patients offers the opportunity both to design DNA-based tests that would be useful in diagnosing a proportion of PMD cases and, in particular, to evaluate the diagnostic utility of single-strand conformation polymorphism (SSCP) analysis for this disease. A combination of SSCP analysis and direct sequencing of PCR-amplified DNA was used to screen for PLP mutations in 24 patients affected with leukodystrophies of unknown etiology. Two heretofore undescribed mutations in the PLP gene were identified, Asp202His in exon 4 and Gly73Arg in exon 3. The ease and efficiency of SSCP analysis in detecting new mutations support the utilization of this technique in screening for PLP mutations in patients with unexplained leukodystrophies.

Base Sequence

Urban and rural factors in the aetiology of cancer.

The incidence of cancer, or the mortality attributed to it, has been compared in urban and rural residents in 13 populations. In each case, the incidence (or mortality) has been higher in the urban areas in each sex, the ratios varying from a minimum of 1.03 to 1 in men in Japan to 1.63 to 1 in men in Denmark. Examination of 26 separate types of cancer showed that 23 tended to be more common in towns, 1 (myeloma) to be evenly distributed, and 2 (cancers of the lip and eye) to be more common in the countryside. The urban excess was greatest for cancers of the bladder, larynx, liver, lung, mouth and pharynx, and oesophagus, and least for leukaemia and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. It is concluded that differences in personal behaviour (cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, sexual promiscuity, exposure to ultraviolet light, type of diet, and family size) are the principal factors responsible for the urban excess. Other factors include general atmospheric pollution, occupational hazards, genetic differences in susceptibility, and artefacts of diagnosis and recording. The rural excess was marked for cancer of the lip in both sexes, but less marked and clearly evident only in men for cancer of the eye. Three-quarters of eye cancers are melanomas and the excess incidence in rural areas provides some weak support for the idea that exposure to sunlight contributes to the production of the disease.

Denmark

Completeness of follow up in a cohort study of mortality using the United Kingdom National Health Service Central Registers and records held by the Department of Social Security.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: The aim was to evaluate and improve the completeness of follow up in a cohort study of mortality carried out using the UK National Health Service (NHS) Central Registers. SETTING: This was a follow up study of UK servicemen who served abroad in the 1950s and 1960s, including those who participated in the UK atmospheric nuclear weapon tests and experimental programmes. DESIGN: Details of men for whom follow up achieved using the NHS Central Registers was unsatisfactory were submitted to the Department of Social Security (DSS) for tracing, as were details of men born before 1916 and reported by the NHS Central Registers as currently registered with a general practitioner, and a 1% sample of remaining men born in or after 1916. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The additional follow up increased the number of deaths fully identified in the cohort by 6.5%. Mortality among those untraced on the NHS Central Registers was substantially greater than in the cohort as a whole (10.2% v 6.9%). Among those reported by the NHS Central Registers as not currently registered with a general practitioner, 2.7% were found to have died, as were 1.1% of men born before 1916 and currently reported to be registered with a general practitioner. As expected there was clear evidence that information about emigrations supplied by both the NHS Central Registers and DSS is far from complete. CONCLUSION: Standardised mortality ratios based on follow up via the NHS Central Registers alone are likely to be somewhat low, and this should be borne in mind when interpreting the data.

Adult