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Biomedical subjects

R A Lew

Publications and source records attributed to R A Lew.

At least 145 records · Page 8Linked to original sources

Malignant melanoma prognostic factors 6: distant metastases and length of survival.

Surgical resectability is the most important prognostic factor for determining the length of survival following distant metastases. Other important factors that derive prognostic significance from their correlation with surgical resectability include (1) number of metastatic sites, (2) performance status, (3) initial site of metastases, (4) interval between initial diagnosis of primary tumor and onset of distant metastases. Factors which have little or no prognostic value include location of the primary tumor, sex, age and histological characteristics of the primary tumor.

Age Factors↗

Lentigo maligna melanoma has no better prognosis than other types of melanoma.

We studied 48 patients with lentigo maligna melanoma (LMM) and compared the clinical stage I patients with non-LMM melanoma patients (matched by site and thickness) to see if prognosis differed. There was no significant difference in mortality from melanoma between the two groups (P = .68) after a mean follow-up time of five years (67.5 months for LMM, 60.5 months for non-LMM). In addition, a Cox multivariate analysis of the entire matched group showed that only thickness was significantly associated with death from melanoma (P = .0007) while histology (LMM v non-LMM) did not make a significant contribution (P = .61). Our data suggest that after accounting for primary tumor thickness and site, LMM and non-LMM have the same prognosis and biologic behavior, in contrast to the widely held belief that LMM has a better prognosis than other forms of melanoma.

Actuarial Analysis↗

Prognosis in Stage 1 malignant melanoma: seven-year follow-up study of splenic radiocolloid uptake as predictor of death.

In an earlier study we found that patients with clinical Stage 1 and 2 cutaneous malignant melanoma and increased splenic radiocolloid uptake had more frequent recurrence at 24 mo, compared with melanoma patients having normal liver-spleen scintigrams. This report, an 80-mo follow-up study, gives further information on 119 clinical Stage 1 patients. Fifteen of 35 patients with increased splenic uptake (42.9%) died from melanoma as opposed to only 16 of 84 (19.1%) with normal liver-spleen images (p less than 0.01). Multivariate analysis showed that augmented splenic uptake of technetium-99m sulfur colloid is a marker for adverse prognosis in patients with malignant melanoma but does not appear to be an independent variable in predicting death. In clinical Stage 1 patients, increased splenic uptake correlated significantly with pathologic stage (positive elective node biopsy) as well as thickness and mitotic rate in patients with thicker lesions. It may be that patients with thicker, pathologically aggressive tumors have an increased splenic blood flow and/or enhanced immune and reticuloendothelial response (as manifested by abnormal liver-spleen scintigram). If so, the enhanced immune response does not appear to contribute to overall survival.

Adult↗

Multivariate analysis. Some guidelines for physicians.

"Mystified" best characterizes the feeling of many physicians as they read the results of a multivariate analysis. Much of the mystery disappears when two items are shown: (1) explicit tabulations revealing how each factor selected by the analysis relates to outcome, both singly and jointly with other factors; and (2) alternative models generated by repeating the analysis after removing the most important variables one by one from the list of factors that was initially analyzed. In this way, one can determine which variables are good stand-ins or substitutes for the best variables in the initial analysis. Showing these substitutes may expose exaggerations in benefits attributed to a particular therapy (ie, elective regional node dissection for clinical stage I malignant melanoma). We have applied these guidelines to examples in the literature, particularly studies of malignant melanoma.

Humans↗

Malignant melanoma prognostic factors 3: surgical margins.

Narrow margins of excision for melanomas less than 0.85 mm thick neither shorten the length of survival nor increase the local recurrence rate. Similarly, narrow margins of excision for melanomas greater than 0.85 mm thick do not adversely affect the survival rate. However, for thicker melanomas, the local recurrence rate increases when the surgical margin is reduced to less than 3 cm.

Humans↗

Sun exposure habits in patients with cutaneous melanoma: a case control study.

Telephone interviews were conducted with 111 patients with cutaneous melanoma and 107 controls to determine sun-exposure habits during various life periods. Painful or blistering sunburns during either childhood or adolescence were associated with subsequent increased risk of developing cutaneous melanoma. While solar exposure does not appear to be a factor in some patients, when patients were divided into subgroups by age, sex, or sun type, each subset showed some increased risk associated with a factor related to short-term excessive sun exposure. Ill effects due to such exposures appeared to increase the risk of melanoma.

Adult↗

Early death from clinical stage I melanoma.

We studied 13 prognostic factors in 582 patients with clinical stage I melanoma to determine which factor or combination of factors was associated with death from melanoma within the first 24 months following diagnosis. Thirty-six patients died during this period. Only 2 deaths occurred in patients with primary tumors thinner than 1.70 mm, and only 2 patients of 189 died with tumors located on the non-BANS extremities, excluding the hands and feet. Individual factors associated with high risk for death within 2 years included level V tumors, acral location, thickness greater than or equal to 3.65 mm, histologic ulceration greater than 3 mm, nodular type, presence of microscopic satellites, greater than 6 mitoses/mm2, positive elective node dissection, absence of lymphocyte response at the tumor base, and absence of an associated nevus histologically. Many of the preceding individual factors are highly correlated. By the use of logistic regression analysis, only one very high risk group was found: 71 percent of patients with level V tumors greater than 1.70 mm thick with histologic ulceration width greater than 3 mm located in an area other than the extremities (excluding hands and feet) had died within 2 years of diagnosis. The ability to select high-risk groups should be useful to investigators involved with the design and evaluation of adjuvant therapy studies.

Adult↗

Factors associated with death from melanoma from 2 to 5 years following diagnosis in clinical stage I patients.

We studied 14 prognostic factors in 428 patients with clinical stage I melanoma to determine which factor or combination of factors was associated with death from melanoma from 24 to 60 months following diagnosis. Forty-eight patients (11 percent) died during this period. All 17 patients who had visceral metastases present at 24 months died during this period. All surviving patients were followed for at least 60 months. Individual high risk factors included ulceration width (as determined by histology), level IV or V tumor, recurrence other than visceral, 6 or more mitoses per square millimeter, presence of involved nodes on elective dissection, absent or slight lymphocyte response, tumor type other than superficial spreading, location other than extremities (excluding hands and feet), microscopic satellites, thickness, sex, and wide local excision. The presence of sex as a risk factor for patients dying from 2 to 5 years following diagnosis is noteworthy because no sex difference was noted in the early death (less than 24 months) group. Age, presence of a nevus, and histologic regression were not significant factors. A logistic regression analysis selected a combination of the following independent factors: (1) location on extremities excluding hands and feet (favorable), (2) thickness, (3) recurrence other than visceral, (4) positive elective nodal dissection, (5) 6 or more mitoses per square millimeter, and (6) moderate to marked lymphocyte response (favorable). Twenty-five percent of patients with level IV lesions died between 24 and 60 months compared with only a 6 percent death rate within the first 24 months.

Follow-Up Studies↗

Skin lesions suspected to be melanoma should be photographed. Gross morphological features of primary melanoma associated with metastases.

We reviewed photographs of 256 primary cutaneous melanomas to determine the gross morphological correlates of metastases. Seven and a half years after diagnosis, the melanomas with ulceration occupying at least 80% of their surface had the highest rate of metastases (85%), and melanomas without a nodule had the lowest metastatic rate (11%). Melanomas with nodules had a metastatic rate of 62%, and this rate increased in direct proportion to nodule diameter. Even after adjusting for nodule diameter and ulceration, melanomas with single nodules located completely within the confines of an associated plaque had half of the metastatic rate of melanomas with nodules located at the periphery (abutting normal skin). These data suggest that (1) carefully recorded gross pathological data can augment the microscopic pathological data in the determination of prognosis; (2) skin lesions suspected to be melanoma should be photographed; (3) the photograph, if followed by surgical removal of the lesion, should be attached to the pathology report in the patient's permanent medical record; (4) nodule diameter is better correlated with metastases than the total lesion diameter (as traditionally held); and (5) the cytologically malignant melanocytes that constitute the less-raised portion of most melanomas may not be biologically malignant, thus enlarging the precursor concept for malignant melanoma. The TNM staging system for malignant melanoma could be modified to incorporate these data.

Biopsy↗

Prognostic factors for melanoma patients with lesions 0.76 - 1.69 mm in thickness. An appraisal of "thin" level IV lesions.

Fourteen variables were tested for their prognostic usefulness in 203 patients with clinical Stage I melanoma and primary tumor 0.76-169 mm thick. Only two variables, primary tumor location and level of invasion, were useful in predicting death from melanoma for these patients. Of the 12 deaths from melanoma, 11 occurred in patients with primary tumors located on the upper back, posterior arm, posterior neck, and posterior scalp (=BANS). There has been only one death from melanoma in 136 patients with melanoma located at other sites (11/67 vs 1/136, p less than 0.0001 Fisher's Exact Test). Of the 67 BANS patients, 51 had level II or level III lesions and five (10%0 died of melanoma. This compared with six deaths from melanoma in 16 patients (37.5%) with level IV BANS lesions (5/51 vs 6/16, p = 0.01 Fisher's Exact Test). The relatively high incidence of both melanoma deaths and regional node metastases for the BANS group merits consideration for testing the efficacy of elective regional node dissection for these patients.

Adult↗

Prognostic factors for patients with clinical stage I melanoma of intermediate thickness (1.51 - 3.39 mm). A conceptual model for tumor growth and metastasis.

Fourteen variables were tested for their ability to predict visceral or bony metastases in 177 patients with clinical Stage I melanoma of intermediate thickness (1.51 - 3.39 mm). A Cox multivariate analysis yielded a combination of four variables that best predicted bony or visceral metastases for these patients: 1) mitoses greater than 6/min 2 (p = 0.0007), 2) location other than the forearm of leg) p = 0.009, 3) ulceration width greater than 3 mm (p = 0.04), 4) microscopic satellites (p = 0.05). The overall prognostic model chi square was 32.40 with 4 degrees of freedom (p less than 10 (-5). Combinations of the above variables were used to separate these patients into at least two risk groups. The high risk patients had at least a 35% or greater chance of developing visceral metastases within five years, while the low risk group had greater than an 85% chance of being disease free at five years. Criteria for the high risk group were as follows: 1) mitoses greater than 6/mm 2 in at least one area of the tumor, irrespective of primary tumor location, or 2) a melanoma located at some site other than the forearm or leg and histologic evidence in the primary tumor of either ulceration greater than 3 mm wide or microscopic satellites. The low risk group was defined as follows: 1) mitoses less than or equal to 6/mm 2 and a location on the leg or forearm, or 2) mitoses less than or equal to 6/mm 2 and the absence in histologic sections of the primary tumor of both microscopic satellites and ulceration greater then 3 mm wide. The number of patients in this series who did not undergo elective regional node dissection (N = 47) was probably too small to detect any benefit from this procedure. Based on survival rates from this and other studies, it is estimated that approximately 1500 patients with clinical Stage I melanoma of intermediate thickness in each arm of a randomized clinical trial would be needed to detect an increase in survival rates from elective regional node dissection.

Adult↗

A multivariate analysis of prognostic factors for melanoma patients with lesions greater than or equal to 3.65 mm in thickness. The importance of revealing alternative Cox models.

Fourteen prognostic factors were examined in 79 patients with clinical Stage I melanoma greater than or equal to 3.65 mm in thickness. All nine patients with melanoma of the hands or feet died of melanoma. A Cox proportional hazards (multivariate) analysis of the remaining 70 patients showed that a combination of the following four variables best predicted bony or visceral metastases: 1) a nearly absent or minimal lymphocyte response at the base of the tumor, 2) histologic type other than superficial spreading melanoma, 3) location on the trunk, and 4) positive nodes or no initial node dissection. Ulceration and/or ulceration width were not useful in predicting outcome either singly or in combination with other variables. Patients with negative lymph nodes and primary tumors of the trunk, hands, and feet did not do better than patients with positive nodes at those sites. Conversely, non of 16 patients with negative lymph nodes and extremity melanomas (excluding the hands and feet) or head and neck melanomas developed visceral or bony metastases (i.e., five-year disease-free survival rate 100%).

Adult↗

Classification of malignant melanomas according to the histologic morphology of melanoma nodules.

Malignant melanoma is a more heterogeneous neoplasm than indicated by the four histologic types described by Clark and his associates. In this study, we focused attention on the histologic morphology of malignant melanocytes in nodules of malignant melanoma and have identified at least four additional subtypes. Determination of "nodule type" appears to be superior to the Breslow measurement of thickness in predicting metastases and death. Based on our experience with this study, we believe that a review of the microscopic slides from a larger series of cases, with at least eight years follow-up, may reveal other "nodule types" and may also further divide these four subtypes into yet more groups.

Humans↗