Role of microbiology in epidemiology: before and beyond 2000.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to R A Kaslow.
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OBJECTIVE: To define HLA class I and class II polymorphisms in Rwandans. METHODS: PCR-based HLA genotyping techniques were used to resolve variants of HLA-A, B, and C to their 2- or 4-digit allelic specificities, and those of DRB1 and DQB1 to their 4- or 5-digit alleles. RESULTS: Frequencies of 14 A, 8 C, and 14 B specificities and of 13 DRB1 and 8 DQB1 alleles were >/=0.02 in a group of 280 Rwandan women. These major HLA factors produced 6 haplotypes extending across the class I and class II regions: A*01-Cw*04-B* 4501-DRB1*1503-DQB1*0602 (A1-Cw4-B12- DR15 - DQ6), A * 01 - Cw * 04 - B * 4901 -DRB1 * 1302-DQB1*0604 (A1-Cw4-B21-DR13-DQ6), A*30 - Cw*04 - B*15 - DRB1*1101 - DQB1*0301 (A19-Cw4-B15-DR11-DQ7), A*68-Cw*07-B* 4901-DRB1*1302-DQB1*0604(A28-Cw7-B21- DR13 - DQ6), A*30 - Cw*07 - B*5703 - DRB1* 1303-DQB1*0301(A19 - Cw7 - B17 - DR13 - DQ7), and A*74-Cw*07-B*4901-DRB1*1302-DQB1* 0604 (A19-Cw7-B21-DR13-DQ6), respectively. Collectively, these extended haplotypes accounted for about 19% of the total. Other apparent class I-class II haplotypes (e.g., Cw*17-B*42-DRB1*0302-DQB1*0402, Cw*06- B*58-DRB1*1102-DQB1*0301, and Cw*03- B*15-DRB1*03011-DQB1*0201) did not extend to the telomeric HLA-A locus, and other 3-locus class I haplotypes (e.g., A*68-Cw*04-B*15, A*74-Cw*04-B*15, and A*23-Cw*07-B*4901) completely or partially failed to link with any specific class II alleles. DISCUSSION: Frequent recombinations appeared to occur between the three evolutionarily conserved HLA blocks carrying the class I and class II loci. The HLA class I profile seen in Rwandans was not directly comparable with those known in the literature, although the class II profile appeared to resemble those in several African populations. These data provide additional evidence for the extensive genetic diversity in Africans.
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BACKGROUND: Because many persons with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are asymptomatic, population-based serologic studies are needed to estimate the prevalence of the infection and to develop and evaluate prevention efforts. METHODS: We performed tests for antibody to HCV (anti-HCV) on serum samples from 21,241 persons six years old or older who participated in the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, conducted during 1988 through 1994. We determined the prevalence of HCV RNA by means of nucleic acid amplification and the genotype by means of sequencing. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of anti-HCV was 1.8 percent, corresponding to an estimated 3.9 million persons nationwide (95 percent confidence interval, 3.1 million to 4.8 million) with HCV infection. Sixty-five percent of the persons with HCV infection were 30 to 49 years old. Seventy-four percent were positive for HCV RNA, indicating that an estimated 2.7 million persons in the United States (95 percent confidence interval, 2.4 million to 3.0 million) were chronically infected, of whom 73.7 percent were infected with genotype 1 (56.7 percent with genotype 1a, and 17.0 percent with genotype 1b). Among subjects 17 to 59 years of age, the strongest factors independently associated with HCV infection were illegal drug use and high-risk sexual behavior. Other factors independently associated with infection included poverty, having had 12 or fewer years of education, and having been divorced or separated. Neither sex nor racial-ethnic group was independently associated with HCV infection. CONCLUSIONS: In the United States, about 2.7 million persons are chronically infected with HCV. People who use illegal drugs or engage in high-risk sexual behavior account for most persons with HCV infection.
Polymorphic products of HLA class I genes restrict cytotoxic T lymphocyte responses to the constantly evolving spectrum of HIV-1 antigens. Accordingly, homozygosity at class I loci can reduce the repertoire for such HLA-dependent interactions, leading to accelerated disease progression. To test this hypothesis we studied subjects from two distinct HIV/AIDS cohorts: 140 Dutch homosexual men and 202 Rwandan heterosexual women followed up to 13 years from HIV-1 seroconversion. We performed intermediate- and selective high-resolution molecular typing at HLA class I (A, B, and C) and high-resolution typing at HLA class II DRB1 and DQB1. Homozygosity at the HLA-A or -B locus or both was found at increasingly high frequency among individuals with successively more rapid progression to late-stage HIV-1-related conditions. In the combined cohorts (n = 342) the odds ratio (OR) due to HLA-A or -B antigen homozygosity in rapid versus slow progressors was 3.8 (p = 0.003); for Dutch men alone the OR was 3.5 (p = 0.102), and for Rwandan women the OR was 4.1 (p = 0.009). In contrast, homozygous genotypes at either HLA-C, DRB1, or DQB1 alone, or DRB1-DQB1 haplotypes, did not exert any deleterious effect on HIV-1 disease progression. These findings suggest strongly that diversity in addition to sequence specificity at HLA-A and -B loci can influence the rate of disease progression following HIV-1 infection.
We compared the performance of HIV-1 RNA and models based on human leukocyte antigen (HLA) in predicting the rate of HIV-1 disease progression using both linear regression and neural network models across two different cohorts of homosexual men. In all, 139 seroconverters from the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study were used as the training set and 97 seroconverters from the District of Columbia Gay (DCG) cohort were used for validation to assess the generalizability of trained predictive models. Both viral load and HLA markers were strongly predictive of disease progression (p < .0001 and p = .001, respectively), with viral load superior to HLA (change in -2 log likelihood [-2LL] 26.7 and 10.2, respectively, in proportional hazards models). Consideration of both HLA markers and viral load offered no significant predictive advantage over viral load alone in most cases; however, HLA-based predictions obtained from neural networks modeling improved the discrimination among patients with high viral load (p = .02). Viral load, HLA scores, and rapid disease progression were moderately correlated (p < .01 for all three pairs of these variables). The median viral load was 10(3.70) copies/ml among DCG patients who had more favorable than unfavorable HLA markers and 10(4.66) copies/ml among patients with more unfavorable than favorable HLA markers. Viral load is a simpler, stronger predictor of disease progression than early developed HLA models, but neural network methods and further refined HLA models may offer additional prognostic information, especially for rapid progressors. The correlation between viral load and HLA markers suggests a possible HLA effect on setting viral load levels.
Variability in the natural history of HIV-1 infection has been repeatedly associated with genetic variants in the beta-chemokine receptor 5 (CCR5) locus. While CCR5 coding sequences have demonstrated relatively limited variation, sequences of its promoter appear polymorphic in all major populations. Our studies revealed five major CCR5 promoter alleles with distributions that differed widely among the four distinct ethnic groups from Kigali, Rwanda and Bronx, New York. In particular, promoter allele P*0103 (G59029-T59353-T59356-A59402-C59653) was largely restricted to black subjects. The promoter allele P*0202 (A59029-C59353-C59356-A59402-T59653) was tightly linked to the slightly less frequent CCR2b-641, a variant of the CCR2b gene, which is about 12.7 kbp upstream from the promoter region. Another closely related promoter allele P*0201 (A59029-C59353-C59356-A59402-C59653) exclusively carried the far less common CCR5-delta 32, a 32-bp deletion in the CCR5 coding sequence 2 kbp downstream from the promoter. The homozygous P*0201/*0201 genotype can be predicted as a risk factor for more rapid disease progression. Among human, chimpanzee, pig-tailed macaque, and sooty mangabey promoter allelic sequences, the apparent ancestral lineage of the promoter sequence (G59029-T59353-C59356-A59402-C59653 = human P*0102) was highly conserved across the primate species analyzed here while P*0201 and P*0202 arose more recently than the other three major alleles. Further effort to establish the mechanism by which CCR chemokine receptor polymorphisms govern the initiation and pathogenesis of primate lentivirus infection apparently requires fully detailed genotypic characterization of the affected populations.
Polymorphic products of genes in the HLA region contributing to variability in the course of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) infection were identified by screening 375 Caucasian seroconverters who were aggregated from 3 cohorts. AIDS-free time was related to numerous (15) class I alleles, alone or in conjunction with transporter protein variants, to homozygosity at the A or B locus, and to alleles of two class II haplotypes. A prognostic scoring algorithm derived from the 3 cohorts captured multiple HLA contributions to protection or to risk (relative hazard=0.57-60 per unit increase in score, all P<<.001). The impact of HLA was strong and appeared independent of the effects of chemokine receptor/ligand polymorphisms and antiretroviral treatment. The algorithm also predicted divergent rates of CD4+ cell decline in 2 other groups, totaling 227 seropositive persons (P=.06 - <.001). Confirmation of these relationships should encourage investigation of HIV-1 antigen processing and presentation mediated by polymorphisms in the HLA region.
Cytomegalovirus (CMV) viremia, as measured by a hybrid capture assay, was used to measure the effectiveness of "immune reconstitution" in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected subjects treated with highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). Of the 28 enrolled patients (mean age, 38 years), 86% were male and 68% were antiretrovirally naive. Of the 23 patients who returned for follow-up, baseline median characteristics were 4.1 log10 CMV DNA copies/106 white blood cells (WBCs), 5.1 log10 HIV RNA copies/mL, and 35 CD4 cells/mm3. After initiation of HAART, median log10 CMV DNA copies/106 WBCs at means of 33, 87, and 385 days were 4.0, 3.3, and 2.5, respectively. Median log10 HIV RNA levels declined from 5.1 to 1.7 at 385 days with a commensurate rise in median CD4 T cells to 166/mm3. Immune reconstitution secondary to HAART results in a significant and progressive decline in CMV viremia in the absence of specific anti-CMV therapy.
BACKGROUND: Host genetic factors, such as HLA alleles, play an important role in mediating the course of HIV-1 disease progression through largely undefined mechanisms. OBJECTIVES: To examine the association of HLA markers with HIV-1 RNA plasma viral load and other factors associated with course of disease progression in HIV-1 infection. DESIGN AND METHODS: A group of 139 HIV-1 seroconverters from the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study had been typed for a variety of HLA markers. HIV-1 RNA plasma viral load was measured from frozen plasma specimens obtained approximately 9 months following seroconversion. CD4+ cell counts were available from the same study visit. Statistical analysis was performed using survival techniques and linear regression models to quantify the relative associations of an HLA score profile, HIV-1 RNA plasma viral load, CD4+ cell count and age with each other and with rate of progression to AIDS and death. RESULTS: Cox proportional hazards models showed statistically significant differences in time to AIDS by HLA score profile category per unit increase [relative hazard (RH), 0.64; P < 0.0001], HIV-1 RNA plasma viral load per 10-fold increase (RH, 2.04; P = 0.0003), and CD4+ cell count per 100 cell (x 10(6)/l) increase (RH, 0.90; P = 0.02). Multivariate linear regression showed that viral load was 39% lower (P = 0.0001) for each unit increase in HLA score profile and 13% lower (P = 0.002) for each 100 cell (x 10(6)/l) increase in CD4+ cell count. CONCLUSION: The means by which the HLA score profile influences the time to AIDS is probably through immunologic responses that affect the rate of HIV-1 replication, as manifested by the HIV-1 RNA plasma viral load during the first 6-12 months following acute infection.
Complex immunogenetic associations of disease involving a large number of gene products are difficult to evaluate with traditional statistical methods and may require complex modeling. The authors evaluated the performance of feed-forward backpropagation neural networks in predicting rapid progression to acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) for patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection on the basis of major histocompatibility complex variables. Networks were trained on data from patients from the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study (n = 139) and then validated on patients from the DC Gay cohort (n = 102). The outcome of interest was rapid disease progression, defined as progression to AIDS in <6 years from seroconversion. Human leukocyte antigen (HLA) variables were selected as network inputs with multivariate regression and a previously described algorithm selecting markers with extreme point estimates for progression risk. Network performance was compared with that of logistic regression. Networks with 15 HLA inputs and a single hidden layer of five nodes achieved a sensitivity of 87.5% and specificity of 95.6% in the training set, vs. 77.0% and 76.9%, respectively, achieved by logistic regression. When validated on the DC Gay cohort, networks averaged a sensitivity of 59.1% and specificity of 74.3%, vs. 53.1% and 61.4%, respectively, for logistic regression. Neural networks offer further support to the notion that HIV disease progression may be dependent on complex interactions between different class I and class II alleles and transporters associated with antigen processing variants. The effect in the current models is of moderate magnitude, and more data as well as other host and pathogen variables may need to be considered to improve the performance of the models. Artificial intelligence methods may complement linear statistical methods for evaluating immunogenetic associations of disease.
Cross-sectional associations between human papillomavirus (HPV), anal squamous intraepithelial lesions (SIL), and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) were studied in a cohort of gay men. HPV DNA was detected by generic and type-specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR) probes and hybrid capture assay (HC). HPV virus load was estimated by HC relative light unit (RLU) ratio. HPV prevalence, number of HPV types detected, and HC RLU ratios were each greater in HIV-positive than HIV-negative participants. Further, among HIV-positive men, HC RLU ratio was inversely associated with CD4 cell count. SIL was more frequent in HIV-positive participants, particularly those with a CD4 cell count <200/microL and was positively associated with HPV. Men with a high HC RLU ratio were nearly 3 times more likely to have SIL than were those both PCR- and HC-negative. These data support that HIV augments HPV-associated anal disease in this population.
Polymorphisms in genes encoding transporters associated with antigen processing (TAP) have been associated with heterogeneity of disease progression in HIV-1-infected homosexual men. In our recent AIDS-related studies of cohorts from Rwanda and Zambia, four new polymorphic sites in the TAP2 coding region were detected by single-strand conformation polymorphism (SSCP) and confirmed by bi-directional nucleotide sequencing and restriction enzyme digestion. The first, a substitution of Thr (GCC) for Ala (ACC) at codon position 374 in exon 5, was found in about 13% of Rwandans and Zambians (n=213). The remaining 3 new polymorphisms were seen in the 7th exon with changes of 458Thr-ACG to ACA, 466Gly-GGG to GGA, and 467Val-GTT to Ile-ATT, respectively These 3 variants occurred exclusively on the same chromosome and appeared to have arisen together from the 374Thr-bearing allele. Analyses of the relationship between the 374Thr-467Ile segment and the nearby markers in DQB1 and DRB1 suggested the existence of a unique extended haplotype related to these newly identified variants.
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the prevalence, annual mortality, and geographic distribution of Wegener's granulomatosis. METHODS: Analysis of national vital statistics data and hospitalization data from a national survey and from all New York State inpatient facilities. RESULTS: Between 1979 and 1988, 1,784 death certificates in the United States listed Wegener's granulomatosis as a cause of death. Nationally, an estimated 10,771 hospitalizations included Wegener's granulomatosis among the discharge diagnoses. In New York State, there were 978 hospitalizations among 571 individuals with Wegener's granulomatosis. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of Wegener's granulomatosis in the United States is approximately 3.0 per 100,000 persons. Clear differences in the geographic distribution of Wegener's granulomatosis are apparent when analysis consider rates of disease in individual counties. Contrary to previous reports, associations between disease exacerbations and season were not apparent.
Major histocompatibility complex (MHC) genes (HLA in humans) regulate the immune response to foreign antigens. Molecular and serologic techniques were used to identify products of HLA class I, class II and transporter (TAP) genes (also part of the MHC) in homosexual seroconverters to human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1). Comprehensive statistical analysis produced an HLA profile that predicted time from HIV-1 infection to the onset of AIDS. The profile was developed in a cohort of 139 men and evaluated in a second unrelated cohort of 102 men. In the evaluation cohort, the profile discriminated a sixfold difference between groups with the shortest and longest times to AIDS (P = 0.001). These findings support current theory about control of antigen processing by HLA genes and have implications for immunopathogenesis of HIV-1 and other infections.
To provide more accurate estimates of Helicobacter pylori infection in the US population, IgG antibody levels were measured in serum from 2581 persons aged 6-19 years examined during phase 1 of the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Overall, 24.8% of participants had evidence of H. pylori infection. Infection was strongly associated with increasing age (chi 2 trend, P < .01) and being nonwhite (17.0% of non-Hispanic whites vs. 40.1% of non-Hispanic blacks and 42.0% of Mexican Americans infected). In a multivariate logistic regression model, H. pylori infection was significantly associated with increasing age (odds ratio [OR] = 1.07/year), being nonwhite (non-Hispanic black OR = 2.6 or Mexican American OR = 1.8), poverty (OR = 1.5), crowding (OR = 5.6), and head of household education level (OR = 1.8). In Mexican Americans, infection was associated with birth outside the United States or Canada in the univariate analyses but was not significantly associated after adjustment for age, poverty, crowding, and head of household education level.
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OBJECTIVE: To determine whether racial differences exist in the rate of CD4 lymphocyte decline in HIV-1-infected homosexual men. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. STUDY POPULATION: Non-Hispanic white (n = 321) and black (n = 102) HIV-1-seropositive homosexual and bisexual men were recruited from the Baltimore/Washington, DC metropolitan areas between 1984-1985 and 1987-1990, and evaluated semiannually. MAIN MEASUREMENTS: Changes in CD4 lymphocyte count and CD4 percentage over time were analysed using linear regression methods for the 271 white and 69 black participants who had at least four semiannual CD4 lymphocyte measurements. RESULTS: Rate of decline in CD4 lymphocyte count over 6 months was much slower among black than white seroprevalent men at all levels of baseline CD4 count (baseline 201-400 x 10(6)/l: + 0.24 versus -17.7 x 10(6)/l; 401-600 x 10(6)/l: -11.3 versus -23.9 x 10(6)/l; 601-800 x 10(6)/l: -15.1 versus -35.2 x 10(6)/l; > 800 x 10(6)/l: -4.3 versus -42.7 x 10(6)/l for black versus white, respectively), although this was only statistically significant for the lowest and highest strata of baseline CD4 count. These racial differences persisted after adjustment for recruitment period (1984-1985 or 1987-1990), follow-up duration, age and zidovudine therapy or Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia prophylaxis. Similar findings were observed among the 70 white and 11 black seroconverters. Black participants were also less likely than a subgroup of white participants matched on baseline CD4 lymphocyte count to be HIV-1 p24 antigen-positive. However, after acid dissociation of samples initially p24 antigen-negative, there were no significant differences in the prevalence of p24 antigenemia at enrollment or after 1 year of follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis suggests a more gradual decline in CD4 lymphocyte count among black than white Americans. The clinical significance of and reasons for this are unclear, but the lower prevalence of p24 antigenemia due to immune complexing among black Americans suggests that racial differences in the immune response to HIV may exist. Additional studies are needed to validate these findings in a larger cohort of non-whites, and to assess their relationship with other measures of cell-mediated immune function.