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P Willeberg

Publications and source records attributed to P Willeberg.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Estimation of sensitivity, specificity and predictive values of two serologic tests for the detection of antibodies against Actinobacillus pleuropneumoniae serotype 2 in the absence of a reference test (gold standard).

Latent-class models were used to determine the sensitivity, specificity and predictive values of a polyclonal blocking enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and a modified complement-fixation test (CFT) when there was no reference test. The tests were used for detection of antibodies against Actinobacillus pleuropneumoniae serotype 2 in a survey of respiratory diseases in Danish finishing pigs. The estimates were obtained by maximum-likelihood and also by a Bayesian method (implemented with Gibbs sampling). Possible dependence of diagnostic errors was investigated by comparing models where independence was assumed to models allowing for conditional dependence, given the true disease status. No strong evidence of conditional dependence in either test sensitivity or specificity was found. Assuming independence, maximum-likelihood estimates and 95% confidence intervals of the sensitivity and specificity of the ELISA were 100% and 92.8% (90.1-95.5%) and the corresponding values of the CFT were 90.6% (85.8-95.4%) and 98.6% (98.0-99.3%), respectively. Bayesian estimates and posterior 95% credible intervals of the sensitivity and specificity of the ELISA were 99.7% (98.7-100%) and 92.7% (89.9-95.3%) and of the CFT were 90.6% (86.0-95.3%) and 98.7% (98.0-99.3%). The sensitivity and specificity of a combined test, where the CFT is subsequently applied to the pig sera that test positive in the ELISA, were estimated at 90.2% (85.6-95.0%) and 99.9% (99.8-100%), respectively. The cost of the combined test was less than the cost of the use of the CFT alone, at prevalences <54%. Prevalences and predictive values and their 95% limits were estimated in six sub-samples of data. The estimates of sensitivity and specificity obtained in the present investigation generally validate those reported from other sources.

Actinobacillus Infections↗

Data-quality issues and alternative variable-screening methods in a questionnaire-based study on subclinical Salmonella enterica infection in Danish pig herds.

Our aim was to determine risk factors for subclinical Salmonella enterica infection in Danish finishing-pig herds. In this paper, the evaluation, combining and initial reduction of variables is presented, along with assessment of the hypotheses in the preliminary statistical testing. The first group of herds was selected at random with no former knowledge of S. enterica infection. Both the herd prevalence and the within-herd prevalence among these herds turned out to be low; hence, some additional herds were selected from The Danish Salmonella Control program, based on their high seroprevalence. This resulted in a hybrid case-"control" design of the study and therefore, five different methods of categorising the data were used to ensure that variables were not wrongfully excluded as a result of using an improper design. Our questionnaire focused on management, infection-limiting precautions and feed and feeding procedures. To establish the prevalence of S. enterica infection within herds at the time of the visit, 50 blood samples from each herd were collected and serologically examined. The reliability of each variable from the questionnaire was assessed and it was decided which variables should be selected, disregarded, combined with other variables and/or recoded. In the simple statistical testing (2x2 tables, cut-off: P=0.25) herds were defined as subclinically S. enterica infected if the within-herd proportion of individual pigs with OD%>10 was more than 20%. The results included questionnaires from 96 randomly selected and 39 high-seroprevalence herds and 6814 blood samples. The initial 95 variables originally included in the questionnaires were reduced to 21 by critical check, combination, recoding and preliminary screening. We failed to demonstrate "herd size" as a risk factor for subclinical S. enterica infection in pig herds.

Analysis of Variance↗

A longitudinal study of Salmonella enterica infections in high-and low-seroprevalence finishing swine herds in The Netherlands.

The purpose of this investigation was to study the incidence and course of Salmonella infections in finishing pig herds in order to asses the stability of a given Salmonella herd status. Five low- and 7 high-seroprevalence herds were followed for seven sampling rounds. Each round, blood and faecal samples were tested in an indirect ELISA and by bacteriological culturing, respectively. In high-seroprevalence herds a positive Salmonella status was an indication of a long-term problem and the status was relatively stable over time. The herds experiencing clinical salmonellosis were not necessarily the herds with the highest seroprevalence. It is possible to deliver sero-negative finishers to the slaughterhouse, even though these pigs were seropositive as growers. In three out of five low-prevalence herds, major infection incidents occurred, indicating that changes in the Salmonella status should be anticipated. Low-prevalence herds can remain negative over a longer period of time as a result feeding a complete liquid feed containing fermented by-products.

Animal Feed↗

A longitudinal study of serological patterns of respiratory infections in nine infected Danish swine herds.

Sixteen litters of seven pigs from each of nine Danish farrow-to-finish herds were followed to investigate the serological patterns caused by natural infection with Mycoplasma hyopneumoniae, Pasteurella multocida toxin and Actinobacillus pleuropneumoniae serotypes 2, 5-7, 12. In seven of the herds, pigs were followed as two separate cohorts started 4 weeks apart, and in two herds only one cohort was followed.A total of 999 pigs were included in the study. The pigs were blood sampled at weaning and subsequently every fourth week until slaughter. All pigs were examined for antibodies against M. hyopneumoniae (enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay), P. multocida toxin (enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay) and A. pleuropneumoniae serotypes 2, 5-7, 12 (complement-fixation tests). The most-common pattern (28%) of seroconversion was that of pigs first seroconverting to A. pleuropneumoniae serotype 2, followed by seroconversion to M. hyopneumoniae. Each herd had a dominant serotype of A. pleuropneumoniae to which most pigs seroconverted. Seroconversion to the respiratory pathogens occurred mainly in the growing-to-finishing units (8-24 weeks). The risk of seroconversion to the P. multocida toxin was very low (<20%) and occurred late.None, four and seven herds tested seropositive to PRRS and to swine influenza virus subtypes H3N2 and H1N1, respectively, when testing 10 pigs per herd (selected randomly among the study pigs) at the age of 20 weeks.

Actinobacillus Infections↗

Prevalence of subclinical Salmonella enterica infection in Danish finishing pig herds.

Our aim was to determine the Salmonella enterica prevalence in 96 randomly selected Danish pig herds, based on serological examination of blood samples and bacteriological examination of faecal samples (collected simultaneously from the same pens). For comparison, 39 high-seroprevalence herds were included in the study. The representativeness of the selected herds was assessed, based on descriptive statistics of herd size and type. Totals of 1330 pen samples and 6814 blood samples were examined.The results from the meat-juice screening in the Danish S. enterica Control Programme were available for 3372 meat-juice samples from 91 of the 96 randomly selected herds and 1195 meat-juice samples from 37 of the 39 high-seroprevalence herds. Of the 96 randomly selected herds, 23 herds had no positive pen samples (out of 10), no positive blood samples (out of 50) and no positive meat-juice samples (out of approximately 30-40 samples in 6 months). Ten herds had one or more positive meat-juice samples but were otherwise negative. S. Typhimurium was isolated from 30 of the 39 high-seroprevalence herds. Our conclusions were: (1) The within-herd seroprevalence among the 96 randomly selected Danish pig herds was low (average within-herd seroprevalence=2%, maximum=32%). (2) Among the 39 high-seroprevalence herds (recently assigned level 3 in the S. enterica Control Programme), S. enterica was isolated from 77% of the herds when 10 pen samples were examined bacteriologically. (3) Seropositivity tended to be related to the presence of S. Typhimurium.

Animals↗

Meat safety consequences of implementing visual postmortem meat inspection procedures in Danish slaughter pigs.

The consequences of a change from a traditional meat inspection procedure, including manual handling, palpation and incision, to an entirely visual postmortem meat inspection procedure in Danish slaughter pigs were assessed by a comparative study of the two methods in 183,383 slaughter pigs. Out of 58 lesion codes (selected with a prevalence > or = 5.5 x 10(-5)), 26 (45 per cent) were assessed either as merely aesthetic or as the healed stage of an earlier lesion and nine (15 per cent) as active, but local processes, occurring only in non-edible tissue. Five lesion codes (9 per cent) were assessed as active, non-abscessal processes occurring in edible tissue, caused by swine-specific pathogens and 10 (17 per cent) were abscessal or pyaemic lesions occurring in edible tissue. Seven lesion codes (12 per cent) may be associated with consumer health hazards (two frequently and five rarely), and one with occupational health hazards. It was estimated that per 1000 carcases, an additional 2.5 with abscessal or pyaemic lesions (in edible tissue) containing Staphylococcus aureus, 4 x 10(-4) containing ochratoxin, 0.2 with arthritis due to Erysipelothrix rhusiopathiae, 0.1 with caseous lymphadenitis, 0.7 faecally contaminated with Salmonella species, and 3.4 faecally contaminated with Yersinia enterocolitica would remain undetected as a result of changing from the traditional to the visual inspection procedure. Two valuable reasons for implementing a visual control system are the potential for decreased cross-contamination (no handling, cutting and incision) and reduced inspection costs. The resources released as a result may be reallocated to hygiene and surveillance programmes.

Abattoirs↗

Faecal egg count reduction percentage calculations to detect anthelmintic resistance in Oesophagostomum spp. in pigs.

The results of four alternative methods of mean faecal egg count reduction percentage (FECR%) calculations were evaluated and compared using data obtained for Oesophagostomum spp. from ten sow herds. The estimates of FECR% and 95% confidence limits obtained using the four methods were different. However, there were few discrepancies in the final decision as to whether a given herd carried drug resistant isolates or not. The methods that used geometric means were more appropriate than those that used the arithmetic mean as the measure of central tendency for eggs per gram of faeces (EPG) values. The use of geometric mean EPG values in calculations has been criticized from several viewpoints, one of which is that its use reduces the comparability of reports between laboratories. If the geometric mean is to be used as we suggest in FECR% calculations, the appropriate references, number of animals in each group, minimum and maximum EPG values and the factor added to zero EPG counts should be reported in order to improve the comparability. The difficulty in obtaining groups with similar pre-treatment EPG values in field situations suggested the inclusion of pre-treatment EPG values in the calculations as an adjustment procedure. The importance of including a non-treated control group in calculations was demonstrated during this study. Therefore, we suggest the use of geometric mean EPG values, to include pre-treatment EPG values and to include the egg counts from the control group in FECR% calculations. The interpretation of the resulting FECR estimate may be different according to the purpose for which the testing procedure is carried out, e.g. survey in detecting anthelmintic resistance, control field tests, etc.

Animals↗

A case-control questionnaire survey of risk factors for porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRS) seropositivity in Danish swine herds.

Sixty-eight case herds seropositive to porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome (PRRS) were compared to 128 seronegative controls in a double-blinded questionnaire survey. The study indicated no increased risk of PRRS seropositivity for herds using artificial insemination with semen from PRRS seropositive AI-stations. Also the herd-size was non-related to the risk of PRRS seropositivity, indicating that air-borne spread of PRRS may not have been a predominant feature in Denmark. Introduction of replacement breeding animals from seropostive breeding- and multiplying herds significantly increased the risk of a herd being PRRS seropositive, as did introduction of 25 kg pigs for feeding. PRRS seropositivity was in the farmers' opinions associated with abortions in sows, early farrowing, high postweaning mortality and low weight gain in fattening pigs. However, the reported frequencies of probelms were relatively low.

Abortion, Veterinary↗

The significance of routine radiographic findings with respect to subsequent racing performance and longevity in standardbred trotters.

A retrospective cohort study was made of the racing performance of trotters which had been subjected routinely to radiography before they started training and racing. Sixty-one per cent (148) of the 243 horses, foaled in 3 consecutive years, had one or more abnormal findings categorised into 5 relevant groups based on radiography, of which osteochondrosis (OCD) was the most specific diagnosis. Parameters used to reflect racing performance were: proportion of horses starting in races, number of starts per year, earnings per year, earnings per start and racing longevity. No significant association between the presence or type of radiological abnormalities and the subsequent performance and longevity could be found. Horses with multiple lesions, however, had a tendency to lower earnings and poorer survival than horses with single lesions.

Animals↗

A questionnaire investigation on factors of importance for the development of anthelmintic resistance of nematodes in sow herds in Denmark.

A questionnaire survey on the use of anthelmintics and presence of other potential risk factors for the development of anthelmintic resistance of nematodes in 136 Danish sow herds was carried out between November 1992-February 1993. Twenty one veterinarians who specialize in diseases of pigs administered the questionnaire in personal interviews during their regular visits to the respective pig farmers. In the study population, 91% of the farmers currently treated their sows with anthelmintics, while only 38% and 14% treated their weaners and fatteners, respectively. Most respondents treated their sows either before or after farrowing (40%) or once every 6 months (27%). Benzimidazole and pro-benzimidazole (Class I) anthelmintics were the most used in sows by the farmers (39%, 47%, 49%, 50%, 46%, and 47% during the years 1987, 1988, 1989, 1990, 1991 and 1992, respectively). When sows were treated, fenbendazole was the most frequently used anthelmintic during the period 1987-1992 (30%-39%). The proportion of farmers that used Class II (pyrantel and levamisole) or Class III (ivermectin and piperazine) anthelmintics during the year 1992 were 25% and 13%, respectively. Of the 70 farmers who used anthelmintics from either Class I, II or III during the study period, 44 farmers always used the same class of drugs. Eight herd owners among those 44, had changed the pharmaceutical product within the same class. Sixty nine percent of the farmers did not weight the sows, but used visual appraisal of average body.

Animal Husbandry↗

Effect of vaccination against Aujeszky's disease compared with test and slaughter programme: epidemiological and economical evaluations.

In January 1990, a 6-year program was initiated to eliminate endemic Aujeszky's Disease virus (ADV) infection from the pig herds in an area of Northern Germany, bordering Southern Denmark, with intensive pig farming. In the first 3 years of the campaign, an intensive compulsory vaccination program, with glycoprotein I (gI)-deleted vaccines, of all pigs in the area was employed. Beginning in June 1990 and for the first 3 years of the project, approximately 200 herds randomly selected from all herds in the area, were serologically tested each quarter. In each farrow-to-feeder (FAFE), feeder-to-finish (FEFI) and farrow-to-finish (FAFI) herd, 20 female breeding pigs, 20 finishing pigs (> or = 50 kgs liveweight) and 10 female breeding pigs and 10 finishing pigs, respectively, were blood sampled. The sera were tested by the Herd-Check Anti-PRV(S) ELISA test (IDDEX Inc., ME). Sera positive to this test were examined by the HerdCheck Anti-ADV gI-ELISA test (IDDEX Inc., ME). Data on potentially confounding management factors were collected through a pilot-tested questionnaire, administered to farmers by 2 veterinarians who blood sampled the pigs. For fattening herds (FEFI and fattening sections of FAFI herds), the association between the odds of > or = 1 gI+ finishing pigs and the time between initiation of the program in the area and sampling date (a surrogate for the effect of the program) was modelled using ordinary logistic regression. The association between the odds of gI+ females in seropositive (> or = gI+ females) FAFE and FAFI herds and time since initiation of the program was investigated with logistic-binomial regression models. Results of the study show that the longer the period from the beginning of compulsory vaccination to the date the herd was sampled the lower the odds of gI+ fattening herds and gI+ female breeding pigs in herds of the area. The beneficial effect of mass vaccination on the reduction of ADV spread was accounted for by this relationship. For fattening herds this relationship appeared curvilinear, with the reduction in the log-odds being more rapid in the 1st year of the program. This non-linear pattern indicates that for the elimination of the risk of ADV-infection from fattening herds of the area, the mass vaccination program should be complemented with additional measures such as test-and-slaughter of infected breeding pigs. A computerized economical model to estimate the effects of ADV-infection at the herd and area level has been developed. The analytical structure consists of a basic epidemiological model linked to an economic estimation framework. The economic model predictions allow priorities to be given to alternative control strategies. Mass vaccination of all pigs in regions with endemically infected herds followed by test-and-removal of seropositive animals is the most cost-effective way to control the spread of ADV within the swine population. Other possible control strategies such as intensive vaccination or complete test-and-removal all had higher overall costs, either because of the less efficient production, or because of the high costs of straight test-and-removal.

Abattoirs↗

Herd risk factors for serological evidence of Aujeszky's disease virus infection of breeding sows in northern Germany (1990-1991).

The distribution of herd risk factors with respect to serological evidence of Aujeszky's disease virus (ADV) infection in breeding sows was studied using samples collected in the early phase of an area-wide eradication programme in two districts of Northern Germany (Schleswig-Flensburg and Nordfriesland). The odds of seropositivity in breeding females were 6.5-times higher for herds that purchased replacement gilts compared with herds that introduced gilts from their own inventory. Herds in which confirmed clinical Aujeszky's disease (AD) had occurred during the 1980s had 4.2-times higher odds of seropositive test results compared with herds without clinical outbreaks of AD. The log-odds of a herd having seropositive females increased, in a curvilinear pattern, with increasing herd size. The slope of the log-transformed herd-size line suggested that wind-borne transmission may have been an important route for among-herd transmission of ADV. It was concluded that, in areas with endemically-infected swine herds, the expected level of ADV infection will be highest in regions with large herds and previous clinical outbreaks of AD. This should be taken into account in the design of future area-wide AD-eradication campaigns.

Animals↗

A case-control study of risk factors in light Taenia saginata cysticercosis in Danish cattle.

Risk factors in light T. saginata cysticercosis in cattle herds were investigated in a case-control study. The case group consisted of farms from which cattle with low-grade cysticercosis had been detected at slaughter. The control group consisted of farms where no cases were detected during the same period. The major risk factor identified was allowing cattle access to drink from streams carrying effluent from sewage treatment plants (odds ratio = 3.6). Spreading of septic tank sludge through deliberate or accidental mixing with animal slurry, deposition of sewage sludge, and proximity to railways, camping sites or sewage treatment plants seemed to be of minor importance.

Animals↗

EPISCOPE: computer programs in veterinary epidemiology.

Veterinary epidemiology is a rapidly developing science. However, many veterinarians are unfamiliar with the relevant techniques because veterinary schools have not introduced biostatistics as a core element of their courses or adopted epidemiology as a specific discipline. EPISCOPE, the computer software presented in this paper, covers many epidemiological principles and calculations. It can assist both the teaching of epidemiology and the analysis of field data.

Animal Diseases↗

The effect of a control program for enzootic bovine leukosis. Changes in herd prevalence in Denmark, 1969-1978.

As part of the Danish control program for enzootic bovine leukosis, three hematologic screenings of all cattle herds in Denmark were performed in the period 1969-1978. Herds with multiple cases of persistent lymphocytosis and/or leukotic tumors were classified as "leukosis herds." During nationwide blood testing, 369 leukosis herds were discovered, and an additional 77 herds were found due to follow-up of tumor cases or special testing in connection with movements of cattle in 1969-1978. In the present study, the prevalence of leukosis herds in the three screening rounds is related to geographic area and herd size. By means of a statistical log-linear model, the authors show that prevalence increased proportionally with herd size. The observed number of leukosis herds per 10,000 herds tested declined during the screening program from 105 to 38 in east Denmark and from 12 to 4 in west Denmark.

Animals↗

Epidemiological studies of piglet diarrhoea in intensively managed Danish sow herds. I. Pre-weaning diarrhoea.

The study comprised 70,796 litters in 104 sow herds, observed from 1976 through 1982. Weaning age decreased from approx. 42 days to approx. 30 days during the observation period. Diseases and symptoms were recorded together with production parameters (feeding, barn construction, economic returns etc.). The mean incidence rate of pre-weaning diarrhoea was 6.8% of litters, with considerable inter-herd differences (incidence rates from 0 to approx. 50%). There was a slight increase in incidence during the autumn (August through October). Incidence rates increased with litter size, with a peak incidence in litters of 11-13 piglets, and decreased with increasing parity of the sow. There was a positive association between occurrence of arthritis and pre-weaning diarrhoea in the litters, and litters from sows with post parturient disease (MMA complex) had 1.8 times higher risk of getting diarrhoea than litters from healthy sows. No important differences among breeds were found. Small herds (less than 200 farrowings per year) had higher incidence rates than large herds (400-499 farrowings per year). Herds with a gilt proportion above 30% had an incidence rate of 12.3%, i.e. nearly twice as high as the overall mean (6.8%). There was a trend towards a higher incidence rate in litters kept in traditional pens (i.e. large pens with solid floor and loose sows) than in intensive pens (i.e. small pens with slatted flooring and tethered sows). The overall pre-weaning mortality rate was 16.2% of pigs born, half of which was due to stillbirths (6.3%) and overlaid piglets (2.2%). In litters with pre-weaning diarrhoea, the mortality rate was 19%, compared to 13% in litters without occurrence of diarrhoea. This difference accounts for an excess loss of 0.6 piglets from birth to weaning in diarrhoeic vs. non-diarrhoeic litters. Piglets from litters with pre-weaning diarrhoea had reduced weight gain. Thus, on the average, they were 2.2 days older at 25 kg bodyweight and weighed 0.4 kg less at 30 days than piglets from non-diarrhoeic litters. Also, litters with pre-weaning diarrhoea had a significantly increased risk of post-weaning diarrhoea. The present information forms a basis for defining acceptable disease thresholds in suckling litters in intensively managed herds.

Animals↗