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P Fraser

Publications and source records attributed to P Fraser.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources
PubMed1991

A differentiation stage-specific factor interacts with mouse carbonic anhydrase form I gene and a conserved sequence in mammalian beta-globin genes.

We have identified in mouse erythroleukemic (MEL) cells a novel factor which binds to the 3' flanking region of beta-globin genes. Upon induction, this DNA binding factor disappears as beta-globin gene transcription increases. The factor protects 20-30 base pairs (bp) of a sequence which is tightly conserved in beta-globin genes including chicken, human, mouse and rabbit. A very similar sequence binds the factor in the mouse carbonic anhydrase form I gene, whose transcription diminishes upon induction of MEL cells. The factor, or a closely related form, is detected in nonerythroid cells and binding sites have been detected in other genes, including c-myb and immunoglobulin heavy chain-enhancer. We suggest that this factor could play a role in determining the timing of gene expression in several differentiating cell types.

Animals↗
PubMed1990

DNaseI hypersensitive sites 1, 2 and 3 of the human beta-globin dominant control region direct position-independent expression.

The human beta-globin dominant control region (DCR) which flanks the multigene beta-globin locus directs high level, site of integration independent, copy number dependent expression on a linked human beta-globin gene in transgenic mice and stably transfected mouse erythroleukemia (MEL) cells. We have assayed each of the individual DNaseI hypersensitive regions present in the full 15kb DCR for position independence and copy number dependence of a linked beta-globin gene in transgenic mice. The results show that at least three of the individual DNaseI hypersensitive site regions (sites 1, 2 and 3), though expressing at lower levels than the full DCR, are capable of position independent, copy number dependent expression. Site 2 alone directs the highest level of expression of the single site constructs, producing nearly 70% of the level of the full DCR. Sites 1 and 3 each provide 30% of the full activity. Deletion of either site 2 or 3 from the complete set significantly reduces the level of expression, but does not effect position independence or copy number dependence. This demonstrates that sites 2 and 3 are required for full expression and suggests that all the sites are required for the full expression of even a single gene from this multigene locus.

Animals↗
PubMed1990

A transgenic mouse model of sickle cell disorder.

A single base-pair mutation (beta s) in codon 6 of the human beta-globin gene, causing a single amino-acid substitution, is the cause of sickle cell anaemia. The mutant haemoglobin molecule, HbS, polymerizes when deoxygenated and causes deformation of the erythrocytes to a characteristic 'sickled' shape. Sickling of cells in small vessels causes painful crises and other life-threatening complications. Although the molecular basis for sickle cell anaemia has been known for 30 years, no definitive treatment is available. An animal model of sickle cell anaemia would not only allow a detailed analysis of the factors that initiate erythrocyte sickling in vivo and of the pathophysiology of the disease, but would also permit the development of novel approaches to the treatment of the disease. By using the dominant control region sequences from the human beta-globin locus, together with human alpha- and beta s-globin genes, we have obtained three transgenic mice with HbS levels ranging from 10 to 80% of total haemoglobin in their red cells. As observed in homozygous and heterozygous Hbs patients, the erythrocytes of this mouse sickle readily on deoxygenation. Irreversibly sickled cells, which are characteristic of sickle-cell patients homozygous for beta s, are also observed in the peripheral blood of the mouse with high levels of HbS.

Anemia, Sickle Cell↗
PubMed1990

The beta-globin dominant control region: hypersensitive site 2.

The Dominant Control Region (DCR) of the human beta-globin gene locus consists of four strong hypersensitive sites (HSS) upstream of the epsilon-globin gene. Addition of these sites confers copy number dependent expression on the human beta-globin gene in murine erythroleukaemia cells and transgenic mice, at levels comparable with the endogenous mouse globin genes. We have shown previously that a 1.9 kb fragment comprising HSS 2 accounts for 40-50% of the full effect of the DCR. In this paper we describe a deletional analysis of HSS 2. We show that a 225 bp fragment is sufficient to direct high levels of expression of the human beta-globin gene which is copy number dependent and integration site independent. This 225 bp fragment overlaps the major region that is hypersensitive 'in vivo'. DNase I footprinting shows the presence of four binding sites for the erythroid specific protein NF-E1; the three other footprinted regions display a remarkable redundancy of the sequence GGTGG and bind a number of proteins including Sp1 and the CACC box protein. The significance of these results for the regulation of globin gene expression is discussed.

Animals↗
PubMed1990

Detailed analysis of the site 3 region of the human beta-globin dominant control region.

Four DNase I hypersensitive sites characterize the human beta-globin Dominant Control Region (DCR) providing position independent, high levels of erythroid specific expression to linked homologous and heterologous genes when introduced into cultured cells or in transgenic mice. We have delineated the hypersensitive site located 10.5 kbp upstream of the epsilon-globin gene by short range DNase I sensitivity mapping to a 600 bp region. Using transgenic mice and MEL cells the functional part of this region was further mapped to a 300 bp central core, which provides position independent, high level expression. It contains a number of ubiquitous and erythroid specific protein binding sites, including the previously described factors NF-E1 (GF1) and NF-E2. The latter binds to a dimer of the consensus binding sequence for jun/fos. The presence of this sequence is required for the function of the element, but single or multimerized copies of this site failed to give position independent, high levels of expression in transgenic mice or MEL cells. We therefore conclude that a combination of factor binding sites is necessary to allow site 3 to function as a strong transcriptional activator, resulting in position independent expression of the beta-globin gene.

Animals↗
PubMed1990

Health related selection and death rates in the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority workforce.

Follow up data on 37,355 employees of the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority (UKAEA) for the period 1946-79 were analysed to investigate the extent to which selection for work on the basis of health affected subsequent death rates. Causes of death were grouped into two broad categories for analysis: all cancers and all other causes of death. Evidence for an effect of selection of healthy individuals into the workforce was sought primarily by examining standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) by period since recruitment. SMRs for both categories were particularly low during the first two years after recruitment (SMR = 69, 95% confidence interval (CI) 48-97 for all cancers; SMR = 55, 95% CI 44-69 for all other causes of death). SMRs for all cancers did not increase significantly with period since recruitment (chi 2 for trend = 0.4, p = 0.53) but did increase for causes of death other than cancer (chi 2 for trend = 11.1, p = 0.001). Although adjustment for social class strengthened the association between death from causes other than cancer and period since recruitment (chi 2 for trend = 18.8, p less than 0.001), simultaneous adjustment for all confounding factors considered (age at death, sex, calendar period of death, geographical location of the workforce, and social class) produced results broadly similar to those obtained from the unadjusted analyses for both cause of death categories. SMRs remained low even after 25 years of follow up (SMR = 84, 95% CI 69-101 for all cancers; SMR = 81, 95% CI 72-91 for all other causes of death). The persistently low SMRs observed in this workforce are unlikely to be due to the selection of healthy individuals at the time of recruitment but may be due to differences in sociodemographic and lifestyle characteristics. The effect on mortality of selection of individuals out of the workforce due to ill health was also examined. SMRs were particularly high for both categories in the first two years after termination of employment in individuals who left before normal retirement age (SMR = 167, 95% CI 131-211 for all cancers; SMR = 149, 95% CI 128-173 for all other causes of death). In comparison, death rates for the subsequent three years after termination of employment were lower (SMR = 89, 95% CI 67-115 for all cancers, SMR = 99, 95% CI 85-115 for all other causes of death). The persistently low SMRs observed in this workforce are unlikely to be due to the selection of healthy individuals at the time of recruitment but may be due to differences in sociodemographic and lifestyle characteristics. The effect on mortality of selection of individuals out of the workforce due to ill health was also examined. SMRs were particularly high for both categories in the first two years after termination of employment in individuals who left before normal retirement age (SMR = 167, 95% CI 131-211 for all cancers; SMR 149,95% CI 128-173 for all other causes of death). In comparison, death rates for the subsequent three years after termination of employment were lower (SMR = 89, 95% CI 67-115 for all cancers SMR = 99, 95% CI 85-115 for all other causes of death). Apart from this initial fall, there was little evidence of a systematic increase or decrease in mortality with increasing period was not significantly associated with durationof employment for either cause of death category either before or after adjustment for confounding factors. Whereas selection of individuals into or out of the workforce on the basis of health affects the way in which death rates change with time, other factors such as sociodemographic characteristics or health related behaviour determine the general level of mortality in the longer run. The persistently low SMRs observed in this workforce throughout the follow up period suggest that selection on the latter factors are likely to have had a considerable effect on death rates in the UKAEA workforce.

Adult↗
PubMed1989

Radiation dose and breast cancer risk in patients treated for cancer of the cervix.

The relationship between breast cancer and radiation treatment for cervical cancer was evaluated in an international study of 953 women who subsequently developed breast cancer and 1,806 matched controls. Radiation doses to the breast (average 0.31 Gy) and ovaries (average 32 Gy) were reconstructed for exposed subjects on the basis of their original radiotherapy records. Overall, 88% of the breast cancer cases and 89% of the controls received radiation treatment [relative risk (RR) = 0.88; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.7-1.2]. Among women with intact ovaries (561 cases, 1,037 controls), radiotherapy was linked to a significant 35% reduction in breast cancer risk, attributable in all likelihood to the cessation of ovarian function. Ovarian doses of 6 Gy were sufficient to reduce breast cancer risk but larger doses did not reduce risk further. This saturation-type response is probably due to the killing of a critical number of ovarian cells. Cervical cancer patients without ovaries (145 cases, 284 controls) were analyzed separately because such women are at especially low natural risk for breast cancer development. In theory, any effect of low-dose breast exposure, received incidentally during treatment for cervical cancer, should be more readily detectable. Among women without ovaries, there was a slight increase in breast cancer risk (RR = 1.07; 95% CI = 0.6-2.0), and a suggestion of a dose response with the RR being 1.0, 0.7, 1.5 and 3.1 for breast doses of 0, 0.01-0.24, 0.25-0.49 and 0.50+ Gy, respectively. However, this trend of increasing RR was not statistically significant. If low-dose radiation increases the risk of breast cancer among women over age 40 years, it appears that the risk is much lower than would be predicted from studies of younger women exposed to higher doses.

Adult↗
PubMed1989

Elevated mean corpuscular volume as a predictor of hematologic toxicity due to methotrexate therapy.

Retrospective analysis of 23 rheumatoid arthritis patients receiving low-dose methotrexate (MTX) demonstrated an association between the mean corpuscular volume (MCV) and hematologic toxicity. All 6 patients who developed hematologic toxicity were folate deficient, and 4 of 6 had marked macrocytosis. Furthermore, the mean MCV of the patients who developed toxicity was significantly higher than that of the controls without toxicity (P less than 0.02). This difference in MCV was associated with an increased probability of developing toxicity with time (P less than 0.005). These results suggest that sustained elevation in the MCV may be a predictor of impending hematologic toxicity due to folate depletion.

Aged↗
PubMed1989

The mouse carbonic anhydrase I gene contains two tissue-specific promoters.

We report the isolation and characterization of the mouse carbonic anhydrase I (CAI) gene. Direct RNA sequence analysis of the 5' nontranslated regions of CAI mRNA from mouse colon and mouse erythroleukemia cells demonstrated tissue specificity in the lengths and sequences of CAI transcripts. Analysis of several mouse CAI genomic clones showed that the transcripts arose from a single CAI gene with two tissue-specific promoters and eight exons. CAI transcripts in the colon were found to initiate just upstream of the erythroid exon 2 of the CAI gene region sequence. Erythroid transcripts originated from a novel promoter upstream of exon 1, which was located more than 10 but less than 250 kilobases upstream of exon 2. Erythroid exon 1 contained only a nontranslated sequence, which was spliced to exon 2 via a cryptic splice acceptor site located in the region that encoded the colon mRNA 5' nontranslated sequence. The remaining exon-intron junctions were conserved in comparison with those of the CAII and CAIII genes.

Animals↗
PubMed1989

Further results from a census based mortality study of fertiliser manufacturers.

The results of a further follow up of two cohorts of men identified as manufacturers of fertilisers in the 1961 and 1971 censuses of England and Wales are reported. Both cohorts have now been followed up until 1985 through the National Health Service Central Register. In the 1961 cohort the previous findings are replicated--low mortality from all causes, all cancers, and all circulatory diseases, and no evidence of dose response relation nor excess mortality from cancer at any site. In the 1971 cohort there remain more deaths from cancer than expected but none of the observed deaths from individual cancers differs significantly from expectation by comparison with national mortality rates or rates for other employed men. Evidence of an association between cancer mortality and frequency of exposure to nitrate containing dust is strengthened in the reanalysis of the 1971 cohort after longer follow up, but a negative trend, significant for digestive organ cancers, is observed in the analysis by product type in which manufacturers of straight nitrogen and compound fertilisers might have been expected to be most at risk. Failure to find specifically any excess mortality from gastric cancer and the contradictory dose response relations, weigh against the notion that the nonsignificant excesses of cancers in the 1971 cohort are related to nitrate exposure.

Air Pollutants, Occupational↗
PubMed1988

Mortality of employees of the Atomic Weapons Establishment, 1951-82.

A total of 22,552 workers employed by the Atomic Weapons Establishment between 1951 and 1982 were followed up for an average of 18.6 years. Of the 3115 who died, 865 (28%) died of cancer. Mortality was 23% lower than the national average for all causes of death and 18% lower for cancer. These low rates were consistent with the findings in other workforces in the nuclear industry and reflect, at least in part, the selection of healthy people to work in the industry and the disproportionate recruitment of people from the higher social classes. At some time during their employment 9389 (42%) of the workers were monitored for exposure to radiation, the average cumulative whole body exposure to external radiation being 7.8 mSv. Their mortality was generally similar to that of other employees, even when exposures were lagged by 10 years. The rate ratio after a 10 year lag in workers with a radiation record compared with other workers was 1.01 (95% confidence interval 0.92 to 1.10) for all causes of death and 1.06 (0.89 to 1.27) for all malignant neoplasms. The only significant differences were for prostatic cancer (rate ratio 2.23; 95% confidence interval 1.13 to 4.40) and for cancers of ill defined and secondary sites (rate ratio 2.37; 1.23 to 4.56). Cancers of lymphatic and haemopoietic tissues were notable for their low occurrence in the study population, with only four deaths from leukaemia and two from multiple myeloma in workers with a radiation record, 9.16 and 3.55 deaths respectively being expected on the basis of national rates. Among workers who had a radiation record 3742 (40%) were also monitored for possible internal exposure to plutonium, 3044 (32%) to uranium, 1562 (17%) to tritium, 638 (7%) to polonium, and 281 (3%) to actinium. In these workers mortality from malignant neoplasms as a whole was not increased, but after a 10 year lag death rates from prostatic and renal cancers were generally more than twice the national average, these excesses arising in a small group of workers monitored for exposure to multiple radionuclides. Though mortality from lung cancer in workers monitored for exposure to plutonium was below the national average, it was some two thirds higher than in other radiation workers, the excess being of borderline statistical significance. Mortality from malignant neoplasms as a whole showed a weak and non-significant increasing trend with increasing level of cumulative whole body exposure to external radiation. When the exposures were lagged by 10 years the trend became stronger and significant, the estimated increase in relative risk per 10 mSv being 7.6% (95% confidence interval 0.4% to 15.3%). This trend was confined almost entirely to workers who were also monitored for exposure to radionuclides (p<0.001), the main contributions coming from lung cancer and prostatic cancer. Exposures of the lung and prostate from internal sources of radiation were not quantified, except for the contribution from tritium. It was therefore not possible to assess the extent to which the associations were due to internally deposited radionuclides rather than external exposure. The finding for prostatic cancer taken in conjunction with the results of other studies suggest a specific occupational hazard in a small group of workers in the nuclear industry who had comparatively high exposures to external radiation and who were also monitored for internal exposure to multiple radionuclides. Research is needed to discover whether any of the radionuclides and other substances concerned are concentrated in the prostate. The occurrence of lung cancer in this workforce requires further investigation taking into account smoking habits and tissue doses from inhaled radionuclides.

Cardiovascular Diseases↗
PubMed1988

The glycosylation of human myelin basic protein at threonines 95 and 98 occurs sequentially.

Human myelin basic protein (MBP) was glycosylated by the enzyme, UDP-GalNAc:polypeptide N-acetylgalactosaminyl transferase (EC 2.4.2.41). A maximum of 1.7 mol of GalNAc was transferred to basic protein on threonines 95 and 98 of the protein. Proton NMR studies of basic protein glycosylated with 0.48-1.7 mol of GalNAc/mol of MBP showed that the order of addition to the two threonine residues is not random but sequential. The Thr-95 resonances shifted downfield, followed by the downfield shift of the Thr-98 resonances with increasing glycosylation. Since this peptide segment of the molecule is highly structured, conformational factors are probably responsible for this directed addition.

Amino Acid Sequence↗
PubMed1988

Radiation dose and second cancer risk in patients treated for cancer of the cervix.

The risk of cancer associated with a broad range of organ doses was estimated in an international study of women with cervical cancer. Among 150,000 patients reported to one of 19 population-based cancer registries or treated in any of 20 oncology clinics, 4188 women with second cancers and 6880 matched controls were selected for detailed study. Radiation doses for selected organs were reconstructed for each patient on the basis of her original radiotherapy records. Very high doses, on the order of several hundred gray, were found to increase the risk of cancers of the bladder [relative risk (RR) = 4.0], rectum (RR = 1.8), vagina (RR = 2.7), and possibly bone (RR = 1.3), uterine corpus (RR = 1.3), cecum (RR = 1.5), and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (RR = 2.5). For all female genital cancers taken together, a sharp dose-response gradient was observed, reaching fivefold for doses more than 150 Gy. Several gray increased the risk of stomach cancer (RR = 2.1) and leukemia (RR = 2.0). Although cancer of the pancreas was elevated, there was no evidence of a dose-dependent risk. Cancer of the kidney was significantly increased among 15-year survivors. A nonsignificant twofold risk of radiogenic thyroid cancer was observed following an average dose of only 0.11 Gy. Breast cancer was not increased overall, despite an average dose of 0.31 Gy and 953 cases available for evaluation (RR = 0.9); there was, however, a weak suggestion of a dose response among women whose ovaries had been surgically removed. Doses greater than 6 Gy to the ovaries reduced breast cancer risk by 44%. A significant deficit of ovarian cancer was observed within 5 years of radiotherapy; in contrast, a dose response was suggested among 10-year survivors. Radiation was not found to increase the overall risk of cancers of the small intestine, colon, ovary, vulva, connective tissue, breast, Hodgkin's disease, multiple myeloma, or chronic lymphocytic leukemia. For most cancers associated with radiation, risks were highest among long-term survivors and appeared concentrated among women irradiated at relatively younger ages.

Female↗
PubMed1988

Effect of cyclosporine on urinary kallikrein excretion in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

The effect of cyclosporine (6 to 8 mg/kg/day) on urinary kallikrein excretion was examined in 10 patients with rheumatoid arthritis by using a radioimmunoassay for kallikrein, a product of renal tubular biosynthesis. All patients had baseline values of serum creatinine and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) within the normal range. The group had a mean baseline kallikrein excretion of 98.30 +/- 29.98 micrograms/24 hours (mean +/- SEM), and 3 and 6 months after therapy was initiated, kallikrein excretion was 44% and 46% of baseline, respectively (p less than 0.01). The five patients who had a normal mean baseline kallikrein excretion rate (106.60 +/- 15.21 micrograms/24 hr) excreted significantly less (p less than 0.05) kallikrein 3 and 6 months after therapy was initiated (56.60 +/- 3.98 micrograms/24 hr and 34.50 +/- 11.02 micrograms/24 hr, respectively), as did one patient with an elevated baseline kallikrein. All six of these individuals completed the protocol. In a subgroup of four patients with low baseline levels (28.25 +/- 5.06 micrograms/24 hr), two individuals experienced elevations of BUN such that cyclosporine was discontinued; in the two who completed the protocol, there was some further decrement in kallikrein excretion. Kallikrein excretion increased in all patients after a 3-month washout period. During a low-dose (3 mg/kg/day) open extension study that followed the initial trial, kallikrein excretion was determined monthly. Seven episodes in which kallikrein excretion decreased in six patients by 44% +/- 18% over a 1-month interval preceded any increase in serum creatinine by 1 to 4 months.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Arthritis, Rheumatoid↗
PubMed1987

Second primary malignancy after Hodgkin's disease, ovarian cancer and cancer of the testis: a population-based cohort study.

The risk of second primary malignancy was assessed in a population-based cohort study of all persons registered with Hodgkin's disease (n = 2,970), ovarian cancer (n = 11,802) and testicular cancer (n = 2,013) in the South Thames Cancer Registry during the period 1961-80, to identify for further study those second malignancies which might be treatment-related. A total of 244 second malignancies was observed. After adjustment for age, sex and calendar period, the relative risk of any second malignancy was 1.4 (90% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-1.7) after Hodgkin's disease, 1.1 (90% CI 1.0-1.2) after ovarian cancer and 0.7 (90% CI 0.5-1.0) after testicular cancer. In particular, the relative risk for leukaemia was 11.9 after Hodgkin's disease, 3.7 after ovarian cancer and 2.5 after testicular cancer. Excess risks were also observed for cancers of the cervix and lung after Hodgkin's disease, for cancers of the breast, lung and rectum after ovarian cancer, and for contralateral testicular cancer. Confounding by social class or smoking does not explain these observations. The excess risks of leukaemia and of second cancer were higher in patients first diagnosed with Hodgkin's disease and ovarian cancer in the 1970s than for those first diagnosed in the 1960s. Increased use of multiple-agent chemotherapy regimes for these tumours in the 1970s may have contributed to these increases in excess risk.

Antineoplastic Agents↗
PubMed1987

Further assessment of the effects of occupational radiation exposure in the United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority mortality study.

The United Kingdom Atomic Energy Authority mortality study was designed to investigate the relation between exposure to ionising radiation and mortality among the authority's employees. The present paper describes some of the problems encountered in assessing occupational exposure to low dose radiation and examines whether the study's conclusions about the relation between exposure and mortality could be affected by the methods used. The study covered the years 1946 to 1979 during which time the frequency with which personal film dosimeters were issued changed from weekly to monthly, and the threshold level below which measurements were not made decreased 20-fold. Exposure from "below threshold" readings made an important contribution to total exposure in the early years. Estimates, based on the remeasurement of a sample of old films, indicated that the average whole body exposure before 1961 may have been about double that which was measured. Furthermore, although records were kept of when dosimeters were lost or damaged, the associated exposures were unknown and could only be estimated. Workers whose dosimeter readings were missing for more than 5% of the time during which they were monitored had higher all cause mortality (p = 0.04) and higher mortality from accidents and violence (p = 0.05) than other radiation workers. The results of analyses of mortality in relation to whole body exposure were compared when the exposures included estimates of the below threshold and missing exposures and when these exposures were assumed to be zero. Some of the findings differed, but none changed sufficiently to alter the general conclusions. Although the trend in mortality from all cancers changed from one in which the increase with exposure was far from statistically significant (p = 0.3) when the below threshold and missing values were assumed to be zero to one that approached significance (p = 0.06) after they were estimated, calculations of the annual excess deaths from cancer per unit dose resulted in broadly similar estimates. Studies of workers exposed to ionising radiation usually focus on mortality in relation to whole body exposure. In the present paper its relation to neutron and surface exposure is also examined. Workers with measured neutron exposures had significantly lower all cause mortality than other workers with a radiation record (p = 0.03). Surface exposure was significantly related to mortality from all cancers (p = 0.02) and prostatic cancer (p less than 0.001). Some data on cancer registration are presented but these cannot be readily interpreted because cancer registration details were available only for ex-employees who may not be typical of the workforce as a whole.

Humans↗
PubMed1987

Radiation dose and leukemia risk in patients treated for cancer of the cervix.

To quantify the risk of radiation-induced leukemia and provide further information on the nature of the relationship between dose and response, a case-control study was undertaken in a cohort of over 150,000 women with invasive cancer of the uterine cervix. The cases either were reported to one of 17 population-based cancer registries or were treated in any of 16 oncologic clinics in Canada, Europe, and the United States. Four controls were individually matched to each of 195 cases of leukemia on the basis of age and calendar year when diagnosed with cervical cancer and survival time. Leukemia diagnoses were verified by one hematologist. Radiation dose to active bone marrow was estimated by medical physicists on the basis of the original radiotherapy records of study subjects. The risk of chronic lymphocytic leukemia, one of the few malignancies without evidence for an association with ionizing radiation, was not increased [relative risk (RR) = 1.03; n = 52]. However, for all other forms of leukemia taken together (n = 143), a twofold risk was evident (RR = 2.0; 90% confidence interval = 1.0-4.2). Risk increased with increasing radiation dose until average doses of about 400 rad (4 Gy) were reached and then decreased at higher doses. This pattern is consistent with experimental data for which the down-turn in risk at high doses has been interpreted as due to killing of potentially leukemic cells. The dose-response information was modeled with various RR functions, accounting for the nonhomogeneous distribution of radiation dose during radiotherapy. The local radiation doses to each of 14 bone marrow compartments for each patient were incorporated in the models, and the corresponding risks were summed. A good fit to the observed data was obtained with a linear-exponential function, which included a positive linear induction term and a negative exponential term. The estimate of the excess RR per rad was 0.9%, and the estimated RR at 100 rad (1 Gy) was 1.7. The model proposed in this study of risk proportional to mass exposed and of risk to an individual given by the sum of incremental risks to anatomic sites appears to be applicable to a wide range of dose distributions. Furthermore, the pattern of leukemia incidence associated with different levels of radiation dose is consistent with a model postulating increasing risk with increasing exposure, modified at high doses by increased frequency of cell death, which reduces risk.

Adult↗