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Biomedical subjects

P Elliott

Publications and source records attributed to P Elliott.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources
PubMed1999

Mortality among residents near cokeworks in Great Britain.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate whether residents near cokeworks have a higher standardised mortality than those further away, particularly from cardiovascular and respiratory causes, which may be associated with pollution from cokeworks. METHOD: Cross sectional small area study with routinely collected postcoded mortality data and small area census statistics. Populations within 7.5 km of 22 cokeworks in Great Britain, 1981-92. Expected numbers of deaths within 2 and 7.5 km of cokeworks, and in eight distance bands up to 7.5 km of cokeworks, were calculated by indirect standardisation from national rates stratified for age and sex and a small area deprivation index, and adjusted for region. Age groups examined were all ages, 1-14, 15-64, 65-74, > or = 75. Only the 1-14 and 15-44 age groups were examined for asthma mortality. RESULTS: There was a 3% (95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1% to 4%) excess of all deaths within 2 km of cokeworks, and a significant decline in mortality with distance from cokeworks. The excess of deaths within 2 km was slightly higher for females and elderly people, but excesses within 2 km and declines in risk with distance were significant for all adult age groups and both sexes. The size of the excess within 2 km was 5% (95% CI 3% to 7%) for cardiovascular causes, 6% (95% CI 3% to 9%) for ischaemic heart disease, and 2% (95% CI -2% to 6%) for respiratory deaths, with significant declines in risk with distance for all these causes. There was a non-significant 15% (95% CI -1% to 101%) excess in asthma mortality in the 15-44 age group. There were no significant excesses in mortality among children but 95% CIs were wide. Within 2 km of cokeworks, the estimated additional excess all cause mortality for all ages combined related to region and mainly to the greater deprivation of the population over national levels was 12%. CONCLUSIONS: A small excess mortality near cokeworks as found in this study is plausible in the light of current evidence about the health impact of air pollution. However, in this study the effects of pollution from cokeworks, if any, are outweighed by the effects of deprivation on weighed by the effects of deprivation on mortality near cokeworks. It is not possible to confidently exclude socioeconomic confounding or biases resulting from inexact population estimation as explanations for the excess found.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1999

Clinical lead poisoning in England: an analysis of routine sources of data.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the occurrence of clinical lead poisoning in England based on routine sources of data. METHODS: Three routine data sources were examined, over different periods according to availability of data: (a) mortality for England, 1981-96; (b) hospital episode statistics data for England, for the 3 years 1 April 1992-31 March 1995; (c) statutory returns to the Health and Safety Executive under the reporting of injuries, diseases, and dangerous occurrences regulations (RIDDOR), also for the period 1 April 1992-31 March 1995. Also, analyses of blood lead concentrations carried out by the Medical Toxicology Unit, Guy's and St Thomas' Hospital Trust in London during the period 1 January 1991-31 December 1997 were examined. The analyses were performed both for industrial screening purposes and in response to clinicians' requests where lead poisoning was suspected. This is one of several laboratories carrying out such analyses in the United Kingdom. RESULTS: One death, of a 2 year old girl, was coded to lead poisoning in England during 1981-96. Analysis of hospital episode statistics data identified 83 hospital cases (124 admissions) over 3 years with any mention of lead poisoning, excluding two with admissions dating from 1965 and 1969. For these 83 cases the median hospital stay per admission was 3 days (range 0-115 days). Five were coded as having received intravenous treatment. Further clinical details of these cases beyond what is routinely recorded on the hospital episode statistics database were not available, except for blood lead concentrations in cases also identified on the Medical Toxicology Unit database. Eighteen cases (22%) were below 5 years of age of whom 10 (56%) came from the most deprived quintile of electoral wards. There was evidence to suggest spatial clustering of cases (p = 0.02). Six occupational cases were reported under RIDDOR in England during the period of study, two of whom were identified on the hospital episode statistics database. One further occupational case was identified on hospital episode statistics. Blood lead analyses for 4424 people carried out by the Medical Toxicology Unit (estimated at about 5% of such analyses in England over 7 years) found that among 547 children aged 0-4, 45 (8.2%) had a blood lead concentration in excess of 25 micrograms/dl, the action level in the United Kingdom for investigation, or removal of environmental sources of lead. At all ages, there were 419 (9.5%) such people, including 106 adults with no mention of industrial exposure. CONCLUSIONS: Both mortality and hospital admission ascribed to lead poisoning in England are rare, but cases continue to occur and some, at least, seem to be associated with considerable morbidity. Lead poisoning was confirmed as a probable cause of clinical signs and symptoms in only a small proportion of those in whom a blood lead concentration was requested. Where indicated, appropriate remedial action for the safe removal of environmental sources of lead should be taken.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1999

Lymphohaematopoietic malignancy around all industrial complexes that include major oil refineries in Great Britain.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the incidence of lymphohaematopoietic malignancy around industrial complexes that include major oil refineries in Great Britain after recent public and scientific concern of possible carcinogenic hazards of emissions from the petrochemical industry. METHODS: Small area study of the incidence of lymphohaematopoietic malignancies, 1974-91, within 7.5 km of all 11 oil refineries (grouped into seven sites) in Great Britain that were operational by the early 1970s and processed more than two million tonnes of crude oil in 1993. RESULTS: Combined analysis of data from all seven sites showed no significant (p < 0.05) increase in risk of these malignancies within 2 km or 7.5 km. Hodgkin's lymphoma, but no other malignancy, showed evidence (p = 0.02) of a decline in risk with distance from refineries, but there was an apparent deficit of cases of multiple myeloma near the refineries (p = 0.04). CONCLUSION: There was no evidence of association between residence near oil refineries and leukaemias, or non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. A weak positive association was found between risk of Hodgkin's disease and proximity to major petrochemical industry, and a negative association with multiple myeloma, which may be chance findings within the context of multiple statistical testing.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1999

Case-control study of hospital admission with asthma in children aged 5-14 years: relation with road traffic in north west London.

BACKGROUND: Evidence for an association between road traffic pollution and asthma is inconclusive. We report a case-control study of hospital admissions for asthma and respiratory illness among children aged 5-14 in relation to proxy markers of traffic related pollution. METHODS: The study was based on routine hospital admissions data in 1992/3 and 1993/4 for North Thames (West) health region within the M25 motorway. Cases were defined as emergency admissions for asthma (n = 1380) or all respiratory illness including asthma (n = 2131), and controls (n = 5703) were other emergency admissions excluding accidents. Cases and controls were compared with respect to distance of residence from nearest main road or roads with peak hour traffic >1000 vehicles and traffic volume within 150 m of residence, obtained by Geographical Information System techniques. Statistical analysis included adjustment for age, sex, admitting hospital, and a deprivation score for the census enumeration district of residence. RESULTS: Adjusted odds ratios of hospital admission for asthma and respiratory illness for children living within 150 m of a main road compared with those living further away were, respectively, 0.93 (95% CI 0.82 to 1.06) and 1.02 (95% CI 0.92 to 1.14). CONCLUSIONS: This study showed no association between risk of hospital admission for asthma or respiratory illness among children aged 5-14 and proxy markers of road traffic pollution.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1998

QT dispersion and risk factors for sudden cardiac death in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

This study examines the relation of QT dispersion (QTd) on a surface electrocardiogram (ECG) to clinical features and established risk factors of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HC). One hundred fifty-six consecutive patients with HC (91 men, mean age 41+/-15 years, range 7 to 79) and 72 normal subjects (41 men, mean age 39+/-9 years, range 20 to 60) were studied. Standard 12-lead ECGs were recorded from each subject using a MAC VU electrocardiograph. Patients with nonsinus rhythm, atrioventricular conduction block, QRS duration > 120 ms, age < 15 years, and low amplitude T waves were excluded from the analysis (n=51). Another 22 patients who were receiving amiodarone and/or sotalol therapy were also excluded. QT interval and QTd were measured using automated analysis in the remaining 83 patients (46 men, age 40+/-14 years, range 16 to 76). QT interval (406+/-38 ms), QTc interval (432+/-27 ms), and QTd (43+/-25 ms) were significantly greater in patients with HC than in normal controls (386+/-31 ms, 404+/-16 ms, 26+/-16 ms, respectively) (p <0.0001). QTd was significantly greater in patients with HC with chest pain compared with asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic patients (50+/-28 ms vs 37+/-20 ms, p=0.02). Increased QTd was found in patients with dyspnea New York Heart Association functional classes II/III than in those with dyspnea New York Heart Association functional class I (50+/-27 ms vs 38+/-22 ms, p=0.04). QTd was weakly correlated with maximum left ventricular wall thickness (r=0.228, p=0.038). No significant association was found between QTd and any risk factors for SCD. Thus, patients with HC have increased QTd. The QTd correlates with symptomatic status. Assessment of QTd might provide complementary clinical characterization of patients with HC but its relation to SCD remains uncertain.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1998

High-dose-rate brachytherapy alone post-hysterectomy for endometrial cancer.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the outcome of post-hysterectomy adjuvant vaginal high-dose-rate (HDR) brachytherapy. METHODS AND MATERIALS: A retrospective analysis was performed on a series of 143 patients with endometrial cancer treated with HDR brachytherapy alone post-hysterectomy from 1985 to June 1993. Of these patients, 141 received 34 Gy in four fractions prescribed to the vaginal mucosa in a 2-week period. The median follow-up was 6.9 years. Patients were analyzed for treatment parameters, survival, local recurrence, distant relapse, and toxicity. RESULTS: Five-year relapse free survival and overall survival was 100% and 88% for Stage 1A, 98% and 94% for Stage IB, 100% and 86% for Stage IC, and 92% and 92% for Stage IIA. The overall vaginal recurrence rate was 1.4%. The overall late-toxicity rate was low, and no RTOG grade 3, 4, or 5 complications were recorded. CONCLUSION: These results are similar to reported international series that have used either low-dose-rate or HDR brachytherapy. The biological effective dose was low for both acute and late responding tissues compared with some of the HDR brachytherapy series, and supports using this lower dose and possibly decreasing late side-effects with no apparent increased risk of vaginal recurrence.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Coronary vasodilator reserve is impaired in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy and left ventricular dysfunction.

BACKGROUND: We tested the hypothesis that a reduced delivery of blood to the myocardium is involved in the development of systolic dysfunction of patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). METHODS AND RESULTS: Eighty-four patients with HCM (62 men, age 43 +/- 12 years) were studied. Left ventricular dimensions and function (fractional shortening) were evaluated by 2-dimensional echocardiography. Myocardial blood flow (MBF) was measured by N13 -ammonia or O15 -water and positron emission tomography at baseline and after dipyridamole; coronary vasodilator reserve (CVR) was calculated as dipyridamole/baseline MBF. Patients with HCM in advanced New York Heart Association (NYHA) classes had lower dipyridamole MBF (NYHA class I = 1.57 +/- 0.64 vs class II = 1.52 +/- 0.58 vs class III = 0.96 +/- 0.32 mL/min per gram; analysis of variance, P <.05) and CVR (NYHA class I = 1.93 +/- 0.64 vs class II = 1.69 +/- 0.54 vs class III = 1.40 +/- 0.43; analysis of variance, P <.05). A positive linear correlation between fractional shortening and dipyridamole MBF was demonstrated (R = 0.23, P <.05), and patients with abnormal fractional shortening had lower dipyridamole MBF (1.07 +/- 0.43 vs 1.58 +/- 0.62 mL/min per gram, P <.01). CONCLUSIONS: Systolic dysfunction in HCM may be caused by a more severe alteration of the coronary vasodilator capacity.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Estimating the incidence rate ratio in cross-sectional studies using a simple alternative to logistic regression.

PURPOSE: Logistic regression is often used for the analysis of cross-sectional studies, and prevalence odds and odds ratios are obtained. Other methods have been proposed for estimating prevalence ratios. An alternative regression method is also available for estimating rate ratios. Its application to cross-sectional studies is discussed. METHODS: When dealing with chronic conditions, it is possible to model binomial data using the complementary log-log link function log(-log(1-pi)), where pi is the prevalence, an option available on many statistical software packages. In effect, these are models for the disease incidence rate lambda, which is assumed to be constant over the underlying follow-up period t. This approach is based on the well-known relationship 1-pi-exp(-lambda t). The cumulative effect of age on prevalence (effectively "time of follow up") can be accounted for in the model, by specifying it as an offset. RESULTS: The regression coefficients associated with the covariates included in the model estimate rate ratios, rather than odds or prevalence ratios. The method is applied to the analysis of the prevalence of respiratory symptoms in 4395 children aged 7-9 years who are residents of Huddersfield (northern England), surveyed in the framework of the SAVIAH (Small Area Variations of Air Quality and Health) study. CONCLUSIONS: By considering saturated models including only sex as a covariate, direct comparison of crude and fitted parameters (odds, prevalence, and rate ratios) shows that, for short follow-up periods, the complementary log-log model is a valid alternative to logistic regression. More complex models including other covariates are also discussed.

Air Pollution↗
PubMed1998

Patenting computer-designed peptides.

The problem of designing new peptides that possess specific properties, such as bactericidal activity, is of wide interest. Recently, attention has focused on the use of Computer-Aided Molecular Design techniques in parallel with more traditional 'synthesise and test' methods. These techniques may typically use Genetic Algorithms to optimise molecules based on Neural Network models that predict activity. In this paper we describe a successful application of this Molecular Design methodology that has resulted in novel bactericidal peptides of real value. A key issue for commercial utilisation of such results is the ability to protect the intellectual property rights associated with the discovery of new molecules. Typically peptide patents use structural templates of amino acid hydrophobicity-hydrophilicity that define highly regular peptide patent spaces. In an extension of established patenting practice we describe a patent application that uses a Neural Net predictive model to define the regions of peptide space that we claim within the patent. This formalism makes no a priori assumptions about the regularity of the patent space. A preliminary comparative investigation of the shape and size of this and other bactericidal peptide patent spaces is conducted.

Algorithms↗
PubMed1998

Dietary magnesium intake and blood pressure: a qualitative overview of the observational studies.

Published reports of 30 separate sets of analyses from 29 observational studies relating dietary intake of magnesium to blood pressure (BP) were identified through a comprehensive search using MEDLINE and BIDS-EMBASE. Three studies were prospective, 24 cross-sectional (25 reports), of which four also contained a longitudinal component, and two were obtained from baseline data in a trial. Various dietary methodologies were used: 24-h dietary recall (n = 12), food-frequency questionnaire (8), food record (7), and duplicate diet (2). Twelve reports compared magnesium intake or BP level between subgroups. Seven showed a negative association between magnesium intake and BP level, and five reported no association. From 18 of the 30 sets of analyses either a regression estimate or a Pearson correlation coefficient was reported. Many reports also allowed identification of subgroups by sex, age and race. Ninety population samples and subgroups could thus be identified from the 30 reports. All 11 Pearson-r correlation coefficients reported for systolic BP (SBP) (three significant, P < 0.05) and 10 (out of 12) Pearson-r correlation coefficients reported for diastolic BP (DBP) (four significant) were negative. Seven reports (13 subgroups for SBP, 11 subgroups for DBP) gave partial regression coefficients after adjustment; 10 (seven significant) and eight (six significant) were negative for SBP and DBP, respectively. For 13 subgroups in five papers, Pearson-r correlation coefficients were reported after adjustment for confounding factors. Eight (out of 13) showed a negative relationship for SBP and DBP. This review points to a negative association between dietary magnesium intake and BP. A systematic quantitative overview is needed to reconcile the inconsistencies of the results of individual studies and to quantify the size of such relationship.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1998

Perinatal mortality in an English health region: geographical distribution and association with socio-economic factors.

Although the international and regional variability of perinatal mortality rates have been widely studied, less is known about the variability at the small-area level. The geographical distribution of perinatal mortality in the former North-West Thames Health Region, England, during 1981-90, and its association with small-area socio-economic factors, as measured by the Carstairs index of deprivation, were studied. Recently developed methods of analysis, including use of Bayesian statistics, were applied to obtain descriptive results and maps, and for fitting regression models that allowed for the presence of unmeasured risk factors. Significant heterogeneity (P < 0.001) of perinatal mortality across census wards and districts was found. The 5% of wards with the highest mortality experienced a risk more than 1.7 times that of the 5% with lowest mortality. Significant, positive association between deprivation and perinatal mortality was also found. Assuming causality, social differentials at the small-area level accounted for between 1.3% and 14.1% of all perinatal deaths, depending on which level of the Carstairs index was selected as reference. Although a proportion of such variability might be explained by social characteristics, a better understanding of the nature of the association is necessary.

England↗
PubMed1998

Assessment of the reproducibility of clinical coding in routinely collected hospital activity data: a study in two hospitals.

BACKGROUND: The aim of the study was to assess the reproducibility of clinical coding in two National Health Service hospitals within North West Thames region. METHODS: A retrospective audit was carried out, of clinical coding in hospital episode statistics, involving comparison of the codes assigned by local staff with those assigned by members of an external team unaware of the locally assigned codes. Where local and external coders disagreed, the records were reviewed for a third time by a further independent coder. The subjects were a random sample of 1607 non-maternity, non-psychiatric admissions occurring between 1991 and 1993, stratified for year and type of disease (asthma, diabetes, appendicitis, fractured femur and 'general'--a random selection of any diagnoses). The main outcome measures were the levels of exact agreement between local and external teams over codes for main diagnosis and procedure, and the level of approximate agreement (over the first three characters of the ICD-9 code for diagnosis and the letter and first two digits of the OPCS-4 code for procedure). For disagreements, the outcome measure was the level of agreement between the 'third' coder and the local and external coders. RESULTS: For the main diagnosis in the 'general' group at hospital A, internal and external coders agreed exactly in 43 per cent of the admissions examined and agreed 'approximately' in 55 per cent (kappa = 0.54). For hospital B the corresponding figures were 60 per cent and 72 per cent (kappa = 0.72). Approximate agreement was higher for the specific diseases considered, particularly for asthma (A: 86 per cent; B: 91 per cent) and fractured femur (A: 84 per cent; B: 89 per cent). For the main procedure at hospital A, there was exact agreement for 58 per cent and approximate agreement for 70 per cent (kappa = 0.66). For hospital B, the corresponding figures were 76 per cent and 83 per cent (kappa = 0.80). In cases of disagreement over the first three digits of the ICD-9 code for main diagnosis, the third coder disagreed with both local and external coders in 53 per cent at hospital A and 38 per cent at hospital B. Agreement was slightly better for discharges in 1992-1993 than in 1991-1992. CONCLUSIONS: The full clinical codes in NHS hospital episode statistics (HES) data should be treated with caution. The first three characters of ICD-9 codes for diagnoses and the OPCS-4 codes for procedures were more reliable. For some specific conditions such as asthma and fractured femur, reliability of the first three characters is much higher (for example, 86 per cent and 91 per cent for asthma in the two hospitals), but for the full codes can be worse. Secondary diagnoses or comorbidities may be significantly undercoded. A higher level of agreement in 1992-1993 than in 1991-1992 suggests that coding may be improving.

Abstracting and Indexing↗
PubMed1998

T wave complexity in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

The complexity of the T wave assessed by principal component analysis (PCA) has been proposed to reflect abnormal repolarization, which may be arrhythmogenic. To determine whether PCA can differentiate patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) from normal subjects and whether PCA is of prognostic importance in HCM, 112 patients with HCM (41 +/- 14 years, 64 males) and 72 healthy subjects (39 +/- 9 years, 41 males) were studied. Patients with sinus node dysfunction, AV conduction block, flat T waves, QRS > 140 ms, and those < 15 years were excluded from this study. Standard 12-lead ECGs were recorded digitally using the MAC-VU system (Marquette Medical Systems). PCA parameters were computed using the QT Guard software package by Marquette. PCA ratio was significantly greater in HCM patients than in normal controls (23.9% +/- 12.4% vs 16.1% +/- 7.6%, P < 0.0001) and was correlated with QT-end dispersion (r = 0.24, P = 0.01) and QT peak (Q point to T peak) dispersion (r = 0.35, P < 0.0001). HCM patients with syncope (n = 23) had increased PCA ratios compared with those without syncope (29.1% +/- 11.5% vs 22.5% +/- 12.3%, P = 0.01). PCA ratio was similar in patients with and without nonsustained ventricular tachycardia on Holter (25.9% +/- 11.4% vs 22.7% +/- 12.1%, P = 0.2), as well as in patients treated with amiodarone or sotalol versus those not on therapy. In conclusion, assessment of the complexity of the T wave by PCA differentiates HCM patients from normal subjects. PCA ratio correlated with QT dispersion and an increased PCA ratio was associated with a history of syncope in HCM.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Reported sexual abuse and subsequent psychopathology among women attending psychology clinics: the mediating role of dissociation.

OBJECTIVE: While there is now a good clinical research base that outlines the links between reported sexual abuse and psychological symptoms and disorders, there is less of an understanding of the psychological processes mediating that relationship. This study assessed the role of dissociation as a mediator between reported sexual abuse and a range of psychopathological characteristics. DESIGN: A patient-series design was used. METHOD: Participants were an unselected sample of 45 women attending clinical psychology services. Each woman was interviewed regarding a reported history of sexual abuse, and completed standardized measures of general psychopathology, borderline personality disorder characteristics and dissociation. RESULTS: Sexual abuse per se was associated with the extent of depression, somatization, compulsive behaviour, phobic symptoms and borderline personality disorder characteristics. In each case, dissociation served as a complete mediator in that link. However, the same mediating relationship was not found when attempting to explain the greater psychopathological impact of more 'severe' forms of abuse (childhood experiences; intra-familial abuse). CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that the effective of clinical work with these psychopathological features would be enhanced if dissociation symptoms were addressed in women with a reported history of sexual abuse. However, the importance of that therapeutic target may be unrelated to the severity of the psychological disturbance.

Adult↗
PubMed1998

Synaptic activity, induced rhythmic discharge patterns, and receptor subtypes in enriched primary cultures of embryonic rat motoneurones.

Long-term cultures of ventral horn neurones from embryonic rat spinal cord were established, after enrichment using density gradient centrifugation, to give a high proportion of cells (> 82%) with motoneurone characteristics. Neurones were grown on spinal cord glial monolayers for 4-83 days and investigated using whole-cell patch clamp. Synaptic activity interrupted by periods of quiescence increased in frequency with culture age and was suppressed by 6-cyano-7-nitroquinoxaline-2,3-dione (CNQX) and strychnine. However, strychnine (10 microM) or bicuculline (10-30 microM) or removal of Mg2+ alone induced patterned rhythmic bursting. Glutamate (3-300 microM), alpha-amino-3-hydroxy-5-methyl-4-isoxazole propionic acid (AMPA, 0.3-30 microM), and kainate (1-300 microM) evoked inward currents, as did N-methyl-D-aspartic acid (NMDA, 100 microM) in the absence of Mg2+ and presence of glycine (3-10 microM). Inward currents carried by Cl- were elicited by glycine (10-300 microM) and GABA (1-300 microM), while adenosine (1-10 microM) and cyclopentyladenosine (10 nM-1 microM) evoked a K(+)-dependent hyperpolarization. 5-HT, GABAB, purine A, and metabotropic glutamate receptors modulated synaptic excitation of presumed motoneurones. The results suggest that long-term cultures, containing more than 82% developing motoneurones, are able to generate rhythmic bursting; they respond to many of the neurotransmitters that are likely to be released onto motoneurones developing in vivo.

Adenosine↗
PubMed1997

Cancer incidence near radio and television transmitters in Great Britain. I. Sutton Coldfield transmitter.

A small area study of cancer incidence in 1974-1986 was carried out to investigate an unconfirmed report of a "cluster" of leukemias and lymphomas near the Sutton Coldfield television (TV) and frequency modulation (FM) radio transmitter in the West Midlands, England. The study used a national database of postcoded cancer registrations, and population and socioeconomic data from the 1981 census. Selected cancers were hematopoietic and lymphatic, brain, skin, eye, male breast, female breast, lung, colorectal, stomach, prostate, and bladder. Expected numbers of cancers in small areas were calculated by indirect standardization, with stratification for a small area socioeconomic index. The study area was defined as a 10 km radius circle around the transmitter, within which 10 bands of increasing distance from the transmitter were defined as a basis for testing for a decline in risk with distance, and an inner area was arbitrarily defined for descriptive purposes as a 2 km radius circle. The risk of adult leukemia within 2 km was 1.83 (95% confidence interval 1.22-2.74), and there was a significant decline in risk with distance from the transmitter (p = 0.001). These findings appeared to be consistent over the periods 1974-1980, 1981-1986, and were probably largely independent of the initially reported cluster, which appeared to concern mainly a later period. In the context of variability of leukemia risk across census wards in the West Midlands as a whole, the Sutton Coldfield findings were unusual. A significant decline in risk with distance was also found for skin cancer, possibly related to residual socioeconomic confounding, and for bladder cancer. Study of other radio and TV transmitters in Great Britain is required to put the present results in wider context. No causal implications can be made from a single cluster investigation of this kind.

Adolescent↗