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P A Wolf

Publications and source records attributed to P A Wolf.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Nonfasting plasma total homocysteine levels and all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in elderly Framingham men and women.

BACKGROUND: Elevated fasting total homocysteine (tHcy) levels were recently shown to confer an independent risk for all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality among selected Norwegian patients with confirmed coronary heart disease. We examined whether elevated fasting plasma tHcy levels were predictive of all-cause and CVD mortality in a large, population-based sample of elderly US women and men. METHODS: Nonfasting plasma tHcy levels were determined in 1933 elderly participants (mean age, 70 +/- 7 years; 58.9% women) from the original Framingham Study cohort, examined between 1979 and 1982, with follow-up through 1992. Unadjusted and adjusted (ie, for age, sex, diabetes, smoking, systolic blood pressure, total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and creatinine) relative risk estimates (with 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for total and CVD mortality were generated by proportional hazards modeling, with tHcy levels (quartiles) as the independent variable. RESULTS: There were 653 total deaths and 244 CVD deaths during a median follow-up of 10.0 years. Proportional hazards modeling revealed that tHcy levels of 14.26 micromol/L or greater (the upper quartile), vs less than 14.26 micromol/L (the lower three quartiles), were associated with relative risk estimates of 2.18 (95% CI, 1.86-2.56) and 2.17 (95% CI, 1.68-2.82) for all-cause and CVD mortality, respectively. The relative risk estimates after adjustment for age, sex, systolic blood pressure, diabetes, smoking, and total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels attenuated these associations, but they remained significant: 1.54 (95% CI, 1.31-1.82) for all-cause mortality; 1.52 (95% CI, 1.16-1.98) for CVD mortality. CONCLUSION: Elevated nonfasting plasma tHcy levels are independently associated with increased rates of all-cause and CVD mortality in the elderly.

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Midlife cardiovascular risk factors and brain morphology in identical older male twins.

OBJECTIVE: Structural changes in the human brain have been reported to a greater extent in subjects with cardiovascular risk factors. We conducted a matched co-twin analysis of elderly monozygotic twins from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Twin Study to examine the association between midlife cardiovascular risk factors and MRI-based measures of brain atrophy. METHODS: Brain MRIs (1.5-T) were obtained from 74 monozygotic, white, male, World War II veteran twins born in the United States from 1917 to 1927 and age 68 to 79 at the time of the brain scan. A semiautomated algorithm was used to segment brain images into total brain, CSF, and white matter hyperintensity volumes. Cardiovascular risk factors, medical history variables, and health practices were available from data collected over 25 years of adult life. RESULTS: Independent of shared genetic or familial influences, within-pair differences in midlife glucose levels, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and systolic blood pressure were significantly associated with differences in white matter hyperintensities. Within-pair differences in coronary heart disease history and in current consumption of alcohol and level of physical activity were significantly associated with differences in brain parenchyma. In addition, within-pair differences in white matter hyperintensity volumes were significantly associated with differences in performance on cognitive and physical function tests and self-reports of depression symptoms. CONCLUSION: Independent of age effects and shared genetic or familial influences, midlife cardiovascular risk factors and lifetime health practices were predictive of structural brain changes in old age.

Brain

Predictors of brain morphology for the men of the NHLBI twin study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Cross-sectional studies show that cerebrovascular risk factors are associated with increased brain atrophy, accumulation of abnormal cerebral white matter signals, and clinically silent stroke. We extend these findings by examining the relationship between midlife cerebrovascular risk factors and later-life differences in brain atrophy, amount of abnormal white matter, and stroke on MRI. METHODS: Subjects were the 414 surviving members of the prospective National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Twin Study, who have been examined on 4 separate occasions, spanning the 25 years between 1969-1973 and 1995-1997. Quantitative measures of brain volume, volume of abnormal white matter signal (WMHI), and volume of stroke, when present, were obtained from those participating in the fourth examination. RESULTS: The mean+/-SD age of the subjects was 47.2+/-3.0 years at initial examination and 72. 5+/-2.9 years at final examination. Average blood pressure (BP) levels were normal, although 32% of the subjects had received or were currently taking antihypertensive medications. As a group, 31% had symptomatic cardiovascular disease, 11% had symptomatic cerebrovascular disease, and 8% had symptomatic peripheral vascular disease. Both systolic and diastolic BP levels at initial examination were inversely related to brain volume and positively related to WMHI volume. Multiple regression analysis identified BP-related measures and vascular risk factors as significant predictors of brain and WMHI volumes. In addition, the magnitude of orthostatic BP change was significantly associated with WMHI volume. Subjects with extensive amounts of WMHI had significantly higher systolic BP at the final examination and a higher prevalence of symptomatic cardiovascular and cerebrovascular disease, without significant differences in the prevalence of hypertension treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Midlife BP measures are significantly associated with later-life brain and WMHI volumes and the prevalence of symptomatic vascular disease. Since WMHI share cerebrovascular risk factors and extensive WMHI are associated with symptomatic vascular disease, extensive WMHI may be a subclinical expression of cerebrovascular disease. Careful treatment of midlife BP elevations may diminish these later-life brain changes.

Age Factors

Prevalence, incidence, prognosis, and predisposing conditions for atrial fibrillation: population-based estimates.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common of the serious cardiac rhythm disturbances and is responsible for substantial morbidity and mortality in the general population. Its prevalence doubles with each advancing decade of age, from 0.5% at age 50-59 years to almost 9% at age 80-89 years. It is also becoming more prevalent, increasing in men aged 65-84 years from 3.2% in 1968-1970 to 9.1% in 1987-1989. This statistically significant increase in men was not explained by an increase in age, valve disease, or myocardial infarctions in the cohort. The incidence of new onset of AF also doubled with each decade of age, independent of the increasing prevalence of known predisposing conditions. Based on 38-year follow-up data from the Framingham Study, men had a 1.5-fold greater risk of developing AF than women after adjustment for age and predisposing conditions. Of the cardiovascular risk factors, only hypertension and diabetes were significant independent predictors of AF, adjusting for age and other predisposing conditions. Cigarette smoking was a significant risk factor in women adjusting only for age (OR = 1.4), but was just short of significance on adjustment for other risk factors. Neither obesity nor alcohol intake was associated with AF incidence in either sex. For men and women, respectively, diabetes conferred a 1.4- and 1.6-fold risk, and hypertension a 1.5- and 1.4-fold risk, after adjusting for other associated conditions. Because of its high prevalence in the population, hypertension was responsible for more AF in the population (14%) than any other risk factor. Intrinsic overt cardiac conditions imposed a substantially higher risk. Adjusting for other relevant conditions, heart failure was associated with a 4.5- and 5.9-fold risk, and valvular heart disease a 1.8- and 3.4-fold risk for AF in men and women, respectively. Myocardial infarction significantly increased the risk factor-adjusted likelihood of AF by 40% in men only. Echocardiographic predictors of nonrheumatic AF include left atrial enlargement (39%/ increase in risk per 5-mm increment), left ventricular fractional shortening (34% per 5% decrement), and left ventricular wall thickness (28% per 4-mm increment). These echocardiographic features offer prognostic information for AF beyond the traditional clinical risk factors. Electrocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy increased risk of AF 3-4-fold after adjusting only for age, but this risk ratio is decreased to 1.4 after adjustment for the other associated conditions. The chief hazard of AF is stroke, the risk of which is increased 4-5-fold. Because of its high prevalence in advanced age, AF assumes great importance as a risk factor for stroke and by the ninth decade becomes a dominant factor. The attributable risk for stroke associated with AF increases steeply from 1.5% at age 50-59 years to 23.5% at age 80-89 years. AF is associated with a doubling of mortality in both sexes, which is decreased to 1.5-1.9-fold after adjusting for associated cardiovascular conditions. Decreased survival associated with AF occurs across a wide range of ages.

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Impact of atrial fibrillation on the risk of death: the Framingham Heart Study.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) causes substantial morbidity. It is uncertain whether AF is associated with excess mortality independent of associated cardiac conditions and risk factors. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined the mortality of subjects 55 to 94 years of age who developed AF during 40 years of follow-up of the original Framingham Heart Study cohort. Of the original 5209 subjects, 296 men and 325 women (mean ages, 74 and 76 years, respectively) developed AF and met eligibility criteria. By pooled logistic regression, after adjustment for age, hypertension, smoking, diabetes, left ventricular hypertrophy, myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, valvular heart disease, and stroke or transient ischemic attack, AF was associated with an OR for death of 1.5 (95% CI, 1.2 to 1.8) in men and 1.9 (95% CI, 1.5 to 2.2) in women. The risk of mortality conferred by AF did not significantly vary by age. However, there was a significant AF-sex interaction: AF diminished the female advantage in survival. In secondary multivariate analyses, in subjects free of valvular heart disease and preexisting cardiovascular disease, AF remained significantly associated with excess mortality, with about a doubling of mortality in both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: In subjects from the original cohort of the Framingham Heart Study, AF was associated with a 1.5- to 1.9-fold mortality risk after adjustment for the preexisting cardiovascular conditions with which AF was related. The decreased survival seen with AF was present in men and women and across a wide range of ages.

Adult

Impact of atrial fibrillation on mortality, stroke, and medical costs.

BACKGROUND: The impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) on mortality, stroke, and medical costs is unknown. METHODS: We conducted a prospective cohort study of hospitalized Medicare patients with AF and 1 other cardiovascular diagnosis (CVD) compared with a matched group without AF (n = 26,753), randomly selected in 6 age-sex strata from 1989 MedPAR files of more than 1 million patients diagnosed as having AF. Stroke rates were also determined in another cohort free of CVD (n = 14,267). Total medical costs after hospitalization were available from a 1991 cohort. Cumulative mortality, stroke rates, and costs following index admission were adjusted by multivariate and proportional hazard regression analyses. RESULTS: Mortality rates were high in individuals with CVD, ranging from 19.0% to 52.1% in 1 year. Adjusted relative mortality risk was approximately 20% higher in patients with AF in all age-sex strata during each of the 3 years studied (P < .05). Incidence of stroke was high in individuals with CVD, 6.2% to 15.4% in 1 year, with and without AF, and was at least 5-fold higher than in individuals without CVD. In those with CVD, stroke rates were approximately 25% higher in women with AF (P < .05) but only 10% higher in men. Adjusted total Medicare spending in 1 year was 8.6- to 22.6-fold greater in men, and 9.8- to 11.2-fold greater in women with AF (P < .05). Second- and third-year costs were increased as well. CONCLUSION: Prevention of AF and treatment of patients with AF and associated CVD may yield benefits in reduced mortality and stroke as well as reducing health care costs.

Age Distribution

Glucose intolerance, physical signs of peripheral artery disease, and risk of cardiovascular events: the Framingham Study.

BACKGROUND: Diabetes and peripheral artery disease (PAD) are acknowledged hallmarks of development of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD). The prognostic implications of physical indicators of PAD, compared with and in conjunction with glucose intolerance based on population based data, are not well documented. METHODS AND RESULTS: The influence of carotid and femoral bruits and nonpalpable pedal pulses, with and without glucose intolerance, on development of coronary disease (CHD), congestive heart failure (CHF), and stroke (CVA) was investigated in a cohort of 1672 men and 2264 women ages 47 to 99 years participating in the Framingham Study. Cross-sectional pooling yielded 29,063 2-year person-examination units based on the sample of whom 440 men and 484 women had glucose intolerance develop. Over the 26 years of follow-up, 210 men and 199 women had 1 or more of the specified CVD events. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate age-adjusted odds ratios comparing incidence of CVD events in subjects with glucose intolerance, signs of PAD, or both conditions with those with neither condition. Glucose intolerance was associated with a 2-fold excess occurrence of physical signs of PAD (P< .01 ). Femoral and carotid bruits were generally associated with greater increased risk of CHD, CHF, and CVA than was glucose intolerance alone. Particularly in women, the concomitant presence of bruits augmented the CVD risk of glucose intolerance. Nonpalpable pedal pulses were a stronger risk factor for CVD end points than glucose intolerance; particularly in men and in both sexes, those with both conditions were at substantially greater risk of CVD events than those with either alone. CONCLUSIONS: Physical findings of PAD appear to signify a compromised arterial circulation to the heart and brain as well as the limbs in persons with glucose intolerance. Persons with the combination are candidates at high risk for CHD, CHF, and CVA.

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Prevention of stroke.

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Anticholesteremic Agents

Survival and functional status 20 or more years after first stroke: the Framingham Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We examined the 20-or-more-year survival and functional levels of 148 stroke survivors and 148 age- and sex-matched control subjects from the Framingham Study Cohort, whom we originally studied in 1972-1974 to ascertain the survival and disability status of stroke survivors compared with that of controls. METHODS: This long-term evaluation was done with use of data from the 1993-1995 Framingham Study Cohort Examination 23 on the 10 stroke survivors and 20 control subjects still living to identify and compare the host characteristics and functional status of each group. The survival curves for both stroke survivors and controls were derived from the ongoing Framingham Study database. RESULTS: Twenty-plus-year stroke survivors experienced a greater mortality than age- and sex-matched controls (92.5% and 81%, respectively). The slopes of the two survival curves were essentially the same. Functional status (eg, walking and independence in activities of daily living) of stroke survivors, however, compared very favorably with that of the control subjects. Stroke survivors were more likely to be female and to have a number of comorbidities, including elevated blood pressures, greater use of medications, less use of alcohol, and less depressive symptomology. CONCLUSIONS: In the Framingham cohort, 20-plus-year stroke survivors showed greater mortality than age- and sex-matched control subjects; functionally, however, the groups were very similar and in general quite independent.

Adult

Intellectual decline after stroke: the Framingham Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The causes and characteristics of cognitive decline after stroke are poorly defined, because most studies have relied on the diagnosis of dementia after stroke, without measurement of prestroke cognitive function. METHODS: The Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) was used to assess the cognitive performance of 74 subjects from the Framingham Study cohort who had suffered a stroke during a 13-year period. We compared their poststroke cognitive performance with the prestroke MMSE scores collected during their biennial examinations, and their prestroke/poststroke changes in MMSE score were then compared with those of 74 control subjects matched for age and sex. Cases and controls underwent testing for symptoms of depression using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies of Depression (CES-D) scale, and these findings were correlated with their cognitive performance. Changes in cognitive performance in the cases were correlated with the CT-documented characteristics of the stroke. RESULTS: The cases had a significantly lower mean+/-SE MMSE score at prestroke baseline (27.28+/-0.34) than did the control subjects (28.08+/-0.21), a difference that became more pronounced (23.57+/-0.92 versus 28.31+/-0.25; P<.001) after stroke. The poststroke decline in cognitive function in the cases was correlated only with a large, left-sided stroke on CT. The CES-D scores were significantly higher in the cases, but nondepressed cases had significantly lower MMSE scores than nondepressed controls. CONCLUSIONS: Stroke is followed by a significant decline in cognitive performance when prestroke and poststroke measurements are compared. Although depression is more frequent in the stroke patients, their intellectual decline appears to be independent from the presence of depression.

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Evidence for genetic variance in white matter hyperintensity volume in normal elderly male twins.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: White matter hyperintensities (WMHs), as detected by MRI, are common among the elderly and are frequently interpreted as representing a subclinical form of ischemic brain damage. We used volumetric MR techniques to investigate the contribution of genes and the environment to measures of brain morphology in a sample of community dwelling elderly male twins. METHODS: Brain MR (1.5 T) scans were obtained from 74 monozygotic (MZ) and 71 dizygotic (DZ), white, male, World War II veteran twins born in the United States and age 68 to 79 when scanned. MR quantification used a previously published semiautomated segmentation algorithm to segment brain images into total brain, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), and WMH volumes. Twin pair covariances were computed for each measure, and structural equation genetic models were fitted to these data. RESULTS: Total cranial, brain parenchyma, CSF, and WMH volumes were highly correlated in MZ pairs, and correlations in MZ pairs were significantly greater than those in DZ pairs. Structural equation modeling indicated heritabilities of 91%, 92%, and 73%, respectively, for total cranial, brain parenchyma, and WMH volumes. Correction for age and head size reduced the heritability of brain parenchyma to 62% (95% confidence interval, 56% to 68%) and the heritability of WMH volume to 71% (95% confidence interval, 66% to 76%). Proband concordance rates for large amounts of WMH were 61% in MZ pairs and 38% in DZ pairs, compared with a prevalence of 15% in the entire sample. CONCLUSIONS: This study is the first to quantify the relative contribution of genetic and individual environmental influences to measures of brain morphology in the elderly.

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Migrainous visual accompaniments are not rare in late life: the Framingham Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Questionnaires to elicit symptoms of transient ischemic attacks (TIAs) may detect late-life transient visual symptoms similar to the visual aura of migraine, often without headache. We determined the frequency, characteristics, and stroke outcome of these symptoms in the Framingham Study. METHODS: During 1971-1989, at biennial examinations, 2110 subjects of the Framingham cohort were systematically queried about the occurrence of sudden visual symptoms. RESULTS: Visual migrainous symptoms were reported by 1.23% (26/2110) of subjects (1.33% of women and 1.08% of men). In 65% of subjects the episodes were stereotyped, and they began after age 50 years in 77%. Mean +/- SD age at onset of the episodes was 56.2+/-18.7 years. In 58% of subjects the episodes were never accompanied by headaches, and 42% had no headache history. The number of episodes ranged from 1 to 500 and was 10 or more in 69% of subjects. The episodes lasted 15 to 60 minutes in 50% of subjects. Sixty-five percent of the subjects were examined by a study neurologist, and only 19% of them met the criteria of the International Headache Society. Twelve percent of subjects sustained a stroke after the onset of migrainous visual symptoms: a subarachnoid hemorrhage 1 year later, an atherothrombotic brain stem infarct 3 years later, and a cardioembolic stroke 27 years later. In contrast, of 87 subjects with TIAs in the same cohort, 33% developed a stroke (P = 0.030), two thirds within 6 months of TIA onset. CONCLUSIONS: Late-life-onset transient visual phenomena similar to the visual aura of migraine are not rare and often occur in the absence of headache. These symptoms appear not to be associated with an increased risk of stroke, and invasive diagnostic procedures or therapeutic measures are generally not indicated.

Adult

Midlife cardiovascular risk factors, ApoE, and cognitive decline in elderly male twins.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the combined effect of the apolipoprotein E epsilon4 (ApoE*4) allele and midlife cardiovascular risk factors on cognitive decline. METHODS: Data are from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Twin Study-a longitudinal cardiovascular epidemiologic study of World War II male veteran twins currently in its 27th year of follow-up. Subjects were assessed for cardiovascular risk factors, including BP and glucose levels, at mean ages 48, 58, and 63 years. Participants in the current study are 410 individual twin subjects for whom cognitive function was measured twice, at ages 63 and 73 years. Ten-year change scores in performance on neuropsychological test examinations were adjusted for age, education, baseline score, and incident cardiovascular disease. RESULTS: For the sample as a whole, we observed a significant decline (p < 0.01) in cognitive performance over the 10 years of follow-up. ApoE*4 carriers with midlife hyperglycemia experienced the greatest decline in performance, which was also greater than expected from the separate effects combined. Midlife hypertension and ApoE*4, were each associated with excess decline in performance on tests of psychomotor speed. Their joint effect, however, was not greater than expected from the separate effects combined. CONCLUSIONS: ApoE*4 and midlife cardiovascular risk factors may have a synergistic effect on decline in cognitive function. This effect may be due to greater vascular or degenerative damage among subjects with ApoE*4.

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Association of midlife blood pressure to late-life cognitive decline and brain morphology.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between midlife systolic blood pressure (SBP) and late-life cognitive decline and brain morphology in a sample of community-dwelling elderly men 68 to 79 years of age. METHODS: Subjects are surviving members from the prospective National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Twin Study (intake, 1969 to 1972) who, when examined for a fourth time in 1995 through 1997, underwent brain MRI and repeated assessment of neurobehavioral functioning. Quantification of the MR images determined cerebral volume and total volume of white matter hyperintensities (WMHIs) for 392 subjects. Midlife SBP levels measured in 1970, 1980, and 1985 were used to classify subjects into low, medium, and high midlife SBP categories. A 10-year change in performance on the Mini-Mental State Examination, Digit Symbol Substitution Test, Benton Visual Retention Test, and Verbal Fluency Test was also calculated for these subjects. For all reported analyses, patients were treated as genetically unrelated individuals. RESULTS: Subjects with high midlife SBP experienced a greater decline in cognitive performance and had larger WMHI volumes at follow-up in late life than did those with low midlife SBP. Decreased brain parenchyma and increased WMHI volumes were associated with decline in neurobehavioral functioning as measured in late life independent of age, education, and baseline levels of cognition. CONCLUSIONS: Midlife SBP is a significant predictor of both decline in cognitive function and MR volumetric measures of brain atrophy in late life. Because decline in neurobehavioral functioning was associated with decreased brain volume and increased WMHI volume, we conclude that the long-term impact of elevated SBP on decline in late-life neurobehavioral functioning is likely to be mediated through its chronic, negative effect on structural characteristics of the brain.

Adult

The Stroke Prevention Policy Model: linking evidence and clinical decisions.

Simulation models that support decision and cost-effectiveness analysis can further the goals of evidence-based medicine by facilitating the synthesis of information from several sources into a single comprehensive structure. The Stroke Prevention Policy Model (SPPM) performs this function for the clinical and policy questions that surround stroke prevention. This paper first describes the basic structure and functions of the SPPM, concentrating on the role of large databases (broadly defined as any database that contains many patients, regardless of study design) in providing the SPPM inputs. Next, recognizing that the use of modeling continues to be a source of some controversy in the medical community, it discusses the philosophical underpinnings of the SPPM. Finally, it discusses conclusions in the context of both stroke prevention and other complex medical decisions. We conclude that despite the difficulties in developing comprehensive models (for example, the length and complexity of model development and validation processes, the proprietary nature of data sources, and the necessity for developing new software), the benefits of such models exceed the costs of continuing to rely on more conventional methods. Although they should not replace the clinician in decision making, comprehensive models based on the best available evidence from large databases can support decision making in medicine.

Cerebrovascular Disorders

Cumulative effects of high cholesterol levels, high blood pressure, and cigarette smoking on carotid stenosis.

BACKGROUND: Single measurements of cardiovascular risk factors may not accurately reflect a person's past exposure to those risk factors. We therefore studied the long-term associations of cardiovascular risk factors such as high serum cholesterol levels, high blood pressure, and cigarette smoking with the prevalence of carotid stenosis. METHODS: We studied cross-sectional and longitudinal information from a sample of 429 men and 661 women in the Framingham Heart Study who underwent B-mode ultrasound measurements of the carotid artery. Their mean age was 75 years, and each had attended most of the biennial clinic examinations over the 34 years before the carotid ultrasound study. We used time-integrated measurements to assess the associations between various cardiovascular risk factors and the degree of carotid stenosis. RESULTS: Moderate carotid stenosis (> or =25 percent) was present in 189 men and 226 women. We assessed the odds ratios for this degree of stenosis as compared with minimal stenosis (<25 percent) according to increases in risk factors. In the men, the odds ratio for moderate carotid stenosis associated with an increase of 20 mm Hg in systolic blood pressure was 2.11 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.51 to 2.97). The odds ratio for an increase of 10 mg per deciliter (0.26 mmol per liter) in the cholesterol level was 1.10 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.03 to 1.16), and for an increase of five pack-years of smoking it was 1.08 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.03 to 1.13). The results were similar in the women. Time-integrated measurements of diastolic blood pressure showed significant associations with carotid stenosis in men and insignificant associations in women. CONCLUSIONS: Over the long term, high systolic blood pressure, high cholesterol levels, and smoking were associated with an increased risk of carotid stenosis in this elderly population.

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