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Biomedical subjects

Niko Speybroeck

Publications and source records attributed to Niko Speybroeck.

10 recordsLinked to original sources

Decomposing socioeconomic inequality in infant mortality in Iran.

BACKGROUND: Although measuring socioeconomic inequality in population health indicators like infant mortality is important, more interesting for policy purposes is to try to explain infant mortality inequality. The objective of this paper is to quantify for the first time the determinants' contributions of socioeconomic inequality in infant mortality in Iran. METHODS: A nationally representative sample of 108 875 live births from October 1990 to September 1999 was selected. The data were taken from the Iranian Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) conducted in 2000. Households' socioeconomic status was measured using principal component analysis. The concentration index of infant mortality was used as our measure of socioeconomic inequality and decomposed into its determining factors. RESULTS: The largest contributions to inequality in infant mortality were owing to household economic status (36.2%) and mother's education (20.9%). Residency in rural/urban areas (13.9%), birth interval (13.0%), and hygienic status of toilet (11.9%) also proved important contributors to the measured inequality. CONCLUSIONS: The findings indicate that socioeconomic inequality in infant mortality in Iran is determined not only by health system functions but also by factors beyond the scope of health authorities and care delivery system. This implies that in addition to reducing inequalities in wealth and education, investments in water and sanitation infrastructure and programmes (especially in rural areas) are necessary to realize improvements of inequality in infant mortality across society. These findings can be instrumental for the recent 5 year Economic, Social and Cultural Development Plan of Iran, which identified the reduction of inequalities in social determinants of health.

Adolescent↗

Estimating disease prevalence in a Bayesian framework using probabilistic constraints.

Studies sometimes estimate the prevalence of a disease from the results of one or more diagnostic tests that are applied to individuals of unknown disease status. This approach invariably means that, in the absence of a gold standard and without external constraints, more parameters must be estimated than the data permit. Two assumptions are regularly made in the literature, namely that the test characteristics (sensitivity and specificity) are constant over populations and the tests are conditionally independent given the true disease status. These assumptions have been criticized recently as being unrealistic. Nevertheless, to estimate the prevalence, some restrictions on the parameter estimates need to be imposed. We consider 2 types of restrictions: deterministic and probabilistic restrictions, the latter arising in a Bayesian framework when expert knowledge is available. Furthermore, we consider 2 possible parameterizations allowing incorporation of these restrictions. The first is an extension of the approach of Gardner et al and Dendukuri and Joseph to more than 2 diagnostic tests and assuming conditional dependence. We argue that this system of equations is difficult to combine with expert opinions. The second approach, based on conditional probabilities, looks more promising, and we develop this approach in a Bayesian context. To evaluate the combination of data with the (deterministic and probabilistic) constraints, we apply the recently developed Deviance Information Criterion and effective number of parameters estimated (pD) together with an appropriate Bayesian P value. We illustrate our approach using data collected in a study on the prevalence of porcine cysticercosis with verification from external data.

Animals↗

Epidemiology of forest malaria in central Vietnam: a large scale cross-sectional survey.

In Vietnam, a large proportion of all malaria cases and deaths occurs in the central mountainous and forested part of the country. Indeed, forest malaria, despite intensive control activities, is still a major problem which raises several questions about its dynamics.A large-scale malaria morbidity survey to measure malaria endemicity and identify important risk factors was carried out in 43 villages situated in a forested area of Ninh Thuan province, south central Vietnam. Four thousand three hundred and six randomly selected individuals, aged 10-60 years, participated in the survey. Rag Lays (86%), traditionally living in the forest and practising "slash and burn" cultivation represented the most common ethnic group. The overall parasite rate was 13.3% (range [0-42.3] while Plasmodium falciparum seroprevalence was 25.5% (range [2.1-75.6]). Mapping of these two variables showed a patchy distribution, suggesting that risk factors other than remoteness and forest proximity modulated the human-vector interactions. This was confirmed by the results of the multivariate-adjusted analysis, showing that forest work was a significant risk factor for malaria infection, further increased by staying in the forest overnight (OR= 2.86; 95%CI [1.62; 5.07]). Rag Lays had a higher risk of malaria infection, which inversely related to education level and socio-economic status. Women were less at risk than men (OR = 0.71; 95%CI [0.59; 0.86]), a possible consequence of different behaviour. This study confirms that malaria endemicity is still relatively high in this area and that the dynamics of transmission is constantly modulated by the behaviour of both humans and vectors. A well-targeted intervention reducing the "vector/forest worker" interaction, based on long-lasting insecticidal material, could be appropriate in this environment.

Adolescent↗

Socioeconomic inequality in infant mortality in Iran and across its provinces.

OBJECTIVE: To measure the socioeconomic inequality in infant mortality in Iran (the Islamic Republic of Iran). METHODS: We analysed data from the provincially representative Demographic and Health Survey, which was done in Iran in 2000. We used a dichotomous hierarchical ordered probit model to develop an indicator of socioeconomic status of households. We assessed the inequality in infant mortality by using the odds ratio of infant mortality between the lowest and highest socioeconomic quintiles at both the provincial and national levels, and the concentration index, an inequality measure based on the entire socioeconomic distribution. RESULTS: We found a decreasing trend in the infant mortality rate in relation to socioeconomic quintiles. The poorest to richest odds ratio was 2.34 (95% CI = 1.78-3.09). The concentration index of infant mortality in Iran was -0.1789 (95% CI = -0.2193--0.1386). Furthermore, the inequality of infant mortality between the lowest and highest quintiles was significant and favoured the better-off in most of the provinces. However, this inequality varied between provinces. CONCLUSION: Socioeconomic inequality in infant mortality favours the better-off in the country as a whole and in most of its provinces, but the degree of this inequality varies between the provinces. As well as its national average, it is important to consider the provincial distribution of this indicator of population health.

Health Surveys↗

Malaria transmission intensity and the rate of spread of chloroquine resistant Plasmodium falciparum: Why have theoretical models generated conflicting results?

The rate at which falciparum resistant malaria spreads in different transmission settings is still a controversial subject. We have assessed the spread of mutant Plasmodium falciparum parasites in six Ugandan populations with varying prevalence of chloroquine resistance (CQR), malaria transmission intensity, multiplicity of parasite clones and prevalence of CQ use. For each population, we have determined the wild and mutant allele frequency at codons 76 and 86 of the pfcrt and pfmdr1 genes, respectively. The highest frequency (median = 16.3%, range: 0.0-70.4%) of infections with two pure mutants (no wild genotype in either gene), adjusted for clone multiplicity, was observed at the extremes of malaria transmission intensity. The wild/mutant (W/M) allele ratio (an index for tracking the progression of CQR) was less than one in all sites (median = 0.51, range: 0.09-0.98) for the pfcrt-76 gene, while it was greater than one in two of six sites (median = 0.75, range: 0.4-1.6) for the pfmdr1-86 gene, suggesting that the pfcrt-76 mutants were the predominant parasites at all sites. Furthermore, the pfmdr1-86 W/M allele ratio was consistently higher than that of the pfcrt-76. The spread of mutations linked to CQR in P. falciparum commences with the pfcrt-76 gene mutations, followed later by the pfmdr1-86 gene mutations that modulate higher CQR. Such spread occurs faster at the extremes of the transmission spectrum and could explain why mathematical models have previously generated conflicting results with respect to malaria transmission intensity and spread of CQR.

Alleles↗

Intensity of transmission and spread of gene mutations linked to chloroquine and sulphadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance in falciparum malaria.

The number of malaria parasite clones per infection-multiplicity of parasite clones-is affected by the transmission intensity, multiplicity increases with increasing transmission. This affects the frequency of parasites' sexual recombination and, if several mutations in different genes are involved, can break down drug resistant genotypes. Therefore, the effects of malaria transmission intensity on the spread of drug resistance could vary depending on the number of genes involved. Here we show that, compared to low transmission, intermediate-high transmission is associated with a 20-100-fold lower risk for the mutations linked to chloroquine resistance and a 6-17 times higher risk for those linked to sulphadoxine-pyrimethamine resistance. This is consistent with the hypothesis of a multigenic basis for chloroquine resistance and a monogenic basis for that of sulphadoxine-pyrimethamine. Reducing transmission intensity could slow the spread of resistance. However, a reduction below a critical threshold (e.g. when parasite prevalence in children 2-9 years old is around 60-80%) could, paradoxically, accelerate the spread of resistance to chloroquine and possibly to other drug combinations whose basis is multigenic. Our findings have important implications for malaria control because increasing drug resistance has a substantial impact on mortality.

Animals↗

Merogony in in vitro cultures of Theileria parva.

In vitro studies were focussed on the duration and cessation of merogony in Theileria parva infected blood lymphocyte cell cultures. The cultures were infected using purified tick stabilates as an alternative to in vitro infections, using sporozoites obtained by labour intensive dissections of salivary glands from infected ticks. After establishment of infection in peripheral blood lymphocytes (PBL), merozoites were temporarily produced for about 2 months after which lymphoblasts only contained schizonts.

Animals↗

Geographic variation in diapause response of adult Rhipicephalus appendiculatus ticks.

Diapause in adults of the African brown ear tick Rhipicephalus appendiculatus is dependent on latitude and stock origin. Lower latitude populations, that is, those nearer the equator, show no diapause response to long or short day exposure. Diapause response to short daylengths is found in higher latitude populations, further south, and increases with increasing latitude. Nearly all individuals in the southen most population, used in this study, enter diapause under short and long day exposure which implies that the onset of diapause in this population is obligatory. Diapause termination in higher latitude populations is induced by increasing photoperiod, further north, but still south of the equator, diapause is terminated by ageing. The differences in diapausing behaviour of the different populations are discussed in relation to their climatic conditions.

Africa↗

Neurocysticercosis and epilepsy in Cameroon.

During January 2002 the frequency of Taenia solium cysticercosis was studied in a series of 504 epileptic patients from 3 rural localities in the West and North-West provinces of Cameroon using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay for both circulating antigen (Ag-ELISA) and antibody (Ag-ELISA) detection. Taenia solium antigens were detected in the sera of 1.2% of the patients whereas specific antibodies against the parasite were present in 44.6% of the patients. Significantly less seropositive results in Ab-ELISA were recorded in Batibo than in Bandjoun and Bamendjou, whereas a borderline significant difference was recorded with increasing age. Furthermore, 56.2% of patients with late-onset epilepsy showed antibodies against cysticercosis. Taenia solium cysticercosis appears to be an important cause of epilepsy in Cameroon.

Adolescent↗