Search PubMed⌕ Search

Biomedical subjects

N Hamajima

Publications and source records attributed to N Hamajima.

152 records · Page 9Linked to original sources

Prediction of male lung cancer mortality in Japan based on birth cohort analysis.

The future trend in male lung cancer mortality in Japan was predicted by using a simulation model. The model was based on the age-specific death rates from lung cancer in males by birth cohort, expressed as Fi(t) = rkSitr-1 exp(-ktr). The parameters in the function were obtained from the mortality data in Vital Statistics (1960-1980). The chi-square test for goodness-of-fit supported the statistical validity and acceptability of the function. Extrapolation of the function provided future age-specific death rates by birth cohort for males in Japan. In this simulation model it was possible to evaluate the effects of preventive strategies and/or therapeutic improvements on lung cancer mortality when five additional parameters were taken into consideration. According to this model, the age-adjusted death rate from lung cancer in Japanese males is predicted to increase linearly until the year 2000 and to level off thereafter. The total number of deaths from lung cancer for all Japanese males is predicted to be 27,000 in 1990 and over 40,000 in 2000. With the establishment of an effective preventive strategy for young generations, the mortality would begin to decrease a few decades later. Improvements in the therapy of lung cancer, if realized, might suppress the future upward mortality trend in Japan to some extent. The above simulation model based on birth cohort analysis should be useful in estimating the impact of developments in prevention and treatment of lung cancer as well as in predicting the future mortality trend.

Adult↗

Logistic regression and discriminant analyses of hepatic failure after liver resection for carcinoma of the biliary tract.

Stepwise logistic and discriminant analyses were used to define the risk factors for hepatic failure after liver resection for carcinoma of the biliary tract and to predict this complication. The logistic analysis identified the linear pattern of oral glucose tolerance test, cholangitis, pancreatoduodenectomy, and indocyanine green disappearance rate as the factors most related to hepatic failure among 18 pre- and perioperative parameters of the past 84 hepatectomized cases (55 hilar bile duct carcinomas and 29 gallbladder carcinomas). Our discriminant formula using five variables, including the above-mentioned four plus the liver resection rate, could distinguish the patients with posthepatectomy liver failure (n = 25) from those without (n = 59) with 86.9% accuracy, 96.0% sensitivity, and 83.1% specificity. The cross-validation test has confirmed that this model was robust for discriminant analysis. The results of this study show that statistical multifactorial analysis makes possible the preoperative prediction of hepatic failure after liver resection for carcinoma of the biliary tract.

Adult↗

A phase III randomized study comparing doxifluridine and 5-fluorouracil as supportive chemotherapy in advanced and recurrent gastric cancer.

We conducted a phase III randomized study to investigate effects of supportive chemotherapy with oral doxifluridine (group A, 75 patients) or 5-fluorouracil (group B, 75 patients) in advanced gastric cancer when intensive chemotherapy was not an option. Although there were no significant differences between the groups with regard to survival, hospital-free survival and time to progression, median values of 3 endpoints were superior in group A. Secondary analysis showed that group A patients with prior chemotherapy tended to have longer survival and hospital-free survival and significantly longer time to progression.

Adult↗