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Biomedical subjects

N H Holford

Publications and source records attributed to N H Holford.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2001

Acetaminophen analgesia in children: placebo effect and pain resolution after tonsillectomy.

BACKGROUND: Pharmacodynamic models of acetaminophen analgesia in children have not explored the efficacy of single oral doses greater than 40 mg/kg. METHODS: Children aged 9.0 +/- 3.0 years (+/- SD) and weight 37.9+/- 16.6 kg undergoing outpatient tonsillectomy were randomised to receive acetaminophen elixir 40 mg/kg (n = 12). high dose acetaminophen elixir 100 mg/kg (n =20) or placebo (n=30) 0.5 -1 h preoperatively. No other analgesics were given. Individual acetaminophen serum concentrations and pain scores [visual analogue scale (VAS) 0-10] were measured over a 4-8 h postoperative period. These data were pooled with data from a previous study investigating acetaminophen pharmacodynamics (n = 120) and analysed using a non-linear mixed effect model. Placebo effects and drug effects were modelled using effect-site concentration models. RESULTS: A one-compartment model with first-order input, lag time and first-order elimination was used to describe the population pharmacokinetics of acetaminophen. Pharmacokinetic parameter estimates were similar to those previously described. Pharmacodynamic population parameter estimates [population variability coefficient of variation (CV)] for a maximum analgesic effect (Emax) model, in which the greatest possible pain relief (VAS 0-10) equates to an Emax of 10, were Emax 5.17 (64%) and 50% effective concentration 9.98 mg/l (107%). The equilibration half-life (t(eq)) of the analgesic effect compartment was 53 min (217%). A placebo drug model for the effects of placebo response had a t(eq) of 1.96 h (40%), an elimination half-life of 2.06 h (50%) and a potency of 1.54 pain relief units (24%). CONCLUSIONS: High dose acetaminophen (100 mg/kg) was no more effective than 40 mg/kg and was associated with increased nausea and vomiting. A target effect compartment concentration of 10 mg/l is expected to produce a pain reduction of 2.6 units. The placebo model accounted for a maximum pain reduction of 5.6 units at 3 h. The combination of placebo effect and preoperative acetaminophen 40 mg/kg results in pain scores below 4 units for 5 h postoperatively.

Acetaminophen↗
PubMed2001

A pharmacokinetic model to predict the PK interaction of L-dopa and benserazide in rats.

PURPOSE: To study the PK interaction of L-dopa/benserazide in rats. METHODS: Male rats received a single oral dose of 80 mg/kg L-dopa or 20 mg/kg benserazide or 80/20 mg/kg L-dopa/benserazide. Based on plasma concentrations the kinetics of L-dopa, 3-O-methyldopa (3-OMD), benserazide, and its metabolite Ro 04-5127 were characterized by noncompartmental analysis and a compartmental model where total L-dopa clearance was the sum of the clearances mediated by amino-acid-decarboxylase (AADC), catechol-O-methyltransferase and other enzymes. In the model Ro 04-5127 inhibited competitively the L-dopa clearance by AADC. RESULTS: The coadministration of L-dopa/benserazide resulted in a major increase in systemic exposure to L-dopa and 3-OMD and a decrease in L-dopa clearance. The compartmental model allowed an adequate description of the observed L-dopa and 3-OMD concentrations in the absence and presence of benserazide. It had an advantage over noncompartmental analysis because it could describe the temporal change of inhibition and recovery of AADC. CONCLUSIONS: Our study is the first investigation where the kinetics of benserazide and Ro 04-5127 have been described by a compartmental model. The L-dopa/benserazide model allowed a mechanism-based view of the L-dopa/benserazide interaction and supports the hypothesis that Ro 04-5127 is the primary active metabolite of benserazide.

Algorithms↗
PubMed2001

Target concentration intervention: beyond Y2K.

Target concentration intervention (TCI) is proposed as an alternative conceptual strategy to therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM). It is argued that the idea of a therapeutic range has limited the interpretation of measured drug concentrations and diminished the anticipated clinical benefit to patients by use of an oversimplified pharmacodynamic model. TCI on the other hand embraces pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic concepts and uses the idea of a target effect and associated target concentration to make rational individual dose decisions.

Bayes Theorem↗
PubMed2001

The pharmacokinetics of remifentanil in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting with cardiopulmonary bypass.

UNLABELLED: Remifentanil is a potent opioid with a short duration of action. It has the potential for large-dose opioid anesthesia without an obligatory prolonged period of mechanical ventilation. However, because of high clearance and rapid tissue distribution, cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) may influence its pharmacokinetics and alter drug requirements. We administered remifentanil by continuous infusion to 68 patients having coronary artery bypass graft surgery during CPB with hypothermia to describe the effects of these interventions on its pharmacokinetics. Remifentanil concentrations were measured before, during, and after CPB. Disposition was best described by a two-compartment model. The volume of distribution increased by 86% with institution of CPB and remained increased after CPB. Elimination clearance decreased by 6.37% for each degree Celsius decrease from 37 degrees C. IMPLICATIONS: Remifentanil concentrations decrease with the institution of cardiopulmonary bypass because of an increase in the volume of distribution. The decrease in elimination clearance with hypothermia results in increased total remifentanil concentrations during cardiopulmonary bypass if the infusion rate is not altered. More constant blood remifentanil levels may be obtained by reducing remifentanil infusion rate by 30% for each 5 degrees C decrease in temperature.

Analgesics, Opioid↗
PubMed2001

Drug treatment effects on disease progression.

Degenerative diseases are characterized by a worsening of disease status over time. The rate of deterioration is determined by the natural rate of progression of the disease and by the effect of drug treatments. A goal of drug treatment is to slow disease progression. Drug treatments can be categorized as symptomatic or protective. Symptomatic treatments do not affect the rate of disease progression whereas protective treatments have the ability to slow disease progression down. Many current methods for describing disease progression have two common drawbacks: a linear relationship between time and disease status is assumed, and within- and between-subject variability is ignored. Disease progress models combined with pharmacokinetic pharmacodynamic models and hierarchical random effects statistical models provide insights into understanding the time course and management of degenerative disease.

Alzheimer Disease↗
PubMed2000

A model for size and age changes in the pharmacokinetics of paracetamol in neonates, infants and children.

AIMS: The aims of this study were to describe paracetamol pharmacokinetics in neonates and infants. METHODS: Infants in their first 3 months of life (n = 30) were randomised to sequentially receive one of three paracetamol formulations (dose 30-40 mg kg-1) over a 2 day period. The formulations were (a) elixir, (b) glycogelatin capsule suppository and (c) triglyceride base suppository. Approximately six blood samples were taken after each dose over the subsequent 10-16 h. Data were analysed using a nonlinear mixed effect model. These neonatal and infant data were then included with data from four published studies of paracetamol pharmacokinetics (n = 221) and age-related pharmacokinetic changes investigated. RESULTS: Population pharmacokinetic parameter estimates and their coefficients of variation (CV%) for a one compartment model with first order input, lag time and first order elimination were volume of distribution 69.9 (18%) l and clearance 13.0 (41%) l h-1 (standardized to a 70 kg person). The volume of distribution decreased exponentially with a half-life of 1.9 days from 120 l 70 kg-1 at birth to 69.9 l 70 kg-1 by 14 days. Clearance increased from birth (4.9 l h-1 70 kg-1) with a half-life of 3.25 months to reach 12.4 l h-1 70 kg-1 by 12 months. The absorption half-life (tabs) for the oral preparation was 0.13 (154%) h with a lag time (tlag) of 0.39 h (31%). Absorption parameters for the triglyceride base and capsule suppositories were tabs 1.34 (90%) h, tlag 0.14 h (31%) and tabs 0.65 (63%) h, tlag 0.54 h (31%), respectively. The tabs for elixir and capsule suppository in children under 3 months were 3.68 and 1.51 times greater than children over 3 months. The relative bioavailability of rectal formulations compared with elixir were 0.67 (30%) and 0.61 (23%) for the triglyceride base and capsule suppositories, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Total body clearance of paracetamol at birth is 62% and volume of distribution 174% that of older children. A target concentration above 10 mg l-1 in approximately 50% subjects can be achieved by a dose from 45 mg kg-1 day-1 at birth and up to 90 mg kg-1 day-1 in 5-year-old children. A reduced dose of 75 mg kg-1 day-1 in an 8-year-old child is sufficient because clearance is a nonlinear function of weight.

Acetaminophen↗
PubMed2000

Prediction of the outcome of a phase 3 clinical trial of an antischizophrenic agent (quetiapine fumarate) by simulation with a population pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic model.

A completed phase 3 trial result was simulated 100 times on the basis of a simulation model of quetiapine fumarate (Seroquel), an antischizophrenic agent. The simulation was executed by analysts who were completely blinded from results of the actual trial until after the simulations were submitted to the holder of the trial results. Data from two clinical investigations of quetiapine in patients with schizophrenia were analyzed by use of nonlinear mixed effects modeling to derive a population pharmacokinetic- and pharmacodynamic-based simulation model. The time course of quetiapine concentrations was described by use of a one-compartment open linear pharmacokinetic model with first-order absorption and elimination. The combination of an inhibitory maximum effect pharmacodynamic model for the active treatment effect and a linear function of time for the placebo effect characterized the observed time course of change in the Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale. Simulation results were compared with those in the actual trial to evaluate how well the simulations predicted the outcome. The actual trial results for all doses except the placebo group fell within the predicted Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale scores +/- 1 SE. Unlike the phase 2 trial, from which the pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic model was developed, the placebo group in the actual phase 3 trial showed deterioration of Brief Psychiatric Rating Scale scores with time. We conclude that variable placebo responses observed in short-term studies of schizophrenia provide an inadequate basis for the modeling and simulation of placebo subjects in clinical trials. Knowledge of the range of placebo response observed in other studies may have provided an improved basis for the placebo effect model. The model for active drug produced adequate predictions of the actual trial outcomes.

Algorithms↗
PubMed2000

Investigations using logistic regression models on the effect of the LMA on morphine induced vomiting after tonsillectomy.

The effect of intraoperative airway management on postoperative vomiting after tonsillectomy is unknown. Logistic regression was used in a retrospective study to investigate the effect of the laryngeal mask airway (LMA) on a morphine dose-vomiting response curve. Charts were reviewed in 351 children in whom the airway was managed with either a LMA (n=177) or a tracheal tube (n=174). A mean perioperative morphine dose of 0.10 mg.kg(-1) (SD 0.09) was used in 248 children and a further 103 children were given no opioid. One hundred and eighteen of these 248 children vomited (47.6%) compared to 14 of 103 children given no morphine (13.6%). The probability of vomiting was related to morphine dose using logistic regression with both a linear and an E(max) model. Both the calibration (Hosmer-Lemishow goodness of fit chi-squared test lambda(2), P=0.81) and discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic plot, AUC ROC=0.67) of the E(max) model were better than the linear model (lambda(2), P=0.49; AUC ROC=0.64). Pharmacodynamic parameter estimates for the Emax model were P(0) (the baseline probability of vomiting) 0.139, P(max) (the maximal probability of vomiting due to morphine) 0.96, ED(50) (morphine dose that induces an effect equivalent to 50% of the logit P(max)) 0.09 mg.kg-1. The probability of vomiting was 50% after morphine 0.125 mg.kg-1. The use of the LMA had no effect on this dose-response curve. A covariate analysis investigating propofol for induction or isoflurane for the intraoperative maintenance of anaesthesia, however, showed that both drugs shifted the curve to the right. The probability of vomiting was 50% after morphine 0.17 mg.kg(-1) and 0.21 mg.kg(-1) for the isoflurane and propofol use curves, respectively. The concomitant use of propofol and isoflurane, but not the use of the LMA, decreases the probability of vomiting due to morphine.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2000

Simulation of clinical trials.

Computer simulation of clinical trials has evolved over the past two decades from a simple instructive game to "full" simulation models yielding pharmacologically sound, realistic trial outcomes. The need to make drug development more efficient and informative and the awareness that many industries make extensive use of simulation in product development have advanced considerably the use of simulation of clinical trials in pharmaceutical product development over the past decade. The structural and stochastic components of trial simulation models are explained as a prelude to a listing of representative simulation projects, reflecting investigative applications of statistical methods, trial design comparisons, and full simulation of new drugs being developed. Lessons learned from these projects are reviewed in the context of their current impact and potential for influencing the future of drug development.

Clinical Trials as Topic↗
PubMed2000

The dose-effect relationship for morphine and vomiting after day-stay tonsillectomy in children.

A dose-response curve for intravenous morphine and vomiting was investigated in children having day-stay tonsillectomy. A retrospective chart review was performed for the 164 children fulfilling the inclusion criteria. Morphine (mean 0.09 mg/kg SD 0.05) was used in 108 children in the perioperative period and a further 56 children were given no opioid. Fifty-five of these 164 children vomited and 20 children required an overnight stay in hospital because of vomiting. The probability of vomiting or overnight stay in hospital was related to morphine dose (by logistic regression). The overall probability of vomiting after morphine 0.1 mg/kg was 50% and the probability of admission for vomiting with this dose was 10%. Pharmacodynamic parameter estimates for postoperative vomiting were P0 (the baseline probability of vomiting, with no opioid) 0.115, Pmax (the maximal probability of vomiting due to morphine) 0.997, ED50 (morphine dose that induces an effect equivalent to 50% of the logit Pmax) 0.18 mg/kg. Parameter estimates for overnight stay because of vomiting after morphine administration were P0 0.038, Pmax 0.999, ED50 0.369 mg/kg. Satisfactory postoperative analgesia in children has been reported with morphine 0.05 to 0.15 mg/kg. Doses above 0.1 mg/kg are associated with a greater than 50% incidence of vomiting. Our data suggests that lower doses of morphine are associated with a decreased incidence of emesis after tonsillectomy in children.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1999

Predicting concentrations in children presenting with acetaminophen overdose.

OBJECTIVE: To predict serum concentrations to evaluate and improve guidelines for the treatment of children (1 to 5 years) with accidental ingestion of acetaminophen elixir. METHODS: Acetaminophen concentrations for 1000 children were simulated with pharmacokinetic parameters and their expected variability. The distribution of concentrations arising from a 300 mg/kg dose at different age groups was predicted. These predictions were validated by comparison with concentrations obtained at 4 hours from 121 children with accidental ingestion of acetaminophen elixir. RESULTS: No child who presented with overdose had a concentration in the probable risk area of the Rumack-Matthew toxicity nomogram. Enteral charcoal administered 98 minutes (SD 44) after ingestion had no effect on serum concentrations. The simulation predicted that an acetaminophen dose of 300 mg/kg would result in concentrations of 32 to 208 mg/L (95% CI) at 4 hours after ingestion. The maximum concentration occurred before 2 hours in 95% of simulated children. CONCLUSION: Children (1 to 5 years) with reported ingestion of >250 mg/kg acetaminophen elixir should have serum concentrations measured at 2 hours after ingestion rather than at the 4-hour time point recommended in adults. This can be expected to speed discharge and reduce anxiety. The use of enteral charcoal is unlikely to enhance acetaminophen elimination, unless it is given within an hour of acetaminophen ingestion.

Acetaminophen↗
PubMed1999

A procedure for generating bootstrap samples for the validation of nonlinear mixed-effects population models.

A method is presented for automated preparation of bootstrap data samples and their presentation to NONMEM for use in the validation of population pharmacokinetic or pharmacodynamic models, which have been developed with relatively small numbers of subjects. The bootstrap sampling procedure involves the use of an MS-DOS batch file and a script file for use with the public-domain text processing program, AWK, which is a single EXE file (48k in size for the version used in this report). A UNIX version of AWK is also available and UNIX users can adapt the process to their needs. Its use obviates the need for expensive, high-end statistical packages and associated script files written using in-built programming languages. The method can easily be adapted to bootstrap sampling requirements in other biomedical modelling applications.

Computer Simulation↗
PubMed1999

Target concentration intervention: beyond Y2K.

Target concentration intervention (TCI) is proposed as an alternative conceptual strategy to therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM). It is argued that the idea of a therapeutic range has limited the interpretation of measured drug concentrations and diminished the anticipated clinical benefit to patients by use of an oversimplified pharmacodynamic model. TCI on the other hand embraces pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic concepts and uses the idea of a target effect and associated target concentration to make rational individual dose decisions.

Data Interpretation, Statistical↗
PubMed1999

Perioperative pharmacodynamics of acetaminophen analgesia in children.

BACKGROUND: There are no adequate pharmacodynamic data relating concentrations of acetaminophen in serum to analgesia. METHODS: Children undergoing outpatient tonsillectomy were administered acetaminophen either orally, 0.5-1.0 h preoperatively (n = 20), or per rectum at induction of anesthesia (n = 100). No other analgesic agents were administered. Individual concentrations of acetaminophen in serum and pain scores (0-10) measured over a 4-h postoperative period were analyzed using a nonlinear mixed-effects model (NONMEM). RESULTS: Mean (% CV) estimates of population pharmacokinetic parameters with percent coefficient of variation, standardized to a 70-kg person, for a one-compartment model with first-order input, lag time, and first order-elimination were a volume of distribution of 60 (21) 1 and a clearance of 13.5 (46) 1/h. Rectally administered acetaminophen had an absorption half-life of 35 (63) min with a lag time of 40 min. The absorption half-life for the oral preparation was 4.5 (63) min without a detectable lag time. The relative bioavailability of the rectal compared with the oral formulation was 0.54. The equilibration half-time of an effect compartment was 1.6 (131) h. Pharmacodynamic population parameter estimates (percent coefficient of variation) for a fractional sigmoidal Emax model, in which the greatest possible pain relief equates to an Emax of 1, were Emax = 1, EC50 (the concentration producing 50% of Emax) = 3.4 (94) mg/l, and Hill coefficient = 0.54 (42). CONCLUSIONS: The pharmacodynamics of acetaminophen can be described using a sigmoidal Emax model with a low Hill coefficient. To achieve a mean posttonsillectomy pain score of 3.6 of 10, an effect compartment concentration of 10 mg/l is necessary.

Acetaminophen↗
PubMed1999

The pharmacokinetics of theophylline in premature neonates during the first few days after birth.

The aims of the study were to estimate the pharmacokinetic parameters, clearance rate (CL), and volume of distribution (V) of theophylline in premature neonates during the first few days after birth, and to identify factors contributing to interindividual variability. The authors obtained 263 serum concentrations from 105 apneic premature neonates receiving intravenous (IV) theophylline. Mean (SD) birth weight and postnatal ages were 1.3 (0.3) kg and 1.1 (0.3) days, respectively. The data were analyzed using the nonlinear mixed effects model (NONMEM). A one-compartment model with first order elimination was used. The final models were: CL (L/h) = 0.006 * WGT 0.75 * P, V (L) = 0.63 * WGT, WGT = weight (kg) P = 1.47 with oxygen support and 1.0 without oxygen support. The CL in the study population was low, resulting in long half-lives. After inclusion of the above covariates, as well as interoccasion variability, the interindividual variability in CL was 56% and in V was 47%. Interoccasion variability in CL and V was 34% and 35% respectively. Theophylline pharmacokinetics are variable in the premature neonate during the first week of life, and this high variability makes it difficult to predict drug concentrations with the same degree of accuracy as in other populations.

Bronchodilator Agents↗
PubMed1999

Caffeine overdose in a premature infant: clinical course and pharmacokinetics.

The elimination of caffeine was investigated in a 1860 g, 31 week gestation neonate, following the accidental administration of a 160 mg.kg-1 dose. The first serum concentration measured was 217.5 mg.l-1 at 36.5 h after dosing. Fitting of time-concentration data was performed using non-linear regression with MKMODEL. A first order elimination model was superior to a mixed order model. Parameter estimates were: clearance 0.01 l.h-1, volume of distribution 1.17 litres, elimination half-life 81 h. Toxic manifestations included hypertonia, sweating, tachycardia, cardiac failure, pulmonary oedema and metabolic disturbances (metabolic acidosis, hyperglycaemia and creatine kinase elevation). An unusual feature of this infant's illness course was gastric dilatation. These signs resolved by day 7 at a serum concentration of 60-70 mg.l-1. Caffeine clearance has traditionally been reported as either an absolute value or as directly proportional to body weight. The per kilogram model gives an erroneous impression that clearance is greatest in early childhood and then decreases with age until adult rates are reached in late adolescence. Age-related clearance values reported in the literature were reviewed using an allometric 3/4 power model. This size model demonstrates that clearance increases in infancy and reaches adult rates within the first three months of life.

Age Factors↗
PubMed1999

Pharmacokinetics of paracetamol in adults after cardiac surgery.

The pharmacokinetics of paracetamol in adults after cardiac surgery have not been described. Twenty patients were randomized to receive either paracetamol 2 g through a nasogastric tube and as a suppository eight hours later or vice versa. Arterial blood samples were taken at 0.5, one, two, four, six and eight hours after dosing. Each patient was studied for 16 h. There were 16 males and three females. One patient was excluded because of sampling errors. The mean age was 59 (SD 8) years and the mean weight 84 kg (16). The time-concentration profiles for each individual were used to estimate pharmacokinetic parameters using a non-linear mixed effects model (NONMEM). Population parameter estimates with coefficient of variation (CV%), standardized to a 70 kg person, for a one-compartment model with first order input, lag time and first order elimination were volume of distribution 127l (28) and clearance 26.4 l/h (29) Rectal paracetamol had an absorption half-life (Tabs) of 2.02 h (31) with a lag time of 0.28 h. The absorption half-life for the oral preparation was 1.49 h (81) with a lag time of 0.17 h. The relative bioavailability of the rectal compared to the oral formulation was 0.98 (18). Concentrations after either nasogastric or rectal paracetamol 2 g were below a target concentration of 10 mg/l, which is associated with analgesia. Absorption after nasogastric administration was slow compared to healthy adults (Tabs 0.06 to 0.7 h) and the bioavailability was half that expected, due to nasogastric loss. Parameter estimates had large variability. Paracetamol is unlikely to have useful clinical impact in the majority of patients when standard doses (6 g/day) are given on day 1 after cardiac surgery.

Acetaminophen↗