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N E Shumway

Publications and source records attributed to N E Shumway.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Composite valve graft versus separate aortic valve and ascending aortic replacement: is there still a role for the separate procedure?

BACKGROUND: To ascertain if operative technique has any bearing on outcome, the surgical results after aortic root replacement using either a composite valve graft (CVG) or a separate graft and valve (GV) were analyzed. METHODS AND RESULTS: Three hundred and ninety consecutive, nonrandomized patients treated for aortic valve disease and ascending aortic aneurysm (n=278) or type A dissection (n=112 [45 acute]) between 1965 and 1995 were analyzed retrospectively. One hundred and thirty-five patients received a CVG, and 255 had separate GV replacement. Mean age was 52+/-16 years (+/-1 SD). Eighty-two patients (44% of the CVG group) had the Marfan syndrome (MFS). Follow-up (96% complete) totaled 2247 patient-years and extended to 27 years. The operative mortality rate was 10+/-3% (+/-70% confidence limits) for patients receiving a CVG and 15+/-2% for GV replacement (P=NS). The 15-year actuarial survival estimate was higher for the CVG group (53+/-14% [+/-SEM] versus 36+/-4%, P=.037). Seven patients in the CVG group required reoperation on the aortic valve or ascending aorta, as did 49 in the GV group. The probabilities of freedom from reoperation on the aortic rootwere 82+/-9% and 75+/-4% at 10 years for the CVG and GV group (P=NS). Thirty variables were analyzed in a multivariate model: pulmonary disease, higher New York Heart Association functional class, and longer cardiopulmonary bypass time were linked with higher operative mortality risk; older age, emergency operation, coronary artery disease, and liver dysfunction were independent determinants of late death. Younger age and use of a bioprosthesis were predictors of late reoperation. Type of procedure (GV versus CVG) was not a significant predictor of any outcome variable. CONCLUSIONS: The long-term results after CVG or GV were similar, which reflects proper patient selection. Use of a composite valve graft theoretically confers more protection against recurrent aortic root aneurysm, and, unless one opts for a valve-sparing aortic root replacement procedure, is most appropriate for younger patients, those with the MFS (including acute dissections), and others with marked pathological involvement of the sinuses. On the other hand, use of a separate GV should not be abandoned; in carefully selected patients (and if properly performed, eg, excision of the sinuses), GV also provides satisfactory results.

Adult

F. John Lewis, MD: 1916-1993.

F. John Lewis performed the first successful open heart operation in 1952. He was the first full-time member of the faculty of surgery at Northwestern University. This article gives a brief biography of this great surgeon.

Cardiac Surgical Procedures

Twenty-year clinical experience with porcine bioprostheses.

BACKGROUND: For the past 25 years, porcine valves have been the most widely implanted bioprosthesis, thereby becoming the standard for comparison with newer bioprosthetic valves. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 2,879 patients who underwent aortic (AVR; n = 1,594) or mitral (MVR; n = 1,285) valve replacement between 1971 and 1990. Follow-up was 97% complete and extended to 20 years (total, 17,976 patient-years). Patient age ranged from 16 to 94 years; mean age in patients who underwent AVR was 60 +/- 15 (+/- standard deviation) years; that for patients who underwent MVR was 58 +/- 13 years. RESULTS: The operative mortality rates were 7% +/- 1% (70% confidence limits) for AVR and 10% +/- 1% for MVR. Actuarial estimates of freedom from structural valve deterioration at 10 and 15 years were 78% +/- 2% (SE) and 49% +/- 4%, respectively, for the AVR subgroup; and 69% +/- 2% and 32% +/- 4%, respectively, for the MVR subgroup (AVR > MVR; p < 0.05). Estimates of freedom from reoperation at 10 and 15 years were 76% +/- 2% and 53% +/- 4%, respectively, for the AVR subgroup and 70% +/- 2% and 33% +/- 4%, respectively, for the MVR subgroup (AVR > MVR; p < 0.05). Estimates of freedom from thromboembolism at 10 and 15 years were 92% +/- 1% and 87% +/- 2%, respectively, for the AVR subgroup and 86% +/- 1% and 77% +/- 3%, respectively, for the MVR subgroup (AVR > MVR; p < 0.05). Estimates of freedom from anticoagulant-related hemorrhage at 10 and 15 years were both 96% +/- 1% for the AVR subgroup and 93% +/- 1% and 90% +/- 2%, respectively, for the MVR subgroup (AVR > MVR; p < 0.05). Estimates of freedom from valve-related mortality at 10 and 15 years were 86% +/- 1% and 78% +/- 3%, respectively, for the AVR subgroup and 84% +/- 2% and 70% +/- 4%, respectively, for the MVR subgroup (p = not significant). Multivariate analysis (Cox model) showed younger age, later year of operation, and valve site (MVR > AVR) to be significant risk factors for structural valve deterioration. Younger age, later year of operation, valve site (MVR > AVR), and renal insufficiency were the significant, independent risk factors for reoperation. Multivariate analysis revealed that higher New York Heart Association functional class, longer cardiopulmonary bypass time, congestive heart failure, renal insufficiency, and longer cross-clamp time were significant risk factors for valve-related mortality. Valve manufacturer did not emerge as a factor in any analysis. CONCLUSIONS: These long-term results with porcine bioprostheses were satisfactory, particularly in older patients and those undergoing AVR. As expected, younger age was a significant risk factor for structural valve deterioration and reoperation in both groups. Surprisingly, the durability of porcine bioprosthetic valves has not improved over time, which possibly can be attributed to more enhanced postoperative surveillance and earlier reintervention. These first-generation Hancock and Carpentier-Edwards porcine bioprostheses achieved similar long-term performance.

Actuarial Analysis

Surgical management of aortic dissection during a 30-year period.

BACKGROUND: Certain recent studies have demonstrated improved surgical outcome in patients with aortic dissection. We analyzed the surgical survival rates of patients with acute aortic dissections and the late prognosis of those with aortic dissection during a 30-year period. METHODS AND RESULTS: Between 1963 and 1992, 360 patients (256 men and 104 women; mean +/- 1 SD age, 57 +/- 14 years) underwent surgery for aortic dissection: 174 patients had an acute type A (AcA), 46 an acute type B (AcB), 106 a chronic type A (ChA), and 34 a chronic type B (ChB) aortic dissection. The overall operative mortality rate was 24 +/- 8% (26 +/- 3% for AcA, 39 +/- 8% for AcB, 17 +/- 4% for ChA, and 15 +/- 6% for ChB, [+/- 70% confidence limit]). The operative mortality rates for patients with acute aortic dissection (AcA or AcB) were assessed for five time "windows": 1963 to 1972 (42 +/- 8%), 1973 to 1977 (37 +/- 8%), 1978 to 1982 (15 +/- 6%), 1983 to 1987 (27 +/- 6%), and 1988 to 1992 (26 +/- 6%). Logistic regression analysis suggested that the low operative mortality rate during the 1978-to-1982 interval occurred by chance. Multivariate analysis showed earlier operative year, hypertension, cardiac tamponade, renal dysfunction, and older age were independent determinants of operative death. Actuarial survival rates (including early deaths) after 5, 10, and 15 years for AcA patients were 55%, 37%, and 24%; for AcB, 48%, 29%, and 11%; for ChA, 65%, 45%, and 27%; and for ChB, 59%, 45%, and 27%. Multivariate analysis revealed that older age and previous operation were significant predictors for late death. Freedom from reoperation for all patients was 84%, 67%, and 57% at 5, 10, and 15 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Although the operative mortality rate decreased over time for patients with aortic dissection, the risk for those with acute aortic dissection during the last 10 years (1983 to 1992) is probably more realistic than that observed in the preceding 5-year interval (1978 to 1982). The operative mortality rates for patients with chronic aortic dissection have remained relatively static. Earlier diagnosis of acute aortic dissection before development of cardiac tamponade and renal impairment is critical to improve the operative salvage rate. Long-term outcome still is not optimal, which emphasizes the need for better serial postoperative aortic imaging surveillance and medical follow-up and blood pressure control.

Adult

The aortic valve after heart transplantation.

We studied the aortic root (wall, semilunar cusp, septal myocardium) in 37 patients (29 male and 8 female; mean age; 41 years) who died 2 to 4,380 days (mean, 398 days) after heart (n = 34) and heart-lung (n = 3) transplantation. The aim of the study was to assess tissue viability, graft-host biological interaction, and cusp mineralization with time. Study methods included gross inspection and photos of each specimen, microradiography, histology and immunohistochemistry, scanning and transmission electron microscopy, and atomic absorption spectroscopy. There were no cases of valve dysfunction; in particular, cusp tears or perforations never occurred. Only 1 valve, in place for 12 years, had a pin-point calcification visible to the naked eye. Optimal preservation of the tissue components (endothelium, fibroblasts, collagen and elastic fibers, proteoglycans, intrinsic nervous ganglia) was observed at both short and long term. Concomitant acute rejection of valve leaflets and myocardium was seen in 7, mild valve thickening in 14, myxoid degeneration in 4, and graft aortic atherosclerosis in 26. Mineralization was negligible and was not progressive with time. No linear correlation was found between mineralization and number of acute rejections. In conclusion, we observed optimal cusp viability and integrity even at long term, concomitant valve and myocardium rejection with no valvular sequelae, and negligible, non-progressive cusp calcification. Donor-recipient blood group matching, heart-beating donor, and chronic immunosuppression are the reasonable explanations of the optimal durability of the aortic valve after heart transplantation.

Adult

Durability of the Hancock MO bioprosthesis compared with standard aortic valve bioprostheses.

To compare the durability of the Hancock modified orifice (Hancock MO, model 250 [H-MO]) valve with two other commonly used standard aortic valve bioprostheses, a cohort of 1,602 patients undergoing aortic valve replacement using porcine valves between 1971 and 1990 (excluding simultaneous mitral valve replacement) was analyzed retrospectively using Cox model multivariate techniques. Five hundred sixty-one patients received a composite H-MO valve, 652 received a standard Hancock model 242 (H) valve, and 389 received a Carpentier-Edwards model 2625 (C-E) valve. Mean age was 60 +/- 15 years (+/- 1 standard deviation) (71% male). Follow-up (10,247 patient-years) extended to 15 years and was 97% complete. The main focus of this study was bioprosthetic durability, using The American Association for Thoracic Surgery/The Society of Thoracic Surgeons guidelines to define structural valve deterioration (SVD). Multivariate analysis revealed that (younger) age (p < 10(-5), liver disease (p = 0.02), and 1981 to 1985 operative period (p = 0.012) were the only significant, independent predictors of SVD. In concordance with previous reports, the SVD freedom estimate was greater than 90% at 15 years for patients older than 70 years of age. Hepatic dysfunction had an adverse effect on SVD (estimated freedom from event at 10 years was 34 +/- 17% [standard error of mean] versus 78 +/- 2% for those without liver disease), but this affected only 3% of patients. Interestingly, one operative period (1981 to 1985) was associated with a slightly higher risk of SVD compared to the three other 5-year time windows. Valve type did not emerge as a significant risk factor for SVD.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Actuarial Analysis

Surgical management of aortic dissection in patients with the Marfan syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Aortic dissection is one of the most lethal potential complications in patients with the Marfan syndrome. METHODS AND RESULTS: Among 360 patients undergoing operative treatment of aortic dissection between 1963 and 1992, 40 had the Marfan syndrome. There were 24 men and 16 women with a mean age of 35 +/- 9 years (+/- 1 SD; range, 15 to 54 years). These patients included 16 with acute type A, 2 with acute type B, 18 with chronic type A, and 4 with chronic type B aortic dissections. The aortic arch was involved in 29 cases. Preoperative complications included acute aortic valvular insufficiency in 13 patients, rupture into the pericardial space in 3, and loss of peripheral pulses in 9. The site of primary intimal tear was the ascending aorta in 25 patients, the aortic arch in 2, the descending aorta in 7, and not identified in 6. Operations included ascending aortic and aortic valvular replacement (with or without coronary artery reimplantation) in 22 patients, ascending aortic replacement alone in 5, and descending thoracic aortic replacement in 9. Four operative deaths (10 +/- 5% [+/- 70% confidence limits]) occurred in 3 acute patient-years and 1 chronic type A patient-years. Long-term follow-up (216 patient-years; range, 1 month to 22 years; mean, 5.4 years) revealed 15 late deaths, 7 from late aortic sequelae. The overall actuarial survival estimates were 71 +/- 8%, 54 +/- 10%, and 22 +/- 11% at 5, 10, and 15 years, respectively. Twenty late aortic operations were required in 14 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Despite satisfactory early results, the long-term survival of patients with the Marfan syndrome was suboptimal (albeit similar to those without the Marfan syndrome). Future progress will pivot on reducing the incidence of aortic dissection in these patients with medical therapy and/or earlier surgical intervention and enhanced postoperative serial imaging surveillance of the entire aorta.

Actuarial Analysis

Randomized, prospective assessment of bioprosthetic valve durability. Hancock versus Carpentier-Edwards valves.

BACKGROUND: Although the major limitation of porcine valves is their finite durability, no controlled clinical data exist regarding the relative durability of the two porcine bioprostheses implanted most commonly today, the Carpentier-Edwards (C-E) and Medtronic Hancock I (H) valves. METHODS AND RESULTS: To assess this question, 174 patients undergoing aortic (AVR) or mitral (MVR) valve replacement with a bioprosthesis between March 1980 and March 1982 were randomized to receive either a C-E or a H valve. There were 102 AVRs (54 C-E and 48 H) and 74 MVRs (39 C-E and 35 H). For both the AVR and MVR cohorts, the average patient age was 58 +/- 14 years (+/- SD). The male/female ratio was 2.2:1 for AVR and 0.57:1 for MVR. Clinical follow-up was undertaken periodically; the most recent follow-up closing interval was July through October 1992, and current follow-up was 96% complete. Cumulative follow-up totaled 1369 patient-years (mean, 7.7 +/- 3.6 years; median, 9.1 years; maximum, 12.0 years). The main focus of this analysis was bioprosthetic durability, using the AATS/STS guidelines defining "Structural Valve Deterioration" (SVD). Multivariate analysis revealed that (younger) age was the only significant (P = .024) independent predictor of SVD. Valve manufacturer (C-E versus H) and valve site (aortic versus mitral) did not emerge as significant independent risk factors for SVD. Actuarial rates (Cutler-Ederer) expressed as percent free of SVD (+/- SEM) at 10 years (n = number of patients remaining at risk) were 71 +/- 7% and 59 +/- 9% for the C-E (n = 26) and H (n = 17) groups, respectively, for the AVR cohort; for the MVR cohort, these estimates were 60 +/- 10% (n = 12) and 72 +/- 10% (n = 11), respectively, but these differences were not statistically significant (P = NS, Lee-Desu). CONCLUSIONS: After 10 years, there was no statistically significant difference in durability or other valve-related complications between the H and C-E aortic or mitral valves. Based on current information, the choice of a porcine bioprosthesis should be based on factors other than durability, including ease of implantation, hemodynamic performance, and cost.

Aortic Valve

Heart, heart-lung, and lung transplantation in the first year of life.

Seventeen infants less than 1 year of age have undergone heart (12), heart-lung (3), and lung (2) transplantation for end-stage cardiopulmonary disease. The infants undergoing heart transplantation had a mean age of 4.5 months (range, 19 days to 12 months) with the diagnosis of cardiomyopathy in 4 and congenital heart disease in 8. Four of the 8 patients (50%) had hypoplastic left heart syndrome. Actuarial survival at 1 and 2 years was 74% and compared favorably with the survival of older children at 1 and 2 years of 82% and 69%. The linearized rejection rate was less in infants as compared with children more than 1 year of age (0.61 versus 1.48 episodes per 100 patient days). In intermediate follow-up, no graft atherosclerosis has been noted. Immunosuppression has included a three-drug protocol of cyclosporine, azathioprine, and prednisone. A steroid taper to alternate day steroids or off completely by 6 months has been the goal and has been accomplished in 6 of 12 infants. Heart-lung and lung transplantation has been performed in 5 infants. One infant in each group died: 1 infant secondary to airway complications and sepsis and another due to pulmonary sepsis. A pulmonary lobe from a larger and older donor was transplanted into a 4-week-old infant as a single-lung transplant with good outcome. The 3 surviving infants are well 24, 18, and 2 months after transplantation. Obliterative bronchiolitis has not been clinically apparent in this group. These data support the clinical efficacy of heart, heart-lung, and lung transplantation in the first year of life.

Actuarial Analysis

Current approach to hypoplastic left heart syndrome. Palliation, transplantation, or both?

Over the past 3 years, 35 newborn infants have been referred for surgical management of hypoplastic left heart syndrome. Surgical palliation (first-stage Norwood) or cardiac transplantation was offered. Twenty-four families (68%) chose palliation and 11 families (32%) chose cardiac transplantation. Of the 11 infants listed for cardiac transplantation, five underwent transplantation. Because of a lack of donors after an average wait of 25 days (19 to 31), the remaining six infants underwent palliation, with no perioperative deaths. Of the 30 infants undergoing palliation, including crossovers, 20 (67%) survived the first operative stage. Among the last 19 infants undergoing palliation in 1990, the early survival was 84%. Risk factors determined for poor outcome were year of operation (p less than 0.001) and circulatory arrest time greater than 50 minutes (p less than 0.001). Among the 13 infants undergoing palliation with a circulatory arrest time of less than 50 minutes, there were 12 survivors (92%); among 12 having a circulatory arrest time of more than 50 minutes, there were four survivors (33%). At intermediate follow-up, six infants have undergone second-stage procedures (Glenn), with five survivors. There were eight late deaths, four caused by respiratory infections and four caused by cardiac problems, including a thrombosed shunt in one infant. Three of five infants are alive and doing well after cardiac transplantation. Size of aorta, tricuspid regurgitation, and ventricular wall thickness did not prove to be risk factors. Given the existing data, we believe these infants should be managed selectively on the basis of donor availability and family wishes.

Actuarial Analysis

Current trends in lung transplantation. Lobar transplantation and expanded use of single lungs.

Heart-lung transplantation remains the only therapeutic option for patients with combined end-stage cardiopulmonary disease. Because of the scarcity of heart-lung donors, we have been investigating other surgical alternatives for patients with end-stage vascular and parenchymal lung disease. From June 1989 through June 1991, 48 patients underwent pulmonary transplantation. Seventeen of the 48 patients underwent single lung transplantation. Of the 17 patients in the single lung group, eight patients had pulmonary hypertension and nine had parenchymal lung disease. Four of the 17 patients underwent repair of a cardiac defect with single lung transplantation. One-year actuarial survival was 68%. Pulmonary function has been excellent. The forced expiratory volume in 1 second was 79.6 +/- 13.6 (percent predicted), forced expiratory flow 25%-75% was 72.6 +/- 14.5 (percent predicted), and arterial oxygen tension was 82.8 +/- 10.06 mm Hg when measured at annual follow-up in a group of eight patients without obliterative bronchiolitis. Pulmonary artery pressures of systemic level or greater in the group with pulmonary vascular disease were normal at annual catheterization. Most patients had at least one episode of allograft rejection. Actuarial freedom from rejection at the end of 3 months was 30%. Three of the 17 single lung patients receiving lung lobes were children. Two children received living-related lobe transplants and one neonate received a lobe from a 2-year-old cadaver donor. Single lung transplantation is an effective therapeutic option for selected patients with vascular or parenchymal lung disease. Expanding indications will permit more individuals to receive transplants from the existing donor pool. Living-related and cadaver lobe transplantation will also increase the options available to children in need of lung transplantation.

Adolescent

Cystic fibrosis. Target population for lung transplantation in North America in the 1990s.

Cystic fibrosis is the most common lethal genetic disease occurring in the white population. It is estimated that 3.5% of the 20,000 individuals with cystic fibrosis in North America will die each year of end-stage lung disease. Lung transplantation (heart-lung or double lung) is becoming more frequent as more patients are referred for this procedure. Since January 1988, we have evaluated 60 patients with cystic fibrosis for lung transplantation and have accepted 30 (50%). Nine patients (30%) died while awaiting a donor. Fifteen patients underwent transplantation (13 heart-lung and two double lung procedures). Actuarial survival at 1, 2, and 3 years is 76%. All survivors are without physical limitations. Pulmonary function, as determined by forced vital capacity, forced expiratory volume in 1 second, and arterial blood gas determinations, is within the normal range. Comparing these data with those of a group of patients without cystic fibrosis who underwent transplantation during the same period did not reveal any significant differences with respect to infection, rejection, and outcome. Preliminary data suggest that obliterative bronchiolitis is less prevalent at 1 year in patients with cystic fibrosis (19%) than in those without cystic fibrosis (41%). Patients with cystic fibrosis present a number of challenges. The problems of pleural adhesions from repeated infections, pleurodesis, and previous thoracic procedures are now readily approached through the bilateral thoracosternotomy (clam shell) incision. Insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus and low-dose corticosteroid therapy are no longer considered absolute contraindications. Both septic lungs must be removed at operation, either with heart-lung transplantation or with double lung transplantation. These data support the therapeutic efficacy of lung transplantation for patients with cystic fibrosis.

Actuarial Analysis

Durability of porcine valves at fifteen years in a representative North American patient population.

Isolated aortic (n = 857) or mitral (n = 793) valve replacement with a porcine bioprosthesis was performed in 1650 patients between 1971 and 1980. Follow-up (total = 12,012 patient-years) extended to more than 15 years and was 96% complete. Patient age ranged from 16 to 87 years; mean age was 59 +/- 11 years (+/- 1 standard deviation) for the aortic valve replacement cohort and 56 +/- 12 years for the mitral valve replacement cohort. The operative mortality rates were 5% +/- 1% (+/- 70% confidence limits) and 8% +/- 1%, respectively, for the aortic and mitral subgroups. Estimated freedom from structural valve deterioration (+/- 1 standard error of the mean) after 10 and 15 years was significantly higher for the aortic than for the mitral valve replacement subgroup (85% +/- 0.4% and 63% +/- 3% versus 78% +/- 2% and 45% +/- 3%, respectively, p = 0.001). Reoperation-free actuarial estimates were also significantly greater for the aortic valve replacement cohort: 83% +/- 2% and 57% +/- 3% versus 78% +/- 2% and 43% +/- 3% for mitral valve replacement at 10 and 15 years, respectively. The mortality rate for reoperative aortic valve replacement was 11% +/- 1%; it was 8% +/- 1% for reoperative mitral valve replacement. Importantly, the estimates of freedom from valve-related death (including sudden, unexplained deaths) were relatively high at 10 and 15 years: 78% +/- 2% and 69% +/- 3% in the aortic cohort and 74% +/- 2% and 63% +/- 3% in the mitral cohort (p = not significant). Excluding sudden, unexplained deaths, these estimates were 81% +/- 3% (aortic) and 73% +/- 4% (mitral) at 15 years. Thromboembolism-free rates were 84% +/- 3% (aortic) and 78% +/- 6% (mitral) at 15 years, and freedom from anticoagulant-related hemorrhage was 96% +/- 1% and 89% +/- 2%, respectively. At the time of current follow-up, 13% of patients having aortic valve replacement and 50% of patients having mitral valve replacement were receiving warfarin sodium. The hazard functions for thromboembolism and prosthetic valve endocarditis were constant and remained less than 1%/pt-yr over the entire follow-up period.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Actuarial Analysis

Heart-lung transplantation in infants, children, and adolescents.

We have performed heart-lung transplantation in 10 children for the preoperative diagnoses of primary pulmonary hypertension (4), complex congenital heart disease with pulmonary hypertension (4), pulmonary atresia (1), and cystic fibrosis (1). Ages ranged from 4 months to 18 years. There were 15 episodes of pulmonary rejection, with an occurrence rate of 1.67 episodes per patient. Pulmonary infections occurred frequently, with an occurrence rate of 3.3 episodes per patient. The actuarial survival rate at 1 and 2 years was 78% and 47%, respectively. Patient attrition between 1 and 2 years was attributable to the complications of obliterative bronchiolitis, which has effected 71% (5/7) of the long-term survivors. Four of the 5 surviving children have minimal physical limitation and are in functional class I. These data support continued investigation into heart-lung transplantation in children and set the stage for further program development into single-lung transplantation in children.

Adolescent

Aortic dissection resulting from tear of transverse arch: is concomitant arch repair warranted?

Forty-seven patients with aortic dissection resulting from a primary tear located in the transverse aortic arch underwent surgical treatment. Twenty-six patients had acute type A, 7 had acute type B, 7 had chronic type A, and 7 had chronic type B aortic dissections. Of the 33 patients with acute dissections, 11 (7 acute type A and 4 acute type B) underwent concomitant arch repair with an operative (less than or equal to 30 days) mortality rate of 55% (35% to 73%, +/- 1 asymmetric 70% confidence limit) (2 of 7 acute type A and 4 of 4 acute type B). Concomitant arch repair was omitted in 22 patients with acute dissections (19 acute type A and 3 acute type B); the operative mortality rate was 41% (29% to 54%) (7 of 19 acute type A and 2 of 3 acute type B) (p = not significant versus arch repair). The overall survival rate for those with arch repair was 45% +/- 15% (+/- 1 standard error of the estimate) at 4 years, compared with 43% +/- 11% for patients without arch repair (p = not significant). Considering the type of dissection, the 4-year survival estimate for patients with acute type A dissections who underwent arch repair (5 hemiarch and 2 total arch) was 71% +/- 17% (versus 44% +/- 12% for acute type A patients without arch repair). There were no survivors among the 4 patients with acute type B dissections who had an arch repair (1 hemiarch and 3 total arch), whereas patients with acute type B dissections who did not undergo concomitant arch repair had a 4-year survival estimate of 33% +/- 27% (p = not significant versus arch repair). Four other patients with acute type B dissections resulting from an arch tear were managed medically and tended to have a slightly better prognosis (2-year survival estimate of 75% +/- 22% versus 14% +/- 13% for all surgically treated acute type B patients), but again this difference was not statistically significant. Multivariate analysis of the 47 surgical patients revealed that advanced age (p = 0.0008), preoperative dissection complications (p = 0.02), and other coexistent medical problems (p = 0.03) were the only significant, independent determinants of overall mortality. Initial arch repair was not a significant predictor. Nine percent (2/22) of patients with acute type A dissections who initially underwent isolated ascending aortic replacement required subsequent arch replacement; 1 died after reoperation.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Actuarial Analysis

The Runme Shaw Memorial Lecture--transplantation of the heart and heart-lungs.

After ten years of experimental background, the first heart transplant at Stanford was performed on January 6, 1968. Six hundred and sixty-six patients have undergone 721 heart transplants since that date with an age range from five days to 64 years. The most common diagnosis has been cardiomyopathy with advanced coronary artery disease second. Current one and five year survival statistics are 81% and 60% respectively, with no difference in survival between the pediatric age group and adults. Percutaneous transvenous endomyocardial biopsy provides the gold standard for interpreting allograft rejection. At Stanford, 90 patients have undergone 91 heart-lung transplants since the first successful case in 1981. Twelve patients with cystic fibrosis have been transplanted and four of these recipients have been heart donors, the domino donor principle. Two double lung transplants have been performed utilising separate bronchial anastomoses. Fourteen patients have undergone 15 single lung transplants and three of these have been patients with the Eisenmenger syndrome where concomitant repair of the cardiac defect was carried out. One 12 year old patient received the right upper lobe of her mother as a total right lung transplant for bronchopulmonary dysplasia.

California