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N Becker

Publications and source records attributed to N Becker.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2007

Predicting case numbers during infectious disease outbreaks when some cases are undiagnosed.

We describe a method for calculating 95 per cent bounds for the current number of hidden cases and the future number of diagnosed cases during an outbreak of an infectious disease. A Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo approach is used to fit a model of infectious disease transmission that takes account of undiagnosed cases. Assessing this method on simulated data, we find that it provides conservative 95 per cent bounds for the number of undiagnosed cases and future case numbers, and that these bounds are robust to modifications in the assumptions generating the simulated data. Moreover, the method provides a good estimate of the initial reproduction number, and the reproduction number in the latter stages of the outbreak. Applying the approach to SARS data from Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan and Canada, the bounds on future diagnosed cases are found to be reliable, and the bounds on hidden cases suggests that there were few hidden cases remaining at the end of the outbreaks in each region. We estimate that the initial reproduction numbers lay between 1.5 and 3, and the reproduction numbers in the later stages of the outbreak lay between 0.36 and 0.6.

Bayes Theorem↗
PubMed2006

Gene polymorphisms in Toll-like receptors, interleukin-10, and interleukin-10 receptor alpha and lymphoma risk.

Interactions between environment and immune system play an essential role in the aetiology of immunopathologies, including lymphomas. Toll-like receptors (TLR) belong to a group of pattern recognition receptors, with importance for innate immune response and inflammatory processes. Interleukin-10 (IL-10) is a key regulatory cytokine and has been implicated in lymphomagenesis. Functional polymorphisms in these inflammation-associated genes may affect the susceptibility towards lymphoma. To test this hypothesis, we have genotyped DNA of 710 lymphoma cases and 710 controls within the context of a population-based epidemiological study for 11 functionally important single-nucleotide polymorphisms in TLR1, -2, -4, -5, -9, IL10 and IL10 receptor (IL10RA). The IL10RA Ser138Gly variant was underrepresented among lymphoma cases (odds ratio (OR)=0.81, 95 per cent confidence interval (95% CI)=0.65-1.02), mainly owing to an inverse association with Hodgkin's lymphoma (HL). The TLR2 -16933T>A variant was associated with a 2.8-fold increased risk of follicular lymphoma (95% CI=1.43-5.59) and a decreased risk of chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (OR=0.61, 95% CI=0.38-0.95). Furthermore, the TLR4 Asp299Gly variant was positively associated with the risk of mucosa-associated lymphoid tissue lymphoma (OR=2.76, 95% CI=1.12-6.81) and HL (OR=1.80, 95% CI=0.99-3.26). In conclusion, this study suggests an effect of polymorphisms in factors of the innate immune response in the aetiology of some lymphoma subtypes.

Adult↗
PubMed2006

Tobacco smoking, alcohol drinking and Hodgkin's lymphoma: a European multi-centre case-control study (EPILYMPH).

We analysed the effects of tobacco and alcohol in the aetiology of Hodgkin's lymphoma (HL), based on 340 cases and 2465 controls enrolled in Spain, France, Italy, Germany, Ireland and Czech Republic, between 1998 and 2004. Current smokers showed a significantly increased odds ratio (OR) of HL of 1.39 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.04-1.87). Analyses were also conducted separately for subjects younger than 35 years (179 cases) and for older subjects (161 cases). For subjects below age 35, no association was observed between tobacco and HL, whereas for older subjects, ever-smokers experienced a doubled risk of HL as compared to never smokers and the OR of HL for current smoking was 2.35 (95% CI = 1.52-3.61), with suggestion of a dose-response relationship. A protective effect of alcohol was observed in both age groups. The OR for ever-regular drinking was 0.58 (95% CI = 0.38-0.89) for younger subjects and 0.50 (95% CI = 0.34-0.74) for older subjects. There was no evidence of interaction between tobacco and alcohol. Our results are consistent with previous studies, suggesting a protective effect of alcohol on HL. An effect of tobacco was suggested for HL occurring in middle and late age, although this finding might have occurred by chance.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2006

Cytokine gene polymorphisms and atopic disease in two European cohorts. (ECRHS-Basel and SAPALDIA).

BACKGROUND: Atopy and allergic phenotypes are biologically characterized by an imbalanced T helper cell response skewed towards a type 2 (TH2) immune response associated with elevated serum immunoglobulin E (IgE) levels. Polymorphisms in cytokine genes might modulate regulation of the TH1/TH2 balance. We thus aimed at reproducing our previous findings from a European study population on the association of various cytokine polymorphisms with self-reported hay fever as well as increased total and specific IgE levels in two comparable study populations. METHODS: Two prospective Caucasian cohorts were used. In the Basel center of the European Community Respiratory Health Survey (ECRHS, n = 418) ten distinct cytokine polymorphisms of putative functional relevance were genotyped. In the Swiss cohort Study on Air Pollution And Lung Disease In Adults (SAPALDIA, n = 6003) two cytokine polymorphisms were genotyped. The associations of these polymorphisms with atopy were estimated by covariance and logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: We confirmed IL4, IL10, IL6 and IL18 as candidate genes for atopic health outcomes. In the large, well-characterized SAPALDIA cohort the IL6(-174G>C) and IL18(-137G>C) polymorphisms were associated with circulating total IgE concentrations in subjects with hay fever. The IL18(-137G>C) polymorphism was also associated with the prevalence of hay fever. CONCLUSION: Comprehensive characterization of genetic variation in extended cytokine candidate gene regions is now needed. Large study networks must follow to investigate the association of risk patterns defined by genetic predisposing and environmental risk factors with specific atopic phenotypes.

Journal Article↗
PubMed2006

[The role of epidemiological quality parameters in a mammography screening programme].

In the recently established mammography screening programme, for the first time in Germany an extensive data collection for prompt quantification of specified quality parameters will be intrinsic to an early detection programme. Epidemiological parameters taken from the European Guidelines are central. This article outlines how epidemiology is involved in quality assurance of cancer screening and why epidemiological quality indicators will be quantified. The reasons for focussing on those parameters, on which the European Guidelines and now the German programme are based, and their significance in the long-term effectiveness of this programme are explained.

Breast Neoplasms↗
PubMed2006

Economic aspects of the rehabilitation of the Hiriya landfill.

The Hiriya landfill, Israel's largest, operated from 1952 to 1998. The landfill, located in the heart of the Dan Region, developed over the years into a major landscape nuisance and environmental hazard. In 1998, the Israeli government decided to close the landfill, and in 2001 rehabilitation activities began at the site, including site investigations, engineering and scientific evaluations, and end-use planning. The purpose of the present research is to perform a cost-benefit analysis of engineering and architectural-landscape rehabilitation projects considered for the site. An engineering rehabilitation project is required for the reduction of environmental impacts such as greenhouse gas emissions, slope instability and leachate formation. An architectural-landscape rehabilitation project would consider improvements to the site to make it suitable for future end uses such as a public park. The findings reveal that reclamation is worthwhile only in the case of architectural-landscape rehabilitation of the landfill, converting it into a public park. Engineering rehabilitation alone was found to be unjustified, but is essential to enable the development of a public park.

Air Pollution↗
PubMed2006

Occupation and malignant lymphoma: a population based case control study in Germany.

AIMS: To identify occupations suspected to be associated with malignant lymphoma and to generate new hypotheses about occupational risks in a multicentre, population based case control study. METHODS: Male and female patients with malignant lymphoma (n = 710) aged 18-80 years of age were prospectively recruited in six study regions in Germany. For each newly recruited lymphoma case, a sex, region, and age matched control was drawn from the population registers. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for major occupations and industries were calculated using conditional logistic regression analysis, adjusted for smoking (in pack-years) and alcohol consumption. Patients with specific lymphoma subentities were additionally compared with the entire control group using unconditional logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The following economic/industrial sectors were positively associated with lymphoma: food products, beverages, tobacco; paper products, publishing and printing; and metals. Chemicals; real estate, renting, and business activities were negatively associated with lymphoma diagnosis. The authors observed an increased overall lymphoma risk among architects; maids; farmers; glass formers; and construction workers. Shoemaking and leather goods making was negatively associated with the lymphoma diagnosis (although based on small numbers). In the occupational group analysis of lymphoma subentities, Hodgkin's lymphoma was significantly associated only with rubber and plastic products making; diffuse large B cell lymphoma risk was considerably increased among metal processors; follicular lymphoma showed highly significant risk increases for several occupational groups (medical, dental, and veterinary workers; sales workers; machinery fitters; and electrical fitters); and multiple myeloma showed a particularly pronounced risk increase for farmers as well as for agriculture and animal husbandry workers. CONCLUSIONS: The results partly confirm previously defined occupational risks. Occupational risk factors for follicular lymphomas might differ from the overall risk factors for malignant lymphoma.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2005

Allergic sensitisation and allergic rhinitis are associated with n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids in the diet and in red blood cell membranes.

OBJECTIVE: Due to inconsistent results based on dietary intake data, unsaturated fatty acids in red blood cell (RBC) membranes and diet were used to investigate their association with allergic sensitisation and allergic rhinitis. DESIGN: Cross-sectional, population-based study. SETTING: Bavarian Nutrition Survey II (2002-03), Germany. SUBJECTS: A total of 568 adult participants, 325 women and 243 men. METHODS: By means of logistic regression models, the relation of fatty acids to (i) allergic sensitisation as defined by means of specific serum immunoglobulin E analysis (CAPSX1 class > or = 2), and (ii) self-reported allergic rhinitis was examined. RESULTS: A high cell membrane level of eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA, 20:5 n-3) was inversely associated with allergic sensitisation, the adjusted odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were 0.52 (0.30-0.90) for the highest (vs lowest) quartile. A similar effect was observed for allergic rhinitis with an OR (95% CI) of 0.50 (0.24-1.03; P = 0.027 for trend). A higher dietary intake of alpha-linolenic acid (ALA, 18:3 n-3) was associated with a decreased risk of allergic sensitisation and allergic rhinitis with ORs (95% CIs) of 0.51 (0.28-0.93) and 0.43 (0.20-0.93), respectively, in the highest quartiles. No other dietary or cell membrane unsaturated fatty acid was significantly associated with the outcome variables, nor was the n-6/n-3 ratio. The strongest effects were observed among subjects under the age of 40 y. CONCLUSIONS: In this cross-sectional study among adults, a high content of n-3 fatty acids in RBC membranes (EPA) or in the diet (ALA) is associated with a decreased risk of allergic sensitisation and allergic rhinitis.

Adult↗
PubMed2004

[Experiences in scientific use of data from cancer registries].

Epidemiological cancer registries have now been established in all federal states of Germany. Though some are still in an initial phase and completeness has not yet generally been achieved, the use of the data for scientific purposes appears feasible. The examples presented in this paper demonstrate that scientific projects have already been conducted or are ongoing. However, the experiences also demonstrate that lack of completeness and partially the legal regulations on access to the data may hamper the use considerably. Efforts must now focus on (a) achieving completeness, e. g., by making the reporting system more efficient and (b) harmonizing the legal regulations on cancer registration among the federal states and fitting them to practice.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2004

Association of polymorphisms in Th1, Th2 cytokine genes with hayfever and atopy in a subsample of EPIC-Heidelberg.

BACKGROUND: Hayfever is determined by an interaction of environmental and genetic factors and biologically characterized by an imbalanced T helper cell 1 (Th1) and Th2 immune response and elevated IgE levels against inhalant allergens. Indications exist that polymorphisms in cytokine genes involved in the regulation of the Th1/Th2 balance may contribute to the allergic phenotype. OBJECTIVE: We investigate whether polymorphisms in genes directly or indirectly involved in Th1, Th2 immune response are associated with hayfever and elevated IgE levels against inhalant allergens. METHODS: From a subsample of the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition-Heidelberg, 322 subjects with hayfever and 322 age- and sex-matched non-allergic controls were selected and genotypes determined for 15 polymorphisms in 13 genes. Plasma IgE against inhalant allergens was measured via CAPSX1 (Phadiatop) test. We computed odds ratios (ORs) by logistic regression, tests on group differences of IgE-levels in dependence upon genotype and tests for trend by means of non-parametric methods. RESULTS: We found decreased OR for hayfever (OR=0.60, 95%CI=0.4-0.9) and sensitization to inhalant antigens (OR=0.5, 95%CI=0.4-0.8) in heterozygotes of the IL-6 -174 G/C polymorphism. Homozygotes of the G-allele in IL-2 -330 T/G were at increased risk of hayfever (OR=2.6, 95%CI=1.3-5.2). Moreover, we found indications for differences in IgE levels against inhalant allergens in dependence upon genotypes of polymorphisms in IL-4R, IL-6, IL-13, and IL-18. CONCLUSION: Our data suggest an association of genetic variants in IL-6 and IL-2 with hayfever, confirm a role of polymorphisms in IL-4R, IL-13, and IL-18 for the elevated IgE phenotype, and add IL-6 to the list of candidate genes.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

[Epidemiology of colorectal cancer].

Colorectal tumors are among the most frequently encountered forms of cancer worldwide. With approximately 57,000 new cases every year, they represent the most frequent type of cancer in Germany, ranking before breast cancer (approximately 46,000) and lung cancer (approximately 37,000). Although global incidence is on the rise, in Germany it is only increasing among men, but not among women. The mortality rate (approximately 26,500 deaths annually) in Germany has declined among men for about the past 10 years and among women for about the past 20 years. The most important risk factors are familial history of colorectal and other tumors as well as lifestyle factors such as nutrition, obesity, inactivity,and smoking.Lifestyle-related risks offer a broad area for implementing primary preventive measures,which have not yet been adequately exhausted. Several proven (fecal occult blood test) and probably effective (endoscopic) methods are available for secondary prevention. Consistent encouragement of these possibilities for prevention could reduce incidence and mortality substantially and render colorectal tumors less frequent.

Breast Neoplasms↗
PubMed2003

The influence of the dietary intake of fatty acids and antioxidants on hay fever in adults.

BACKGROUND: The objective of the investigation was to explore in a prospective study the associations between dietary intake of fatty acids, antioxidants and hay fever manifestation in adulthood. METHODS: Three hundred and thirty-four hay fever cases with adult onset of clinical symptoms from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-Heidelberg cohort were identified during follow-up and matched with 1336 controls. Dietary intake data were obtained by means of validated food frequency questionnaires. The influence of dietary fatty acid and vitamin intake on hay fever risk was estimated by means of unconditional logistic regression. RESULTS: High intake of oleic acid was positively associated with hay fever [odds ratio (OR): 2.86, 95% confidence intervals (95% CI): 1.22-6.70], whereas high intake of eicosapentaenoic acid was inversely related to hay fever (OR: 0.45, 95% CI: 0.22-0.93). Furthermore, high beta-carotene intake increased the risk of hay fever (OR: 1.69, 95% CI: 1.09-2.63) while increasing intake of vitamin E was a protective factor (OR: 0.38, 95% CI: 0.17-0.85). In grouped analyses, the effects of beta-carotene and vitamin E were mainly observed among women and ex-/current-smokers; in these subgroups, linoleic acid increased the risk of hay fever. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, the present results provide further evidence that dietary factors might affect the risk of clinical manifestation of hay fever. However, the effects in smokers and women may suggest different biological mechanisms for the investigated nutrients, which need further research.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Time trends in cigarette smoking in two German cohorts--results from EPIC Germany.

Smoking prevention is less advanced in Germany compared with other European and North American countries, and fewer data exist, especially on the consumption habits at the individual level over time. EPIC Germany, which is part of a European multicentre study on diet and cancer, collected data on individual smoking behaviour and allows for consideration of the changing consumption pattern for both centres and different age groups. Within EPIC 25 546 and 27 548 participants, respectively, were recruited in Heidelberg and Potsdam. Data on smoking habits were collected by means of a computer-guided interview during the baseline examination between 1994 and 1998. For each birth cohort smoking prevalence and mean number of cigarettes smoked per day at different ages were calculated. Additionally, the prevalence of non-filter cigarette smoking was computed. Smoking prevalence in the 1990s was still higher among men (Heidelberg 16.3-32.3%; Potsdam 18.2-29.3%) than among women (Heidelberg 12.8-32.0%; Potsdam 10.4-27.8%). However, the percentage of women smokers was still increasing. Filter cigarettes comprised a growing percentage of the cigarettes smoked, but especially among men differences between both German cohorts can still be seen: depending on age, 10.0-12.7% of men in the Heidelberg cohort smoked non-filter cigarettes, but only 1.1-2.3% in the Potsdam cohort. The quantity smoked was higher in the Heidelberg than in the Potsdam cohort with respect to the mean number of cigarettes smoked per day as well as the pack-years of smoking. In conclusion, smoking habits in the Potsdam and the Heidelberg cohorts did not strongly differ by smoking prevalence. However, they did differ according to the quantity and quality of smoking. These differences, as well as the changes over the last 40 years may contribute to a changing pattern of diseases in different groups of the German population.

Adult↗
PubMed2002

[Screening from the epidemiological viewpoint].

The scope of screening is to identify disease in a clinically inapparent stage in order to treat more effectively. However, the required application of a test to large subsets of the population implies risks which cannot be ignored. Thus, the introduction of a test for use in screening without previously established evidence of a benefit which exceeds potential harm by far cannot be justified. With regard to cancer, evidence of effectiveness has been proven for screening on cervical (Papsmear), breast (mammography) and colorectal (faecal occult blood test) cancer. The routine application of a screening procedure which has been proven effective provides the benefit in terms of mortality reduction seen in the trials only if the entire screening chain, from the test over potentially required assessment to treatment, is offered with highest quality and is under permanent quality control.

Breast Neoplasms↗
PubMed2002

Cooking of meat and fish in Europe--results from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC).

OBJECTIVES: There is epidemiologic evidence that the consumption of fried, grilled or barbecued meat and fish that are well-done or browned may be associated with an increased cancer risk. These high-temperature cooking methods are thought to be surrogates for mutagens and carcinogens produced in meat and fish, eg heterocyclic amines or polycyclic hydrocarbons. Since data on food cooking methods are scarce, the aim of this study was to describe the variation in meat and fish cooking methods in different parts of Europe. DESIGN: Using a standardized 24 h recall from a sub-sample of the EPIC cohort (35 644 persons, 35-75 y old), mean daily intake of meat and fish prepared by different cooking methods and the relative contribution of the cooking methods to the overall cooking of meat and fish was calculated. RESULTS: Whereas frying was more often noted in northern Europe, roasting and stir frying were more often used in the south. Concerning high-temperature cooking methods, their frequency of application varies between 15% in the EPIC cohort of North-Italy and 49% in the cohort of The Netherlands. Average consumption of fried, grilled and barbecued meat and fish ranges from a low of 12 g/day in the centres in southern Spain to a high of 91 g/day in northern Spain. CONCLUSION: High variation in both the kind of meat/fish consumed as well as its cooking methods is observed within EPIC. In order to use this variation for the evaluation of the impact of cooking methods on cancer risk, a questionnaire on meat and fish cooking methods is being developed and could be applied in the whole EPIC cohort.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

[Sociodemographic predictors of therapeutic results in patients with chronic, non-malignant pain].

INTRODUCTION: Chronic pain is in its nature multidimensional and is most successfully treated by a multidisciplinary approach. Some patients do not benefit from treatment, and psychological and socio-economic factors may play a major role. The present study investigated the ability of sociodemographic variables to predict the short-term effect of multidisciplinary treatment in patients with chronic pain who where referred consecutively to a Danish multidisciplinary pain centre. METHOD: Pain scores (VAS) and health-related quality of life (HRQL) were assessed. On entry and three and six months later HRQL was evaluated by medical outcome short form (SF-36) and the psychological general well-being scale (PGWB). Sociodemographic variables were: age, gender, educational level, civil status employment status, and disability pension (DP) status. RESULTS: Of the sociodemographic variables evaluated, only the DP status seemed to be a significant outcome predictor. Patients applying for a DP do not improve. Patients receiving a DP and those who do not achieved moderate improvements, but these were significantly larger. The same pattern was seen for changes in psychological well-being and social functioning. The DP status predicted improvement in pain and social functioning. DISCUSSION: The present study indicates that the multidimensional problems experienced by patients applying for a DP are dominated by sociodemographic factors. Focus on the solution of these socio-economic problems is important, if patients with chronic pain are to benefit from multidisciplinary pain treatment.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

[Therapeutic results in chronic, non-malignant pain in patients treated at a Danish multidisciplinary pain center compared with general practice. A randomized controlled clinical trial].

INTRODUCTION: Multidisciplinary pain treatment (MPT) is generally considered to be the most effective treatment of chronic pain, but its long-term effect has not yet been firmly established. METHODS: This randomised controlled study compared the effect of outpatient MPT with that of treatment by general practitioners after initial supervision by a pain specialist (GP group) and with a six-month waiting list group (WL group). The participants were 189 patients with chronic non-malignant pain. On referral and at three and six months, the patients filled in questionnaires evaluating pain intensity, health-related quality of life (HRQL), and the use of analgesics. RESULTS: At six months, the patients allocated to MPT (N = 63) reported a reduction in pain intensity (p < 0.001), and an improvement in psychological well-being (p < 0.001), quality of sleep (p < 0.05), and physical functioning (p < 0.05). The WL group (N = 63) had a statistically significant deterioration in most of the HRQL measures. The only effect of treatment found in the GP group was a reduction in the use of short-acting opioids. In the MPT group, the use of opioids administered on demand and short-acting opioids was decreased (p < 0.001). No change in the use of analgesics was seen in the WL group. DISCUSSION: The study showed that (i) in the MPT group there was a significant reduction in pain intensity and an improvement in HRQL compared to the WL group, and (ii) the mere establishment of a pain diagnosis and management plan by a specialist was not sufficient to enable the referring GP to manage patients with severe chronic pain.

Adult↗