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Mitchell H Gail

Publications and source records attributed to Mitchell H Gail.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources
PubMed2005

Genetic polymorphisms of CYP2E1, GSTT1, GSTP1, GSTM1, ALDH2, and ODC and the risk of advanced precancerous gastric lesions in a Chinese population.

There have been few studies of the associations of genetic polymorphisms with precancerous gastric lesions. We conducted a cross-sectional study to compare the prevalences of several genetic polymorphisms in 302 subjects with mild chronic atrophic gastritis with prevalences in 606 subjects with deep intestinal metaplasia or dysplasia. This stratified random sample of 908 subjects was selected and analyzed for genetic polymorphisms from 2,628 individuals who had gastric biopsies with histopathology in 1989 in Linqu County, Shandong Province, China. In subjects with mild chronic atrophic gastritis, the frequencies of the variant (less common) alleles of CYP2E1 RsaI, CYP2E1 DraI, GSTP1, ALDH2, and ODC were, respectively, 0.156, 0.201, 0.189, 0.190, and 0.428. The frequencies of the null genotypes of GSTM1 and GSTT1 in the mild chronic atrophic gastritis group were 0.509 and 0.565, respectively. Comparing mild chronic atrophic gastritis with deep intestinal metaplasia or any degree of dysplasia, we found no statistically significant associations with any genotype from these loci for dominant, additive, or recessive inheritance models. There was no statistically significant evidence of multiplicative interactions between any pair of genotypes based on CYP2E1 RsaI, CYP2E1 DraI, GSTP1, GSTM1, or GSTT1; nor between Helicobacter pylori status and any of these five loci; nor between smoking status and GSTP1, GSTM1, or GSTT1; nor between alcohol consumption and ALDH2. Statistically significant interactions were noted between salt consumption and GSTP1 and between sour pancake consumption and CYP2E1 RsaI. There was, moreover, a statistically significant interaction (odds ratio, 1.78; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-3.08) between CYP2E1 DraI and smoking at least one cigarette per day. A positive but not statistically significant interaction was also seen between CYP2E1 RsaI and smoking status. These polymorphisms do not seem to govern progression from mild chronic atrophic gastritis to advanced precancerous gastric lesions, but the effects of smoking may be accentuated in individuals carrying variants of CYP2E1.

Aldehyde Dehydrogenase↗
PubMed2004

Familial aggregation of Hodgkin lymphoma and related tumors.

BACKGROUND: The importance of genetic factors in the etiology of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) has been suggested by family and population studies. However, the spectrum of malignancies associated with common genetic etiology and the effects of gender and age on familial risk have not been established. METHODS: Diagnoses of lymphoproliferative malignancies were compared in 15,799 first-degree relatives of 5047 patients with HL versus 32,117 first-degree relatives of 10,078 control probands from Sweden and in 7185 first-degree relatives of 2429 patients with HL versus 27,434 first-degree relatives of 8,495 control probands from Denmark using marginal survival models. RESULTS: The risk of HL in relatives of patients with HL was increased significantly in both populations, with relative risks of 3.47 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.77-6.80) in Sweden and 2.55 (95% CI, 1.01-6.45) in Denmark and a pooled estimate of 3.11 (95%CI, 1.82-5.29). In Sweden, risks for relatives of patients also were increased significantly for chronic lymphocytic leukemia and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (in males). Relative risks were higher in males compared with females and in siblings of patients compared with parents and offspring of patients. Relatives of patients with earlier-onset disease were at higher risk for HL. CONCLUSIONS: HL has an important familial component, which is stronger in families of affected individuals age < 40 years, in males, and in siblings, and it is shared with some (but not other) lymphoproliferative malignancies. The cumulative lifetime risks are very small, however, for the development of HL de novo or in first-degree relatives of affected patients.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2004

Diet and stomach cancer risk in Warsaw, Poland.

Some of the world's highest rates of stomach cancer are found in Poland. Reasons for the increased incidence are not known, but high intake of sausages and other preserved foods and low intake of fresh fruits and vegetables may be involved. A case-control study comprising residents newly diagnosed with stomach cancer during 1994-96 and controls randomly selected from the general population was conducted in Warsaw, Poland. Standardized interviews were conducted to ascertain usual consumption of 118 common foods and beverages and other exposures. Using data from direct interviews with 274 cases and 463 controls, odds ratios of stomach cancer were calculated as estimates of risks associated with dietary factors, adjusting for age, sex, education, smoking, and caloric intake. Risk of stomach cancer was inversely related to intake of total fruits and dark green-yellow vegetables and to indices of vitamins C and E and alpha- and beta-carotenes. However, risk was not significantly increased among those with high intake of pickled/salted vegetables and sausages. Risks were positively associated with increased intake of breads/cereals/rice/pasta and other refined grains, as well as a high carbohydrate index. Our findings add to the evidence of a protective effect of fruits and certain vegetables on stomach cancer risk, but do not indicate that high intake of sausage and other preserved foods typical in the Polish diet has contributed to the country's elevated stomach cancer incidence. Our data also suggest that high carbohydrate consumption may influence risk, but further confirmation is needed.

Aged↗
PubMed2003

Some of Sam Greenhouse's contributions to statistical methods.

I briefly survey some areas of Sam Greenhouse's contributions to statistical methods before focusing on three examples. These examples illustrate Sam's ability to identify problems of practical importance and to make valuable contributions to their solutions. Many of his papers continue to provide important guidance and insight because he dealt with issues of enduring practical importance.

Biometry↗
PubMed2003

Population attributable risks of esophageal and gastric cancers.

BACKGROUND: Several risk factors have been identified for esophageal adenocarcinoma, gastric cardia adenocarcinoma, esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, and noncardia gastric adenocarcinoma, but no study has comprehensively examined their contributions to the cancer burden in the general population. Herein, we estimate the population attributable risks (PARs) for various risk factors observed in a multicenter population-based case-control study. METHODS: We calculated PARs by using 293 patients with esophageal adenocarcinoma, 261 with gastric cardia adenocarcinoma, 221 with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma, 368 with noncardia gastric adenocarcinoma, and 695 control subjects. We included smoking for all four tumor types and Helicobacter pylori infection for noncardia gastric adenocarcinoma as established causal risk factors as well as several other factors for which causality is under evaluation. RESULTS: Ever smoking, body mass index above the lowest quartile, history of gastroesophageal reflux, and low fruit and vegetable consumption accounted for 39.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 25.6% to 55.8%), 41.1% (95% CI = 23.8% to 60.9%), 29.7% (95% CI = 19.5% to 42.3%), and 15.3% (95% CI = 5.8% to 34.6%) of esophageal adenocarcinomas, respectively, with a combined PAR of 78.7% (95% CI = 66.5% to 87.3%). Ever smoking and body mass index above the lowest quartile were responsible for 45.2% (95% CI = 31.3% to 59.9%) and 19.2% (95% CI = 4.9% to 52.0%) of gastric cardia adenocarcinomas, respectively, with a combined PAR of 56.2% (95% CI = 38.1% to 72.8%). Ever smoking, alcohol consumption, and low fruit and vegetable consumption accounted for 56.9% (95% CI = 36.6% to 75.1%), 72.4% (95% CI = 53.3% to 85.8%), and 28.7% (95% CI = 11.1% to 56.5%) of esophageal squamous cell carcinomas, respectively, with a combined PAR of 89.4% (95% CI = 79.1% to 95.0%). Ever smoking, history of gastric ulcers, nitrite intake above the lowest quartile, and H. pylori infection were responsible for 18.3% (95% CI = 6.5% to 41.8%), 9.7% (95% CI = 5.4% to 16.8%), 40.7% (95% CI = 23.4% to 60.7%), and 10.4% (95% CI = 0.3% to 79.6%) of noncardia gastric adenocarcinomas, respectively, with a combined PAR of 59.0% (95% CI = 16.2% to 91.4%). CONCLUSION: In this population, a few known risk factors account for a majority of esophageal and gastric cancers. These results suggest that the incidence of these cancers may be decreased by reducing the prevalence of smoking, gastroesophageal reflux, and being overweight and by increasing the consumption of fruits and vegetables.

Adenocarcinoma↗
PubMed2003

Estimates of the number of US women who could benefit from tamoxifen for breast cancer chemoprevention.

BACKGROUND: The Breast Cancer Prevention Trial demonstrated that tamoxifen treatment produced a 49% reduction in the risk of invasive breast cancer among women at elevated risk for the disease. The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) subsequently approved tamoxifen for women aged 35 years or older with a 5-year breast cancer risk of 1.67% or higher for breast cancer chemoprevention. However, tamoxifen use has been associated with adverse outcomes, and not all eligible women have a positive benefit/risk ratio. METHODS: We used weighted data from the year 2000 National Health Interview Survey Cancer Control Module to estimate the total number of U.S. women, aged 35-79 years, who were eligible for tamoxifen chemoprevention based on the FDA eligibility criteria. We also estimated the numbers of white and black women who would benefit from tamoxifen chemoprevention on the basis of a positive benefit/risk index developed by Gail et al. RESULTS: Of the 65,826,074 women aged 35-79 years without reported breast cancer in the United States in 2000, 10,232 816 women (15.5%, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 14.7% to 16.3%) would be eligible for tamoxifen chemoprevention. The percentage of U.S. women who would be eligible varied dramatically by race, with 18.7% (95% CI = 17.8% to 19.7%) of white women, 5.7% (95% CI = 4.3% to 7.5%) of black women, and 2.9% (95% CI = 2.1% to 3.9%) of Hispanic women being eligible. Of the 50,104,829 white U.S. women aged 35-79 years, 2,431,911 (4.9%, 95% CI = 4.3% to 5.4%) would have a positive benefit/risk index for tamoxifen chemoprevention. Of the 7,481,779 black U.S. women aged 35-79 years, only 42,768 (0.6%, 95% CI = 0.2% to 1.3%) would have a positive benefit/risk index. Among white women, 28,492 (95% CI = 24,693 to 32,292) breast cancers would be prevented or deferred if those women who have a positive net benefit index took tamoxifen over the next 5 years. CONCLUSION: A substantial percentage of U.S. women would be eligible for tamoxifen chemoprevention according to FDA criteria, but a much smaller percentage would have an estimated net benefit. Nevertheless, this latter percentage corresponds to more than two million women.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Robustness of inference on measured covariates to misspecification of genetic random effects in family studies.

Family studies to identify disease-related genes frequently collect only families with multiple cases. It is often desirable to determine if risk factors that are known to influence disease risk in the general population also play a role in the study families. If so, these factors should be incorporated into the genetic analysis to control for confounding. Pfeiffer et al. [2001 Biometrika 88: 933-948] proposed a variance components or random effects model to account for common familial effects and for different genetic correlations among family members. After adjusting for ascertainment, they found maximum likelihood estimates of the measured exposure effects. Although it is appealing that this model accounts for genetic correlations as well as for the ascertainment of families, in order to perform an analysis one needs to specify the distribution of random genetic effects. The current work investigates the robustness of the proposed model with respect to various misspecifications of genetic random effects in simulations. When the true underlying genetic mechanism is polygenic with a small dominant component, or Mendelian with low allele frequency and penetrance, the effects of misspecification on the estimation of fixed effects in the model are negligible. The model is applied to data from a family study on nasopharyngeal carcinoma in Taiwan.

Analysis of Variance↗
PubMed2003

Sample size calculations for population- and family-based case-control association studies on marker genotypes.

Most previous sample size calculations for case-control studies to detect genetic associations with disease assumed that the disease gene locus is known, whereas, in fact, markers are used. We calculated sample sizes for unmatched case-control and sibling case-control studies to detect an association between a biallelic marker and a disease governed by a putative biallelic disease locus. Required sample sizes increase with increasing discrepancy between the marker and disease allele frequencies, and with less-than-maximal linkage disequilibrium between the marker and disease alleles. Qualitatively similar results were found for studies of parent offspring triads based on the transmission disequilibrium test (Abel and Müller-Myhsok, 1998, Am. J. Hum. Genet. 63:664-667; Tu and Whittemore, 1999, Am. J. Hum. Genet. 64:641-649). We also studied other factors affecting required sample size, including attributable risk for the disease allele, inheritance mechanism, disease prevalence, and for sibling case-control designs, extragenetic familial aggregation of disease and recombination. The large sample-size requirements represent a formidable challenge to studies of this type.

Alleles↗
PubMed2003

Secular stability and reliability of measurements of the percentage of dense tissue on mammograms.

Elevated mammographic density is associated with increased risk of breast cancer. We conducted a reliability study on mammographic density assessments to determine their potential usefulness for projecting individual breast cancer risk. We used baseline screening mammograms from 7251 women in the Breast Cancer Detection Demonstration Project (BCDDP). Repeated measurements from the same images were used to assess measurement variability by an experienced evaluator. Intraclass correlations of assessments over time usually exceeded 0.9, indicating usefulness for prospective applications. Data also indicated it may be reasonable to include cases identified in the first year of screening together with other cases in developing a risk model. Older ages and increased weight were associated with decreased mammographic density. The density of the right breast slightly exceeded that of the left. Among women who developed breast cancer, the baseline mammographic density of the ipsilateral (diseased) breast was 0.53 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.20-0.86) percentage units higher than in the contralateral breast.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Population-density and county-level variation in breast cancer mortality rates among white women residing in the Northeastern and Southern United States.

OBJECTIVE: We assessed the contribution of variation in risk factor prevalence to population-density and county-level variation in breast cancer mortality rates. METHODS: In 1995 we collected risk factor information in a telephone interview of a random digit dialed sample of: (1) 1241 women from counties in the upper and lower tertiles of population density as of 1970 in the Northeast and South of the United States (Design A); (2) 2492 women from counties in the upper and lower tertiles of 1970-1979 breast cancer mortality rates in the four populations from Design A, and; (3) 276 women in Nassau County in New York State. We calculated 1990-94 mortality ratios (MRs) adjusted for breast cancer risk factors. RESULTS: The high/low population-density fully-adjusted MRs in women > or = 55 years were 1.01 (95% CI 0.9-1.2) and 1.00 (95% CI 0.8-1.2). The fully-adjusted MRs for high versus low mortality counties ranged from 0.95 (95% CI 0.8-1.2) to 1.29 (95% CI 1.0-1.6) in women > or = 55 years. CONCLUSIONS: Differences in risk factor prevalence explained higher rates in high-density versus low-density areas in older women. Modest elevations in the adjusted high/low breast cancer MRs among older women in certain groups of counties may reflect unidentified risk factors but more likely are due to chance.

Adult↗
PubMed2003

Haplotype analysis in population genetics and association studies.

Several studies of haplotype structures in the human genome in various populations have been published recently. Such knowledge may provide valuable information on human evolutionary history and lead to the development of more efficient strategies to identify genetic variants that increase susceptibility to human diseases. In this review, we summarize the current understanding of haplotype structure, diversity, and distribution in the human genome, with a focus on statistical issues in using haplotypes for studies of population genetics and evolutionary history, as well as to identify genetic variants underlying complex human traits.

Evolution, Molecular↗
PubMed2002

Prevalence of hepatitis C virus infection and risk for hepatocellular carcinoma and non-Hodgkin lymphoma in AIDS.

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is highly prevalent in some subpopulations with AIDS. HCV is linked to hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and possibly non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), but the impact of AIDS on these associations is uncertain. We used U.S. registry data to study HCC and NHL risk in 304,411 adults with AIDS, comparing cohort subgroups with high prevalence (hemophiliacs and injection drug users) or low prevalence (homosexual men, heterosexuals, and others) of HCV infection. The ratio of observed to expected cancer cases (standardized incidence ratio [SIR]) measured risk relative to the general population. Sixty-one HCC cases were observed (SIR, 7.5; 95% confidence interval, 5.7-9.6). Risk for HCC was higher in subgroups with high prevalence of HCV infection than in subgroups with low prevalence of HCV infection (SIR: 11.4 versus 5.5, respectively; p =.004). Subjects developed the following NHL grades: low, 35 cases; intermediate, 1035 cases; high, 784 cases; and unspecified, 1395 cases. For each NHL grade, SIRs were highest in subgroups with low prevalence of HCV infection. These data suggest an effect of HCV infection on HCC risk among adults with AIDS. On the other hand, NHL risk was not higher for groups in whom HCV infection was prevalent.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗
PubMed2002

Average midrange ultraviolet radiation flux and time outdoors predict melanoma risk.

Sunlight is the major environmental risk factor for melanoma. Descriptive studies have shown latitudinal variation in population incidence and mortality rates [D. C. Whiteman and A. C. Green, Int. J. Dermatol., 38: 481-489, 1999, and B. K. Armstrong, Australian J. Dermatol., 38 (Suppl. 1): 51-56, 1997]. In analytic studies, individual exposure has been particularly difficult to quantify. Lifetime residential history was coupled with levels of midrange UV radiation (UVB flux) to provide a measure of individual exposure to sunlight thought to be less subject to misclassification and recall bias. Data were analyzed from 718 non-Hispanic white patients with invasive cutaneous melanoma from melanoma clinics in Philadelphia and San Francisco. Matched controls were 945 patients from outpatient clinics with similar catchment areas. The association of melanoma risk and history of UVB flux along with the usual outdoor exposure risk factors were studied. A 10% increase in the average annual UVB flux was associated with a 19% [95% confidence interval (CI), 5-35%] increase in individual odds for melanoma for men and 16% (95% CI, 2-32%) for women. In men, a 10% increase in hours outdoors was associated with a 2.8% (95% CI, 1.2-4.5%) increase in odds. Even in women who could develop a deep tan, a 10% increase in hours outdoors was associated with a 5.8% increase in odds (95% CI, 1.4-10.4%). The association between melanoma risk and average annual UVB flux was strong and consistent for men and for women. The association with total adult hours outdoors was notable for men of all skin types and women who develop a suntan.

Adult↗
PubMed2002

Cancer in Korean war navy technicians: mortality survey after 40 years.

This study reports on over 40 years of mortality follow-up of 40,581 Navy veterans of the Korean War with potential exposure to high-intensity radar. The cohort death rates were compared with mortality rates for White US men using standardized mortality ratios, and the death rates for men in occupations considered a priori to have high radar exposure were compared with the rates for men in low-exposure occupations using Poisson regression. Deaths from all diseases and all cancers were significantly below expectation overall and for the 20,021 sailors with high radar exposure potential. There was no evidence of increased brain cancer in the entire cohort (standardized mortality ratio (SMR) = 0.9, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.7, 1.1) or in high-exposure occupations (SMR = 0.7, 95% CI: 0.5, 1.0). Testicular cancer deaths also occurred less frequently than expected in the entire cohort and high-exposure occupations. Death rates for several smoking-related diseases were significantly lower in the high-exposure occupations. Nonlymphocytic leukemia was significantly elevated among men in high-exposure occupations but in only one of the three high-exposure occupations, namely, electronics technicians in aviation squadrons (SMR = 2.2, 95% CI: 1.3, 3.7). Radar exposure had little effect on mortality in this cohort of US Navy veterans.

Adult↗
PubMed2002

Efficiency of DNA pooling to estimate joint allele frequencies and measure linkage disequilibrium.

Pooling DNA samples can yield efficient estimates of the prevalence of genetic variants. We extend methods of analyzing pooled DNA samples to estimate the joint prevalence of variants at two or more loci. If one has a sample from the general population, one can adapt the method for joint prevalence estimation to estimate allele frequencies and D, the measure of linkage disequilibrium. The parameter D is fundamental in population genetics and in determining the power of association studies. In addition, joint allelic prevalences can be used in case-control studies to estimate the relative risks of disease from joint exposures to the genetic variants. Our methods allow for imperfect assay sensitivity and specificity. The expected savings in numbers of assays required when pooling is utilized compared to individual testing are quantified.

Alleles↗
PubMed2002

Dominant role of hepatitis B virus and cofactor role of aflatoxin in hepatocarcinogenesis in Qidong, China.

We assessed the separate and combined effects of hepatitis B virus (HBV), hepatitis C virus (HCV), and aflatoxin in causing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Qidong, China. A consecutive series of 181 pathologic-diagnosed HCC cases were studied for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg), anti-HBc, HBV X gene sequence, anti-HCV, the 249ser-p53 mutation, and chronic hepatitis pathology. Each of the 181 incident HCC cases had markers for HBV infection and hepatitis pathology; only 6 of 119 cases were coinfected with HCV. The 249ser-p53 mutation was found in 54% (97/181) of HCC cases and in all 7 cases with tissue for analysis from the hepatitis cohort but in none of 42 matched cases from Beijing. The estimated cumulative dose of aflatoxin B1 in these 7 cases ranged from 0.13 to 0.49 mg/kg. Follow-up data through 13.25 years on a cohort of 145 men with chronic HBV hepatitis showed that the relative risk from aflatoxin exposure was 3.5 (1.5-8.1). A similar relative risk was found using 249ser-p53 mutation as a marker for aflatoxin exposure. In conclusion, HBV hepatitis is ubiquitous in Qidong HCC cases, whereas HCV contributes little to its risk. The 249ser-p53 mutation appears to result from coexposure to aflatoxin and HBV infection. Even modest levels of aflatoxin exposure tripled the risk of HCC in HBV-infected men.

Adult↗
PubMed2002

Helicobacter pylori infection in rural China: demographic, lifestyle and environmental factors.

BACKGROUND: Although Helicobacter pylori is one of the most common human bacterial infections worldwide, its mode of transmission is unclear. METHODS: To investigate possible associations between H. pylori infection and demographic, lifestyle, and environmental factors in a rural Chinese population, a cross-sectional survey was administered to 3288 adults (1994 seropositive, 1019 seronegative, 275 indeterminate) from 13 villages in Linqu County, Shandong Province, China. RESULTS: Helicobacter pylori prevalence was elevated for: infrequent handwashing before meals (OR = 1.7, 95% CI: 1.0-3.0), crowding (i.e. sharing a bed with >2 people [OR = 2.3, 95% CI: 1.3-4.2]), washing/bathing in a pond or ditch (OR = 1.5, 95% CI: 1.0-2.4), and medium (OR = 1.6, 95% CI: 1.3-2.0) and low (OR = 2.3, 95% CI: 1.9-2.9) compared to high village education level, and reduced for never being married or divorced (OR = 0.4, 95% CI: 0.2-1.0). There was also a suggestion that source of drinking water, especially water from a shallow village well might be related to H. pylori seropositivity. There was no evidence of an association between H. pylori prevalence and alcohol or tobacco use, raw fruit and vegetable intake, or individual social class measures. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study suggest that person-to-person transmission is the most plausible route of H. pylori infection in this rural Chinese population, but waterborne exposures deserve further investigation.

Adult↗