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M Zappa

Publications and source records attributed to M Zappa.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed1995

Trends in cervical cancer incidence in the district of Florence.

The trend in cervical cancer incidence in the District of Florence from 1975 to 1989 was investigated. Tuscany Cancer Registry data were available since 1985. Incidence data from 1975 to 1985 were obtained through a retrospective survey of all the Departments of Pathology and Gynaecology in the district. Cytological screening for cervical cancer has been available in the district since 1973, and since 1980 active invitation of residents aged 25 to 59 years has been in use. A significant trend in decreasing incidence was evident for the overall population (P = 0.003) and for 40-49 (P = 0.028), 50-59 (P < 0.001) and 60-69 (P = 0.002) year age groups, whereas no significant trend was observed for the age group 30-39 years. An association between attendance to screening and reduced incidence was evident, in that a greater reduction was evident for those cohorts (ages 50-59 and 60-69) who had a higher compliance to screening 10-15 years before. If the decrease in cervical cancer incidence was spontaneous, a parallel decrease of CIN3, which is commonly assumed to be the precursor of invasive carcinoma, would be expected. On the contrary, the detection rate of CIN3 at first Pap test showed a significant increase in the study period. All these findings suggest that the observed reduction in cervical cancer incidence was mostly due to the effect of screening, and stress the need for optimising the coverage of the invited population.

Adult↗
PubMed1995

A model-based prediction of the impact on reduction in mortality by a breast cancer screening programme in the city of Florence, Italy.

The efficacy of breast cancer screening for women older than 50 years has been shown in several studies. Service screening is now ongoing or planned in several countries in Europe. MISCAN, a computer simulation programme, has been used to analyse data from the Florence District Programme (FDP) breast cancer experience. First, the model was fitted to the screening results for the period 1975-1986. A good correspondence between the model outcomes and the FDP results was achieved. It was then used to predict the impact on mortality of the new starting programme of the city of Florence (63,000 women, 50-69 years old). Assuming a 70% attendance rate, then for the city of Florence, 2563 screen-detected breast cancers are predicted for the period 1991-2020 out of the total number of 9095 breast cancers for all ages (28%). A total of 3720 deaths for breast cancer are expected without screening. An absolute reduction of 472 deaths (13%) is predicted for the whole population. The estimated number of years of life gained by screening until 2020 is 4354. Simulation by MISCAN has previously been a useful support tool for decision-making about screening. The present paper is the first based on a southern European experience. The possibility of applying MISCAN to predict the impact of a national programme in Italy is discussed.

Adult↗
PubMed1995

The detectability of breast cancer by screening mammography.

We reviewed 134 patients with breast cancer (screen detected = 85, interval = 49) who had been reported as negative at previous mammographic screening in the Florence District Programme. At prior mammograms review, 12% of the cases were classified as 'screening error' (suspicious signs missed owing to misperception or poor imaging technique), 26% as 'minimal signs present', 54% as 'radiographically occult' and 7% as 'radiographically occult at diagnosis'. These results are quite consistent with those recently reported for the Nijmegen screening programme. Screening errors may be reduced either by reducing the risk of misperception (double reading) or by improving imaging quality, but this would achieve earlier detection in a minority of cancer cases. Minimal signs of cancer were present 2 years before the diagnosis in over one-third of screen-detected cancers. Increasing screening frequency (from biennial to annual) may advance detection time of most 'screening errors' and of some cancers in the 'minimal signs present' and 'mammographically occult' categories, but this would almost double screening costs, and the benefit would probably be inferior to that obtained by doubling the population invited to biennial screening. Adopting less stringent criteria for referral to diagnostic assessment would probably lead to the detection of some cases in the 'minimal signs present' category. This seems to us a more convenient policy to adopt to advance cancer detection time, although it will also sharply increase referral rates and costs. As diagnostic assessment of minimal lesions is far from being 100% accurate, this policy would also considerably increase the frequency of unnecessary benign biopsies. All these negative effects might turn out to be unacceptable.

Adult↗
PubMed1995

Independent double reading of screening mammograms.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost effectiveness of independent double reading of screening mammograms. SETTING: Prospective study of 18,817 women undergoing first or repeat screening in a population based programme in the Florence district. METHODS: Mammograms were independently double read by experienced radiologists. Subjects with mammographic abnormalities reported by at least one reader were recalled for diagnostic assessment. The mean increase in recall rate, cancer detection rate, and screening costs attributable to double reading was calculated. RESULTS: Eleven of 125 cancers were detected by only one reader. The mean increase in cancer detection rate attributable to double reading compared with single reading was 4.6% (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1 to 8.9). From a total of 748 cases referred for diagnostic assessment, 196 subjects were referred by one reader only. The mean increase in referral rate attributable to double reading compared with single reading was 15.1% (CI 12.3 to 17.8). Double reading caused a marked increase in the cost for each woman screened -8.5% at the first screening and 6.2% at repeat screening and a more limited increase in the cost for each cancer detected -3.5% at the first screening and 2.7% at repeat screening. Cancers detected by only one screener were at an earlier stage than those detected by both screeners (P = 0.6, not significant). CONCLUSIONS: Independent double reading results in only a modest increase in the detection of cancers and therefore may not be cost effective.

Aged↗
PubMed1995

Onset of clinical signs in children with HIV-1 perinatal infection. Italian Register for HIV Infection in Children.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the timing of onset of each clinical sign in infants and children with HIV-1 perinatal infection. DESIGN AND METHODS: A total of 200 HIV-1-infected children followed-up from birth were studied. Failure and conditional probabilities were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier product-limit method. Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to evaluate independently associated factors. Results of 934 seroreverters were used to calculate reference values of CD4+ cell counts and predictivity of early signs. RESULTS: Median age at the onset of any sign was 5.2 months (range, 0.03-56 months). The probability of remaining asymptomatic was 19% [95% confidence interval (CI), 14-25.1] at 12 months and 6.1% (95% CI, 2.6-11.7) at 5 years. Lymphadenopathy (69.5%), splenomegaly (62.4%) and hepatomegaly (58.4%) were the most common signs in the first year of life. Peculiar to the first year of life (compared with subsequent ages) was the onset of primary HIV-1 hepatitis and diarrhoea (rate ratios, 23.3 and 15.2, respectively). When CD4+ cell counts in the asymptomatic stage (age, 2 months; range, 0.03-5.9 months) were below rather than above the fifth percentile in seroreverters, onset of signs was earlier [3 range, 0.03-19) versus 5 (range, 0.03-56) months]. Children manifesting signs before the 5.2-month breakpoint had a lower survival rate [74% (range, 65.9-82%) at 12 months and 45% (range, 32.9-57%) at 5 years] than children manifesting signs later [98% (range, 92.2-100%) at 12 months and 74% (range, 60.3-87.7%) at 5 years]. Children whose birthweight was < or = 2400 g had an earlier onset (24 months; range, 1-57 months) of severe conditions than children with higher birthweight (71 months; range, 1-71 months). Development of lymphadenopathy or hepatosplenomegaly within 3 months of life were reliable indicators of infection. CONCLUSIONS: This study describes the sequence of onset of signs in perinatal HIV-1 infection. Infection is shown to progress faster than in adults and in a different manner. Low birthweight, early decreased CD4+ cell counts, and early onset of signs are predictive of rapid progression.

AIDS-Related Complex↗
PubMed1995

[Letter].

Explore the source record for details and available documents.

Environmental Monitoring↗
PubMed1994

Population-based breast cancer survival. Mammographic screening activities in central Italy.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to evaluate the effect on 5-year survival of patients with invasive breast cancer relative to demographic and clinical variables (age, residence, and disease diffusion) and to early diagnostic procedures performed in the area. METHODS: The observed (Kaplan-Meier method) and relative 5-year survival in 1263 patients with invasive breast cancer in the Province of Florence, Italy, between 1985-1986 (source: Tuscany Cancer Registry) are presented. The results were compared with those of other European areas and of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program. The Cox model is used to evaluate the effects of age at diagnosis (5-year age groups), disease diffusion (localized, regional, distant, unspecified), residence (Municipality of Florence, screening area, other municipalities), and source of diagnosis (Center for the Study and Prevention of Cancer, hospitals) on observed survival. RESULTS: Observed 5-year survival was 68.4% (Kaplan-Meier method) and relative 5-year survival was 75.4%. Relative survival for patients younger than age 35 at diagnosis was high (82.3%); it decreased slowly from 80.5% in the group of patients 35-44 years of age, to 74.0% in those 65-74 years of age, and steeply decreased to 68.1% in those 75 years of age and older. Relative 5-year survival in Florence was lower only than that observed in Switzerland (Geneva) and in the USA (whites). Five-year prognosis was worse in women 70 years of age or older, in advanced stages, in residents of municipalities not involved in the screening program, and in cases diagnosed in hospitals. The gain in survival may be explained partially by lead-time effect and by length bias due to early diagnosis both in self-referred women and in screening-detected cases. In these cases, though, the better prognosis, although attenuated, persisted after adjustment by disease diffusion. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that the early diagnosis of breast cancer in self-referred women affects prognosis, at least concerning 5-year survival. Moreover, although lead-time effect and length bias cannot be excluded in this study, screening by personal invitation may reduce the disadvantage in the survival of patients with breast cancer often observed in rural areas.

Adult↗
PubMed1994

Breast cancer early diagnosis experience in Florence: can a self referral policy achieve the results of service screening?

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To assess the impact of a breast clinic on a specific target population and evaluate early diagnosis performance indicators for breast cancer in the presence of a self referral policy. DESIGN: Women living in Florence between 1980 and 1989 who had undergone mammography at a self referral breast clinic were studied. Main outcome measures were the use of mammography in relation to age, symptoms, and the interval between two subsequent tests, and early diagnosis performance indicators were the detection rate (DR), the prevalence/incidence ratio, and the proportion of early detected cancers. Performance indicators were compared with those from formal screening programmes. SETTING: Florence, Italy. PATIENTS: All mammograms performed at the clinic from 1980-89 in 40-69 year old women living in Florence were examined (n = 42,226). Records included the date of birth and of the examination, the reason for testing (asymptomatic/presence of pain/presence of symptoms other than pain), and the TNM classification for breast cancer cases. MAIN RESULTS: The total number of mammograms performed per annum increased by 70% over the decade, but much of this was routine repeat mammography (54.1% in 1989). Rates of first examinations in asymptomatic women increased in the second half of the decade from 17 per 1000 in 1985 to 31 per 1000 in 1989. Mammographic coverage decreased with increasing age from 12.6% in 40-49 year olds to 6.0% in 60-69 years old. Performance indicators of the activity in asymptomatic women were comparable with those expected in service screening. The proportion of not advanced cancers detected in asymptomatic women was 62.3% with a DR of 5.3 per 1000, and the average prevalence/incidence ratio was 2.9. CONCLUSIONS: High quality mammography performed in a breast clinic in self referred asymptomatic women can achieve as good results as a formal invitation screening service. Only a few of these women will benefit, but those who do are likely to be younger (40-49 year old women).

Adult↗
PubMed1994

[Comparison between 2 techniques of screening for prostatic carcinoma. Rectal exploration and transrectal ultrasonography vs. prostate specific antigen].

We report the results of two pilot studies for the early detection of prostatic carcinoma in resident men aged 60-75 years, using combined digital rectal examination (DRE) and transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS) versus prostate-specific antigen (PSA; cutoff: 4 ng/ml) as screening tests. Both screening protocols exhibited high cancer detection rates (DRE + TRUS = 1.82%, PSA = 1.67%), with a high prevalence/incidence ratio (observed/expected ratio: DRE-TRUS = 13.8:1, PSA = 11.3:1) and a diagnostic anticipation of about 6-7 years. Stage (DRE + TRUS: A = 0%, B = 69%, C-D = 31%; PSA:A = 14%, B = 77%, C-D = 9%) and grading distribution (no case with Gleason score < 5) suggests that most screen-detected cancers were clinically assessable but the extent of overdiagnosis of latent carcinomas cannot be estimated. Both screening protocols proved to be cost-effective (biopsy rate: DRE + TRUS = 2.7%, PSA = 2.8%; cost per screened subject: DRE + TRUS = L. 33,750, PSA = L. 30,400; cost per cancer detected: DRE + TRUS = L. 1,854,000, PSA = L. 1,817,500) but screening by PSA was much better accepted (attendance rate: DRE + TRUS = 33.7%, PSA = 66.9%), which makes it the screening test of choice for controlled studies on screening efficacy. This study allows no definitive conclusions to be drawn on screening efficacy but confirms only that screening is feasible at a reasonable cost and yields high diagnostic anticipation. Whether this benefits the screened population is currently debated and needs to be confirmed by controlled studies. Screening may have upsetting negative outcomes such as overdiagnosis, overtreatment, increased treatment-related mortality rates and worsened quality of life, and there is no evidence supporting the recommendation of screening as a routine practice.

Aged↗
PubMed1993

Prognostic value of proliferating cell nuclear antigen in lymph node-negative breast cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) has been demonstrated in recent studies of human tumors including breast cancer. METHODS: PCNA immunoreactivity was assessed retrospectively in a consecutive series of 173 lymph node-negative primary breast cancer cases. The PCNA grade was determined according to estimated quartiles of nuclear immunostaining, and its association to disease-free and overall survival was studied. RESULTS: PCNA grade was associated significantly with nuclear grade. On univariate analysis, PCNA grade was associated significantly with both 5-year relapse-free survival rate (Grades 1-2 = 78%; Grades 3-4 = 52%; P = 0.0117) and overall survival. On multivariate analysis, T category and PCNA were associated independently and significantly with both relapse-free and overall survival. Nevertheless, the magnitude of the association of PCNA grade to prognosis was low (relative risk of recurrence in patients with PCNA Grades 3-4 versus Grades 1-2 = 2.13), and only 24% of all relapses or 28.8% of all cancer deaths observed at 5 years occurred in patients with PCNA Grades 3-4. CONCLUSIONS: The predictive value of the relationship of PCNA grade to prognosis was too low to be of value as an independent prognostic indicator.

Adult↗
PubMed1993

A prospective study of the value of mammographic patterns as indicators of breast cancer risk in a screening experience.

The association between mammographic parenchymal patterns and the risk of subsequent breast cancer was studied in a cohort of 17,911 women aged 40-70 years, enrolled in a mammographic screening program. The cohort was prospectively followed-up for 5 years after blind attribution of mammographic pattern. Incident cancers, either screen- or interval-detected, were monitored through the screening program and by the local cancer registry. Multivariate analysis adjusting for the confounding effect of age, demonstrated an independent and significant association between mammographic patterns and breast cancer risk. The relative risk of subsequent breast cancer, assumed to be 1 for N1 pattern, was 2.39 (1.0-5.7) for P1, 4.02 (1.7-9.3) for P2, and 5.01 (1.9-13.3) for DY category, respectively. The relative risk of P2-DY with respect to N1-P1 categories was 2.09 (1.4-3.1). A diagnostic delay, possibly due to the 'masking effect' of a radiologically dense breast, was evident for P2-DY with respect to N1-P1 cancers (proportion of Stage I cancers = 42% vs. 69%). These results suggest the adoption of a shorter rescreening interval in P2-DY subjects.

Adult↗
PubMed1993

Biomechanical factors in abdominal aortic aneurysm rupture.

Hitherto the size of abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA) has been considered the most important factor in determining the risk of rupture. For this reason most interest has been devoted to physical, echographic and tomographic analyses of the shape of AAA. However, it is known that rupture can also occur in small AAA. Other factors must be considered to have an important role in the natural history of aneurysms. The aim of this study was to characterise the mechanical stress in the wall of an AAA due to pressure in the presence of atherosclerosis, intraluminal thrombus and anatomical restraints. The Finite Elements Method (FEM) was used to determine wall stress distribution. Due to the simplicity of the AAA structure an axisymmetric model has been built. The results of the structural analysis confirms that maximum stress increases with diameter. These effects may be reduced by the presence of intraluminal thrombus, which in the models reduces maximum stress by up to 30%; however this is not the case for dissecting thrombus. On the other hand atherosclerotic plaques cause stress concentration and a significant increase in maximum wall stress. The risk of rupture can increase by about 200%. Finally the investigation shows the FEM is a versatile tool for studying the mechanics of vascular structures. It enables the influence of various parameters on wall stress to be quantified in diagnostic settings, and so could be useful for predicting the rupture of AAA, although at present such predictions are limited by data leakage and by the approximations used in the model.

Aged↗
PubMed1993

[Clinico-echographic screening in the early diagnosis of prostatic carcinoma. Preliminary results of a feasibility study of a randomized trial].

The preliminary results of a feasibility study of a randomized trial for the early detection of prostate carcinoma are reported. 4,229 healthy men aged 60-75 years were invited to undergo digital rectal examination (DRE) and transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS); 1,284 of them responded and were thus examined. Subjects with suspicious findings at DRE and/or TRUS underwent transperineal US-guided biopsy and prostate-specific antigen (PSA) determination. Subjects with equivocal findings were controlled after 6 months with DRE, TRUS and PSA. The screening program was rather simple (examination time < 10') and cost was limited (cost x subject = US $25). So far, 27 biopsies (2.1%) have been performed. Eighteen cancers have been detected (1.41%), the prevalence/expected incidence ratio being 10.6:1. Stage at diagnosis was B1 in 12, B2 in 3, C in 2 and D in one case, respectively. Cancer had been suspected at DRE in 12, at TRUS in 17 and at PSA (cutoff = 4 micrograms/ml) in 15 of 18 cases, respectively. This study provides evidence that screening for prostate cancer is feasible at a moderate cost and diagnostic anticipation is relevant. A prospective randomized trial is needed to assess whether early detection has any impact at all on mortality. When designing such a study, the effect of compliance, which was low in our experience, on the statistical power should be carefully evaluated. The possibility of pre-screening with PSA, which is much more accepted and might improve attendance rates, should also be evaluated by specific studies.

Aged↗
PubMed1993

The association between abdominal aortic aneurysms and chronic leg ischaemia. Prevalence in 125 consecutive patients.

A study was carried out to see if in patients with atherosclerotic lesions of the lower limbs the percentage of abdominal aneurysms is higher than in the general population. One hundred twenty five consecutive patients were studied in two different hospitals and compared with a control group. In the two groups with peripheral vascular diseases the patients had a prevalence of aneurysms of 12%, while in the control group the prevalence was of 3%. All patients were operated on successfully except two of them who are now in follow up with regular ultrasound assessment, one with an aortic aneurysm of 3.2 cm and the other with an aortic diameter of 4 cm and moderate liver failure.

Aged↗
PubMed1992

Pleural malignant mesothelioma in Tuscany, Italy (1970-1988): II. Identification of occupational exposure to asbestos.

Following the finding of an unexpected cluster of mesotheliomas in textile workers, a surveillance system of malignant mesotheliomas was implemented in the region of Tuscany, Italy. This article reports on the investigation of 124 cases of mesothelioma diagnosed and reviewed by the Institutes of Morbid Anatomy and Histopathology at the Universities of Florence, Pisa, and Siena between 1970 and 1988. A complete occupational and asbestos exposure history was assessed through a semi-structured questionnaire directly administered to resident cases of Tuscany or, if deceased, to their closest living relatives, for a total of 100 interviews. The hypothesis of past occupational asbestos exposure was verified and documented. Seventy-two cases have been classified as occupationally exposed to asbestos; four were classified in the category of "possible domestic" exposure to asbestos. For two others, the role of other risk factors was stressed, and for 22 cases, either no asbestos exposure was found or the available data were not adequate to define it. The present study allowed identification of some unknown or scarcely known occupational asbestos exposures in the study area.

Adult↗
PubMed1992

[Personal observations on surgical therapy of pulmonary metastases of renal carcinoma].

Renal cancer has an high incidence of metastasizing and its metastases are just a little responsive to chemo and radiotherapy. Because of this, thoracic surgeons began to have experiences on surgical resections of lung metastases from renal cancer. Pulmonary metastases can be isolated or multiple and may appear at the same time of renal cancer discovery or after it, and they generally have a very slow evolution. Authors report their own 15 years old experience on lung metastases from renal cancer resections.

Carcinoma, Renal Cell↗