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Biomedical subjects

M Vessey

Publications and source records attributed to M Vessey.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Risk of myocardial infarction, angina and stroke in users of oral contraceptives: an updated analysis of a cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate risk of myocardial infarction, angina and stroke in users of contraceptive pills compared with users of other methods of contraception. DESIGN: Prospective cohort study, with recruitment between 1968 and 1974 and annual follow up until the age of 45 years. After this age, only women who had never used oral contraception or those who had used it for eight or more years continued to be followed up annually until July 1994. SETTING: Seventeen family planning clinics in England and Scotland. POPULATION: 17,032 women aged between 25 and 39 years at entry to the study. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Occurrence of angina, myocardial infarction or stroke that was associated with either hospital admission or outpatient referral to hospital or death. RESULTS: Increased risk of myocardial infarction in oral contraceptive users was observed only in women who were heavy smokers at entry to the study. In this subgroup the relative risk of a myocardial infarction was 4.2 (95% CI 1.4-16.6) in ever users of oral contraception compared with non-users, 4.9 (1.2-23.6) in current users, and 4.0 (1.3-16.2) in ex-users. In all current users the relative risk of angina was 0.5 (0.1-1.4), and the relative risk of ischaemic stroke was 2.9 (1.3-6.7). The increased risk of ischaemic stroke did not persist in ex-users. CONCLUSIONS: Use of oral contraception is associated with increased risk of ischaemic stroke and increased risk of myocardial infarction (only in heavy smokers), but no increased risk of angina. These increased risks need to be considered within the context of the very low absolute risks of cardiovascular disease in this population. 5880 women need to take oral contraception for one year to cause one extra stroke, and 1060 women who are heavy smokers need to take it for one year to cause one extra myocardial infarction.

Adult↗

The effects on mortality of the use of combined oral contraceptives.

OBJECTIVE: To assess, using a computerised model, the effects on mortality of the use of combined oral contraceptives (COCs). DESIGN: Two hypothetical cohorts of one million women each, identical except for their use of contraception. The impact of COC use was explored by applying, to each cohort, death rates which were adjusted according to a series of assumptions about the risks associated with COC use. The model also explored the effects of a number of different patterns of COC use. SETTINGS AND SUBJECTS: Women aged 16, followed through to ages 50 and 75, exposed to 1994 UK death rates. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Numbers of deaths from various cancers and cardiovascular diseases attributable to COC use. RESULTS: Based on the standard pattern of use, there were 1.7 per cent more deaths in the COC cohort to age 50. The important effects on mortality of different patterns of use and of different assumptions about risks in ex-users were illustrated. CONCLUSIONS: The results confirm the findings of earlier work and provide some reassurance about the likely adverse effects of COC use.

Adolescent↗

Epidemiology of genital prolapse: observations from the Oxford Family Planning Association Study.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the epidemiology of uterovaginal and post-hysterectomy prolapse. DESIGN: Cohort study. SETTING: Seventeen large family planning clinics in England and Scotland. POPULATION: 17,032 women who attended family planning clinics between 1968 and 1974, aged between 25 and 39 years at study entry. METHODS: Annual follow up by interview, postal or telephone questionnaire until July 1994. Further details on all hospital admissions were obtained from the hospital discharge summaries. All women were flagged at time of recruitment in the NHS central registers. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: In-patient admission with diagnosis of prolapse (ICD codes 8th Revision 623.0-623-9). RESULTS: The incidence of hospital admission with prolapse is 2.04 per 1000 person-years of risk. Age, parity, calendar period and weight were significantly associated with risk of an inpatient admission with prolapse after adjustment for principal confounding factors. Significant trends were observed with regard to smoking status and obesity (Quetelet Index) at entry to the study and risk of prolapse. Social class, oral contraceptive use and height were not significantly associated with risk of prolapse. The incidence of prolapse which required surgical correction following hysterectomy was 3.6 per 1000 person-years of risk. The cumulative risk rises from 1% three years after a hysterectomy to 5% 15 years after hysterectomy. The risk of prolapse following hysterectomy is 5.5 times higher (95% CI 3.1-9.7) in women whose initial hysterectomy was for genital prolapse as opposed to other reasons. CONCLUSION: Among the potential risk factors that were investigated, parity shows much the strongest relation to prolapse.

Adult↗

Routine follow up of breast cancer in primary care: randomised trial.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect on time to diagnosis of recurrence and on quality of life of transferring primary responsibility for follow up of women with breast cancer in remission from hospital to general practice. DESIGN: Randomised controlled trial with 18 month follow up in which women received routine follow up either in hospital or in general practice. SUBJECTS AND SETTING: 296 women with breast cancer in remission receiving regular follow up care at district general hospitals in England. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Time between first presentation of symptoms to confirmation of recurrence; quality of life measured by specific dimensions of the SF-36 schedule, the EORTC symptom scale, and hospital anxiety and depression scale. RESULTS: Most recurrences (18/26, 69%) presented as interval events, and almost half (7/16, 44%) of the recurrences in the hospital group presented first to general practice. The median time to hospital confirmation of recurrence was 21 days in the hospital group (range 1-376 days) and 22 days in the general practice group (range 4-64). The differences between groups in the change in SF-36 mean scores from baseline were small: -1.8 (95% confidence interval -7.2 to 3.5) for social functioning, 0.5 (-4.1 to 5.1) for mental health, and 0.6 (-3.6 to 4.8) for general health perception. The change from baseline in the mean depression score was higher in the general practice group at the mid-trial assessment (difference 0.6, 0.1 to 1.2) but there was no significant difference between groups in the anxiety score or the EORTC scales. CONCLUSION: General practice follow up of women with breast cancer in remission is not associated with increase in time to diagnosis, increase in anxiety, or deterioration in health related quality of life. Most recurrences are detected by women as interval events and present to the general practitioner, irrespective of continuing hospital follow up.

Aftercare↗

Prophylactic aspirin and risk of peptic ulcer bleeding.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the risks of hospitalisation for bleeding peptic ulcer with the current prophylactic aspirin regimens of 300 mg daily or less. DESIGN: A case-control study with hospital and community controls. SETTING: Hospitals in Glasgow, Newcastle, Nottingham, Oxford, and Portsmouth. SUBJECTS: 1121 patients with gastric or duodenal ulcer bleeding matched with hospital and community controls. RESULTS: 144 (12.8%) cases had been regular users of aspirin (taken at least five days a week for at least the previous month) compared with 101 (9.0%) hospital and 77 (7.8%) community controls. Odds ratios were raised for all doses of aspirin taken, whether compared with hospital or community controls (compared with combined controls: 75 mg, 2.3 (95% confidence interval 1.2 to 4.4); 150 mg, 3.2 (1.7 to 6.5); 300 mg, 3.9 (2.5 to 6.3)). Results were not explained by confounding influences of age, sex, prior ulcer history or dyspepsia, or concurrent non-aspirin non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug use. Risks seemed particularly high in patients who took non-aspirin non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs concurrently. CONCLUSION: No conventionally used prophylactic aspirin regimen seems free of the risk of peptic ulcer complications.

Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal↗

A time to pregnancy questionnaire designed for long term recall: validity in Oxford, England.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To establish the degree of validity of data on time to pregnancy, derived retrospectively using a short questionnaire. DESIGN: Information from the questionnaire was compared with data that had been collected concurrently from the same individuals. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Questionnaires were mailed to 1647 women who continue to be followed up by the Oxford Family Planning Association contraceptive study, and a further 424 were approached for personal interview. Response rates were 91% and 79% respectively. MAIN RESULTS: Matching was successful in 91% of pregnancies. Median recall time was 14 years (interquartile range, 11-16 years). At the group level, remarkably good agreement was found between the two sources of information, presented as cumulative percentage distributions of live births. The findings were at least as good with longer recall (> 14 years) as with shorter recall. Digit performance was present to a limited degree. At the individual level, some misclassification was evident, which has implications for statistical power. For detection of clinical infertility (no conception within 12 months), the sensitivity was in the range 67%-91%, and the specificity was 92%-96%. Variations with format, duration of recall, age at delivery, year of birth, parity, social class, smoking habit, last contraceptive method, and outcome (live birth or not) were generally small, and were not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS: Time to pregnancy is a sensitive way of assessing reproductive function in either sex. Valid data at a group level can be derived retrospectively, with a long duration of recall, using a short questionnaire.

Adult↗

Hormone replacement therapy: characteristics of users and non-users in a British general practice cohort identified through computerised prescribing records.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To assess the feasibility of recruiting a cohort of women, including long term users of postmenopausal hormone replacement therapy (HRT), through computerised general practice prescribing records, and to compare clinical and demographic characteristics of users and non-user controls. DESIGN: Cross sectional analysis of questionnaire data. SETTING: Subjects were recruited through 17 general practices in the Oxfordshire, south west Thames, and north west Thames regions that contributed to the VAMP Research Database. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 2964 women aged 45-64 years were identified. Altogether 1482 were long term (> 1 year) users of HRT and 1482 were non-user controls: 1037 (70%) of the users and 819 (55.3%) of the controls agreed to participate and provided questionnaire data. MAIN RESULTS: Users of HRT were more likely to have undergone hysterectomy than controls. Most women with a history of hysterectomy used unopposed oestrogen, while those with intact uteri generally used a combination of oestrogen and a progestagen. Among women who had undergone hysterectomy, HRT users did not differ significantly from controls over a range of demographic and clinical characteristics but they were more likely to be past users of oral contraceptives. Among women with intact uteri, users were similar to controls in terms of reported clinical characteristics, but were of higher social class and were more likely to be past users of oral contraceptives and to have had a mammogram after the age of 50. Compared with the general population, all categories of women recruited to the study were of higher social class and exhibited more health conscious behaviours. CONCLUSIONS: Electronic general practice prescribing records provide a feasible and efficient method for recruiting women to a cohort of HRT. Women who agreed to participate in this study were not representative of the general population, emphasising the importance of internal controls in such a study. Among participants, HRT users who had not undergone hysterectomy showed evidence of better health than non-users on some dimensions. In the whole sample, however, there were no appreciable differences in social class and self reported health indicators between users and controls.

Cohort Studies↗

Is the timing of withdrawal bleeding a guide to endometrial safety during sequential oestrogen-progestagen replacement therapy? UK Continuous Combined HRT Study Investigators.

Current regimens of sequential hormone replacement therapy are based on data that show a protective effect on the endometrium of at least 10 days of progestagen. In clinical practice, onset of bleeding on or after day 11 of the progestagen phase is taken as reassurance of a normal endometrium. 413 postmenopausal women taking oestrogen-progestagen hormone replacement therapy with 10 or 12 days of progestagen per cycle completed bleeding diaries for 3 months before endometrial biopsy. For most women, bleeding started around the 13th day after starting progestagen. There was no correlation between endometrial histology and timing of onset of bleeding. 11 (2.7%) women had complex endometrial hyperplasia. The prevalence of hyperplasia was 2.4% with 10 days of progestagen per cycle and 2.8% with 12 days [corrected]. The timing of onset of withdrawal bleeding during oestrogen-progestagen HRT does not predict endometrial hyperplasia.

Endometrium↗

Oral contraceptive use and benign gallbladder disease; revisited.

An analysis is described of 482 women with benign gallbladder disease (surgically confirmed in 407) identified in the Oxford Family Planning Association contraceptive study. There was no significant overall association between oral contraceptive use and gallbladder disease (relative risk ever use to never use 1.1, 95% confidence interval 0.9 to 1.3). Likewise, duration of oral contraceptive use had no significant effect (relative risk 97 or more months use to never use 1.1, 95% confidence interval 0.8 to 1.5). There was no indication of any interaction between oral contraceptive use and body mass index or oral contraceptive use and age in the production of disease. It is concluded that it is unlikely that oral contraceptives are of either clinical or public health significance in relation to the occurrence of gallbladder disease.

Adult↗

Measuring the impact of menopausal symptoms on quality of life.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the impact of menopausal symptoms on the overall quality of life of women. DESIGN: Data collection with a questionnaire administered by an interviewer, incorporating two different quality of life measurement techniques (time trade off and rating scale). SETTING: Specialist menopause clinic and two general practices in Oxford. SUBJECTS: 63 women aged 45-60 years recruited opportunistically during a clinic or appointment with a general practitioner; no exclusion criteria. RESULTS: Subjects gave very low quality of life ratings for health states with menopausal symptoms. The time trade off method of measuring preferences for these health states (on a scale from 0 to 1, where preference for full health is given as 1) yielded utility values of 0.64 for severe menopausal symptoms and 0.85 for mild symptoms. The rating scale measurement technique yielded even lower values: utilities of 0.30 and 0.65 were obtained for severe and mild symptoms respectively. Kappa scores indicated that the two methods produced results that were poorly related but not contradictory. Comparison of quality of life ratings before and after treatment with hormone replacement therapy showed significant improvements: with the rating scale measurement technique mean increases in utility values after the relief of severe and mild menopausal symptoms were 0.56 and 0.18 respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Quality of life may be severely compromised in women with menopausal symptoms, and perceived improvements in quality of life in users of hormone replacement therapy seem to be substantial. This emphasises the need to include quality of life measurements when assessing outcomes of hormone replacement therapy. Several limitations may exist with widely applied measurement techniques, calling for the development of appropriate and well validated instruments for measuring quality of life associated with reduced health states.

Data Collection↗

Long-term recall of time-to-pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: To validate two versions of a short self-completion questionnaire on time-to-pregnancy. DESIGN: Information from the questionnaire was compared with concurrently collected data from the same individuals. POPULATION: Questionnaires were sent to 1,647 women who continue to be followed up by the Oxford Family Planning Association Contraceptive Study. Replies were received from 1,498, a response rate of 91.0%. Successful matching was achieved with 1,392 pregnancies that met the study criteria and that had values of time-to-pregnancy in both data sources. Median recall time was 14 years (interquartile range, 11 to 16 years). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: At the group level, the frequency distributions of time-to-pregnancy from the two sources are presented as cumulative percentages. At the individual level, the distribution of discrepancies between the sources is tabulated separately for each value of time-to-pregnancy, and accuracy of detection of clinical subfertility is presented (sensitivity and specificity). RESULTS: At the group level, remarkably good agreement was found between the two sources of information. Digit preference was present to a limited degree. There were no important differences between the two questionnaire versions. At the individual level, some misclassification was evident. For the detection of clinical infertility, sensitivity was 79.9% and specificity was 94.9%. CONCLUSIONS: Short, self-completion questionnaires are remarkably accurate for assessing time-to-pregnancy at a group level. Individual-level misclassification is frequent, but detection of clinical subfertility is fairly accurate.

Adult↗

Morbidity following pelvic inflammatory disease.

OBJECTIVE: To examine patterns of morbidity following hospitalisation for pelvic inflammatory disease (PID). DESIGN: Cohort study using Oxford Record Linkage Study data. SETTING: Oxfordshire and West Berkshire. SUBJECTS: One thousand three hundred fifty-five women discharged from hospital for the first time with a diagnosis of pelvic inflammatory disease during the interval 1970-1985, together with 10,507 control women discharged with various other diagnoses. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Hospital admission for abdominal pain, gynaecological pain, endometriosis, hysterectomy, and ectopic pregnancy. Data were not available in this analysis on pregnancies other than ectopic pregnancy. RESULTS: In comparison with the controls, women with a diagnosis of PID were ten times more likely to be admitted for abdominal pain, four times more likely to be admitted for gynaecological pain, six times more likely to be admitted for endometriosis, eight times more likely to be admitted for hysterectomy and ten times more likely to be admitted for ectopic pregnancy. CONCLUSIONS: Serious sequelae of PID are common, even in a study unable to examine the effects of the disease on fertility. The data on hysterectomy are particularly interesting; the operation in women with pelvic inflammatory disease is most often a consequence of the inflammatory process itself.

Adolescent↗

Fatal myocardial infarction and use of psychotropic drugs in young women.

We have observed an unexpected 17-fold increase in risk of fatal [corrected] myocardial infarction (relative risk 16.9, 95% confidence interval 3.9-72.8) associated with current use of psychotropic drugs. This incidental finding, in a case-control study of cardiovascular mortality in women aged 16-39 not designed to test any hypothesis about psychotropic drugs, should be treated cautiously. There is, however, evidence of a relation between psychiatric morbidity and cardiovascular disease and the association recorded here requires further investigation.

Adolescent↗

Fatal stroke and use of oral contraceptives: findings from a case-control study.

A case-control study of women less than 40 years of age in England and Wales was performed to evaluate the risk of fatal stroke associated with the use of the newer, low-dose oral contraceptives. Included were 296 cases with subarachnoid hemorrhage, 105 cases with other hemorrhagic stroke, and 21 cases with occlusive stroke, all of which occurred during 1986-1988. Two living controls per case, matched for age and marital status, were chosen from the general practice lists. The power of the study was such that the minimum significant increased relative risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage associated with ever having used oral contraceptives that could have been detected with 90% certainty was 1.6; the equivalent value for occlusive stroke was 28.4. Relative risk was estimated by conditional logistic regression allowing for matching. The adjusted relative risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage associated with oral contraceptives was estimated to be 1.1 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.6-1.9) for current use and 1.3 (95% CI 0.9-1.8) for ever use, while the equivalent relative risk of an occlusive stroke associated with ever use was 4.4 (95% CI 0.8-24.4). Oral contraceptive use may be associated with a small increase in the risk of subarachnoid hemorrhage. These data are consistent with a substantial increase in the risk of occlusive stroke associated with oral contraceptive use.

Adolescent↗

Incidence of disease after vasectomy: a record linkage retrospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether vasectomy is associated with an increased risk of several diseases, and in particular testicular cancer, after operation. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using linked medical record abstracts. SETTING: Six health districts in Oxford region. SUBJECTS: 13,246 men aged 25-49 years who had undergone vasectomy between 1970 and 1986, and 22,196 comparison subjects who had been admitted during the same period for one of three specified elective operations, appendicitis, or injuries. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Hospital admission and death after vasectomy or comparison event. RESULTS: The mean durations of follow up were 6.6 years for men with a vasectomy and 7.5 years for men with a comparison condition. The relative risk of cancer of the testis in the vasectomy cohort (4 cases) compared with that in the other cohorts (17 cases) was 0.46 (95% confidence interval 0.1 to 1.4), that of cancer of the prostate (1 v 5 cases) 0.44 (0.1 to 4.0), and that of myocardial infarction (97 v 226 cases) 1.00 (0.8 to 1.3). There was no evidence of an increase associated with vasectomy in the incidence of a range of other diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Vasectomy was not associated with an increased risk of testicular cancer or the other diseases studied. With respect to prostatic cancer, while we found no cause for concern, longer periods of observation on large numbers of men are required.

Adult↗

Risk factors for fatal venous thromboembolism in young women: a case-control study.

A case-control study of fatal venous thromboembolism in young women is described. Sixty women aged between 16 and 39 who died from thromboembolism in England and Wales between 1986 and 1988 were included in the study. Two living controls matched for age and marital status were sought from the records of the general practitioner with whom each case was registered. Some 115 controls were included in the study. The cases had a significantly higher prevalence of a history of major illness, particularly thrombotic episodes, than the controls. The odds ratio (OR) of a fatal thromboembolism in women who had a history of venous thrombosis was 4.0 (95% Cl: 1.4-11.5). There was also a significantly higher frequency of a recent operation or accident amongst the cases than the controls (OR = 11.1, 95% Cl: 1.3-92.5). There was no significant excess or oral contraceptive use amongst the cases. The overall OR associated with current use of oral contraceptives was 1.6 (95% Cl: 0.7-3.4), while the corresponding OR for 'idiopathic' diseases was 2.1 (95% Cl: 0.8-5.2). These risks are considerably smaller than those observed in previous studies. The observed risk may be low because the dosage of oestrogen in modern oral contraceptive preparations has been reduced, but it may also be because the cases of fatal venous thromboembolism included in this study represent only a small proportion of all cases of venous thrombeombolism; a disease which is rarely fatal in young women. These results cannot necessarily be extrapolated to nonfatal venous thromboembolism.

Adolescent↗

HRT: an analysis of benefits, risks and costs.

A cost-effectiveness analysis of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) was undertaken to assess the relative benefits of different treatment strategies, and to identify which factors most influence cost-effectiveness. The current lack of conclusive evidence on the effects of HRT, especially in relation to combined therapy and cardiovascular disease, necessitated the use of a large number of assumptions in our model. In terms of net health benefits, the potential reduction in cardiovascular disease would have greatest impact, and would overshadow any small increase in breast cancer risk possibly associated with long-term use. Net expenditure by the NHS will depend critically on the direct costs of treatment, rather than on any indirect costs incurred or averted as a result of side-effects. In terms of cost-effectiveness, long-term prophylactic treatment of hysterectomised women and treatment of symptomatic women with a uterus compare favourably with other accepted health care interventions.

Breast Neoplasms↗