Biomedical subjects
M Susser
Publications and source records attributed to M Susser.
Depressive symptoms in women in the six months after miscarriage.
This study, the first systematic investigation of the psychiatric impact of miscarriage, tests whether miscarriage markedly increases depressive symptoms in the 6 months after loss. We interviewed 382 miscarrying women entering the study at 2 weeks, 6 weeks, or 6 months after loss and, for comparison, 283 pregnant women and 318 community women not recently pregnant. Among women interviewed 2 weeks after miscarriage the proportion highly symptomatic on the Center for Epidemiologic Studies-Depression scale was 3.4 times that of pregnant women (95% confidence limits 2.0 and 5.0) and 4.3 times that of community women (95% confidence limits 3.0 and 5.8). Among women first interviewed 6 weeks and 6 months after miscarriage the proportion highly symptomatic was three times that of the community women. Women reinterviewed at 6 weeks and 6 months did not have elevated symptom levels, a result attributed to the unintended therapeutic and test effects of study interviews. Interviews were fully structured, readily administered by telephone by nonmedical personnel. The possibility that such interviews afford miscarrying women substantial psychologic benefits merits future investigation.
Data collection strategies in genetic epidemiology: The Epilepsy Family Study of Columbia University.
A large-scale study of genetic influences on seizure disorders is described here as a primer of tested methods for collection of family history data. 1957 adult probands with epilepsy were ascertained from voluntary organizations. Personal and family history data were obtained from probands in semistructured telephone interviews. To increase sensitivity, an independent family history was obtained from a second family informant in a similar interview. To increase specificity and diagnostic detail, family members reported to be affected were interviewed, and medical records of probands and affected relatives were collected. Participation rates for probands were 84-90%. Interviews were completed with second informants in 67% of families, and with 51% of eligible affected relatives. The main reasons for non-interview were lack of permission from probands and difficulties in locating relatives. Although 90% of probands gave verbal permission for medical record review, only 75% of these signed and returned consent forms for this purpose. Physicians returned 87% of the records requested. The resulting proportion of probands with medical records was 59%. These findings illustrate the complexity involved in assembling useful databases in genetic epidemiology.
Induced abortion and health as a value.
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Determinants of depressive symptoms in the early weeks after miscarriage.
OBJECTIVES: We tested whether and under what conditions miscarriage increases depressive symptoms in the early weeks following loss. METHODS: We interviewed 232 women within 4 weeks of miscarriage and 283 pregnant women and 318 community women who had not recently been pregnant. Depressive symptoms were measured with the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression (CES-D) Scale. RESULTS: Among women who had miscarried, the proportion who were highly symptomatic on the CES-D was 3.4 times that of pregnant women and 4.3 times that of community women. Among childless women, the proportion of women who had miscarried who were highly symptomatic was 5.7 times that of pregnant women and 11.0 times that of community women. Women who had miscarried were equally depressed regardless of length of gestation; among pregnant women, depressive symptoms declined with length of gestation. Among women who had miscarried, symptom levels did not vary with attitude toward the pregnancy; among pregnant women, depressive symptoms were elevated in those with unwanted pregnancies. Prior reproductive loss and advanced maternal age (35+ years) were not associated with symptom levels in any cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Depressive symptoms are markedly increased in the early weeks following miscarriage. This effect is substantially modified by number of living children, length of gestation at loss, and attitude toward pregnancy.
Preterm birth, intrauterine growth retardation, and perinatal mortality.
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Marijuana use and the risk of new onset seizures.
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Nutritional supplementation and mental development.
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What is a cause and how do we know one? A grammar for pragmatic epidemiology.
In this paper, criteria used by many epidemiologists as aids in causal inference are reviewed and revised. The revised scheme emphasizes the distinction between essential properties of a cause and criteria useful for deciding on the presence of these properties in a given case. A systematic procedure for causal inference tests each essential causal property in turn against appropriate criteria. For a pragmatic epidemiology in which all determinants serve as causes, their essential properties are held to be association, time order, and direction, in an ascending hierarchy. Criteria for association are probabilistic and can be enhanced by strength and consistency. Given association, criteria for time order of the relevant variables follow from access to observation, which is dependent on design. Given association and time order, causal direction (or consequential change) calls on an array of criteria, namely, consistency and survivability, strength, specificity in cause and in effect, predictive performance, and coherence in all its forms (e.g., theoretical, factual, biologic, and statistical). The evolution of such criteria is traced through the epidemiologic literature in the light of historical context. Although Popper's philosophy cannot directly serve an inherently inductive judgmental process, his notion of survivability has here been added, alongside replicability, as a subclass of consistency. This criterion is proposed to bridge the gap between the particularity of designs and the generality required of causal relations. Designs are ordered and described in the framework of testing survivability. Finally, definitions are offered for the list of criteria deployed.
Re: "Increased postperinatal child mortality among children of mothers exposed to measles during pregnancy".
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Philosophy in epidemiology.
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Maternal weight gain, infant birth weight, and diet: causal sequences.
The causal sequence maternal nutrition----maternal weight gain----infant birth weight is not sustained by available evidence except under extreme nutritional deprivation. For maternal weight change, diet effects of near starvation are unequivocal. With chronic undernutrition or social deprivation, diet effects are inapparent or modest (conditional on pregnancy stage, diet supplement, and prepregnancy weight). For birth-weight change, diet effects of near starvation are likewise unequivocal and modest with chronic undernutrition or social deprivation. The complete causal sequence has been demonstrated only below a famine threshold. Outside famine, effects are modest (conditional on baseline nutrition, timing, and content of diets, possibly also on infant sex and energy expenditure). High-protein concentrations have produced adverse effects. Micronutrients and consequent fluid retention could have favorable effects. Diet effects on birth weight apparently bypass maternal weight change. Hence, to enhance birth weight, maternal diet appears to deserve more attention than does weight gain.
Caffeine and spontaneous abortion of known karyotype.
We tested associations of caffeine from beverages with spontaneous abortions of known karyotype. Spontaneous abortions (cases) were classified as chromosomally normal (n = 510) or chromosomally aberrant (n = 389) and, within the latter category, by type of aberration (237 trisomies, 54 monosomies X, 49 triploidies, 49 others). Controls registered for prenatal care before 22 weeks gestation and delivered at 28 weeks or later (n = 1,423). Caffeine intake in the perifertilization period did not differ among case groups and controls. For the highest category, 225+ mg/day, odds ratios (OR), adjusted for payment group and maternal age, were 1.0 for chromosomally normal cases, 0.9 for trisomies, 1.6 for monosomies X, and 0.8 for triploidies. Caffeine intake during pregnancy was tested for associations with chromosomally normal loss using the chromosomally aberrant cases to provide a robust comparison group. Although the proportion of subjects with intake of 225+ mg/day of caffeine intake in the perifertilization period does not influence the risk of chromosomally normal loss or trisomy. For monosomy X and triploidy, no strong associations were observed, but numbers were insufficient to rule out moderate effects. For caffeine intake during pregnancy, we found little evidence to support an influence on chromosomally normal loss.
Marijuana and spontaneous abortion of known karyotype.
We tested whether marijuana use in the 2 months before the last menstrual period and during pregnancy affects the risk of spontaneous abortions of known karyotype. Spontaneous abortions (cases) were defined as chromosomally normal (n = 567) or chromosomally aberrant (n = 393) and, within the latter, by type of aberration (212 trisomies, 71 monosomies X, 49 triploidies, 61 others). Controls were women with prenatal care before 22 weeks gestation and delivering at 28 weeks or later (n = 2042). In comparison with controls, adjusted odds (OR) of reported marijuana use in chromosomally normal cases were 1.1 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.7, 1.5) and in chromosomally aberrant cases combined 1.2 (95% CI 0.7, 1.9). With respect to specific aberrations, use in the perifertilisation period did not differ significantly from that in controls for trisomies (adjusted OR = 0.8, 95% CI 0.4, 1.8), monosomies X (adjusted OR = 1.8, 95% CI 0.7, 4.3), and triploidies (adjusted OR = 1.3, 95% CI 0.4, 4.5). Comparison of karyotype groups with each other yielded similar results. Our data do not support causal associations of marijuana use, at the levels represented in our sample, with either chromosomally normal or trisomic spontaneous abortion. With monosomy X and triploidy, no statistically significant associations were detected although numbers were insufficient to rule out moderate effects.
Cancer rates after the Three Mile Island nuclear accident and proximity of residence to the plant.
BACKGROUND: In the light of a possible link between stress and cancer promotion or progression, and of previously reported distress in residents near the Three Mile Island (TMI) nuclear power plant, we attempted to evaluate the impact of the March 1979 accident on community cancer rates. METHODS: Proximity of residence to the plant, which related to distress in previous studies, was taken as a possible indicator of accident stress; the postaccident pattern in cancer rates was examined in 69 "study tracts" within a 10-mile radius of TMI, in relation to residential proximity. RESULTS: A modest association was found between postaccident cancer rates and proximity (OR = 1.4; 95% CI = 1.3, 1.6). After adjusting for a gradient in cancer risk prior to the accident, the odds ratio contrasting those closest to the plant with those living farther out was 1.2 (95% CI = 1.0, 1.4). A postaccident increase in cancer rates near the Three Mile Island plant was notable in 1982, persisted for another year, and then declined. Radiation emissions, as modeled mathematically, did not account for the observed increase. CONCLUSION: Interpretation in terms of accident stress is limited by the lack of an individual measure of stress and by uncertainty about whether stress has a biological effect on cancer in humans. An alternative mechanism for the cancer increase near the plant is through changes in care-seeking and diagnostic practice arising from postaccident concern.
Miscarriage, caffeine, and the epiphenomena of pregnancy: the causal model.
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Disease, illness, sickness; impairment, disability and handicap.
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