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Biomedical subjects

M Shipley

Publications and source records attributed to M Shipley.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources

Cardiothoracic ratio and relative heart volume as predictors of coronary heart disease mortality. The Whitehall study 25 year follow-up.

AIM: To examine the association of radiographic measures of heart size with mortality from coronary heart disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: One thousand, one hundred and ninety-one male civil servants aged 40-69 years were followed-up for mortality over 25 years in relation to cardiothoracic ratio and relative heart volume. A high cardiothoracic ratio and relative heart volume predicted coronary (n = 196 deaths) and all-cause mortality, but not respiratory or malignant mortality. After adjustment for age, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, the highest (> or = 0.47) compared to the lowest quintile of the cardiothoracic ratio (< 0.40) was associated with a rate ratio of 1.84 (95% CI 1.14-2.97) for the effect on coronary heart disease mortality. Further adjustment for heart rate, smoking, cholesterol, angina and ECG ischaemia had little effect, reducing the rate ratio to 1.65 (95% CI 1.01-2.70). Similar rate ratios were observed for relative heart volume. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiothoracic ratio within the range considered 'normal' in clinical practice predicted coronary heart disease mortality independent of established coronary heart disease risk factors. The relative heart volume, which uses measurements from the lateral as well as the posteroanterior chest X-ray, did not predict coronary heart disease any better than the cardiothoracic ratio. The extent to which left ventricular mass and systolic dysfunction-- pathophysiological correlates of the cardiothoracic ratio and relative heart volume--are independent risk factors for coronary heart disease should be further investigated.

Adult

5' nuclease PCR assay to detect Yersinia pestis.

The 5' nuclease PCR assay uses a fluorescently labeled oligonucleotide probe (TaqMan) to rapidly detect and quantitate DNA templates in clinical samples. We developed a 5' nuclease PCR assay targeting the plasminogen activator gene (pla) of Yersinia pestis. The assay is species specific, with a detection threshold of 2.1 x 10(5) copies of the pla target or 1.6 pg of total cell DNA. The assay detected Y. pestis in experimentally infected Xenopsylla cheopis fleas and in experimentally infected monkey blood and oropharyngeal swabs. The TaqMan assay is simple to perform and rapid and shows promise as a future field-adaptable technique.

Animals

Design, objectives, and lessons from a pilot 25 year follow up re-survey of survivors in the Whitehall study of London Civil Servants.

DESIGN: To assess the feasibility of conducting a re-survey of men who are resident in the United Kingdom 25 years after enrollment in the Whitehall study of London Civil Servants. METHODS: A random sample of 401 study survivors resident in three health authority areas was selected for this pilot study. They were mailed a request to complete a self administered questionnaire, and then asked to attend their general practice to have their blood pressure, weight, and height measured and a blood sample collected into a supplied vacutainer, and mailed to a central laboratory. Using a 2 x 2 factorial design, the impact of including additional questions on income and of an informant questionnaire on cognitive function was assessed. RESULTS: Accurate addresses were obtained from the health authorities for 96% of the sample. Questionnaires were received from 73% and blood samples from 61% of the sample. Questions on income had no adverse effect on the response rate, but inclusion of the informant questionnaire did. Between 1970 and 1995 there were substantial changes within men in the mean blood pressure and blood total cholesterol recorded, as reflected by correlation coefficients between 1970 and 1995 values of 0.26, and 0.30 for systolic and diastolic blood pressure and 0.38 for total cholesterol. CONCLUSION: This pilot study demonstrated the feasibility of conducting a re-survey using postal questionnaires and mailed whole blood samples. The magnitude of change in blood pressure and blood total cholesterol concentrations within individuals was greater than anticipated, suggesting that such remeasurements may be required at different intervals in prospective studies to help interpret risks associations properly. These issues will be considered in a re-survey of the remaining survivors of the Whitehall study.

Aged

High blood glucose concentration is a risk factor for mortality in middle-aged nondiabetic men. 20-year follow-up in the Whitehall Study, the Paris Prospective Study, and the Helsinki Policemen Study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between high but nondiabetic blood glucose levels and the risk of death from all causes, coronary heart disease (CHD), cardiovascular disease, and neoplasms. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We studied the 20-year mortality of non-diabetic, working men, age 44-55 years, in three European cohorts known as the Whitehall Study (n = 10,025), the Paris Prospective Study (n = 6,629), and the Helsinki Policeman Study (n = 631). These men were identified by their 2-h glucose levels following an oral glucose tolerance test and by the absence of a prior diagnosis of diabetes. As the protocol for the oral glucose tolerance test and methods for measuring glucose differed between studies, mortality was analyzed according to the percentiles of the 2-h and fasting glucose distributions, using the Cox's proportional hazards model. RESULTS: Men in the upper 20% of the 2-h glucose distributions and those in the upper 2.5% for fasting glucose had a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality in comparison with men in the lower 80% of these distributions, with age-adjusted hazard ratios of 1.6 (95% CI 1.4-1.9) and 2.0 (1.6-2.6) for the upper 2.5%. For death from cardiovascular and CHD, men in the upper 2.5% of the 2-h and fasting glucose distributions were at higher risk, with age-adjusted hazard ratios for CHD of 1.8 (1.4-2.4) and 2.7 (1.7-4.4), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: If early intervention aimed at lowering blood glucose concentrations can be shown to reduce mortality, it may be justified to lower the levels of both 2-h and fasting glucose, which define diabetes.

Adult

Is the SF-36 a valid measure of change in population health? Results from the Whitehall II Study.

OBJECTIVE: To measure within-person change in scores on the short form general health survey (SF-36) by age, sex, employment grade, and disease status. DESIGN: Longitudinal study with a mean of 36 months (range 23-59 months) follow up, with screening examination and questionnaire to detect physical and psychiatric morbidity. SETTING: 20 civil service departments originally located in London. PARTICIPANTS: 5070 male and 2197 female office based civil servants aged 39-63 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Change in the eight scales of the SF-36 (adjusted for baseline score and length of follow up) and effect sizes (adjusted change standard deviation of differences). RESULTS: Within-person declines (worsening health) with age were greater than estimated by cross sectional data alone. General mental health showed greater declines among younger participants (P for linear trend < 0.001). Employment grade was inversely related to change; lower grades had greater deteriorations than higher grades (P < 0.001 for each scale in men; P < 0.05 for each scale in women except general health perceptions and role limitations due to physical problems). The greatest declines were seen among participants with disease at baseline, with the effects of physical and psychiatric morbidity being additive. Effect sizes ranged from 0.20 to 0.65 in participants with both physical and psychiatric morbidity. CONCLUSIONS: Health functioning, as measured by the SF-36, changed in hypothesised directions with age, employment grade, and disease status. These changes occurred within a short follow up period, in an occupational, high functioning cohort which has not been the subject of intervention, suggesting that the SF-36 is sensitive to changes in health in general populations.

Adolescent

Counting the uncatchable? An epidemiological method for counting drug misusers.

Service provision and treatment outcome for problem drug users are receiving increased attention, although both are hindered by the lack of good epidemiological data. A technique of population enumeration called capture recapture methodology (CRM) is currently being advocated for use in populations that are otherwise hard to count. CRM is explained and some of its limitations discussed. Studies that have used this methodology are examined.

Catchment Area, Health

Work and psychiatric disorder in the Whitehall II Study.

It is important that the effects of work on mental health are investigated when work practices are changing rapidly and there is decreasing job security. This has been examined in the Whitehall II Study, a cohort study of 6895 male and 3413 female, London-based civil servants, aged 35-55 years at baseline in 1985. Work characteristics were measured by modified Karasek indices in a self-report questionnaire. Psychiatric disorder was measured by the 30-item General Health Questionnaire (GHQ). In longitudinal analyses in men and women, high work social support predicted lower GHQ scores, and high job demands predicted higher GHQ scores at follow-up. High work social support and high skill discretion were protective against taking short spells of psychiatric sickness absence. The protective effects of social support at work and the potential risk of job demands have implications for management, job design, training, and further research.

Adult

Social inequalities in health: next questions and converging evidence.

Mortality studies show that social inequalities in health include, but are not confined to, worse health among the poor. There is a social gradient: mortality rises with decreasing socio-economic status. Three large sample studies, one British and two American, brought together for their complementarity in samples, measures, and design, all show similar social gradients for adult men and women in physical and mental morbidity and in psychological well-being. These gradients are observed both with educational and occupational status and are not explained by parents' social status or lack of an intact family during childhood. They are also not accounted for by intelligence measured in school. This suggests that indirect selection cannot account for inequalities in health. Possible mediators that link social position to physical and mental health include smoking and features of psycho-social environment at work and outside.

Adult

Social support and psychiatric sickness absence: a prospective study of British civil servants.

BACKGROUND: Studies on the direct and buffering effects of social support have not examined psychiatric sickness absence and few studies have considered support both at home and at work. This study addresses prospectively the effects of chronic stressors and social supports, at home and at work, on psychiatric sickness absence rates. METHODS: Sociodemographic factors, health and social support were measured at baseline, and short and long spells of sickness absence were measured prospectively over a 5-year period. The participants were a subsample of 4202 male and female civil servants, aged 35-55 years at baseline, from an occupational cohort, the Whitehall II Study, who completed detailed social support questions. RESULTS: Support from colleagues and supervisors at work is related to lower risk of short spells of psychiatric sickness absence, particularly for those also receiving high levels of negative aspects of close relationships from their closest person outside work. Negative aspects of close relationships from the closest person increase the risk of taking long spells of psychiatric sickness absence in men. High levels of material problems increase the risk of short spells of sickness absence. CONCLUSIONS: Negative aspects of close relationships may have an aetiological role in non-psychotic psychiatric disorder. Social support at work appears to protect against short spells of psychiatric sickness absence. This potentially implies that levels of short spells of absence might be reduced by increasing support at work. Conversely, emotional support at home may influenced absence-related behaviour and encourage a person to take absence at a time of illness.

Absenteeism

Reference values for alpha-tocopherol and beta-carotene in the Whitehall II Study.

Plasma alpha-tocopherol, beta-carotene, serum lipids and their derived ratios were determined in British Civil Servants (n = 7177) at the second medical examination of the Whitehall II Study, a longitudinal study of cardiovascular disease. For plasma alpha-tocopherol the non-parametric 95% reference interval (90% confidence limits) for the total population was: 11.1 (10.9-11.3)-51.5 (50.6-52.7) mumol/l. For plasma beta-carotene the non-parametric reference interval for the total population was: 0.05 (0.05-0.05)-2.14 (2.08-2.21) mumol/l. The latter interval was wider than those previously published with a higher mean (0.61 mumol/l) and median (0.75 mumol/l). Plasma beta-carotene concentrations were higher in women than men with age-adjusted means of 0.70 and 0.57 mumol/l respectively (p < 0.001). This may reflect differences in diet, lifestyle and metabolism between the sexes. The alpha-tocopherol/cholesterol ratio, as in other surveys, did not vary with age. Among men, current- and ex-smokers had a higher alpha-tocopherol/cholesterol ratio than never-smokers with age-adjusted means of 4.18, 4.19 mumol/mmol and 4.05 mumol/mmol respectively. This difference is as yet unexplained. Follow-up of these subjects will help to clarify the role of antioxidant nutrients as protective factors for cardiovascular disease and cancer.

Adult

Changing patterns of rheumatology manpower and practice in the UK in the 1990s.

This paper reports the results of two surveys of all UK rheumatologists conducted in 1993 and 1995. Results are presented by regional health authority and by country. During the 2 yr, there has been a rise in the number of consultants, but a fall in the proportion doing rheumatology combined with rehabilitation. Consultants are working harder-doing more clinics and seeing more patients. Regional disparities in service provision persist, but are slowly diminishing. On the whole, the south of the country is better provided with consultants, but has fewer in-patient facilities, while the reverse is true in the north.

Data Collection