Epidemiology and costs of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.
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Cost of Illness↗
Biomedical subjects
M J Thun
Publications and source records attributed to M J Thun.
Prospective study of occupation and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis mortality.
Occupational exposures are suspected of contributing to the risk of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), but results of epidemiologic studies have been inconsistent. The authors prospectively assessed the relation between occupation and ALS mortality among more than 1 million participants in the Cancer Prevention Study II of the American Cancer Society. Follow-up from 1989 through 2002 identified 507 ALS deaths among men and 430 among women. Adjusted rate ratios were calculated by using Mantel-Haenszel weights and Cox proportional hazards. Among men, elevated ALS mortality was found for programmers (rate ratio = 4.55, 95% confidence interval: 1.46, 14.2; p = 0.009) and laboratory technicians (rate ratio = 1.96, 95% confidence interval: 1.04, 3.66; p = 0.04). Occupations previously associated with increased risk of ALS for which no increased risk was found included farmers, electricians, and welders, although the numbers of electricians (eight ALS deaths) and welders (two ALS deaths) were small. Among women, only machine assemblers had significantly increased ALS mortality (rate ratio = 2.81, 95% confidence interval: 1.05, 7.53; p = 0.04). Results, which suggest that male programmers and laboratory technicians and female machine assemblers may be at increased risk of death from ALS, should be interpreted cautiously, however, because they are based on small numbers.
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis↗
ALS and military service.
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Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis↗
Prospective study of military service and mortality from ALS.
BACKGROUND: Two recent studies suggest that the risk of ALS is increased among Gulf War veterans. It is not known whether military service outside of the Gulf War is associated with increased risk of ALS. METHODS: The authors prospectively assessed the relation between service in the military and ALS mortality among participants in the Cancer Prevention Study II cohort of the American Cancer Society, a cohort that includes over 500,000 men from the 50 states, Washington, DC, and Puerto Rico. Participant follow-up was conducted from 1989 through 1998 for ALS mortality. There were a total of 280 deaths from ALS among 126,414 men who did not serve in the military and 281,874 who did. Adjusted relative risks (RRs) were calculated using Mantel-Haenszel weights and Cox proportional hazards. RESULTS: Men who served in the military had an increased death rate from ALS (RR = 1.53; 95% CI: 1.12 to 2.09; p = 0.007) compared with those who did not serve. The increase in ALS mortality was observed among men who served in the Army or National Guard (RR = 1.54), Navy (RR = 1.87), Air Force (RR = 1.54), and Coast Guard (RR = 2.24); no increase in risk was found in men who served in the Marine Corps, although there were only 13,670 men in this group. The risk of ALS among men who served was elevated in every 5-year birth cohort from 1915 through 1939. CONCLUSIONS: Military personnel have an increased risk of ALS. This increase appeared to be largely independent of the branch of service and the time period served.
Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis↗
A candidate gene approach to searching for low-penetrance breast and prostate cancer genes.
Most cases of breast and prostate cancer are not associated with mutations in known high-penetrance genes, indicating the involvement of multiple low-penetrance risk alleles. Studies that have attempted to identify these genes have met with limited success. The National Cancer Institute Breast and Prostate Cancer Cohort Consortium--a pooled analysis of multiple large cohort studies with a total of more than 5,000 cases of breast cancer and 8,000 cases of prostate cancer--was therefore initiated. The goal of this consortium is to characterize variations in approximately 50 genes that mediate two pathways that are associated with these cancers--the steroid-hormone metabolism pathway and the insulin-like growth factor signalling pathway--and to associate these variations with cancer risk.
Breast Neoplasms↗
Prospective study of cigarette smoking and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.
Cigarette smoking has been proposed as a risk factor for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), but because of the low incidence of ALS this association has been examined only with case-control methods. The authors prospectively assessed the relation between cigarette smoking and ALS mortality among participants in the Cancer Prevention Study II cohort of the American Cancer Society, a cohort of over 1 million people enrolled in 1982 who completed a lifestyle questionnaire including a detailed smoking history at baseline. Causes of deaths were ascertained through death certificates; ALS was not identified separately until 1989. From January 1, 1989, through 1998, 291 women and 330 men died from ALS. The relative risk of ALS among current smokers compared with never smokers was 1.67 (95% confidence interval: 1.24, 2.24; p = 0.002) in women and 0.69 (95% confidence interval: 0.49, 0.99; p = 0.04) in men. The difference in the relative risk estimates between the sexes was statistically significant (p < 0.0003). This large prospective study provides limited evidence that current cigarette smoking may be associated with increased death rates from ALS in women but not in men.
Adult↗
Tobacco and cancer: recent epidemiological evidence.
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Global Health↗
Use of permanent hair dyes and bladder-cancer risk.
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Female↗
Annual report to the nation on the status of cancer (1973 through 1998), featuring cancers with recent increasing trends.
BACKGROUND: The American Cancer Society, the National Cancer Institute (NCI), the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, including the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS), collaborate to provide an annual update on cancer occurrence and trends in the United States. This year's report contains a special feature that focuses on cancers with recent increasing trends. METHODS: From 1992 through 1998, age-adjusted rates and annual percent changes are calculated for cancer incidence and underlying cause of death with the use of NCI incidence and NCHS mortality data. Joinpoint analysis, a model of joined line segments, is used to examine long-term trends for the four most common cancers and for those cancers with recent increasing trends in incidence or mortality. Statistically significant findings are based on a P value of.05 by use of a two-sided test. State-specific incidence and death rates for 1994 through 1998 are reported for major cancers. RESULTS: From 1992 through 1998, total cancer death rates declined in males and females, while cancer incidence rates declined only in males. Incidence rates in females increased slightly, largely because of breast cancer increases that occurred in some older age groups, possibly as a result of increased early detection. Female lung cancer mortality, a major cause of death in women, continued to increase but more slowly than in earlier years. In addition, the incidence or mortality rate increased in 10 other sites, accounting for about 13% of total cancer incidence and mortality in the United States. CONCLUSIONS: Overall cancer incidence and death rates continued to decline in the United States. Future progress will require sustained improvements in cancer prevention, screening, and treatment.
Black or African American↗
Vitamin supplement use and fatal non-Hodgkin's lymphoma among US men and women.
The authors evaluated the association between use of individual supplements of vitamins A, C, and E only and multivitamins and fatal non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in a large prospective mortality study of US men and women. During 14 years of follow-up (1982-1996), 1,571 non-Hodgkin's lymphoma deaths among 508,351 men and 1,398 non-Hodgkin's lymphoma deaths among 676,306 women were documented. Long-term regular use of individual supplements of vitamins A, C, and E only and multivitamins was unrelated to fatal non-Hodgkin's lymphoma among either men or women. The multivariate relative risks for men who used supplements for 10 or more years were 1.03 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.54, 2.00) for vitamin A supplements, 1.04 (95% CI: 0.78, 1.39) for vitamin C supplements, 1.06 (95% CI: 0.74, 1.51) for vitamin E supplements, and 1.14 (95% CI: 0.92, 1.40) for multivitamins. The multivariate relative risks for women who used supplements for 10 or more years were 1.40 (95% CI: 0.77, 2.54) for vitamin A supplements, 1.19 (95% CI: 0.89, 1.60) for vitamin C supplements, 1.27 (95% CI: 0.87, 1.84) for vitamin E supplements, and 1.21 (95% CI: 0.98, 1.50) for multivitamins. All associations became weaker when vitamin supplements were mutually adjusted. These findings do not support an important relation between long-term regular use of individual supplements of vitamins A, C, and E only and multivitamins and fatal non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.
Age Distribution↗
Estrogen replacement therapy and ovarian cancer mortality in a large prospective study of US women.
CONTEXT: Postmenopausal estrogen use is associated with increased risk of endometrial and breast cancer, 2 hormone-related cancers. The effect of postmenopausal estrogen use on ovarian cancer is not established. OBJECTIVES: To examine the association between postmenopausal estrogen use and ovarian cancer mortality and to determine whether the association differs according to duration and recency of use. DESIGN AND SETTING: The American Cancer Society's Cancer Prevention Study II, a prospective US cohort study with mortality follow-up from 1982 to 1996. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 211 581 postmenopausal women who completed a baseline questionnaire in 1982 and had no history of cancer, hysterectomy, or ovarian surgery at enrollment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Ovarian cancer mortality, compared among never users, users at baseline, and former users as well as by total years of use of estrogen replacement therapy (ERT). RESULTS: A total of 944 ovarian cancer deaths were recorded in 14 years of follow-up. Women who were using ERT at baseline had higher death rates from ovarian cancer than never users (rate ratio [RR], 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16-1.96). Risk was slightly but not significantly increased among former estrogen users (RR, 1.16; 95% CI, 0.99-1.37). Duration of use was associated with increased risk in both baseline and former users. Baseline users with 10 or more years of use had an RR of 2.20 (95% CI, 1.53-3.17), while former users with 10 or more years of use had an RR of 1.59 (95% CI, 1.13-2.25). Annual age-adjusted ovarian cancer death rates per 100 000 women were 64.4 for baseline users with 10 or more years of use, 38.3 for former users with 10 or more years of use, and 26.4 for never users. Among former users with 10 or more years of use, risk decreased with time since last use reported at study entry (RR for last use <15 years ago, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.29-3.25; RR for last use >/=15 years ago, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.79-2.17). CONCLUSIONS: In this population, postmenopausal estrogen use for 10 or more years was associated with increased risk of ovarian cancer mortality that persisted up to 29 years after cessation of use.
Aged↗
Effect of body mass on the association between estrogen replacement therapy and mortality among elderly US women.
In observational studies, estrogen replacement therapy is associated with decreased cardiovascular disease rates and increased breast cancer rates. Recent evidence suggests that the impact of estrogen use on disease outcomes may vary by body mass. In a prospective study of 290,827 postmenopausal US women with no history of cancer or cardiovascular disease at enrollment in 1982, the authors examined the association between postmenopausal estrogen use and all-cause, coronary heart disease, stroke, all-cancer, and breast cancer death rates and whether these associations differed by body mass. After 12 years of follow-up, results from Cox proportional hazards models showed that all-cause death rates were lower among baseline estrogen users than never users (rate ratio (RR) = 0.82, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.78, 0.87). The lowest relative risk was found for coronary heart disease (RR = 0.66, 95% CI: 0.58, 0.77). The inverse association between estrogen use and coronary heart disease mortality was strongest for thin women (body mass index <22 kg/m2) (RR = 0.49, p for interaction = 0.02). Breast cancer mortality did not increase with estrogen use overall, and no increased risk was observed for thin or heavy women. In this population, the reduction in coronary heart disease mortality among estrogen users was greatest for thinner women. Additional studies are needed to confirm or refute these results.
Adult↗
Sun exposure and sun-protection behaviors and attitudes among U.S. youth, 11 to 18 years of age.
BACKGROUND: Adolescence is a high-risk period for the development of melanoma and nonmelanocytic skin cancers later in life. This study examines the prevalence and correlates of sun-protection practices among U.S. youth. METHODS: During July-October, 1998, a national, population-based telephone survey was conducted (N = 1,192 paired interviews of youth and their parents). Weighted prevalence and adjusted prevalence odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated. Multiple logistic regression analyses examined associations between sociodemographics, attitudes, and other modifiable correlates to specific behaviors. RESULTS: Routinely practiced sun-protection behaviors among youth on sunny days were wearing sunglasses (32%) or long pants (21%), staying in the shade (22%), and applying sunscreen (31%). Fifty-eight percent used a sunscreen with SPF > or =15 when at the beach or pool. Age, sex, and sun sensitivity were associated with substantial variation in some sun-protection behaviors. Factors associated with specific sun-protection behaviors included a lower appeal to tanning, a higher perceived benefit of sun protection, and information from family and friends about sun protection. CONCLUSION: Effective sun protection is practiced by less than one-third of U.S. youth. This baseline survey will help to monitor progress in skin cancer prevention in this critical age group in the future.
Adolescent↗
Tubal sterilization and risk of breast cancer mortality in US women.
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the hypothesis that tubal sterilization is associated with a reduced risk of breast cancer. METHODS: We examined this hypothesis in a large prospective study of US adults. After 14 years of mortality follow-up, 3837 deaths from breast cancer were observed in a cohort of 619,199 women who were cancer-free at study entry in 1982. RESULTS: Cox proportional hazards models (adjusted for multiple breast cancer risk factors) showed a significant inverse association between tubal sterilization and breast cancer mortality (adjusted rate ratio (RR) = 0.82, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.70-0.96). Women who were sterilized before age 35 had a lower risk (adjusted RR = 0.69, 95% CI 0.53-0.88) than women who were sterilized at 35 years of age or older (adjusted RR = 0.92, 95% CI 0.75-1.13). Also, sterilizations performed before 1975 resulted in a lower risk (RR = 0.75, 95% CI 0.62-0.91) than those performed during or after 1975 (RR = 0.98, 95% CI 0.74-1.29), possibly reflecting the likelihood of greater tissue damage with earlier procedures. CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that tubal sterilization may lower subsequent risk of breast cancer, especially among women who are sterilized at a relatively young age. Additional studies are needed to confirm or refute these findings.
Adult↗
Multivitamin use and colon cancer mortality in the Cancer Prevention Study II cohort (United States).
OBJECTIVE: Multivitamins contain several nutrients, including folic acid, which are hypothesized to reduce colon cancer risk. Previous epidemiologic studies have suggested that effects of multivitamins containing substantial amounts of folic acid (introduced in 1973) may not be evident until 15 or more years since first use. METHODS: We examined the association between daily multivitamin use and colon cancer mortality among 806,397 US men and women in the Cancer Prevention Study II cohort who completed a questionnaire at enrollment in 1982 and were followed for mortality through 1998. RESULTS: After multivariate adjustment, multivitamin use at enrollment showed little association with colon cancer mortality. After 15 years since first use of a multivitamin potentially containing folic acid, we observed slightly decreased risk of colon cancer mortality (rate ratio (RR) = 0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.80-0.99). Consistent with previous reports, this association was stronger among participants consuming two or more alcoholic drinks per day (RR = 0.71, 95% CI 0.56-0.91). CONCLUSION: Our results are consistent with a modest reduction in colon cancer mortality associated with use of folic acid-containing multivitamins among moderate to heavy alcohol users.
Adult↗
Alcohol consumption increases the risk of fatal breast cancer (United States).
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the hypothesis that alcohol consumption increases the risk of breast cancer mortality. METHODS: We examined breast cancer mortality in relation to self-reported alcohol consumption in women from the American Cancer Society Cancer Prevention Study (CPS)-II. After 14 years of follow-up, 1,442 eligible breast cancer deaths were observed among 242,010 women. Cox proportional hazards models were constructed for total alcohol consumption and for beer, wine, and liquor separately. RESULTS: Total alcohol consumption was associated with increased risk of fatal breast cancer among post- but not pre- or perimenopausal women. Even less than one drink/day was associated with up to a 30% increase in breast cancer mortality among postmenopausal women compared to non-drinkers (RR = 1.3, 95% CI: 1.1-1.6 for women drinking 0.26-<1 drink/day). When examined separately, consumption of beer, wine, and liquor each increased the risk of breast cancer among postmenopausal women. We found no evidence that alcohol consumption was more deleterious among women at high risk for breast cancer compared to average-risk women. CONCLUSION: This study adds to the evidence that postmenopausal women can reduce their risk of breast cancer by avoiding or minimizing their use of alcohol.
Adult↗
Health impact of "reduced yield" cigarettes: a critical assessment of the epidemiological evidence.
Cigarettes with lower machine measured "tar" and nicotine yields have been marketed as "safer" than high tar products over the last four decades, but there is conflicting evidence about the impact of these products on the disease burden caused by smoking. This paper critically examines the epidemiological evidence relevant to the health consequences of "reduced yield" cigarettes. Some epidemiological studies have found attenuated risk of lung cancer but not other diseases, among people who smoke "reduced yield" cigarettes compared to smokers of unfiltered, high yield products. These studies probably overestimate the magnitude of any association with lung cancer by over adjusting for the number of cigarettes smoked per day (one aspect of compensatory smoking), and by not fully considering other differences between smokers of "high yield" and "low yield" cigarettes. Selected cohort studies in the USA and UK show that lung cancer risk continued to increase among older smokers from the 1950s to the 1980s, despite the widespread adoption of lower yield cigarettes. The change to filter tip products did not prevent a progressive increase in lung cancer risk among male smokers who began smoking during and after the second world war compared to the first world war era smokers. National trends in vital statistics data show declining lung cancer death rates in young adults, especially males, in many countries, but the extent to which this is attributable to "reduced yield" cigarettes remains unclear. No studies have adequately assessed whether health claims used to market "reduced yield" cigarettes delay cessation among smokers who might otherwise quit, or increase initiation among non-smokers. There is no convincing evidence that past changes in cigarette design have resulted in an important health benefit to either smokers or the whole population. Tobacco control policies should not allow changes in cigarette design to subvert or distract from interventions proven to reduce the prevalence, intensity, and duration of smoking.
Case-Control Studies↗
Vitamin C and vitamin E supplement use and colorectal cancer mortality in a large American Cancer Society cohort.
Some recent epidemiological studies have suggested that use of vitamin C or vitamin E supplements, both of which are important antioxidants, may substantially reduce the risk of colon or colorectal cancer. We examined the association between colorectal cancer mortality and use of individual vitamin C and E supplements in the American Cancer Society's Cancer Prevention Study II cohort. We used proportional hazards modeling to estimate rate ratios among 711,891 men and women in the United States who completed a self-administered questionnaire at study enrollment in 1982, had no history of cancer, and were followed for mortality through 1996. During the 14 years of follow-up, 4404 deaths from colorectal cancer occurred. After adjustment for multiple colorectal cancer risk factors, regular use of vitamin C or E supplements, even long-term use, was not associated with colorectal cancer mortality. The combined-sex rate ratios were 0.89 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.73-1.09] for 10 or more years of vitamin C use and 1.08 (95% CI, 0.85-1.38) for 10 or more years of vitamin E use. In subgroup analyses, use of vitamin C supplements for 10 or more years was associated with decreased risk of colorectal cancer mortality before age 65 years (rate ratio = 0.48; 95% CI, 0.28-0.81) and decreased risk of rectal cancer mortality at any age (rate ratio = 0.40; 95% CI, 0.20-0.80). Our results do not support a substantial effect of vitamin C or E supplement use on overall colorectal cancer mortality.
Adult↗