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M H Criqui

Publications and source records attributed to M H Criqui.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Psychosocial and behavioral predictors of longevity. The aging and death of the "termites".

Impulsive, undercontrolled personalities and major family stresses are known predictors of impaired adjustment, but long-term health effects are unclear. In an archival prospective cohort design, we followed up on L. M. Terman's (Terman & Oden, 1947) sample of gifted children by collecting and coding death certificates for the half of the sample that is now dead. Statistical survival analyses were used to predict longevity and cause of death as a function of parental divorce during childhood, unstable marriage patterns in adulthood, childhood personality, adult adjustment, and possible mediating health behaviors. Psychosocial factors emerged as important risks for premature mortality.

Adolescent↗

Childhood conscientiousness and longevity: health behaviors and cause of death.

Previous research showed that conscientiousness (social dependability) in childhood predicted longevity in an archival prospective cohort study of bright children first studied by Terman in the 1920s (H. S. Friedman et al., 1993). Possible behavioral mechanisms for this robust association are now examined by gathering cause of death information and by considering the possible mediating influences of drinking alcohol, smoking, and overeating. Survival analyses (N = 1,215) suggest that the protective effect of conscientiousness is not primarily due to accident avoidance and cannot be mostly explained by abstinence from unhealthy substance intake. Conscientiousness may have more wide-ranging effects on health-relevant activities.

Adolescent↗

An archival prospective study of mental health and longevity.

The relationship between mental health status and longevity was examined in an archival prospective cohort study (N = 1,103) derived from work begun by Lewis Terman in the 1920s. Degree of psychological maladjustment, cumulatively rated by Terman and his colleagues as of 1950, was found to be related to higher risk of all-cause mortality over a 4-decade follow-up period. The differences among causes of death were nonsignificant, but there was some indication that mental health problems were more strongly related to deaths from injury and cardiovascular disease. The overall relationship was significant for men but weaker for women. The effect was not substantially mediated by alcohol consumption, obesity, or cigarette smoking.

Adolescent↗

Sociodemographic and psychosocial factors in childhood as predictors of adult mortality.

OBJECTIVES: Childhood sociodemographic, psychosocial, and environmental factors are often assumed to affect adult health and longevity. These relationships were prospectively tested by using the 7-decade Terman Life Cycle Study of Children With High Ability (n = 1285). METHODS: Parental socioeconomic status, childhood health, objective childhood stressors (e.g., death or divorce of parents), and childhood personality were considered as potential predictors in hazard regression analyses of longevity through 1991. RESULTS: Parental divorce during childhood predicted decreased longevity, with sex controlled. Other potential social predictors failed to show significant associations with longevity. Three dimensions of childhood personality--conscientiousness, lack of cheerfulness, and permanency of mood (males only)--predicted increased longevity. The effects of parental divorce and childhood personality were largely independent and did not account for any of the gender difference in mortality. CONCLUSIONS: A small number of childhood factors significantly predicted mortality across the life span in this sample. Further research should focus on how these psychosocial factors influence longevity.

Aged↗

Screening for peripheral arterial disease: the sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value of noninvasive tests in a defined population.

Large vessel peripheral arterial disease (LV-PAD) is a common condition that causes significant morbidity and disability. The authors evaluated the individual components of a comprehensive noninvasive vascular examination to identify the most sensitive and specific measurements for diagnosing LV-PAD. This cohort, initially screened between 1979 and 1981 in Rancho Bernardo, California, included 421 normal subjects and 63 subjects with LV-PAD. Segmental blood pressure ratios and flow velocities by Doppler ultrasound were used to define cases of LV-PAD. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of each individual component of the diagnostic algorithm were determined. Overall, measurements of posterior tibial flow showed the highest sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and overall accuracy. In addition, an absent or non-recordable posterior tibial peak forward flow, occurring in 96% of all limbs with isolated posterior tibial disease, or an ankle ratio < or = 0.8 considered in parallel yielded a test with sensitivity of 89%, specificity of 99%, positive predictive value of 90%, negative predictive value of 99%, and overall accuracy of 98%. These results indicate that the vast majority of LV-PAD cases can be detected with a single measurement using a handheld Doppler flowmeter employed at the ankle.

Adult↗

Is breast-feeding in infancy associated with adult longevity?

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of the study was to determine whether breast-feeding is associated with increased longevity or cause-specific survival. METHODS: Teachers throughout California identified intellectually gifted children as part of a prospective study begun in the 1920s by Lewis Terman. Information on breast-feeding was available on 1170 subjects, who have been followed for more than 65 years. RESULTS: Survival analysis (Cox proportional hazards model) indicated that breast-feeding was associated with increased longevity, even after adjustment for age at baseline, birthweight, infant health, and childhood socioeconomic status, but only among men, and the association was not significant (P = .15). Neither cardiovascular disease nor cancer survival was significantly associated with duration of breast-feeding for either sex. Survival from deaths due to injuries was positively associated with breast-feeding after adjustment (P = .03) and demonstrated a clear gradient with duration, but only among men. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, the present study does not provide strong evidence that breast-feeding is associated with adult longevity. The reduced risk of death from injury may reflect chance, in that the association was significant only for men, or it may reflect psychosocial correlates of breast-feeding practices.

Aged↗

Plasma triglyceride level and mortality from coronary heart disease.

BACKGROUND: Whether the plasma triglyceride level is a risk factor for coronary heart disease has been controversial, and evaluation of the triglyceride level as a risk factor is fraught with methodologic difficulties. METHODS: We studied the association between plasma triglyceride levels and the 12-year incidence of death from coronary heart disease in 10 North American populations participating in the Lipid Research Clinics Follow-up Study, while adjusting for the potential confounding effects of other risk factors for cardiovascular disease, including the level of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol. All analyses were sex-specific, and separate analyses were performed in high and low strata of HDL cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, fasting plasma glucose, and age. RESULTS: The rates of coronary death in both men and women increased with the triglyceride level. In Cox proportional-hazards models adjusted for age, in which the natural log of the triglyceride levels was used to give a normal distribution, the relative risk per natural-log unit of triglyceride (e.g., a triglyceride level of 150 mg per deciliter vs. a level of 55 mg per deciliter) was 1.54 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.19 to 1.98; P < 0.001) in men and 1.88 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.19 to 2.98; P < 0.007) in women. After an adjustment for potential covariates, however, these relative risks were not statistically significant. Analyses based on lipoprotein cholesterol levels revealed a positive association between the triglyceride level and coronary mortality in the lower stratum of both HDL and LDL cholesterol, but not in the higher stratum. Conversely, the HDL cholesterol level was unrelated to coronary mortality in the lower stratum of LDL cholesterol, but was strongly inversely associated with coronary death in the higher stratum of LDL cholesterol. The relative risk of coronary death associated with triglyceride level was higher at younger ages. The associations between the triglyceride level and coronary mortality in the lower HDL cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and age strata were small and were further reduced by an adjustment for the fasting plasma glucose level. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, the plasma triglyceride level showed no independent association with coronary mortality. However, in subgroups of subjects with lower HDL and LDL cholesterol levels and in younger subjects, defined a priori, an association between the triglyceride level and coronary mortality was observed, although this association was small and was not statistically significant after an adjustment for the plasma glucose level.

Adult↗

Does childhood personality predict longevity?

Key models relating personality and health predict that personality in childhood is indicative of later health and longevity. Longevity predictions are tested using data derived from the 7-decade longitudinal study initiated by L. M. Terman 1921 (L. M. Terman & M. H. Oden, 1947). Variables representing major dimensions of personality are used in statistical survival analyses of longevity in 1,178 males and females. Conscientiousness in childhood was clearly related to survival in middle to old age. This finding (a) establishes that childhood personality is related to survival decades into the future, (b) confirms the validity of the conscientiousness dimension in conceptualizing personality, and (c) points to likely and unlikely pathways linking personality to health. Contrary to expectation, cheerfulness (optimism and sense of humor) was inversely related to longevity, suggesting a possible need for reconceptualization of its health relevance.

Adaptation, Psychological↗

Blood pressure change and survival after age 75.

Higher diastolic pressure predicted better survival in men 75 years or older in two prior analyses in the Rancho Bernardo population. Diastolic change was implicated as a possible explanation. We studied this by assessing survival according to blood pressure change in 795 men and women aged 75 years and older at the time of a second measurement taken an average of 11 years after the first, who were then followed for 5 years. Sex-specific analyses compared participants with a diastolic decrease of 5 mm Hg or greater and participants with a systolic decrease of 10 mm Hg or greater with those whose blood pressure levels did not change or increased. In men, after adjustment for baseline pressure, a decrease in diastolic pressure of 5 mm Hg or greater was associated with higher all-cause mortality (relative risk, 2.33; 95% confidence interval, 1.39 to 3.91) and cardiovascular mortality (3.13, 1.47 to 6.66). The mortality risk was strongest in men who took antihypertensive medication and had a fall in diastolic pressure (12.33, 2.73 to 55.72) compared with treated men whose pressures did not decrease. Among men with isolated systolic hypertension, those treated whose diastolic pressure remained stable had the best survival. A systolic fall in men and a decrease in either diastolic or systolic in women was not associated with poorer survival after adjustment for baseline pressure. We conclude that a fall in diastolic pressure of 5 mm Hg was associated with poor survival in men after age 75. This risk was strongest in men who took antihypertensive medication.

Age Factors↗

Mortality over a period of 10 years in patients with peripheral arterial disease.

BACKGROUND: Previous investigators have observed a doubling of the mortality rate among patients with intermittent claudication, and we have reported a fourfold increase in the overall mortality rate among subjects with large-vessel peripheral arterial disease, as diagnosed by noninvasive testing. In this study, we investigated the association of large-vessel peripheral arterial disease with rates of mortality from all cardiovascular diseases and from coronary heart disease. METHODS: We examined 565 men and women (average age, 66 years) for the presence of large-vessel peripheral arterial disease by means of two noninvasive techniques--measurement of segmental blood pressure and determination of flow velocity by Doppler ultrasound. We identified 67 subjects with the disease (11.9 percent), whom we followed prospectively for 10 years. RESULTS: Twenty-one of the 34 men (61.8 percent) and 11 of the 33 women (33.3 percent) with large-vessel peripheral arterial disease died during follow-up, as compared with 31 of the 183 men (16.9 percent) and 26 of the 225 women (11.6 percent) without evidence of peripheral arterial disease. After multivariate adjustment for age, sex, and other risk factors for cardiovascular disease, the relative risk of dying among subjects with large-vessel peripheral arterial disease as compared with those with no evidence of such disease was 3.1 (95 percent confidence interval, 1.9 to 4.9) for deaths from all causes, 5.9 (95 percent confidence interval, 3.0 to 11.4) for all deaths from cardiovascular disease, and 6.6 (95 percent confidence interval, 2.9 to 14.9) for deaths from coronary heart disease. The relative risk of death from causes other than cardiovascular disease was not significantly increased among the subjects with large-vessel peripheral arterial disease. After the exclusion of subjects who had a history of cardiovascular disease at base line, the relative risks among those with large-vessel peripheral arterial disease remained significantly elevated. Additional analyses revealed a 15-fold increase in rates of mortality due to cardiovascular disease and coronary heart disease among subjects with large-vessel peripheral arterial disease that was both severe and symptomatic. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with large-vessel peripheral arterial disease have a high risk of death from cardiovascular causes.

Adult↗

The logistic modeling of sensitivity, specificity, and predictive value of a diagnostic test.

A method is described for modeling the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of a diagnostic test. To model sensitivity and specificity, the dependent variable (Y) is defined to be the dichotomous results of the screening test, and the presence or absence of disease, as defined by the "gold standard", is included as a binary explanatory variable (X1), along with variables used to define the subgroups of interest. The sensitivity of the screening test may then be estimated using logistic regression procedures. Modeled estimates of the specificity and predictive values of the screening test may be similarly derived. Using data from a population-based study of peripheral arterial disease, the authors demonstrated empirically that this method may be useful for obtaining smoothed estimates of sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values. As an extension of this method, an approach to the modeling of the relative sensitivity of two screening tests is described, using data from a study of screening procedures for colorectal disease as an example.

Arterial Occlusive Diseases↗

Lipoproteins and blood pressure as biological pathways for effect of moderate alcohol consumption on coronary heart disease.

BACKGROUND: Several epidemiological studies have shown light-to-moderate alcohol consumption to have a net protective effect on the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD). METHODS AND RESULTS: Major components of this effect, both positive and negative, may be explored using models that include both alcohol and variables expected to mediate the observed alcohol effect. Such modeling in a cohort of men of Japanese descent followed in the Honolulu Heart Program indicates that about half of the observed protection against CHD afforded by moderate alcohol consumption is mediated by an increase in high density lipoprotein cholesterol. An additional 18% of this protection is attributable to a decrease in low density lipoprotein cholesterol, but it is counterbalanced by a 17% increase in risk due to increased systolic blood pressure. The explanation for the residual 50% benefit attributable to alcohol is unknown but may include interference with thrombosis. The results in this population replicate those in the Lipid Research Clinics cohort studied earlier with the same analytic technique. CONCLUSIONS: The consistency of these findings across populations, along with the demonstration of reasonable biological pathways for this effect of alcohol, provides strong support for the hypothesis that light-to-moderate alcohol intake is protective against heart disease in men.

Alcohol Drinking↗