Search PubMed⌕ Search

Biomedical subjects

M Ferrario

Publications and source records attributed to M Ferrario.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Time trends of major coronary risk factors in a northern Italian population (1986-1994). How remarkable are socioeconomic differences in an industrialized low CHD incidence country?

BACKGROUND: The goals are to estimate time trends (1986-1994) of major coronary risk factors in an industrialized low CHD incidence population and to assess education class (EC) differences in risk factor prevalence and in time trends. METHODS: Three population surveys were conducted in 1986-1987, 1989-1990 and 1993- 1994 on independent and two-stage age- and gender-stratified random samples (1906 men and 1941 women) of 35-64 year old residents of Brianza, an affluent region of northern Italy. The protocol for data collection, clinical measurements and biochemical determinations adhered to the WHO MONICA manual and underwent repeated quality control assessments. EC were identified according to gender- and 5-year birth-cohort specific tertiles. RESULTS: In the initial, middle and final surveys 1258, 1259 and 1330 subjects were enrolled, corresponding to participation rates of 70.1%, 70.3% and 74.3%, respectively. Over the 8-year period, in men systolic blood pressure and smoking habits declined, body mass index and serum total cholesterol increased. In women systolic blood pressure showed a constant reduction, total cholesterol and BMI increased and the prevalence of smokers remained stable. Overall inverse associations with EC were found for body mass index, for prevalence of cigarette smokers in men and for systolic blood pressure in women. Decreases in blood pressure were more evident in the lowest EC. Cigarette smoking was on the decline in the higher EC in men. BMI and total cholesterol increased in all EC with the notable exception of the 'low' EC in women. CONCLUSIONS: Favourable changes of the risk factor profile in the low socio-economic classes may have contributed to reduce CHD rates in this population. Specific policies oriented to lowest socio-economic classes are needed to continue to combat the smoking epidemic.

Adult↗

Surveillance of ischaemic heart disease: results from the Italian MONICA populations.

BACKGROUND: The major objectives are to report on coronary event mortality, incidence and attack rates and changes over time observed in the Italian MONICA populations and to assess if trends are consistent when different disease definitions are considered. An analysis of diagnostic agreement between clinical and MONICA categories is presented in the context of developing a model for estimating disease incidence in a population, based on currently available data. METHODS: Data were provided by the three Italian MONICA (MONItoring trends and determinants of CArdiovascular diseases) registers. The areas of Brianza and Friuli, both located in northern Italy, completed the 10-year period of registration. Data from the MONICA Latina area, located close to Rome, were limited to the first 3 years of registration. These data are used for assessing geographical differences in rates in the mid- 1980s and estimating the diagnostic agreement between International Classification of Diseases (ICD) codes and MONICA categories. Two diagnostic aggregates have been used: the standard MONICA diagnostic definition for myocardial infarction (MI), which includes non-fatal definite myocardial infarction and fatal coronary events, and the coronary event definition which includes, in addition, non-fatal possible myocardial infarctions. RESULTS: From the mid-1980s to the mid-1990s, a considerable reduction in all-cause, cardiovascular and coronary mortality rates occurred in the monitored populations. Data from the MONICA registers confirm the accuracy of official reports of death rates and changes in Italy. Comparisons of time differences in attack and incidence rates of myocardial infarction and all coronary events indicate that the impact of the more severe manifestations of coronary heart diseases (fatal coronary event and acute MI) reduced during the period of observation, but when less severe events (minor myocardial infarction and angina pectoris) are considered, the overall impact of the disease on the population remained stable. CONCLUSION: Epidemiological surveillance of coronary syndromes is relevant over this time period of impressive changes in prevention and treatment. Continuing restrictions in available resources necessitate the development of simplified registration systems.

Adult↗

Trends in coronary risk factors in the WHO MONICA project.

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) MONICA Project was established to determine how trends in event rates for coronary heart disease (CHD) and, optionally, stroke were related to trends in classic coronary risk factors. Risk factors were therefore monitored over ten years across 38 populations from 21 countries in four continents (overall period covered: 1979-1996). METHODS: A standard protocol was applied across participating centres, in at least two, and usually three, independent surveys conducted on random samples of the study populations, well separated within the 10-year study period. RESULTS: Smoking rates decreased in most male populations (35-64 years) but in females the majority showed increases. Systolic blood pressure showed decreasing trends in the majority of centres in both sexes. Mean levels of cholesterol generally showed downward trends, which, although the changes were small, had large effects on risk. There was a trend of increasing body mass index (BMI) with half the female populations and two-thirds of the male populations showing a significant increase. CONCLUSIONS: It is feasible to monitor the classic CHD risk factors in diverse populations through repeated surveys over a decade. In general, the risk factor trends are downwards in most populations but in particular, an increase in smoking in women in many populations and increasing BMI, especially in men, are worrying findings with significant public health implications.

Adult↗

Socio-occupational differences in acute myocardial infarction case-fatality and coronary care in a northern Italian population.

AIMS: To appraise 28-day case-fatality of myocardial infarction (MI) among socio-occupational classes; to assess the consistency of the results for different degrees of MI severity; to explore if such differences are related to differences in management and treatment of the acute attack. METHODS: All coronary events (n = 1077), registered in 1993-1994 among the 35-64 year old male residents in MONICA Area Brianza were investigated and classified into diagnostic categories according to MONICA criteria. For all cases standardized information on acute coronary care and interventions before and during hospitalization was collected. Classification of social classes was derived from the Erikson-Goldthorpe-Portocarero social class scheme, based on information on occupational characteristics widely available in European countries. RESULTS: An increasing rate of case-fatality for decreasing levels of socio-occupational class was found. The social gradient resulted mainly from the higher incidence of out-of-hospital cardiac arrests. Treatment before and during the acute attack cannot explain the observed differences. CONCLUSION: Combining these results with those obtained in other MONICA centres, it appears that further decreases in coronary mortality might be achieved through specific programmes addressed in particular to the reduction of out-of-hospital case-fatality in lower social classes.

Adult↗

[Identification of individuals with high coronary risk in the Italian population: indications of the Epidemiologic Cardiovascular Observatory].

BACKGROUND: The absolute global coronary risk has recently been introduced as an indicator of the incidence predicted by the main risk factors. It offers numerous options for the treatment of individuals at high risk. The identification of the absolute global coronary risk is produced through the application of functions obtained by longitudinal studies; their adequacy depends on the characteristics of the population from which they were estimated. The aim of this work was to evaluate the impact of the application of the absolute global coronary risk evaluation using the chart of risk proposed to the Italian physicians and to compare it with the results obtained from the application of other risk functions. METHODS: The database of the Osservatorio Epidemiologico Cardiovascolare (OEC), consisting of men and women aged 35-74 years, has been considered as being representative of the Italian population. The individual risk has been computed using the functions and coefficients from the Framingham study, the PROCAM study and the Seven Countries Study-Italy. The prevalence of high risk factors has been estimated on the basis of the recommendations on coronary prevention of the Task Force of the European Societies. RESULTS: The prevalence of high risk factors estimated by the Framingham function is 23.7% among men and 3.8% among women aged 35-74 years. In men aged 35-64 years, this estimated prevalence decreases from 14.2 to 8.7% when the Framingham function is adjusted using the mean value of the risk factors of the OEC, to 5.2% when the PROCAM function is applied, and to 1.1% when the function of the Seven Countries Study-Italy is employed. CONCLUSIONS: The application of the risk function suggested to the Italian physicians implies that more than 2,700,000 men and more than 500,000 women aged 35-74 years are potential candidates for treatment with lipid-lowering drugs. The comparison between the use of different functions in the OEC sample produces high numerical differences. The over-evaluation of the individual at high risk implies significant human and social costs. It is therefore essential to determine risk functions and coefficients derived from recent Italian studies including all age groups, both sexes and taking into account the different geographic characteristics of our country.

Adult↗

Estimation of contribution of changes in classic risk factors to trends in coronary-event rates across the WHO MONICA Project populations.

BACKGROUND: From the mid-1980s to mid-1990s, the WHO MONICA Project monitored coronary events and classic risk factors for coronary heart disease (CHD) in 38 populations from 21 countries. We assessed the extent to which changes in these risk factors explain the variation in the trends in coronary-event rates across the populations. METHODS: In men and women aged 35-64 years, non-fatal myocardial infarction and coronary deaths were registered continuously to assess trends in rates of coronary events. We carried out population surveys to estimate trends in risk factors. Trends in event rates were regressed on trends in risk score and in individual risk factors. FINDINGS: Smoking rates decreased in most male populations but trends were mixed in women; mean blood pressures and cholesterol concentrations decreased, bodymass index increased, and overall risk scores and coronary-event rates decreased. The model of trends in 10-year coronary-event rates against risk scores and single risk factors showed a poor fit, but this was improved with a 4-year time lag for coronary events. The explanatory power of the analyses was limited by imprecision of the estimates and homogeneity of trends in the study populations. INTERPRETATION: Changes in the classic risk factors seem to partly explain the variation in population trends in CHD. Residual variance is attributable to difficulties in measurement and analysis, including time lag, and to factors that were not included, such as medical interventions. The results support prevention policies based on the classic risk factors but suggest potential for prevention beyond these.

Adult↗

Models to assess nitrogen losses in pediatric patients on chronic peritoneal dialysis.

To develop models to estimate nitrogen (N) losses of children on chronic peritoneal dialysis (CPD) from easily measurable indexes and laboratory tests, we measured the N content and all nitrogenous compounds in dialysate (D), urine (U), and feces over 3 days in 19 pediatric patients on CPD. Total measured N losses (TNm) were 5.56+/-2.26 g/day (69.9+/-11.1% in dialysate, 16.3+/-10.6% in urine, and 13.6+/-4.6% in feces). Correlation coefficients between measured dialysate and urinary N losses and the single nitrogenous compounds indicated values of over 0.9 only for urea in dialysate and urine; fecal N losses correlated well with body surface area (BSA). Taking into account these correlations, we developed a univariate additive model and three multivariate models to predict total estimated N losses (TNe). The best prediction of TNm was obtained with model 3, which considered not only urea output in dialysate and urine but also dialysate protein loss and BSA: TNe (g/day)=0.03+/-1.138 UN urea+0.99 DN urea+1.18 BSA+0.965 DN protein. A confirmatory analysis performed on a second group of 23 pediatric patients on CPD, using all four models, showed a higher percentage of studies with a relative difference between TNm and TNe less than 10% for model 3 than for the other models. Thus, N losses of pediatric patients on CPD can be estimated from measured urea and protein losses in dialysate and urea loss in urine, together with BSA.

Adolescent↗

How to program rate responsive pacemakers.

Because oxygen uptake (VO2) increases linearly with heart rate during exercise, the oxygen pulse reserve (OPR) method (VO2 reserve divided by heart rate reserve) may provide a valid guide for rate responsive parameter tailoring. Using custom-made software (Pacing Rate Profile Software [PRPS]) it is possible to predict the exercise pacing rate profile with significant accuracy, according to the patient's functional class when ergospirometry apparatus is not available for a cardiopulmonary stress test (CPX). PRPS for Windows is based on the OPR method and some known workload/metabolic cost of exercise relationships during effort. The present study had two aims; first, to evaluate the reliability of PRPS in accurately predicting pacing rate profiles; and second, the suitability of activity and metabolic rate responsive sensors in supplying pacing rates sufficiently near to those predicted using CPX or PRPS. To test the reliability of PRPS we studied 244 patients, NYHA Class I-II, under two different stress test protocols. In one, the bicycle protocol (25 W, 2-minute steps), we tested 137 normal patients (94 men and 43 women, mean age 67 +/- 15 years). Sixty-eight of these were simultaneously CPX tested. PRPS predicted pacing rates were matched against the patients' sinus rhythms or their theoretical CPX measured VO2 heart rates (OPR method). Linear regression analysis was highly significant (r = 0.93 and r = 0.97, respectively). The other, the treadmill protocol, consisted of three different protocols. (1) Speed Incremental Treadmill Stress Test (SITST): 57 patients underwent CPX (33 men and 24 women, mean age 67 +/- 15 years, NYHA Class I-II). All had been pacemaker implanted for SSS and/or advanced atrioventricular block (AVB). PRPS pacing rates were matched against CPX VO2 OPR calculated heart rates (r = 0.93), (linear regression analysis). (2) CAEP: 30 patients underwent CPX (26 men and 4 women, mean age 61 +/- 11 years, NYHA Class I-II). Thirteen of them had been pacemaker implanted for SSS and/or advanced AVB. In all 30 patients the PRPS rates were matched against CPX VO2 calculated rates (r = 0.90). In the 17 normal nonimplanted patients, the PRPS rates were also matched against sinus rhythms, (r = 0.80). (3) Weber: 20 patients underwent CPX (16 men and 4 women, mean age 68 +/- 8 years, NYHA Class I-II). As above, in six normal nonimplanted patients, statistical analysis between PRPS rates and sinus rhythms was performed (r = 0.89). The comparison between PRPS theoretical pacing rates and VO2 predicted rates in all 20 patients was also statistically significant (r = 0.93). Finally, to test the reliability of PRPS also in NYHA Class III-IV patients, we tested 22 implanted patients (15 men and 7 women, mean age 70 +/- 9 years) and compared PRPS predicted rates against VO2 CPX measured rates (r = 0.92). To determine if the wide variety of RR pacers were able to supply pacing rates near to those predicted, whether by means of CPX or PRPS, we studied a total of 89 patients: 49 of these (26 men and 23 women, mean age 66 +/- 12 years) had been implanted with activity sensors; 12 patients (11 men and one woman, mean age 70 +/- 7 years) had been implanted with metabolic sensors, and finally 28 patients (19 men and 9 women, mean age 70 +/- 12 years) had been implanted with dual sensors (activity + QT or minute ventilation). Linear regression analysis showed r = 0.93 for activity sensors, r = 0.94 for metabolic sensors, and r = 0.92 for dual sensor. In conclusion, when rate responsive pacing causes symptoms or functional impairment, physicians must provide a personalized rate response tailoring derived from precise, simple physiological testing. OPR is an easy physiological method for tailoring rate response settings, suitable for activity and metabolic sensors. When ergospirometry apparatus is not available, PRPS can successfully replace CPX testing for tailoring.

Aged↗

[The assessment of the coronary risk in a work setting. The results of the SEMM study and the outlook for prevention in Italy. Surveillance of Employees Municipality of Milan].

BACKGROUND: The goals of the present report are to assess the differences in distribution of traditional coronary risk factors in a work setting, aimed at identifying specific groups at risk and to compare mean values of such risk factors and of an overall risk score of the entire working sample with the results observed in the third WHO-MONICA population survey carried out in northern Italy (Area Brianza). METHODS: In the SEMM study 7872 employees (2601 men and 5271 women) were enrolled between 1992 and 1996. The third MONICA survey in Brianza was carried out on an age- and gender-stratified random sample of 831 men and 884 women in 1993-1994, selected from the 25-64-year-old residents of five municipalities, representative of the study population. In both studies coronary risk factors were measured according to the MONICA protocol, adopting standardized methods. RESULTS: In comparison with the MONICA population sample, the entire working group showed lower mean levels of blood pressure and total cholesterol, higher prevalence of current cigarette smokers and lower mean levels of HDL cholesterol, in both gender groups. Prevalence of overweight subjects was higher among men in the working group, but the opposite pattern was detected in women. The overall risk score, calculated using the coefficients of a proportional hazard survival equation estimated in a large collaborative Italian follow-up study, resulted lower in the working sample, in both gender groups. This result may be attributed to a selection bias known in occupational epidemiology as "healthy worker effect". In contrast to this finding, the prevalence of smokers, in particular among women, was higher in the employed sample, indicating that working stress conditions may play some role. CONCLUSIONS: In order to extend the assessment of cardiovascular risk factors as well as prevention activities in work settings, some advantages are highlighted: the high participation rates, the feasibility to adopt standardized protocols, and easier and cheap procedures for censoring in follow-up studies. Moreover, due to the recently adopted legislation in Italy which increases the number of working categories to be included in periodic clinical examinations, prevention activities in work settings to contrast the epidemic of widespread chronic diseases, like cardiovascular diseases, are encouraged. This will also allow for the investigation of individual variations over time of coronary risk factors.

Adult↗

Pancreas transplantation at Northwestern University.

The collective advances made by many groups have significantly improved the results of pancreas transplantation. We have focused on the development of safe and effective immunotherapy, including a new protocol of rapid withdrawal of corticosteroids, the analysis of surgical technique of pancreas exocrine drainage on outcome and the role of SPK transplantation in patients with significant cardiovascular disease. We have found that multimodal immunotherapy including induction with tacrolimus-based maintenance combined with either MMF or sirolimus, with or without corticosteroids, resulted in excellent patient and graft survival rates with low rates of rejection. In this setting, enteric drainage was preferable to bladder drainage because of a lower rate of complications leading to hospital readmissions. Careful pretransplant screening for cardiovascular disease should be routinely performed for all SPK candidates. If successful coronary revascularization can be achieved, these patients can safely undergo SPK transplantation, with 5-year outcomes similar to those for recipients without coronary disease. Finally, we have observed that pancreas transplantation has an important ameliorating effect on hypertension that is independent of the method of pancreas exocrine drainage.

Adrenal Cortex Hormones↗

Prothrombotic genetic risk factors in young survivors of myocardial infarction.

It has long been thought that an individual thrombotic tendency increases the risk of myocardial infarction, especially in young adults. Several "prothrombotic" genetic factors that may influence the individual thrombotic risk have been identified. To investigate the association between the risk of myocardial infarction at a young age and genetic factors thought to be associated with an increased tendency to thrombosis (the polymorphisms 4G/5G of the PAI-1 gene, PIA1/PIA2 of the platelet glycoprotein IIIa, C3550T of the platelet glycoprotein Ib gene, G10976A of the factor VII gene, C677T of the methylenetetrahydrofolate reductase gene, G1691A of the factor V gene, and G20210A of the prothrombin gene), we performed a case-control study evaluating 200 survivors (185 men, 15 women) of myocardial infarction who had experienced the event before the age of 45 years and 200 healthy subjects with a negative exercise test, individually matched for sex, age, and geographic origin with the cases. The presence of the PIA2 polymorphic allele was the only prothrombotic genetic factor associated with the risk of myocardial infarction at a young age. The odds ratio for carriers of the PIA2 allele compared with those of the PIA1 allele was 1.84 (95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.12 to 3.03). There was a significant interaction between the presence of the PIA2 allele and smoking: with their simultaneous presence, 46% (95% confidence intervals 11% to 81%) of premature myocardial infarctions were attributable to the interaction between the two factors. In conclusion, carrying the PIA2 polymorphic allele of platelet glycoprotein IIIa was the only genetic prothrombotic factor associated with the risk of developing myocardial infarction at a young age. The clinical expression of this genetic predisposition seems to be enhanced by smoking.

Adult↗

Antithrombotic therapy of unstable angina and non-Q-wave myocardial infarction.

Unstable angina and non-Q-wave myocardial infarction still represent an unsolved problem for clinicians, owing to their unpredictable evolution and high incidence of coronary events in the follow-up. Traditional antithrombotic agents, unfractionated heparin and aspirin, have been proved to be highly effective, but show some important limitations. New potent antithrombotic therapy have been studied to improve their efficacy, with encouraging results. Among these drugs, low molecular weight heparins (for subcutaneous administration) and inhibitors of platelet glycoprotein receptor IIb/IIIa (for intravenous, and possibly oral, administration) are the most promising and are now under extensive investigation.

Abciximab↗

Isolation and cloning of multipotential stem cells from the embryonic human CNS and establishment of transplantable human neural stem cell lines by epigenetic stimulation.

Stem cells that can give rise to neurons, astroglia, and oligodendroglia have been found in the developing and adult central nervous system (CNS) of rodents. Yet, their existence within the human brain has not been documented, and the isolation and characterization of multipotent embryonic human neural stem cells have proven difficult to accomplish. We show that the developing human CNS embodies multipotent precursors that differ from their murine counterpart in that they require simultaneous, synergistic stimulation by both epidermal and fibroblast growth factor-2 to exhibit critical stem cell characteristics. Clonal analysis demonstrates that human C NS stem cells are multipotent and differentiate spontaneously into neurons, astrocytes, and oligodendrocytes when growth factors are removed. Subcloning and population analysis show their extensive self-renewal capacity and functional stability, their ability to maintain a steady growth profile, their multipotency, and a constant potential for neuronal differentiation for more than 2 years. The neurons generated by human stem cells over this period of time are electrophysiologically active. These cells are also cryopreservable. Finally, we demonstrate that the neuronal and glial progeny of long-term cultured human CNS stem cells can effectively survive transplantation into the lesioned striatum of adult rats. Tumor formation is not observed, even in immunodeficient hosts. Hence, as a consequence of their inherent biology, human CNS stem cells can establish stable, transplantable cell lines by epigenetic stimulation. These lines represent a renewable source of neurons and glia and may significantly facilitate research on human neurogenesis and the development of clinical neural transplantation.

Animals↗

Adult respiratory distress syndrome due to pulmonary and extrapulmonary causes: CT, clinical, and functional correlations.

PURPOSE: To assess the differences in CT appearance between adult respiratory distress syndrome due to pulmonary disease (ARDSP) and that due to extrapulmonary disease (ARDSEXP) and determine whether the variable appearances of ARDS are due, in part, to the initial pulmonary and systemic causes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Thirty-three patients, 22 with ARDSP and 11 with ARDSEXP, underwent helical CT shortly after intubation. Two readers evaluated images for the type, extent, and distribution of pulmonary opacities; secondary findings; and correlation with survival and physiologic parameters. RESULTS: In both ARDSP and ARDSEXP, approximately 80% of the lung was abnormal. In ARDSP, ground-glass opacification and consolidation were equally prevalent, whereas in ARDSEXP ground-glass opacification was dominant. Ground-glass opacification was evenly distributed, whereas consolidation tended to be dorsal and caudal. ARDSP often caused asymmetric consolidation, whereas ARDSEXP caused symmetric ground-glass opacification. Air bronchograms were almost universal. Pleural effusions were present in one-half of the patients, and Kerley B lines and pneumatoceles were uncommon. Lung consolidation correlated with the ratio of mean partial pressure of arterial oxygen to fraction of inspired oxygen, shunt fraction, and pulmonary arterial pressure. The patients who died tended to have more consolidation and asymmetric disease. CONCLUSION: ARDSP tends to be asymmetric, with a mix of consolidation and ground-glass opacification, whereas ARDSEXP has predominantly symmetric ground-glass opacification. In both groups, pleural effusions and air bronchograms are common, and Kerley B lines and pneumatoceles are uncommon.

Adult↗

Ambulatory blood pressure in air traffic controllers.

Conflicting reports exist as to whether air traffic controllers (ATC) have an increase in blood pressure (BP) and prevalence of hypertension because of the stressful nature of their job. We have addressed the issue in male ATC working at the Linate airport of Milan. A total of 80 ATC participated, and the 24 h blood pressure monitoring was obtained during two working shifts separated by one night of rest. Blood pressure was measured conventionally and by 24 h ambulatory monitoring; data were compared with those of an age matched male sample three times as large, selected from the data of the Studio delle Pressioni Ambulatoriali delle Loro Associazioni (PAMELA), ie, a large sample representative of the population of the nearby town of Monza. Treated hypertensive subjects were excluded from both groups. Conventional diastolic BP and heart rate were similar in ATC and controls, whereas conventional systolic BP was significantly greater in the former than in the latter group. No difference, however, was seen between ATC and controls as far as ambulatory BP and heart rate were concerned; namely, 24 h, day, and night average systolic BP, and diastolic BP and heart rate were similar in the two groups. Thus daily life BP is not increased in ATC. This may result from the fact that, being a highly selected group with suitable training, these subjects adequately cope with the stress inherent to the job.

Adult↗

Changes in estimated coronary risk in the 1980s: data from 38 populations in the WHO MONICA Project. World Health Organization. Monitoring trends and determinants in cardiovascular diseases.

The World Health Organization (WHO) MONICA Project is a 10-year study monitoring trends and determinants of cardiovascular disease in geographically defined populations. Data were collected from over 100,000 randomly selected participants in two risk factor surveys conducted approximately 5 years apart in 38 populations using standardized protocols. The net effects of changes in the risk factor levels were estimated using risk scores derived from longitudinal studies in the Nordic countries. The prevalence of cigarette smoking decreased among men in most populations, but the trends for women varied. The prevalence of hypertension declined in two-thirds of the populations. Changes in the prevalence of raised total cholesterol were small but highly correlated between the genders (r = 0.8). The prevalence of obesity increased in three-quarters of the populations for men and in more than half of the populations for women. In almost half of the populations there were statistically significant declines in the estimated coronary risk for both men and women, although for Beijing the risk score increased significantly for both genders. The net effect of the changes in the risk factor levels in the 1980s in most of the study populations of the WHO MONICA Project is that the rates of coronary disease are predicted to decline in the 1990s.

Adult↗