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Biomedical subjects

M F Lechat

Publications and source records attributed to M F Lechat.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

Simulation of vaccination and resistance in leprosy using an epidemiometric model.

Epidemiometric models are useful in studying disease dynamics in populations. Such a model was developed for leprosy and proved useful, but did not take into account age- and sex-specific incidence rates. This paper presents a new version of the model which makes provisions for age and sex differential rates according to the type of leprosy and which includes more realistic parameters for death rates, population variations, and natural growth rates. This new version of the epidemiometric model was used to stimulate the effects of various vaccines and drug resistance on the incidence of leprosy in a population.

Epidemiologic Methods↗

Validity of the recording of meningococcal disease according to various sources of information.

A study was made in Belgium in order to assess the completeness and specificity of the recording of meningococcal disease by routine sources of information. Ninety-three cases identified in a hospital survey were linked with those recorded in mortality statistics, in the notification of communicable diseases, and by the National Reference Laboratory for meningococci. Statistics based on mortality data appeared to be of low validity. The overall completeness of recording was 44% for the notification of communicable disease, and 40% for the reference laboratory. When these two sources were used for surveillance, the completeness of case-finding increased to 56%. When the analysis was restricted to bacteriologically-confirmed cases, the completeness of recording was 62% for the notification system, 70% for the laboratory, and 84% for both sources. The surveillance of communicable diseases should rely on various sources of information. Laboratory data should be systematically used in order to improve both the completeness of recording and the specificity of case-ascertainment.

Adolescent↗

Mortality in meningococcal disease in Belgium.

A survey of children admitted with meningococcal disease to 53 paediatric units in Belgium between 1975 and 1979 was made in order to assess the case mortality rate (CMR) and to identify risk factors associated with death. A total of 309 cases (226 bacteriologically confirmed and 83 unconfirmed) was recorded. The overall CMR was 6.1 per cent. It was 4.4 for bacteriologically confirmed cases and 10.8 for unconfirmed cases. The CMR was higher for septicaemia without meningitis (22.2 per cent) than for meningitis with or without signs of septicaemia (3.4 per cent). The risk of death was not related to the sex or nationality of the patients. Age was a major determinant of the CMR, independently of the clinical picture. The highest risk of death was in children under one year of age. Poor socio-economic conditions were a significant risk factor. Failure to recognise the severity of the disease by some poorly educated mothers, and the admission of the patient to a hospital lacking adequate facilities for managing severely affected children, were the two significant causes of delay of adequate treatment.

Adolescent↗

Evaluation of information systems for the surveillance of congenital malformations.

Many systems for the recording of congenital malformations in infants have been developed following the thalidomide epidemic of 1958 to 1962. Systems established for monitoring increases in rates of malformations have been of three main types: (1) prospective recording of information about all pregnancies; (2) the recording of malformations observed at birth; (3) the registration of children found to be malformed at birth or at any time after birth. The latter type involves many sources of information. International collaboration in monitoring has led to the establishment of the International Clearinghouse for Birth Defects Monitoring Systems and the EEC Concerted Action Project EUROCAT. The advantages of these two projects are discussed. It is shown that results from population based registers such as are included in EUROCAT can be used to validate the results of systems which carry out monitoring at birth.

Child↗

Longitudinal study of asymptomatic meningococcal carriage in two Belgian populations of schoolchildren.

In Brussels, a 15-month longitudinal survey was conducted in two primary schools, from March 1975 to May 1976, in order to analyse the dynamic of asymptomatic meningococcal carriage, during an epidemic mainly caused by serogroup B, serotype 2 Neisseria meningitidis. In the first school, which is situated in a suburban area with upper-middle socio-economic status of residents, a mean prevalence of carriers of 10 per cent, an acquisition rate of eight per 1000 months, and a mean duration of carriage of 12.4 months were observed among 158 schoolchildren aged six to 11 years old. In the second school, which is situated in a densely populated area with low socio-economic status of residents, a mean prevalence of carriers of 33 per cent, an acquisition rate of 28 per 1000 months, and a mean duration of carriage of 11.7 months were observed among 203 schoolchildren aged three to 14 years old. For both schools, the median duration of carriage was estimated at 9.4 months. The differences of prevalence and incidence of acquisition between the two schools cannot be explained by age, sex or ethnic factors and are probably related to socio familial variables. The theoretical relationship between prevalence, incidence and duration of meningococcal carriage was for the first time demonstrated in this study. The results also suggest that populations of low socio-economic status and living in densely populated areas constitute a target population for meningococcal disease prevention.

Adolescent↗

The 1980 earthquake in southern Italy: rescue of trapped victims and mortality.

A retrospective survey was undertaken on the health effects of the 1980 earthquake in southern Italy. The study population included 3619 people living in 7 villages situated near the epicentre of the disaster. The overall casualty rate (dead and injured) was 19.7%. Nearly all the deaths (192/202) occurred among trapped people who died before they could be rescued. Eighty per cent of all the trapped people were extricated within 2 days, mostly without the use of sophisticated means. The probability of survival decreased sharply, the longer the time before extrication. The crude mortality during the 18 months following the earthquake was 19.0 per thousand among the injured people who received treatment, and 14.1 per thousand among non-injured people. After age standardization, there was no significant difference between these two figures and the expected mortality figures for the Italian population in normal times (14.4 per thousand). These results stress the importance of providing rescue activities in the first 48 hours after the impact. Strengthening the self-reliance of the community in disaster preparedness is suggested as the best way to improve the effectiveness of relief operations. In disaster-prone areas, training and education in methods of rescue should be an integral part of any primary health care programme.

Disasters↗

Meningococcal disease in Belgium. Secondary attack rate among household, day-care nursery and pre-elementary school contacts.

During a recrudescence of meningococcal disease mainly due to serogroup B, 1913 notified cases were investigated in Belgium from 1971 to 1976. From 1971 to 1973, 76 secondary cases were reported out of a total of 1455 cases (5.2 per cent); and from 1974 to 1976, nine secondary cases were reported of a total of 458 cases (2.0 per cent). Seventy per cent of the secondary cases occurred within seven days after the Index case. The 4.7 per cent fatality rate among secondary cases was lower than the 9.8 per cent fatality rate among primary cases. The estimated secondary attack rate was 685 per 100 000 among household contacts, 404 per 100 000 among day-care nursery contacts and 77 per 100 000 among pre-elementary school contacts. These attack rates were significantly higher (P less than 0.001) than the incidence rates in the corresponding age-groups in the general community, indicating the need for prophylaxis in these contacts.

Adolescent↗

Caffeine study.

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Abnormalities, Drug-Induced↗