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M Dougados

Publications and source records attributed to M Dougados.

At least 73 records · Page 4Linked to original sources

EULAR Recommendations 2003: an evidence based approach to the management of knee osteoarthritis: Report of a Task Force of the Standing Committee for International Clinical Studies Including Therapeutic Trials (ESCISIT).

OBJECTIVES: To update the EULAR recommendations for management of knee osteoarthritis (OA) by an evidence based medicine and expert opinion approach. METHODS: The literature search and guidelines were restricted to treatments for knee OA pertaining to clinical and/or radiological OA of any compartment of the knee. Papers for combined treatment of knee and other types of OA were excluded. Medline and Embase were searched using a combination of subject headings and key words. Searches for those treatments previously investigated were conducted for January 1999 to February 2002 and for those treatments not previously investigated for 1966 to February 2002. The level of evidence found for each treatment was documented. Quality scores were determined for each paper, an effect size comparing the treatment with placebo was calculated, where possible, and a toxicity profile was determined for each treatment modality. RESULTS: 497 new publications were identified by the search. Of these, 103 were intervention trials and included in the overall analysis, and 33 treatment modalities were identified. Previously identified publications which were not exclusively knee OA in the initial analysis were rejected. In total, 545 publications were included. Based on the results of the literature search and expert opinion, 10 recommendations for the treatment of knee OA were devised using a five stage Delphi technique. Based on expert opinion, a further set of 10 items was identified by a five stage Delphi technique as important for future research. CONCLUSION: The updated recommendations support some of the previous propositions published in 2000 but also include modified statements and new propositions. Although a large number of treatment options for knee OA exist, the evidence based format of the EULAR Recommendations continues to identify key clinical questions that currently are unanswered.

Adrenal Cortex Hormones↗

Sex differences in hip osteoarthritis: results of a longitudinal study in 508 patients.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate sex differences in the clinical and structural presentation, and natural history of hip OA. METHODS: A multicentre, prospective, longitudinal, five year follow up study of 508 patients (302 women, 206 men, mean age 63 (7) years) with painful hip OA. Data collected were baseline demographics, symptomatic, therapeutic, and structural variables; symptomatic variables and changes in joint space width (JSW) during the first year's follow up; requirement for total hip arthroplasty (THA) between the end of the first and fifth years. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: evaluation of sex differences (a) at baseline, in the main characteristics of hip OA using multivariate logistic regression; (b) during the first year of follow up, in the radiological progression of the disease; (c) during the five years of follow up, in the requirement for THA using Kaplan-Meier curves and the log rank test, and of the parameters related to THA, using a multivariate Cox analysis. RESULTS: At entry, women presented more frequently than men with polyarticular OA (mean (SD) articular score 306 (162) v 235 (127)), and superomedial migration of the femoral head (40% v 19%), and had more severe symptomatic disease (patient's overall assessment 46 (23) v 40 (26)). The change in JSW did not differ between women and men after one year, but a greater proportion of women had rapid structural progression (OR=2.34, 95% CI 1.1 to 5.2). THA was performed more often in women. Multivariate analysis suggested that the decision to perform surgery was related more closely to the symptomatic and structural severity of the disease than to the sex of the patient. CONCLUSION: Hip OA in women is more frequently part of a polyarticular OA, and displays greater symptomatic and structural severity.

Aged↗

Anticitrullinated protein/peptide antibody assays in early rheumatoid arthritis for predicting five year radiographic damage.

OBJECTIVE: To study the value of antibodies to citrullinated proteins/peptides for predicting joint outcomes in patients with recent onset rheumatoid arthritis (RA). METHODS: 191 patients with RA onset within the past year were followed up prospectively for five years. Serum samples obtained from 145 patients at baseline before disease modifying antirheumatic drug treatment were examined using three anticitrullinated protein/peptide antibody assays: antiperinuclear factor (APF) by indirect immunofluorescence (IIF), antikeratin antibodies (AKA) by IIF, and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide (CCP) antibodies by enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Radiographs of the hands and feet taken at baseline and after three and five years were evaluated using Sharp scores modified by van der Heijde. RESULTS: Anti-CCP ELISA was positive in 58.9% of patients. APF/anti-CCP agreement was 77%. The likelihood of a total Sharp score increase after five years was significantly greater among patients with anti-CCP antibodies (67%; odds ratio (OR) 2.5; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.2 to 5.0) or APF (57%; OR 2.4; 95% CI 1.2 to 4.9) but not rheumatoid factor (RF; OR 0.7; 95% CI 0.3 to 1.5). Mean values for radiographic damage, erosion, and joint narrowing scores at the three times were significantly higher in patients with anti-CCP or APF than in those without. AKA did not significantly predict radiographic damage. In separate analyses of patients with and without RF, anti-CCP or APF was better than RF for predicting total joint damage and joint damage progression after five years. CONCLUSION: Antibodies to citrullinated proteins/peptides determined early in the course of RA by APF IIF or anti-CCP ELISA are good predictors of radiographic joint damage. Further studies of clinical, laboratory, and genetic parameters are needed to improve RA outcome prediction in clinical practice.

Adult↗

Assessment of enthesitis in ankylosing spondylitis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess, firstly, the validity of the enthesis index published by Mander (Mander enthesis index (MEI)) and, secondly, to investigate whether it is possible to define a new enthesis index that is less time consuming to perform with at least similar or better properties. METHODS: Data from the OASIS cohort, an international, longitudinal, observational study on outcome in ankylosing spondylitis, were used. In this study, measures of disease activity, including the Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI) and the MEI, were assessed regularly in 217 patients. With the MEI, for each measurement period independently, a process of data reduction was performed to identify the entheses most commonly reported as painful by the patients. A more concise enthesis index was constructed with aid of the entheses found in this way. Correlations with measures of disease activity were used to test the validity of several entheses indices. RESULTS: Reduction of the number of entheses from 66 to 13 and omitting grading of the intensity of pain resulted in an index which was named the "Maastricht Ankylosing Spondylitis Enthesitis Score" (MASES). The MASES (range 0-13) has much greater feasibility than the MEI (range 0-90). However, up to 21% of patients with a score >0 on the MEI were not identified by a score on the MASES >0. Only 2.1% of the patients with an original enthesis score >0 had an original score on the MEI >3 (range 0-90) and it can be questioned whether a low score on the MEI index represents clinically important enthesitis. The Spearman correlation coefficient between the MASES score and the MEI was 0.90 and between the MASES and the BASDAI was 0.53 compared with a correlation of 0.59 between the MEI and the BASDAI. CONCLUSIONS: MASES seems to be a good alternative to the MEI with much better feasibility.

Adult↗

Comparison of statistically derived ASAS improvement criteria for ankylosing spondylitis with clinically relevant improvement according to an expert panel.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether the recently developed (statistically derived) "ASsessment in Ankylosing Spondylitis Working Group" improvement criteria (ASAS-IC) for ankylosing spondylitis (AS) reflect clinically relevant improvement according to the opinion of an expert panel. METHODS: The ASAS-IC consist of four domains: physical function, spinal pain, patient global assessment, and inflammation. Scores on these four domains of 55 patients with AS, who had participated in a non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug efficacy trial, were presented to an international expert panel (consisting of patients with AS and members of the ASAS Working Group) in a three round Delphi exercise. The number of (non-)responders according to the ASAS-IC was compared with the final consensus of the experts. The most important domains in the opinion of the experts were identified, and also selected with discriminant analysis. A number of provisional criteria sets that best represented the consensus of the experts were defined. Using other datasets, these clinically derived criteria sets as well as the statistically derived ASAS-IC were then tested for discriminative properties and for agreement with the end of trial efficacy by patient and doctor. RESULTS: Forty experts completed the three Delphi rounds. The experts considered twice as many patients to be responders than the ASAS-IC (42 v 21). Overall agreement between experts and ASAS-IC was 62%. Spinal pain was considered the most important domain by most experts and was also selected as such by discriminant analysis. Provisional criteria sets with an agreement of >or=80% compared with the consensus of the experts showed high placebo response rates (27-42%), in contrast with the ASAS-IC with a predefined placebo response rate of 25%. All criteria sets and the ASAS-IC discriminated well between active and placebo treatment (chi(2)=36-45; p<0.001). Compared with the end of trial efficacy assessment, the provisional criteria sets showed an agreement of 71-82%, sensitivity of 67-83%, and specificity of 81-88%. The ASAS-IC showed an agreement of 70%, sensitivity of 62%, and specificity of 89%. CONCLUSION: The ASAS-IC are strict in defining response, are highly specific, and consequently show lower sensitivity than the clinically derived criteria sets. However, those patients who are considered as responders by applying the ASAS-IC are acknowledged as such by the expert panel as well as by patients' and doctors' judgments, and are therefore likely to be true responders.

Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal↗

Increase in bone mineral density of patients with spondyloarthropathy treated with anti-tumour necrosis factor alpha.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the changes in bone mineral density (BMD) in patients with spondyloarthropathy (SpA) treated with infliximab. PATIENTS AND METHODS: 29 patients (six women; 23 men) aged 22-68 years, with persistently active SpA despite a high dose of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug and/or treatment with methotrexate or sulfasalazine, were studied. Median duration of disease was 13 years (range 3-30). Twenty five patients were treated with 5 mg/kg and four with 3 mg/kg of infliximab at weeks 0, 2, 6 and then received either no infusion (n=3), or additional infusion of infliximab every other month (n=6), and the remainder received one infusion only in the case of a relapse. Lumbar and femoral BMD was measured by dual energy x ray absorptiometry at baseline and six months later. Serum osteocalcin and urinary deoxypyridinoline were measured in 19 patients at weeks 0, 2, 24, and in 13 patients at all visits. RESULTS: In six months there was a significant increase in BMD at the spine (3.6%, p=0.001), total hip (2.2%, p=0.0012), and trochanter (2.3%, p=0.0012). A trend for increase (1.1%) was observed at the femoral neck. There was an increase in osteocalcin between baseline and week 6 (third infusion)-median 1.45 micro g/l (p=0.013). No change in marker of bone resorption was observed at the same time. There was no change in biochemical markers between baseline and final visits. There was a trend for a correlation between the decrease at six months in erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and lumbar spine BMD change (r(s)=-0.35, p=0.06). CONCLUSION: These data suggest that a benefit of anti-tumour necrosis factor alpha therapy on BMD in patients with SpA may be through an uncoupling effect on bone cells.

Absorptiometry, Photon↗

Direct costs of ankylosing spondylitis and its determinants: an analysis among three European countries.

OBJECTIVE: To assess direct costs associated with ankylosing spondylitis (AS). To determine which variables, including country, predict costs. METHODS: 216 patients with AS from the Netherlands, France, and Belgium participated in a two year observational study and filled in bimonthly economic questionnaires. Disease related healthcare resource use was measured and direct costs were calculated from a societal perspective (true cost estimates) and from a financial perspective (country-specific tariffs). Predictors of costs were assessed using Cox's regression analysis. RESULTS: 209 patients provided sufficient data for cost analysis. Mean annual societal direct costs for each patient were euro;2640, of which 82% were direct healthcare costs. In univariate analysis costs were higher in the Netherlands than in Belgium, but this difference disappeared after adjusting for baseline differences in patients' characteristics among countries. Longer disease duration, lower education, worse physical function, and higher disease activity were predictors of costs. Mean annual direct costs from a financial perspective were euro;2122, euro;1402, and euro;941 per patient in the Netherlands, France, and Belgium, respectively. For each country, costs from a financial perspective were significantly lower than costs from a societal perspective. CONCLUSION: Direct costs for AS are substantial in three European countries but not significantly different after adjusting for baseline characteristics among countries. Worse physical function and higher disease activity are important determinants of costs, suggesting better disease control might reduce the costs of AS. The difference in costs from a societal and financial perspective emphasises the importance of an economic analysis.

Adolescent↗

Costs of ankylosing spondylitis in three European countries: the patient's perspective.

OBJECTIVE: To assess a patient's out of pocket costs, income loss, time consumption, and quality of life (QoL) due to ankylosing spondylitis (AS) in three European countries and to assess variables predicting these outcomes. METHODS: 216 patients with AS from the Netherlands, France, and Belgium participated in a two year study. Health resource use, days absent from work, time lost, and quality of life (EuroQol) were assessed by bimonthly questionnaires. AS related healthcare and non-healthcare expenditure and income loss were calculated taking into account country-specific regulations. Predictors of costs, time consumption, and QoL were analysed by Cox's regression. RESULTS: 209 patients provided data for cost analysis. Average annual healthcare and non-healthcare expenditure was euro;431 per patient and average annual income loss was euro;1371 per patient. Healthcare costs were highest for Belgian and lowest for French patients, while non-healthcare costs were highest for Dutch patients. A patient's total costs were associated with higher age and worse physical function. On average, patients with AS needed 75 minutes additional time a day because of AS. Worse physical function and higher disease activity predicted time consumption. After adjusting for baseline confounders, QoL was worse in Belgian and French than in Dutch patients. Peripheral arthritis, worse physical function, higher disease activity, and loss of income contributed to worse QoL. CONCLUSION: AS is time consuming and associated with substantial out of pocket costs. Belgian patients incur the highest healthcare payments. Poor physical function increases patient's costs and time consumption. Loss of income is associated with lower QoL.

Adolescent↗

Disability in adults with hip and knee arthroplasty: a French national community based survey.

OBJECTIVES: To compare levels of disability of people with and without hip and knee arthroplasty in a random national sample. METHODS: In 1999 a screening questionnaire to classify people into groups of increasing probabilities of disability was sent to 417 500 people; response rate 86%. The study population was obtained by a stratified randomisation, with a high sampling rate for the most severely disabled group and a minimum sampling rate for people without daily living restrictions. A computer assisted interview to assess levels of disability, dependence, and handicap was given to 21 760 people; response rate 78%. A weighting factor was applied to obtain estimates representative of the French population. The presence of chronic conditions, impairments, and disability was ascertained from the subjects' reports. RESULTS: The hip and knee arthroplasty group comprised 815 subjects in the sample, indicating an estimated 691 000 subjects (95% confidence interval (CI) 597 000 to 785 000) in the French non-institutionalised population. The prevalence of arthroplasty is estimated at 1.2%. After adjustments for confounding factors, activity limitations were greater among subjects with arthroplasty for the following activities: climbing stairs (odds ratio (OR)=4.0, 95% CI 2.8 to 5.8); walking distance (OR=3.4, 95% CI 2.5 to 4.6 for a walking distance less than 500 m); bending forward (OR=3.2, 95% CI 2.2 to 4.7); cutting toenails (OR=2.8, 95% CI 1.9 to 3.9); carrying (OR=2.6, 95% CI= 1.8 to 3.8); shopping (OR=2.1, 95% CI 1.5 to 2.9). CONCLUSIONS: This study would be useful to policy-makers considering population strategies for managing disabling arthritis.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Long term structural effects of combination therapy in patients with early rheumatoid arthritis: five year follow up of a prospective double blind controlled study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether early combined therapy with methotrexate (MTX) and sulfasalazine (SSZ) during the first year in early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) induces long term beneficial effects, compared with monotherapy, when the further treatment strategy is a free choice. METHODS STUDY DESIGN: five year multicentre prospective longitudinal trial. PARTICIPANTS: 146/205 patients with RA previously included in a one year prospective randomised trial comparing the effects of treatment with MTX, SSZ, or a combination of both. Criteria for inclusion: patients with early RA (< or =1 year duration). Follow up: between the end of years 1 and 5, patients were followed up and treated by their own rheumatologist, who was allowed to indicate any treatment. OUTCOME MEASURES: disease activity score (DAS), health assessment questionnaire (HAQ), and Sharp/van der Heijde radiological score at baseline and after five years of follow up. ANALYSIS: comparison of the five year follow up DAS, HAQ, and radiological scores in patients given combined and single treatment during the first year. RESULTS: At the end of the five years of follow up, the patients primarily receiving single or combined treatment had similar mean DAS, HAQ, and radiographic scores. CONCLUSION: Treatment of patients with early RA using combined therapy with MTX and SSZ during the first year did not influence the long term inflammatory status, or disability, or structural changes, compared with single disease modifying antirheumatic drug treatment.

Adult↗

Initiation of biological agents in patients with ankylosing spondylitis: results of a Delphi study by the ASAS Group.

BACKGROUND: There is ample evidence of important symptomatic efficacy of tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNFalpha) inhibition in ankylosing spondylitis (AS). Moreover, studies suggest that anti-TNF could be considered as the first disease controlling antirheumatic treatment (DC-ART) for AS. OBJECTIVE: To determine precisely which patients with AS are most likely to benefit from anti-TNFalpha treatment because of the cost and possible long term side effects of such treatment. METHODS: Assessment in Ankylosing Spondylitis (ASAS) members were asked to use a Delphi technique to name the characteristics of patients with AS for whom they would start DC-ART, in three different clinical presentations (isolated axial involvement, peripheral arthritis, enthesitis). RESULTS: Among the 62 invited ASAS members, more than 50% actively participated in the four phases of definition according to the Delphi technique. For each of the three clinical presentations, a combination of five to six domains was proposed, with an evaluation instrument and a cut off point defining a minimum level of activity for each domain. CONCLUSION: This study provides a profile for a patient with AS for considering initiation of biological agents that reflects the opinion of the ASAS members, using a Delphi exercise. Further studies are required to assess their relevance and their consistency with clinical practice.

Antibodies, Monoclonal↗

International ASAS consensus statement for the use of anti-tumour necrosis factor agents in patients with ankylosing spondylitis.

OBJECTIVE: To obtain an international consensus about the use of anti-tumour necrosis factor alpha (anti-TNF alpha) for treating patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS). METHODS: These recommendations were developed by a review of published reports in combination with expert opinion, including a Delphi exercise, and a consensus meeting of the ASsessments in AS (ASAS) Working Group. RESULTS: The final consensus comprises the following requirements: (1) For the initiation of anti-TNF alpha therapy: (a) a diagnosis of definitive AS; (b) presence of active disease for at least four weeks as defined by both a sustained Bath AS Disease Activity Index (BASDAI) of at least 4 and an expert opinion based on clinical features, acute phase reactants, and imaging modalities; (c) presence of refractory disease defined by failure of at least two non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs during a single three month period, failure of intra-articular steroids if indicated, and failure of sulfasalazine in patients with peripheral arthritis; (d) application and implementation of the usual precautions and contraindications for biological therapy. (2) For the monitoring of anti-TNF alpha therapy: both the BASDAI and the ASAS core set for clinical practice should be followed regularly. (3) For the discontinuation of anti-TNF alpha therapy: in non-responders, consideration should be made after 6-12 weeks' treatment. Response is defined as improvement of (a) at least 50% or 2 units (on a 0-10 scale) of the BASDAI, (b) expert opinion that treatment should be continued. CONCLUSION: This consensus statement on anti-TNF alpha treatment in AS may be used for guidance in clinical decision making and as the basis for the development of guidelines. Evaluation of the healthcare consequences of this consensus is subject to further research by the ASAS group.

Anti-Inflammatory Agents, Non-Steroidal↗

[Total hip prosthesis, is it a criterion for the assessment of structural modulator efficiency?].

OBJECTIVE: It has been evaluated during a longitudinal prospective study (ECHODIAH study) conducted over a 3-year period estimated the pertinence of total hip arthroplasty as an assessment criterion for the evaluation of the efficacy of structuromodulators. RESULTS: It is clear that patients who undergo total hip arthroplasty have more advanced hip disease. Factors predisposing to total hip arthroplasty have been demonstrated by multivariate analysis: advanced age, female gender, severe pain, Lequesne index, superolateral migration of the femoral head, important structural alterations. Other factors such as area of residence were not found to have any influence. Consequently, total hip arthroplasty appears to be a valid and reliable assessment criteria for degenerative hip disease.

Hip Prosthesis↗

Prevention of early postmenopausal bone loss by strontium ranelate: the randomized, two-year, double-masked, dose-ranging, placebo-controlled PREVOS trial.

Early postmenopausal women ( n = 160) were randomised to receive placebo or strontium ranelate (SR) 125 mg/day, 500 mg/day or 1 g/day for 2 years (40 participants per group). All participants received calcium 500 mg/day. The primary efficacy parameter was the percent variation in lumbar bone mineral density (BMD), measured using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry. Secondary efficacy criteria included hip BMD and biochemical markers of bone turnover. At month 24, SR 1 g/day significantly increased lumbar BMD compared with placebo [mean (SD) +5.53% (5.12); p<0.001] for measured values and [mean (SD) +1.41% (5.33%); p<0.05] for values adjusted for bone strontium content. The annual increase for adjusted values was +0.66% compared with -0.5% with placebo, with an overall beneficial effect after 2 years of about 2.4% with SR 1 g/day relative to placebo. There were no other significant between-group differences in adjusted lumbar BMD. Femoral neck and total hip BMD were also significantly increased at month 24 with SR 1 g/day compared with placebo [mean (SD): +2.46% (4.78) and +3.21% (4.68), respectively; both p<0.001)]. SR 1 g/day significantly increased bone alkaline phosphatase at all time points ( p<0.05) compared with baseline and between-group analysis showed a significant increase, compared with placebo, at month 18 ( p = 0.048). No effect on markers of bone resorption was observed. SR was as well tolerated as placebo. The minimum does at which SR is effective in preventing bone loss in early postmenopausal non-osteoporotic women is therefore 1 g/day.

Analysis of Variance↗

Efficacy of infliximab in refractory ankylosing spondylitis: results of a six-month open-label study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of a loading regimen of the anti-tumour necrosis factor alpha (TNF-alpha) antibody infliximab in predominantly axial severe ankylosing spondylitis (AS). METHODS: We enrolled in this study 50 patients (76% males, 87% HLA-B27(+), median age 35 yr, median disease duration 13 yr) with active AS [Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Disease Activity Index (BASDAI) >or=30/100 and serum C-reactive protein concentration >or=15 mg/l) despite treatment with a non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug, and without peripheral arthritis, uveitis or active inflammatory bowel disease. Other disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs were discontinued >or=3 months before inclusion and were not allowed during the study. Patients received three infusions of infliximab (5 mg/kg) at weeks 0, 2 and 6 and were monitored clinically and biologically until week 24. RESULTS: Forty-eight patients completed the treatment. In intention-to-treat analysis, all parameters were significantly improved at week 2 and generally reached maximal improvement at week 8. The proportion of responders, defined by a reduction of >or=20% in the global assessment of pain (GAP) or by the AS Assessment Study Group (ASAS 20%) criteria, and the proportion of patients reaching partial remission were 98, 94 and 70% respectively. Relapse, defined as >or=50% loss of maximal GAP improvement, occurred in 73% of completers, with a median delay of 14 weeks after the third infusion. No serious adverse event related to the treatment was observed. CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms, in a large group of severely affected AS patients, the remarkable efficacy of infliximab. Relapse usually occurred after discontinuation of the drug, but almost one-third of completers were still free of relapse 4 months after the last infusion.

Adult↗

Relevant change in radiological progression in patients with hip osteoarthritis. I. Determination using predictive validity for total hip arthroplasty.

OBJECTIVE: To determine a cut-off point above which a change in joint space width (JSW) could be considered as relevant in patients with hip osteoarthritis (OA) on the basis of predicted need for subsequent total hip arthroplasty (THA). METHODS: A multicentre, prospective, longitudinal, 5-yr follow-up study was performed. A pelvic radiograph was obtained at entry and after 1 and 2 yr. For each film, the narrowest JSW was measured using a 0.1 mm graduated magnifying glass. The absolute and relative differences between baseline and 1 and 2 yr of follow-up were calculated. We determined the cut-off points above which an absolute or relative decrease in JSW between baseline and 1 and 2 yr of follow-up could be considered relevant on the basis of the predicted need for THA during the remaining years of the study. The need for THA was categorized as 'yes' or 'no'. Thereafter, for each observed change in JSW (0.1 per 0.1 mm or 1% per 1%), the sensitivity and specificity for subsequent THA were calculated. The choice of cut-off was based on maximal sensitivity and specificity, using the graphic representation of correct classification probabilities. In this way it was possible to obtain the best measured JSW threshold with maximal true positive and minimal false positive results. RESULTS: A total of 423 and 385 patients met the criteria for analysis using the decrease in JSW between baseline and 1 and 2 yr respectively. The best cut-off points were absolute decreases in JSW of 0.2 and 0.4 mm and relative decreases in JSW of 15 and 20% after 1 and 2 yr respectively, with corresponding ranges of sensitivity and specificity of 68-75 and 67-78%. CONCLUSION: This work determined the cut-off above which a change in JSW could be considered clinically relevant in patients with hip OA, on the basis of predicted subsequent need for THA. For validation, similar studies should be conducted in other countries with different health-care systems.

Aged↗

Relevant change in radiological progression in patients with hip osteoarthritis. II. Determination using an expert opinion approach.

AIM: To determine the minimum clinically important difference (MCID) in joint space width (JSW) progression in patients with hip osteoarthritis (OA), based upon evaluation by a panel of clinical experts as a gold standard. METHODS: A sample of 298 patients with hip OA was selected from a multicentre, prospective, longitudinal, 3-yr follow-up study. A pelvic radiograph was obtained at entry and after 3 yr. For each film, the narrowest JSW was measured using a 0.1-mm graduated magnifying glass. The difference between baseline and 3-yr follow-up JSW was calculated. Two senior rheumatologists, who were experts in osteoarthritis, evaluated each pair of films and noted whether a clinically relevant deterioration in osteoarthritis stage occurred at 3 yr compared with baseline. Interobserver reliabilities were evaluated using the kappa coefficient and proportions of agreements. Then, for each measured difference in JSW (0.1 mm per 0.1 mm), the sensitivity and specificity for MCID, defined as the assessment of expert 1, expert 2 or a combination of both, were calculated. This allowed us to obtain, from graphic representations of the correct classification probabilities, the best measured JSW threshold, with the maximal true positive and the minimal false positive results. RESULTS: The mean measured change in JSW was -0.63 +/- 0.74 mm. Experts 1 and 2 considered the decrease in JSW to be clinically relevant in 122 (40.9%) and 100 pairs (33.6%) respectively. The proportion of agreements between the experts was 79.9%, with a kappa coefficient of 0.572. The best measured JSW threshold was -0.4 mm for expert 1, expert 2 and the combination of both; sensitivity and specificity were 0.75 and 0.8, 0.71 and 0.72, and 0.75 and 0.7 respectively. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that a change of at least 0.4 mm in the radiological JSW could be considered clinically relevant. Other studies using other sets of patients and other methods are needed for validation.

Aged↗