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M C Paik

Publications and source records attributed to M C Paik.

33 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Lipid and lipoprotein levels remain stable in acute ischemic stroke: the Northern Manhattan Stroke Study.

Serum lipoproteins including lipoprotein(a), Lp(a), are emerging as possible biological markers for cerebrovascular disease. Existing data on Lp(a) and serum lipids levels following acute ischemic stroke (AIS) are however equivocal. To determine whether serum Lp(a) and other lipid levels obtained within 24 h of acute ischemic stroke onset changed over the ensuing 4 weeks and whether these levels are related to an acute phase response, acquired nutritional deficiency, and neurovascular data, we conducted repeated measurement analyses among 19 subjects (mean age 65.0 +/- 12.1 years; 32% women) presenting with AIS (evaluated within 9.7 +/- 12.7 h). Eleven of the subjects had a moderate-to-severe stroke, defined by NIH stroke severity scale, and seven patients had a large cerebral infarction. Seven serial measurements of Lp(a), total cholesterol, high density lipoprotein cholesterol, low density lipoprotein cholesterol, and other lipoproteins, major acute phase reactants and albumin levels were collected for each subject over 4 weeks. The mean initial levels, (mg/dl), of total cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, HDL cholesterol, triglycerides, Lp(a), apolipoproteins A-I and B were: 225 +/- 57.6, 154 +/- 56.0, 40 +/- 10.4, 181 +/- 93.7, 52 +/- 28.6, 130 +/- 24.6, and 141 +/- 46.1, respectively. There were no significant changes in mean serum lipid, apolipoprotein or Lp(a) levels over the 4-week study period, analyzed by a random effects model to test for time trend. In addition, there were no significant changes in established acute phase or nutritional markers (C-reactive protein, alpha 1-glycoprotein, haptoglobin or serum albumin). Our findings suggest that serum lipid, apolipoprotein and Lp(a) levels remain stable following AIS, consistent with the absence of acute phase response or nutritional deficiency.

Acute Disease↗

Risk factors for early recurrence after ischemic stroke: the role of stroke syndrome and subtype.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Information regarding risk factors for early recurrence is limited. Our aim was to identify the clinical predictors of early recurrence after ischemic stroke. METHODS: We prospectively examined 297 patients (mean age, 72.0+/-8.4 years) hospitalized with ischemic stroke to identify recurrent strokes occurring within 90 days of the index stroke. Survival free of recurrence was estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis stratified by demographic variables; vascular risk factors; stroke syndrome, subtype, vascular territory, and severity; scores on the Barthel Index and Mini-Mental State Examination during hospitalization; blood pressure on admission; and selected laboratory data. We estimated the relative risk (RR) of early recurrence associated with those variables using proportional hazards analysis. RESULTS: We identified 22 recurrent events in the first 90 days after the index stroke, resulting in an early stroke recurrence rate of 7.4%, and death occurred immediately after recurrence in 6 of the 22 patients. A major hemispheric stroke syndrome (RR=2.9; 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.2 to 7.1), atherothrombotic stroke mechanism (RR=3.3; CI=1.3 to 8.3), and atrial fibrillation (RR=2.2; CI=0.8 to 6.1) were independent predictors of early recurrence, after adjustment for demographic variables. Conclusions-Early recurrence was frequent and resulted in increased mortality. Attention to the clinical features of the index stroke, including the presenting syndrome and the ischemic mechanism, and the recognition of atrial fibrillation may help in the selection of patients for the initiation of targeted interventions to prevent early recurrence and subsequent mortality.

Aged↗

Leisure-time physical activity and ischemic stroke risk: the Northern Manhattan Stroke Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Physical activity reduces the risk of premature death and cardiovascular disease, but the relationship to stroke is less well studied. The objective of this study was to investigate the association between leisure-time physical activity and ischemic stroke in an urban, elderly, multiethnic population. METHODS: The Northern Manhattan Stroke Study is a population-based incidence and case-control study. Case subjects had first ischemic stroke, and control subjects were derived through random-digit dialing with 1:2 matching for age, sex, and race/ethnicity. Physical activity was recorded through a standardized in-person interview regarding the frequency and duration of 14 activities over the 2 prior weeks. Conditional logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals after adjustment for medical and socioeconomic confounders. RESULTS: Over 30 months, 369 case subjects and 678 control subjects were enrolled. Mean age was 69.9 +/- 12 years; 57% were women, 18% whites, 30% blacks, and 52% Hispanics. Leisure-time physical activity was significantly protective for stroke after adjustment for cardiac disease, peripheral vascular disease, hypertension, diabetes, smoking, alcohol use, obesity, medical reasons for limited activity, education, and season of enrollment (OR = 0.37; 95% confidence interval=0.25 to 0.55). The protective effect of physical activity was detected in both younger and older groups, in men and women, and in whites, blacks, and Hispanics. A dose-response relationship was shown for both intensity (light-moderate activity OR = 0.39; heavy OR = 0.23) and duration (<2 h/wk OR = 0.42; 2 to <5 h/wk OR = 0.35; > or =5 h/wk OR = 0.31) of physical activity. CONCLUSIONS: Leisure-time physical activity was related to a decreased occurrence of ischemic stroke in our elderly, multiethnic, urban subjects. More emphasis on physical activity in stroke prevention campaigns is needed among the elderly.

Aged↗

Multiple imputation for the Cox proportional hazards model with missing covariates.

We present three multiple imputation estimates for the Cox model with missing covariates. Two of the suggested estimates are asymptotically equivalent to estimates in the literature when the number of multiple imputations approaches infinity. The third estimate can be implemented using standard software that could handle time-varying covariates.

Analysis of Variance↗

Race-ethnicity and determinants of carotid atherosclerosis in a multiethnic population. The Northern Manhattan Stroke Study.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Risk factors for carotid atherosclerosis have been studied in white populations but infrequently in multiethnic cohorts. The aim of this study was to determine the importance of race-ethnicity and other factors associated with carotid atherosclerosis in a mixed population of Hispanics, blacks, and whites. METHODS: As part of the Northern Manhattan Stroke Study, 526 stroke-free community residents (aged > or = 40 years; 41% men, 59% women; 46% Hispanic, 31% black, 23% white) were recruited through random-digit dialing and had vascular risk factor evaluations. Maximum internal carotid artery plaque thickness (MICPT) was measured with B-mode ultrasound. The frequency distribution of MICPT was examined in the three race-ethnic groups, and multivariate regression was performed to identify factors that were independently associated with MICPT. RESULTS: Mean MICPT in the entire sample was 1.5 +/- 1.4 mm, increased directly with age, and was greater in whites and blacks than Hispanics. Other independent determinants of MICPT included smoking, glucose, LDL cholesterol, and hypertension. After we controlled for these covariates, Hispanic (versus non-Hispanic) race-ethnicity was still an independent determinant of less carotid plaque. There was a significant interaction between race-ethnicity and LDL cholesterol, with a greater effect of increasing LDL cholesterol among Hispanics. CONCLUSIONS: Atherosclerotic risk factors were predictive of MICPT in this mixed-ethnic cohort. Hispanics had significantly less carotid plaque after adjustment for other known risk factors, but they also had a greater impact of increasing LDL cholesterol.

Adult↗

Dementia after stroke increases the risk of long-term stroke recurrence.

BACKGROUND: Although risk factors for first stroke have been identified, the predictors of long-term stroke recurrence are less well understood. We performed the present study to determine whether dementia diagnosed three months after stroke onset is an independent risk factor for long-term stroke recurrence. METHODS: We examined 242 patients (age = 72.0 +/- 8.7 years) hospitalized with acute ischemic stroke who had survived the first three months without recurrence and followed them to identify predictors of long-term stroke recurrence. We diagnosed dementia three months after stroke using modified DSM-III-R criteria based on neuropsychological and functional assessments. The effects of conventional stroke risk factors and dementia status on survival free of recurrence were estimated using Kaplan-Meier analyses, and the relative risks (RR) of recurrence were calculated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Dementia (RR = 2.71, 95% CI = 1.36 to 5.42); cardiac disease (RR = 2.18, CI = 1.15 to 4.12); and sex, with women at higher risk (RR = 2.03, CI = 1.01 to 4.10), were significant independent predictors of recurrence, while education (RR = 1.90, CI = 0.77 to 4.68), admission systolic blood pressure >160 mm Hg (RR = 1.80, CI = 0.94 to 3.44) and alcohol intake exceeding 160 grams per week (RR = 1.86, CI = 0.79 to 4.38) were weakly related. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that dementia significantly increases the risk of long-term stroke recurrence, with additional independent contributions by cardiac disease and sex. Cognitive impairment may be a surrogate marker for multiple vascular risk factors and larger infarct volume that may serve to increase the risk of recurrence. Alternatively, less aggressive medical management of stroke patients with cognitive impairment or noncompliance of such patients with medical therapy may be bases for an increased rate of stroke recurrence.

Aged↗

Meta-analysis of the Hachinski Ischemic Score in pathologically verified dementias.

Our objectives were to investigate the utility of the Hachinski Ischemic Score (HIS) in differentiating patients with pathologically verified Alzheimer's disease (AD), multi-infarct dementia (MID), and "mixed" (AD plus cerebrovascular disease) dementia, and to identify the specific items of the HIS that best discriminate those dementia subtypes. Investigators from six sites participated in a meta-analysis by contributing original clinical data, HIS, and pathologic diagnoses on 312 patients with dementia (AD, 191; MID, 80; and mixed, 41). Sensitivity and specificity of the HIS were calculated based on varied cutoffs using receiver-operator characteristic curves. Logistic regression analyses were performed to compare each pair of diagnostic groups to obtain the odds ratio (OR) for each HIS item. The mean HIS (+/- SD) was 5.4 +/- 4.5 and differed significantly among the groups (AD, 3.1 +/- 2.5; MID, 10.5 +/- 4.1; mixed, 7.7 +/- 4.3). Receiver-operator characteristic curves showed that the best cutoff was < or = 4 for AD and > or = 7 for MID, as originally proposed, with a sensitivity of 89.0% and a specificity of 89.3%. For the comparison of MID versus mixed the sensitivity was 93.1% and the specificity was 17.2%, whereas for AD versus mixed the sensitivity was 83.8% and the specificity was 29.4%. HIS items distinguishing MID from AD were stepwise deterioration (OR, 6.06), fluctuating course (OR, 7.60), hypertension (OR, 4.30), history of stroke (OR, 4.30), and focal neurologic symptoms (OR, 4.40). Only stepwise deterioration (OR, 3.97) and emotional incontinence (OR, 3.39) distinguished MID from mixed, and only fluctuating course (OR, 0.20) and history of stroke (OR, 0.08) distinguished AD from mixed. Our findings suggest that the HIS performed well in the differentiation between AD and MID, the purpose for which it was originally designed, but that the clinical diagnosis of mixed dementia remains difficult. Further prospective studies of the HIS should include additional clinical and neuroimaging variables to permit objective refinement of the scale and improve its ability to identify patients with mixed dementia.

Brain Ischemia↗

Generalized estimating equation model for binary outcomes with missing covariates.

This paper presents an approach to handling missing covariates in the generalized estimating equation (GEE) model for binary outcomes when the probability of missingness depends on the observed outcomes and covariates. The proposed method is to replace the missing quantities in the estimating function with consistent estimates. In special cases, the proposed model reduces to a weighted GEE model for the completely observed units, where the weight is the inverse of the probability of missingness. Our method can be viewed as an extension of the mean score method by Reilly and Pepe (1995, Biometrika 82, 299-314) to the GEE context. Under certain regularity conditions, the estimates of the regression coefficients obtained by the proposed method are consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. The finite sample properties of the estimates are illustrated via computer simulations. An application to the study of dementia among stroke patients is presented.

Aged↗

Multiple imputation methods for the missing covariates in generalized estimating equation.

This paper discusses the missing covariates problem in the generalized estimating equation (GEE) model. Estimates by various multiple imputation techniques (MI) are examined and compared to the sample average imputation method (SA) through simulations and an example. The simulation results show that, under the correct model specification, the MI estimators have negligible bias and have fairly similar efficiencies as the SA estimator. A practical advantage of the MI estimates is that the standard errors can be more easily computed than the SA estimates.

Aged↗

Risk factors for incident dementia after stroke. Role of hypoxic and ischemic disorders.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Stroke significantly increases the risk of dementia in the elderly, yet the risk factors for incident dementia after ischemic stroke are not well understood. We attempted to determine whether hypoxic-ischemic (HI) disorders, which may result from comorbid medical conditions (eg. seizures, cardiac arrhythmias, pneumonia), would be an independent risk factor for the development of new dementia after stroke. METHODS: We prospectively followed 185 initially nondemented patients with ischemic stroke (age, 70.3 +/- 7.7 years) for a maximum of 52.8 months. We diagnosed the presence of dementia at annual examinations based on neuropsychological testing and modified DSM-III-R criteria. HI disorders were identified by record review or examination during hospitalization. We used Kaplan-Meier analysis to determine the cumulative proportion of patients with and without HI disorders who survived free of dementia and used Cox models to estimate the relative risk of dementia associated with HI disorders. RESULTS: The cumulative proportion (+/- SE) surviving without dementia was 51.7 +/- 10.9% in the HI group versus 78.2 +/- 4.3% in the non-HI group after 52.8 months of observation. The relative risk of incident dementia associated with HI events was 4.3 (95% confidence interval = 1.9 to 9.6) after we adjusted for demographic factors, recurrent stroke, and baseline cognitive function. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that HI disorders may be a significant independent risk factor for incident dementia after stroke, even after adjustment for other recognized predictors of cognitive decline. Recognition of HI cerebral damage as a possible pathogenic mechanism for dementia after stroke may allow targeted therapeutic interventions to prevent subsequent cognitive deterioration.

Aged↗

Difference in clinical implications of CD4 counts among HIV-infected homosexual men and injection drug using men and women.

While the relationship between CD4 counts and clinical symptoms is well established among homosexual men, the same is not true for injection drug using men and women (IDUM and IDUW). In this paper we investigate whether CD4 counts have the same clinical implications for IDUM and IDUW as for homosexual men. We estimated the CD4 counts at which 50 per cent of the HIV-infected but AIDS-free population has AIDS related complex (ARC) based on three biannually measured CD4 counts. The analyses involve interval, right and left censored threshold data. We took the parametric approach, assuming that the threshold values for ARC arise from a family of distributions that includes symmetric, left or right skewed distributions, in which the logistic and extreme value distributions are embedded as special cases. The resulting estimates of median thresholds of CD4 counts for ARC were 249, 424 and 755 for homosexual men, IDUM, and IDUW, respectively. The results were robust with respect to the assumptions on the underlying distribution.

AIDS-Related Complex↗

Multivariate survival analysis using piecewise gamma frailty.

In this note we propose a frailty model called piecewise gamma frailty for correlated survival data with random effects having a nested structure. In frailty models, a dependence function defined as a hazard ratio of one member given the failure time of another member in a unit is determined by the distributional assumptions on frailty. In the piecewise gamma frailty model, the nested structure of random effects or frailty allows the dependence function to vary over the time periods. This model includes existing models such as the piecewise exponential model (Breslow, 1974, Biometrics 30, 89-100) and the gamma frailty model (Clayton, 1978, Biometrika 65, 141-151; Oakes, 1982, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B 44, 414-428) as special cases. A study of familial aggregation of epilepsy is used to illustrate the proposed method.

Adult↗

Parametric variance function estimation for nonnormal repeated measurement data.

Zeger and Liang (1986, Biometrics 42, 121-130) proposed a procedure for analyzing nonnormal longitudinal data in the context of the generalized linear model. This procedure is extended to model variance heterogeneity, allowing the observations to come from distributions with different scale parameters. Loss of efficiency is evaluated when heterogeneity of scale factor is ignored.

Analysis of Variance↗