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M Buxton

Publications and source records attributed to M Buxton.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2006

A review of the evidence on the effects and costs of implantable cardioverter defibrillator therapy in different patient groups, and modelling of cost-effectiveness and cost-utility for these groups in a UK context.

OBJECTIVES: To update the systematic review evidence on the effectiveness, health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and cost-effectiveness of implantable cardioverter defibrillators (ICDs); compilation of new data on the service provision in the UK; and on the clinical characteristics, survival, quality of life and costs of ICD patients in the UK, and a new cost-effectiveness model using both international RCT and UK-specific data. DATA SOURCES: Electronic databases searched from November 1999 to March 2003, this was supplemented by a systematic review of research published during 2003-5. Survey data. REVIEW METHODS: Studies were selected and assessed. A survey of ICD centres was carried out. Basic data were obtained from two major implanting centres including 535 patients (approximately 10% of overall UK activity) implanted between 1991 and 2002, and retrieval of fuller data, on patient characteristics, management and resource use, from patient notes for a sample of 426 patients was attempted. A cross-sectional survey collected HRQoL data (using the Nottingham Health Profile, Short Form 36, Hospital Anxiety and Depression questionnaire, EuroQoL 5 Dimensions and disease-specific questions) on a sample of 229 patients. A Markov model combined UK patient data with data from published randomised controlled trials (RCTs) to estimate incremental costs per life-year or quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained. RESULTS: None of the economic analyses in the studies found could be directly applied to the UK. The multiple sources of routine data available (including the national ICD database) provide an imperfect picture of the need for and use of ICDs. Implantation rates have been rising to a rate of around 20 per million population. Mean age is increasing and most ICDs are implanted into men aged 45-74 years. There is significant geographical variation. A survey of 41 UK centres provided additional evidence, particularly of variation in level of activity and resourcing. Most detailed data were obtained for 380 patients (89%). The postal survey produced a 73% response rate. Demographic characteristics of these patients were similar to ICD recipients in the UK as a whole and patients included in secondary prevention RCTs. Mean actuarial survival at 1, 3 and 5 years was 92%, 86% and 71%, respectively. Patient age at implantation and functional status significantly affected survival. Levels of most of the HRQoL measures were lower than for a UK general population. There was no evidence of a change with time from implantation. Patients who had suffered ICD shocks had significantly poorer HRQoL. Most patients nevertheless expressed a high level of satisfaction with ICD therapy. Mean initial costs of implantation showed little variation between centres (23,300 pounds versus 22,100 pounds) or between earlier and more recent implants. There appeared to be greater variation between patients presenting along different pathways. Postdischarge costs (tests, medications and follow-up consultations) and costs of additional hospitalisations were also calculated. Using the Markov model it was found that over a 20-year horizon, mean discounted incremental costs were 70,900 pounds (35,000-142,400 pounds). Mean discounted gain was 1.24 years (0.29-2.32) or 0.93 QALYs. Cost-effectiveness was most favourable for men aged over 70 years with a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) below 35%. If the treatment effect were to continue, then the cost per life-year over a lifetime might fall to around 32,000 pounds. Five RCTs of ICDs, a meta-analysis and, a cost-effectiveness analysis of ICDs used in primary prevention, and a meta-analysis of ICDs in patients with non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy have been published recently. These trials provide confirmation of survival benefit of ICDs used in primary prevention in both ischaemic and non-ischaemic cardiomyopathy patients. Costs per QALY ranged from US$34,000 in older trials to controls being both less expensive and more effective (CABG Patch, DINAMIT). More recent trials estimated cost per QALY between $50,300 and $70,200. The inconsistency in evidence for a HRQoL benefit has not been resolved and further work on risk stratification is necessary. CONCLUSIONS: The evidence of short- to medium-term patient benefit from ICDs is strong but cost-effectiveness modelling indicates that the extent of that benefit is probably not sufficient to make the technology cost-effective as used currently in the UK. One reason is the high rates of postimplantation hospitalisation. Better patient targeting and efforts to reduce the need for such hospitalisation may improve cost-effectiveness. Further cost-effectiveness modelling, underpinned by an improved ICD database with reliable long-term follow-up, is required. The absence of a robust measure of the incidence of sudden cardiac death is noted and this may be an area where further organisational changes with improved data collection would help.

Aged↗
PubMed2006

Evaluation of the ventricular assist device programme in the UK.

OBJECTIVES: To summarise the relevant clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness literature, to collect data on survival, transplantation rates, health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and resource use for ventricular assist device (VAD) and non-VAD transplant candidates in the UK, and to construct cost-effectiveness and cost-utility models of VADs in a UK context. Also to investigate the factors that drive costs and survival. DESIGN: A comprehensive systematic review was carried out. Data were collected from April 2002 to December 2004, with follow-up to March 2005. Cost-effectiveness and cost-utility models of VAD devices were developed based on UK activity and outcomes collected from April 2002 to March 2005. SETTING: National Specialist Commissioning Advisory Group funded VAD implantation was carried out at the Freeman, Harefield and Papworth transplant centres in the UK. PARTICIPANTS: Seventy patients were implanted with a VAD as a bridge to transplantation between April 2002 and December 2004. Non-VAD-supported transplant candidates (n = 250), listed at the three centres between April 2002 and December 2004, were divided into an inotrope-dependent group (n = 71) and a non-inotrope-dependent group (n = 179). Although patients in the inotrope-dependent group were closest to the VAD group they were less sick. The last group comprised a hypothetical worst case scenario, which assumed that all VAD patients would die in the intensive care unit (ICU) within 1 month without VAD technology. INTERVENTIONS: Patients were included who were implanted with a VAD designed for circulatory support for more than 30 days, with intention to bridge to transplantation. A multistate model of VAD and transplant activity was constructed; this was populated by data from the UK. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Survival from VAD implant or from transplant listing for non-VAD patients to 31 March 2005. Serious adverse events and quality of life measures were used. Cognitive functioning was also assessed. Utility weights were derived from EuroQoL responses to estimate quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were defined as the additional cost of VADs divided by additional QALYs. Time-horizons were 3 years, 10 years and the lifetime of the patients. RESULTS: Of 70 VAD patients, 30 (43%) died pretransplant, 31 (44%) underwent transplantation, and four (6%) recovered and had the VAD removed. Five patients (7%) were still supported for median of 279 days at the end of March 2005. Successful bridge-to-transplantation/recovery rates were consistent with published rates. Survival from VAD implantation was 74% at 30 days and 52% at 12 months. There were 320 non-fatal adverse events in 62 patients during 300 months of VAD support, mostly in the first month after implantation. Commonly observed events were bleeding, infection and respiratory dysfunction. Twenty-nine (41%) patients were discharged from hospital with a VAD. The 1-year survival post-transplantation was 84%. For the inotrope-dependent and non-inotrope-dependent transplant candidates, death rates while listed were 10% and 8% and the median waiting times were 16 and 87 days, respectively. For transplant recipients, 1-year survival was 85% and 84%, respectively. Both VAD and non-VAD patients demonstrated similar significant improvements in their New York Heart Association class after transplantation. All patients had poor EQ-5D pretransplantation; after transplantation the groups had similar EQ-5D of 0.76 irrespective of time after surgery. HRQoL was poor in the first month for VAD patients but better for those who waited longer in all groups. VAD patients reported more problems with sleep and rest and with ambulation in the first month. Symptom scores were similar in all groups pretransplant. After transplantation all groups showed a marked and similar improvement in physical and psychosocial function. Mean VAD implant cost, including device, was pound 63,830, with costs of VAD support for survivors of pound 21,696 in month 1 and pound 11,312 in month 2. Main cost drivers were device itself, staffing, ICU stay, hospital stay and events such as bleeding, stroke and infection. For the base case, extrapolating over the lifetime of the patients the mean cost for a VAD patient was pound 173,841, with mean survival of 5.63 years and mean QALYs of 3.27. Corresponding costs for inotrope-dependent patients were pound 130,905, with mean survival 8.62 years and mean QALYs 4.99. Since inotrope-dependent patients had lower costs and higher QALYs than VAD patients, this group is said to be dominant. Non-inotrope-dependent transplant candidates had similar survival rates to those on inotropes but lower costs, also dominant. Compared with the worst case scenario the mean lifetime ICER for VADs was pound 49,384 per QALY. In a range of sensitivity analyses this ranged from pound 35,121 if the device cost was zero to pound 49,384. Since neither inotrope-dependent transplant candidates nor the worst case scenario were considered fair controls the assumption was investigated that, without VAD technology, there would be a mixture of these situations. For mixtures considered the ICER for VADs ranged from pound 79,212 per QALY to the non-VAD group being both cheaper and more effective. CONCLUSIONS: There are insufficient data from either published studies or the current study to construct a fair comparison group for VADs. Overall survival of 52% is an excellent clinical achievement for those young patients with rapidly failing hearts. However, if the worst case scenario were plausible, and one could reliably extrapolate results to the lifetime of the patients, VADs would not be cost-effective at traditional thresholds. Further randomised controlled trials are required, using current second generation devices or subsequent devices and conducted in the UK.

Cost-Benefit Analysis↗
PubMed2005

Payback arising from research funding: evaluation of the Arthritis Research Campaign.

OBJECTIVES: Using a structured evaluation framework to systematically review and document the outputs and outcomes of research funded by the Arthritis Research Campaign in the early 1990s. To illustrate the strengths and weaknesses of different modes of research funding. METHODS: The payback framework was applied to 16 case studies of research grants funded in the early 1990s. Case study methodology included bibliometric analysis, literature and archival document review and key informant interviews. RESULTS: A range of research paybacks was identified from the 16 research grants. The payback included 302 peer-reviewed papers, postgraduate training and career development, including 28 PhD/MDs, research informing recommendations in clinical guidelines, improved quality of life for people with RA and the reduction of the likelihood of recurrent miscarriage for women with antiphospholipid syndrome. The payback arising from project grants appeared to be similar to that arising from other modes of funding that were better resourced. CONCLUSIONS: There is a wide diversity of research payback. Short focused project grants seem to provide value for money.

Arthritis↗
PubMed2005

A randomised controlled trial to compare the cost-effectiveness of tricyclic antidepressants, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors and lofepramine.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the relative cost-effectiveness of three classes of antidepressants: tricyclic antidepressants (TCAs), selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs), and the modified TCA lofepramine, as first choice treatments for depression in primary care. DESIGN: Open, pragmatic, controlled trial with three randomised arms and one preference arm. Patients were followed up for 12 months. SETTING: UK primary care: 73 practices in urban and rural areas in England. PARTICIPANTS: Patients with a new episode of depressive illness according to GP diagnosis. INTERVENTIONS: Patients were randomised to receive a TCA (amitriptyline, dothiepin or imipramine), an SSRI (fluoxetine, sertraline or paroxetine) or lofepramine. Patients or GPs were able to choose an alternative treatment if preferred. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: At baseline the Clinical Interview Schedule, Revised (CIS-R PROQSY computerised version) was administered to establish symptom profiles. Outcome measures over the 12-month follow-up included the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale self-rating of depression (HAD-D), CIS-R, EuroQol (EQ-5D) for quality of life, Short Form (SF-36) for generic health status, and patient and practice records of use of health and social services. The primary effectiveness outcome was the number of depression-free weeks (HAD-D less than 8, with interpolation of intervening values) and the primary cost outcome total direct NHS costs. Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were used as the outcome measure in a secondary analysis. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves were computed. Estimates were bootstrapped with 5000 replications. RESULTS: In total, 327 patients were randomised. Follow-up rates were 68% at 3 months and 52% at 1 year. Linear regression analysis revealed no significant differences between groups in number of depression-free weeks when adjusted for baseline HAD-D. A higher proportion of patients randomised to TCAs entered the preference arm than those allocated to the other choices. Switching to another class of antidepressant in the first few weeks of treatment occurred significantly more often in the lofepramine arm and less in the preference arm. There were no significant differences between arms in mean cost per depression-free week. For values placed on an additional QALY of over 5000 pounds, treatment with SSRIs was likely to be the most cost-effective strategy. TCAs were the least likely to be cost-effective as first choice of antidepressant for most values of a depression-free week or QALY respectively, but these differences were relatively modest. CONCLUSIONS: When comparing the different treatment options, no significant differences were found in outcomes or costs within the sample, but when outcomes and costs were analysed together, the resulting cost-effectiveness acceptability curves suggested that SSRIs were likely to be the most cost-effective option, although the probability of this did not rise above 0.6. Choosing lofepramine is likely to lead to a greater proportion of patients switching treatment in the first few weeks. Further research is still needed on the management of depressive illness in primary care. This should address areas such as the optimum severity threshold at which medication should be used; the feasibility and effectiveness of adopting structured depression management programmes in the UK context; the importance of factors such as physical co-morbidity and recent life events in GPs' prescribing decisions; alternative ways of collecting data; and the factors that give rise to many patients being reluctant to accept medication and discontinue treatment early.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2004

One year comparison of costs of coronary surgery versus percutaneous coronary intervention in the stent or surgery trial.

OBJECTIVES: To compare initial and one year costs of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) versus percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in the stent or surgery trial. DESIGN: Prospective, unblinded, randomised trial. SETTING: Multicentre study. PATIENTS: 988 patients with multivessel disease. INTERVENTIONS: CABG and stent assisted PCI. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Initial hospitalisation and one year follow up costs. RESULTS: At one year mortality was 2.5% in the PCI arm and 0.8% in the CABG arm (p = 0.05). There was no difference in the composite of death or Q wave myocardial infarction (6.9% for PCI v 8.1% for CABG, p = 0.49). There were more repeat revascularisations with PCI (17.2% v 4.2% for CABG). There was no significant difference in utility between arms at six months or at one year. Quality adjusted life years were similar 0.6938 for PCI v 0.6954 for PCI, Delta = 0.00154, 95% confidence interval (CI) -0.0242 to 0.0273). Initial length of stay was longer with CABG (12.2 v 5.4 days with PCI, p < 0.0001) and initial hospitalisation costs were higher (7321 pounds sterling v 3884 pounds sterling for PCI, Delta = 3437 pounds sterling, 95% CI 3040 pounds sterling to 3848 pounds sterling). At one year the cost difference narrowed but costs remained higher for CABG (8905 pounds sterling v 6296 pounds sterling for PCI, Delta = 2609 pounds sterling, 95% CI 1769 pounds sterling to 3314 pounds sterling). CONCLUSIONS: Over one year, CABG was more expensive and offered greater survival than PCI but little added benefit in terms of quality adjusted life years. The additional cost of CABG can be justified only if it offers continuing benefit at no further increase in cost relative to PCI over several years.

Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary↗
PubMed2003

Patients' preferences for characteristics associated with treatments for osteoarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to investigate patient preferences for attributes associated with the efficacy and side-effects of treatment for osteoarthritis. METHODS: A stated preference design questionnaire was administered to a sample of 412 individuals diagnosed with osteoarthritis (OA). RESULTS: Statistically significant attributes in influencing treatment preferences were the level of joint aches, the level of physical mobility and the risk of experiencing serious side-effects from treatment. Respondents were relatively more concerned about the risk of serious side-effects (even with a very low probability) than mild to moderate side-effects (at a much higher probability). Data segmentation revealed some variations in preferences according to respondent characteristics. The importance of joint aches increased according to the severity of the symptoms of osteoarthritis, indicating that this attribute is more troublesome to those respondents with more severe symptoms. Older respondents were more willing than younger respondents to accept an increased risk of experiencing serious side-effects for an improvement in the symptoms of OA. Individuals in lower income brackets appeared to attach greater importance to joint aches and the level of mobility experienced than those in higher income brackets. Respondents who had previously experienced gastrointestinal side-effects from treatment were, as expected, more tolerant of them than those who had not. CONCLUSION: The use of conjoint analysis to assess patient preferences provides a useful insight to the likely attitudes of patients to novel treatments for osteoarthritis.

Age Factors↗
PubMed2003

Prioritisation of health technology assessment. The PATHS model: methods and case studies.

OBJECTIVES: To develop a method of economic evaluation and triage for research prioritisation, before the funding decision. DATA SOURCES: Existing models were researched focusing on MEDLINE, HealthSTAR, IBSS and HEED. REVIEW METHODS: Papers of primary relevance that included a proposed model were reviewed in detail, and their models appraised using criteria adapted from the EUR-ASSESS project and the authors' previous experience. From this the PATHS model was developed. It assumes three or more possible alternative outcomes or scenarios in terms of research results: 'favourable' to the technology being assessed, 'unfavourable' or 'inconclusive'. An associated flow of benefits or disbenefits, costs or savings is identified for each potential research outcome depending on the likely implementation of the results as judged by experts. These benefits and costs are weighted and discounted in the model to give an expected incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (EICER). EICERS could be estimated for any number of research areas or proposals to inform funding prioritisation. The model was tested and evaluated on three case studies identified in liaison with the NHS R&D HTA programme and the UK Medical Research Council. These case studies were funded research projects, where full evaluation was underway and where results would be reported during the PATHS project. The studies were selected to include surgery or other invasive procedures, and non-invasive health services projects (a fourth case study did not complete during the course of the study). The three case studies included randomised controlled trials of early surgery or observation for small abdominal aortic aneurysms, infusion protocols for adult pre-hospital care, and postnatal midwifery support. RESULTS: Each of the three assessments indicated net clinical benefit or no clinical loss of benefit, in addition to health service cost savings in excess of the cost of the trial. For two case studies, the value of the proposed trial, as evaluated by the model in the prediction, was consistent with the ex post evaluation, thus providing positive tests of the value of the model. In the third case meaningful ex post analysis was not possible as very poor compliance with the trial protocol (indicated in the ex ante evaluation) seriously undermined its conclusions. During the study, at the request of the UK HTA programme, the model was also applied to a funding request for a large randomised trial of beta-interferon for multiple sclerosis treatment. CONCLUSION: The PATHS model has a useful part to play in the research prioritisation process. Its strengths lie in its emphasis on the impact of research results on policy and practice (the keystone for NHS research) and net effects on health benefits and costs. It assesses the cost-effectiveness of the research and may identify ways to enhance the research design, endpoints relevant to implementation, analytical methods and dissemination. Further research is recommended to investigate the scope for synthesising the strengths of the PATHS model with other approaches including value of information; to compare ex ante and immediate ex post assessments of implementation with long term follow-up of actual implementation; and to assess the robustness of such approaches to the choice and number of experts used.

Decision Support Techniques↗
PubMed2002

Coronary angioplasty versus medical therapy for angina. Health service costs based on the second Randomized Intervention Treatment of Angina (RITA-2) trial.

AIMS: The second Randomized Intervention Treatment of Angina (RITA-2) trial compares an initial strategy of PTCA with continued medical management in patients with arteriographically proven coronary artery disease. This paper employs resource use data collected in the trial to compare the health service costs of the two strategies over 3 years follow-up. METHODS AND RESULTS: 1018 patients were randomized, 504 to PTCA and 514 to continued medical management. Health service resource use data were collected prospectively on all patients. Hospital unit costs were estimated in collaboration with five U.K. centres. PTCA patients underwent more subsequent coronary arteriograms, but subsequent (non-randomized) PTCAs were more common in patients randomized to medical management (118 procedures in 102 patients) compared to those randomized to PTCA (73 procedures in 62 patients). The likelihood of undergoing CABG was similar in the two groups. The use of antianginal medications was higher in patients randomized to an initial strategy of medical management. There was an overall mean additional cost per patient over 3 years in patients randomized to PTCA of pound 2685 (95% CI pound 2074- pound 3322). CONCLUSIONS: In RITA-2, the cost of an initial strategy of PTCA exceeded the cost of an initial strategy of medical management by 74% over 3 years.

Angina Pectoris↗
PubMed2002

Assessing patients' preferences for characteristics associated with homeopathic and conventional treatment of asthma: a conjoint analysis study.

BACKGROUND: A study was undertaken to investigate the preferences of patients with asthma for attributes or characteristics associated with treatment for their asthma and to investigate the extent to which such preferences may differ between patient subgroups. METHODS: The economic technique of conjoint analysis (CA) was used to investigate patients' strength of preference for several key attributes associated with services for the treatment of asthma. A CA questionnaire was administered to two groups of asthma outpatients aged 18 years or older, 150 receiving conventional treatment at Whipps Cross Hospital (WC) and 150 receiving homeopathic treatment at the Royal London Homoeopathic Hospital (RL). RESULTS: An overall response rate of 47% (n=142) was achieved. Statistically significant attributes in influencing preferences for both the WC and RL respondents were (1) the extent to which the doctor gave sufficient time to listen to what the patient has to say, (2) the extent to which the treatment seemed to relieve symptoms, and (3) the travel costs of attending for an asthma consultation. The extent to which the doctor treated the patient as a whole person was also a statistically significant attribute for the RL respondents. CONCLUSIONS: This study has shown that aspects associated with the process of delivery of asthma services are important to patients in addition to treatment outcomes. The homeopathic respondents expressed stronger preferences for the doctor to treat them as a whole person than the patients receiving conventional treatment. Overall, the preferences for the attributes included in the study were similar for both groups.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

Design and analytic considerations in determining the cost-effectiveness of early intervention in asthma from a multinational clinical trial.

Demand for economic and outcomes data in support of drug formulary listing in private and government-sponsored health programs has led to fundamental changes in drug development. In part as a response to these pressures, the pharmaceutical industry has begun to include economic and quality-of-life endpoints in clinical trials with the hope of providing information to answer health policy questions on the economic value of its products. Here, the design and health economic techniques that will be used to analyze the START (inhaled Steroid Treatment As Regular Therapy in early asthma) study-a multinational (31 countries), randomized, placebo-controlled trial of 7240 patients with mild asthma over 3 years-will be presented. START compares the effect of once-daily administration of an inhaled glucocorticosteroid (Pulmicort Turbuhaler to conventional therapy in the management of newly diagnosed asthma, for which the use of this therapy is currently not the standard. The START study will examine both clinical effectiveness (measured as symptom-free days) and asthma-related costs for both treatment arms, aggregated for all patients across all countries. We believe that presenting the analytical plan prior to disseminating the results is an important way of increasing the credibility of economic evaluations. However, using clinical trials for collecting economic data poses several challenges, and the methods for conducting such evaluations are being developed. This paper will present and discuss several methodological options and the current state of the art for conducting economic evaluations alongside multinational clinical trials.

Administration, Inhalation↗
PubMed2001

A model for analyzing the cost of the main clinical events after lung transplantation.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this project was to model clinically important events experienced by lung transplant patients (from the day after transplant to 5 years or death) and costs associated with these events, and to assess the economic impact of different immunosuppression therapies. METHODS: The population comprised 356 lung transplant patients (223 heart-lung, 102 single lung and 31 double lung) transplanted between April 1984 and December 1997. All patients received a cyclosporine-based triple-immunosuppression protocol. We designed a Markov model that included 3 time periods (0 to 6, 7 to 12, and 13 to 60 months), 5 clinical states (well, acute rejection, cytomegalovirus infection, non-cytomegalovirus infection and bronchiolitis obliterans syndrome), and death. For the well state, cost elements were immunosuppression, prophylaxis, and routine clinic visits. For all other states, cost elements were diagnosis, treatment, and bed days/visits. We excluded costs of the procedure. RESULTS: The monthly costs associated with the well state decreased over time, from pound sterlings 1,778 ($2,658) in the first 6 months to pound sterlings 503 ($752) in months 7 to 12 and pound sterlings 350 ($523) after the first 12 months. The cost per event of the acute states remained reasonably constant over the 3 periods: pound sterlings 1,850 ($2,766) for rejection, pound sterlings 3,380 ($5,053) for cytomegalovirus, and pound sterlings 2,790 ($4,171) for other infections. The average cost per patient, discounted at 6%, over 5 years was pound sterlings 35,429 ($52,966) (95% range, pound1,435 [$2,145] to pound67,079 [$100,283]). This estimate is most sensitive to changes in immunosuppression. Substituting tacrolimus for cyclosporine increased 5-year costs by 5%; substituting mycophenolate mofetil for azathioprine increased 5-year costs by 26%. CONCLUSIONS: This model is valuable in estimating the effect of new immunosuppression agents on the costs of follow-up care.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

A simulation modelling approach to evaluating alternative policies for the management of the waiting list for liver transplantation.

A shortage of donor liver grafts unfortunately results in approximately 10% of patients dying whilst listed for a liver transplant in Europe and the United States. Thus it is imperative that all available organs are used as efficiently as possible. This paper reports upon the application of a simulation modelling approach to assess the impact of several alternative allocation policies upon the cost effectiveness of this technology at one liver transplant centre in the UK. The impact of changes in allocation criteria on the estimated net life expectancy, average net costs and overall cost effectiveness of the transplantation programme were evaluated. The incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) for the base case allocation policy, based upon the time spent on the waiting list (i.e., longest wait first) was 11,557 pounds sterling at 1999 prices. The ICERs associated with an allocation policy based upon age (lowest age first), and an allocation policy based upon the severity of the pre-transplant condition of the patient (with most severely ill patients given a lower priority) were lower than the base case at 10,424 pounds sterling and 9,077 pounds sterling, respectively. The results of this modelling study suggest that the overall cost effectiveness of the liver transplantation programme could be improved if the current allocation policy were modified to give more weight to the age of the patient and the reduced chances of success of the most severely ill patients.

Cost-Benefit Analysis↗
PubMed2001

Routine monitoring of performance: what makes health research and development different?

Increasing attention is being directed to measuring and monitoring the use of health-related R&D funding, partly to justify this expenditure and partly to ensure that R&D effort is directed to achieving the paybacks desired by funders. These paybacks include contributing to knowledge, contributing to R&D capacity, political benefits, benefits to the health service and to patients, and more general economic benefits. This paper addresses the issues that must be considered when designing a routine performance management system for health R&D. Conventional methods of routine performance management are often rendered inappropriate in this context by the intangible and unpredictable outcomes of research, which are heterogeneous across projects and programmes and which can be hard to attribute to particular R&D support. Instead, to be effective in this context, a routine system must combine quantitative and qualitative indicators, utilising information from a number of different sources. The system must achieve acceptable levels (defined by the funder) on each of the following criteria: it must measure those dimensions of payback that are valued by the funder; it must be decision-relevant; it must be consistent with truthful compliance; it must minimise perverse incentives; and it must have acceptable net costs. It is vitally important that the system itself generates a positive payback. We illustrate these issues by outlining a system that might be used to monitor the payback from government-funded R&D.

Financing, Organized↗
PubMed2000

Preference measurement using conjoint methods: an empirical investigation of reliability.

The application of conjoint measurement to the field of health economics is relatively new, although there is growing interest and there have been a number of studies undertaken recently. Wider acceptance of the technique requires methodological issues concerning both reliability and validity to be addressed. This paper reports an empirical investigation of the test-retest reliability of the discrete choice conjoint measurement approach in health care. This investigation of conjoint reliability was framed using the clinical context of investigation and treatment of knee injuries. A high level of reliability at both the input data and results levels was demonstrated.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2000

Estimating the impact of a diffuse technology on the running costs of a hospital. A case study of a picture archiving and communication system.

OBJECTIVES: This paper considers the methodological problems that arise in conducting cost analyses in economic evaluations where only observational (rather than experimental) data are available and where the technology being evaluated is diffuse, such that the unit of analysis has to be the institution rather than the patient. METHODS: A case study is reported that concerns the application of computer technology in radiology: picture archiving and communication systems (PACS). A range of different approaches were used to estimate changes in running costs, including time series analyses of routine data and direct observation of resource use. RESULTS: The analysis illustrates some of the difficulties involved in costing the introduction of a diffuse technology. Nevertheless, it provides a firm indication that, overall, the introduction of PACS was found to be associated with a significant increase in hospital costs, suggesting that the initial expectations of financial savings were unduly optimistic. CONCLUSIONS: The research demonstrates that, using multiple methods, it is possible to estimate cost changes within a single hospital. In addition, the paper discusses the nature of the uncertainties in such analyses and possible ways of representing such uncertainty in terms of confidence intervals.

Budgets↗