11. Statistical relationships and the concept of multiple regression.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to L Satyanarayana.
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BACKGROUND: The study stemmed from an incidental observation of improvement in 2 patients with pityriasis rosea while receiving erythromycin. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of the study was to evaluate the efficacy of erythromycin in patients with pityriasis rosea. METHODS: A double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical study was performed in an outpatient setting in a major hospital. Ninety patients over a period of 2 years were alternatively assigned to treatment group or placebo group. Patients in the treatment group received erythromycin in divided doses for 14 days. The response was categorized as complete response, partial response, or no response. All patients were followed up for 6 weeks. RESULTS: Both groups were comparable with regard to age at presentation, sex, and average duration of disease at the time of reporting to the clinic. Upper respiratory tract infection before the appearance of skin lesions was reported in 68.8% of all patients. Complete response was observed in 33 patients (73.33%) in the treatment group and none in the placebo group (P <.0001). CONCLUSION: Oral erythromycin was effective in treating patients with pityriasis rosea.
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We report on an illuminated, low-cost (Rs 1500 (US$ 36)) magnifying device (Magnivisualizer) for detecting precancerous lesions of the uterine cervix. A total of 403 women attending a maternal and child health care clinic who had abnormal vaginal discharge and related symptoms were referred for detailed pelvic examination and visual inspection by means of the device after the application of 5% (v/v) acetic acid. Pap smears were obtained at the same time. The results were compared with those obtained using colposcopy and/or histology. The Magnivisualizer improved the detection rate of early cancerous lesions from 60%, for unaided visual inspection, to 95%. It also permitted detection of 58% of cases of low-grade dysplasia and 83% of cases of high-grade dysplasia; none of these cases were detectable by unaided visual inspection. For low-grade dysplasia the sensitivity of detection by means of the Magnivisualizer was 57.5%, in contrast with 75.3% for cytological examination. However, the two methodologies had similar sensitivities for higher grades of lesions. The specificity of screening with the Magnivisualizer was 94.3%, while that of cytology was 99%. The cost per screening was approximately US$ 0.55 for the Magnivisualizer and US$ 1.10 for cytology.
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Two hundred and fifty-seven consecutive women attending a major maternal and child health (MCH) center were studied clinically, colposcopically, cytologically, and microbiologically for different gynecologic infections. Out of 257 cases, 207 (80.5%) had inflammatory cervical smears, of which 183 (88.4%) were infected with one or more genital tract infections. Bacterial vaginosis (risk, 22.6-fold), chlamydia (risk, 21.6-fold), and human papillomavirus (HPV) (risk, 13.5-fold) were independently associated with inflammatory smears. In addition, significantly higher proportions of women with inflammatory smears had cervical ectopies (28.5% vs. 10.2%) and bleeding ectopies (30.9% vs. 4.1%) as compared to noninflammatory smears. Women infected with bacterial/parasitic genital infections were given specific treatment. These women were followed up at regular intervals to assess the efficacy of antimicrobial therapy. During follow-up examination, only 26 women (12.6%) showed negative smears. Sixteen women developed squamous intraepithelial lesions (SIL) during follow-up, and 163 women had persistent inflammatory smears. Multivariate analysis revealed that persistent inflammatory smears were associated with herpes simplex virus (HSV) infection, as revealed through detection of IgA antibodies to HSV (risk, 11.5-fold). Progression of SIL was associated with HPV infection (risk, 17.6 fold). Thus, inflammatory smears are associated with different types of infection, most of which do not respond to antimicrobial therapy.
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Fifty mothers of hospitalized infants less than 4 months old with partial or complete lactation failure (LF) were randomly assigned to two groups of 25 each for relactation. Majority of enrolled mothers (86 per cent) had complete LF and 14 per cent had partial LF. Relactation was attempted in both the groups with motivation, support, and repeated suckling. Group II mothers, in addition, were given metoclopramide. The characteristics of mothers and babies, and socio-economic background were comparable in both groups (P > 0.05). The primary outcome variables measured included the time of appearance of first breast milk secretion (in complete LF), time for partial and complete relactation. Relactation attempt was successful in 49 mothers (98 per cent), with complete relactation in 46 (92 per cent) and only partial relactation in three mothers (6 per cent). Nipple confusion and frustration of the baby (4 per cent) in complete LF, small/retracted nipples (8 per cent), and sore/fissured nipples (4 per cent), which influenced the initiation of relactation, were overcome with drop and drip method, lact-aid support and proper positioning of the baby. All the outcome variables of the two groups were comparable (P > 0.05). The pattern of weight gain, the rate of reduction in the amount of top milk and subsequent weight gain in the follow-up was also comparable in both the groups (P > 0.05). Maternal factors like breast conditions, nutrition, parity, feeding practices in previous babies, lactation gap, and infants' initial refusal to suck at the breast did not influence the outcome variables as long as repeated suckling was ensured. We conclude that relactation is possible in most of the mothers without the help of lactagogues. Apart from educating and motivating the mother for exclusive breastfeeding during first 4-6 months, a strong professional support by a skilled health worker is needed to overcome the initial problems during relactation.
OBJECTIVE: To identify the predictors of mortality due to acute lower respiratory tract infection (ALRI). DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING: Urban tertiary care teaching hospital. METHODS: 201 cases with ALRI between 2 weeks to 5 years of age were prospectively enrolled and followed up to determine outcome. Detailed history and clinical evaluation were recorded on a pretested proforma. Significant independent predictors of mortality were determined by comparison of dead subjects (n = 21) with surviving children (n = 180) in a multiple logistic analytic framework. RESULTS: The case fatality rate (CFR) was 10.45%. Significant independent predictors of mortality were (OR, 95% CI) age less than 1 year (23.1, 2.7-197.5), inability to feed (6.2, 1.3-30.7), associated loose stools (5.1,1.2-27.3), weight for age Z score < -3 (3.9,1.01-9.7), short duration of fever (1.2,1.0-1.5) and bandemia (1.1,1.05-1.2). The WHO guidelines identified 91% of children diagnosed as ALRI by clinical and investigative criteria. The CFR was related to severity of WHO classification ("pneumonia"-0%, "severe pneumonia"-8.7% and "very severe pneumonia"-47.0%). However, 2 of the 18 subjects with a diagnosis of "no pneumonia" expired (CFR 11.1% and 10% of total mortality). CONCLUSION: Even in settings of high case fatality, predictors of mortality can be identified in under five children suffering from ALRI. In this context, age below 1 year, inability to feed, presence of loose stools and severe malnutrition merit attention for interventional purposes.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate risk factors for fatal neonatal sepsis. DESIGN: Prospective study. SETTING: Referral neonatal unit of a teaching hospital. SUBJECTS: 171 neonates admitted with sepsis. METHODS: Clinical examination and investigations on the day of admission were recorded and the neonates followed up to determine the final outcome. RESULTS: The overall fatality was 48.5%. In the univariate analysis, the factors significantly associated with death were weight, gestational age, age at onset of sepsis, hypothermia, requirement of IPPV, presence of refractory septic shock, neutropenia, metabolic acidosis and raised prothrombin time. However, in the multivariate analysis, only neutropenia, metabolic acidosis, increased prothrombin time and refractory septic shock retained their significance. The adjusted odd's ratio (95% confidence interval) were 0.095 (0.04 = 0.22), 1.14 (1.04-1.25), 1.04 (1.002-1.08) and 11.82 (5.47-69.40), respectively. CONCLUSION: Even in a setting with high fatality rates, high risk of mortality in neonatal sepsis can be identified and targeted for intensive intervention.
A cross sectional study involving 257 women from the Maternal and Child Health Centre (MCH) in Delhi was initiated for screening clinically, cytologically, colposcopically, and microbiologically for several gynaecologic infections. Eighty percent of the women had one or more gynaecologic infections and 31.1% had three or more infections. Cytology revealed changes suggestive of condyloma in 3 (1.2%) women only, while colposcopic examination suggested HPV changes in 117 (45.5%) women. A very high proportion of colposcopically detected lesions (78.6%) had evidence of HPV related changes in histology. The specificity of these lesions were further confirmed by Pan HPV DNA in-situ hybridisation, when 84% of the colposcopy is a valuable tool for detecting subclinical HPV lesions in a setting with high prevalence of gynaecologic infections.
OBJECTIVE: To study the clinical presentation of different gynecologic infections among Indian women. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study of 257 women that included clinical, cytologic, colposcopic, and microbiologic screening for various gynecologic infections. RESULTS: Human papillomavirus (HPV) was the leading infection, affecting 127 (49.4%) women; however, overt warts were only seen in seven (2.7%) patients. Women infected with HPV had a 60.3-fold higher risk of developing a bleeding ectopia compared to those with other infections; women with an unhealthy cervix and cervical ectopias also had an increased risk of HPV infection (7.6- and 2.8-fold, respectively). Bacterial vaginosis, detected in 33.5% of the women studied, had an increased risk of bleeding ectopia (9.3-fold), cervical ectopia (3.1-fold), cervicitis (2.9-fold), vaginitis (6.9-fold), and cervical hypertrophy (2.1-fold). Chlamydial infection, detected in 23.3% of the patient population, was associated with an eightfold increase in the risk of an unhealthy cervix and a fourfold increase in risk of a hypertrophied cervix. Immunoglobulin-A antibodies to the herpes simplex virus were detected in 53 (20.6%) women. More than half (55.2%) of the women had two or more infections, and the mean delay of seeking medical treatment was 7-13 months. CONCLUSION: The specific finding of bleeding cervices was associated with HPV and bacterial vaginosis, hypertrophied cervices with chlamydia and bacterial vaginosis, and unhealthy cervices with chlamydia and HPV infections.