Pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic modelling in drug development.
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Publications and source records attributed to L Aarons.
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Pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic modelling is being used increasingly as a tool in drug development because often in phase III clinical trials only sparse data are available for analysis and so a nonlinear mixed effects modelling approach has to be adopted. Specialist data analytical techniques and software are required to analyse such data. This article reviews some of the software currently available for performing nonlinear mixed effects modelling. A questionnaire was devised and sent to a number of software producers and the findings are presented and discussed in this paper. The programs could be grouped into 3 main categories: parametric and nonparametric maximum likelihood and Bayesian. It was apparent from the questionnaire that software development for population data analysis is a very active area of investigation. The implementation of methodologies varied widely between the packages: some were self-contained programs, whereas others were written within another application, usually a statistical package. They also varied with respect to their ease of use and level of support offered by the software producers. Although robustness and reliability are important concerns, they were not addressed in the present review. Most of the programs surveyed are in continual development.
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The population pharmacokinetics of teicoplanin in plasma and tonsillar tissue in children was determined following intramuscular administration. Thirty seven patients in all received either a single 5 mg/kg dose; 2 doses of 5 mg/kg, 12 h apart; 3 doses of 5 mg/kg, 12 h apart; or, a single 10 mg/kg dose. Limited data, comprising a maximum of 2 blood samples and 1 tonsillar sample were taken from each patient, with the maximum time being 48 h after the first dose of teicoplanin (in the 3 x 5 mg/kg dosing schedule). All plasma data were analyzed simultaneously by a maximum likelihood method employing a modified EM algorithm. A first-order absorption, one-compartment disposition model was fitted to the data. Mean parameter values (with lower and upper 95% confidence intervals) were: clearance/bioavailability, 0.024 L h(-1) kg(-1) (0.020-0.027); volume of distribution/bioavailability, 0.61 L kg(-1) (0.54-0.70); absorption rate constant, 0.43 h(-1) (0.31-0.61). A first-order transfer model for distribution of teicoplanin between plasma and tonsillar tissue was fitted to the tonsil data. The mean parameter values (95% confidence intervals) were: transfer rate constant between plasma and tonsils 0.49 h(-1) (0.35-0.67); transfer rate constant between tonsils and plasma 0.73 h(-1) (0.52-1.03). These rate constants correspond to a distribution half-life of 0.95 h and an equilibrium distribution concentration ratio between tonsillar tissue and plasma of 0.67. After normalising clearance and volume of distribution for body weight, there was no further influence of body weight on the pharmacokinetic parameters. Also, there was no effect of dose, and as two formulations were used, one for the 5 mg/kg dose and the other for the 10 mg/kg dose, no effect of formulation on the pharmacokinetics of teicoplanin after im (intramuscular) administration was found.
The tissue-to-unbound plasma distribution coefficients (Kpus) of 14 rat tissues after i.v. administration of nine 5-n-alkyl-5-ethyl barbituric acids, determined in a previous study, were used to identify a model of the relationship between tissue distribution and lipophilicity of the homologs, expressed in terms of their octanol to water partition ratio, P. Based on mechanistic considerations and assumptions, the parameter model was expressed as Kpu tau = fw.tau [1 + a tau (nPt.tau)Pb tau], where fw.tau is the tissue water content. (nPt. tau) is the binding capacity of the tissue, n is the number of the binding sites, a tau and b tau are the parameters of the relationship Ka tau = a tau Pb tau; and Ka tau is the binding association constant of each tissue. The parameter model was linearized and fitted to the predetermined Kpu values, yielding correlation coefficients ranging between .940 and .997. The predictive performance of the parameter model was evaluated using a leave-one-out procedure with subsequent computation of the mean prediction error (ME = measurement of the prediction bias) and the square root of the mean squared prediction error (RMSE = measurement of the prediction accuracy). The ME varied between -22.48 and 61.14%, indicating a slight tendency for overpredicting. The RMSE was between 24.73 and 102% for the individual tissues across the different homologs; and between 28.33 and 85.2% for the individual homologs across the different tissues. The apparently high Kpu prediction errors, when translated through the low sensitivity of the barbiturate whole-body physiologically based pharmacokinetic model, established previously, leads to predicted tissue concentration-time profiles within 5 to 20% of the original ones. Therefore, it is concluded, that the identified mechanistically based model is a good predictor of the tissue-to-unbound Kpus in the rat tissues.
Saquinavir is an HIV proteinase inhibitor marketed as a treatment for HIV infection. The drug has potent (Ki approximately 0.1 nM) antiviral activity and acts by inhibiting the processing of gag and gag-pol polyproteins, thus blocking the maturation of replicated viral particles. By assuming standard two-compartment disposition kinetics in combination with a variety of absorption processes we have identified two structural models that perform well with respect to describing the pharmacokinetic behavior of saquinavir when administered to healthy human volunteers from various Phase I studies. These structural models have been implemented for population analysis of these Phase I data via the Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo approach. We conclude that saquinavir exhibits complex and highly variable behavior, but can be modeled adequately using a two-compartment zero-order absorption model. There is also an indication that saquinavir kinetics may be time-dependent.
The axial dispersion model of hepatic drug elimination is characterized by two dimensionless parameters, the dispersion number, DN, and the efficiency number, RN, corresponding to the relative dispersion of material on transit through the organ and the relative efficiency of elimination of drug by the organ, respectively. Optimal design theory was applied to the estimation of these two parameters based on changes in availability (F) of drug at steady state for the closed boundary condition model, with particular attention to variations in the fraction of drug unbound in the perfusate (fuB). Sensitivity analysis indicates that precision in parameter estimation is greatest when F is low and that correlation between RN and DN is high, which is desirable for parameter estimation, when DN lies between 0.1 and 100. Optimal design points were obtained using D-optimization, taking into account the error variance model. If the error variance model is unknown, it is shown that choosing Poisson error model is reasonable. Furthermore, although not optimal, geometric spacing of fuB values is often reasonable and definitively superior to a uniform spacing strategy. In practice, the range of fuB available for selection may be limited by such practical considerations as assay sensitivity and acceptable concentration range of binding protein. Notwithstanding, optimal design theory provides a rational approach to precise parameter estimation.
AIMS: To construct a population model to account for the variability in ondansetron pharmacokinetics and to evaluate methods for the efficient development of population models. METHODS: Population models were developed using 99 subjects consisting of paediatric patients, young, elderly and aged volunteers. A two compartment pharmacokinetic model with a zero order input was used to describe the pharmacokinetics of ondansetron. Three stepwise methods were proposed and used alongside a three step approach to develop population models with both rich and sparse data sets. The stepwise methods were based on obtaining empirical Bayes posterior estimates of pharmacokinetic parameters within a nonlinear mixed effect modelling (NONMEM) program. The parameters were then regressed against covariates in a stepwise procedure. Variance parameters were obtained by fitting the proposed population model to the data in one further NONMEM run. The population model was validated against a test data set of 54 subjects, including children, young and elderly patients and volunteers. RESULTS: The population model adequately described the differences in ondansetron pharmacokinetics between paediatric patients, young, elderly and aged volunteers. Different covariates were identified by the various methods. Weight was found to have a strong positive linear relationship with all four pharmacokinetic parameters. Clearance showed a weak negative relationship with age. Males were found to have a greater clearance than females after weight adjustment. CONCLUSIONS: The stepwise search procedures potentially are capable of considerably reducing the time required to develop population pharmacokinetic models. The model developed for ondansetron gave accurate predictions of both the concentration-time profile and variability in an independent data set.
OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether reduced circulating levels of ascorbic acid in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) are a result of malabsorption. METHODS: Eight patients with SSc, but with no evidence of bacterial overgrowth, and 8 healthy controls were recruited. On the first day of study, each subject was given orally an aliquot of [14C] ascorbic acid, which was then "flushed out" by oral intake of unlabeled ascorbic acid for the following 7 days. Plasma samples were collected at specified intervals and urine was collected continuously over the 8 day study period. [14C] content of plasma and urine were measured by scintillation counting. For each subject, a plasma [14C] decay curve was drawn. Each subject's ascorbic acid absorption was assessed using the area under the curve (AUC) and the apparent renal clearance (CLr[app]). Ascorbic acid intake was assessed using dietary history and food composition tables. RESULTS: There were no differences in the dietary intake of vitamin C (p = 0.16) and body mass indices (p = 0.91) between patients and controls. The plasma [14C] AUC and CLr(app) were similar between patients and controls [AUC patient mean (standard deviation, SD) = 37.1 (6.8), AUC control mean (SD) = 38.6 (9.9), p = 0.74; CLr(app) patient mean (SD) = 0.57 (0.24), CLr(app) control mean (SD) = 0.47 (0.27), p = 0.45]. CONCLUSION: There was no evidence of impaired absorption of ascorbic acid in patients with SSc without bacterial overgrowth compared to healthy controls.
An expert meeting to discuss issues relating to the design of population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) studies was held in Brussels in March 1995, under the auspices of the European Co-operation in Science and Technology (COST), Medicine (B1) programme. The purpose of the meeting was to discuss the experts' experience in designing and performing population PK/PD studies. The topics discussed were current practice, logistical issues, ensuring the accuracy of data, covariate assessment, communication, and protocol design.
1. The aim of the study was to examine the potential pharmacokinetic interaction between methotrexate and flucloxacillin. 2. Ten rheumatoid arthritis patients participated in the interaction study. Subjects were allocated to either methotrexate alone (5-15 mg per week) or methotrexate plus flucloxacillin (500 mg four times a day 48 h prior to sampling) in a random order. 3. There was a statistically, but not clinically, significant decrease in methotrexate AUC (1307 +/- 389 vs 1212 +/- 394 micrograms l-1 h) in the presence of flucloxacillin. Cmax and tmax parameters for methotrexate were not significantly altered in the presence of flucloxacillin. 4. Data from an additional 10 rheumatoid arthritis patients, starting on methotrexate, were added to the data from the placebo arm of the interaction study and a model dependent pharmacokinetic analysis was performed. The plasma concentration profiles were best described by a two-compartment model with a mean clearance of 11.9 (+/- 1.7) l h-1 and an initial volume of distribution of 31.2 (+/- 2.6) l. The pronounced intersubject variability in the pharmacokinetic parameters was not related to any of the available covariate information. 5. Our findings suggest that no important clinical interaction occurs between flucloxacillin and methotrexate in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.
Currently, there is an increasing focus on the implementation of pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PK-PD) studies and modelling as essential tools for drug development. Strategies involving specifically the population approach, which are based on relatively recent statistical methodology (e.g. nonlinear mixed effects modelling, NONMEM) have been advocated for investigating pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic variability as well as dose-concentration-effect relationships. The present article outlines this approach, and discusses how it can be implemented within the framework of the studies currently performed as part of the clinical phases of new drug development. It also considers study design and performance, based on real-life experiences. Population approaches, if designed carefully and early, as part of the planning of the drug development programme, are expected to play a significant role at every phase of the programme and to contribute to providing information that is valuable for registration purposes. Statistical methodology and software are now widely available. However, practical issues such as integration of the population approach within existing protocols, quality control of the data, timing of laboratory and statistical analyses, as well as resource allocation, remain legitimate concerns to be considered in prospective studies.
The effects of norfloxacin (NOR), at steady-state plasma concentrations of 0-32 mg.l-1, on the plasma clearance of a 6 mg.kg-1 i.v. bolus dose of theophylline (THEO) in the male Sprague-Dawley rat have been studied. The effects were characterised by a Ki value (Ki = 12 microM), which was comparable with Ki values obtained previously under identical conditions for ciprofloxacin, but higher than that obtained for enoxacin. The distributional characteristics, volume of distribution and liver to plasma concentration ratio, were very similar for the three compounds. The only marked pharmacokinetic differences were in hepatic clearance, where there was a rank order NOR > ciprofloxacin > enoxacin, a reverse of the order in the reduction of THEO clearance seen in clinical studies. The advantages of using the steady-state experimental design described here are that equivalent concentrations are utilised to compare related drugs and differences in pharmacokinetics are accounted for, to allow a direct comparison of potency. This information, together with additional pharmacokinetic considerations, suggests that the different effects on THEO clearance seen in the clinic for NOR, ciprofloxacin and enoxacin are not solely due to differences in inhibitory potency, but also involve differences in hepatic clearance and hence systemic availability of the fluoroquinolones.
1. The effects of beta-naphthoflavone, dexamethasone, phenobarbitone and isosafrole on the metabolism of theophylline by rat liver microsomes have been studied. Only beta-naphthoflavone, a known P4501A inducer, increased the rate of 1-methylxanthine formation (3-fold), whereas all the inducers studied increased the rate of 1,3-dimethyluric acid production (2.5-3-fold). 2. To study the effects of a range of fluoroquinolones on theophylline metabolism, beta-naphthoflavone-induced microsomes were used, as the ratio for metabolite production rates was similar to that of untreated microsomes (4:1,3-dimethyluric acid: 1-methylxanthine at 2 mM theophylline). High concentrations of fluoroquinolones (0.5-1.5 mM) were required to affect microsomal theophylline metabolism. 1-Methylxanthine was more sensitive to fluoroquinolone inhibition by enoxacin, ciprofloxacin, norfloxacin and pipemidic acid than 1,3-dimethyluric acid; CP67015, had a significant effect on 1,3-dimethyluric acid production only; binfloxacin had no effect on either pathway. 3. Ethoxycoumarin, a rapidly metabolized substrate, was also investigated as a surrogate for theophylline in in vitro experiments. Fluoroquinolone inhibition of ethoxycoumarin O-de-ethylation in beta-naphthoflavone-induced microsomes was quantitatively greater but qualitatively similar to theophylline metabolism (IC50s 440-870 microM at 2 microM 7-ethoxycoumarin). 4. These data are comparable with previous rat experiments in vivo, indicating that enoxacin, ciprofloxacin and norfloxacin have similar intrinsic activity in the inhibition of theophylline metabolism.
An expert meeting to discuss population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic software was held in Brussels in November 1993 under the auspices of the European Co-operation in Science and Technology (COST), Medicine (B1) programme. Recently developed statistical methods offer the possibility of gaining integrated information on pharmacokinetics and response from relatively sparse observational data obtained directly in patients who are being treated with the drug under development. These methods can minimize the need to exclude patient groups and also allow analysis of a variety of unbalanced designs that frequently arise in the evaluation of the relationships between dose or concentration on the one hand and efficacy or safety on the other relationships that do not readily lend themselves to other forms of statistical analysis. The purpose of the Brussels meeting was to evaluate the state of both existing software and software under development, and to specify the needs and wishes of potential users of such software. It was apparent from the meeting that software development for population data analysis is currently a very active area of investigation and that several very good packages are already available, with more in development. The general consensus of the meeting was that well validated, easy to use software was essential to the implementation of the population approach to drug development.
Certain fluoroquinolone antibiotics affect theophylline (THEO) disposition by inhibition of its metabolism, yet no studies to date have investigated the relationship between fluoroquinolone plasma concentration and THEO pharmacokinetics. The effects of two fluoroquinolones, enoxacin (ENOX) and ciprofloxacin (CIPRO), have been studied in male Sprague-Dawley rats (n = 33-46) at steady state plasma concentrations of 0-33 mg.l-1, achieved by supplementing an intravenous bolus dose with a constant rate infusion. The effects of steady state ENOX and CIPRO plasma concentrations on the clearance of THEO determined after an intravenous bolus dose of 6 mg.kg-1 were described using a competitive inhibition model. The model consisted of two components, one describing a residual component of THEO clearance, which was unaffected by fluoroquinolone, the other describing the non-linear reduction of THEO clearance by fluoroquinolone. The residual clearance estimated from the model was comparable to renal clearance for THEO in the rat. The potency of each fluoroquinolone was characterised by a Ki value, the concentration reducing THEO clearance by 50% of the maximum change. These values were 4.7 microM and 16.3 microM for ENOX and CIPRO, respectively. Thus, in this study, ENOX was found to be a more potent inhibitor of THEO clearance than CIPRO. The method allowed direct in vivo comparison of potency between different fluoroquinolones, as pharmacokinetic differences, such as clearance, volume of distribution and bioavailability, were 'designed out.'
A sensitive and selective reversed-phase high-performance liquid chromatographic method for the determination of theophylline in plasma simultaneously with either ciprofloxacin, enoxacin or norfloxacin has been developed. It involves extraction of plasma with chloroform-isopropanol or dichloromethane-isopropanol prior to chromatography on a Spherisorb ODS2 column. The mobile phase is 15% acetonitrile in a phosphate buffer (pH 3.0) containing tetrabutylammonium hydrogen sulphate (4.4 mM) as an ion-pairing agent. Ultraviolet detection is carried out at 280 nm. Run time is less than 10 min for all three separations. The assays have been used to determine the effect of plasma concentrations of fluoroquinolone on theophylline clearance.
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