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Keith Wheatley

Publications and source records attributed to Keith Wheatley.

31 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Interleukin-2 receptor monoclonal antibodies in renal transplantation: meta-analysis of randomised trials.

OBJECTIVE: To study the effect of interleukin-2 receptor monoclonal antibodies on acute rejection episodes, graft loss, deaths, and rate of infection and malignancy in patients with renal transplants. DESIGN: Meta-analysis of published data. DATA SOURCES: Medline, Embase, and Cochrane library for years 1996-2003 plus search of medical editors' trial amnesty and contact with manufacturers of the antibodies. SELECTION OF STUDIES: Randomised controlled trials comparing interleukin-2 receptor antibodies with placebo or no additional treatment in patients with renal transplants receiving ciclosporin based immunosuppression. RESULTS: Eight randomised controlled trials involving 1871 patients met the selection criteria (although only 1858 patients were analysed). Interleukin-2 receptor antibodies significantly reduced the risk of acute rejection (odds ratio 0.51, 95% confidence interval 0.42 to 0.63). There were no significant differences in the rate of graft loss (0.78, 0.58 to 1.04), mortality (0.75, 0.46 to 1.23), overall incidence of infections (0.97, 0.77 to 1.24), incidence of cytomegalovirus infections (0.81, 0.62 to 1.04), or risk of malignancies at one year (0.82, 0.39 to 1.70). The different antibodies had a similar sized effect on acute rejection (test for heterogeneity P=0.7): anti-Tac (0.37, 0.16 to 0.89), BT563 (0.37, 0.1 to 1.38), basiliximab (0.56, 0.44 to 0.72), and daclizumab (0.46, 0.32 to 0.67). The reduction in acute rejections was similar for all ciclosporin based immunosuppression regimens (test for heterogeneity P=1.0). CONCLUSIONS: Adding interleukin-2 receptor antibodies to ciclosporin based immunosuppression reduces episodes of acute rejection at six months by 49%. There is no evidence of an increased risk of infective complications. Longer follow up studies are needed to confirm whether interleukin-2 receptor antibodies improve long term graft and patient survival.

Antibodies, Monoclonal↗

Be skeptical about unexpected large apparent treatment effects: the case of an MRC AML12 randomization.

The preliminary results of the twelfth Medical Research Council acute myeloid leukemia trial show no evidence of a survival advantage for five courses of therapy compared to four courses in a randomized comparison involving 1078 patients (hazard ratio 1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.87-1.37, p=0.4). However, the data presented to the independent data monitoring and ethics committee (DMEC) at both its reviews in 1998 suggested large benefits for the additional course with hazard ratios of 0.47 and 0.55 (95% CIs 0.29-0.77 and 0.38-0.80, p=0.003 and p=0.002, respectively). Despite these highly significant findings, the DMEC did not recommend closure of the randomization, a decision vindicated by the subsequent reversion to a null result. The main reason for not closing the randomization was that the treatment effects observed in 1998 (53% and 45% reductions in the odds of death) were considered too large to be clinically plausible, despite the p-values associated with them. Investigations have not identified any clinical explanations, such as different types of patients in the early and later parts of the trial, to explain the loss of benefit as the trial progressed. Thus, the most likely current explanation for the large benefit observed early on is the play of chance. Lessons to be learned from this example are that: fixed stopping rules based on some predetermined p-value should not be used and the decision to close a randomization or not should take account of other factors such as the medical plausibility of the magnitude of the treatment effect; chance effects do occur and happen more frequently than many clinicians realize; it is important that DMEC members are experienced in the interpretation of clinical trial evidence and aware of the dangers of early stopping without wholly convincing evidence.

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols↗

Does adjuvant interferon-alpha for high-risk melanoma provide a worthwhile benefit? A meta-analysis of the randomised trials.

BACKGROUND: Several randomised trials have compared interferon-alpha with control as adjuvant therapy for high-risk malignant melanoma. The results of the individual trials have been either inconclusive or even apparently conflicting. To assess all the available evidence we performed a meta-analysis of these trials. METHODS: Standard methods for quantitative meta-analysis based on published data were used. Endpoints evaluated were recurrence-free survival and overall survival. A subgroup analysis by dose of interferon-alpha was performed. FINDINGS: Twelve trials, comprising 14 comparisons of interferon-alpha with control, with results available were identified. Recurrence-free survival was improved with interferon-alpha: hazard ratio 0.83, 95% confidence interval 0.77 to 0.90, p=0.000003. The benefit on overall survival was less clear (0.93, 0.85 to 1.02, p=0.1) and the confidence interval is compatible both with no benefit and with a moderate, but clinically worthwhile, benefit. There was some evidence of a dose response relationship with a significant trend for the benefit of interferon-alpha to increase with increasing dose for recurrence-free survival (test for trend: p=0.02) but not for overall survival (trend: p=0.8). INTERPRETATION: This meta-analysis provides the most reliable synthesis of the data currently available. Adjuvant interferon-alpha produces clear reductions in recurrence of high-risk melanoma, with some evidence of an effect of dose of interferon-alpha, but it is unclear whether this translates into a worthwhile survival benefit or not. Additional and more mature data are needed to resolve these issues and an individual patient data meta-analysis should be performed.

Antineoplastic Agents↗

Continuing uncertainty about the value of percutaneous revascularization in atherosclerotic renovascular disease: a meta-analysis of randomized trials.

BACKGROUND: To study the effect of revascularization on blood pressure (BP) and serum creatinine (SCr) in patients with atherosclerotic renovascular disease (ARVD). METHODS: Three randomized studies comparing balloon angioplasty (plus medication if necessary) with medical therapy alone in patients with ARVD were identified. In one study, patients were stratified and analysed according to whether they had unilateral or bilateral disease. Therefore, four sets of results were available for inclusion in a meta-analysis comparing BP and SCr at 6 months and changes from baseline. RESULTS: The three trials recruited 210 patients. There was no clear benefit for angioplasty when comparing BP at 6 months. Relative to the medical therapy group, the mean (95% CI) systolic/diastolic BP was 2.9 mmHg (-9.1, 3.4)/0.35 mmHg (-3.6, 2.9) lower in the angioplasty group (P=0.4/0.8). There was, however, some suggestion of benefit for angioplasty when changes in BP were compared. There was a greater reduction in the systolic/diastolic BP in the angioplasty group, with a difference of 6.3 mmHg (-11.7, -0.8)/3.3 mmHg (-6.2, -0.4) in the mean change (P=0.02/0.03). There was some suggestion of benefit for angioplasty in terms of changes in SCr, although this was not significant (P=0.06). CONCLUSIONS: The reported trials have been too small to determine reliably the role of angioplasty in ARVD. Although the combined results of three previous trials exclude the possibility of a large improvement in renal function or hypertension after angioplasty, a moderate but clinically worthwhile benefit cannot be ruled out. Further large-scale randomized evidence is needed.

Angioplasty, Balloon↗

Results of treatment of children with refractory anaemia with excess blasts (RAEB) and RAEB in transformation (RAEBt) in Great Britain 1990-99.

Between 1990 and 1999, 36 children with refractory anaemia with excess blasts (RAEB) and RAEB in transformation (RAEBt), not associated with Down's syndrome, were diagnosed in Britain. A total of 31 children received intensive chemotherapy, six of whom proceeded to a bone marrow allograft in first remission, whereas two received an autograft. Of the 23 given chemotherapy only, four died of toxicity, 10 relapsed and nine are alive in first remission. Out of the 10 who relapsed, four are alive and disease-free following an allograft. Out of the 6 children given an allograft in first remission, two died of disease and four are alive in first remission. Both children given an autograft died of disease. Two children received an allograft without prior chemotherapy but died of toxicity. Three children received supportive care only, and one child survived. The overall survival was 51% at 5 years, and was superior in children with RAEBt (63%) compared with RAEB (28%, P = 0.03). Cytogenetics were available in 35 cases. Monosomy 7 was the most common abnormality (33% of cases). Survival in children with monosomy 7 was 22% at 5 years compared with 66% for the other patients (P = 0.05). Allowing for cytogenetics, outcomes of therapy appear similar to those for de novo acute myeloid leukaemia (AML), and it is appropriate for children with RAEB/RAEBt to be registered in AML trials.

Acute Disease↗

The value of allogeneic bone marrow transplant in patients with acute myeloid leukaemia at differing risk of relapse: results of the UK MRC AML 10 trial.

Patients under 55 years in the United Kingdom Medical Research Council Acute Myeloid Leukaemia 10 trial who entered complete remission were tissue typed (n = 1063). Four hundred and nineteen had a matched sibling donor and 644 had no match. When compared on a donor versus no donor basis the relapse risk was reduced in the donor arm (36%vs 52%; P = 0.001) and the disease-free survival (DFS) improved (50%vs 42%; P = 0.01), but overall survival (OS) was not different (55%vs 50%; P = 0.1). Sixty-one per cent of patients with a donor underwent transplantation. When patients were subdivided into risk groups based on cytogenetics alone or with the addition of blast response to course 1, a reduction in relapse risk was seen in all risk groups and in three age cohorts (0-14, 15-34 and 35+ years). Significant benefit in DFS was only seen in the intermediate-risk cytogenetic group (50%vs 39%; P = 0.004). The OS benefit was only seen in intermediate-risk patients (55%vs 44%; P = 0.02). The reduction in relapse risk in good-risk patients was attributable to patients with t(15;17) and not to patients with t(8;21) or inv(16). Allogeneic transplantation given after intensive chemotherapy was able to reduce relapse in all risk and age groups. However, due to the competing effects of procedural mortality and an inferior response to chemotherapy if relapse does occur, there was a survival advantage only in patients of intermediate risk. This trial found no survival advantage in children, patients over 35 years or good-risk disease.

Acute Disease↗