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Biomedical subjects

Jonathan Shepherd

Publications and source records attributed to Jonathan Shepherd.

5 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2002

Trends in violence in England and Wales 1995-2000: an accident and emergency perspective.

BACKGROUND: Prevention of violence-related injury has become an important public health issue but national, regional and local data are lacking. The aims of this study were to determine trends, seasonality and rates of violence-related injury according to Accident and Emergency (A&E) recorded data in England and Wales over a 5 year period, 1995-2000. METHODS: A stratified sample of 58 major A&E departments in England and Wales were recruited for the study. Electronic data on age, gender and date of attendance of all those reporting violence-related injury over a 5 year period, May 1995 to April 2000, were retrieved. Injury rates (number of injured per 100 resident population) were computed and ordinary least-squares regression analysis was used to evaluate linear and non-linear trends in these time series data. RESULTS: A total of 353442 (258719 males: 73 per cent) violence-related attendances were identified. Overall annual violence-related attendance did not change significantly (p > 0.05) but attendance of females aged 11-17 years increased steadily and significantly (p < 0.05) over the 5 year period. Health-region, gender- and age-specific increases in violence-related attendance slowed (p < 0.05). Compared with spring there were significantly lower levels of violence in autumn and winter for both males and females (p < 0.05). Violence affecting males aged 18-30 years was not subject to seasonality. Males, those aged 18-30 years and those living in the northern and western regions in England and Wales were at highest risk of violence-related injury. CONCLUSIONS: This national study from the perspective of health services suggests that violence did not increase over the period 1995-2000. Slowing of age-, gender- and health-region-specific increases in violence-related injury suggests that violence is coming under control. The reasons for significant trends in individual urban centres deserve further study, and could provide important new directions for violence prevention.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2002

Relations between offending, injury and illness.

The objectives of this study were to determine relations between offending and health, and how illness and injury relate to concurrent offending--whether offending predicts health or vice versa, and whether relations persist after adjustment for childhood predictors of offending. Data collected in the Cambridge Study in Delinquent Development were analysed. This is a prospective longitudinal survey of 411 South London males first recruited at age 8. Information about injuries and illnesses between ages 16 and 18 was set against information on offending and other types of antisocial behaviour. Males who were injured (especially in assaults) tended to be convicted, to be violent, to have unskilled manual jobs and to be generally antisocial. Respiratory tract illnesses were negatively related to convictions and antisocial behaviour in general. Drug users were significantly likely to be ill. Adult convictions were predicted by childhood troublesome behaviour, daring/hyperactivity, low IQ/attainment, a convicted parent, family disruption/poor supervision and poverty. Assault injuries and respiratory tract illnesses did not predict adult convictions independently of these childhood factors. It was concluded that injury is one symptom of an antisocial personality that arises in childhood and persists into adulthood. Therefore, measures that lead to a reduction in offending should also lead to a reduction in concurrent injuries. Negative relations between a range of antisocial behaviours and respiratory tract illness deserve further study.

Adolescent↗