Beta-carotene: a miss for epidemiology.
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Biomedical subjects
Publications and source records attributed to J R Marshall.
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The Ki-ras protooncogene frequently is mutated in colorectal adenocarcinomas, but the etiology of this molecular event is uncertain. We investigated the association between variables known or suspected to be related to risk for colorectal cancer and the occurrence of Ki-ras mutations in colorectal adenomas. This study was conducted among 678 male and female participants, 40-80 years of age, enrolled in a phase III trial testing the effects of a wheat bran fiber supplement on adenoma recurrence. Exposure information on the risk factors of interest was assessed through self-administered questionnaires. Mutations in codons 12 and 13 of the Ki-ras protooncogene were analyzed in baseline adenomas 0.5 cm or larger by PCR amplification followed by direct sequencing. Eighteen percent (120 of 678) of the participants had one or more adenoma(s) with Ki-ras mutations. A higher risk of Ki-ras mutations was associated with increasing age and a lower intake of total folate. The odds ratio (OR) for Ki-ras mutations for individuals >72 years of age was 1.98 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.19-3.27; P for trend = 0.008] compared with those less than 65 years of age. Compared with individuals in the lower tertile of total folate, those in the upper tertile had an approximately 50% lower risk of having Ki-ras mutation-positive adenomas (OR = 0.52; 95% CI = 0.30-0.88; P for trend = 0.02). There was a suggestion of a stronger inverse association of total folate with G-->T transversions (OR = 0.41; 95% CI = 0.20-0.87) than G-->A transitions (OR = 0.61; 95% CI = 0.31-1.21), although the CIs for the associations overlap. The results of these analyses suggest that the protective effect of folate in colon cancer observed in published studies may be mediated through folate's effect on Ki-ras mutations.
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Epidemiologic studies often rely on food frequency questionnaires (FFQs) to collect information on alcoholic beverage intake. However, estimation of alcohol intake using FFQs may be of some concern because of limited questions concerning alcohol intake. The authors compared estimates of alcohol intake during the 12-24 months prior to interview obtained from the Health Habits and History Questionnaire and the Harvard Semiquantitative Food Frequency Questionnaire with those from a more extensive alcohol questionnaire, the Drinking Pattern Questionnaire, among 133 healthy subjects (75 men, 58 women) aged 35-73 years, residents of western New York State. Data were collected in 1995 during two separate interviewer-administered computer-assisted interviews conducted approximately 2 weeks apart. For each questionnaire, average daily ounces (1 oz = 30 ml) of alcohol intake from alcoholic beverages were calculated as the product of the reported beverage-specific drink size (ounces) and the average daily frequency of intake multiplied by a factor representing the percentage of alcohol provided by each beverage. Estimates of total alcohol and liquor intake, but not of beer and wine intake, tended to be higher for the Drinking Pattern Questionnaire compared with the FFQs. Spearman's correlation coefficients ranged from 0.69 to 0.84. These results suggest that although the Drinking Pattern Questionnaire produced higher estimates than either FFQ, both FFQs provide a reasonable ranking of participants' alcohol intake.
Confounding in epidemiology, and the limits of standard methods of control for an imperfectly measured confounder, have been understood for some time. However, most treatments of this problem are based on the assumption that errors of measurement in confounding and confounded variables are independent. This paper considers the situation in which a strong risk factor (confounder) and an inconsequential but suspected risk factor (confounded) are each measured with errors that are correlated; the situation appears especially likely to occur in the field of nutritional epidemiology. Error correlation appears to add little to measurement error as a source of bias in estimating the impact of a strong risk factor: it can add to, diminish, or reverse the bias induced by measurement error in estimating the impact of the inconsequential risk factor. Correlation of measurement errors can add to the difficulty involved in evaluating structures in which confounding and measurement error are present. In its presence, observed correlations among risk factors can be greater than, less than, or even opposite to the true correlations. Interpretation of multivariate epidemiologic structures in which confounding is likely requires evaluation of measurement error structures, including correlations among measurement errors.
BACKGROUND: Evidence suggests a relationship between prostaglandin levels in colonic mucosa and risk of colon cancer. Physical inactivity and a higher body mass index (BMI; weight in kilograms divided by [height in meters]2) have been consistently shown to increase risk of this cancer. We investigated whether higher levels of leisure-time physical activity or a lower BMI was associated with lower concentrations of prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) in rectal mucosa. METHODS: This study was conducted in 41 men and 22 women, 42-78 years of age, with a history of polyps, who participated in a randomized clinical trial testing the effects of piroxicam on rectal mucosal PGE2 levels. An [125I]PGE2 radioimmunoassay kit was used to determine PGE2 levels in samples of extracted rectal mucosa collected before randomization. Leisure-time physical activity was assessed through a self-administered questionnaire collected at baseline. The reported time spent at each activity per week was multiplied by its typical energy expenditure, expressed in metabolic equivalents (METs), to yield a MET-hours per week score. A repeated measures model was used to assess the effect of BMI and physical activity as predictors of PGE2 concentration. All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS: After adjustment for age, a higher BMI was associated with higher PGE2 levels (P = .001). A higher level of leisure-time physical activity was inversely associated with PGE2 concentration (P<.03). An increase in BMI from 24.2 to 28.8 kg/m2 was associated with a 27% increase in PGE2. An increase in activity level from 5.2 to 27.7 MET-hours per week was associated with a 28% decrease in PGE2. CONCLUSIONS: Physical activity and obesity may alter the risk of colon cancer through their effects on PGE2 synthesis.
Oxidative stress, resulting from the imbalance between prooxidant and antioxidant states, damages DNA, proteins, cell membranes, and mitochondria and seems to play a role in human breast carcinogenesis. Dietary sources of antioxidants (chemical) and endogenous antioxidants (enzymatic), including the polymorphic manganese superoxide dismutase (MnSOD), can act to reduce the load of oxidative stress. We hypothesized that the valine-to-alanine substitution that seems to alter transport of the enzyme into the mitochondrion, changing its efficacy in fighting oxidative stress, was associated with breast cancer risk and that a diet rich in sources of antioxidants could ameliorate the effects on risk. Data were collected in a case-control study of diet and breast cancer in western New York from 1986 to 1991. Caucasian women with incident, primary, histologically confirmed breast cancer were frequency-matched on age and county of residence to community controls. Blood specimens were collected and processed from a subset of participants in the study (266 cases and 295 controls). Using a RFLP that distinguishes a valine (V) to alanine (A) change in the -9 position in the signal sequence of the protein for MnSOD, we characterized MnSOD genotypes in relation to breast cancer risk. We also evaluated the effect of the polymorphism on risk among low and high consumers of fruits and vegetables. Premenopausal women who were homozygous for the A allele had a 4-fold increase in breast cancer risk in comparison to those with 1 or 2 V alleles (odds ratio, 4.3; 95% confidence interval, 1.7-10.8). Risk was most pronounced among women below the median consumption of fruits and vegetables and of dietary ascorbic acid and alpha-tocopherol, with little increased risk for those with diets rich in these foods. Relationships were weaker among postmenopausal women, although the MnSOD AA genotype was associated with an almost 2-fold increase in risk (odds ratio, 1.8; confidence interval, 0.9-3.6). No appreciable modification of risk by diet was detected for these older women. These data support the hypothesis that MnSOD and oxidative stress play a significant role in breast cancer risk, particularly in premenopausal women. The finding that risk was greatest among women who consumed lower amounts of dietary antioxidants and was minimal among high consumers indicates that a diet rich in sources of antioxidants may minimize the deleterious effects of the MnSOD polymorphism, thereby supporting public health recommendations for the consumption of diets rich in fruits and vegetables as a preventive measure against cancer.
A double-blind, placebo-controlled Phase III cancer prevention trial in subjects with previous resection of adenomatous colon polyps is nearing completion. The study's primary objective is to evaluate the effects of daily dietary supplementation with large (13.5 g/day) versus small (2.0 g/day) doses of wheat bran fiber for 3 years. A summary of the study design and a progress report are presented.
BACKGROUND: Polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) have been associated with a variety of health outcomes. Enhanced laboratory techniques can provide a relatively large number of individual PCB congeners for investigation. However, to date there are no established frameworks for grouping a large number of PCB congeners into meaningful analytic units. METHODS: In a case-control study of serum PCB levels on breast cancer risk, measured levels of 56 PCB congener peaks were available for analysis. We considered several approaches for grouping these compounds based on 1) chlorination, 2) factor analysis, 3) enzyme induction, 4) enzyme induction and occurrence, and 5) enzyme induction, occurrence, and other toxicological aspects. The utility of a framework was based on the mechanism of biologic actions within each framework, lack of collinearity among congener groups, and frequency of detection of PCB congener groups in measured serum levels of 192 healthy postmenopausal women. RESULTS: Most participants had detectable levels for the proposed PCB congeners groups, using degree of chlorination as a grouping framework. In addition, the previously proposed grouping approach based on enzyme induction, occurrence, and other toxicological aspects was an applicable alternative to the crude approach of grouping by degree of chlorination. Grouping these congeners with respect to P450 enzyme induction activity, and the previously proposed framework based on enzyme induction and occurrence, did not fit these data as well, because only a small proportion of participants had detectable levels for the congener groups with the greatest toxicological potential. Statistical grouping did not result in an interpretable and meaningful clustering of these exposures. CONCLUSIONS: In these data, grouping with respect to degree of chlorination and the previously proposed framework based on enzyme induction, occurrence, and other toxicological aspects were the most useful approaches to reducing a large number of PCB congeners into meaningful analytic units. Factors affecting the utility of the proposed grouping frameworks are discussed.
OBJECTIVE: This study sought to evaluate the benefit of utilizing a nutritionist review of a self-administered food frequency questionnaire (FFQ), to determine whether accuracy could be improved beyond that produced by the self-administered questionnaire alone. DESIGN: Participants randomized into a dietary intervention trial completed both a FFQ and a 4-day food record (FR) at baseline before entry into the intervention. The FFQ was self-administered, photocopied and then reviewed by a nutritionist who used additional probes to help complete the questionnaire. Both the versions before nutritionist review and after nutritionist review - were individually compared on specific nutrients to the FR by means, correlations and per cent agreement into quintiles. SETTINGS AND SUBJECTS: Three hundred and twenty-four people, a subset of participants from the Polyp Prevention Trial - a randomized controlled trial examining the effect of a low-fat, high-fibre, high fruit and vegetable dietary pattern on the recurrence of adenomatous polyps - were recruited from clinical centres at the University of Utah, University of Buffalo, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center in New York and Kaiser Permanente Medical Program in Oakland. RESULTS: Reviewing the FFQ increased correlations with the FR for every nutrient, and per cent agreement into quintiles for all nutrients except calcium. Energy was underestimated in both versions of the FFQ but to a lesser degree in the version with review. CONCLUSIONS: One must further evaluate whether the increases seen with nutritionist review of the FFQ will enhance our ability to predict diet-disease relationships and whether it is cost-effective when participant burden and money spent utilizing trained personnel are considered.
OBJECTIVES: Because alcohol dehydrogenase 3 (ADH3) is rate-limiting in alcohol oxidation and is polymorphic, we examined ADH3 genotype in relation to alcohol intake and breast cancer risk. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study among Caucasian women aged 40-85 with incident, pathologically confirmed breast cancer and controls, frequency-matched on age and county. Queries included alcohol intake in the past 20 years. Genomic DNA was genotyped for the exon VIII ADH polymorphism by PCR followed by restriction enzyme digestion. Computation of odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) was by unconditional logistic regression. RESULTS: We found increased risk among pre- (OR 2.3, 95%, CI 1.2-4.3) but not postmenopausal women (OR 1.1, 95% CI 0.7-1.7) associated with ADH3(1-1) compared to ADH3(1-2) and ADH3(2-2) genotypes. Risk was increased for premenopausal women with the ADH3(1-1) genotype and alcohol intake above the median (OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.5-8.8) compared to lighter drinkers with the ADH3(2-2) or ADH3(1-2) genotypes. ORs were close to null for premenopausal women in other drinking and genotype groups and for postmenopausal women categorized by genotype and alcohol consumption. CONCLUSION: Among premenopausal women there may be a group more genetically susceptible to an alcohol consumption effect on breast cancer risk.
Helicobacter pylori infection is associated with gastric adenocarcinoma. However, the mechanisms of this interaction are still unclear. This study was conducted to explore the effects of H. pylori infection on early and late stage gastric carcinogenesis. This study included 134 patients with adenocarcinoma of the stomach (ACS), 67 patients with chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG), and 65 normal controls recruited at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) from November 1, 1992 to November 1, 1994. Epidemiologic data were collected by a modified National Cancer Institute Health Habits History Questionnaire. H. pylori infection was diagnosed by pathological evaluation. Risk factors were analyzed using logistic regression. The odds ratio (OR) associated with H. pylori infection was 10.4 [95% confidence interval (CI): 2.6-41.6] for CAG and 11.2 (95% CI: 2.5-50.3) for gastric cancer in comparison with normal controls, with adjustment for pack-years of smoking, alcohol drinking, body mass index, total caloric intake, dietary fat and fiber intake, and Barrett's esophagus. But H. pylori infection was not associated with risk of stomach cancer when patients with stomach cancer were compared with patients with CAG (OR = 0.6, 95% CI: 0.3-1.3) after controlling for potential confounding variables. This association was persistent when only patients with both gastric cancer and chronic gastritis were considered as cases and patients with CAG were considered as controls (OR = 0.7, 95% CI: 0.3-2.0) in the multivariate analysis. Our results suggest that H. pylori infection may be involved in the early stage of development of CAG, but not in the development of stomach cancer from CAG, and indicate that strategies for prevention of stomach cancer should target the early stage to eliminate H. pylori infection in high-risk populations.
In this study, we sought to determine what factors, in addition to alcohol consumption, were the best predictors of social and physical alcohol-related problems. Variables examined as possible predictors of problems included circumstances under which people drink, feelings of alienation, and religious affiliation. Data for this study were collected continually from 1984 to 1989 using a random telephone survey of 2094 New York State residents aged 18 or older; the study sample was comprised of the 1076 who had consumed alcohol in the previous 30 days. Stepwise regression analyses examined the main effects of all possible predictors of problems while controlling for alcohol consumption. Forced-entry regressions examined interaction effects of problem predictors while controlling for basic demographics. Drinking with breakfast, smoking marijuana, and drinking in bars alone were all significant predictors of more problems. This suggests that problems are associated with an aberrant lifestyle (i.e., different from a typical lifestyle), although it makes no assumption about motivations. Further investigation of this subject area is warranted to ascertain which population subgroups are the most vulnerable to alcohol-related problems and to guide the design of prevention programs.
Whether such epidemiologic descriptors as relative risk, dose response, and threshold points convey meaningful information is often the subject of debate. Thus, using these descriptors to juxtapose the many disease-specific effects of nutritional exposures becomes problematic. In this article it is argued that epidemiologic patterns of disease-exposure associations must be interpreted in light of the profound imprecision of exposure assessment that characterizes nutritional epidemiology. In general, this imprecision leads to substantial attenuation of disease-exposure associations, such that relative risk, dose response, and the extent to which there are thresholds in disease-exposure associations can be seriously underestimated. Linking disease-specific relative risks, especially when derived from different studies with different methods of assessing exposure, is made increasingly difficult. The most critical tasks for lessening bias in these epidemiologic descriptors are first, to lessen imprecision in measuring exposures, and second, to adjust association estimates for attenuation due to measurement imprecision.
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Various chemoprevention trials have assessed dietary intake by means of food frequency questionnaires. However, it is important to assess the degree to which such questionnaires can measure diet. We conducted reproducibility and validity analyses of our Arizona Food Frequency Questionnaire (AFFQ) in our recently completed, randomized, Phase III chemoprevention trial testing the effects of a wheat bran fiber supplement on colorectal adenoma recurrence. A total of 139 individuals provided a baseline and year 1 AFFQ and a set of 4-day dietary records collected over a period of 1 month. The reproducibility analyses of the AFFQ administered 1 year apart showed a mean intraclass correlation of 0.54 for unadjusted nutrients and 0.48 for energy-adjusted nutrients. The relative validity of the AFFQ, as compared with the average of the 4-day diet records, showed a mean deattenuated correlation of 0.49 (range, 0.22-0.65) for the baseline AFFQ and 0.49 (range, 0.25-0.67) for the year 1 AFFQ. When data from both AFFQs were combined and compared with the diet records, there was a slight improvement in the overall deattenuated correlations (mean, 0.56; range, 0.33-0.71). The correlations we observed for macro- and micronutrient intake were within the overall range of those reported in the literature. Reliability and validity studies of dietary instruments are feasible in the setting of a chemoprevention trial and should be conducted when the instrument's performance has not been previously assessed in the target population.
Marijuana is the most commonly used illegal drug in the United States. In some subcultures, it is widely perceived to be harmless. Although the carcinogenic properties of marijuana smoke are similar to those of tobacco, no epidemiological studies of the relationship between marijuana use and head and neck cancer have been published. The relationship between marijuana use and head and neck cancer was investigated by a case-control study of 173 previously untreated cases with pathologically confirmed diagnoses of squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck and 176 cancer-free controls at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center between 1992 and 1994. Epidemiological data were collected by using a structured questionnaire, which included history of tobacco smoking, alcohol use, and marijuana use. The associations between marijuana use and head and neck cancer were analyzed by Mantel-Haenszel methods and logistic regression models. Controlling for age, sex, race, education, alcohol consumption, pack-years of cigarette smoking, and passive smoking, the risk of squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck was increased with marijuana use [odds ratio (OR) comparing ever with never users, 2.6; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.1-6.6]. Dose-response relationships were observed for frequency of marijuana use/day (P for trend <0.05) and years of marijuana use (P for trend <0.05). These associations were stronger for subjects who were 55 years of age and younger (OR, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.0-9.7). Possible interaction effects of marijuana use were observed with cigarette smoking, mutagen sensitivity, and to a lesser extent, alcohol use. Our results suggest that marijuana use may increase the risk of head and neck cancer with a strong dose-response pattern. Our analysis indicated that marijuana use may interact with mutagen sensitivity and other risk factors to increase the risk of head and neck cancer. The results need to be interpreted with some caution in drawing causal inferences because of certain methodological limitations, especially with regard to interactions.
In experimental systems, polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) induce cytochrome P4501A1 (CYP1A1), which is involved in metabolism of steroid hormones and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in humans. A genetic polymorphism coding for a valine to isoleucine substitution in exon 7 has been associated with lung cancer risk in Japanese populations. In a previous study, we found no association between CYP1A1 genotype and breast cancer risk. However, we were interested in determining whether genotype would relate to risk when PCB body burden was taken into account. In a subset of a case-control study in western New York, 154 postmenopausal women with incident, primary, histologically confirmed postmenopausal breast cancer and 192 community controls were interviewed and underwent phlebotomy. Serum levels of 56 PCB peaks were determined by high resolution gas chromatography with electron capture. PCR-RFLP analyses of the CYP1A1 polymorphism were performed. Unconditional logistic regression was used to compute adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Among women with serum PCB levels above the median of the distribution in the control group, there was increased risk of breast cancer associated with the presence of at least one valine allele, compared with women who were homozygous for the isoleucine alleles (odds ratio, 2.93; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-7.36). Among women with low PCB body burden, no association between CYP1A1 genotype and breast cancer risk was observed. Adjustment for serum lipids and body mass index did not affect the magnitude of the observed associations. PCB body burden may modify the effect of the polymorphism on postmenopausal breast cancer risk through increased CYP1A1 enzyme induction or by activation by specific PCB congeners. These results should be considered preliminary, pending replication by other studies.