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J R Glynn

Publications and source records attributed to J R Glynn.

At least 19 recordsLinked to original sources
PubMed2001

HIV-1 and recurrence, relapse, and reinfection of tuberculosis after cure: a cohort study in South African mineworkers.

BACKGROUND: The proportion of recurrent tuberculosis cases attributable to relapse or reinfection and the risk factors associated with these different mechanisms are poorly understood. We followed up a cohort of 326 South African mineworkers, who had successfully completed treatment for pulmonary tuberculosis in 1995, to determine the rate and mechanisms of recurrence. METHODS: Patients were examined 3 and 6 months after cure, and then were monitored by the routine tuberculosis surveillance system until December, 1998. IS6110 DNA fingerprints from initial and subsequent episodes of tuberculosis were compared to determine whether recurrence was due to relapse or reinfection All patients gave consent for HIV-1 testing. FINDINGS: During follow-up (median 25.1 months, IQR 13.2-33.4), 65 patients (20%) had a recurrent episode of tuberculosis, a recurrence rate of 10.3 episodes per 100 person-years at risk (PYAR)-16.0 per 100 pyar in HIV-1-positive patients and 6.4 per 100 pyar in HIV-1-negative patients. Paired DNA fingerprints were available in 39 of 65 recurrences: 25 pairs were identical (relapse) and 14 were different (reinfection). 93% (13/14) of recurrences within the first 6 months were attributable to relapse compared with 48% (12/25) of later recurrences. HIV-1 infection was a risk factor for recurrence (hazard ratio 2.4, 95% CI 1.5-4.0), due to its strong association with disease caused by reinfection (18.7 2.4-143), but not relapse (0.58; 0.24-1.4). Residual cavitation and increasing years of employment at the mine were risk factors for relapse. INTERPRETATION: In a setting with a high risk of tuberculous infection, HIV-1 increases the risk of recurrent tuberculosis because of an increased risk of reinfection. Interventions to prevent recurrent disease, such as lifelong chemoprophylaxis in HIV-1-positive tuberculosis patients, should be further assessed.

Adult↗
PubMed2001

The development of the HIV epidemic in Karonga District, Malawi.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prevalence and sociodemographic risk factors for HIV infection, during the early stages of the epidemic, in a rural area of northern Malawi. METHODS: As part of a community-based study of mycobacteria, socioeconomic data and HIV results are available on approximately 30,000 individuals from random population samples in 1981-1984 and 1987-1989 from a rural area of Malawi. These have been analysed to characterize the early stages of the HIV epidemic. RESULTS: The earliest HIV-positive specimens were collected in 1982. HIV prevalence in individuals aged 15-49 years was 0.1% in the early 1980s and 2.0% in the late 1980s. In the early 1980s, eight out of 11 HIV-positive individuals were new immigrants to the district or had recently returned there. In the late 1980s, immigration and having spent time outside the district continued to be major risk factors for HIV. HIV infection was more common in those with occupations other than subsistence farming, in those with more schooling, and in those in the best housing. The association with schooling was seen at all ages for both men and women. CONCLUSION: Immigration and travel were important in the repeated introduction and establishment of the HIV epidemic. The association with schooling is similar to that found elsewhere in Africa.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Factors influencing the difference in HIV prevalence between antenatal clinic and general population in sub-Saharan Africa.

OBJECTIVE: To compare HIV prevalence in antenatal clinics (ANC) and the general population, and to identify factors determining the differences that were found. DESIGN: Cross-sectional surveys in the general population and in ANC in three cities. METHODS: HIV prevalence measured in adults in the community was compared with that measured by sentinel surveillance in ANC in Yaoundé, Cameroon, Kisumu, Kenya, and Ndola, Zambia. RESULTS: In Yaoundé and Ndola, the HIV prevalence in ANC attenders was lower than that in women in the population overall, and for age groups over 20 years. In Kisumu, the HIV prevalence in ANC attenders was similar to that in women in the population at all ages. The only factors identified that influenced the results were age, marital status, parity, schooling, and contraceptive use. The HIV prevalence in women in ANC was similar to that in the combined male and female population aged 15-40 years in Yaoundé and Ndola, but overestimated it in Kisumu. In Yaoundé and Ndola, the overall HIV prevalence in men was approximated by using the age of the father of the child reported by ANC attenders, but this method overestimated the HIV prevalence in Kisumu, and did not give good age-specific estimates. CONCLUSION: Few factors influenced the difference in HIV prevalence between ANC and the population, which could aid the development of adjustment procedures to estimate population HIV prevalence. However, the differences between cities were considerable, making standard adjustments difficult. The method of estimating male HIV prevalence should be tested in other sites.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Educational level is associated with condom use within non-spousal partnerships in four cities of sub-Saharan Africa.

BACKGROUND: Rates of condom use in sub-Saharan Africa have remained too low to curb HIV/sexually transmitted disease (STD) epidemics. A better understanding of the main determinants of condom use would aid promotion. METHODS: Cross-sectional population surveys were conducted in four cities in sub-Saharan Africa: Yaoundé, Cameroon; Cotonou, Benin; Ndola, Zambia; and Kisumu, Kenya. In each city, the aim was to interview a random sample of 1000 men and 1000 women aged 15--49 years, including questions on characteristics of non-spousal partnerships in the past 12 months. RESULTS: Data on condom use were available for 4624 non-spousal partnerships. In the four cities, the proportion of partnerships in which condoms were used always or most of the time ranged from 23.8 to 33.5% when reported by men and from 10.7 to 25.9% when reported by women. Based on the reports from men, condom use was associated with higher educational level of the male partner in Yaoundé [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 1.76] and Ndola (aOR = 2.94) and with higher educational level of the female partner in Cotonou (aOR = 2.36) and Kisumu (aOR = 2.76). Based on the reports from women, condom use was associated with higher educational level of the female partner in Kisumu (aOR = 2.60) and Ndola (aOR = 4.50) and with higher educational level of the male partner in Yaoundé (aOR = 3.32). Associations with other determinants varied across cities and for men and women. CONCLUSIONS: Education was found to be a key determinant of condom use in all four cities. This suggests that educational level increases response to condom promotion and highlights the need for special efforts to reach men and women with low educational attainment.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Why do young women have a much higher prevalence of HIV than young men? A study in Kisumu, Kenya and Ndola, Zambia.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the factors responsible for the disparity in HIV prevalence between young men and women in two urban populations in Africa with high HIV prevalence. DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey, aiming to include 1000 men and 1000 women aged 15-49 years in Kisumu, Kenya and Ndola, Zambia. METHODS: Participants were interviewed and tested for HIV and other sexually transmitted infections. Analyses compared the marital and non-marital partnership patterns in young men and women, and estimated the likelihood of having an HIV-infected partner. RESULTS: Overall, 26% of individuals in Kisumu and 28% in Ndola were HIV-positive. In both sites, HIV prevalence in women was six times that in men among sexually active 1 5-19 year olds, three times that in men among 20-24 year olds, and equal to that in men among 25-49 year olds. Age at sexual debut was similar in men and women, and men had more partners than women. Women married younger than men and marriage was a risk factor for HIV, but the disparity in HIV prevalence was present in both married and unmarried individuals. Women often had older partners, and men rarely had partners much older than themselves. Nevertheless, the estimated prevalence of HIV in the partners of unmarried men aged under 20 was as high as that for unmarried women. HIV prevalence was very high even among women reporting one lifetime partner and few episodes of sexual intercourse. CONCLUSIONS: Behavioural factors could not fully explain the discrepancy in HIV prevalence between men and women. Despite the tendency for women to have older partners, young men were at least as likely to encounter an HIV-infected partner as young women. It is likely that the greater susceptibility of women to HIV infection is an important factor both in explaining the male-female discrepancy in HIV prevalence and in driving the epidemic. Herpes simplex virus type 2 infection, which is more prevalent in young women than in young men, is probably one of the factors that increases women's susceptibility to HIV infection.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Condom use and its association with HIV/sexually transmitted diseases in four urban communities of sub-Saharan Africa.

OBJECTIVES: To estimate rates of condom use in four urban populations in sub-Saharan Africa and to assess their association with levels of HIV infection and other sexually transmitted diseases (STDs). METHODS: Data were obtained from a multicentre study of factors that determine the differences in rate of spread of HIV in four African cities. Consenting participants were interviewed on sexual behaviour, and also provided blood and urine samples for testing for HIV infection and other STDs. Data on sexual behaviour included information on condom use during all reported spousal and non-spousal partnerships in the past 12 months. RESULTS: A total of 2116 adults aged 15-49 years were interviewed in Cotonou (Benin), 2089 in Yaoundé (Cameroon), 1889 in Kisumu (Kenya) and 1730 in Ndola (Zambia). Prevalence rates of HIV infection were 3.4% in Cotonou, 5.9% in Yaoundé, 25.9% in Kisumu and 28.4% in Ndola. Reported condom use was low, with the proportions of men and women who reported frequent condom use with all non-spousal partners being 21-25%, for men and 11-24% for women. A higher level of condom use by city was not associated with lower aggregate level of HIV infection. The proportions of men reporting genital pain or discharge during the past 12 months were significantly lower among those reporting frequent condom use in all sites except Yaoundé: in Cotonou, adjusted odds ratio (OR) = 0.28, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.09-0.94; in Kisumu, adjusted OR = 0.34, 95% CI = 0.14-0.83; and in Ndola, adjusted OR = 0.33, 95% CI = 0.12-0.90. The same association was found for reported genital ulcers in two sites only: in Cotonou, adjusted OR = 0.14, 95% CI = 0.02-1.02; and in Kisumu, adjusted OR = 0.18, 95% CI = 0.04-0.75. There were few statistically significant associations between condom use and biological indicators of HIV infection or other STDs in any of the cities. CONCLUSION: Similar levels of condom use were found in all four populations, and aggregate levels of condom use by city could not discriminate between cities with high and low level of HIV infection. It seems that rates of condom use may not have been high enough to have a strong impact on HIV/STD levels in the four cities. At an individual level, only a male history of reported STD symptoms was found to be consistently associated with lower rates of reported condom use.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Interpreting sexual behaviour data: validity issues in the multicentre study on factors determining the differential spread of HIV in four African cities.

BACKGROUND: The main conclusion of the multicentre study on factors determining the differential spread of HIV in four African cities was that differences in sexual behaviour could not, by themselves, explain the differences in HIV prevalence between the four cities. The present paper examines three potential sources of bias that could invalidate this conclusion: (1) changes in sexual behaviour since the start of the HIV epidemics; (2) bias due to the low response rates of men; and (3) bias in reported sexual behaviour. METHODS: To assess whether there have been any changes in sexual behaviour over time, selected parameters of sexual behaviour were compared between different age groups in the four cities. The maximum likely extent of bias due to non-participation of men in Yaoundé, Kisumu and Ndola was assessed with a simulation exercise, in which records of non-participants were replaced with records of 'low activity men' in Yaoundé and 'high activity men' in Kisumu and Ndola. To assess the validity of the sexual behaviour data, internal validity checks were carried out: comparing biological data on sexually transmitted infections with reports; comparing reports of spouses; and comparing numbers of sex partners reported by men and women. A fourth method consisted of comparing the findings of the multicentre study with an external source, Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS). RESULTS: There were differences in sexual behaviour between the younger and the older age groups in all four cities but there was no evidence of a shift towards safer sexual behaviour in the high HIV prevalence cities. After simulating results for male non-participants in Yaoundé, Kisumu and Ndola, the median lifetime number of sex partners was similar in Yaoundé, Kisumu and Ndola. By testing for various sexually transmitted infections among men and women aged 15-24 years who reported that they had never had sexual intercourse, we could establish that, in all four cities, at least 1-9% of men and 6-18% of women had misreported their sexual activity. The number of non-spousal partners in the past 12 months reported by men was two to three times higher than the number reported by women, as has been found in other studies. The most consistent differences between our survey and the DHS were found in the numbers of non-spousal partners in the past 12 months reported by never-married men and women. In all four cities, participants reported more non-spousal partners in the DHS than in our survey. CONCLUSIONS: In all four cities, we found evidence that men as well as women misreported their sexual behaviour, but overall it seems that under-reporting of sexual activity was not more common or more serious in the two high HIV prevalence cities than in the two low HIV prevalence cities. We believe that the main conclusions of the multicentre study still hold.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2001

Comparison of two versus three smears in identifying culture-positive tuberculosis patients in a rural African setting with high HIV prevalence.

SETTING: Karonga district, northern Malawi. OBJECTIVE: To compare the sensitivity and specificity of two versus three smears for the diagnosis of pulmonary tuberculosis in a setting with high HIV prevalence. DESIGN: A total of 1992 pulmonary tuberculosis suspects with three sputum smears taken over a 2-7 day period and at least one culture result were studied. Smears were auramine stained and examined using fluorescence microscopy, and positives were confirmed with Ziehl-Neelsen staining and light microscopy. Cultures were set up on Löwenstein-Jensen media. True negative and positive status was defined on the basis of culture. The sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of two and three smears were compared. RESULTS: Compared to culture, the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of three smears were 70%, 98%, 92%, and 92%, respectively. Restriction to the first two smears gave similar results. Of those detected as smear-positive using three smears, at least 97% would have been detected by two. Among those with HIV serology results available, the sensitivity of two smears for detecting culture-positive tuberculosis was identical to that using three. CONCLUSION: In this setting, using fluorescence and light microscopy, collecting two smears rather than three would only marginally reduce sensitivity and would slightly improve the specificity of diagnosis of tuberculosis; this is unaffected by HIV status. The potential for improving specificity is important because of the costs of misdiagnosis. In practice, both sensitivity and specificity may be increased due to the time saved by examining two rather than three smears.

AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗
PubMed2000

Decreased fertility among HIV-1-infected women attending antenatal clinics in three African cities.

Population HIV prevalence estimates rely heavily on sentinel surveillance in antenatal clinics (ANCs), but because HIV reduces fertility, these estimates are biased. To aid interpretation of such data, we estimated HIV-associated fertility reduction among pregnant women in ANCs in Yaoundé (Cameroon), Kisumu (Kenya), and Ndola (Zambia). Data collection followed existing HIV sentinel surveillance procedures as far as possible. HIV prevalence among the women was 5.5% in Yaoundé, 30.6% in Kisumu, and 27.3% in Ndola. The birth interval was prolonged in HIV-positive multiparous women compared with HIV-negative multiparous women in all three sites: adjusted hazard ratios of pregnancy were 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.62-1.1) in Yaoundé, 0.82 (95% CI: 0.70-0.96) in Kisumu, and 0.74 (95% CI: 0.61-0.90) in Ndola, implying estimated reductions in the risk of pregnancy in HIV-positive women of between 16% and 26%. For primiparous women, the interval between sexual debut and birth was longer in HIV-positive women than in HIV-negative women in all sites, although the association was lost in Ndola after adjusting for age and other factors. Consistent results in different study sites help in the development of standard methods for improving ANC-based surveillance estimates of HIV prevalence. These may be easier to devise for multiparous women than for primiparous women.

Adolescent↗
PubMed2000

Risk factors for pulmonary disease due to culture-positive M. tuberculosis or nontuberculous mycobacteria in South African gold miners.

The aim of this study was to determine risk factors for disease due to nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) compared to those due to Mycobacterium tuberculosis in South African gold miners with pulmonary mycobacterial disease. A case/control study comparing tuberculosis and NTM cases amongst all patients with a positive sputum mycobacterial culture in 1995 was carried out. The 51 cases of disease due to NTM and 425 tuberculosis cases were similar with regard to age, education, home region, smoking habits and percentage of CD4 cells. After adjustment for confounders, those with NTM were more likely to have had previous tuberculosis treatment (odds ratio (OR) 3.61; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.9-6.9), have worked longer underground (p-value for trend=0.05) or have evidence of silicosis (OR 12.6; 95% CI 2.2-71) and were less likely to drink regularly (OR 0.12; 95% CI 0.02-0.93) than patients with tuberculosis. In patients with disease due to NTM, 35.3% were human immunodeficiency virus-positive compared with 48.8% of tuberculosis patients (p=0.2) and an estimated 21% overall in the mines at the time of the study. Previous tuberculosis treatment, silicosis and duration of underground work are even more strongly associated with disease due to nontuberculous mycobacteria than with tuberculosis. Attempts to reduce the incidence of all pulmonary mycobacterial disease in this community should address recognized risk factors and ensure that those with tuberculosis are diagnosed, treated and cured.

Adult↗
PubMed2000

Trends in antituberculosis drug resistance in Karonga District, Malawi, 1986-1998.

SETTING: Karonga District, Malawi. OBJECTIVES: To examine long term trends in initial and acquired resistance to antituberculosis drugs in a rural area of Africa. DESIGN: Monitoring of all patients with culture-confirmed tuberculosis 1986-1998. RESULTS: Initial drug resistance results were available for 1121 patients. The proportion resistant to any of the first line drugs (streptomycin, isoniazid, rifampicin or ethambutol) was 9.6%, and to isoniazid 7.2%. Initial resistance to at least isoniazid and rifampicin (multidrug resistance) was seen in only six patients. No initial resistance to ethambutol was found. There was no significant change in initial drug resistance over time. Overall, 22/120 (18%) patients with previous treatment were resistant to at least one drug; only one had multidrug resistance. Acquired resistance decreased over the period of the study. There were no associations between age, sex or human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status and initial or acquired drug resistance. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in acquired resistance may reflect the recent performance of a control programme more quickly than those in initial resistance. It is encouraging that acquired resistance decreased and levels of multidrug resistance were low despite more than a decade of use of rifampicin. The lack of association between HIV and drug resistance confirms findings elsewhere in Africa.

Adult↗
PubMed1999

Influence of sampling on estimates of clustering and recent transmission of Mycobacterium tuberculosis derived from DNA fingerprinting techniques.

The availability of DNA fingerprinting techniques for Mycobacterium tuberculosis has led to attempts to estimate the extent of recent transmission in populations, using the assumption that groups of tuberculosis patients with identical isolates ("clusters") are likely to reflect recently acquired infections. It is never possible to include all cases of tuberculosis in a given population in a study, and the proportion of isolates found to be clustered will depend on the completeness of the sampling. Using stochastic simulation models based on real and hypothetical populations, the authors demonstrate the influence of incomplete sampling on the estimates of clustering obtained. The results show that as the sampling fraction increases, the proportion of isolates identified as clustered also increases and the variance of the estimated proportion clustered decreases. Cluster size is also important: the underestimation of clustering for any given sampling fraction is greater, and the variability in the results obtained is larger, for populations with small clusters than for those with the same number of individuals arranged in large clusters. A considerable amount of caution should be used in interpreting the results of studies on clustering of M. tuberculosis isolates, particularly when sampling fractions are small.

Bias↗
PubMed1999

Efficacy of an unsupervised ambulatory treatment regimen for smear-negative pulmonary tuberculosis and tuberculous pleural effusion in Malawi.

SETTING: Queen Elizabeth Central Hospital, Blantyre, and Zomba Central Hospital, Zomba, Malawi. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate treatment outcome of unsupervised ambulatory treatment (2R3H3Z3/2TH[EH]/4H) in Blantyre and 'standard' treatment (1STH[SEH]/11TH[EH]) in Zomba in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) seropositive and seronegative patients with smear-negative pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) and pleural TB. DESIGN: All patients with smear-negative and pleural TB registered between 1 April and 31 December 1995 were assessed for enrolment in the study. Study patients were followed up and 12-month treatment outcomes were recorded. RESULTS: A total of 434 patients, 296 with smear-negative PTB and 138 with pleural TB, were enrolled: 366 (84%) of patients were HIV-positive; 220 (51%) completed treatment, and 144 (33%) died by 12 months. In patients from Blantyre and Zomba, baseline characteristics were similar, apart from older age in those from Zomba, and the proportion of patients who completed treatment and who died were similar. In both sites, significantly higher case fatality rates were found in older patients, HIV-positive patients and patients with pulmonary parenchymal lung disease. CONCLUSION: Unsupervised ambulatory treatment evaluated in this study had an efficacy similar to that of 'standard' treatment. For operational reasons, however, it will not be recommended for widespread use in Malawi's National Tuberculosis Control Programme.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1999

Interpreting DNA fingerprint clusters of Mycobacterium tuberculosis. European Concerted Action on Molecular Epidemiology and Control of Tuberculosis.

Many studies of tuberculosis have defined clusters of patients on the basis of shared DNA fingerprint patterns of their Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates. Clustering has been equated with recent transmission, and factors associated with clustering have been sought as a guide to population subgroups with high rates of ongoing transmission of M. tuberculosis. Considerable caution should be exercised in conducting and interpreting these studies. Groups of strains may be identical for reasons other than recent transmission, depending, for example, on the stability of the marker and the number of strains in the population over time. Cases actually due to recent transmission may not be seen as clustered if they are new immigrants to the population or if not all cases in the population are included in the study. The amount of clustering seen will depend on the duration of the study. Studies should give precise information on the study setting, the proportion of cases included, the recruitment period and the definition of clustering used. The data on clustering should be disaggregated at least by age, sex and immigration status. To be maximally informative, studies should involve a high proportion of all cases in a population, be conducted in conjunction with conventional epidemiological investigations of contacts (if possible), and should provide information on tuberculosis incidence in the population and on patients' age, sex, human immunodeficiency virus status, drug resistance and social and ethnic group.

Cluster Analysis↗