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J Peto

Publications and source records attributed to J Peto.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources
PubMed1996

Intratype variation in 12 human papillomavirus types: a worldwide perspective.

In this study, we have examined intratype human papillomavirus (HPV) sequence variation in a worldwide collection of cervical specimens. Twelve different HPV types including HPV-18, HPV-33, HPV-35, HPV-39, HPV-45, HPV-51, HPV-52, HPV-58, HPV-59, HPV-68 (ME180), MM9/PAP238A (recently designated HPV-73), and a novel partial genomic HPV sequence designated MM4/Wl3B were analyzed in this study. Cervical specimens were collected as part of epidemiological investigations conducted in New Mexico and an international study of invasive cervical cancer (IBSCC). Specimens from several countries including Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, Benin, Cuba, Colombia, Chile, Germany, Mali, Panama, Paraguay, Spain, Algeria, Uganda, Guinea, Tanzania, Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, and the United States were evaluated. Specimen DNAs were subjected to amplification with the MY09/11 L1 consensus PCR system. The PCR products were cloned, and an approximately 410-bp region in the L1 open reading frame was sequenced from 146 specimens (approximately 60,000 bp). Within a single HPV type, nucleotide diversity varied between 0.2 and 2.9% (i.e., between any pair of variants) and the majority of nucleotide changes were synonymous (amino acid conserving). These data provide information pertinent to HPV diagnostic probe development and are potentially relevant to future rational vaccine strategies. Similarly, amino acid diversity varied between 0 and 5.1%. Some of these amino acid changes may represent markers of intertype evolutionary relationships. Presuming that HPVs have evolved under the same constraints as their corresponding hosts, the limited genetic diversity observed for all HPVs studied to date may reflect an evolutionary bottleneck occurring in both virus and host populations.

Amino Acid Sequence↗
PubMed1995

Prevalence of human papillomavirus in cervical cancer: a worldwide perspective. International biological study on cervical cancer (IBSCC) Study Group.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiologic studies have shown that the association of genital human papillomavirus (HPV) with cervical cancer is strong, independent of other risk factors, and consistent in several countries. There are more than 20 different cancer-associated HPV types, but little is known about their geographic variation. PURPOSE: Our aim was to determine whether the association between HPV infection and cervical cancer is consistent worldwide and to investigate geographic variation in the distribution of HPV types. METHODS: More than 1000 specimens from sequential patients with invasive cervical cancer were collected and stored frozen at 32 hospitals in 22 countries. Slides from all patients were submitted for central histologic review to confirm the diagnosis and to assess histologic characteristics. We used polymerase chain reaction-based assays capable of detecting more than 25 different HPV types. A generalized linear Poisson model was fitted to the data on viral type and geographic region to assess geographic heterogeneity. RESULTS: HPV DNA was detected in 93% of the tumors, with no significant variation in HPV positivity among countries. HPV 16 was present in 50% of the specimens, HPV 18 in 14%, HPV 45 in 8%, and HPV 31 in 5%. HPV 16 was the predominant type in all countries except Indonesia, where HPV 18 was more common. There was significant geographic variation in the prevalence of some less common virus types. A clustering of HPV 45 was apparent in western Africa, while HPV 39 and HPV 59 were almost entirely confined to Central and South America. In squamous cell tumors, HPV 16 predominated (51% of such specimens), but HPV 18 predominated in adenocarcinomas (56% of such tumors) and adenosquamous tumors (39% of such tumors). CONCLUSIONS: Our results confirm the role of genital HPVs, which are transmitted sexually, as the central etiologic factor in cervical cancer worldwide. They also suggest that most genital HPVs are associated with cancer, at least occasionally. IMPLICATION: The demonstration that more than 20 different genital HPV types are associated with cervical cancer has important implications for cervical cancer-prevention strategies that include the development of vaccines targeted to genital HPVs.

Adult↗
PubMed1995

Continuing increase in mesothelioma mortality in Britain.

Mesothelioma is closely related to exposure to asbestos, and mesothelioma mortality can be taken as an index of past exposure to asbestos in the population. We analysed mesothelioma mortality since 1968 to assess the current state of the mesothelioma epidemic, and to predict its future course. We found that rates of mesothelioma in men formed a clear pattern defined by age and date of birth. Rates rose steeply with age showing a very similar pattern in all five-year birth cohorts. By date of birth, rates increased from mid-1893 to mid-1948, and then fell. Relative to the 1943-48 cohort, the risk for the 1948-53 cohort is 0.79 and for the 1953-58 cohort 0.48. Despite these falls, if the age profile of rates for these cohorts follows the pattern of past cohorts, their predicted lifetime mesothelioma risks will be 1.3%, 1.0%, and 0.6%. Combining projections for all cohorts results in a peak of annual male mesothelioma deaths in about the year 2020 of between 2700 and 3300 deaths. If diagnostic trend is responsible for a 20% growth in recorded cases every 5 years--an extreme but arguable case--and if this trend has now ceased, the peak of annual male deaths will be reduced to 1300, reached around the year 2010. Analysis of occupations recorded on death certificates indicate that building workers, especially plumbers and gas fitters, carpenters and electricians are the largest high-risk group. These data indicate that mesothelioma deaths will continue to increase for at least 15 and more likely 25 years. For the worst affected cohorts--men born in the 1940s--mesothelioma may account for around 1% of all deaths. Asbestos exposure at work in construction and building maintenance will account for a large proportion of these deaths, and it is important that such workers should be aware of the risks and take appropriate precautions.

Adult↗
PubMed1995

Estimates of the gene frequency of BRCA1 and its contribution to breast and ovarian cancer incidence.

The majority of multiple-case families that segregate both breast and ovarian cancer in a dominant fashion are due to mutations in the BRCA1 gene on chromosome 17q. In this paper, we have combined penetrance estimates for BRCA1 with the results of two population-based genetic epidemiological studies to estimate the gene frequency of BRCA1. On the assumption that the excess risk of ovarian cancer in first degree relatives of breast cancer patients and the breast cancer excess in relatives of ovarian cancer patients are both entirely accounted for by BRCA1, we estimate that the BRCA1 gene frequency is 0.0006 (95% confidence interval [O.002-0.002]) and that the proportion of breast cancer cases in the general population due to BRCA1 is 5.3% below age 40 years, 2.2% between ages 40 and 49 years, and 1.1% between ages 50 and 70 years. The corresponding estimates for ovarian cancer are 5.7%, 4.6%, and 2.1%, respectively. Our results suggest that the majority of breast cancer families with less than four cases and no ovarian cancer are not due to rare highly penetrant genes such as BRCA1 but are more likely to be due either to chance or to more common genes of lower penetrance.

Adult↗
PubMed1993

Antibodies to human papillomavirus and to other genital infectious agents and invasive cervical cancer risk.

Human papillomaviruses (HPVs) play an important part in the development of cervical cancer, but the role of other infectious agents, such as herpes simplex virus (HSV), is not clear. We assayed serum samples collected from 219 women with cervical cancer and from 387 controls for antibody to infectious agents. HPV 16-E7 and/or HPV 18-E7 antibodies were significantly related to cervical cancer risk (RR 1.9, 95% CI 1.2-3.2). Antibodies to HSV types 1 and 2, Chlamydia trachomatis, and to multiple infectious agents were associated with cervical cancer when seroprevalence rates in all cases and controls were compared, but when HPV-seropositive cases and controls were compared these associations were weaker and non-significant. This finding suggests that past infections with sexually transmitted infections other than HPV may be surrogate markers of exposure to HPV, and of no separate aetiological significance.

Adult↗
PubMed1993

Absence of linkage to the ataxia telangiectasia locus in familial breast cancer.

Heterozygotes for ataxia-telangiectasia (AT) are known to have an increased risk of breast cancer. The gene (or genes) responsible for almost all cases of AT has been localised to chromosome 11q by genetic linkage analysis. To examine the possibility that AT heterozygosity may account for a substantial proportion of familial breast cancer, we have typed five markers on chromosome 11q in 16 breast cancer families. We have found no evidence for linkage between breast cancer and chromosome 11q markers and conclude that the contribution of AT to familial breast cancer is likely to be minimal.

Ataxia Telangiectasia↗
PubMed1993

Inherited susceptibility to breast cancer.

Four genes are now known to be responsible for inherited susceptibility to breast cancer: the BRCA1 gene on chromosome 17q21, the ataxia-telangiectasia (AT) gene (11q22-q23), the TP53 gene (17p13.1) and the androgen receptor (AR) (Xq11.2-q12). These genes, however, differ dramatically in terms of the risk of breast cancer that they confer, the proportion of breast cancer incidence that they account for and the other cancers and other phenotypes with which they are associated. Genetic linkage studies have shown that some high risk breast cancer families, particularly those where breast cancer occurs in association with ovarian cancer, are due to a gene on chromosome 17q known as BRCA1. The BRCA1 gene is estimated to confer a breast cancer risk of about 70% by age 70, and may account for about 2% of overall breast cancer incidence, although a higher proportion of younger cases. Germline mutations in the TP53 gene are responsible for a high proportion of LI-Fraumeni families, in which breast cancer occurs in association with childhood sarcomas and other cancers. In such families, the risk of breast cancer is over 50% by age 50, and the risk of all cancers is nearly 100%; germline TP53 mutations are, however, probably responsible for much less than 1% of all breast cancer. By contrast, heterozygotes for the AT gene carry a much more moderate risk of breast cancer. This gene, however, is much more common in the population and may account for 7% or more of breast cancer incidence. Finally, germline mutations in the androgen receptor are known to cause male breast cancer, but this has only been demonstrated in two families. Evidence from linkage and population based studies suggests that these genes may account for about one half of the observed familial clustering of breast cancer; other breast cancer susceptibility genes therefore remain to be identified.

Aged↗
PubMed1992

Cancer mortality in the first degree relatives of young breast cancer patients.

In a retrospective cohort study, the mothers and sisters of 740 breast cancer patients aged under 36 at diagnosis have been studied for mortality and cancer incidence. Significantly increased breast cancer mortality was observed below age 60 (30 deaths; SMR = 3.4), but not at older ages (four deaths; SMR = 0.9). The cumulative breast cancer incidence in the relatives was 3.6% by age 50, 7.6% by age 60 and 11.6% by age 70. They also suffered excess mortality below age 60 for cancers of reproductive sites (cervix, ovary and endometrium; 15 deaths; SMR = 2.6) and lung (11 deaths; SMR = 3.2), but not for other sites (12 deaths; SMR = 0.9). This large population-based cohort study provides further confirmation of genetic susceptibility to breast cancer at young ages.

Adult↗
PubMed1991

Floating absolute risk: an alternative to relative risk in survival and case-control analysis avoiding an arbitrary reference group.

We discuss the problem of describing multiple group comparisons in survival analysis using the Cox model, and in matched case-control studies. The standard method of comparing the risk in each group with a baseline group is unsatisfactory because the standard errors and confidence limits relate to correlated parameters, all dependent on precision within the baseline group. We describe the construction of standard errors for the parameters of all groups, without the need to select a baseline group. These standard errors can be regarded as relating to roughly independent parameters, so that groups can be compared efficiently without knowledge of the covariances. The method should assist in graphical presentation of relative risks, and in the combination of results from published studies. Two examples are presented.

Adult↗
PubMed1991

Potential markers of the atherosclerotic process in high-risk children.

Children whose parents had early coronary heart disease were investigated. In order to assess high-risk parameters serum total cholesterol (TC), total triglyceride (TT), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDLC), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLC), lipid peroxide (LP), prostacyclin (PGI2), thromboxane (TX) levels, and the distribution of the complement 3 (C3), protein phenotypes were measured. Compared to a group of control children, the offspring of high-risk subjects had increased LDLC, LP, TC, and TX levels, a higher incidence of fast-slow heterozygotes, and decreased HDLC and PGI2 levels. The measurement of serum PGI2, TX levels and the distribution of C3 protein phenotypes may give further information about the true risk of atherosclerosis.

Adolescent↗
PubMed1991

Results of Medical Research Council Childhood Leukaemia Trial UKALL VIII (report to the Medical Research Council on behalf of the Working Party on Leukaemia in Childhood).

During the 1970s, despite apparently similar treatment, the prognosis for children with lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) improved more in some countries, notably the United States and West Germany, than in others. To find out why, the first phase of the United Kingdom (UK) Medical Research Council (MRC) childhood ALL trial, UKALL VIII, was designed to see whether similar results to the United States Children's Cancer Study Group (CCSG) could be obtained in the U.K. using an identical protocol (CCG 162). Protocol 162 was one of a series of regimens devised by the American Children's Cancer Study Group in the 1970s and was used specifically for their average risk patients (all children with ALL with an initial white cell count up to 50 x 10(9)/l except those aged 3-6 years with white cell counts under 10 x 10(9)/l). One arm (1A) of their study was adopted by the MRC for all children in the U.K. aged 0-14 years with confirmed ALL. Eight hundred and twenty-nine consecutive patients were entered between 1980 and 1984. The first 199 patients formed a single arm study as per the original protocol 162 (arm 1A), but the subsequent 630 children were randomized to receive or not two doses of daunorubicin on the first 2 d of induction. This randomization was an attempt to answer the important question as to whether event-free survival was influenced by the use of four rather than three induction agents. A second randomization between 2 and 3 years continuing therapy was also introduced at this stage as it had been by the CCSG in their protocol. With a minimum follow up period of more than 5 years, disease-free survival for the whole group is 55%, a considerable improvement on all previous UKALL trials. Results for patients directly comparable with those in CCSG 162 ('average risk' patients) and their American counterparts were similar. Daunorubicin was associated with more early deaths but improved disease-free survival for those achieving remission. More children relapsed who stopped treatment after 2 years than those who continued for 3, but this was balanced by increased treatment mortality in the third year. The fact that for UKALL VIII the results were similar to those of the CCSG suggests that previous MRC protocols were not sufficiently sustained and intensive, particularly during the maintenance phase of treatment.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 400 WORDS)

Adolescent↗