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Biomedical subjects

J O Taylor

Publications and source records attributed to J O Taylor.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Risk factors for non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus requiring treatment in the elderly.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship of possible modifiable risk factors, including obesity, physical activity level, alcohol consumption, blood pressure, and thiazide diuretic use with the development of non-insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus (NIDDM) requiring treatment among a large cohort of community-dwelling elderly. SETTING: The East Boston Senior Health Project, one of four components of the National Institute on Aging-sponsored Established Populations for the Epidemiologic Study of the Elderly (EPESE). PARTICIPANTS: Residents of East Boston who were 65 years of age or older. MEASUREMENTS: We performed a prospective cohort study with follow-up over two consecutive 3-year time periods beginning in 1982-1983. The main outcome measure was the occurrence of NIDDM, defined as new treatment with a hypoglycemic agent. A total of 2737 study participants contributed 4682 3-year intervals for analysis. MAIN RESULTS: NIDDM requiring hypoglycemic therapy occurred in 185 participants over the duration of the study. High body mass index (> 26 kg/m2) (adjusted odds ratio 2.4, 95% confidence interval 1.3-4.4) and low physical activity level (adjusted odds ratio 1.5, 95% confidence interval 1.0-2.1) were significant predictors of NIDDM in a multiple logistic regression model adjusting for age, sex, blood pressure, and self-report of "high blood sugar" moderate alcohol consumption (0.5-<1 ounce per day) had an inverse relation to NIDDM of borderline significance (adjusted odds ratio 0.4, 95% confidence interval 0.2-1.0). Those receiving one or more non-thiazide antihypertensive agents had a higher risk of developing NIDDM in a model including age, sex, body mass index, various antihypertensive regimens, physical activity level, alcohol consumption, blood pressure, and self-report of "high blood sugar." Thiazide diuretic therapy alone or in combination with another antihypertensive was not associated with NIDDM. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest a positive relationship of obesity and low physical activity level with the development of NIDDM requiring treatment in elderly persons. The inverse association of borderline significance between moderate alcohol use and NIDDM deserves further study. Thiazide diuretic therapy conferred no excess risk for developing NIDDM in this older population although selection factors in the choice of antihypertensive therapy may partially explain the absence of a thiazide effect.

Age Factors↗

The comprehensive health enhancement support system.

This article describes the process of using needs assessment data to develop an interactive information technology specifically designed to support patients in a health-related crisis. The Comprehensive Health Enhancement Support System (CHESS) is an interactive information, social support, and problem-solving system that was developed by a team at the University of Wisconsin. This article looks at the program developed for breast cancer patients and their families.

Breast Neoplasms↗

CHESS: An interactive computer system for women with breast cancer piloted with an under-served population.

The Comprehensive Health Enhancement Support System (CHESS) is an interactive computer system containing information, social support and problem solving tools. It was developed with intensive input from potential users through needs-assessment surveys and field testing. CHESS had previously been used by women in the middle and upper socio-economic classes with high school and college education. This article reports on the results of a pilot study involving eight African-American women with breast cancer from impoverished neighborhoods in the city of Chicago. CHESS was very well received, extensively used and produced feelings of acceptance, motivation, understanding and relief.

Adult↗

Modification of increasing systolic blood pressure in the elderly during the 1980s.

The authors examined whether changing attitudes and approaches to modifying blood pressure during the 1980s affected the previously described pattern of increasing systolic blood pressure in the elderly which continues through the ninth decade of life. In 1982-1983, a door-to-door census identified 4,497 community-dwelling residents of East Boston, Massachusetts aged 65 and over, of whom 3,657 had baseline blood pressure assessments. Follow-up blood pressure assessments occurred in 1985-1986 and in 1988-1989. Cross-sectionally, the relation of age with systolic blood pressure was quadratic with levels predicted to increase until about age 84 after which they were lower among oldest-old survivors. Longitudinally, mean age-sex-adjusted systolic blood pressure was 3.3 mmHg lower in 1985-1986 compared with 1982-1983 (95 percent confidence interval (CI) 2.4-4.2 mmHg) and 10.6 mmHg lower in 1988-1989 compared with 1982-1983 (95 percent CI 9.5-11.7 mmHg). Utilization of antihypertension medications increased over time and accounted for some, but not all, of the observed decreases in systolic blood pressure. Large shifts occurred in the use of specific antihypertension medications including increases in use of angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitors and calcium entry blockers and decreases in use of thiazide diuretics. Previously described trends for increasing systolic blood pressure in the elderly were reversed during the 1980s when the continued decline in cardiovascular mortality was greatest among the elderly.

Age Factors↗

Relation of smoking and low-to-moderate alcohol consumption to change in cognitive function: a longitudinal study in a defined community of older persons.

To determine whether smoking habits and alcohol consumption are related to changes in cognitive function, the authors conducted a prospective, community-based study of persons aged 65 years and over in East Boston, Massachusetts. In 1982 and again in 1985, the subjects were given three brief tests of cognitive function: immediate memory, digit span, and a mental status questionnaire, which primarily assessed orientation. The 1,201 individuals who performed well in 1982 were included in linear regression analyses of 3-year change in performance, adjusted for age, sex, education, and income. Relative to nonsmoking, current smoking, past smoking, and pack-years were not significantly related to change in immediate memory. None was significantly related to change in orientation. Only pack-years was significantly related to normal change score in digit span (normal change score change per unit of predictor = 0.001, 95% confidence interval 0.0003-0.002). Low-to-moderate alcohol consumption during the month preceding baseline testing was not significantly related to a subsequent 3-year change in performance in two of the three tests. However, people who consumed a very small amount of alcohol had a normal change score that was 0.088 (95% confidence interval 0.015-0.160) better for digit span than did nondrinkers. This study provides evidence that the reported levels of smoking and alcohol use among older persons are not consistent or substantial predictors of the longitudinal change in cognitive function observed in a community.

Aged↗

Established populations for epidemiologic studies of the elderly: study design and methodology.

A project initiated by the intramural Epidemiology, Demography and Biometry Program of the National Institute on Aging, entitled "Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly" (EPESE), has developed information on death, chronic conditions, disabilities, and institutionalization for representative samples of elderly people living in communities. The EPESE consists of prospective epidemiologic studies of approximately 14,000 persons 65 years of age and older in four different communities: East Boston, Massachusetts; two rural counties in Iowa; New Haven, Connecticut; and segments of five counties in the north-central Piedmont area of North Carolina. The study design includes an initial baseline household interview followed by continued surveillance of morbidity and mortality. Participants are re-contacted annually in conjunction with the collection of data on cause of death and factors related to hospitalization and nursing home admissions. Concurrently, the investigators developed substudies focused on specific problems of the elderly. The value of this research lies in the longitudinal design which allows for analyses aimed at identifying risk factors of diseases, disabilities, hospitalizations, institutionalization, and mortality.

Aged↗

Level of education and change in cognitive function in a community population of older persons.

In a community population of persons over the age of 65, cognitive function was assessed using brief performance tests on two occasions 3 years apart. Those with fewer years of formal education consistently had greater declines in cognitive function, independently of age, birthplace, language of interview, occupation, and income. These prospective findings suggest that low educational attainment or a correlate predicts cognitive decline. It is not clear, however, whether this relation represents a direct effect of education on future cognition, whether education might be related to occurrence of a disease leading to cognitive decline in older persons, or whether education might be a surrogate for some variable not included in the study.

Aged↗

Identifying children at high risk for the development of essential hypertension.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Because blood pressure (BP) tracks from childhood to adulthood, some have recommended screening to identify children at high risk for the development of essential hypertension as adults. Others, however, have argued against this strategy because they believe that correlations between childhood and adulthood BP levels are too low. To address these issues, we considered prediction of adult BP from childhood levels. DESIGN: Cohort study with follow-up of participants from childhood to early adulthood. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: We ascertained BP in 337 schoolchildren from East Boston, Mass., and reexamined 317 (94%) of them 8 to 12 years later, at ages 18 to 26 years. MEASUREMENTS AND DATA ANALYSIS: On each of several visits, 1 week apart (four for children, three for adults), we obtained three BP readings with a random-zero sphygmomanometer. To calculate correlation coefficients (tracking correlations) between childhood and adult BP, we assumed a multivariate normal distribution and used an iterative maximal likelihood approach in a longitudinal model. We then used these correlations in expressions for sensitivity and specificity of childhood BP as a screening test and for positive predictive value for adult BP above specified cutoff points. RESULTS: During the 8- to 12-year interval, tracking correlations, corrected for within-person variability and adjusted for age, sex, smoking, and medication and alcohol use, were 0.55 for systolic BP and 0.44 for diastolic BP. The corresponding positive predictive values indicated that, for example, the probability that a 20-year-old man's true systolic BP will be > 139 mm Hg (> 90th percentile) was 0.44, given that his observed average systolic BP at age 10 years was > 95th percentile (> 117 mm Hg). The sensitivity of a 10-year old boy's systolic BP > 95th percentile to detect systolic BP > 139 mm Hg 10 years later was 0.17. The specificity of his BP < 95th percentile at age 10 years to detect systolic BP < 139 mm Hg at age 20 years was 0.97. For diastolic BP, predictive values and sensitivities were somewhat lower. CONCLUSIONS: After correction for within-person variability, tracking correlations from childhood to early adulthood are higher than previously reported. However, the resulting sensitivities and predictive values for childhood BP as a screening test for adult BP are of only modest magnitude. These data call into question the usefulness of routine BP measurement to identify children at high risk for the development of essential hypertension.

Age Factors↗

The effect of fish oil on blood pressure in mild hypertensive subjects: a randomized crossover trial.

We conducted a double-blind, crossover trial with 18 healthy, untreated mildly hypertensive subjects to test the effect on blood pressure of 6 or 12 g fish oil/d (50% n-3 fatty acids) as compared with an olive oil placebo. Blood pressure was measured every 6 wk in the clinic and three times daily by subjects using a semiautomated device in their homes. Compliance was determined biochemically. No significant changes in home or clinic blood pressure measurements were noted for either dose after 6 or 12 wk of treatment. Clinic blood pressure after 12 g fish oil/d was slightly lower than after placebo treatment by -0.8/-0.4 mm Hg [95% CI: systolic blood pressure (-4.4, +2.8); diastolic blood pressure (-3.2, +2.4)]. Blood pressure changes were not correlated with compliance, baseline dietary fish consumption, or blood pressure. Moderate doses of fish oil did not have a substantial effect on blood pressure. We conclude that fish oil is not a practical treatment for mild hypertension.

Blood Pressure↗

Assessing the needs of breast cancer patients and their families.

Patient needs have long been elicited only through the use of customer satisfaction surveys, which unfortunately are not designed to obtain the in-depth information needed to guide the improvement of health care services. Through the use of the integrative group process and the help of many patients and hospital staffs, we developed a needs assessment survey for women with breast cancer. This article outlines this process and the results and discusses how we used these results to create a computer program designed to help women with breast cancer and their families.

Adult↗

Childhood blood pressure tracking correlations corrected for within-person variability.

The correlation coefficient between initial and subsequent blood pressure (BP) measurements is referred to as the tracking correlation. Childhood BP tracking correlations, although positive, have been considered too low to make accurate predictions for an individual. These correlations, however, can be raised substantially by averaging BP over multiple weekly visits in each year, which partially accounts for within-person variability. In a cohort of 333 school children, we measured BP 3 times on each of 4 successive weekly visits, in each of 4 consecutive years, using a random-zero sphygmomanometer. Approximately 90 per cent of subjects had data for one or more follow-up years, and 75 per cent of subjects who entered in the first year had data for all four years. With a model that allows estimation of correlations and that uses all available longitudinal data, we calculated tracking correlations completely corrected for within-person variability, the statistical equivalent of measuring BP on an infinite number (infinity) of visits and measurements per visit. Age-sex adjusted tracking correlations for 3 years of follow-up based on the means from 1,2,3,4, and infinity visits are, for systolic BP, 0.43, 0.56, 0.62, 0.66, and 0.73, respectively, and for diastolic BP, 0.20, 0.37, 0.46, 0.50, and 0.70, respectively. With longer follow-up, the use of corrected tracking correlations would allow determination of the maximal extent to which childhood BP can predict adult levels, and therefore the usefulness of screening to identify children at high risk of developing hypertension.

Adolescent↗

Assessing the validity of childhood blood pressure screening: unbiased estimates of sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values.

Blood pressure measurement in childhood can be considered as a screening test for future blood pressure levels. Evaluating this test involves calculating sensitivities, specificities, and predictive values for a blood pressure measurement at an initial time for predicting underlying true blood pressure at a subsequent time. We demonstrate the use of childhood blood pressure tracking correlations that are corrected for within-person variability to calculate unbiased estimates of these test characteristics. In a cohort of 333 schoolchildren, we measured blood pressure on multiple visits in each of 4 successive years. Using these data for within-person variances and corrected tracking correlations, and U.S. population data for means and total variances, we tabulated positive predictive values, sensitivities, and specificities for the case of predicting a 9-year-old male's true systolic blood pressure 3 years later. For example, if a 9-year-old's average blood pressure from 4 visits is 115 mmHg, the probability of his true blood pressure being greater than 116 mmHg (90th percentile) at age 12 is 0.50. With longer follow-up, the use of predictive values, sensitivities, and specificities that incorporate corrected correlations should allow determination of the accuracy of predicting adult blood pressure from childhood values, and therefore the usefulness of screening children for those at high risk of developing hypertension.

Adolescent↗

Blood pressure and mortality risk in the elderly.

Blood pressure was assessed between 1981 and 1983 in all persons over age 65 years in three communities (East Boston, Massachusetts; New Haven, Connecticut; and Iowa and Washington countries, Iowa), and cause-specific mortality was monitored annually over the subsequent 5 years as part of the National Institute on Aging-sponsored Established Populations for Epidemiologic Studies of the Elderly. Each community had 80% or more participation: in East Boston, 3,809 persons with 903 deaths, in New Haven, 2,812 persons with 804 deaths, and in Iowa, 3,673 persons with 763 deaths. At 2 years, odds of death from all causes were higher in the low (less than 130 mmHg) than the middle (130-159 mmHg) systolic blood pressure group for persons aged 65-79 years in all three populations. By 5 years, cardiovascular death increased with increasing systolic pressure in all three communities and reached significance in Iowa. Cancer death was highest in the low systolic pressure stratum in all three centers. All-cause, cardiovascular death, and cancer mortality was highest in the low (less than 75 mmHg) diastolic blood pressure group in East Boston, even at 5 years. Blood pressures obtained 9 years earlier in 2,079 (68%) of the East Boston participants showed a significantly higher risk of cardiovascular death with increasing systolic pressure and no relation between diastolic pressure and mortality risk. In the elderly, excess mortality at lower levels of blood pressure during early follow-up may in part be due to the effects of illness and disability present at baseline. This may obscure the usual rise in mortality with increasing systolic pressure. There is no consistent relation between diastolic pressure and mortality.

Aged↗

Peak expiratory flow rate and 5-year mortality in an elderly population.

During a population survey in 1982-1983 among all community-dwelling elderly aged 65 years and over in East Boston, Massachusetts, measurements of peak expiratory flow rate using the mini-Wright peak flow meter were made on 3,582 participants (80% of those eligible). The average peak flow rate was 315 liters/minute, and a measure of peak flow rate adjusted for age, sex, height, and weight was computed. This was a highly significant (p less than 0.0001) predictor of 5-year total mortality, whose ascertainment was virtually complete. The relative risk was 1.27 (95 percent confidence interval 1.19-1.36) per 100 liters/minute decrease in peak flow rate, using a proportional hazards model including terms for age, sex, and smoking. There was no apparent modification of the effect of this measure in various categories of smoking, with relative risks of 1.24 for nonsmokers, 1.29 for ex-smokers, and 1.26 for current smokers. This finding also persisted after adjustments for other covariates, including respiratory symptoms such as cough, phlegm, and wheeze; cardiovascular risk factors such as history of myocardial infarction and stroke; and systolic and diastolic blood pressures; socioeconomic status; scores on simple tests of cognitive function; measures of physical activity and functional ability; and self-assessed state of health. In a stepwise model including all of these variables, the relative risk was 1.16 (p less than 0.0001) per 100 liters/minute decrease in peak flow rate, indicating that peak flow rate is a strong independent predictor of total mortality in the elderly.

Activities of Daily Living↗

Use of brief cognitive tests to identify individuals in the community with clinically diagnosed Alzheimer's disease.

Two brief screening tests, the Short Portable Mental Status Questionnaire (SPMSQ) and the East Boston Memory Test (EBMT), were included in a population questionnaire administered to 3,811 persons 65 years of age and older. A detailed clinical evaluation was then administered to 467 persons (drawn from high, medium and low performers on the EBMT) to determine who was cognitively impaired and the disorders that were responsible for that cognitive impairment. The results showed that the EBMT was better at enriching the population of the poor performance group with persons who had Alzheimer's disease (AD). It had a lower refusal rate among non-proxy respondents: 2% for the EMBT versus 9% for the SPMSQ. The sensitivity and positive predictive value were also higher for the EBMT than the SPMSQ when the diagnosis of interest was AD. However, there were persons with AD in all strata of performance on both the EBMT and the SPMSQ, emphasizing the importance of selecting persons from all performance strata in multistage community studies of AD.

Aged↗

Use of multiple visits to increase blood pressure tracking correlations in childhood.

Previous studies of childhood blood pressure have shown tracking correlations, which estimate the magnitude of association between initial and subsequent measurements, to be lower than corresponding adult values. Inasmuch as this disparity could arise from failing to account for a larger week-to-week variability in children, blood pressure was measured for 4 successive years, on four weekly visits in each year, and with three measurements at each visit, using a random-zero sphygmomanometer, in a cohort of 333 schoolchildren aged 8 through 15 at entry. Ninety percent of subjects had measurements in 1 or more years of follow-up. For all follow-up periods (1, 2, and 3 years from baseline), the Pearson correlation coefficient (r) for both systolic and diastolic blood pressure rose substantially with the number of weekly visits used to calculate each subject's yearly blood pressure (P less than .0001). For systolic pressure, the 3-year r values for 1, 2, 3, and 4 visits were .45, .55, .64, and .69, respectively. For diastolic pressure (Korotkoff phase 4), the corresponding values were .28, .41, .47, and .54. These higher multiple-visit estimates of tracking approximate published adult values and raise the possibility that prediction of adult blood pressure from childhood measurements may be improved by averaging readings from multiple weekly visits.

Adolescent↗

Blood pressure, stroke, and coronary heart disease. Part 2, Short-term reductions in blood pressure: overview of randomised drug trials in their epidemiological context.

There are 14 unconfounded randomised trials of antihypertensive drugs (chiefly diuretics or beta-blockers): total 37,000 individuals, mean treatment duration 5 years, mean diastolic blood pressure (DBP) difference 5-6 mm Hg. In prospective observational studies, a long-term difference of 5-6 mm Hg in usual DBP is associated with about 35-40% less stroke and 20-25% less coronary heart disease (CHD). For those dying in the trials, the DBP difference had persisted only 2-3 years, yet an overview showed that vascular mortality was significantly reduced (2p less than 0.0002); non-vascular mortality appeared unchanged. Stroke was reduced by 42% SD 6 (95% confidence interval 35-50%; 289 vs 484 events, 2p less than 0.0001), suggesting that virtually all the epidemiologically expected stroke reduction appears rapidly. CHD was reduced by 14% SD 5 (95% CI 4-22%; 671 vs 771 events, 2p less than 0.01), suggesting that just over half the epidemiologically expected CHD reduction appears rapidly. Although this significant CHD reduction could well be worthwhile, its size remains indefinite for most circumstances (though beta-blockers after myocardial infarction are of substantial benefit). At present, therefore, a sufficiently high risk of stroke (perhaps because of age, blood pressure, or, in particular, history of cerebrovascular disease) may be the clearest indication for antihypertensive treatment.

Antihypertensive Agents↗

Aspirin in the primary prevention of angina pectoris in a randomized trial of United States physicians.

PURPOSE: The objective of this study was to examine the effect of low-dose aspirin (325 mg on alternate days) on the primary prevention of angina pectoris in the United States Physicians' Health Study. Despite a postulated role of platelets in atherogenesis and myocardial ischemia, the effect of chronic platelet inhibition on the development of clinical angina pectoris is unknown. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: The Physicians' Health Study is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial among 22,071 male physicians aged 40 to 84 years, free from previous myocardial infarction, stroke, and transient cerebral ischemia at entry, and followed for an average of 60.2 months. The 21,738 physicians who were also free from angina pectoris at baseline constituted the study population for the present analyses. RESULTS: During 106,652 person-years of follow-up, 331 patients with confirmed angina pectoris were diagnosed, 194 of whom underwent a coronary revascularization procedure (coronary artery bypass graft surgery or coronary angioplasty). As compared to participants assigned placebo, the relative risk of confirmed angina pectoris in the aspirin group was 1.10 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.88 to 1.38). For coronary revascularization, the relative risk was 1.19 (95% CI, 0.88 to 1.59). After simultaneous control for other coronary risk factors in a proportional-hazards model, these relative risks remained near unity at 1.07 (95% CI, 0.84 to 1.36) and 1.11 (95% CI, 0.81 to 1.52), respectively. When the risks of angina pectoris were examined according to year of randomization in the trial, there was no pattern of increasing benefit with longer duration of treatment. CONCLUSION: These randomized trial data indicate that chronic platelet inhibition with low-dose aspirin for an average duration of 60.2 months does not reduce the incidence of angina pectoris.

Adult↗