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J Newell

Publications and source records attributed to J Newell.

At least 37 records · Page 2Linked to original sources

Incidence and occupational pattern of leukaemias, lymphomas, and testicular tumours in western Ireland over an 11 year period.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: To determine incidence of the following malignancies, testicular tumours, all leukaemias and all lymphomas in the West of Ireland in an 11 year period. Secondly, to examine the relation between disease patterns and available occupational data in male subjects of working age. DESIGN: A census survey of all cases occurring in the three counties in the Western Health Board (WHB) area, Galway, Mayo and Roscommon, for the 11 year period 1980 to 1990 inclusive. Average annual age standardised incidence rates for the period were calculated using the 1986 census data. Rates for the area are compared with rates from the southern region of Ireland, which had a tumour registry. Trends over the time period are evaluated. All male subjects for whom occupational data were available were categorised using the Irish socioeconomic group classification and incidence rates by occupation were compared using the standardised incidence ratio method. In one of the counties, Galway, a detailed occupational history of selected cases and an age matched control group was also elicited through patients' general practitioners. SETTING: All available case records in the West of Ireland. RESULTS: There are no national incidence records for the period. Compared with data from the Southern Tumour Registry, the number of cases of women with myeloid leukaemias was significantly lower. Male leukaemia rates were significantly lower as a group (SIR 84 (95% CI 74, 95) but not when considered as individual categories. Regression analysis revealed an increasing trend in the number of new cases of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma among both men (r = 0.47, p = 0.02) and women (r = 0.90, p = 0.0001) and of chronic lymphocytic leukaemia in men (r = 0.77, p = 0.005) and women (r = 0.68 p = 0.02) in the WHB region over the last decade. Four hundred and fifty six male cases over the age of 15 years were identified and adequate occupational information was available for 74% of these. Standardised incidence ratios of testicular tumours 100, 938) and agriworkers other than farmers (SIR 377, 95% CI 103, 967). There were also significantly increased incidence ratios for both non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (SIR 169, 95% CI 124, 266) and three categories of leukaemias among farmers. Hodgkin's disease and acute myeloid leukaemias were significantly increased among semi-skilled people. Interview data with 90 cases and 54 controls of both sexes revealed that among farmers, cases (n = 31) were significantly less likely than controls (n = 20) to use tractor mounted spraying techniques (OR = 0.19 (95% CI 0.04, 0.80)) and less likely to wear protective masks (OR 0.22 (95% CI 0.05, 0.84)). CONCLUSIONS: Trends of increase in non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and some leukaemias are consistent with studies elsewhere. The study provides further evidence of the relation between agricultural work and certain lymphoproliferative cancers. The possible carcinogenic role of chemicals used in agricultural industries must be considered as an explanation.

Adolescent↗

Patterns of sexual behaviour in a rural population in north-western Tanzania.

The HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa has been characterised by the predominance of heterosexual transmission. Patterns of sexual behaviour have been implicated in the spread of the epidemic, but few quantitative data are available on sexual behaviour in rural populations in Africa. This paper reports data from a survey of 1117 adults aged 15-54 years selected randomly from twelve rural communities in Mwanza Region, Tanzania. Sexual debut occurred early, 50% of women and 46% of men reporting first sex before age 16. On average, women married 1.8 years and men 6.1 years after their sexual debut. In women, age at sexual debut appears to have increased over time, in parallel with an increase in age at first marriage. Men were generally married later, to women around five to ten years younger than themselves. Marital dissolution and remarriage were common in both sexes. Reported numbers of sexual partners were compared with those recorded in a population survey in Britain. More men reported 10 or more lifetime partners, or three or more partners in the past year, in rural Mwanza (48% and 29%) than in Britain (24% and 6%). Women reported fewer partners, and results were broadly similar to British data. Casual sex during the past year was reported by 53% of the men and 15% of the women, but only 2% of men reported sexual contact with bar girls or commercial sex workers. Only 20% of men and 3% of women had ever used a condom. Interventions are needed to reduce the high levels of sexual partner change and casual sex, and low levels of condom use, recorded in this rural population. Targeting of interventions to traditional "core groups" may be of limited value in rural areas, and additional strategies are needed, focusing particularly on teenagers who are at high risk of HIV and other sexually transmitted diseases.

Adolescent↗

Sexual behaviour patterns and other risk factors for HIV infection in rural Tanzania: a case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between HIV infection and patterns of sexual behaviour and other risk factors in a rural Tanzanian population in a case-control study, nested within a randomized trial of improved sexually transmitted disease treatment. METHODS: All HIV-positive patients from the baseline survey of the randomized trial were eligible as cases. Cases (n = 338) and controls (a random sample of one in eight HIV-negative persons; n = 1078) were interviewed about risk factors for HIV infection using a structured questionnaire. RESULTS: A significantly higher HIV prevalence was found among men and women not currently employed in farming [men: odds ratio (OR), 2.08; women: OR, 3.65], women who had travelled (OR, 3.27), educated women (OR, 4.51), and widowed/ divorced people compared with those currently married (men: OR, 3.10; women: OR, 3.54). Two spouse-related factors were significantly associated with HIV, even after adjustment for the sexual behaviour of the index case: HIV was more prevalent in men with younger spouses (P = 0.020 for trend) and in women married to men currently employed in manual work, office work or business (OR, 2.20). In women only, blood transfusions were associated with a higher HIV prevalence (OR, 2.40), but only a small population attributable fraction (4%). There was an increased HIV prevalence associated with increasing numbers of injections. Reported number of lifetime sexual partners was significantly associated with HIV infection (women: OR, 7.33 if > or = 10 lifetime partners compared with < or = 1; men: OR, 4.35 for > or = 50 compared with < or = 1). After adjustment for confounders, male circumcision was associated with a lower HIV prevalence (OR, 0.65; P = 0.11). CONCLUSIONS: In these rural communities, many HIV infections occur through sexual transmission. Some people are at high risk of HIV infection through large numbers of sex partners, whereas some are at risk through their spouse or regular partner. The role of circumcision in HIV transmission is unclear. Commercial sex seems to play a negligible role in HIV transmission in these communities. Our results confirm marked heterogeneity in HIV risk, indicating the scope for risk reduction strategies.

Adolescent↗

Sexual behaviour and sex education in Irish school-going teenagers.

The sexual behaviour and factors which affect such behaviour, source of knowledge and education about sex was assessed by means of an anonymous self-administered questionnaire among 2754 pupils (15-18 years) attending 40 (85%) second level schools in Galway City and County. The purpose of the study was to make recommendations in relation to a school sexual health education programme. Overall 21% of pupils had had sexual intercourse, with boys more than twice as likely as girls to have experienced this. The mean age of first sexual intercourse was 15.5 years, 72% reported having used a condom at first intercourse but of 475 pupils who had sexual intercourse regularly only 67% used condoms all the time with 33% using them sometimes or never. Over half reported that first intercourse was with a 'casual' partner and 35% and 9% respectively claimed that alcohol and non-prescribed drugs were a contributory factor. In relation to sexual risk beliefs, 72% believed that condoms used properly reduced the risk of sexually transmitted diseases (STDs) and 78% knew that the contraceptive pill is not protective against human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infections. While the level of knowledge regarding sex education was generally high over one-third of sexually active respondents had been involved in high-risk behaviour. A need for health education programmes which focus on behaviour change and assertiveness has been identified.

Adolescent↗

Comparative effects of cyclosporin on glycosaminoglycan synthesis by gingival fibroblasts.

Histological studies show that drug-induced gingival overgrowth results from an accumulation of the connective tissue component. Despite comprising a major part of gingival connective tissue, a role for glycosaminoglycans (GAGs) in the pathogenesis of gingival overgrowth has received scant attention. By analyzing the metabolism of 3H-glucosamine, we have compared GAG and hyaluronan synthesis by fibroblasts derived from normal and overgrown gingival tissue, and the effects of cyclosporin on GAG output. GAG production was cell density-dependent, fibroblasts cultured at low density synthesizing significantly increased quantities in comparison to confluent cultures. The effects of cyclosporin on GAG synthesis was also found to be both cell density- and cell strain-dependent. However, cyclosporin-stimulated GAG synthesis by 2/3 overgrown cell strains and 1/3 normal strains. These results suggest that a direct promotion of GAG synthesis by gingival fibroblasts in response to cyclosporin may play a role in the pathogenesis of gingival overgrowth.

Analysis of Variance↗

A study of the impact of Sun Awareness Week 1995.

We report a questionnaire-based survey of parents of schoolchildren to assess the impact of Sun Awareness Week, organized by the U.K. Skin Cancer Working Party, from 4 to 10 June 1995. A questionnaire was designed, pre-tested and modified. Nine hundred and eighty-nine patients of schoolchildren were approached before and after Sun Awareness Week at eight comprehensive primary schools and a children's clothes shop. Responses to the questionnaires were analysed in the following categories: total knowledge, sunscreen knowledge, melanoma risk factor knowledge, attitude, self-reported behaviour and awareness of the link between childhood sun exposure and cancer (link). A reasonable level of knowledge was demonstrated in the sample population. Significant improvements in attitude and behaviour scores were observed (P < 0.05). Three of the four link questions were significantly improved (P < 0.005). These results were not explained by differences in age, sex, or occupation between the before and after populations. Further national studies are needed to establish long-term benefits of such interventions.

Adolescent↗

Asymptomatic gonorrhoea and chlamydial infection in rural Tanzanian men.

OBJECTIVE: To measure the prevalence of urethritis due to Neisseria gonorrhoeae and Chlamydial infection trachomatis in rural Tanzanian men DESIGN: About 500 men aged 15-54 years were selected from each of 12 rural communities by random cluster sampling; interviewed concerning past or present symptoms of sexually transmitted diseases; and asked to provide a first catch urine specimen, which was tested for pyuria with a leucocyte esterase dipstick test. Subjects with symptoms or with a positive result on testing were examined, and urethral swabs were taken for detection of N gonorrhoeae by gram stain and of C trachomatis by antigen detection immunoassay. SETTING: Mwanza region, north western Tanzania. SUBJECTS: 5876 men aged 15-54 years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Prevalence of urethral symptoms, observed urethral discharge, pyuria, urethritis ( > 4 pus cells per high power field on urethral smear), N gonorrhoeae infection (intracellular gram negative diplococci), and C trachomatis infection (IDEIA antigen detection assay). RESULTS: 1618 (28%) subjects reported ever having a urethral discharge. Current discharge was reported by 149 (2.5%) and observed on examination in 207 (3.5%). Gonorrhoea was found in 128 subjects (2.2%) and chlamydial infection in 39 (0.7%). Only 24 of 158 infected subjects complained of urethral discharge at the time of interview (15%). CONCLUSION: Infection with N gonorrhoeae and C trachomatis is commonly asymptomatic among men in this rural African population. This has important implications for the design of control programmes for sexually transmitted disease.

Adolescent↗

Multiple sclerosis with hydromyelia demonstrated at autopsy.

Multiple sclerosis (MS) associated with intramedullary cysts has been recently documented radiographically in approximately a dozen cases, but histological confirmation in these cases has been lacking. These cysts have been noted to occur centrally in the spinal cord and have been previously diagnosed as syringomyelia. We report a patient with extensive hydromyelia, but no dissecting syringomyelic cavity, of the thoraco-lumbar spinal cord, which was co-existent with centrally located, non-necrotic, chronic demyelinative plaques. A few well demarcated non-necrotic plaques were seen in the cerebrum and cerebellum with sparing of optic chiasm, confirming the diagnosis of chronic, non-Devic type MS. Although a cause and effect between the hydromyelia and MS cannot be proven in this or any of the previously reported radiographic cases our report provides pathological confirmation of the association between these two entities and further delineates the type of cyst.

Aged↗

A community trial of the impact of improved sexually transmitted disease treatment on the HIV epidemic in rural Tanzania: 1. Design.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the rationale and design of a randomized trial of the impact of improved services for the treatment of sexually transmitted diseases (STD) on the incidence of HIV infection in Mwanza Region, Tanzania. METHODS: The likely impact of improved STD treatment services on HIV incidence, and the need for empirical information on the effectiveness of this intervention strategy, are discussed. The rationale and design of such an intervention programme in Mwanza Region, and of a community-randomized trial to measure the impact of the programme on HIV and other STD, are presented. Problems in the design and interpretation of the trial are reviewed. RESULTS: Results of the baseline survey of the cohort of over 12,000 adults in 12 communities are presented in a companion paper. CONCLUSION: There is an urgent need for effective preventive measures against the HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa and other developing regions. Improved STD treatment has been promoted as a potentially effective strategy, but there is little empirical information on its impact. The trial in Mwanza Region is the first randomized study of this intervention and should provide valuable data for health policy makers.

Adult↗

A community trial of the impact of improved sexually transmitted disease treatment on the HIV epidemic in rural Tanzania: 2. Baseline survey results.

OBJECTIVES: To determine baseline HIV prevalence in a trial of improved sexually transmitted disease (STD) treatment, and to investigate risk factors for HIV. To assess comparability of intervention and comparison communities with respect to HIV/STD prevalence and risk factors. To assess adequacy of sample size. SETTING: Twelve communities in Mwanza Region, Tanzania: one matched pair of roadside communities, four pairs of rural communities, and one pair of island communities. One community from each pair was randomly allocated to receive the STD intervention following the baseline survey. METHODS: Approximately 1000 adults aged 15-54 years were randomly sampled from each community. Subjects were interviewed, and HIV and syphilis serology performed. Men with a positive leucocyte esterase dipstick test on urine, or reporting a current STD, were tested for urethral infections. RESULTS: A total of 12,534 adults were enrolled. Baseline HIV prevalences were 7.7% (roadside), 3.8% (rural) and 1.8% (islands). Associations were observed with marital status, injections, education, travel, history of STD and syphilis serology. Prevalence was higher in circumcised men, but not significantly after adjusting for confounders. Intervention and comparison communities were similar in the prevalence of HIV (3.8 versus 4.4%), active syphilis (8.7 versus 8.2%), and most recorded risk factors. Within-pair variability in HIV prevalence was close to the value assumed for sample size calculations. CONCLUSIONS: The trial cohort was successfully established. Comparability of intervention and comparison communities at baseline was confirmed for most factors. Matching appears to have achieved a trial of adequate sample size. The apparent lack of a protective effect of male circumcision contrasts with other studies in Africa.

Adolescent↗

Three-year outcome of a nonthoracotomy approach to cardioverter-defibrillator implantation in 189 consecutive patients.

To date, no long-term clinical data have been published in patients undergoing a nonthoracotomy approach to cardioverter-defibrillator system implantation. In the present report, 189 consecutive patients prospectively underwent a standardized approach to cardioverter-defibrillator system implantation in which the nonthoracotomy configurations were tested first. If satisfactory defibrillation thresholds were not obtained, thoracotomy was performed during the same intraoperative session. A nonthoracotomy system was successfully implanted in 149 of 189 patients (79%), with a higher success rate (90%) observed in patients who had more recent implantations. The overall rate of complications associated with these systems was low (11%). Over a mean follow-up of 12.5 +/- 9.3 months, 17 patients (9%) died. Three-year total, cardiac, and sudden death-free actuarial survival for all patients was 83 +/- 11%, 88 +/- 7%, and 94 +/- 2%, respectively. Three-year sudden death-free actuarial survival was higher in the nonthoracotomy than in the thoracotomy patients (97 +/- 2% vs 87 +/- 6%, p = 0.047), although total survival was similar (77 +/- 11% vs 83 +/- 7%, p = 0.77). These data suggest that a majority of patients (> 80%) requiring a cardioverter-defibrillator system can undergo implantation using a nonthoracotomy approach. Patients receiving nonthoracotomy systems have 3-year outcomes comparable to those implanted via thoracotomy. If these results are maintained, a nonthoracotomy approach will supplant thoracotomy-implanted systems as the preferred method because of the simpler implant procedure and lower overall cost involved.

Actuarial Analysis↗

Right ventricular dysfunction: an independent predictor of adverse outcome in patients with myocarditis.

To assess the predictive value of right ventricular systolic function in patients with active myocarditis, the echocardiograms of 23 patients with biopsy-confirmed myocarditis were reviewed. Right ventricular systolic function was evaluated qualitatively and quantitatively by descent of the right ventricular base. Patients were divided into those with normal right ventricular function, in whom right ventricular descent was 1.9 +/- 0.1 cm, and those with abnormal right ventricular function, in whom right ventricular descent was 0.8 +/- 0.1 cm (p < 0.001). There were no differences between the two groups in age, duration of symptoms, baseline hemodynamics, or histologic assessment. Initial left ventricular ejection fraction was significantly lower in patients with depressed right ventricular function (27.5 +/- 4.9%) compared with that in patients with normal right ventricular function (47.5 +/- 6.3%) (p = 0.01). The likelihood of an adverse outcome, defined as death or need for cardiac transplantation, was greater in patients with abnormal right ventricular function (right ventricular descent < or = 1.7 cm) than in patients with normal right ventricular function (right ventricular descent > 1.7 cm) (p < 0.03). Multivariate analysis revealed that right ventricular dysfunction as quantified by right ventricular descent was the most powerful predictor of adverse outcome.

Female↗

Prospective evaluation of day-to-day reproducibility of upright tilt-table testing in unexplained syncope.

To evaluate the day-to-day reproducibility of upright tilt-table testing, 109 patients with unexplained syncope prospectively underwent testing on 2 consecutive days using a uniform protocol. Results of testing on 2 separate days were concordant in 69 of 109 patients (63%), and discordant in 40 of 109 patients (37%). Thirty-six of 109 patients (33%) had vasodepressor syncope on 1 or both days of testing. Nineteen of 30 patients (63%) with vasodepressor responses on the first day did not reproduce this response during the second day of testing. An additional 6 patients with an initial negative tilt test had a vasodepressor response on the second day. Only 11 of 36 patients (31%) had reproducible vasodepressor responses on both days of testing. Patients with reproducible vasodepressor responses had a significantly higher mean number of preceding clinical syncopal events than patients with 2 normal tests (p < 0.02) or nonreproducible results (p < 0.04). In addition, these patients had a significantly longer duration of clinical symptoms relative to patients with 2 tests that yielded negative results (p < 0.008) and nonreproducible results (p < 0.01). The elapsed time between the most recent clinical event and the performance of tilt-table testing was not significantly different among the 3 groups, and did not appear to influence the outcome of testing. These data show that vasodepressor responses elicited by upright tilt-table testing show day-to-day variability in many patients, a finding that may limit the interpretation of initial and follow-up test results.

Adult↗

Determinants of successful nonthoracotomy cardioverter-defibrillator implantation: experience in 101 patients using two different lead systems.

OBJECTIVES: This study was conducted to identify the determinants of successful nonthoracotomy cardioverter-defibrillator implantation. BACKGROUND: Until recently, either median sternotomy or thoracotomy was necessary to implant the electrodes used for internal cardioverter-defibrillator systems. A number of manufacturers have developed nonthoracotomy lead systems comprising two transvenous coil electrodes and a subcutaneous patch electrode. At present, the factors associated with the success or failure of a nonthoracotomy approach are unknown. METHODS: A total of 101 consecutive patients requiring a cardioverter-defibrillator underwent an initial nonthoracotomy approach. Factors associated with successful nonthoracotomy implantation were prospectively determined. RESULTS: A nonthoracotomy system was implanted in 72 (71%) of 101 patients. Twenty-nine patients (29%) required thoracotomy. Univariate predictors of successful nonthoracotomy implantation included smaller cardiac size (p < 0.0001), smaller cardiothoracic ratio (p < 0.0002), QRS duration < 120 ms (p = 0.003), female gender (p = 0.006), ventricular fibrillation as the presenting arrhythmia (p = 0.03) and smaller echocardiographic left ventricular size (p = 0.04). Multivariate predictors included smaller cardiac size (p < 0.002) and female gender (p < 0.007). Total actuarial survival over a mean (+/- SD) follow-up interval of 12 +/- 7 months was 91 +/- 0.03% and was not different in the thoracotomy and nonthoracotomy groups. CONCLUSIONS: A nonthoracotomy cardioverter-defibrillator system can be implanted in a majority of patients. Smaller cardiac size and female gender are associated with a high probability of successful implantation.

Actuarial Analysis↗

Cancer in young people in the north of England, 1968-85: analysis by census wards.

OBJECTIVE: To determine whether the seeming excess of childhood leukaemia and lymphoma identified in Seascale, Cumbria, UK, remains unusual when put into a wider context. DESIGN: Analysis of cancer incidence by geographical area. SETTING: The north of England including the Northern and North Western Regional Health Authority regions and the Southport and South Sefton districts of the Mersey Regional Health Authority. SUBJECTS: Altogether 6686 cases of malignant disease in people under 25 years old. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Cases of cancer diagnosed before their 25th birthday between January 1968 and December 1985 identified from three regional cancer registries were allocated to a census ward on the basis of 'usual place of residence'. Population data were derived from the 1971 and 1981 censuses, and the cancer incidence was calculated for each ward. Of the 6686 cases, there were 1035 cases of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia and 361 of non-Hodgkins lymphoma. Wards were ranked by cancer incidence and Poisson probability, using different population bases. Seascale ward is the most highly ranked ward for acute lymphoblastic leukaemia for the time periods 1968-85 or 1968-76. It is not the most highly ranked for non-Hodgkins lymphoma. However, combining acute lymphoblastic leukaemia and non-Hodgkins lymphoma incidence gives an even more extreme position for Seascale. The most extreme Poisson probability for any of the analyses was that for brain tumours in the electoral ward of Ashton St Michael, Tameside (p = 0.000009). CONCLUSION: The incidence of acute lymphoblastic leukaemia and non-Hodgkins lymphoma in the Seascale ward remains high when put into a wider context. For other cancers there are wards with even more extreme Poisson probability values.

Adolescent↗

A population-based study of syphilis and sexually transmitted disease syndromes in north-western Tanzania. 1. Prevalence and incidence.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence of syphilis and the prevalence and incidence of self-reported STD syndromes in the population of Mwanza Region, North-Western Tanzania. METHODS: A population-based random cluster sample survey, stratified by rural, roadside or urban residence, of 4173 individuals aged 15-54 years was performed in 1990-91. The seroprevalence of syphilis (using TPHA and RPR) and the prevalence and incidence of self-reported genital ulcer syndrome (GUS) and genital discharge syndrome (GDS) were determined. RESULTS: Active syphilis was detected in 9% of the adult population, while 15% had serological evidence of past or current infection. Seroprevalence was significantly lower in the rural than in the roadside and urban populations, but there was little difference between men and women. Amongst men, a history of GDS was reported by 28%, and a history of GUS by 14%, with point prevalences of 2.3% and 1.3% respectively. Annual incidence among men were 6.8% for GDS and 3.6% for GUS. Women reported these conditions less frequently. There was little difference between the strata in the prevalence or incidence of reported STD syndromes. CONCLUSION: Sexually transmitted diseases represent a major public health problem in both the rural and urban populations of Mwanza Region.

Adolescent↗

A population-based study of syphilis and sexually transmitted disease syndromes in north-western Tanzania. 2. Risk factors and health seeking behaviour.

OBJECTIVE: To determine risk factors for syphilis and sexually transmitted disease (STD) syndromes, and to study health seeking behaviour among those with STD syndromes, in the population of Mwanza Region, North-Western Tanzania. METHODS: A population-based random cluster sample survey, stratified by rural, roadside or urban residence, of 4173 individuals aged 15-54 years was performed in 1990-91. The seroprevalence of syphilis and the prevalence and incidence of self-reported genital ulcer syndrome (GUS) and genital discharge syndrome (GDS) are reported in the accompanying paper. This paper reports on risk factors for these conditions and on health seeking behaviour among those reporting them. RESULTS: In both sexes, the risk of STDs increased with the reported number of sexual partners in the previous five years. Men who were separated, divorced or widowed were at increased risk of STDs, but this was not the case among women. Higher educational status was associated with an increased risk of urethral discharge in males but with a decreased prevalence of syphilis in females. Male circumcision was associated with an increased risk of urethral discharge but a reduced prevalence of syphilis. Nearly all men, and 90% of women, reporting symptoms of genital discharge or ulceration had sought treatment. Of these, approximately 70% of males and 60% of females had sought treatment in the official health sector. CONCLUSIONS: Targetted health education concerning risk reduction for HIV infection and other STDs should be a high priority in this population. Improved case management of STDs in health centres and dispensaries may have a substantial impact on the incidence of these infections.

Adolescent↗

Sentinel surveillance for HIV-1 infection: how representative are blood donors, outpatients with fever, anaemia, or sexually transmitted diseases, and antenatal clinic attenders in Mwanza Region, Tanzania?

OBJECTIVE: To assess the validity of extrapolation from sentinel data by comparing the HIV-1 prevalence of various sentinel groups with that of the general population in Mwanza Region, Tanzania. METHODS: In a population survey, 4161 individuals were selected in a stratified random cluster sample. Sentinel groups (all in the age group 15-54 years) included blood donors (n = 1090); patients examined at district hospitals for the presence of malaria parasites (n = 1488), anaemia (n = 1339), or syphilis (n = 33); and antenatal clinic attenders (n = 1193). The HIV-1 serostatus of individuals selected from the population survey was tested using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and Western blot; 51% of the blood donors were tested using HIVCHEK, and all others using ELISA. HIV-1 prevalence was standardized for age, sex, and urban/non-urban location. RESULTS: HIV-1 prevalence (standardized by age, sex, and residence) in Mwanza Region was 4.0% (3.0% in non-urban areas and 11.3% in town). The standardized HIV-1 prevalences in the sentinel groups were: blood donors, 4.5%; patients with fever, 11.6%; patients with anaemia, 8.9%; urban sexually transmitted disease patients, 27.1%; urban antenatal clinic attenders, 11.8%. The crude prevalence in blood donors was 6.0%. CONCLUSION: Blood donors who are related to blood recipients appear to be a representative sentinel group in this region, provided that data are standardized for age, sex, and urban/non-urban location. Patients with fever and antenatal clinic attenders may reflect trends, but data from patients with fever markedly overestimate, and data from antenatal clinic attenders underestimate, population HIV-1 prevalence. Because self-selection of blood donors may become more pronounced, this comparison should be repeated later or elsewhere, should the opportunity arise.

Adolescent↗