Genetic polymorphism in CX3CR1 and risk of HIV disease.
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Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗
Biomedical subjects
J J Goedert
Publications and source records attributed to J J Goedert.
Human papillomavirus-associated cancers in patients with human immunodeficiency virus infection and acquired immunodeficiency syndrome.
BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated anogenital malignancies occur frequently in patients with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). The purpose of our study was to determine if the high frequency of these cancers is due to lifestyle factors associated with both HPV and HIV infections or to immunosuppression following HIV infection. METHODS: We studied invasive and in situ HPV-associated cancers among 309 365 U.S. patients with HIV infection/AIDS (257 605 males and 51 760 females) from 5 years before the date of AIDS onset to 5 years after this date. Sex-, race-, and age-standardized ratios of observed-to-expected cancers served as measures of relative risk (RR). Trend tests were used to evaluate changes in the RRs during the 10 years spanning AIDS onset. All statistical tests were two-sided. RESULTS: All HPV-associated cancers in AIDS patients occurred in statistically significant excess compared with the expected numbers of cancers. For in situ cancers, overall risks were significantly increased for cervical (RR = 4.6; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 4.3-5.0), vulvar/vaginal (RR = 3.9; 95% CI = 2.0-7. 0), anal (in females, RR = 7.8 [95% CI = 0.2-43.6]; in males, RR = 60.1 [95% CI = 49.2-72.7]), and penile (RR = 6.9; 95% CI = 4.2-10.6) cancers, and RRs increased during the 10 years spanning AIDS onset for carcinomas in situ of the cervix (P: for trend <.001), vulva/vagina (P: for trend =.04), and penis (P: for trend =.04). For invasive cancers, overall risks were significantly increased for cervical (RR = 5.4; 95% CI = 3.9-7.2), vulvar/vaginal (RR = 5.8; 95% CI = 3.0-10.2), and anal (RR = 6.8; 95% CI = 2.7-14.0) cancers in females and for anal (RR = 37.9; 95% CI = 33.0-43.4), penile (RR = 3. 7; 95% CI = 2.0-6.2), tonsillar (RR = 2.6; 95% CI = 1.8-3.8), and conjunctival (RR = 14.6; 95% CI = 5.8-30.0) cancers in males. However, RRs for invasive cancers changed little during the 10 years spanning AIDS onset. CONCLUSIONS: HPV-associated malignancies occur at increased rates in persons with HIV/AIDS. Increasing RRs for in situ cancers to and beyond the time of AIDS onset may reflect the gradual loss of control over HPV-infected keratinocytes with advancing immunosuppression. However, the lack of a similar increase for invasive HPV-associated cancers suggests that late-stage cancer invasion is not greatly influenced by immune status.
AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗
Increased liver decompensation risk with atypical hepatitis C virus antibody levels.
Knowledge of serum markers of liver decompensation would facilitate care of patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infections. HCV load and anti-c33c and anti-NS5 levels did not distinguish 28 HCV- and HIV-positive predecompensation patients from 28 matched control patients, whereas more patients than controls had high anti-c100(p) and low anti-c22(p). In multivariate analysis, decompensation was associated with high anti-c100(p) titer (>/=1:4050; odds ratio [OR], 3. 4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1-11.5) and low anti-c22(p) (<1:36,450; OR, 3.0; 95% CI, 1.0-10.2) and with antibody band strength at 1:50 dilution (anti-c100[p] OR, 7.0; 95% CI, 1. 7-48.9; anti-c22[p] OR, 7.1; 95% CI, 1.7-49.2). With high anti-c100(p) or low anti-c22(p), sensitivity for decompensation was 86%-96% and specificity was 21%-36%; with both markers, sensitivity was 29%-32% and specificity was 93%-96%. Although the mechanisms for these associations are unknown, if these findings are verified in other populations, anti-c100(p) and anti-c22(p) might be valuable surrogate markers for liver decompensation risk.
Case-Control Studies↗
Risk of cancer in children with AIDS. AIDS-Cancer Match Registry Study Group.
CONTEXT: Population-based data on cancers associated with acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) in children are lacking. OBJECTIVE: To determine risk of pediatric AIDS-associated cancers. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Using records from 11 locations in the United States for varying periods between 1978 and 1996, we linked data for children aged 14 years and younger at AIDS diagnosis to local cancer registry data. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Cancer frequency and, in the 2-year post-AIDS onset period, cancer incidence and relative risk (RR; measured as standardized incidence ratio), by cancer type. RESULTS: Among 4954 children with AIDS, 124 (2.5%) were identified as having cancer before, at, or after AIDS onset, including 100 cases of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL), 8 of Kaposi sarcoma (KS), 4 of leiomyosarcoma, and 2 of Hodgkin disease; there were 10 other or unspecified cancers. Expected numbers for all cancers identified in the study sample, based on population rates (using area-specific registry data), were less than 1. In the first 2 years after AIDS diagnosis (5485 person-years), NHL incidence was 510 per 100,000 person-years (RR, 651; 95% confidence interval [CI], 432-941). Median time for developing NHL after AIDS diagnosis was 14 months (range, 3-107 months). The most common type of NHL was Burkitt lymphoma. However, the risk of primary brain lymphoma (91 per 100,000 person-years) was especially high (RR, 7143; 95% CI, 2321-16,692), and 4 cases were diagnosed more than 2 years (range, 37-98 months) after AIDS onset. Leiomyosarcomas also tended to occur several years after AIDS onset, with 3 of the 4 cases occurring 33 to 76 months after AIDS diagnosis, whereas KS was reported only at or within 2 years of AIDS diagnosis. Hodgkin disease risk was also significantly increased (RR, 62; 95% CI, 2-342). CONCLUSIONS: The spectrum of AIDS-associated pediatric cancers resembled that seen in adults, with the addition of leiomyosarcoma. Both primary brain lymphomas and leiomyosarcomas tended to occur in children surviving several years after AIDS onset. Because the expected numbers of these cancers in this population were less than 1 and because of the small numbers of some types of observed cancers, the RR estimates are imprecise and caution is warranted in their interpretation. JAMA. 2000;284:205-209
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗
Effect of hepatitis G virus infection on progression of HIV infection in patients with hemophilia. Multicenter Hemophilia Cohort Study.
BACKGROUND: Infection with hepatitis G virus (HGV), also known as GB virus C, is prevalent but is not known to be associated with any chronic disease. Infection with HGV may affect the risk for AIDS in HIV-infected persons. OBJECTIVE: To compare AIDS-free survival in patients with and those without HGV infection during 16 years of follow-up after HIV seroconversion. DESIGN: Subanalysis of a prospective cohort study. SETTING: Comprehensive hemophilia treatment centers in the United States and Europe. PATIENTS: 131 patients with hemophilia who became HIV-positive between 1978 and 1985. MEASUREMENTS: Age, CCR5 genotype, HIV and HCV viral loads, CD4+ and CD8+ lymphocyte counts, and 12-year AIDS-free survival by HGV positivity (viremia [RNA] or anti-E2 antibodies). RESULTS: Compared with HGV-negative patients, the 60 HGV-positive patients (46%), including 22 who were positive for HGV RNA, had higher CD4+ lymphocyte counts (difference, 211 cells/mm3 [95% Cl, 88 to 333 cells/mm3]) and 12-year AIDS-free survival rates (68% compared with 40%; rate difference, 1.9 per 100 person-years [Cl, -0.3 to 4.2 per 100 person-years]), despite similar ages and HIV viral loads. In multivariate proportional hazards models, risk for AIDS was 40% lower for HGV-positive patients independent of age, HIV and HCV viral loads, CD4+ and CD8+ lymphocyte counts, and CCR5 genotype. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with past or current HGV infection have higher CD4+ lymphocyte counts and better AIDS-free survival rates. The mechanism of this association is unknown.
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗
Fluctuations in HIV-1 viral load are correlated to CD4+ T-lymphocyte count during the natural course of infection.
Viral load fluctuates during the natural course of asymptomatic HIV-1 infection. It is often assumed that these fluctuations are random around a set point or underlying growth trend. Using longitudinal data, we tested whether fluctuations in viral load can be better explained by changes in CD4+ T-cell count than by a set point or trend of exponential growth. The correspondence between viral load and CD4+ T-cell count could be described by a simple mathematical relation. Using a bootstrapping approach, the hypothesis that viral load fluctuations are random around a set point was rejected with p < .00005. The hypothesis that viral load fluctuations are random around a trend of exponential growth was rejected with p < .005. Viral load data was explained better by changes in CD4+ T-cell counts than by a set point or by a trend of exponential growth. The implications of this finding for improved prognostication are discussed.
CD4 Lymphocyte Count↗
Virus load and risk of heterosexual transmission of human immunodeficiency virus and hepatitis C virus by men with hemophilia. The Multicenter Hemophilia Cohort Study.
A high human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) load may increase the probability of HIV transmission by sexual contact, but the association of virus load of hepatitis C virus (HCV) with risk of HCV transmission is uncertain. HIV and HCV virus loads were examined in hemophilic men, as were risks of HIV and HCV transmission to their female partners in a hemophilia cohort in which most subjects are dually infected. A higher HIV load was associated with an increased risk of HIV transmission (odds ratio [OR], 1.31 per log10 increase in virus load). A higher HCV load was associated, although not significantly, with an increased risk of HCV transmission (OR, 1. 42 per log10). HCV load was higher among dually infected men than in those infected with HCV alone (P=.001). However, much larger studies are needed to clearly show whether HIV/HCV coinfection significantly increases the risk of HCV transmission to female partners.
Adult↗
Identifying human herpesvirus 8 infection: performance characteristics of serologic assays.
Epidemiologic studies of infection with the oncogenic human herpesvirus 8 (HHV-8) depend on serologic methods to diagnose infection. However, optimal strategies for identifying HHV-8 infection remain undefined. We therefore evaluated four enzyme-linked immunoassays (EIAs) and one immunofluorescence assay (IFA) using sera from 87 individuals with the prototype HHV-8 disease, Kaposi's sarcoma (KS), and 210 participants in a hemophilia study (who were presumed not to be infected with HHV-8). Assays performed reasonably well in distinguishing between infected and uninfected persons, with receiver operator curve areas between 0.86 and 0.96. Nonetheless, IFA had only 86% sensitivity and 88% specificity, and no EIA simultaneously had sensitivity and specificity above 90% for any of the optical density (OD) cutpoints used to define seropositivity. Some assays were markedly less sensitive with diluted KS sera, suggesting that they poorly identify low-titer antibodies present in asymptomatic infection. We also developed a classification tree that categorized individuals as seropositive if they had OD > 2.00 on recombinant K8.1 protein EIA or if they had both K8.1 OD between 0.51 and 2.00 and positive IFA results; this strategy had between 80% and 90% sensitivity and 95% and 100% specificity. Overall, assays performed adequately for use in most epidemiologic investigations, but wider applications will require improved tests.
AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗
Effect of recent thymic emigrants on progression of HIV-1 disease.
BACKGROUND: The concentration of T-cell receptor-rearrangement excision DNA circles (TREC) in peripheral-blood T cells is a marker of recent thymic emigrant alphabeta T cells. We studied the predictive ability of measurements of TREC for clinical outcome in HIV-1-infected individuals. METHODS: We measured TREC in peripheral-blood mononuclear cells with a real-time PCR assay. We studied 131 Greek participants in the Multicenter Hemophilia Cohort Study who had known HIV-1 seroconversion dates. The prognostic value of baseline TREC, CD4 T-cell count, and HIV-1 RNA concentration was assessed by Kaplan-Meier and Cox's regression analysis. FINDINGS: Four participants had progressed to AIDS by first blood sampling. Among the remaining 127 individuals, the median value of TREC per 10(6) cells was 6900 (IQR 2370-15604). Baseline TREC values were lower in the 53 who progressed to AIDS than in those who did not (geometric mean 2843 [95% CI 1468-5504] vs 6560 [4723-9113] per 10(6) cells; p=0.017). The relative hazard of AIDS, adjusted for plasma viral load, CD4 T-cell count, and age at seroconversion was 1.44 (95% CI 1.04-2.01; p=0.031) per ten-fold increase in TREC; that for death was 1.52 (1.12-2.06; p=0.007). The adjusted relative hazards of death were 2.91 (1.91-4.44; p<0.001) per ten-fold increase in plasma HIV-1 RNA load and 1.20 (1.04-1.38; p=0.014) per 100-cell decrease in CD4 T-cell count. INTERPRETATION: The concentration of TREC in the peripheral T-cell pool complements HIV-1 RNA load and CD4 T-cell count in predicting the rate of HIV-1 disease progression. Recent thymic emigrants have a role in the pathogenesis of HIV-1 disease.
Adult↗
Ser-249 p53 mutations in plasma DNA of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma from The Gambia.
BACKGROUND: A selective mutation, an arginine-to-serine substitution in codon 249, of the p53 gene has been identified as a "hotspot" mutation in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This mutation occurs in populations that are exposed to aflatoxins and have a high prevalence of hepatitis B virus carriers. We evaluated whether this mutation could be detected in cell-free DNA isolated from the plasma of subjects from The Gambia to detect this mutation that is strongly associated with HCC. METHODS: Fifty-three patients with HCC, 13 patients with cirrhosis, and 53 control subjects were prospectively recruited from The Gambia. Sixty patients, of non-African origin, with various liver pathologies were also selected from France. DNA was extracted and purified from 200-microL aliquots of plasma. The Ser-249 p53 mutation was detected by restriction endonuclease digestion of polymerase chain reaction products from exon 7 and was confirmed by direct sequencing of the amplified DNA. RESULTS: The Ser-249 p53 mutation was detected in plasma DNA from 19 (36%) of the 53 patients with HCC, two (15%) of the 13 patients with cirrhosis, and three (6%) of the 53 control subjects. This mutation was not detected in any plasma DNA from the European patients. The adjusted odds ratio for having the mutation was 16.4 (95% confidence interval = 3.0-90.5) for patients with HCC compared with the control subjects. CONCLUSION: The Ser-249 p53 mutation in plasma DNA is strongly associated with HCC in Gambian patients. This mutation was also detected at a much lower prevalence in plasma DNA from Gambian patients with cirrhosis and in Gambian control subjects, findings that may lead to the earlier detection of HCC. Use of the Ser-249 p53 mutation should facilitate further molecular epidemiologic studies on the development of HCC.
Adult↗
Antibodies to human herpes virus type 8 (HHV8) in general population and in individuals at risk for sexually transmitted diseases in Western Sicily.
BACKGROUND: Human herpes virus 8 (HHV8) appears to be the primary aetiologic agent of Kaposi sarcoma (KS). To study the distribution of HHV8, a seroepidemiological study was carried out in western Sicily, where a high incidence rate of classical KS is well documented. METHODS: A total of 970 sera of healthy human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) negative individuals of general population (1-70 years old) and 742 sera of individuals in different risk groups for HIV infection were evaluated by means of an indirect immunofluorescence assay able to detect antibodies to lytic and latent HHV8 antigens. RESULTS: Crude seroprevalence to HHV8 antigens was 11.5% in the general population, and it increased significantly with age from 6% under age 16 to 22% after age 50. Significantly higher HHV8 seroprevalence rates were detected among HIV positive and negative homosexual men (62% and 22%, respectively), men who had sex with prostitutes (40% and 29%, respectively); female prostitutes (42% and 30%, respectively), and clients at a sexually transmitted disease clinic (male: 60% and 33%, respectively, female: 63% and 43%, respectively). In contrast, heterosexual intravenous drug users had seroprevalence rates comparable to those found in the general population. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that HHV8 infection is widespread in Western Sicily. The high seroprevalence in individuals with high risk sexual activity point to the role of sexual behaviour in the transmission of the infection in adults, whereas the detection of antibodies in younger population (under 16 years old) is suggestive of a non-sexual route of transmission, probably occurring during childhood by close personal contact.
Adolescent↗
Prevalence of hepatitis G virus in patients with hemophilia and their steady female sexual partners.
BACKGROUND: Hepatitis G virus (HGV), also known as GB virus C, is a newly discovered Flavivirus that is transmissible by blood transfusion and other possible routes. OBJECTIVE: To study the risk of sexual transmission of HGV in female sexual partners of men with hemophilia (n = 161 couples). METHODS: Blood samples obtained from 11 medical centers were analyzed for (1) HGV RNA by polymerase chain reaction; (2) antibodies to HGV by enzyme immunoassay; and (3) other viruses and T-cell counts by routine laboratory tests. Subjects completed a questionnaire that assessed sexual intercourse frequency, number of sexual partners, condom usage, sexually transmitted diseases, illicit drug usage, and needlestick or broken-glass injuries. RESULTS: The HGV infection (RNA +/- antibody positive) prevalence was 48% among men and 21% among women. Prevalence of hepatitis C virus, hepatitis B virus, and HIV among men was 99%, 94%, and 86%, compared with 3%, 11%, and 12% among women, respectively. The odds ratio for HGV infection for women with an HGV-positive male sexual partner was 2.14 (P = 0.06) without adjustment, and 2.77 (P = 0.03) with adjustment for other variables, none of which were independently significant. CONCLUSION: These results suggest a low level of HGV sexual transmission.
Antibodies, Viral↗
Activity of thalidomide in AIDS-related Kaposi's sarcoma.
PURPOSE: To assess the toxicity and activity of oral thalidomide in Kaposi's sarcoma (KS) in a phase II dose-escalation study. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-seropositive patients with biopsy-confirmed KS that progressed over the 2 months before enrollment received an initial dose of 200 mg/d of oral thalidomide in a phase II study. The dose was increased to a maximum of 1,000 mg/d for up to 1 year. Anti-HIV therapy was maintained during the study period. Toxicity, tumor response, immunologic and angiogenic factors, and virologic parameters were assessed. RESULTS: Twenty patients aged 29 to 49 years with a median CD4 count of 246 cells/mm(3) (range, 14 to 646 cells/mm(3)) were enrolled. All patients were assessable for toxicity, and 17 for response. Drowsiness in nine and depression in seven patients were the most frequent toxicities observed. Eight (47%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 23% to 72%) of the 17 assessable patients achieved a partial response, and an additional two patients had stable disease. Based on all 20 patients treated, the response rate was 40% (95% CI, 19% to 64%). The median thalidomide dose at the time of response was 500 mg/d (range, 400 to 1,000 mg/d). The median duration of drug treatment was 6.3 months, and the median time to progression was 7.3 months. CONCLUSION: Oral thalidomide was tolerated in this population at doses up to 1,000 mg/d for as long as 12 months and was found to induce clinically meaningful anti-KS responses in a sizable subset of the patients. Additional studies of this agent in KS are warranted.
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗
The epidemiology of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome malignancies.
The acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) results in an extraordinary increase in the risk of two malignancies: Kaposi's sarcoma (KS; relative risk [RR], >10,000) and B-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL; RR, >100). KS appears to result from uncontrolled expression of latency genes of human herpes virus-8 (HHV-8). KS is exquisitely sensitive to immune deficiency, and its incidence has declined during the late 1990s with the advent of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) against human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). The risk of NHL is highest with high-grade histologies, and the incidence has declined only slightly with HAART. The risk of KS and NHL is decreased for people with the CCRS delta32 polymorphism, and NHL risk is increased with the SDFI-3'A polymorphism. Children with AIDS have a similar pattern of risk, but also have a high risk of leiomyosarcoma (RR, approximately 10,000). AIDS-related immune deficiency also increases the risk of Hodgkin's disease (RR, 8), probably multiple myeloma (RR, 5), and possibly other tumors in adults. Although the occurrence of cervical cancer (RR, 3) and anal cancer (RR, 30) is excessive among persons with AIDS, most or all of this excess results from sexually acquired human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and not from immune deficiency. Future efforts need to focus on understanding how the immune perturbation of AIDS results in a limited spectrum of tumors and most urgently on controlling the underlying HIV epidemic.
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗
A simple relationship between viral load and survival time in HIV-1 infection.
Despite important recent insights into the short-term dynamics of HIV-1 infection, our understanding of the long-term pathogenesis of AIDS remains unclear. Using an approach that places rapid progressors, typical progressors, and nonprogressors on a single clinical spectrum of disease progression, we quantitate the previously reported relationship between viral load and survival time. We introduce the concept of viral constant, present evidence that this quantity is conserved across patients, and explore the immunopathological implications of this finding. We conclude with a quantitative approach for assessing the benefits of a given regime of antiviral therapy.
Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome↗
Phenotypic expressions of CCR5-delta32/delta32 homozygosity.
OBJECTIVE: As blockade of CC-chemokine receptor 5 (CCR5) has been proposed as therapy for HIV-1, we examined whether the CCR5-delta32/delta32 homozygous genotype has phenotypic expressions other than those related to HIV-1. DESIGN: Study subjects were white homosexual men or men with hemophilia who were not infected with HIV-1. In this study, 15 CCR5-delta32/delta32 homozygotes were compared with 201 CCR5 wild-type (+/+) subjects for a wide range of clinical conditions and laboratory assay results ascertained during prospective cohort studies and routine clinical care. CCR5-delta32 genotype was determined by polymerase chain reaction, followed by single-stranded conformational polymorphism analysis. RESULTS: Hypertension and conditions attributable to hemophilia were the only diagnoses frequently found in clinical records of CCR5-delta32/delta32 study subjects. Based on blood pressure measurement and treatment history, CCR5-delta32/delta32 homozygotes had a 2.8-fold higher prevalence of hypertension than age-matched CCR5-+/+ study subjects (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2-6.4; p = .01); none of the homozygotes had severe hypertension. Hematologic measures were generally similar across the genotypes, but total lymphocyte counts were approximately 20% higher in CCR5-delta32/delta32 study subjects than in CCR5-+/+ study subjects (p < .05). Among patients with hemophilia who were infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV), mean alanine aminotransferase levels were 117% higher among CCR5-delta32/delta32 homozygotes (p < .05), but serum HCV levels did not differ by CCR5-delta32 genotype. CCR5-delta32/delta32 homozygous study subjects had a lower prevalence of antibodies to measles virus than those with other genotypes, but this association was not confirmed in a group of blood donors. The prevalence of antibodies to nine other common viruses, HBV, and HCV was not related to CCR5 genotype. CONCLUSIONS: CCR5-delta32/delta32 homozygotes are generally similar to wild-type persons. Confirmatory investigations are required to determine whether hypertension, increased lymphocyte counts, and higher hepatic enzyme levels in the presence of HCV infection represent true phenotypic expressions of this genotype. CCR5-delta32/delta32 homozygosity does not provide broad protection against viral infections.
Adult↗
Plasma HIV viral load in patients with hemophilia and late-stage HIV disease: a measure of current immune suppression. Multicenter Hemophilia Cohort Study.
BACKGROUND: For patients infected with HIV, plasma HIV viral load in early disease predicts long-term prognosis. However, the implications of viral load measurements late in HIV disease are uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the relation between plasma HIV viral load and subsequent risk for disease progression in patients with late-stage HIV disease. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: 16 treatment centers for patients with hemophilia. PATIENTS: 389 patients with hemophilia and late-stage HIV disease (CD4 count < 200 cells/mm3). MEASUREMENTS: Plasma HIV viral load was measured at baseline. Patients were followed for AIDS-related illnesses (primary outcome) and, specifically, Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (secondary outcome). RESULTS: HIV viral load strongly predicted AIDS-related illness. For patients with viral loads less than 4.00 log10 copies/mL, the 1-year actuarial risk was 0% and the 5-year risk was 25%. For patients with viral loads of at least 6.00 log10 copies/mL, the 1-year actuarial risk was 42% and the 5-year risk was 78%. A linear relation existed between viral load and risk for AIDS-related illness (hazard ratio, 2.37 per 1og10 copies/mL; P < 0.001). In addition, viral load most strongly predicted risk for illness immediately after viral load testing; this predictive relation attenuated over time (P = 0.002). These findings changed little after adjustment for CD4 cell counts that were updated during follow-up. In the first year after viral load was measured, it predicted occurrence of P. carinii pneumonia (hazard ratio, 4.69 per 1og10 copies/mL; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with hemophilia and late-stage HIV disease, viral load predicts disease progression independently of CD4 cell counts. Because viral load most strongly predicts progression immediately after load is measured, it seems to reflect the current level of immunosuppression.
AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗
Reduced risk of AIDS lymphoma in individuals heterozygous for the CCR5-delta32 mutation.
Non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) has been increasing in frequency in the industrialized world, but the environmental and genetic factors that contribute to susceptibility are not known. B-cell lymphomas represent a major cause of morbidity and mortality in HIV-infected individuals. The identification of a deletion in the CCR5 chemokine receptor gene that alters the risk for infection and progression to AIDS led us to examine a potential role of this gene in AIDS lymphoma. A matched case-control analysis was performed using all eligible NHL cases in the Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study. Patients were matched for age, study center, time AIDS-free, and slope of the CD4+ T-cell decline. The CCR5-delta32 allele was found to be associated with a 3-fold lower risk of NHL among individuals after controlling for time of infection and progression toward AIDS. The CCR5 gene was not associated with a difference in risk for Kaposi's sarcoma, another common malignancy in AIDS patients, or opportunistic infections. Costimulation of normal phorbol 12-myristate 13-acetate-treated B cells with the CCR5 ligand RANTES induced a proliferative response, indicating that RANTES is a mitogen for B cells. Taken together, these findings suggest that the CCR5 gene plays a role in the risk of NHL in HIV-infected patients, perhaps through a mechanism involving a decreased response of B cells to the mitogenic activity of RANTES.
AIDS-Related Opportunistic Infections↗