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J Hilden

Publications and source records attributed to J Hilden.

At least 55 records · Page 3Linked to original sources

A controlled comparison of myelography, computed tomography, and magnetic resonance imaging in clinically suspected lumbar disc herniation.

STUDY DESIGN: A controlled prospective blinded study. OBJECTIVES: To compare the diagnostic power of myelography, computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging in the diagnosis of low lumbar disc herniation. METHODS: Eighty patients with monoradicular sciatica were examined by myelography, computed tomography, and magnetic resonance imaging, and all underwent subsequent surgery. The images were evaluated twice in a blinded fashion, and the diagnostic power of the modalities was expressed by a decision-analytic regret function. RESULTS: In 57 patients (71%) a disc herniation at the expected level was disclosed at surgery. The largest amount of diagnostic information was gained from computed tomography, followed by magnetic resonance imaging and myelography. Both computed tomography and magnetic resonance imaging were significantly informative, whereas this was not the case for myelography. CONCLUSION: The results indicate that computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging should be the first choice for imaging in patients with suspected lumbar disc herniation.

Adult↗

Reproducibility of Nordic Sleep Questionnaire in spinal cord injured.

A recently proposed Nordic Sleep Questionnaire (NSQ) comprises 26 questions concerning qualitative and quantitative aspects of the respondent's sleep habits. Its reproducibility was evaluated in 32 spinal cord injured individuals (SCI), 24 men and eight women (23-72 years), and 79 normal subjects, 23 men and 56 women (19-77 years). They completed the NSQ twice at a median interval of 15 days (range 10-26) and 27 days (range 4-103) respectively. The group of normal subjects were evenly divided into group 26, i.e. those who completed the two NSQs within 26 days, and group 27 with 27 days or more between their replies. Generally, group 27 showed no worse test-retest agreement than group 26. In addition, the respondents' answers, with a few exceptions, were reasonably stable in terms of test-retest agreement or standard deviation. The SCI group exhibited the same level of reproducibility, although they had more 'pathology' to report and thus more scope for contradicting themselves. The questions in the NSQ generally were satisfactorily reproducible. However, answers to the ordered five-point questions about sleepiness in the morning and during the daytime ought to be interpreted with caution. The same may be said about the number of minutes required to fall asleep, and the duration of daytime naps.

Adult↗

Familial occurrence of migraine without aura and migraine with aura.

We report a study of 121 probands (patients) with migraine without aura (MO) and 72 probands with migraine with aura (MA), diagnosed according to the operational diagnostic criteria of the International Headache Society and selected from 35 general practices in Denmark. The probands were interviewed about the presence of MO and MA among their first-degree relatives. Compared with the general population, the first-degree relatives of probands with MO had a threefold increase of MO, and only one first-degree relative of one proband with MO had MA. First-degree relatives of probands with MA had a twofold increase of both MA and MO. Compared with the general population, few spouses had MO and MA. This threefold and twofold increase in family risk of MO and MA, combined with the lack of increased risk in spouses, strongly suggests that MO and MA are genetically determined.

Adult↗

Observer homogeneity in the histologic diagnosis of Helicobacter pylori. Latent class analysis, kappa coefficient, and repeat frequency.

Four pathologists independently examined 82 antral mucosal biopsy specimens for the presence of Helicobacter pylori and indicated whether their assessments were certain. The pathologists made a positive diagnosis in from 56% to 84% of the specimens (significant heterogeneity, p < 0.01). The frequency of uncertain diagnoses was from 4% to 20% (p < 0.01). Uncertain statements occurred more frequently among negative than among positive diagnoses. For the six pairs of observers the kappa coefficients were between 0.39 and 0.82. By a latent class analysis measures of diagnostic accuracy were calculated comparing the observers' assessments with an estimated consensus diagnosis. The predictive values of a positive diagnosis ranged from 0.70 to 1.00. By calculation of repeat frequencies--that is, the probability that an observer's statement was confirmed by another observer--it became evident that uncertain statements were less frequently (61%) confirmed than were certain ones (85%). It is concluded that observer homogeneity is only moderate with regard to the histologic diagnosis of H. pylori, which should be considered both in daily clinical routine and in scientific studies. Disagreement between observers was associated with negative diagnoses, presumably because the pathologists felt more uncertain in these cases.

Adult↗

[Observer variation and accuracy in the clinical diagnosis of ascites].

Seventeen observers participated in an observer variation study of the clinical evaluation of ascites. In a blinded design, eight patients with diagnoses of liver disease were examined. Fourteen observers examined the patients twice in order also to estimate the intra-observer variation. The accuracy of the observers' statements was compared with ultrasound findings, by which mean ascites was demonstrated in two patients. Poor correspondance between the observers' gradings and volume estimations, and poor accuracy of the gradings, make qualitative and quantitative ascites estimations useless. The inter-observer agreement was found to be low although the intra-observer agreement was good. The observers' subjective certainty of correctness of their own findings, marked as certain/uncertain, did not reflect the chance of making a correct statement on each particular occasion. The individual patient's general ability of inducing certainty did relate the chance of forming a correct diagnosis. Ultrasonic investigation of the abdomen is recommended in all situations in which demonstration of ascites is essential to diagnosis or therapy.

Ascites↗

Estimation of the spontaneous abortion risk in the presence of induced abortions.

We propose a method of estimating the miscarriage risk in a setting where counts of births, miscarriages and induced abortions are available, and also the gestational week of each induced abortion. Unlike previously proposed methods, ours takes into account the fraction of the miscarriage risk to which each interrupted pregnancy has been exposed. For this purpose, we draw on an extraneous standard foetal survival curve and stipulate that the survival curve of the study population is a scaled version thereof. Three such scaling models are discussed, and it is shown that the choice is largely a matter of computational convenience. Separate attention is given to a competing-risk model of miscarriages and interruptions, and examples are given of reasons why the crucial assumption that these two sources of termination operate independently is unlikely to be met. Finally, it is argued that pregnancy wishes, especially those of habitual aborters, shape the miscarriage rate to the extent that it becomes as much a cultural parameter as a marker of biological hazards.

Abortion, Habitual↗

Ultrasound examination in jaundiced patients. Is computer-assisted preclassification helpful?

In this study we attempted to determine the diagnostic accuracy and reproducibility of ultrasonography (US) for jaundice and to see how US can best be combined with preliminary clinical-biochemical diagnoses to plan the invasive work-up. US proved reproducible in two diagnostic departments (127 agreements in 135 cases). But, since obstruction was underdiagnosed (15 double-false negatives), the predictive value of a negative result was only 0.83. By adding a term which represents the US conclusion, obstruction or not, to the Copenhagen pocket diagnostic chart score (based on the logistic model) we found that an obstructive conclusion increases the odds of obstruction by a factor of 25, and a non-obstructive conclusion decreases the odds by a factor of only 1.9. We conclude that the preliminary diagnosis is frequently sufficiently certain to be unalterable by US. This leaves only 40% of the jaundice cases in which US is necessary to plan invasive work-up. The US workload can even, it appears, be reduced to about 22% without appreciable penalty in terms of unrewarding invasive procedures. Using these strict indications, four US examinations seem to suffice to avoid one such error. Relying on either US or clinical-biochemical data alone is inferior to the combined strategy.

Algorithms↗

The safety of chorionic villus sampling. A synthesis of the literature.

Altogether 10 reports on the safety of chorionic villus sampling, either by the transcervical (TC) or the transabdominal (TA) approach, were reviewed and combined with our own data. After discussion of how unintended fetal loss rates are best estimated, the excess total fetal loss after TC and TA compared with amniocentesis were estimated to be 1.70% (+/- 0.65%) and practically zero (+/- 1.0%), respectively (standard errors in parentheses). The absolute risk of unintended loss after TC is +2.7% (+/- 0.7%) and after TA 1.0% (+/- 1.0%). These estimates are still too uncertain to allow precise weighting of benefits and human costs. A uniform style of reporting studies in this area is proposed.

Abdomen↗

[Confidence intervals instead of p-values].

International scientific journals expect authors of articles to an increasing extent to calculate confidence intervals for their statistical findings. Confidence intervals are more informative than p-values in hypothesis testing as the confidence interval expresses how great the value of an investigated effect may be anticipated to be in the population. Examples of calculation of confidence intervals are presented on the basis of data frequently occurring in medical investigations.

Confidence Intervals↗

Analysing clinical decision analyses.

We present a critical review of aspects of clinical decision analysis which uses an application to screening for familial intracranial aneurysms. The analysis is reported together with methods for assessing decision trees. These methods appear to be powerful checks on the usually rather intuitive way in which decision trees are built. The problem of assessing the uncertainty in the results of a decision analysis is discussed in detail. In practice, sensitivity analysis covers nearly every calculation apart from the standard evaluation of the decision tree. Different forms of sensitivity analysis are distinguished and given appropriate names: influence analysis, threshold analysis, full Bayesian analysis, Bayesian influence analysis, attribute analysis, generalization analysis and scenario analysis. The biostatistical community may well contribute to the much needed methodological improvement in decision analysis and its different forms of sensitivity analysis, especially if prepared to look beyond the standard statistical techniques.

Adult↗

The marriage of clinical trials and clinical decision science.

Clinical decision science is concerned with rational clinical decisions. All branches of medical research contribute here, but controlled clinical trials of the pragmatic variety carry a particular responsibility. Usually, however, they are not conducted and reported so that they can be used directly as input to a decision analysis. We suggest that the forces of the two methodologies should be united, and point out some areas where this 'marriage' will have a non-trivial impact: choice of end points, style of outcome recording, adaptive designs, and style of result presentation. Special attention is given to the decision-analytic setting of research priorities, the role of utility calculus in quantifying the ethical dilemmas that surround clinical trials, and the use of patient attitude towards outcomes of treatment as a covariate in its own right.

Clinical Protocols↗

Which types of perinatal events are predictable? A look at a risk score model.

This study describes the association of a risk factor model for complicated delivery, perinatal morbidity and perinatal mortality with each of various types of delivery complications, types of perinatal morbidity and causes of perinatal mortality. The material comprises a total cohort, 4,066 pregnant women with singletons in a Danish county, and their newborn infants, of whom 494 (12%) had clinical morbidity during the first 5 days of life; 28 (0.7%) died perinatally. A set of 20 risk factors, identifiable before pregnancy, at any time during the pregnancy or at term, was devised by joining existing models for prediction of complicated delivery and of perinatal morbidity and mortality. Metabolic and disproportion-related events were well predicted by the model, inertia-related ones less so, and placental conditions not at all, except for abruption. All types of neonatal morbidity (except sepsis) were well predicted, as were deaths. The strongest predictors of perinatal death were signs of hydramnios (RR = 16.1) and growth retardation (RR = 7.2). The 20 risk factors affected 43% of the population, predicting 57% of the unfavorable perinatal events.

Cohort Studies↗