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Biomedical subjects

J G Ibrahim

Publications and source records attributed to J G Ibrahim.

12 recordsLinked to original sources

A semi-parametric Bayesian approach to generalized linear mixed models.

The linear mixed effects model with normal errors is a popular model for the analysis of repeated measures and longitudinal data. The generalized linear model is useful for data that have non-normal errors but where the errors are uncorrelated. A descendant of these two models generates a model for correlated data with non-normal errors, called the generalized linear mixed model (GLMM). Frequentist attempts to fit these models generally rely on approximate results and inference relies on asymptotic assumptions. Recent advances in computing technology have made Bayesian approaches to this class of models computationally feasible. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods can be used to obtain 'exact' inference for these models, as demonstrated by Zeger and Karim. In the linear or generalized linear mixed model, the random effects are typically taken to have a fully parametric distribution, such as the normal distribution. In this paper, we extend the GLMM by allowing the random effects to have a non-parametric prior distribution. We do this using a Dirichlet process prior for the general distribution of the random effects. The approach easily extends to more general population models. We perform computations for the models using the Gibbs sampler.

Bayes Theorem

A Bayesian framework for intent-to-treat analysis with missing data.

In longitudinal clinical trials, one analysis of interest is an intention-to-treat analysis, which groups subjects according to the randomized treatment regardless of whether they stayed on that treatment or not. When in addition to going off the randomized treatment subjects may also drop out of the study and be lost to follow-up, it is unclear what an intention-to-treat analysis should be. If measurements are made after treatment drop-out on a random sample of subjects who drop the treatment, then Hogan and Laird (1996, Biometrics 52, 1002-1017) present a random effects model, well suited to this type of analysis, which fits a two-piece linear spline to the data with the knot at the time the assigned treatment is dropped. This article presents a Bayesian approach to fitting a similar two-piece linear spline model and shows how the model can be applied to data that have no off-treatment observations.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome

A semiparametric Bayesian approach to the random effects model.

In longitudinal random effects models, the random effects are typically assumed to have a normal distribution in both Bayesian and classical models. We provide a Bayesian model that allows the random effects to have a nonparametric prior distribution. We propose a Dirichlet process prior for the distribution of the random effects; computation is made possible by the Gibbs sampler. An example using marker data from an AIDS study is given to illustrate the methodology.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome

Estimating equations with incomplete categorical covariates in the Cox model.

Incomplete covariate data is a common occurrence in many studies in which the outcome is survival time. When a full likelihood is specified, a useful technique for obtaining parameter estimates is the EM algorithm. We propose a set of estimating equations to estimate the parameters of Cox's proportional hazards model when some covariate values are missing. These estimating equations can be solved by an algorithm similar to the EM algorithm. Because of the computational burden of finding a solution to these estimating equations, we propose obtaining parameter estimates via Monte Carlo methods. Asymptotic variances of the parameter estimates are also derived. We present a clinical trials example with three covariates, two of which have some missing values.

Algorithms

Loss of lung function among sheet metal workers: ten-year study.

One hundred and twenty-two sheet metal workers in New England were examined over a 10-year interval for loss of pulmonary function and the development of asbestosis or asbestos-related pleural fibrosis. Regression models using the generalized estimating equation (GEE) approach were created to investigate the relationship between exposure and pulmonary function after adjusting for smoking status, age, height, and asbestos-related x-ray changes. A history of shipyard work was a significant contributor to the loss of forced vital capacity (FVC). Among smokers, loss in forced expiratory volume at 1 sec (FEV1) also had a significant relationship to prior shipyard work. There was a borderline significant relationship between percentage predicted FEV1 and cumulative years of asbestos exposure in smokers, as well as years-since-initial-exposure in never-smokers. This study supports previous findings of obstructive airway changes in asbestos-exposed workers and identifies shipboard work as an important predictor of loss in pulmonary function even years after shipyard exposure to asbestos has ceased.

Adult

The large sample distribution of the weighted log rank statistic under general local alternatives.

We derive the large sample distribution of the weighted log rank statistic under a general class of local alternatives in which both the cure rates and the conditional distribution of time to failure among those who fail are assumed to vary in the two treatment arms. The analytic result presented here is important to data analysts who are designing clinical trials for diseases such as non-Hodgkins lymphoma, leukemia and melanoma, where a significant proportion of patients are cured. We present a numerical illustration comparing powers obtained from the analytic result to those obtained from simulations.

Clinical Trials as Topic

Predictive variable selection for the multivariate linear model.

We develop a predictive Bayesian approach to variable selection in the multivariate linear model. A criterion derived from the Bayesian predictive density is proposed and a calibration is provided for it. Reference and informative priors are discussed, and an automated method that focuses on the response variable is proposed for specifying informative priors for the regression parameters. Relationships between the proposed criterion and other several well-known criteria are examined. Illustrative examples involving real data are given to demonstrate the methodology.

Asbestos

Predictive model selection for repeated measures random effects models using Bayes factors.

The random effects model fit to repeated measures data is an extremely common model and data structure in current biostatistical practice. Modern data analysis often involves the selection of models within broad classes of prespecified models, but for models beyond the generalized linear model, few model-selection tools have been actively studied. In a Bayesian analysis, Bayes factors are the natural tool to use to explore these classes of models. In this paper, we develop a predictive approach for specifying the priors of a repeated measures random effects model with emphasis on selecting the fixed effects. The advantage of the predictive approach is that a single predictive specification is used to specify priors for all models considered. The methodology is applied to a pediatric pain data analysis.

Bayes Theorem

Using the EM-algorithm for survival data with incomplete categorical covariates.

Incomplete covariate data is a common occurrence in many studies in which the outcome is survival time. With generalized linear models, when the missing covariates are categorical, a useful technique for obtaining parameter estimates is the EM by the method of weights proposed in Ibrahim (1990). In this article, we extend the EM by the method of weights to survival outcomes whose distributions may not fall in the class of generalized linear models. This method requires the estimation of the parameters of the distribution of the covariates. We present a clinical trials example with five covariates, four of which have some missing values.

Algorithms

Parameter estimation from incomplete data in binomial regression when the missing data mechanism is nonignorable.

We propose a method for estimating parameters in binomial regression models when the response variable is missing and the missing data mechanism is nonignorable. We assume throughout that the covariates are fully observed. Using a logit model for the missing data mechanism, we show how parameter estimation can be accomplished using the EM algorithm by the method of weights proposed in Ibrahim (1990, Journal of the American Statistical Association 85, 765-769). An example from the Six Cities Study (Ware et al., 1984, American Review of Respiratory Diseases 129, 366-374) is presented to illustrate the method.

Air Pollution

Use of historical controls in time-adjusted trend tests for carcinogenicity.

We develop a method for incorporating historical control information into time-adjusted tests for dose effects in carcinogenicity studies. After discretizing the time scale, we use a multinomial distribution to model the number of animals dying with tumor in each interval. Data from past studies are used to estimate the parameters characterizing the prior. A score test derived from the resulting Dirichlet-multinomial generalizes the test of Tarone (1982, Biometrics 38, 215-220) and reduces, in the limit, to the log-rank test in the case of a diffuse prior. The methodology is illustrated with data from a study of the fire retardant 2,2-Bis(bromomethyl)-1,3-propanediol.

Animals

Forecasting the number of future disabled elderly using Markovian and mathematical models.

The accuracy of forecasting the number of future disabled elderly people depends on the accuracy of projecting mortality rates and the rates of transition to and from functional disability. We describe a new two-step method for constructing mathematical models that project these future rates dynamically. (1) A Markovian model of elders' transitions between functional states is specified. (2) A mathematical model of the probability of each transition is created. We conducted pilot studies of the fundamental mathematical processes of this method using data from the Longitudinal Study of Aging. First we constructed prototypic mathematical models of the probabilities of remaining functionally able and of making transitions to disability and to death within 2 years. Then we used these models to project hypothetical rates of transition for white women of selected ages, morbidity ratings and health statuses.

Activities of Daily Living